The Technical Program of QR2MSE...- 2 - XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020 QR2MSE 2020 I....

Sponsored by

Reliability Committee of Operations Research Society of China

Bernoulli Society for Mathematical Statistics and Probability

The Korean Reliability Society

Reliability Engineering Association of Japan

Korean Society for Prognostics and Health Management

Reliability Division of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers

European Safety and Reliability Association

International Society of Engineering Asset Management

Center for System Reliability and Safety of UESTC

Organized by

Tsinghua University

Northwestern Polytechnical University

Beijing University of Technology

Harbin Institute of Technology

Inner Mongolia University of Technology

Jilin University

Xi’an University of Science and Technology

University of Electronic Science and Technology of China

State Key Laboratory of Mining Equipment and Intelligent Manufacturing

Co-Organized by

Changsha University of Science & Technology

Wenzhou University

Qinda Technology Co., Ltd.

Chengdu Chuangpin Robot Research Center (Limited Partnership) Co., Ltd.

QR2MSE 2020

2020 International Conference on

Quality, Reliability, Risk, Maintenance, and Safety Engineering

October 8-11, 2020, Xi’an, Shaanxi, China

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QR2MSE 2020

Table of Contents

I. Welcome P. 2

II. QR2MSE 2020 Organizing Committee P. 3

III. Sponsors & Organizers P. 9

IV. Keynote Speeches P.10

V. Program Information P.18

A. Conference Topics P.18

B. Program at A Glance P.19

C. Detailed Timetable P.20

VI. Technical Program P.25

VII. Conference Information P.55

A. Conference Floor P.55

B. Registration P.56

C. Transportation P.56

D. General Information P.59

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XI’AN, SHAANXI, CHINA

OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020

I. Welcome

On behalf of the Organizing Committee, I would like to welcome you to the 2020 International Conference

on Quality, Reliability, Risk, Maintenance, and Safety Engineering (QR2MSE 2020), in Xi’an, Shaanxi, China,

October 8-11, 2020. Firstly, I hope that all the colleagues and friends are healthy and safe all around the

world.

What a decade it has been! In ten years ago, QR2MSE conference was lunched in Xi’an, Shaanxi, China.

The annual event aims at providing a premier international forum where leading experts and engineers with

various backgrounds and experiences in Quality, Reliability, Risk, Maintenance, and Safety Engineering can

share their newest ideas, cutting-edge research results, methodologies, and tools with their peers. With the

strong support from all the colleagues and friends, QR2MSE conference was growing very fast in the past

ten years and became the most prestigious event in the reliability community. We are also very delighted to

see the successful career growth of many young researchers with QR2MSE conference in the past years.

Today, we are all getting together again in Xi’an, Shaanxi, China to celebrate a remarkable milestone of

QR2MSE conference: its tenth anniversary.

968 papers have been submitted to the conference, and 341 papers have been selected and included in the

conference proceedings this year. The conference program includes 8 keynote speeches from

world-renowned scholars, 5 special sessions, and 24 regular technical paper oral sessions. It offers great

opportunities for exchanging academic ideas and reinforcing professional networking.

A successful conference relies on many dedicated individuals serving as conference chairs; members of the

advisory committee, program committee, organizing committee, and secretariat; as well as many

participants and volunteers. Supports from the following societies, institutions, and groups are also greatly

appreciated: IEEE Reliability Society, European Safety and Reliability Association (ESRA), International

Society of Engineering Asset Management (ISEAM), European Federation of National Maintenance

Societies (EFNMS), The Korean Reliability Society (KORAS), Reliability Engineering Association of Japan

(REAJ), The Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers (KSME), Polish Safety and Reliability Association,

Reliability Committee of Operations Research Society of China, Reliability Engineering Division of China

Mechanical Engineering Society, Reliability Committee of SPMES, Inner Mongolia University of Technology,

Harbin Institute of Technology, Hunan University, Changsha University of Science & Technology, University

of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Jishou University, Qinda Technology Co., Ltd, Chengdu

Chuangpin Robot Research Center (Limited Partnership) Co., Ltd.

I am confident that this conference will meet your highest expectations. I also hope that you will have a

wonderful experience in Xi’an, one of the most beautiful places in China. We also look forward to your

attending our future conferences.

Professor Hong-Zhong Huang

General Chair of QR2MSE 2020

Director of Center for System Reliability and Safety


No. 2006, Xiyuan Avenue, West Hi-Tech Zone

Chengdu, Sichuan, 611731, P. R. China

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OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020

II. QR2MSE 2020 Organizing Committee

Honorary Chair

Dong Ho Park, Hallym University, Korea

Chuliang Yan, Beijing Aircraft Strength Institute, China

Tadashi Dohi, Hiroshima University, Japan

General Chair

Hong-Zhong Huang, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China

General Co-Chairs

Michael Beer, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Germany

David W. Coit, Rutgers University, USA

Jae-Hak Lim, Hanbat National University, Korea

Byeng Dong Youn, Seoul National University, Korea

International Advisory Committee Members

John Andrews, University of Nottingham, UK

Sukjoo Bae, Hanyang University, Korea

Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan, McMaster University, Canada

Jianbing Chen, Tongji University, China

Bo Guo, National University of Defense Technology, China

Joong Soon Jang, Ajou University, Korea

Renyan Jiang, Changsha University of Science & Technology, China

Won Jung, Daegu University, Korea

Krzysztof Kołowrocki, Gdynia Maritime University, Poland

Ali Mosleh, University of California, USA

Bifeng Song, Northwestern Polytechnical University, China

Loon Ching Tang, National University of Singapore, Singapore

Zdenek Vintr, University of Defence, Czech Republic

Jin Wang, Liverpool John Moores University, UK

Shaoping Wang, Beihang University, China

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OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020

Zhaojun Wang, Nankai University, China

Min Xie, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong

Zhaojun Yang, Jilin University, China

Won Young Yun, Pusan National University, Korea

Enrico Zio, Politecnico di Milano, Italy

Ming J. Zuo, University of Alberta, Canada

Technical Program Committee Chair

Carlos Guedes Soares, University of Lisbon, Portugal

Technical Program Committee Co-Chairs

Lirong Cui, Beijing Institute of Technology, China

Insu Jeon, Chonnam National University, Korea

Dariusz Mazurkiewicz, Lublin University of Technology, Poland

Rui Peng, Beijing University of Technology, China

Liudong Xing, University of Massachusetts, USA

Technical Program Committee Members

Dong-Cheon Baek, Korea Institute of Machinery & Materials, Korea

Diptiranjan Behera, The University of the West Indies, Jamaica

Baoping Cai, China University of Petroleum, China

Snehashish Chakraverty, National Institute of Technology Rourkela, India

Chuanhai Chen, Jilin University, China

Olivier Gaudoin, Université Grenoble Alpes, France

Wei Guo, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China

Xiaohong Hao, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China

Yu Hayakawa, Waseda University, Japan

Liping He, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China

Lin Hu, Changsha University of Science & Technology, China

Longhua Hu, University of Science and Technology of China, China

Shinji Inoue, Kansai University, Japan

Ping Jiang, National University of Defense Technology, China

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OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020

Hui Jin, Southeast University, China

Lu Jin, University of Electro-Communications, Japan

Tongdan Jin, Texas State University, USA

Dae-Kyung Kim, Jeonbuk National University, Korea

Grzegorz Koszalka, Lublin University of Technology, Poland

Yaguo Lei, Xi'an Jiaotong University, China

Gregory Levitin, Israel Electric Corporation Limited, Israel

Guofa Li, Jilin University, China

Steven Li, Western New England University, USA

Yan-Feng Li, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China

Yanfu Li, Tsinghua University, China

Terry Lin, Qingdao University of Technology, China

Huchen Liu, Tongji University, China

Yu Liu, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China

Jinhua Mi, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China

Qiang Miao, Sichuan University, China

Min Ouyang, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, China

Rong Pan, Arizona State University, USA

Jihong Pang, Wenzhou University, China

Minjae Park, Hongik University, Korea

Weiwen Peng, Sun Yat-sen University, China

Siqi Qiu, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, China

Yi Ren, Beihang University, China

Frank Sun, Tesla Motors, USA

Yong Sun, Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation, Australia

Yoshinobu Tamura, Tokyo City University, Japan

Zhangchun Tang, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China

Yourui Tao, Hebei University of Technology, China

Zhigang (Will) Tian, University of Alberta, Canada

Dong Wang, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, China

Jinting Wang, Central University of Finance and Economics, China

Wendai Wang, Lumentum Operations LLC, USA

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OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020

Zhonglai Wang, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China

Pengfei Wei, Northwestern Polytechnical University, China

Shaomin Wu, University of Kent, UK

Zhimin Xi, The State University of New Jersey, USA

Yisha Xiang, Texas Tech University, USA

Hui Xiao, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, China

Ningcong Xiao, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China

Xiao Xiao, Tokyo Metropolitan University, Japan

Ancha Xu, Zhejiang Gongshang University, China

Huanwei Xu, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China

Wenying Yang, Harbin Institute of Technology, China

Zaili Yang, Liverpool John Moores University, UK

Elena Zaitseva, University of Žilina, Slovakia

Dequan Zhang, Hebei University of Technology, China

Di Zhang, Wuhan University of Technology, China

Tieling Zhang, University of Wollongong, Australia

Peng Zhao, Jiangsu Normal University, China

Organizing Committee Chair

Shubin Si, Northwestern Polytechnical University, China

Organizing Committee Co-Chairs

Hong-Xia Chen, Inner Mongolia University of Technology, China

Ronghua Du, Changsha University of Science & Technology, China

Xuerong Ye, Harbin Institute of Technology, China

Yi Zhang, Tsinghua University, China

Hongming Zhou, Wenzhou University, China

Organizing Committee Members

Zhiqiang Cai, Northwestern Polytechnical University, China

Kaiye Gao, Beijing Information Science and Technology University, China

Junyu Guo, Southwest Petroleum University, China

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OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020

Cheng-Geng Huang, Sun Yat-sen University, China

Guang-Jun Jiang, Inner Mongolia University of Technology, China

Haibin Li, Inner Mongolia University of Technology, China

Hongshuang Li, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, China

Xiang-Yu Li, Taiyuan University of Technology, China

Zheng Liu, Guangzhou University, China

Yun Song, Reliability Engineering Institution of Chinese Mechanical Engineering Society, China

Bo Sun, Beihang University, China

Bin Suo, China Academy of Engineering Physics, China

Hailong Tian, Jilin University, China

Ning Wang, Chang'an University, China

Zhihua Wang, Beihang University, China

Jia Wang, Hebei University of Technology, China

Chaoyang Xie, China Academy of Engineering Physics, China

Zhaohui Yang, Northwestern Polytechnical University, China

Jinfen Zhang, Wuhan University of Technology, China

Yugang Zhang, Northwestern Polytechnical University, China

Local Arrangement Chairs

Tianxiang Yu, Northwestern Polytechnical University, China

Xinzhou Qiao, Xi’an University of Science and Technology, China

Publications Chairs

Yu Liu, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China

Dariusz Mazurkiewicz, Lublin University of Technology, Poland

Weiwen Peng, Sun Yat-sen University, China

Publicity Chairs

Pengfei Wei, Northwestern Polytechnical University, China

Guang-Jun Jiang, Inner Mongolia University of Technology, China

He Li, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China

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OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020

Finance Chairs

W. Eric Wong, University of Texas at Dallas, USA

Jinhua Mi, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China

Conference Secretary General

Huanwei Xu, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China

Conference Secretariat Members

Song Bai, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China

Yi-Ming Chen, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China

Zhuo Chen, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China

Xin-Yun Deng, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China

Zhi-Ming Deng, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China

Jun-Ming Hu, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China

Peng Huang, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China

Tu-Di Huang, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China

Tao Jiang, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China

He Li, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China

Xiang Li, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China

Yi-Fan Li, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China

Cheng Liu, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China

Jin-Xing Liu, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China

Zi-Ang Liu, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China

Hua-Ming Qian, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China

Yu-Qing Qian, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China

He-Xin Tian, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China

Xue-Ming Wang, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China

Ao-Di Yu, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China

Hai-Sheng Yuan, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China

Ying Zeng, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China

Ting-Yu Zhang, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China

Shi-Yang Zhou, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China

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OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020

III. Sponsors & Organizers

1) Sponsors

Reliability Committee of Operations Research Society of China

Bernoulli Society for Mathematical Statistics and Probability

The Korean Reliability Society

Reliability Engineering Association of Japan

Korean Society for Prognostics and Health Management

Reliability Division of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers

European Safety and Reliability Association

International Society of Engineering Asset Management

Center for System Reliability and Safety of UESTC

2) Organizers

Tsinghua University

Northwestern Polytechnical University

Beijing University of Technology

Harbin Institute of Technology

Inner Mongolia University of Technology

Jilin University

Xi’an University of Science and Technology


State Key Laboratory of Mining Equipment and Intelligent Manufacturing

3) Co-Organizers

Changsha University of Science & Technology

Wenzhou University

Qinda Technology Co., Ltd.

Chengdu Chuangpin Robot Research Center (Limited Partnership) Co., Ltd.

