+ All Categories
Home > Documents > The Steel Index Webinar Slides Download

The Steel Index Webinar Slides Download

Date post: 13-Jul-2016
Category:
Upload: moez-moez
View: 24 times
Download: 8 times
Share this document with a friend
Description:
a
32
WELCOME Thank you for joining us.
Transcript
Page 1: The Steel Index Webinar Slides Download

WELCOME

Thank you for joining us.

Page 2: The Steel Index Webinar Slides Download

OVERVIEW THE CARBON STEEL SECTOR

Philip Gibbs 216-689-0312

Tyler Kenyon 216-689-7127

KeyBanc Capital Markets Inc.

Member NYSE/FINRA/SIPC

2 Important disclosures for the companies mentioned in this report can be found at

https://key2.bluematrix.com/sellside/Disclosures.action.

Page 3: The Steel Index Webinar Slides Download

GLOBAL MACRO REMAINS UNCERTAIN;

FUNDAMENTALS IN THE U.S. IMPROVING

Deflationary Backdrop Stabilizes…for Now. Recent easing of USD strength, lift in crude oil prices have served to support cost curves/broader commodity complex. 1Q16 Chinese iron ore replenishment (plus culling of domestic mine production) ahead of seasonal strength in finished steel demand has vaulted iron ore prices toward $60/tonne vs. late ‘15 lows nearer $40/tonne. Abatement in elevated Chinese steel exports; greater alleviation of USD strength; stabilization in global crude, iron ore and copper prices at these levels remains questionable.

U.S. Supply Side Normalization Underway. Supply-demand is achieving equilibrium in sheet (imports, outages, easing de-stocking) vs. stable demand. We believe end users and service centers will be buying in-line with need in the 2H16 (vs. aggressive inventory paring seen in ‘15-1Q16).

Demand Growth Tepid. While auto and construction remain bright spots, lagging energy and industrial end markets continue to weigh on core/real demand growth. We see flattish demand in ’16 and 1-2% growth in ’17.

3

Status/2016 Outlook Factor

Off Bottom/ Future

Unknown

NT Sheet Supply-

Demand in Balance

Nominal Growth Intact

Glo

bal M

acro

M

ore

Ba

lan

ce

d/P

os

itiv

e M

icro

Source: Key Banc Capital Markets Inc.

Page 4: The Steel Index Webinar Slides Download

U.S. CARBON STEEL DEMAND GROWTH NOMINAL

4

Market

Machinery and Equipment

Energy

Automotive Production

Container

Appliance

Military

Construction

Source: American Iron and Steel Institute (AISI), KeyBanc Capital Markets Inc.

0%

3%

KeyBanc Capital Markets Real Carbon Steel Demand Forecast - By End Market

2017E

0%

20%

(2%)

0%

2%

5%

2016E

(5%-10%)

(35%-45%)

2%

(2%)

2%

0%

3%

0%

3%

2%

2015E

(7%)

(55%)

0%

Machinery and

Equipment

9%

Energy 3%

Auto 27%

Container 4%

Appliance 4%

Military 3%

Constuction

47%

Other 3%

2016E U.S. Finished Steel End Markets

Page 5: The Steel Index Webinar Slides Download

U.S. CARBON STEEL SUPPLY-SIDE RECOVERED

5

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, International Trade Administration, KeyBanc Capital Markets Inc

*Based on final data from the Census Bureau for January, preliminary for February and ITA licensing data for March (through March 24th).

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

Se

p-1

1N

ov

-11

Jan

-12

Ma

r-1

2M

ay-1

2Ju

l-1

2

Se

p-1

2N

ov

-12

Jan

-13

Ma

r-1

3M

ay-1

3

Jul-

13

Se

p-1

3N

ov

-13

Jan

-14

Ma

r-1

4M

ay-1

4Ju

l-1

4Se

p-1

4N

ov

-14

Jan

-15

Ma

r-1

5M

ay-1

5Ju

l-1

5

Se

p-1

5N

ov

-15

Jan

-16

Ma

r-1

6

Th

ou

san

d S

ho

rt To

nsT

ho

usa

nd

Sh

ort

To

ns

Carbon Steel Monthly Import Trend*Total Finished Carbon Steel Imports Flat Rolled Carbon Imports

