INSIDE INTELLIGENCE: The Texas Weekly/Texas Tribune insider poll for 23 September 2016
The Texas Weekly/Texas Tribune insider poll
for the week of 23 September 2016
INSIDE INTELLIGENCE: The Texas Weekly/Texas Tribune insider poll for 23 September 2016
INSIDE INTELLIGENCE: The Texas Weekly/Texas Tribune insider poll for 23 September 2016
INSIDE INTELLIGENCE: The Texas Weekly/Texas Tribune insider poll for 23 September 2016
INSIDE INTELLIGENCE: The Texas Weekly/Texas Tribune insider poll for 23 September 2016
DoyoubelieverecentpollingonthepresidentialraceinTexasthathasDonaldTrumpperformingbelowagenericRepublicancandidateatthispoint?
•"Ibelievethepollingbutpollsdonotgaugeenthusiasm,whichwillbearealfactorinNovember."
•"Therearestatistics,pollsanddamnlies.Getmypoint.The2014midtermpollswereVERYwrong.Youthinkpollsarenotmanipulated?Ifso,you'renaiveandclueless.No,youarepartoftheestablishment."
•"Yes,buthe'sgaininggroundrecentlyasHillaryfaltersandasmanyRepublicansreturnhome,asexpected."
•"IbelievethereareplentyofCountryClubRepublicanswhowillneveradmittheyarevotingforTrump."
•"Thismanisacompleteandtotalimbecile,thecenterofanoperabuffa.Heistheexceptionthatprovestherule;MichaelBloombergandWarrenBuffetcorrectlyridiculehimfornotbeinga
INSIDE INTELLIGENCE: The Texas Weekly/Texas Tribune insider poll for 23 September 2016
verygoodbusinessman.TherearetoomanywellrespectedRepublicansofeverystripethatbelievehe'sactually,andhasalwaysbeen,aDemocrat:MittRomney,Sen.LindseyGraham,Sen.SusanCollinsandformerPresidentGeorgeH.W.Bush,tonameafew.Toomanyintelligencespecialists,namelyGen.MichaelHaydenandSecretaryRobertGates,believehimtobedangeroustoAmerica'slong-terminterest.Lastly,hiscriticismofSen.McCainisunforgivable.McCainisawarherobecauseherefusedearlyreleaseknowingtheNorthVietnamesewouldgainpoliticalpointsanddemoralizehisfellowAmericanPOWsforreleasingtheson(andgrandson)ofaNavyAdmiral(s)."
•"IfevertherewasaRINO,Trumpisit."
•"Hewillstillwinbyatleastsixtoeightpercent."
•"Ihavefriendswho'restillcommittedtoNOTvoting."
•"Thosegenericcandidatesneverquiteworkout,dothey?"
•"PerformingbelowpriorlegitimateRepublicans,butnotbelowHillaryClinton."
•"No,Idon'tbelievethepolls.Thisisamovementelection.Fromunprecedentedturnoutatralliestorecordbreakingsmall-dollarfundraising—nopollsterorpoliticalpundithasgottenanythingrightaboutthiselectionsofar."
•"Absolutely...TrumpwillbetrumpedinTexas.Meaning...hewillbeheldtosingledigitsfromHillary.Embarrassing..."
•"Contrarytowhatconservativeswouldhaveyoubelieve,moderateRepublicansareRepublicanvoters,too!"
•"Maybeatouch,butnotenoughtomatter."
•"TrumpinlovewithPutin"
DoyouagreewithDanPatrick’sassessmentthatTedCruzcouldbeleft“intherearviewmirroroftheRepublicanParty”ifhedoesn’tendorseTrump?
•"WhenTrumpwins,TCwillbeanegocentricflashinthepan."
•"Ibelieveitnotbecauseonehasto'kisstheking'sring'butaslongasCruzholdsout,heisrenegingonhispromisetosupportthenomineemadeinthedebates.Additionally,hisstatedreasonforholdingoutwasthathisfamilywas
insulted,notbecauseofcoreprinciples.Togethertheygivetheimageofaliarandahothead,whichfliesinthefaceofhispreviouslywellcultivatedimage."