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OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020

IV. Keynote Speeches

A. Keynote Speech 1

Abstract: In view of the deficiency of current manufacturing modes, the lecture intends to introduce a new manufacturing paradigm: reliability centered manufacturing (RcM). To achieve a higher reliability and safety of the next generation of products, damage identification techniques is developed which is supported by a big failure databank. High reliability is then secured by development of high performance materials, design against failures, zero-defect manufacture and re-manufacturing for reliability recovery. The reliability centered manufacturing are supported by advanced testing, inspection, and on-line monitoring technology, and various surface engineering techniques for materials performance enhancement. Supply chain management to ensure high reliability will be addressed. The lecture will demonstrate the manufacturing process learning from the failures and evolving with new knowledge. You will find RcM is an iterative solution for a new generation of product of high reliability, an inclusive model entails digital, green, smart and various manufacturing modes. RcM is a Knowledge based evolution process, a lifelong improvement strategy, and sharing ad win-win cooperation. There is a plenty room of development in the general framework of RcM. Speaker Bio: Prof. Shan-Tung Tu received his B.Eng degree in 1982 and Ph.D degree in 1988 from Nanjing Tech University. He is a Chair professor of Mechanical and Chemical Engineering, East China University of Science and Technology and an honorary professor of engineering, the University of Nottingham. Prior to this, he has worked in Nanjing Tech University and East China University of Science and Technology as a professor and vice present, and a guest scientist to Royal Institute of Technology, Sweden. Driven by the safety concern of the process and energy equipment, Professor Tu has been trying to develop knowledge in the area of high temperature structural integrity and engineering, including creep, fatigue fracture, structural integrity monitoring and design of high temperature equipment. He is an author of more than 350 papers and received a number of distinguished awards, including China National Science and Technology Progress Award, National Technology Invention Award, China Youth Science and Technology Award, ASME Best Paper Award and so on. He has been the honorary president of Chinese Pressure Vessel Institution (since 2010) and the honorary president of Chinese Materials Institution (since 2015) of China Mechanical Engineering Society, Chairman of China Structural Integrity Consortium, Chairman of Asian Oceanic Regional Committee of International Council for Pressure Vessel Technology, a member of reliability committee of IFToMM. He is also serving a number of journals as an associate editor or editorial board member, including Int J Pres Ves and Piping, Applied Energy, J of Materials Science and Technology, Fatigue and Fracture of Engineering Materials and Structures and so on.

Friday, October 9 / 09:00-09:40, 3-5 Function Room

Title: How Can We Better Improve the Reliability and Safety of

Our Products? ---A Plea for a New Manufacturing Paradigm

Professor Shan-Tung Tu

East China University of Science and Technology

Shanghai, China

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OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020

B. Keynote Speech 2

Abstract: High safety is the key requirement of aircraft design specification. In order to obtain the high reliability and safety, aviation systems, such as avionics system, flight control system and utility systems, adopt many new technologies. This address introduces high reliability design methods, more electrical technologies, prognostics and health management (PHM) and energy management systems. Based on above technologies, the onboard aviation system becomes typical cyber-physical system. This address provides the life-cycle reliability evaluation considering the fault tolerant strategy, communication, health condition and monitoring. The dynamic hierarchical reliability model considering the monitoring rate, alarm rate and fault tolerant performance and the maintenance supportability are included. Speaker Bio: Prof. Shaoping Wang is “Cheung Kong Scholar” Chair professor of Beihang University. She

is also the winner of China Youth Science and Technology Award, winner of Education Ministry New Century Excellent Talents Support Plan, Excellent talents of Ministry of Industry and Information, winner of Excellent Female Medal of Beijing and Beijing Innovative Star. She got PhD degree, Master degree and Bachelor degree in 1994, 1991 and 1988 respectively. Her research interests are in the area of fault diagnosis and health management, reliability and fault tolerant control, fluid power transmission and control, mechatronic control and simulation, design and optimization of mechatronic system, and product life-cycle management. She is the associate chair of Reliability Branch of China Operational Research Society, Fluid Power Transmission and Control Branch of China Aeronautics Society. She is the associate chief editor of Journal of Aeronautics and Beihang University Journal. She published 5 books, around 300 papers include more than 100 SCI indexed papers, 150 EI indexed paper, 32 Granted patents. She gains National Second Prize for innovation, National Second Prize of the Scientific and technological Progress and 16 Ministerial Awards for Scientific and Technological Progress. She also got the national Second Prize on Education and 3 Beijing Prize on Education.


Title: New Technology and Safe Service of Aviation System

Professor Shaoping Wang

Beihang University

Beijing, China

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OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020

C. Keynote Speech 3

Abstract: Earthquakes can cause severe damage and huge economic loss to modern cities. Rational seismic damage simulations of buildings can provide an essential reference for city planning and post-earthquake rescue work. A new urban earthquake disaster simulation method, i.e., city-scale nonlinear time-history analysis (THA), is performed in this work. The key scientific outcomes achieved are addressed below. (1) A physics-based multi-scale modeling method for urban buildings is proposed to rationally consider the various deformation characteristics and data resolutions of buildings. (2) The CPU/GPU collaborative parallel computing method is employed to address the excessive computational workload from city-scale simulations. (3) A novel numerical coupling scheme is proposed to scientifically investigate the interactions among densely distributed buildings and the site. (4) The 3D urban polygon model and oblique aerial photography are adopted to realize the high-fidelity visualization of seismic scenarios. (5) The refined regional seismic loss prediction can be achieved based on the city-scale nonlinear THA and FEMA P-58. Besides, the secondary disaster scenario can also be simulated through coupling the city-scale nonlinear THA and physics-based models for other hazards, such as the falling debris and fire following earthquake. The proposed disaster simulation method has been successfully applied to the seismic damage prediction of several cities, such as San Francisco Bay Area, Beijing and Tangshan. Combined with the real–time recorded ground motions, the proposed method has also been successfully used for the prompt assessment of seismic damage in 32 domestic and 42 international earthquakes. In summary, the city–scale nonlinear THA takes accurate consideration of the characteristics of ground motions and those of buildings, and the analysis outcomes will provide an important reference for city planning, post-earthquake rescue work, seismic damage assessment, and earthquake scenario simulation.

Speaker Bio: Prof. Xinzheng Lu is a full Professor and the Head of the Institute of Disaster Prevention and Mitigation of Tsinghua University, Beijing, China. He is also the Editor-in-Chief of the Engineering Mechanics journal of CSTAM, and the associate Editor of Journal of Structural Engineering-ASCE. Prof. Lu’s major research interests cover disaster prevention and mitigation of structures and cities. He was listed as the “Most Cited Chinese Scholars in Civil and Structural field” by Elsevier (from 2014 to 2019). The models and methods he proposed have been adopted by ACI guidelines, Chinese national and industrial design codes, and integrated into some important simulation platforms, such as OpenSees, US-NSF NHERI SimCenter, and China Earthquake Networks Center. He has participated in the design of some landmark buildings and the planning of important city areas, such as the tallest building in Beijing (CITIC Tower, 528 m). He also participated in the emergency earthquake reconnaissance after Wenchuan (2008), Yushu (2010), Lushan (2013), etc.


Title: City-Scale Nonlinear Time-History Analysis: Methodology

and Engineering Application

Professor Xinzheng Lu

Tsinghua University

Beijing, China

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OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020

D. Keynote Speech 4

Abstract: Reliability design, reliability analysis and reliability experiment, fault-tolerant control, fault diagnosis, fault prognosis, residual useful life prediction, predictive maintenance and health management, all of these reliable control technology are discussed systematically in this report. Speaker Bio: Prof. Chang-Hua Hu is a professor of the Rocket Force University of Engineering. He has

gained the National science foundation for outstanding Young people of china. He is a Chang Jiang Scholars of the ministry of education of the people’s republic of china, and he is a national famous teacher of china. He has published more than 300 papers. His main research interest focuses on the fault diagnosis, fault prognosis, residual useful life prediction, predictive maintenance and health management.


Title: Reliable Control Technology of Equipment Life Cycle

Professor Chang-Hua Hu

Rocket Force University of Engineering

Xi’an, China

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OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020

E. Keynote Speech 5

Abstract: The reliability of balanced systems (or symmetry systems, I prefer the former) have been studied in reliability field recently, and their special features and applications in real world make them more interesting. In this talk, a history of the reliability of balanced systems is reviewed, and the some important assumptions are given firstly. Then the features of these models on reliability are discussed, the reliability and other measures are considered as well. Finally some discussions on future researches on this direction are presented. Speaker Bio: Prof. Lirong Cui is a professor in the School of Management & Economics at Beijing Institute of Technology (BIT). He received a BS degree from Tiangong University in 1983, a MS degree from the System Science Institute of China Science Academy in 1986, and a PhD degree in Probability and Statistics from the University of Wales, UK in 1994. He has 14 years of experience working in a research institute for the Ministry of Astronautics Industry (1986-1999), two years in National University of Singapore from 2000 to 2002 and works for BIT since 2003. He also has experiences in Wales (UK) and Taiwan (China) as a visiting scholar. He is an Associate Editor for IISE Transactions, Communications in Statistics and Quality Technology & Quantitative Management, and he was also an Associate Editor for IEEE Transactions on Reliability from 2005 to 2015. Besides, he is also an Associate Director, Executive Director or Director for many academic organizations and an expert for the National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC). Since 1999, he has over 80 published SCI journal papers and 1 English monography. He was granted the New Century Outstanding talents from the Ministry of Education, China. One of his PhD student was awarded the excellent doctoral dissertation of Beijing in 2009 and 5 PhD students were awarded the excellent doctoral dissertation of BIT. He has presided 6 programs funded by NSFC, including 5 general programs and 1 key program. His current research interests involve aggregated stochastic processes and maintenance modelling, reliability modelling and analysis of degradation systems, cascading systems and balance systems, finite Markov chain embedding approach, Hawkes process, and the optimal matching problems, etc.

Saturday October 10 / 08:30-09:10, 3-5 Function Room

Title: On Reliability for Balanced Systems

Professor Lirong Cui

Beijing Institute of Technology

Beijing, China

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OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020

F. Keynote Speech 6

Abstract: Condition monitoring, as a key measure to ensure the safe and reliable operations of complex engineering systems, has been widely implemented to reveal the health status and predict the future states of systems. However, due to the complex working conditions of systems and the limitation of the accuracy of condition monitoring techniques, the inspection data from the condition monitoring oftentimes cannot accurately reveal the true states of systems. On the other hand, the inspection data can be oftentimes collected from multiple physical levels of a system with a hierarchical structure, including the system level, subsystem level and component level. Besides, due to limited inspection resources, such as time, budget, and manpower, it is often impossible to collect inspection data for all components, subsystems, and the entire system simultaneously. This talk will introduce some preliminary research works on the optimal multi-level inspection strategy in the context of multi-state systems under the uncertainty of inspection data, multiple physical levels of systems and limited inspection resource. Speaker Bio: Prof. Yu Liu is a full Professor with the Department of Industrial Engineering in the School of Mechanical and Electrical Engineering at the University of Electronic Science and Technology of China. He received his PhD degree in Mechatronics Engineering from the University of Electronic Science and Technology of China. He was a Visiting Pre-doctoral Fellow in the Department of Mechanical Engineering at Northwestern University, Evanston, U.S.A. from 2008 to 2010, and a Postdoctoral Research Fellow in the Department of Mechanical Engineering, at the University of Alberta, Edmonton, Canada from 2012 to 2013. His research interests include system reliability modeling and analysis, maintenance decisions, prognostics and health management, and design under uncertainty. He has published over 60 peer-reviewed papers in international journals, such as IEEE Transactions on Reliability, IISE Transactions, European Journal of Operational Research, ASME Journal of Mechanical Design. He has been recognized as one of the Most Cited Chinese Researchers by Elsevier since 2016. He was a recipient of the National Science Fund for Excellent Young Scholars and the HIWIN Doctoral Dissertation Award sponsored by HIWIN Technologies Corporation and Chinese Society of Mechanical Engineers. He serves as the Secretary General of the Reliability Committee of Operations Research Society of China and the Executive Committee Member of the System Reliability Division of Systems Engineering Society of China.