4,500

4,700

4,900

5,100

5,300

5,500

5,700

5,900

6,100

6,300

6,500

7,000

7,500

8,000

8,500

9,000

9,500

Au

g-1

1O

ct-

11

De

c-1

1Fe

b-1

2A

pr-

12

Jun

-12

Au

g-1

2O

ct-

12

De

c-1

2Fe

b-1

3A

pr-

13

Jun

-13

Au

g-1

3O

ct-

13

De

c-1

3Fe

b-1

4A

pr-

14

Jun

-14

Au

g-1

4O

ct-

14

De

c-1

4Fe

b-1

5A

pr-

15

Jun

-15

Au

g-1

5O

ct-

15

De

c-1

5Fe

b-1

6

Th

ou

san

d S

ho

rt To

nsT

ho

usa

nd

Sh

ort

To

ns

Carbon Steel Monthly Service Center InventoriesTotal Carbon Inventories Flat Rolled Inventories

Page 6: The Steel Index Webinar Slides Download

6

LOW DEMAND GROWTH, MILL SHIPMENTS EXPECTED

TO GROW VIA SUPPLY-SIDE RESTORATION

in thousands short tons 2014 2015 2016E 2017E

Estimated U.S. Finished Steel Mill Shipments 98,248 86,550 89,102 90,867 Less Finished Steel Exports 10,871 8,945 8,945 8,945

(1) Subtotal 87,377 77,605 80,157 81,922

Growth YoY 4.2% -11.2% 3.3% 2.2%

(2) Finished Steel Imports 32,694 30,434 27,434 27,334

Growth YoY 36.8% -6.9% -9.9% -0.4%

(3) Change in Service Center Inventories 1,470 (1,497) (600) 335

(1+2+3) Apparent Steel Consumption 121,541 106,542 106,991 109,591

Growth YoY 13.0% -12.3% 0.4% 2.4%

Real Steel Consumption 113,206 107,922 108,111 109,725

Growth YoY 5.8% -4.7% 0.2% 1.5%

Domestic Mill Melt Utilization 77.0% 71.0% 76.2% 77.0%

Source: AISI, U.S. Census Bureau, KeyBanc Capital Markets Inc. estimates

KeyBanc U.S. Finished Steel Consumption/Supply Forecast

We see mill finished steel shipments growing 2-3% in ’16, with de minimis growth in

real demand and 1H16 destocking offset by mill market share gains vs. imports

(primarily sheet). We expect imports of long products to remain elevated given still

wide spreads between U.S. and international prices, and stronger demand relative to

key sheet markets.

Page 7: The Steel Index Webinar Slides Download

7

MILL MARKET SHARE GAINS MORE DRAMATIC IN

SHEET PRODUCTS VIA TRADE PROTECTION

We see mill sheet shipments growing 3-4% in ’16, with no growth in real demand and

1H16 destocking offset by mill market share gains vs. imports (we see 2.5M tons

YOY).

2014 2015 2016E 2017E

U.S. Carbon Sheet/Strip Mill Shipments (000 tons) 50,892 46,713 48,592 49,347

Less Sheet/Strip Exports 3,978 3,747 3,747 3,747

(1) Subtotal 46,914 42,966 44,845 45,600 (2) Sheet/Strip Imports 11,615 10,982 8,445 8,747

(3) Change in Service Center Inventories 1205 -773 -600 200

(1+2+3) Apparent Sheet/Strip Consumption 59,734 53,175 52,691 54,547

Growth YoY 9.9% -11.0% -0.9% 3.5%

Real Sheet/Strip Consumption 58,479 53,873 53,849 54,283

Growth YoY 7.3% -7.9% 0.0% 0.8%

Hot Rolled Sheet/Strip Shipments 21,969 19,552 19,640 20,963

Cold Rolled Sheet/Strip Shipments 10,148 9,128 10,184 9,957

Galvanized Sheet/Strip Shipments 17,979 17,318 18,054 17,712

Average Effective (Running) Sheet/Strip Capacity 64,624 62,624 57,509 57,809

Effective Utilization 79% 75% 84% 85%

Source: AISI, U.S. Census Bureau, KeyBanc Capital Markets Inc. estimates

KeyBanc U.S. Carbon Sheet and Strip Supply/Consumption Forecasts

Page 8: The Steel Index Webinar Slides Download

8

STEEL INDUSTRY PROFIT DRIVER FORECASTS

Page 9: The Steel Index Webinar Slides Download

9

STEEL INDUSTRY PROFIT DRIVER FORECASTS

(CONT.)