•"Asdadalwayssaidaboutbadchoices,makeyourbedyouhavetosleepinit!Tedsteppedinsomedeep
INSIDE INTELLIGENCE: The Texas Weekly/Texas Tribune insider poll for 23 September 2016
cowpieattheconventionanditwillbehardtodigoutofit."
•"Ithappenswhenpoliticiansaremotivatedmorebytheirownpoliticalcareersthantheyarebyadesiretoserve."
•"Yes,buttherearviewmirrorisattachedtoahorseandbuggyrig."
•"DanPatrickisthebestpoliticalwindsockinTexas."
•"There'sadangerforCruzinnotendorsing.IfTrumpwinstherace,thedangerwillbeminimized,eveneliminated.IfTrumplosesacloseone,he'sinunchartedterritory."
•"TedCruzisthecrownedconservativeofTexasandhestillhashismoneypeoplebehindhim.IfDanisgoingtotakeaimattheking,hebetternotmiss."
•"IthinktheGOPisredefiningitselfandwho'stosaywhocomesoutflyingtheGOP's(asweknowit)banner."
•"Thecomingwreckagewillrequireserioustriage,butitwillbeforthosewhosupportedthenominee.Iammostdisappointedthattheother16candidatescouldnotdefeathimintheprimary."
•"DependsonwhetherTrumpwinsorlosesandifheloses,howbadly.IfTrumpwinsorlosesbutkeepsitclose(respectable?),thenyeah,Cruzwillbeleftbehind.ButifTrumplosesbadlyanddragsdowntheticket(U.S.Senateflips?),thenCruzgetstosay,'Itoldyouso,'andeveryonewillbescramblingtogetbackonhistrain."
•"TedCruz'snon-endorsementofTrumpistheonlyrespectableactionhe'stakeninfouryears."
•"Hemightbelookinglikeheis'intherearviewmirroroftheGOP,'butifthepollingiscorrectinTexas,therearemorepeopleherenotsupportingTrumpasexpectedandthatcouldkeepCruzaliveinpolitics."
•"ItalldependsontheNovemberresult."
•"TedCruzisalreadyintherearviewmirrorofhistory—hewassuchanoff-puttingcandidatethathecouldn'tevenbeatDonaldTrump.EvenifTrumploses,CruzwillnevergetoutofsingledigitsinapresidentialcampaignagainanditwillbearealshameifnobodyinTexashasthegutstorunagainsthim."
•"Grandstandingisn'tSenatorCruz'sstyle."
•"Cruzisprobablyalreadyapast-tenseplayer.Someonemorecharismaticandreasonable,appealingtoabroaderaudience,willappeareventuallyandwe'llstoplookingatthesecrazyclowns."
•"CruzisgoingtolookgoodifTrumploses.And,ifTrumpwins,Cruzwillbeonthesh*tlistanyway,sohe'sgotnothingtolose."
•"Cruzispasthisexpirationdate."
•"TedCruzisdone.Thisisnotbasedonhisnon-endorsementofTrumpbutratheronTeddy'sbeliefthatit'sallabouthim!"
INSIDE INTELLIGENCE: The Texas Weekly/Texas Tribune insider poll for 23 September 2016
•"BothCruzandPatrickareontherazor'sedge;eithercouldendupmorepowerfulaftertheelection."
•"TedCruzhasalreadybeenleftintherearviewmirror.Andhealreadyknowsit.LotsoffolksarehopingtoseeDanPatrickintheirrearviewmirror,too.ButDanwillbethelasttoknow."
•"Livebytheconservativebrand,diebytheconservativebrand.Thetrainhasleftthestation."
•"He'smyopicatbest."
•"DependsifTrumpwinsorbarelyloses.Ineithercase,Patrickwouldberight.Cruzwillbehurt."
•"Forawhile,peoplewerescaredtocrossTedCruz;thatisnolongerthecase.HeasksandasksforhelpandtheheartandsouloftheGOPaskedhimforhelpandhemadeitabouthimself,again..."