Title: Multi-Level Inspection Strategy Optimization for Complex

Systems

Professor Yu Liu


Chengdu, China

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OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020

G. Keynote Speech 7

Abstract: Many degradation processes occur in two distinct stages or phases. This is not unusual or unexpected because (a) often the design includes protective coverings or coatings that beneficially delay the onset of a degradation process, (b) some physical or chemical processes naturally do not occur until there has been a time-delay of some type, or (c) after progressing gradually for some time, a degradation process may become more aggressive and fundamentally change. There have been several impressive two-stage degradation models in the literature including the gamma-gamma and Weiner-Weiner models and others. In this talk, we will introduce a new model called the Weibull-gamma model. The first stage is modeled by a time-to-event distribution, instead of a stochastic process, to more closely resemble the physical behavior of some delayed failure mechanisms, while the second stage is a stochastic process similar to other models. In the new model, both stages are modeled as a function of stress covariates, which can then be used to conduct accelerated testing. The model is demonstrated using an example of a steel rebar used in reinforced concrete to build more reliable bridges. Testing data was collected for three years under accelerated conditions to evaluate the feasibility and reliability of new steel materials exposed to stressful conditions. While the new model to useful to predict reliability, it is not particularly useful to forecast future degradation. In the final part of the talk, various machine learning forecasting methods are discussed and demonstrated. Speaker Bio: Prof. David W. Coit is a Professor in the Department of Industrial & Systems Engineering at Rutgers University, Piscataway, NJ, USA, and he is currently appointed to a 3-year position as a Visiting Professor at Tsinghua University, Beijing, China. He has been awarded several U.S. National Science Foundation (NSF) grants, including a CAREER grant from NSF to develop system reliability optimization algorithms considering uncertainty. He has been the recipient of the P. K. McElroy award, Alain O. Plait award and William A. J. Golomski award for best papers and tutorials at the Reliability and Maintainability Symposium (RAMS). He has over 120 published journal papers and over 90 peer-reviewed conference papers. He also has over ten years of experience working for IIT Research Institute (IITRI), Rome NY. He received a BS degree in mechanical engineering from Cornell University, an MBA from Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, and MS and PhD in industrial engineering from the University of Pittsburgh. He is a Department Editor for IISE Transactions and an Associate Editor for IEEE Transactions on Reliability and Journal of Risk and Reliability, and he is a member of IISE, IEEE and INFORMS.


Title: Reliability Analysis with Two-stage Degradation: Models

and Forecasting

Professor David W. Coit

Rutgers University

New Jersey, USA

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OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020

H. Keynote Speech 8

Abstract: Epistemic uncertainties appear across all engineering fields to quite some significant extent. Although they can often be described phenomenologically and qualitatively, they counteract a rigorous quantitative description, which is needed as a basis for a realistic risk assessment. In the presence of epistemic uncertainties the specification of a probabilistic model and the associated risk analysis lead to hypothetical results presuming some intuitive guess to capture the influence of the epistemic uncertainty. That is, we quantify risk based on conditions that represent assumptions rather than facts. Such results can be significantly misleading. It is thus of paramount importance to quantify epistemic uncertainties most realistically. This quantification should neither introduce unwarranted information nor should it neglect information. On this basis there is a clear consensus that epistemic uncertainties need to be taken into account for a realistic assessment of risk and reliability. However, there is no clearly defined procedure to master this challenge. There are rather a variety of concepts and approaches available to deal with epistemic uncertainties, from which the engineer can chose. This choice is made difficult by the perception that the available concepts are competing and opposed to one another rather than being complementary and compatible. Clearly, the first consideration should be devoted to a probabilistic modelling, naturally through subjective probabilities, which express a belief of the expert and can be integrated into a fully probabilistic framework in a coherent manner via a Bayesian approach. While this pathway is widely accepted and recognized as being very powerful, the potential of set-theoretical approaches and imprecise probabilities has only been utilized to some minor extent. Those approaches, however, attract increasing attention in cases when available information is not rich enough to meaningfully specify subjective probability distributions. The presentation will feature models for epistemic uncertainties, and it will highlight their capabilities and added value when used for engineering analysis and design. Illustrative examples are used to explain the respective features. The discussion on the models is complemented by presenting a powerful numerical technology for processing epistemic uncertainties even in very complex and nonlinear engineering analyses. This technology can be used not only for reliability analysis, but also for sensitivity analysis, design, model updating and more.

Speaker Bio: Prof. Michael Beer is Professor and Head of the Institute for Risk and Reliability, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Germany, since 2015. He is also part time Professor at the Institute for Risk and Uncertainty, University of Liverpool and in the Shanghai Institute of Disaster Prevention and Relief, Tongji University, China. He obtained a doctoral degree from the Technische Universität Dresden and pursued research at Rice University, supported with a Feodor-Lynen Fellowship from the Alexander von Humboldt-Foundation. From 2007 to 2011 Dr. Beer worked as an Assistant Professor at National University of Singapore. In 2011 he joined the University of Liverpool as Chair in Uncertainty in Engineering and Founding Director of the Institute for Risk and Uncertainty. In 2014 he established the EPSRC and ESRC Centre for Doctoral Training in Quantification and Management of Risk & Uncertainty in Complex Systems & Environments. Among other activities Dr. Beer is Editor in Chief (jointly) of the Encyclopedia of Earthquake Engineering (Springer) as well as Associate Editor of the ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems and Associate Editor of the International Journal of Reliability and Safety. Dr. Beer’s research is focused on non-traditional uncertainty models in engineering with emphasis on reliability and risk analysis.


Title: Epistemic Uncertainties: Opportunity or Burden?

Professor Michael Beer

Leibniz Universität Hannover,

Hannover, Germany

- 18 -


OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020

V. Program Information

A. Conference Topics

I Reliability Modeling and Risk Analysis

II Reliability, Maintainability, and Supportability

III System Analysis, Simulation and Optimization

IV Fault Diagnosis, Prognosis, Condition Monitoring and PHM

V Robust, Reliability-Based, and Lifecycle Design

VI Maintenance and Warranty Management

VII Failure Physics, Material Science, Data Analysis, and Reliability Testing

VIII Special Session on "Resilience of Critical Infrastructure Systems"

IX Special Session on "Reliability and Safety of Maritime Transportation System"

X Special Sessions on "Computational Approaches for Uncertainty and Reliability Analysis

of Complex Structural and Mechanical Systems"

XI Special Session on "Uncertainty Quantification of Time-Varying Systems"

XII Special Session on "Reliability Analysis of Complex Systems"

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OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020

B. Program at A Glance

October 8

(Thursday)

October 9

(Friday)

October 10

(Saturday)

October 11

(Sunday)

08:00-12:00

Registration

08:30-12:00

Opening Ceremony

Keynote Speech 5

Keynote Speech 6

Oral Session E Keynote Speech 1

Keynote Speech 2

Tea Break Tea Break Tea Break

Keynote Speech 3 Keynote Speech 7

Oral Session F

Keynote Speech 4 Keynote Speech 8

12:00-14:00 Lunch Lunch Lunch

14:00-18:00 Registration

Oral Session A Oral Session C

Tea Break Tea Break

Oral Session B Oral Session D

18:00 Dinner Dinner Banquet

Time

Date

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OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020

C. Detailed Timetable

October 9 [Friday] 8:30-12:00

3-5

Function Room

08:00-12:00 Registration

08:30-09:00 Opening Ceremony

09:00-09:40

Chair:

Prof. Hong-Zhong Huang

University of Electronic

Science and Technology

of China

China

Keynote Speech 1:

Prof. Shan-Tung Tu

East China University of Science and Technology, China

How Can We Better Improve the Reliability and Safety of Our Products? A Plea for a New

Manufacturing Paradigm

09:40-10:20

Chair:

Prof. Hong-Xia Chen

Inner Mongolia University

of Technology

China

Keynote Speech 2:

Prof. Shaoping Wang

Beihang University, China

New Technology and Safe Service of Aviation System

10:20-10:40 Tea Break

10:40-11:20

Chair:

Prof. Bo Guo

National University of Defense Technology

China

Keynote Speech 3:

Prof. Xinzheng Lu

Tsinghua University, China

City-Scale Nonlinear Time-History Analysis: Methodology and Engineering Application

11:20-12:00

Chair:

Prof. Renyan Jiang

Changsha University of Science and Technology

China

Keynote Speech 4:

Prof. Chang-Hua Hu

Rocket Force University of Engineering, China

Reliable Control Technology of Equipment Life Cycle

12:00-14:00 Lunch

Time

Room

- 21 -


OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020


Time

Conference Room 3-3

Conference Room 3-6

Conference Room 3-9

Conference Room 3-10


Conference Topic

Fault Diagnosis, Prognosis, Condition

Monitoring and PHM (IV)

Special Session on

“Reliability and Safety of Maritime

Transportation System”

(IX)

Reliability Modeling and Risk Analysis

(I)

Reliability, Maintainability,

and Supportability

(II)

System Analysis,

Simulation and Optimization

(III)

Oral Session

A

14:00-14:25 QR2MSE

2020-0004-0044

QR2MSE

2020-0001-0386

QR2MSE

2020-0001-0105

QR2MSE

2020-0002-0320

QR2MSE

2020-0003-0272

14:25-14:50 QR2MSE

2020-0004-0098

QR2MSE

2020-0001-0387

QR2MSE

2020-0001-0122

QR2MSE

2020-0002-0283

QR2MSE

2020-0003-0021

14:50-15:15 QR2MSE

2020-0004-0268

QR2MSE

2020-0001-0388

QR2MSE

2020-0001-0316

QR2MSE

2020-0002-0340

QR2MSE

2020-0003-0030

15:15-15:40 QR2MSE

2020-0004-0309

QR2MSE

2020-0001-0389

QR2MSE

2020-0001-0132

QR2MSE

2020-0002-0319

QR2MSE

2020-0003-0112

15:40-16:10 Tea Break


Time

Conference Room 3-3

Conference Room 3-6

Conference Room 3-9



Conference Topic

Computational Approaches for Uncertainty and

Reliability Analysis of Complex

Structural and Mechanical

Systems (X)

Special Session on

“Reliability and Safety of Maritime

Transportation System”

(IX)


(I)


and Supportability

(II)

System Analysis,


(III)

Oral Session

B

16:10-16:35 QR2MSE

2020-0001-0396 QR2MSE

2020-0001-0390

QR2MSE

2020-0001-0391

QR2MSE

2020-0001-0392

QR2MSE

2020-0001-0343

QR2MSE

2020-0002-0011

QR2MSE

2020-0003-0034

16:35-17:00 QR2MSE

2020-0002-0399

QR2MSE

2020-0001-0148

QR2MSE

2020-0002-0069

QR2MSE

2020-0003-0067

17:00-17:25 QR2MSE

2020-0002-0233

QR2MSE

2020-0001-0040

QR2MSE

2020-0002-0174

QR2MSE

2020-0003-0083

17:25-17:50 QR2MSE

2020-0004-0243

QR2MSE

2020-0001-0379

QR2MSE

2020-0002-0306

QR2MSE

2020-0003-0019

18:00 Dinner

Room

Room

- 22 -


OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020

October 10 [Saturday] 08:30-12:00

3-5

Function Room

08:30-09:10

Chair:

Prof. Hongming Zhou

Wenzhou University

China

Keynote Speech 5:

Lirong Cui

Beijing Institute of Technology, China

On Reliability for Balanced Systems

09:10-09:50

Chair:

Prof. Xiaoyue Wu

National University of

Defense Technology

China

Keynote Speech 6:

Prof. Yu Liu

University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China

Multi-Level Inspection Strategy Optimzation for Complex Systems

9:50-10:10 Tea Break

10:10-10:50

Chair:

Prof. Lirong Cui

Beijing Institute of

Technology

China

Keynote Speech 7:

Prof. David W. Coit

Rutgers University, USA

Reliability Analysis with Two-stage Degradation: Models and Forecasting

10:50-11:30

Chair:

Prof. Rui Peng

Beijing University of

Technology

China

Keynote Speech 8:

Prof. Michael Beer

Leibniz Universität Hannover, Germany

Epistemic Uncertainties: Opportunity or Burden?

12:00-14:00 Lunch

Time

Room

- 23 -


OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020


Time

Conference Room 3-3

Conference Room 3-6

Conference Room 3-9



Conference Topic

Special Session on “Reliability

Analysis of Complex Systems”

(XII)

Special Session on

“Resilience of Critical

Infrastructure Systems”

(VIII)

Failure Physics, Material

Science, Data Analysis, and

Reliability Testing

(VII)


(I)

Maintenance and Warranty

Management (VI)

Oral Session

C

14:00-14:25 QR2MSE

2020-0001-0157

QR2MSE

2020-0002-0156

QR2MSE

2020-0002-0276

QR2MSE

2020-0008-0058

QR2MSE

2020-0004-0033

QR2MSE

2020-0008-0381

QR2MSE

2020-0008-0382

QR2MSE

2020-0008-0383

QR2MSE

2020-0005-0384

QR2MSE

2020-0005-0385

QR2MSE

2020-0007-0014

QR2MSE

2020-0001-0020

QR2MSE

2020-0006-0024

14:25-14:50 QR2MSE

2020-0007-0344

QR2MSE

2020-0001-0084

QR2MSE

2020-0006-0255

14:50-15:15 QR2MSE

2020-0007-0325

QR2MSE

2020-0001-0121

QR2MSE

2020-0001-0250

15:15-15:40 QR2MSE

2020-0007-0197

QR2MSE

2020-0001-0023

QR2MSE

2020-0008-0263

15:50-16:10 Tea Break


Time

Conference Room 3-3

Conference Room 3-6

Conference Room 3-9



Conference Topic

Special Session on “Uncertainty Quantification of

Time-Varying Systems”

(XI)

System Analysis, Simulation and Optimization

(III)



Robust, Reliability-Based,

and Lifecycle Design

(V)


(I)