Page 10: The Steel Index Webinar Slides Download

10

Disclosures Appendix

Important disclosures for the companies mentioned in this report can be found at https://key2.bluematrix.com/sellside/Disclosures.action.

Reg A/C Certification

The research analyst(s) responsible for the preparation of this research report certifies that:(1) all the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the research analyst's

personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and (2) no part of the research analyst's compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific

recommendations or views expressed by the research analyst(s) in this research report.

Other Disclosures

KeyBanc Capital Markets is a trade name under which corporate and investment banking products and services of KeyCorp and its subsidiaries, KeyBanc Capital Markets Inc., Member

NYSE/FINRA/SIPC (“KBCMI”), and KeyBank National Association (“KeyBank N.A.”), are marketed. Pacific Crest Securities is a division of KeyBanc Capital Markets Inc.

KeyBanc Capital Markets Inc. (“KBCMI”) does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a

conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision.

This report has been prepared by KBCMI. The material contained herein is based on data from sources considered to be reliable; however, KBCMI does not guarantee or warrant the

accuracy or completeness of the information. It is published for informational purposes only and should not be used as the primary basis of investment decisions. Neither the information

nor any opinion expressed constitutes an offer, or the solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell any security. The opinions and estimates expressed reflect the current judgment of KBCMI

and are subject to change without notice. This report may contain forward-looking statements, which involve risk and uncertainty. Actual results may differ significantly from the forward-

looking statements. This report is not intended to provide personal investment advice and it does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation and the

specific needs of any person or entity.

No portion of an analyst’s compensation is based on a specific banking transaction; however, part of his/her compensation may be based upon overall firm revenue and profitability, of

which investment banking is a component. Individuals associated with KBCMI (other than the research analyst(s) listed on page 1 of this research report) may have a position (long or

short) in the securities covered in this research report and may make purchases and/or sales of those securities in the open market or otherwise without notice. As required by NASD

Rule 2711(h)(1)(A), financial interest, if any, by any research analysts listed on page 1 of this report will be disclosed in Important Disclosures, Company-specific regulatory disclosures

located above in the Disclosure Appendix. KBCMI itself may have a position (long or short) in the securities covered in this research report and may make purchases and/or sales of

those securities in the open market or otherwise without notice. As required by NASD Rule 2711(h)(1)(B), if KBCMI beneficially owns 1% or more of any class of common equity

securities of the subject company(ies) in this research report as of the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of this research report will be disclosed in

Important Disclosures, Company-specific regulatory disclosures located above in the Disclosures Appendix. This communication is intended solely for use by KBCMI clients. The

recipient agrees not to forward or copy the information to any other person without the express written consent of KBCMI.

Rating System:

Overweight - We expect the stock to outperform the analyst's coverage sector over the coming 6-12 months.

Sector Weight - We expect the stock to perform in line with the analyst's coverage sector over the coming 6-12 months.

Underweight - We expect the stock to underperform the analyst's coverage sector over the coming 6-12 months.

Note: KeyBanc Capital Markets changed its rating system after market close on February 27, 2015. The previous ratings were Buy, Hold and Underweight. Additionally, Pacific Crest

Securities changed its rating system to match KeyBanc Capital Markets’ rating system after market close on April 10, 2015, in conjunction with the merger of the broker dealers. The

previous ratings were Outperform, Sector Perform and Underperform.

Investors should assume that we are seeking or will seek investment banking or other business relationships with the company described in this report.

Please refer to the analysts' recently published reports for company-specific valuation and risks.

Page 11: The Steel Index Webinar Slides Download

THANK YOU!

Philip Gibbs 216-689-0312

Tyler Kenyon 216-689-7127

KeyBanc Capital Markets Inc.