•"Passthedope."
•"Noloss"
WouldaTrumppresidencyendangerTexasRepublicans’majoritystatusinthenextfiveto10years?
•"Willstrengthenit,andbringnewvoterstotheparty.Yes,IsaidnewandmoreRepublicanvoters."
•"Yes,butIholdhopethathewillgraspthevalueofandbegintousemeasuredmessagingandstatesmanlikebehavior."
•"Butalso,itwillbethechangingdemographicsofthestateandurbanversusruraldominationthatwilltrulyleavetheRepublicansinthedust."
•"TrumpwillspeedtheinevitabledemiseoftheurbanRepublican.Demographicswilltakecareoftherest."
•"Hardtosay.Itiscertainlyaliability—fearoftheunknownwithcertainturbulenceahead.That'swhatisknown.Turbulence."
•"Notlikely,intheirprimaryre-electionbothSpeakerRyanandSen.
McCaindifferentiatedthemselvesfromthenominee.Similarly,TexasRepublicansvoterswilldothesame."
•"Ifhehasn'tcompletelydestroyedtheGOPbrandbynow,howonearthcouldhepossiblydosoduringapresidency?"
•"HaveyouseentheTexasDemocraticParty?"
•"TrumpisaYankeeandwewon'tpaymuchattentiontohim.Oh—yousaidaTrumppresidency.Thatain'tgonnahappen."
•"IfaTrumppresidencymeansthatthecountryissplittingonracial/ethniclines,thepartyreliantonoldwhitepeoplewillloseinthelongrun."
•"TrumpisbringingnewvoterstotheParty.He'spartofthesolution,nottheproblem."
INSIDE INTELLIGENCE: The Texas Weekly/Texas Tribune insider poll for 23 September 2016
•"IthinkTexasRepublicansaredoingagreatjobofendangeringthemselves...highertransportationdebt,recordtollroaddebt,CPSdebacles,lackofpubliceducationfunding,endangeringtheTexasbusinessclimate,andlackoffocusonthebiggerpicturesissueswhichallowsTexastobeadominantforceintheU.S."
•"Texanswouldwakeupandvote.'SaygoodnightDan.'"
•"Itdependshowheperformsaspresident."
•"He'llbemoresuccessfulthanmostpeoplethink,politicallyandsubstantively."
•"Nexttwoyears"
•"Onlyiftheestablishmenteliteskeepwhining..."
WouldawinthisyearbyHillaryClintonbebetterforTexasRepublicansinthelongrun?
•"IfTexasRepublicanscan'tgetittogetheraftereightyearsofObamanism,thenfouryearsofClintonain'tgonnahelpthem."
•"Meh"
•"She'llcoddleandencouragemorewhowillbecomedependentuponthegovernmentteat.ToomanyofthosevotingwillcausetheRepublicanstogettoofarbehindtocatchup."
•"Theycankeepbashingandsuingthefeds.However,theystillfacethedemographicseachangethatiscoming."
•"ItwouldbebetterforTexasasitwouldpromotemorecompetitivenessandhopefullymoderation."
•"RepublicansarereallygoodatsayingNO,notsomuchwithyes."
•"FourmoreyearsofcampaigningagainsttheWashingtonelitewhoaredestroyingourfreedomsandtakingourguns."
•"Wakeupcall.Wehavenotgottenourshittogetherandwhilewehavenoonetoblamebutourselves—havingthelowestofcommondenominatorsfromtheDemsastheleaderofthefreeworldshouldshocktheSamHoustonoutofanyred-blooded,LoneStarflagwavingTexan.Asageneralstatementofcourse,ifyouareaDemocratinTexasandyouaregenuinelyexcitedaboutyourparty'scandidate—thereisastrongchanceyoudidnotspendyourfirstbirthdayonTexassoil."
•"Shemaybealotofthings,buttherearetoomanyrespectableRepublicanswhoviewherinafavorablelight.ShewasaworkhorseintheSenateandaccruedkudosfromherfellowSenatorsasbeingeffectiveandconciliatory."