Oral Session

D

16:10-16:35 QR2MSE

2020-0001-0079

QR2MSE

2020-0003-0021

QR2MSE

2020-0004-0246

QR2MSE

2020-0005-0046

QR2MSE

2020-0001-0350

16:35-17:00 QR2MSE

2020-0001-0247

QR2MSE

2020-0003-0202

QR2MSE

2020-0004-0027

QR2MSE

2020-0002-0136

QR2MSE

2020-0007-0298

17:00-17:25 QR2MSE

2020-0001-0064

QR2MSE

2020-0008-0409

QR2MSE

2020-0004-0186

QR2MSE

2020-0008-0412

QR2MSE

2020-0008-0408

17:25-17:50 QR2MSE

2020-0008-0393

QR2MSE

2020-0008-0410

QR2MSE

2020-0004-0225

QR2MSE

2020-0008-0413

QR2MSE

2020-0008-0411

18:00 Banquet

Room

Room

- 24 -


OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020

October 11 [Sunday] 08:30-10:10

Time

Conference Room 3-3

Conference Room 3-6

Conference Room 3-9



Conference Topic

Reliability Modeling and Risk

Analysis (I)



System Analysis,


(III)


and Supportability

(II)

Maintenance and Warranty Management

(VI)

Oral Session

E

8:30-8:50 QR2MSE

2020-0001-0104

QR2MSE

2020-0004-0007

QR2MSE

2020-0003-0140

QR2MSE

2020-0002-0028

QR2MSE

2020-0006-0150

8:50-9:10 QR2MSE

2020-0001-0051

QR2MSE

2020-0004-0099

QR2MSE

2020-0003-0260

QR2MSE

2020-0002-0029

QR2MSE

2020-0006-0077

9:10-9:30 QR2MSE

2020-0001-0036

QR2MSE

2020-0004-0106

QR2MSE

2020-0003-0201

QR2MSE

2020-0002-0129

QR2MSE

2020-0008-0404

9:30-9:50 QR2MSE

2020-0001-0356

QR2MSE

2020-0008-0414

QR2MSE

2020-0003-0209

QR2MSE

2020-0008-0401

QR2MSE

2020-0008-0405

9:50-10:10 QR2MSE

2020-0008-0416

QR2MSE

2020-0008-0415

QR2MSE

2020-0008-0403

QR2MSE

2020-0008-0402

QR2MSE

2020-0008-0406

10:10-10:30 Tea Break

October 11 [Sunday] 10:10-12:00

Time

Conference Room 3-3

Conference Room 3-6

Conference Room 3-9



Conference Topic


and Supportability (II)






and Supportability (II)


(I)

Oral Session

F

10:30-10:50 QR2MSE

2020-0002-0308

QR2MSE

2020-0004-0158

QR2MSE

2020-0004-0133

QR2MSE

2020-0002-0339

QR2MSE

2020-0001-0025

10:50-11:10 QR2MSE

2020-0002-0152

QR2MSE

2020-0004-0191

QR2MSE

2020-0004-0235

QR2MSE

2020-0002-0054

QR2MSE

2020-0001-0042

11:10-11:30 QR2MSE

2020-0002-0041

QR2MSE

2020-0004-0231

QR2MSE

2020-0004-0336

QR2MSE

2020-0002-0063

QR2MSE

2020-0002-0118

11:30-11:50 QR2MSE

2020-0002-0305

QR2MSE

2020-0004-0226

QR2MSE

2020-0002-0071

QR2MSE

2020-0001-0214

12:00-14:00 Lunch

Room

Room

- 25 -


OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020

VI. Technical Program

October 9 [Friday] Oral Session A in Conference Room 3-3

14:00-15:40 Fault Diagnosis, Prognosis, Condition Monitoring and PHM (IV)

Moderators: Prof. Wensheng Peng, China Aero-Polytechnology Establishment, China

Prof. Xinzhou Qiao, Xi’an University of Science and Technology, China

14:00-14:25 QR2MSE 2020-0004-0044 Fault Diagnosis of Rolling Bearing Based on Permutation Entropy

Optimized Maximum Correlation Kurtosis Deconvolution/ Ping Liu, Zhonghai Lin, Min Zhang, Yingkui Gu

(Jiangxi University of Science and Technology, China)

In this paper, the author introduce an improved MCKD algorithm which is proposed as an adaptive

parameter selection approach.

14:25-14:50 QR2MSE 2020-0004-0098 Life Prediction Method of On-board Hydrogen Clock under Multiple

Mechanisms/ Xiao Xiong (Beijing Institute of Spacecraft System Engineering, China), Haitao Zhao,

Yonghui Xie and Jianyu Zhao

In this paper, the author expounds the composing and design of the hydrogen clock and focuses on the

factors affecting the lifetime.

14:50-15:15 QR2MSE 2020-0004-0268 Prediction of Fatigue Crack Growth Life Based on a New Fusion Model/ G

L Chen (Southeast University, China), J M Cheng, H Jin

In this paper, a discretized improved two parameter exponential formula is proposed.

15:15-15:40 QR2MSE 2020-0004-0309 Damage Identification and Severity of Bolt Looseness Based on Sensor

Information Fusion with Neural Network/ Yanhe Tao(Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics,

China), Xiangdong Li, Qintao Guo, Chao Zhou, Jin Wu, Yeping Xiong

In this paper, the authors show that the random vibration test of bolted structure was conducted with

electromagnetic vibrator and data collecting instrument.

15:40-16:10 Tea Break

- 26 -


OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020


14:00-15:40 Special Session on“Reliability and Safety of Maritime Transportation System”(IX)

Moderators: Prof. Jin-Fen Zhang, Wuhan University of Technology, China

Prof. Jun Yang, Beihang University, China

14:00-14:25 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0386 Collision Risk Assessment in Jiangsu Section of the Yangtze River Based

on Evidential Reasoning/ An-Xin He (Wuhan University of Technology, China), Jin-Fen Zhang, Di Zhang,

Wei-Dong Gan

This paper aims at collision risk assessment in Jiangsu section of the Yangtze river based on evidential

reasoning.

14:25-14:50 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0387 An Advanced Method of Collision Risk Assessment in terms of

Encountering Ships/ Yuting Deng (Nanjing University of Science and Technology, China), Weibin Zhang,

Xinyu Feng

This paper aims to improve the Vessel collision risk operator (VCRO) and proposes an exponential

model of the safety distance in terms of the imbalance of risk assessment in the case of ships meeting

close to the safety zone.

14:50-15:15 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0388 A Preliminary Mapping Network Model for Unsafe Acts in Maritime

Accidents/ Shanshan Fu (Shanghai Maritime University, China), Hui Zhuang, Changjiang Zhang,

Yongtao Xi

This paper explores the correlations between the crew’s unsafe acts and the induced maritime

accidents, and proposes a preliminary mapping network model.

15:15-15:40 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0389 Abnormal Identification of Lubricating Oil Parameters and Evaluation of

Physical and Chemical Properties Based on Machine Learning/ Kun Yang (Wuhan University of

Technology, China), Xia Wang

This paper proposes an abnormality identification model for online oil monitoring parameters.

15:40-16:10 Tea Break

- 27 -


OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020


14:00-15:40 Reliability Modeling and Risk Analysis(I)

Moderators: Prof. Ping Jiang, National University of Defense Technology, China

Prof. Renyan Jiang, Changsha University of Science & Technology, China

14:00-14:25 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0105 An Improved High-Moment Method for Reliability Analysis Based on

Polynomial Chaos Expansion/ Jianyu Zhao (China Academy of Space Technology, China), Jianbin Guo,

Jingyan Wang, Hao Xu

This paper improves the traditional high-moment method based on the polynomial chaos expansion

(PCE).

14:25-14:50 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0122 Quality Prediction of Laser Cladding Based on Elman Neural Network/ S Q

Yang, X Y Jiang (Shenyang University of Technology, China), K Zhang, M X Shi, Z S Wang

This paper proposes a quality prediction method based on Elman neural network in order to solve the

problem of complicated laser cladding process, more influencing factors of cladding quality and the

difficulty to predict the morphology of the cladding layer.

14:50-15:15 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0316 A Monte Carlo Expectation Maximization Algorithm for Statistical Inference

of Weibull Process with Left Censored Data/ Jun-Ming Hu (Xihua University, China), Hong-Zhong Huang

In this paper, statistical inferences of a Weibull process with incomplete data using Monte Carlo

expectation maximization algorithm is proposed.

15:15-15:40 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0132 A Birnbaum Importance and Regression Analysis Based Heuristic

Algorithm for Multi-type Component Assignment Problem/ Zhiling Guan, Yida Shi, Siqi Qiu (Shanghai

Jiao Tong University, China)

In this paper, a new kind of multi-type component assignment problem (MCAP) called the two types of

component of component assignment problem (TCAP) is proposed.

15:40-16:10 Tea Break

- 28 -


OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020


14:00-15:40 Reliability, Maintainability, and Supportability (II)

Moderators: Prof. Pengwen Sun, Inner Mongolia University of Technology, China

Dr. Yuan Chen, The Fifth Electronics Research Institute of Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, China

14:00-14:25 QR2MSE 2020-0002-0320 Reliability Evaluation for Complex System Based on Bayesian Theory and

Multi-source Information Fusion/ Zhaoli Song, Qian Zhao, Xiang Jia, Bo Guo (National University of

Defense Technology, China)

In this paper, a system reliability evaluation method based on Bayesian theory and multi-source

information fusion is proposed.

14:25-14:50 QR2MSE 2020-0002-0283 Study on the Reliability of Mechanical Components of Squib Valve in

Passive Nuclear Power Plant/ Qiang Liu (China Productivity Center for Machinery, China), Lechang

Zhan, Xiaowei Zhang, Liangming Chang, Jingxian Ma, Xihui Su

In this paper, the action principle of squib valve employed in passive nuclear power plant was introduced

and the main factors affecting the reliability of the mechanical components of the squib valve were

analyzed.

14:50-15:15 QR2MSE 2020-0002-0340 System Reliability Analysis with Hybrid Uncertainty Based on Hierarchical

Evidential Network/ J Mi (University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China), H Liang, Y F

Li, Y Cheng, L Bai

In this paper, a comprehensive study on reliability analysis of complex system with common cause

failures and hybrid uncertainties is performed based on evidential network.

15:15-15:40 QR2MSE 2020-0002-0319 Research on Mission Reliability and Sensitivity of Folding Tail Mechanism/

Huan Pang (Chang’an University, China), Dongyang Shi, Daocheng Wang

In this paper, the failure modes and failure influencing factors in the mission process are analyzed

systematically and the dynamic model of the folding tail mechanism is established.

15:40-16:10 Tea Break

- 29 -


OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020


14:00-15:40 System Analysis, Simulation and Optimization (III)

Moderators: Prof. Kai Sun, Institute of Microelectronic of Chinese Academy of Science, China

Prof. Zhen Chen, Southwest Petroleum University, China

14:00-14:25 QR2MSE 2020-0003-0272 Simulation Analysis of Outage Recovery Time of Navigation Satellite/

Haitao Zhao (Beijing Institute of Spacecraft System Engineering, China), Xiao Xiong, Qinghua Wang

This paper analyses the specific process of outage recovery of satellite on orbit at the design stage, and

puts forward the modelling and analysis method of outage recovery time according to the characteristics

of outage recovery process.

14:25-14:50 QR2MSE 2020-0003-0026 Time-Dependent Reliability-based Design Optimization of Structures with

Fuzzy Uncertainty/ Chongqing Fan (Xi’an University of Architecture and Technology, China), Zhengkai

Zhang, Qingguo Wen

This paper proposes a novel reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) model with the constraints of

time-dependent failure possibility (TDFP) for addressing the optimal design parameter for the

time-dependent structure involving fuzzy variables.

14:50-15:15 QR2MSE 2020-0003-0030 Reliability Analysis of Mixer Structure under Mixing Simulation/ Hai-Ying

Cheng (Inner Mongolia University of Technology, China), Zhun Luo, Liang Yong

This paper simulates the mixing process of the mixture, obtains the random load data of the mixture on

the mixing drum and the mixing parts based on the EDEM software.

15:15-15:40 QR2MSE 2020-0003-0112 Research on Multi-agent Task Optimization and Scheduling Based on

Improved Ant Colony Algorithm/ Y Wang (Inner Mongolia University of Technology, China), R R Yang, Y

X Xu, X Li, J L Shi

This paper proposes an ant colony optimization (ACO) algorithm for achieving balanced task scheduling

with optimal completion time.

15:40-16:10 Tea Break

- 30 -


OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020

October 9 [Friday] Oral Session B in Conference Room 3-3

16:10-17:50 Special Session on “Computational Approaches for Uncertainty and Reliability Analysis of Complex Structural and Mechanical Systems” (X)

Moderators: Prof. Yi Zhang, Tsinghua University, China

Prof. Haitao Zhao, Beijing Institute of Spacecraft System Engineering, China

16:10-16:35 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0396 Reliability Analysis of Wheel Fatigue Strength Based on Active Learning

Kriging Model/ Xin Cheng (Southwest Jiaotong University, China), Xufeng Yang

A reliability analysis method based on active learning Kriging (ALK) model is introduced to solve the

fatigue strength failure probability of wheels in this paper.

16:35-17:00 QR2MSE 2020-0002-0399 A PDEM-COM Framework for Uncertainty Quantification of Backward

Issues Involving both Aleatory and Epistemic Uncertainties/ Zhi-Qiang Wan (Tongji University, China),

Jian-Bing Chen, Michael Beer

In the present paper, a probabilistically consistent framework for the quantification of both aleatory and

epistemic uncertainty by synthesizing the probability density evolution method (PDEM) and the change

of probability measure (COM) is outlined.