Member NYSE/FINRA/SIPC

11 Important disclosures for the companies mentioned in this report can be found at

https://key2.bluematrix.com/sellside/Disclosures.action.

Page 12: The Steel Index Webinar Slides Download

An Overview of Ferrous Futures Contracts and Exchanges

John Conheeney

World Steel Exchange Marketing

Platts Steel Markets North America Conference

March 14-15 Chicago

WSEM

World Steel Exchange Marketing

Page 13: The Steel Index Webinar Slides Download

Chicago Mercantile Exchange Ferrous Futures www.cmegroup.com

Iron Ore 62% Fe, CFR China (TSI) Futures

Contract Unit 500 dry metric tons

Price Quotation U.S. Dollars and cents

Trading Hours Sunday-Friday 6:00 p.m.-5:00 p.m. NY time

with a 60-minute break each day beginning

5:00 p.m.

Minimum Price $0.01 per dry metric ton

Fluctuaton

Product Code TIO

Listed Contracts Monthly contracts listed for current year and next 3

calendar years. Monthly contracts for a new calendar

Settlement Method Financial

Final or Floatng Price The average price of of all daily assessments published

for "Iron ore fines 62% Fe - CFR China Port" for that

month by TSI (The Steel Index)

Last Day of Trading Last business day (Singapore)of the contract month.

U.S. Midwest Hot-Rolled Coil (CRU ) Index Futures

Contract Unit 20 short tons

Price Quotation U.S. Dollars and cents

Trading Hours Sunday-Friday 6:00 p.m.-5:00 p.m. NY time

with a 60-minute break each day beginning

5:00 p.m.

Minimum Price $1.00 short ton

Fluctuation

Product Code HRC

Listed Contracts The current year plus next two calendar

year

Settlement Method Financial

Final or Floating Price Average price of all CRU assessments before

the last Wednesday of the month

Last Day of Trading Trading terminates on the business day prior to

the last Wednesday of the named contract month

Page 14: The Steel Index Webinar Slides Download

Chicago Mercantile Exchange Ferrous Futures

European Hot-Rolled Coil, ex-Works Ruhr Germany, Platts Index

Contract Unit 50 metric tons

Price Quotation Euros per Metric ton

Trading Hours Sunday-Friday 6:00 p.m.-5:00 p.m. NY time

with a 60-minute break each day beginning

5:00 p.m.

Minimum Price 0.01 Euro

Fluctuaton

Product Code NSF

Listed Contracts 24 consecutive months

Settlement Method Financial

Final or Floatng Price Average price calculated for all available price

assessments published for“European hot rolled coil,

Ex-works Ruhr Germany” for that given calendar month

Termination of Trading terminates on the last business day of the

Trading contract month (follows the UK banking holiday schedule).

Midwest U.S. Busheling Steel (AMM) Index Futures

Contract Unit 20 gross tons

Price Quotation U.S. Dollars and cents

Trading Hours Sunday-Friday 6:00 p.m.-5:00 p.m. NY time

with a 60-minute break each day beginning

5:00 p.m.

Minimum Price $0.01 per gross ton

Fluctuation

Product Code BUS

Listed Contracts 24 consecutive months

Settlement Method Financial

Final or Floating Price AMM US Midwest #1 Busheling Ferrous Scrap Index

Termination of 10th of the month, if 10th is a holiday/weekend,

Trading it will terminate on the next business day

Page 15: The Steel Index Webinar Slides Download

Chicago Mercantile Exchange Ferrous Futures

Steel Billet, FOB Black Sea (Platts) Index

Contract Unit 100 metric tons

Price Quotation U.S. Dollars and cents

Trading Hours Sunday-Friday 6:00 p.m.-5:00 p.m. NY time

with a 60-minute break each day beginning

5:00 p.m.

Minimum Price $0.01 gross ton

Fluctuaton

Product Code SSF

Listed Contracts 24 consecutive months

Settlement Method Financial

Final or Floatng Price Average price calculated for all available price

assessments published for “Steel Billet – FOB Black Sea”

for that given calendar month by Platts (Platts).

