Date post: | 15-Apr-2017 |
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Business |
Upload: | greylock-partners |
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THE STATE OF ENTERPRISE SOFTWARE
J E R R Y C H E N
Valuations took a hit in Q1 but are coming back. Be
ssem
er C
loud
Inde
x
Source: Bessemer
2016
We are seeing a “new normal” in valuations.
Source: Morgan Stanley, Capital IQ, Thomson
Avg. Aggregate Value / Next 12 Month Revenue
15.5x 2013-2014
7.4x 2/12/2016
Recent Enterprise IPOs: 1 Year Performance
Source: Google Finance
2015 VC investments reached dotcom levels
Source: Greylock, PwC/NVCA Data: Thomson Reuters
U.S. Early Stage VC: Q4 2015 - Q1 2016
Decrease in # Deals Increase in Round Sizes
Source: Pitchbook
U.S. Late Stage VC: Q1 2016
Decrease in # Deals y/y Smaller Deal Sizes y/y
Source: Pitchbook
Expect M&A to return to historic levels.
Source: Morgan Stanley, Capital IQ, Dealogic
Market Summary
Public Markets Valuations are down. We’re stabilizing at a new normal.
VC Deal volume is decreasing, but still an appetite for great companies.
M&A Expect strategic M&A to pick up over the next four quarters.
Startup Climate for 2016
Focus on cash positions
Build for the long haul
Pick a wave bigger than you
You.
MARKET SPOTLIGHT Areas of Interest
INFRASTRUCTURE “Caught between OSS and a Cloud Place”
How do you get out between OSS and a Cloud Place?
Infrastructure Amazon is the biggest threat to infrastructure companies. Azure and Google will make progress in 2016 with enterprise buyers. Incumbent and private cloud vendors will act irrationally. You need a large footprint and direct connection to developers (DDI).
SECURITY “Separating signal from the noise”
Security
Thousands of companies all sound the same. (And many are the same.) Customers don’t want to buy snake oil. Your job is to help them be smart buyers. Security is an evergreen market. There will always be bad guys, so build a business model that “works for you.”
APPS “Not your father’s Oldsmobile”
Evolution of Apps
Cloud/SaaS Cloud/Mobile Client/Server What’s Next?
?
The basic building blocks of apps are changing.
Bots and conversational UIs
IoT extends reach of apps everywhere
Big Data/AI will power apps
Cloud-enabled car recognizes when you’re in an accident.
Sends data to your insurance company and sends quote to your phone.
Calls Uber to pick you up.
Not your father’s Oldsmobile.
DATA & IoT “Machine intelligence and other oxymorons”
Iron Man Terminator
vs.
Data and IoT
Vision, speech, and text are real and ready for apps today. Find the data. Accumulate more data and proprietary data. More data trumps better math.