17:00-17:25 QR2MSE 2020-0002-0233 Structural Reliability Analysis with Temporal and Spatial Variations Based

on Polynomial Chaos Expansion/ Hang Nan (Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics,

China), Hongshuang Li, Caijun Xue

In this paper, it presents a polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) based method to evaluate the reliability

problem with temporal and spatial variations.

17:25-17:50 QR2MSE 2020-0004-0243 A Remaining Useful Life Prediction Method for Complex Systems Based on

Multi-index Fusion with MC and HSMM/ D F Zhang (Chongqing University, China), Y Ran, G B Zhang, C

X Jin, S L Li

This paper introduces that remaining useful life (RUL) estimation is the core and basic of system

Prognostic and Health Management (PHM).

18:00 Dinner

- 31 -


OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020


16:10-17:40 Special Session on“Reliability and Safety of Maritime Transportation System”(IX)

Moderators: Prof. Jin-Fen Zhang, Wuhan University of Technology, China

Prof. Jun Yang, Beihang University, China

16:10-16:40 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0390 The Influence of Water Content on the Acid Number of Diesel Engine

Lubricant in Electrochemical Measurement/ Fanhao Zhou (Wuhan University of Technology, China), Kun

Yang

In this paper, thick film (TF) potentiometric sensors based on ion-selective electrodes (ISE) are used to

determine the acid acidity of the diesel engine oil to determine the oxidation duration of the oil.

16:40-17:10 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0391 Effects of Load and Rotational Speed on the Friction and Wear Properties

of PTFE Composites/ Tao Guan (Naval Research Academy, China), Yunsheng Liu, Haiming Shou, Feng

Li

This paper studies the friction and wear properties of PTFE composites, and a series of experimental

tests are conducted under different sliding velocities and load pressures using block-on-ring testing

machine.

17:10-17:40 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0392 The Influence of Nozzle Parameters on the Atomization Performance of

Non-normal Fuel Based on the Super-high Pressure Common Rail System/ Qi Liu (Naval Research

Academy, China), Yunsheng Liu, Xinzhuan Chen, Baiqi Huo

This paper aims at the influence of nozzle parameters on the atomization performance of non-normal

fuel based on the super-high pressure common rail system.

18:00 Dinner

- 32 -


OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020


16:10-17:50 Reliability Modeling and Risk Analysis (I)

Moderators: Prof. Yu Liu, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China

Prof. Hui Jin, Southeast University, China

16:10-16:35 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0343 Instantaneous Availability of Multi-component System under the Constraint

of Spare Parts/ Yun Wang (China Academy of Aerospace Standardization and Product Assurance,

China), Pengwei Hu, Baidong Jin, Hailong Cheng, Yuhan Liu

In this paper, a model that can compute the instantaneous availability of multi- component series system

with spare parts is proposed.

16:35-17:00 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0148 Isolation Forest Wrapper Approach for Feature Selection in Software

Defect Prediction/ Zhiguo Ding (Zhejiang Normal University, China)

In this paper, a wrapper feature selection approach applying genetic algorithm as a search strategy to

find the optimal feature subset is firstly introduced, and an improved isolation forest based defect

prediction method is proposed.

17:00-17:25 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0040 A Model of Resource Allocation for Intercepting the Missile of Mass

Destruction Considering Detection Contest/ Li Qu, Chenjing Han (Beijing Information Science and

Technology University, China), Yingchun Li, Ye Ma, Kaiye Gao, Rui Peng

A model of resource allocation for missile interception is proposed in this paper.

17:25-17:50 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0379 Risk-Based Inspection Methodology：A Case Study of Desulfurization Unit

in a Natural Gas Plant/ Y J Yang (Chongqing University of Science and Technology, China), C Huang, Q

Y Zhong, H Zhang, H J Chen

In this paper, the Risk-based inspection (RBI) is applied to evaluate the risk of the desulfurization unit in

a natural gas plant.

18:00 Dinner

- 33 -


OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020



Moderators: Prof. Wenxue Qian, Northeastern University, China

Prof. Huanwei Xu, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China

16:10-16:35 QR2MSE 2020-0002-0011 Research on the Construction of Supportability Index of Aviation

Equipment System of Systems/ Gang Ding (Air Force Engineering University, China), Li-Jie Cui, Li-Yong

Wang, Rong Hu, Guang Qian

In this paper, the concept, connotation and characteristics of the supportability of the AESos (Aviation

equipment system of systems) based on task are defined.

16:35-17:00 QR2MSE 2020-0002-0069 Remaining Useful Life Prediction of r-out-of-n: G System/ Q Zhao (National

University of Defense Technology, China), Z L Song, P Jiang, F C Qian, J W Zhang

In this paper, relationship between the reliability and the RUL is discussed and a simulation method has

also been provided, and the accuracy and efficiency of the proposed method is verified by the numerical

examples.

17:00-17:25 QR2MSE 2020-0002-0174 Reliability Evaluation of Command Information System under Different

Attack Modes/ Guohui Jia, Jie Zhou, Junyi Li (China Electronics Technology Group Corporation (CETC)

20th Institute, China)

In this paper, based on the basic structure of the typical command information system network, the

model has been divided into physical layer and information layer and reliability changes of the

constructed system are compared of different attack modes.

17:25-17:50 QR2MSE 2020-0002-0306 Precise Reliability Analysis Base on Static Pose Error of 6 Degree of

Freedom Serial Robot / Ming Hu, Mei Wu (Zhejiang Sci-Tech University, China), Xuwu Zhou, Jing Yang,

Bingxu Wang, Jian Li

In this paper, the improved D-H modelling method is used to establish the positioning error model of the

robot, the reliability of the static pose error of the robot is analyzed, and the reliability evaluation index of

the static pose error of the robot is established.

18:00 Dinner

- 34 -


OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020



Moderators: Prof. Hui Xiao, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, China

Prof. Wei Liu, Tongji University, China

16:10-16:35 QR2MSE 2020-0003-0034 Fatigue Reliability Analysis and Optimization of Vibrator Baseplate Based

on Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation Method/ Zhen Chen (Southwest Petroleum University, China), Tao

Li, Xiaowei Xue, Yang Zhou, Shuang Jing

This paper proposes a fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model for baseplate fatigue reliability based on

the baseplate parameter weight set and evaluation matrix scored by experts.

16:35-17:00 QR2MSE 2020-0003-0067 Reliability Evaluation and Optimization for Phased Mission Systems with

Cascading Effects/ Chenyang Ma, Shuai Zhang, Mi Zhou, Shubin Si, Zhiqiang Cai (Northwestern

Polytechnical University, China)

This paper presents a reliability evaluation method for phased mission systems (PMSs) with the

cascading effect (CE) based on recursive algorithm.

17:00-17:25 QR2MSE 2020-0003-0083 Feasibility Study of Pinhole Inspection via Magnetic Flux Leakage and

Hydrostatic Testing in Oil & Gas Pipelines / Hailiang Zhang, Shengyi Sha (China University of Petroleum

(EastChina), China), Chris Willis, Qingshan Feng, Pengchao Chen

In this paper, the effectiveness and applicability of magnetic flux leakage (MFL) in characterizing and

sizing pinhole defects is studied by pull test in a 10-inch pipe string with manufactured defects.

17:25-17:50 QR2MSE 2020-0003-0019 A Multi-objective Optimization for Simultaneous Determination of Spare

Part Numbers and Imperfect Preventive Maintenance/ Xiao Zhao (University of Science and Technology

Beijing, China), Jianhua Yang, Mengying Han

This paper proposes a model simultaneously determining spare part numbers and imperfect PM

intervals based on multi-attribute utility theory (MAUT), one of the multi-objective decision making

theories.

18:00 Dinner

- 35 -


OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020

October 10 [Saturday] Oral Session C in Conference Room 3-3

14:00-15:40 Special Session on “Reliability Analysis of Complex Systems” (XII)

Moderators: Prof. Chaonan Wang, Jinan University, China

Prof. Pengwen Sun, Inner Mongolia University of Technology, China

14:00-14:20 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0157 An Improved BDD-Based Combinatorial Method for Competing Failure

Analysis/ Y Zhang (Jinan University, China), C Wang, L Xing

In this paper, an improved BDD-based combinatorial method is proposed for the reliability analysis of

systems with competing failures.

14:20-14:40 QR2MSE 2020-0002-0156 Reliability Analysis of k-out-of-n Phased-Mission Systems with

Phase-AND Requirement/ Y Hu (Jinan University, China), C Wang, L Xing

In this paper, the reliability of a non-repairable phased-mission system (PMS) with k-out-of-n structure

and phase-AND requirements is modeled and analyzed.

14:40-15:00 QR2MSE 2020-0002-0276 A Reliability Calculation Method of Safety Device in Cars / Z Han (Qiongtai

Normal University, China), Y Li, G C Tang, H P Gou, J Q Xing, C X Jiang

In this paper, a reliability calculation method of vehicle safety device and the equivalent models of

solving the device reliability is proposed.

15:00-15:20 QR2MSE 2020-0004-0033 ARIMA-Based Aging Prediction Method for Cloud Server System/ Haining

Meng (Xi’an University of Technology, China), Yuekai Shi, Yilin Qu, Junhuai Li, Jianjun Liu

This paper presents a prediction method to investigate software aging in an OpenStack cloud system

15:20-15:40 QR2MSE 2020-0008-0058 Reliability Analysis of Multi-stage Shock and Degradation Model Based on

Markov Renewal Process/ Dong Xu (Minzu University of China, China), Xujie Jia

This paper establishes reliability models of self-healing system with competitive failure under cumulative

shock.

15:40-16:10 Tea Break

- 36 -


OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020


14:00-15:40 Special Session on“Resilience of Critical Infrastructure Systems”(VIII)

Moderators: Prof. Min Ouyang, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, China

Prof. Xiao-Ling Zhang, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China

14:00-14:20 QR2MSE 2020-0008-0381 Resilience-based Seismic Retrofit of Urban Infrastructure Systems/ C Liu

(Huazhong University of Science and Technology, China), M Ouyang

This paper further introduces a resilience-based seismic retrofit optimization problem for UISs under a

limited retrofit budget and proposes a novel heuristic algorithm for its solution.

14:20-14:40 QR2MSE 2020-0008-0382 Resilience-driven Restoration Optimization of Critical Infrastructure

Systems under Uncertainty/ M Xu (Huazhong University of Science and Technology, China), M Ouyang

This paper studies the restoration optimization problem of post-disaster CISs, where the uncertainty of

repair time for damaged components is considered.

14:40-15:00 QR2MSE 2020-0008-0383 Real-time Planning of Post-earthquake Restoration for Bridge Networks

Using Discrete-time Markov Decision Process Model/ W F Tao (Northwestern Polytechnical University,

China), N Y Wang

This paper aims at Real-time Planning of Post-earthquake Restoration for Bridge Networks Using

Discrete-time Markov Decision Process Model.

15:00-15:20 QR2MSE 2020-0005-0384 Probabilistic Lifecycle Resilience Assessment of Water Distribution

Networks/ W Liu, Z Y Song (Tongji University, China)

This paper proposes a general probabilistic framework of assessing the lifecycle resilience of water

distribution networks (WDNs).

15:20-15:40 QR2MSE 2020-0005-0385 Seismic Resilience Assessment for Water Distribution Networks with

Multi-components/ W Liu, Q X Wu (Tongji University, China)

This paper proposes a refined metric for quantifying resilience and a sensitivity-based recovery strategy

for improving WDNs resilience subjected to earthquakes.

15:40-16:10 Tea Break

- 37 -


OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020


14:00-15:40 Failure Physics, Material Science, Data Analysis, and Reliability Testing(VII)

Moderators: Prof. Hai-Ying Cheng, Inner Mongolia University of Technology, China

Prof. Zhiqiang Cai, Northwestern Polytechnical University, China

14:00-14:25 QR2MSE 2020-0007-0014 Research On Backup Strategy of BeiDou Global Navigation System

Constellation/ Qinghua Wang (China Academy of Space Technology, China), Haitao Zhao, Lei Chen,

Zhaozhao Gao, Xiaofang Zhao

In this paper, the effects of three kinds of satellites in different positions of BeiDou Global Navigation

System and the failure probability of satellites in orbit are analyzed.

14:25-14:50 QR2MSE 2020-0007-0344 Research on Qualitative Analysis and Quantitative Evaluation Method of

BDS Signal-In-Space Integrity/ Peipei Gong (China Academy of Aerospace Standardization and Product

Assurance, China), Guanyu Wei, Yueling Cao, Ding Liu, Dongteng Long

In this paper, modeling and qualitative analysis methods for BDS Signal-In-Space (SIS) integrity

indicators are proposed.

14:50-15:15 QR2MSE 2020-0007-0325 Review of Deployable Mechanism Test Technologies Oriented Towards

Deep Space Exploration/ Tianyuan Ye (Beijing Institute of Space Environment Engineering, China),

Zhuo Chen, Shouqing Huang, Fang Hu

In this paper, some typical tests of deployable mechanism for deep space exploration are analyzed, and

the scheme and the performance of the special test program are summarized.