Termination of Trading terminates on the last business day of the

Trading contract month (follows the UK banking holiday schedule).

HMS 80/20 Ferrous Scrap, CFR Turkey (Platts) Index Futures

Contract Unit 50 metric tons

Price Quotation U.S. Dollars and cents

Trading Hours Sunday-Friday 6:00 p.m.-5:00 p.m. NY time

with a 60-minute break each day beginning

5:00 p.m.

Minimum Price $0.01 gross ton

Fluctuation

Product Code FSF

Listed Contracts 24 consecutive months

Settlement Method Financial

Final or Floating Price Average price calculated for all available

price assessments published for

“HMS 80/20 Ferrous Scrap – CFR Turkish Port”

Termination of Trading terminates on the last business day of the

Trading contract month (follows the UK banking holiday schedule)

Page 16: The Steel Index Webinar Slides Download

LME Ferrous Futures http://www.lme.com/en-gb/metals/ferrous/

HMS 80/20 Ferrous Scrap, CFR Turkey (TSI) Index Futures Platts Rebar, Turkish Exports, FOB Turkey Port Index

Contract Unit 10 metric tons Contract Unit 10 metric tons

Price Quotation U.S. Dollars and cents Price Quotation U.S. Dollars and cents

Trading Hours 1:00-19:00 London time Trading Hours 1:00-19:00 London time

Inter-office 24 hours

Minimum Price LME select: $0.50

Fluctuation interoffice: $0.01 gross ton Minimum Price LME select: $0.50

Fluctuation interoffice: $0.01 gross ton

Product Code SC

Product Code SC

Listed Contracts Monthly out to 15 months

Listed Contracts Monthly out to 15 months

Settlement Method Financial

Settlement Method Financial

Final or Floating Price Average price calculated for all available

price assessments published for Final or Floating Price Monthly Average Index Price of the "Platts Rebar,

“HMS 80/20 Ferrus Scrap – CFR Turkish Port” Turkish exports, FOB Turkey port" Index, which is

available from the 16:30 on the last trading day

Termination of Trading terminates on the last business day of the

Trading of the contract month (follows the UK banking Termination of Last business day of the month at 16:30 London time

holiday schedule. Trading

Page 17: The Steel Index Webinar Slides Download

LME Ferrous Futures

Steel Billet

Contract Unit 65 metric tonnes

Price Quotation U.S. Dollars and cents

Trading Hours Ring: 11:40-11:45

13:05-13:10

15:30-15:35

LME Select: 1:00-19:00 (London)

Inter-office: 24 hours

Minimum Price LME select: $0.50

Fluctuation interoffice: $0.01 gross ton

Product Code SC

Settlement Dates —Daily from cash to 3 months

—Weekly (every Wednesday) from 3 months to 6 months

—Monthly (every Wednesday) from 7 months to 15 months

Settlement Method Physical delivery

Final or Floating Price Monthly Average Index Price of the "Platts Rebar,

Turkish exports, FOB Turkey port" Index, which is

available from the 16:30 on the last trading day

Termination of Last business day of the month at 16:30 London time

Trading

Page 18: The Steel Index Webinar Slides Download

Singapore Exchange Ferrous Futures http://www.sgx.com/wps/portal/sgxweb/home/products/derivatives/commodities

Iron Ore 62% Fe, CFR China (TSI) Swaps Iron Ore 62% Fe, CFR China (TSI) Futures

Contract Unit 500 dry metric tons 100 dry metric tons

Price Quotation U.S. Dollars and cents U.S. Dollars and cents

Trading Hours Every business day except common Singapore and UK Every business day except common Singapore and UK

(Singapore time) Holidays Holidays

T session: 8.00 am – 8.00 pm T session: 8.00 am – 8.00 pm

T+1 session: 8:00 pm-4:00 am T+1 session: 9:00 pm-2:00 am

Last trading day: 8:00 am-8:00 pm Last trading day: 8:00 am-8:00 pm

Minimum Price $0.01 per dry metric ton $0.01 per dry metric ton

Fluctuation

Product Code FE FEF

Listed Contracts Up to 48 consecutive months starting with current month. Up to 48 consecutive months starting with current month.