•"Allowsthemtoplayopposition,butunlesstheycansellideasoftheirownthatappealtovoters,thentheirgooseiscooked."
•"Asininequestion."
INSIDE INTELLIGENCE: The Texas Weekly/Texas Tribune insider poll for 23 September 2016
•"AwinbyHillaryClintonwon'tbebetterforanybody—notonlywillournationalleaderbeanamoralandunprincipledliarwhohasmademillionsoutofpublicservice—herpolicieswillleadourcountrydownthepathofmorecorruptionandwhineymediocrity."
•"It'llbetoughforTrumptowinbycomparinghimonlytoHillary.HeneedstoreachouttoTexans.I'mwaiting..."
•"HillarywilldosomuchdamagetotheU.S.SupremeCourt,itisworthalmostanythingtodenyhertheWhiteHouse.EvenaTrumpwouldbebetterthanHillary."
•"Yes,ifthepartystopsfocusingsomuchontheprimaryelectorateandstartsaddressingtheneedsofthepopulationasawhole."
•"Define'longrun.'Ifshewins,itwilltaketwogenerationstoundothedamage,ifitcanbeundoneatall."
•"AHillaryvictoryinTexasisamathematicimpossibility."
•"AwinbyHRCwillempowerRepublicansinTexasforanother10years.TheyhaverunagainstPresidentObamaandwonatthestateandlocallevels."
•"AssumingtheSecretarywins,itwillbehardtostaylongerthanaterm.TheTexasRepublicanshaveanaturalfoilfortheirownpoliciesplusthenationalpushonconservativeissues."
•"Republicansliketohaveavillain,realorfabricated.Makesiteasiertopreyonfear.RememberJadeHelm?"
•"Politically,yes,butthestateeconomycouldsufferunderthecontinuationofObama-typenationalpolicies."
•"Sheisbadnewsandhasbeenconsistentlywrongonmajorforeignpolicyissuesforever."
•"Ofcourse.WhatwilltheAGdoifthere'snobogey(wo-)manintheWhiteHousetosue?Why,they'dhavetomothballthatwholeoffice."
•"JustlikeitwasgoodforRushLimbaugh."
INSIDE INTELLIGENCE: The Texas Weekly/Texas Tribune insider poll for 23 September 2016
Ourthankstothisweek'sparticipants:GeneAcuna,CathieAdams,BrandonAlderete,ClydeAlexander,JayArnold,DaveBeckwith,AndrewBiar,AllenBlakemore,TomBlanton,ChrisBritton,RaifCalvert,LydiaCamarillo,MarcCampos,ElnaChristopher,KevinCooper,RandyCubriel,BethCubriel,CurtisCulwell,DeniseDavis,JuneDeadrick,TomDuffy,DavidDunn,RichardDyer,JackErskine,JohnEsparza,JonFisher,TomForbes,DominicGiarratani,BruceGibson,StephanieGibson,DanielGonzalez,JohnGreytok,WayneHamilton,BillHammond,SusanHays,SteveHolzheauser,DeborahIngersoll,MarkJones,WaltJordan,LisaKaufman,RobertKepple,RichardKhouri,TomKleinworth,SandyKress,DaleLaine,NickLampson,PeteLaney,DickLavine,JamesLeBas,LukeLegate,MyraLeo,RubenLongoria,HomeroLucero,MattMackowiak,JasonMcElvaney,SteveMinick,BeeMoorhead,MikeMoses,HarrietO'Neill,NefPartida,GardnerPate,RobertPeeler,JerryPhilips,TomPhillips,WaynePierce,RichardPineda,AllenPlace,GaryPolland,PatrickReinhart,DavidReynolds,CarlRichie,A.J.Rodriguez,GrantRuckel,AndySansom,BarbaraSchlief,StanSchlueter,RobertScott,BruceScott,NancySims,EdSmall,MarkSmith,LeonardSpearman,DennisSpeight,TomSpilman,SherrySylvester,SaraTays,VickiTruitt,WareWendell,DavidWhite,DarrenWhitehurst,MichaelWilliams,SethWinick,PeckYoung,AngeloZottarelli.