15:15-15:40 QR2MSE 2020-0007-0197 Quantitative Analysis of a Process Industry’s Operating Status of Based on

DCS Data Set/ Qian Chen, Kai Sun (Institute of Microelectronic of Chinese Academy of Science, China)

In this paper, a novel method to calculate fault score of system’s operating status by classifying its DCS

data set and forming a classifier matrix is proposed.

15:40-16:10 Tea Break

- 38 -


OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020



Moderators: Prof. Bo Zheng, Civil Aviation Flight University of China, China

Dr. Yuan Chen, The Fifth Electronics Research Institute of Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, China

14:00-14:25 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0020 A Bias-corrected Nelson-Aalen Estimator/ R Jiang (Changsha University of

Science and Technology, China)

This paper proposes a simple and almost unbiased estimator by using a non-parametric reliability

estimator.

14:25-14:50 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0084 A Heuristic for a Special Kind of Multi-type Component Assignment

Problem/ Y Shi, Z Guan, and S Qiu (Shanghai Jiao Tong University, China)

This paper proposes a two-stage Birnbaum importance-based local search heuristic to address a special

kind of MCAP where positions in the system can accept up to two types of components.

14:50-15:15 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0121 Vaccination Strategy Analysis with SIRV Epidemic Model Based on

Scale-free Networks with Tunable Clustering/ Xueyu Meng (Northwestern Polytechnical University,

China), Zhiqiang Cai, Hongyan Dui, Huiying Cao

This paper proposed a SIRV (susceptible, infected, recovered, vaccination) evolutionary game model for

infectious disease vaccination strategies based on the scale-free networks with tunable clustering.

15:15-15:40 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0023 Optimal Defense-attack Strategies Between M Defenders and N Attackers:

A Method Based on Cumulative Prospect Theory/ H Xiao, C Lin (Southwestern University of Finance

and Economics, China), R Peng, K X Yi

This paper incorporates the cumulative prospect theory into defense strategy and models a

defense-attack game between M defenders and N attackers considering risk attitudes.

15:40-16:10 Tea Break

- 39 -


OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020


14:00-15:40 Maintenance and Warranty Management (VI)

Moderators: Prof. Guang-Jun Jiang, Inner Mongolia University of Technology, China

Prof. Jinhua Mi, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China

14:00-14:25 QR2MSE 2020-0006-0024 Optimal Maintenance of a Single Unit System with Consideration of Two

Failure Modes and Production Wait Time/ H Xiao (Southwestern University of Finance and Economics,

China), Y M Yan, R Peng, Y S Xiang

In this paper, the authors consider two types of failures in a single-unit system: a traditional catastrophic

failure and a two-stage delay failure.

14:25-14:50 QR2MSE 2020-0006-0255 Fleet Maintenance Strategy Planning with Time Windows Integrated

with Multi-agent and Wolf Pack Reinforcement Learning/ Xinrui Ma (System Engineering Research

Institute, China), Haixu Li, Zheng Zhou, Bo Chen

A fleet maintenance strategy planning approach based on multi-agent and reinforcement learning is

studied in this paper.

14:50-15:15 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0250 Prediction of Spindle Rotation Error through Vibration Signal Based on

Bi-LSTM Classification Network/ Jianhong Liang (Southwest University of Science and Technology,

China), Liping Wang, Jun Wu, Zhigui Liu, Guang Yu

This literature proposes a novel uncompressed approach to predict spindle rotation error through

vibration signal based on Bi-LSTM classification network.

15:15-15:40 QR2MSE 2020-0008-0263 Deformation Inspection and Safety Assessment Method of Buried Flexible

Pipeline in Service/ Xinmin Zhu, Shaokong Feng, Tao Huang, Feng Shang, Lufei Yang (China Institute

of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, China)

A laser scanning and piecewise elliptic curve fitting combined method is proposed to measure the empty

pipeline deformation in this paper.

15:40-16:10 Tea Break

- 40 -


OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020

October 10 [Saturday] Oral Session D in Conference Room 3-3

16:10-17:50 Special Session on “Uncertainty Quantification of Time-Varying Systems” (XI)

Moderators: Prof. Zhonglai Wang, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China

Prof. Shun-Peng Zhu, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China

16:10-16:35 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0064 A Novel ISLE-ESE Method for Mixed-variable Experiment Design / J W

Yang (National University of Defense Technology, China), Z P Wu, W J Wang, J X Li, W H Zhang, J B

Sun, H L Zhao, Q Wen, X Zhen

In this paper, a novel method is proposed for solving mixed-variable problem by combing the Enhanced

Stochastic

16:35-17:00 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0079 Dynamic Safety Assessment of Aircraft Mechanism Using Extremum

Framework with Fault Tree Analysis/ J Y Chen (Northwestern Polytechnical University, China), Y W

Feng, Y N Guo, C Lu

In this paper, a hybrid two-level inventory allocation method based on multi-echelon technique for

recoverable item control (METRIC) is applied to the spare parts allocation of amphibious aircraft.

17:00-17:25 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0247 Influential Parameter Analyses for Sinking Velocity with Measured Data /

X F Xue (Northwestern Polytechnical University, China), Y W Feng, Q Y Du, C Lu

This paper studies the effect of operational parameters on the sinking velocity of the landing gear of

carrier-based aircraft, the influential analyses of various related parameters are performed based on the

measured data of F/A-18.

17:25-17:50 QR2MSE 2020-0008-0393 An Efficient and Robust Method for Structural Reliability Analysis and Its

Application in Reliability-based Design Optimization/ Dequan Zhang (Hebei University of Technology,

China), Meide Yang, Xu Han

In this study, a new efficient and robust method is proposed to overcome the difficulties in convergence

and is applied to reliability-based design optimization (RBDO).

18:00 Banquet

- 41 -


OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020



Moderators: Prof. Chuanhai Chen, Jilin University, China

Prof. Jihong Pang, Wenzhou University, China

16:10-16:35 QR2MSE 2020-0003-0021 Comprehensive Evaluation for Design for Design Scheme of Metro

Auxiliary Power Supply System Based on FAHP/ Q Gong (Dalian Jiaotong University, China), B Z Chen,

P P Zhi, Y H Li

This paper considers the main factors that affect the design scheme of power supply system, and the

fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (FAHP) is used to comprehensively evaluate the design scheme of

metro auxiliary power supply system.

16:35-17:00 QR2MSE 2020-0003-0202 Reliability Analysis of Girth Welds by Using Finite Element Simulations with

Uncertain Material Properties/ Cheng Qian, Jin Xiao Meng (Beihang University, China), Yi Ren, Bo Sun,

Qiang Feng, De Zhen Yang, Zi Li Wang

This paper proposes a reliability simulation method combining the finite element simulation technology

and stress-strength model to predict the structural reliability of girth welds with the following steps.

17:00-17:25 QR2MSE 2020-0008-0409 Discrete-Time Bayesian Network for Reliability Analysis of Multi-Level

System with Warm Spare Gate/ Xiang Li (University of Electronic Science and Technology of China,

China), Hong-Zhong Huang

This paper puts emphases on analysing the dynamic reliability characteristics of dormant systems with

WSP gates by utilizing DTBNs.

17:25-17:50 QR2MSE 2020-0008-0410 Time-variant Reliability Analysis Method under Multiple Failure Modes and

a Small Failure Probability / Hua-Ming Qian (University of Electronic Science and Technology of China,

China), Ke Wang, Yan-Feng Li, Hong-Zhong Huang

This paper proposes a time-variant system reliability analysis method by combining multiple response

Gaussian process (MRGP) and subset simulation (SS) to solve the small failure probability problem.

18:00 Banquet

- 42 -


OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020



Moderators: Prof. Ning Wang, Chang'an University, China

Prof. Siqi Qiu, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, China

16:10-16:35 QR2MSE 2020-0004-0246 Extraction and Utilization of Satellite Products Life and Reliability Data on

Orbit/ Xinqi Lv (Beijing Institute of Spacecraft System Engineering, China), Jingyan Wang, Nan Du

This paper puts forward the basic method of reliability feature extraction based on satellite telemetry

data.

16:35-17:00 QR2MSE 2020-0004-0027 Effect of Variable Transformations in Joint Monitoring of Process

Parameters and Identification of Efficient Charting Plans/ Q Li (Beihang University, China), A Mukherjee,

J Yang

In this paper, a novel scheme for monitoring two-parameter exponential distribution by using Laplace

transformation method based on the Maximum Likelihood Estimators (MLE) is introduced.

17:00-17:25 QR2MSE 2020-0004-0186 Bearing Fault Diagnosis Based on the Improved Local Mean

Decomposition / J. P. Xing (Qingdao University of Technology, China), T. R. Lin

An autoregressive (AR) model is employed in this paper to predict the continuation of a signal at the

endpoints.

17:25-17:50 QR2MSE 2020-0004-0225 Field Test of Online Leakage Noise Monitoring for Pressure Water Pipeline/

Tianxiang Lin (Shanghai Jiao Tong University, China), Guanlin Ye, Shaokong Feng, Xinmin Zhu

In this study, the online monitoring test is carried out by utilizing the water pipeline.

18:00 Banquet

- 43 -


OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020


16:10-17:50 Robust, Reliability-Based, and Lifecycle Design (V)

Moderators: Prof. Hui Jin, Southeast University, China

Dr. Gui-Jie Li, China Academy Of Engineering Physics, China

16:10-16:35 QR2MSE 2020-0005-0046 Reliability Engineering Design Method Based on Generalized Margin

Design Theory/ Wensheng Peng (China Aero-Polytechnology Establishment, China), Yonghong Li

This paper proposes a reliability engineering design method based on the general margin theory, and

the quantification relationships between the statistic reliability parameters and general margin

parameters are established.

16:35-17:00 QR2MSE 2020-0002-0136 An Efficient Global Reliability Analysis Method for Turbine Disc’s

Multi-failure Modes Considering Importance Distribution Technology/ Yu Liu (Beihang University, China),

Xi Liu, Dianyin Hu, Rongqiao Wang

In this paper, it presents an improved efficient global reliability analysis (EGRA) method for a turbine disc

considering the importance distribution of multi-failure modes, such as low cycle fatigue (LCF) and

creep-fatigue (CF).

17:00-17:25 QR2MSE 2020-0008-0412 A New Ordering Method of Basic Events via Sequential Binary Decision

Diagram / Yifan Li (University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China), Hong-Zhong

Huang

This paper studies the key factors influencing the scale of SBDD, expounds the precedence relationship

when factors are taken into account in the ordering, and finally gets a new method of basic events

ordering for SBDD.

17:25-17:50 QR2MSE 2020-0008-0413 Fatigue Life Prediction of an Aero-engine Turbine Shaft under Combined

High Cycle Loading and Low Cycle Loading / S Bai (University of Electronic Science and Technology of

China, China), Hong-Zhong Huang

In this paper, the author considers the interaction between high cycle and low cycle loading when

predicting fatigue life of an aero-engine turbine shaft.

18:00 Banquet

- 44 -


OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020


16:10-17:50 Failure Physics, Material Science, Data Analysis, and Reliability Testing(VII)

Moderators: Prof. Renyan Jiang, Changsha University of Science & Technology, China

Prof. Yan-Feng Li, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China

16:10-16:35 QR2MSE 2020-0001-0350 A Reliability Evaluation Method for RV Reducer by Combining Multi-fidelity

model and Bayesian Updating Technology / Z H Jiang (University of Electronic Science and Technology

of China), X L Zhang and J Q Liu

In this paper, the stochastic dynamic response analysis and dynamic reliability estimation method is

proposed for RV reducer

16:35-17:00 QR2MSE 2020-0007-0298 The Impact of Coronavirus Disease 2019 on the Price of Chinese

Important Production Material Market/ Shuxuan Huang (Beijing Information Science and Technology

University, China), Ruobing Zhan, Junlin Tian, Chunhua Jin, Anran Wang, Kaiye Gao

In this paper, the impact of the novel coronavirus pneumonia on the market price of important production

data in China is analyzed.

17:00-17:25 QR2MSE 2020-0008-0408 Reliability Test Design for Qualification and Production Acceptance based

on Weibull Distribution/ Peng Huang (University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China),

Hong-Zhong Huang

In this paper, a reliability qualification and production acceptance test method based on Weibull

distribution is proposed to deal with the inapplicability of the traditional exponential distribution test

plans.

17:25-17:50 QR2MSE 2020-0008-0411 Reliability Analysis of Industrial Robot Drivers Considering Multiple

Failures Dependence/ Ao-Di Yu (University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China),

Hong-Zhong Huang

In this paper, a reliability analysis method for industrial robot drivers considering multiple failure

dependence is proposed.

18:00 Banquet

- 45 -


OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020

October 11 [Sunday] Oral Session E in Conference Room 3-3


Moderators: Prof. Bin Suo, China Academy of Engineering Physics, China

Prof. Shun-Peng Zhu, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China

08:30-08:50

QR2MSE 2020-0001-0104 A Method of Reliability Weight Distribution of Wind Turbines/ Xin Li (Inner

Mongolia University of Technology, China), Ying Wang, Lele Zhang, Jingshen Zhao, Sheng Liang

In this paper, the method takes both maintenance data and expert knowledge into consideration, which

can well avoid one-sided problem from the view of considering only subjective or objective factors.