12 consecutive months will be added upon expiry in 12 consecutive months will be added upon expiry in

December. December.

Settlement Method Financial Financial

Final or Floating Price The average price of all daily assessments published The average price of all daily assessments published

for "Iron ore fines 62% Fe - CFR China Port" for that for "Iron ore fines 62% Fe - CFR China Port" for that

month by TSI (The Steel Index). The last publication day is month by TSI (The Steel Index). The last publication day is

is last Singapore business day of the month. is last Singapore business day of the month.

Last Day of Trading Last business day (Singapore)of the contract month. Last business day (Singapore)of the contract month.

Page 19: The Steel Index Webinar Slides Download

Midwest U.S. Shredded Steel Scrap (TSI) Index Midwest U.S. Hot-Rolled Coil (TSI) Index

Contract Unit 20 gross tons (2240 lbs.) Contract Unit 20 short tons

Price Quotation U.S. Dollars and cents Price Quotation U.S. Dollars and cents

Trading Hours Monday-Friday 3:00 a.m.-1:00 p.m. NY time . Trading Hours Monday-Friday 3:00 a.m.-1:00 p.m. NY time .

Minimum Price $0.25 per gross ton Minimum Price $0.01 per short ton

Fluctuation Fluctuation

Product Code USSH Product Code USHRC

Listed Contracts 12 contiguous months, quoted monthly and quarterly. Listed Contracts 24 contiguous months, quoted monthly, quarterly

and yearly

Settlement Method Financial

Settlement Method Financial

Final or Floating Price The average weighted price for the first

10-days of each month as published by Final or Floating Price The average price of all daily assessments published

TSI (the Steel Index) by TSI for that month.

Last Day of Trading The first business day preceding publication of the Last Day of Trading Last business day (UK) of the contract month.

final price by TSI.

Nasdaq Commodities Inc. (Stockholm) www.nasdaqomx.com/transactions/markets/commodities

Page 20: The Steel Index Webinar Slides Download

Nasdaq Commodities Inc. (Stockholm) /

Anticipated launch date Tuesday March 29, 2016

Iron Ore 62% Fe, CFR China (TSI) Index ASEAN Imports CFR Port TSI Index

Contract Unit 1000 metric tons Contract Unit 20 metric tonnes

Price Quotation U.S. Dollars and cents Price Quotation U.S. Dollars and cents

Trading Hours Monday-Friday 3:00 a.m.-1:00 p.m. NY time . Trading Hours Monday-Friday 3:00 a.m.-1:00 p.m. NY time .

Minimum Price $0.01 per dry metric ton Minimum Price $0.01 per short ton

Fluctuation Fluctuation

Product Code CHN62FE Product Code ASEHRC

Listed Contracts 24 continuous months Listed Contracts 24 contiguous months, quoted monthly, quarterly

and yearly

Settlement Method Financial

Settlement Method Financial

Final or Floating Price The average price of all daily assessments published

for "Iron ore fines 62% Fe - CFR China Port" for that Final or Floating Price The average price of all daily assessments published

month by TSI (The Steel Index) by TSI for that month.

Last Day of Trading Last business day (UK) of the contract month. Last Day of Trading Last business day (UK) of the contract month.

Page 21: The Steel Index Webinar Slides Download

Nasdaq Commodities Inc. (Stockholm)

Premium Hard Coking Coal, FOB East Cost Australia Port, (TSI) Index

Contract Unit 1000 metric tons

Price Quotation U.S. Dollars and cents

Trading Hours Monday-Friday 3:00 a.m.-1:00 p.m. NY time .

Minimum Price $0.01 per dry metric ton

Fluctuation

Product Code COKEAUS

Listed Contracts 24 continuous months

Settlement Method Financial

Final or Floating Price The average price of all daily assessments published

by TSI for that month

Last Day of Trading Last business day (UK) of the contract month.

