The Singularityand you

piero scaruffi

www.scaruffi.com

March 2015

"The person who says it cannot be done should not interrupt the person doing it" (Chinese proverb)

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Thinking about Thought(four volume reader of my UC Berkeley class)

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A History of Silicon Valley

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Intelligence is not Artificial

Why the Singularity is not Coming any Time Soon & other Meditations on the Post-Human Condition and the Future

of Intelligence

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The Singularity Debate

Good, Irving John: "Speculations Concerning the First Ultraintelligent Machine" (1964)

Moravec, Hans: "Mind Children" (1988)

Vinge, Vernon: "The Singularity" (1993)

Kurzweil, Ray: "The Singularity Is Near" (2005)

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Ray Kurzweil at the Singularity University

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Progress in A.I.

1997: IBM's "Deep Blue" chess machine beats the world's chess champion, Garry Kasparov

2003: Hiroshi Ishiguro's Actroid, a robot that looks like a young woman

2006: Geoffrey Hinton's Deep Belief Networks (a fast learning algorithm for restricted Boltzmann machines)

2008: Adrian Bowyer's 3D Printer builds a copy of itself at the University of Bath

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Progress in A.I.

2011: IBM's Watson debuts on a tv show

2012: Google’s software learns to find cat videos

2014: Vladimir Veselov's and Eugene Demchenko's program Eugene Goostman, which simulates a 13-year-old Ukrainian boy, passes the Turing test at the Royal Society in London

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Progress in A.I.

2014: Deep Knowledge Ventures (Hong Kong) appoints an algorithm to its board of directors

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The Singularity

Ray Kurzweil’s predictions• Infinite life extension: “Medical technology

will be more than a thousand times more advanced than it is today… every new year of research guaranteeing at least one more year of life expectancy”* (2022)

• Precise computer simulations of all regions of the human brain (2027)

• Small computers will have the same processing power as human brains (2029)

• 2030s: Mind uploading - humans become software-based

• 2045: The Singularity9* recently postponed to 2040

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The Singularity

Ray Kurzweil’s predictions

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To be worried or not to be worried? (Hamlet 2015)

Demystifying A.I.A.I. is everything that machines can't doWhen a machine does it, then it is no

longer A.I. (John McCarthy)Demonizing A.I.

Elon Musk: “The human race’s biggest existential threat”

Stephen Hawking: “The end of the human race”

Piero: “What we understand is not enough to understand why we understand it”

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The Singularity?

Five arguments against the Singularity

1. Reality Check

2. Accelerating Progress?

3. Non-human Intelligence

4. Human Intelligence

5. A Critique of the Turing Test

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The Singularity?

More:

Slideshare -> Scaruffi -> Artificial Intelligence and the Singularity (200 slides)

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