08:50-09:10

QR2MSE 2020-0001-0051 Fitting Method of Small Sample P-S-N Curve Based on Weibull

Distribution/ T Huang (Lanzhou University of Technology, China), Z W An, Q Ma, M Q Han

This paper proposes a method which can obtain high-precision P-S-N curve fitting results in the case of

small samples.

09:10-09:30

QR2MSE 2020-0001-0036 Modelling and Failure Analysis of SiC MOSFET under the Effects of

Parasitic Parameters/ Xuerong Ye, Haonan Wang (Harbin Institute of Technology, China), Yaokang Lai,

Guofu Zhai, Yufeng Cao

In this paper, an improved SiC MOSFET model with all key parasitic parameters is built to set up an

accurate test circuit.

09:30-09:50

QR2MSE 2020-0001-0356 Modeling of UAV Integrated Logistics Support Process via an Agent-based

Method/ Q M Zhang, X S Hai (Beihang University, China)

An agent-based integrated logistics support simulation and evaluation model for unmanned aerial

vehicle (UAV) systems is proposed to meet the requirements of UAV system integrated support during

mission execution.

09:50-10:10 QR2MSE 2020-0008-0416 Multi-Objective Redundancy Allocation for Multi-State System Design

Under Epistemic Uncertainty of Component States / Tangfan Xiahou (University of Electronic Science

and Technology of China, China), Yu Liu, Qin Zhang

In this paper, a multi-objective RAP is developed for MSS design under the belief function theory.

10:10-10:30 Tea Break

- 46 -


OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020



Moderators: Prof. Guang-Jun Jiang, Inner Mongolia University of Technology, China

Prof. Wensheng Peng, China Aero-Polytechnology Establishment, China

08:30-08:50

QR2MSE 2020-0004-0007 Research on Organizational Reliability Capability System of

Electromechanical Product Manufacturing Enterprise/ Zong-Yi Mu (Chongqing University, China), Yan

Ran, Gen-Bao Zhang, Xin Yang

This paper establishes the decomposition model of the ORC to understand its composition.

08:50-09:10

QR2MSE 2020-0004-0099 Bearing Fault Diagnosis Method Based on CNN-LightGBM/ Xin Jia

(Beihang University, China), Boping Xiao, Zhanjuan Zhao, Lin Ma, Naichao Wang

This paper presents a new fault diagnosis model based on CNN and light gradient boosting machine

(LightGBM).

09:10-09:30

QR2MSE 2020-0004-0106 The Construction of Digital Twin for Reliability of Liquid Level Volatile

Products/ DeZhen Yang, Jize Chen (Beihang University, China), Yi Ren, Bo Sun, Qiang Feng, Cheng

Qian

This paper proposes a scheme to estimate the liquid level information and predict the remaining life of

volatile liquid level products through reliability digital twin.

09:30-09:50

QR2MSE 2020-0008-0414 Remaining Useful Lifetime Prediction for Optoelectronic Pod Based on

Particle Filter / Y Zeng (University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China), Hong-Zhong

Huang

In this paper, the author analyzes the reliability of common optoelectronic pods using the Failure Mode

and Effects Analysis (FMEA), and after that, the remaining useful lifetime of the key component will be

predicted by Particle Filter algorithm.

09:50-10:10

QR2MSE 2020-0008-0415 The Module Fault Stratification and Propagation Analysis of Hybrid System

/ Tingyu Zhang (University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China), Hong-Zhong Huang

In this paper, a method based on fault layering of hardware and software hybrid fault propagation mode

is proposed, and the system fault propagation path is further obtained.

10:10-10:30 Tea Break

- 47 -


OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020



Moderators: Prof. Hai-Ying Cheng, Inner Mongolia University of Technology, China

Prof. Siqi Qiu, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, China

08:30-08:50

QR2MSE 2020-0003-0140 Reliability Analysis and Optimization of Production System for Production

Scheduling/ Weiwei Duan (Beihang University, China), Wei Dai, Yue Wang, Jiahuan Sun

This paper proposes a new strategy for production scheduling to ensure the reliability of the production

system when planning production tasks.

08:50-09:10

QR2MSE 2020-0003-0260 Prediction Model of Aeronautics Equipment Spare Parts Considering Spare

Part Sharing/ Yanluo Geng (Aeronautical Radio Electronics Research Institute, China)

Considering spare part sharing, this paper proposes a prediction method of aeronautics equipment

spare parts requirement to reduce high spare parts sharing proportion of similar types of aeronautics

equipment.

09:10-09:30

QR2MSE 2020-0003-0201 Research of Multi-objective Component Assignment Problem for

Lin/con/k/n System Considering Cost/ Muhammad Rashid (Northwestern Polytechnical University,

China), Huiying Cao, Chenyang Ma, Mudassar Rehman, Zhiqiang Cai

This paper resolves the multi-response component assignment problem for Lin/con/k/n system to boost

up the reliability, and maintenance cost reduction of the overall system.

09:30-09:50

QR2MSE 2020-0003-0209 Ergonomics Optimization of Heavy Commercial Vehicle/ S Y Zhang (Inner

Mongolia University of Technology, China), R Y Pang, C Liu

This paper simplifies the human body model into a two-rod structure, and establishes a human sitting

posture model and a steering wheel model for the upper limbs, based on the revised Chinese human

body size.

9:50-10:10

QR2MSE 2020-0008-0403 Selective Maintenance Strategy Optimization for Multi-state Systems under

Imperfect Observations and Stochastic Imperfect Maintenance/ Chunyang Li (University of Electronic

Science and Technology of China, China), Boyuan Zhang, Yu Liu

This paper considers stochastic imperfect maintenance actions to capture uncertainty in the outcome of

maintenance actions after previous mission and their impact on MSS reliability.

10:10-10:30 Tea Break

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OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020



Moderators: Prof. Kaiye Gao, Beijing Information Science and Technology University, China

Prof. Yan-Feng Li, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China

08:30-08:50

QR2MSE 2020-0002-0028 Reliability Life Analysis of Blades of Twin-shaft Mixer Based on Wear

Failure/ Nan-Xi Li (Inner Mongolia University of Technology, China), Hai-Ying Cheng, Jiang Liu

In this paper, the mathematical model expression of the wear amount and the load on the blades of the

twin-shaft mixer in a single cycle is established, and through Monte Carlo method to simulate the load

distribution law to predict the reliability life of the mixer blade.

08:50-09:10

QR2MSE 2020-0002-0029 Failure Analysis of Asphalt Foaming Device Based on FEMA and FTA/

Zhun Luo (Inner Mongolia University of Technology, China), Hai-Ying Cheng

In this paper, it proposes to combine the two methods, using the complementarity of the FMEA method

and the FTA method, and targeting the innovative product- The six subsystems of the bubble device

perform fault analysis, and propose corresponding solutions.

09:10-09:30

QR2MSE 2020-0002-0129 Reliability Evaluation of Li / SOCl2 Battery for Smart Electricity Meter

Based on Remaining Capacity/ Xuerong Ye, Qisen Sun (Harbin Institute of Technology, China),

Haoxiang Li, Wenwen Li, Li Liu, Guofu Zhai

This paper presents a polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) based method to evaluate the reliability

problem with temporal and spatial variations.

09:30-09:50

QR2MSE 2020-0008-0401 An Adaptive Framework for Integrated Circuit Marking Recognition in

Electronic Device Manufacturing/ Zhongshu Chen (University of Electronic Science and Technology of

China, China), Yu Liu

In this paper, an adaptive IC marking recognition framework containing four deep learning (DL)

supported components is proposed to address the challenges.

09:50-10:10 QR2MSE 2020-0008-0402 A Fuzzy Markov Decision Process Approach to the Optimal Maintenance

Policy of Wind Turbine Generation Systems/ Tudi Huang (University of Electronic Science and

Technology of China, China), Yu Liu, Hong-Zhong Huang

In this paper, the wind turbine generation system is chosen and the maintenance optimization model of

the wind turbine generation system is constructed based on FMDP.

10:10-10:30 Tea Break

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OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020


08:30-10:10 Maintenance and Warranty Management (VI)

Moderators: Prof. Ning Wang, Chang'an University, China

Prof. Yi Zhang, Tsinghua University, China

08:30-08:50

QR2MSE 2020-0006-0150 Maintenance Decision of Meta-action Unit Based on Grey- BWM/ Xinlong

Li (Chongqing University, China), Yan Ran, Hui Yu, Yifan Chen, Genbao Zhang

In this paper, the meta-action unit is taken as the research carrier, and the grey weight of each criteria is

obtained by combining the grey system theory with the best worst method (BWM).

08:50-09:10

QR2MSE 2020-0006-0077 Research on Opportunity Maintenance Strategy of Wind Turbines Based

on Incomplete Maintenance/ C Liu (Inner Mongolia University of Technology, China), R Y Pang, C Han,

T T Liu

In this paper, an opportunity maintenance strategy for wind turbines based on incomplete maintenance

is proposed.

09:10-09:30

QR2MSE 2020-0008-0404 Performance Analysis and Optimization Design of Reciprocating Seals

with Finite Element Analysis/ Chen-Fei Liu (University of Electronic Science and Technology of China,

China), Yu Liu

In this paper, the authors choose the rubber (NBR) O-ring (referred to as O-ring) seal as the research

subject, and then use the finite element analysis in ANSYS to establish a two-dimensional axisymmetric

simplified model of the sealing.

09:30-09:50

QR2MSE 2020-0008-0405 Parameter Estimation for Sandwich Structure Based on Hierarchical

Bayesian Model/ Bin Zheng (University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China), Tao

Jiang, Yu Liu

This paper introduces two ways to handle latent variables in hierarchical Bayesian model.

09:50-10:10

QR2MSE 2020-0008-0406 Reliability Structure Function Learning with Incomplete Data for Multi-state

Systems/ Yi-Xuan Zheng (University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China), Tao Jiang,

Yu Liu

This paper introduces reliability structure function learning with incomplete data for multi-state systems.

10:10-10:30 Tea Break

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OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020

October 11 [Sunday] Oral Session F in Conference Room 3-3


Moderators: Prof. Chuanhai Chen, Jilin University, China

Prof. Huanwei Xu, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China

10:30-10:50

QR2MSE2020-0002-0308 Dynamics and Reliability Analysis of the Deployment Process of Spring

Folding Wing / Yun Gao (Zhejiang Sci-Tech University, China), Ming Hu, Deming Zhao, Xingwen Gao,

Jiangfeng Lin

In this paper, the theoretical model of kinematics and dynamics which considering the gravity moment is

established by simplifying the geometric model of deployment mechanism of the folding wing.

10:50-11:10

QR2MSE 2020-0002-0152 Reliability Analysis of Dependent Systems Using Copula Bayesian

Networks: A Case Study/ Guofeng Xie (University of Electronic Science and Technology of China,

China), Liudong Xing, Faisal Khan, Liping He

In this paper, a Copula Bayesian Network (CBN) model to address challenge of modeling non-linear

relationships is presented.

11:10-11:30

QR2MSE 2020-0002-0041 Reliability Analysis of Fuzzy Random Mixed Uncertainty Based on

Universal Generating Function/ H H Sun, C W Li (Inner Mongolia University of Technology, China), H X

Chen, H H Yang

This paper proposes a method for reliability analysis of mixed fuzzy and random variables.

11:30-11:50

QR2MSE 2020-0002-0305 Improving the Risk Assessment of FMEA in Foamed Asphalt Preparation

Plant Based on Intuitionistic Fuzzy/ Zhun Luo (Inner Mongolia University of Technology, China),

Hai-Ying Cheng

This paper aims at the shortcomings and shortcomings of traditional failure mode and effect analysis

(FMEA) method.

12:00-14:00 Lunch

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OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020



Moderators: Prof. Zhonglai Wang, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China

Prof. Cheng Qian, Beihang University, China

10:30-10:50

QR2MSE 2020-0004-0158 Accuracy Degradation Model and Residual Accuracy Life Prediction of

CNC Machine Tools Based on Wiener Process/ Shilin Li (Chongqing University, China), Yan Ran,

Genbao Zhang, Dingfei Zhang

In this paper, an accuracy degradation model of CNC machine tools is established based on the

nonlinear Wiener process.

10:50-11:10

QR2MSE 2020-0004-0191 Fault Diagnosis for Mechanical System Using Dynamic Bayesian

Network/ Tian Yang Pang (Northwestern Polytechnical University, China), Tian Xiang Yu, Bi Feng Song

This paper focuses on the fault diagnosis of mechanical systems based on dynamic Bayesian network

(DBN) model.

11:10-11:30

QR2MSE 2020-0004-0231 The Epidemic Prediction of Coronavirus Disease 2019 Based on a SEIR

(Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Removed) Model Considering Population Migration between Wuhan

and other Provinces in China/ Anran Wang (Beijing Information Science and Technology University,

China), Ruobing Zhan, Fen Yu, Jie Mi, Kaiye Gao

This article proposes the SEIR infectious disease dynamics model introduced the inter-provincial

migration factor, which is called the SEIRM model.