Page 22: The Steel Index Webinar Slides Download

January 2016 Ferrous Futures Volumes

Exchange Product Contract Size Contract Volume Tonnes Launch

Shanghai Futures Exchange† Rebar 10 mt 63 million 6.3 billion 2008

Dalian Commodity Exchange † Iron Ore 100 mt 29 million 2.9 billion 2011

Singapore Exchange Iron Ore 100 mt* 1.36 million 136 million 2013

CME Iron Ore 500 mt 38 thousand 18.9 million 2010

CME US HRC 20 gt 58 hundred 116 thousand 2009

LME Rebar 10 mt 250 2,500 Nov. 2015

LME 80/20 HMS 10 mt 1,250 12,500 Nov. 2015

† China exchanges double count volume. These figures have been standardized to US and LME standards.

*Swaps (500 mt contract) volumes have been standardized to the 100 mt futures equivalent

Page 23: The Steel Index Webinar Slides Download

Active Ferrous Futures Brokers and FCMs

FCM Representative Phone email

ADM Ira Levine 212-785-2892 [email protected]

DH Darbie/Mizuho Dan Uslander (917) 720-3318 [email protected]

212-269-7271

FC Stone Spencer Johnson 212-379-5492 [email protected]

Maquarie David Coates 312-730-9771 [email protected]

Soc Gen/Newedge Chris Olmstead 212 278 5661 office [email protected]

Crunch Risk Trading Andre Marshall 832-622-2262 [email protected]

(OTC)* Jack Marshall

*clears customer business with multiple FCMs

Page 24: The Steel Index Webinar Slides Download

Poll question: Have you ever traded futures?

To see the audience poll question results, please replay the webinar.

Page 25: The Steel Index Webinar Slides Download

Poll question: Whether you have traded futures in the past or not, would you be interested in learning more about the ferrous futures products? To see the audience poll question results, please replay the webinar.

Page 26: The Steel Index Webinar Slides Download

For additional information about Nasdaq’s ferrous futures or futures trading in general, please contact:

John R. Conheeney President World Steel Exchange Marketing 456 Sylvan Ave. Englewood Cliffs, NJ 07632 201-503-0922 (office) 201-785-4347 (cell) [email protected]

WSEM

World Steel Exchange Marketing

Page 27: The Steel Index Webinar Slides Download

Methodology

Data-driven methodology using transaction data to calculate

volume-weighted price indices

TSI “Data Providers” submit spot

transaction data to TSI under confidentiality agreement

Physical market participants only (over 600 registered today)

Representatives from all relevant

points of the supply chain, buy

and sell sides

Submission direct to TSI database through secure on-line channel

Data normalised and “cleaned” before volume-weighted

averages calculated for the day

or week

Page 28: The Steel Index Webinar Slides Download

The Steel Index Methodology Video

https://youtu.be/FlIxVVDvkvI

The Steel Index On YouTube

Page 29: The Steel Index Webinar Slides Download

Why Become a Data Provider?

Have your company price data included in our reference price calculations - an invaluable benefit if you use our prices in negotiations or participate in

index-linked pricing arrangements.

Receive TSI's daily and weekly prices and analysis for the series you are taking part in.

Receive TSI's Monthly Reviews which take a closer look into the markets

which TSI covers.

Benchmark your own data against TSI prices using TSI Price Analyzer – exclusive to Data Providers.

Receive TSI's weekly steel market sentiment survey data on the outlook for steel demand and prices collected from our Data providers around the

world – crucial market indicators!

Page 30: The Steel Index Webinar Slides Download

The Steel Index DP video

https://youtu.be/LM8juUsX5AA

The Steel Index On YouTube

Page 31: The Steel Index Webinar Slides Download

Steven Randall

London

TSI Managing Director

Office: +44-20-7176-7649

Email: [email protected]

Vaseem Karbhari

London

TSI Senior Analyst

Office: +44-20-7176-7657

Email: [email protected]

Kurt Fowler

Pittsburgh

Sr. Manager, Americas

Office: +1 412-431-0584

Email: [email protected]

Tim Hard

Singapore

TSI Director

Office: +65-6530-6413

Email: [email protected]

Oscar Tarneberg

Shanghai

TSI Senior Analyst

Office: +65-6530-6412

Email: [email protected]

Jasmine Kurjakovic

Pittsburgh

TSI Analyst, Americas

Office: +1 202-322-8845

Email: [email protected]

TSI Senior Team

Page 32: The Steel Index Webinar Slides Download

Recommended