11:30-11:50

QR2MSE 2020-0004-0226 Fault Diagnosis of Rolling Bearing Based on Empirical Mode

Decomposition and Convolutional Recurrent Neural Network/ Mulin Huang (Beihang University, China),

Tingting Huang, Yuepu Zhao, Wei Dai

In this paper, a method using vibration signals based on empirical mode decomposition (EMD) and

convolutional recurrent neural network (CRNN) is proposed.

12:00-14:00 Lunch

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OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020



Moderators: Prof. Lin Hu, Changsha University of Science & Technology, China

Prof. Xiaohong Hao, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China

10:30-10:50

QR2MSE 2020-0004-0133 Fault Prediction Method of Analog Circuits Based on MLSTM/ Hui Fan

(Beihang University, China), Weiwei Hu, Tianyu Si, Yufeng Sun

A fault prediction method for analog circuits based on Multi-scale and Long-Short Term Memory

(MLSTM) is proposed in this paper.

10:50-11:10

QR2MSE 2020-0004-0235 Research on Reliability Prediction Method of Complex Mechanical Product

Based on Meta-action Unit/ Wei Zhang (Chongqing University, China), Yan Ran, Yu-long Li, Gen-bao

Zhang

In this paper, a methodology based on meta-action unit (MAU) which is the basic units affecting reliability

is proposed.

11:10-11:30

QR2MSE 2020-0004-0336 Vibration Indicator-based Graph Convolutional Network for

Semi-supervised Bearing Fault Diagnosis/ S H Wang (Xi’an Jiaotong University, China), S B Xing, Y G

Lei, N Lu, N P Li

This paper proposes a vibration indicator-based graph convolutional neural network (VI-GCN) for fault

diagnosis.

12:00-14:00 Lunch

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OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020



Moderators: Prof. Tianxiang Yu, Northwestern Polytechnical University, China

Prof. Yu Liu, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China

10:30-10:50

QR2MSE 2020-0002-0339 Reliability Analysis of Discrete Multi-state Systems Based on Survival

Signature / H Liang (University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, China), J Mi, L Bai, Y

Cheng

In this paper, a novel pattern of survival signature for the multi-state system with multiple types of

components is proposed.

10:50-11:10

QR2MSE 2020-0002-0054 Fuzzy FMECA for CNC Machine Tool Spindle System/ Hong-Xia Chen,

Yan-Qing Gong (Inner Mongolia University of Technology, China), Baosiriguleng, Wei-Long Qi

This paper extends the conventional failure modes, effect and criticality analysis by integrating which

with fuzzy theory to finitizing a failure analysis of an electric spindle system of a CNC machine tool.

11:10-11:30

QR2MSE2020-0002-0063 System Reliability Analysis of Forage Crushing Machine Mased on Fuzzy

FMECA/ X Y Zhai (Inner Mongolia University of Technology, China), Z P Zhai, Y Z Lan, Y M Wu, H Y

Cheng, C C Zhang

In this paper, the problems of high failure rate, poor reliability, and incomplete failure data associated

with forage crushing machines are addressed.

11:30-11:50

QR2MSE 2020-0002-0071 A Reliability Estimation of a CMTSC Considering Dynamic Clamping

Force/ Z P Zhai, B Y Zhang (Inner Mongolia University of Technology, China), Y Z Gong, H J Zhang, H Y

Cheng, Y Y Ren

This paper carries out a detailed reliability estimation of a CMTSC, in which the dynamic clamping force

of the chuck is considered.

12:00-14:00 Lunch

- 54 -


OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020


10:30-11:50 Reliability Modeling and Risk Analysis(I)

Moderators: Prof. Haitao Zhao, Beijing Institute of Spacecraft System Engineering, China

Prof. Weiwen Peng, Sun Yat-sen University, China

10:30-10:50

QR2MSE 2020-0001-0025 Time-dependent Reliability Moment-independent Global Sensitivity

Analysis of Planar Motion Mechanisms / Q Guo (Northwestern Polytechnical University, China), Y S Liu

and B Q Chen

In this paper, an active learning Kriging method is introduced to solve the time-dependent reliability and

sensitivity index efficiently.

10:50-11:10

QR2MSE 2020-0001-0042 Information Fusion of Discrete Variables and Continuous Variables Based

on D-S Evidential Theory/ H H Yang(Inner Mongolia University of Technology), H H Sun, H X Chen, G J

Jiang, C W Li

An information fusion method based on Dempster's rule of combination of D-S evidence theory was

proposed to facilitate the reliability analysis by integrating information.

11:10-11:30

QR2MSE 2020-0002-0118 Hierarchical Bayesian Based Reliability Analysis of a Sharing Storage

Processor/ Guang-Jun Jiang, Zong-Yuan Li (Inner Mongolia University of Technology, China), Hong-Xia

Chen, Guan Qiao, Hong-Hua Sun

In this paper, a hierarchical Bayesian model and multi-source information fusion joint method is

investigated and then implemented to the parameter estimation of failure data as well as reliability

analysis of a Sharing Storage Processor (SSP).

11:30-11:50

QR2MSE 2020-0001-0214 An Improved Detection Algorithm of Three-phase Unbalanced Voltage Sag

Detection Method for Improving Power Supply Reliability/ C Peng, S L Hu (University of Electronic

Science and Technology of China, China) X H Hao

In this paper, based on the symmetrical component method, an improved detection algorithm for

three-phase unbalanced voltage sag is proposed.

12:00-14:00 Lunch

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OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020

VII. Conference Information

A. Conference Floor

Floor for Oral Sessions

The 3rd Floor of Shaanxi great hall

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OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020

B. Registration

Regular 600USD Early Bird

(On or Before August 31, 2020) Student 450USD

Regular 800USD After August 31, 2020

Student 650USD

The regular registration fee includes the participation to all keynote speeches and technical sessions,

conference tour, lunches and banquet. For Student registration, both the conference tour and banquet are

not included.

C. Transportation

Shaanxi Guesthouse is located in No.1, Zhangba North Road, Xi’an.

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OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020

Access to Shaanxi Guesthouse

From Xi'an Xianyang International Airport

Xi'an Xianyang International Airport Shaanxi Guesthouse

Recommended routes：

1. Take a taxi ：about ¥100，45 minutes.

2. By bus：

Airport bus, Hilton Garden Hotel line: Get on the bus from the airport bus

station, after 2 stops, get off at the Greenland city terminal bus station. It takes

about 90 minutes. Operation time: 9:00-18:00.

37 km

From Xi’anbei Railway Station

Xi anbei Railway Station Shaanxi Guesthouse

Recommended routes：


2. By subway：

Xi an Metro Line 2: Get on the bus from the Beike railway station, after 16 stops, get

off at the Huizhanzhongxin Station, then take the No.526 bus from Huizhanzhongxin bus

station, after 11 stops, get off at the Zhangbaxilu Zhangbayilukou bus station. It takes

about 100 minutes. Operation time: 6:00-23:00.

32 km

From Xi’an Railway Station

Xi'an Railway Station Shaanxi Guesthouse

Recommended routes：（The bus station is next to the railway station.）


2. By bus：

No.251 bus: Get on the bus from the railway bus station, after 26 stops, get off at

the Chazhangcun bus station. It takes about 70 minutes. Operation time: 6:00-20:30.

15 km

- 58 -


OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020

Contact information of conference secretariat

On-site helpers and volunteers at Xi’an Xianyang International Airport and Shaanxi Guesthouse are as

follows.

Mr. Zhi-Ming Deng +86 13594082217

Xi’an Xianyang International Airport Mr. Tu-Di Huang +86 18200145088

Mr. Xue-Ming Wang +86 18280294065 Shaanxi Guesthouse

Mr. Hai-Sheng Yuan +86 13438163191

* Please do contact the conference secretariat if you need any help on transportation.

- 59 -


OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020

D. General Information

About Xi'an

Xi'an(西安), conventional Sian, historically Chang'an, city and capital of Shaanxi province, north-central

China. Located on a low plain on the southern bank of the Wei River, Xi'an is not only one of China's major

industrialized citied, but also a market and trade center in the history of China. In addition, as the eastern

terminus of the Silk Road, the ancient trade route that connected China with the Mediterranean, Xi'an is the

center of an important farming region known for the cotton, wheat, and tea.

Xi'an is a charming city with a long history and the famous Xi'an incident also happened here. The Xi'an

Incident and its peaceful settlement occupy an important historical position in the development of Chinese

society. Moreover, it is the turning point of China's social politics from autocracy to gradual democracy.

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OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020

About Tourism

Emperor Qinshihuang’s Mausoleum Site Museum(Terra-cotta Warriors Museum)(秦始皇帝陵博物馆)

is one that is specialized in relic display. As one of the most famous cultural scenic spots in China, it

symbolizes China's long ancient history and culture. The main objects exhibited here are the terra-cotta

figures of more than 2000 years old that stand for the garrison force of protecting Emperor Qinshihuang's

mausoleum. Qinshihuang is the first feudal emperor in Chinese history who has a crucial influence on

Chinese history and culture, and the construction of the Great Wall is also organized by him.

Approximately 500 satellite tombs and pits have been discovered in the vicinity of the mausoleum. The tomb

which covers an area of 56.25sq.km lies in Lintong District, Xi'an city. The Terra-cotta Warriors and horses

are all life-sized, and the warriors carry real bronze battle weapons. People called this find "one of the world

wonders" and "one of the greatest archaeological discoveries of the twentieth century". Originally, the tomb

was 115m high. After over 2000 years weathering, the mausoleum today still remains more than 70m in

height. At present, 196 burial tombs have been discovered, including the Bronze Chariots pit, the Rare Birds

pits, the Barns pits in small and large scales, the Stone Armor pit, the Warriors and Horses pits and other

sacrificial pits. The mausoleum including the pits of Terra-cotta Warriors and Horses was listed as one of the

UNESCO World Cultural Heritage Site on December 7th 1987.

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OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020

Hua Qing Palace(华清宫) Huaqing Palace (Huaqing Hot Spring & Lishan Mountain) scenic spot is located

30 kilometers away from the east of Xi'an city, and it is adjacent to the Terra-Cotta Warriors, the well-known

Eighth Wonder of the World. The Huaqing Palace was built more than 1,000 years ago during the Tang

Dynasty of China, and Tang Xuanzong, the Emperor of the Tang Dynasty, visited it almost every year. The

Huaqing Palace is also called the Huaqing Pool and it is entitled as the first batch of National 5A-Grade

Tourist Attraction, National Key Scenic Spot, National Key Cultural Relics Protection Site and National

Cultural Industry Demonstration Base. The emperors of Zhou Dynasty, Qin Dynasty, Han Dynasty, Sui

Dynasty all once established temporary palace or villas in this place. The Huaqing Palace is one of China's

priceless treasures. Many historical relics have been unearthed here and many prestigious writers have high

praise and evaluation for it. Its appearance is very artistic, here you can enjoy the unique style of Chinese

royal garden.

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OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020

Big Wild Goose Pagoda(大雁塔). As the symbol of Xi'an city, Big Wild Goose Pagoda is a well-preserved

ancient building and a holy palace for Buddhists. It is located in the southern suburb of Xi'an city, about 4

kilometers from the downtown of the city. Rated as a National Key Cultural Relic Preserve as well as a

5A-Grade Tourist Attraction. Built in 652, the Pagoda originally functioned as a repository for Buddhist

materials that were taken from India. First built to height of 60 meters with five stories, it is now 64.5 meters

high with an additional two stories. There is a Chinese saying that saving a life exceeds building a

seven-storied pagoda. Inside the pagoda, stairs twist up so that visitors can climb and overlook the

panorama of Xi'an city and on the walls are engraved fine statues of Buddha by the renowned artist Yan

Liben of the Tang Dynasty. Steles by noted calligraphers also grace the pagoda. There is a legend about the

origin of the name of the Big Wild Goose Pagoda. Ancient Buddhist stories have two branches, one of which

holds that eating meat is not a taboo. One day, they can not find meat to buy. Seeing a group of big wild

geese flying by, a monk said to himself: 'We have no meat. I hope the merciful Bodhisattva will give us

some.' At that moment, a wild goose broke its wings and fell to the ground. All the monks were shocked and

believed that Bodhisattva showed his spirit to order them to be more pious. Then the pagoda was

established where the wild goose fell.

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OCTOBER, 8-11, 2020

QR2MSE 2020

The Xi'an Circumvallation(西安城墙) is the largest and best-preserved ancient wall in China. As the first

batch of National 5A-Grade Tourist Attraction, it is located in the center of Xi'an city. Listed as one of the first

major historical and cultural site protected at the national level, the Xi'an Circumvallation was built in 1370

and completed in 1378. It is over 4 kilometers from the east to west and about 3 kilometers from the north to

south. There is a nice suggestion for tourists: Try biking on the City Wall and you will have an enjoyable and

interesting experience.

The Xi'an ancient Circumvallation includes a series of military facilities such as moat, drawbridge, sluice

tower, arrow tower, turret, enemy tower, parapet wall and ditch, forming a scientific, strict and complete

military defense system. If you're lucky, you'll encounter actors playing ancient Chinese troops patrolling by

your side. In addition, you have the opportunity to rent a variety of traditional ancient Chinese costumes

including dragon robes for a photo shoot.

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