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lWhatisthegrowthpotentialforspecificsteelproductsineachUSstateoutto2020?
lWhichsteelproductshavethebestlong-termprospects?
lWhatarethegrowthprospectsforeachend-usersectorintheUSAoutto2020?
NEWandExpanded
TheUSSteelIndustryState-by-State Analysis and Forecasts out to 2020
Never seen before data for each of the 50states
Metal Bulletin Research (MBR) has conducted extensive research into the US market on a national and state level in this new, exclusive and comprehensive study on the US steel industry – TheUSSteelIndustry–State-by-StateAnalysisandForecastsoutto2020.
The study provides comprehensive steel database for the US market ever constructed offering the following:
1) SteelConsumptionbyeachmajorsteelproductincluding:
FlatProductsl Hot rolled sheets/coilsl Cold rolled sheets/coilsl Plates cut lengths & coilsl Sheets & strip – galvanizedl Tin platel Sheets & strip - electricall Other (steel piling, tool steel, wire drawn or
rolled, black plate, tin free steel, tin coated sheets, sheet & strip – other coated, strip – hot rolled, and strip – cold rolled)
LongProductsl Wire rodsl Structural shapes l Rails & railroad accessoriesl Bars - hot rolledl Bars - reinforcingl Bars - cold finishedl Piping and tubing - oil country goodsl Other pipe and tube
2) Consumptionbymajorend-usersectorincluding:l Appliances and White Goods l Automotive l Service Centersl Construction
l Containers l Electrical l Machinery l Oil and Gas l Rail l Shipbuilding l Other
3) Consumptiondataforeachofthe50statesoftheUnitedStatesofAmerica
TheUSSteelIndustryState-by-State Analysis and Forecasts out to 2020
l Steel data was taken from AISI, AMM and MBR sources
l Various governmental statistical sources were employed to allocate products to states
l US Economic Census l Our forecasting methodology approach
included forecasting total US finished steel production; steel imports; shares by industry of total finished steel consumption; share by product for each of the industries; state shares for each of the industries
l We employed the robust Box-Jenkins time-series statistical regression approach in formulating our forecasting in tandem with conducting interviews with producers, traders, local/federal associations, service centers, and consumers in the automotive, appliance, shipping, energy and construction industries in applying ‘real-world’ data
ThemethodologybehindMBR’sdataandforecastsoutto2020
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1985 2011 2020
ServiceCenters 30 29 29
Construction 15 14 12
Auto 35 34 34
Rail 30 30 30
Shipbuilding 29 31 31
OilandGas 33 37 37
Machinery 21 36 36
Electrical 34 35 34
Appliances 20 19 18
Containers 28 28 28
Total 31 27 25
Source: Metal Bulletin Research
1985 2011 2020
0.4% 0.7% 0.7%
2.2% 2.3% 2.8%
0.1% 0.3% 0.3%
0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1.2% 0.5% 0.5%
0.3% 0.3% 0.4%
1.1% 0.7% 0.5%
0.4% 0.4% 0.3%
0.8% 1.0% 1.1%
StateRank PercentageofSteelConsumedbyIndustry
USstatesampleextract:Arizona
“IwouldrecommendMetalBulletinResearchasauniqueproviderofsteelmarketanalysisandforecasts”
MichaelAmez,Manager,A.T.Kearney,USA
*SampleTable:USConsumptionofSteel–“EndUserSector-Automotive”-1985-2020
Producttype Tons RankofsteelConsumption Percentage
1985 2011 2020 1985 2011 2020 1985 2011 2020
Wire Rods 500,689 86,019 97,876 5 5 9 9.5% 8.9% 3.2%
Structural Shapes (3" & over) 123,423 6,455 25,582 10 12 12 2.3% 0.7% 0.8%
Plates Cut Lengths & Coils 212,139 59,278 171,026 9 9 8 4.0% 6.2% 5.6%
Bars - Hot Rolled (Including light Shapes) 1,183,557 113,230 864,090 1 3 1 22.4% 11.8% 28.4%
Bars - Reinforcing 100,074 5,779 20,600 11 13 13 1.9% 0.6% 0.7%
Bars - Cold Finished 78,457 91,273 349,015 12 4 3 1.5% 9.5% 11.5%
Other Pipe and Tube 276,719 69,060 180,319 8 6 6 5.2% 7.2% 5.9%
Tin Plate 36,381 3,555 263 13 14 16 0.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Sheets - Hot Rolled 531,569 65,484 257,888 4 7 5 10.0% 6.8% 8.5%
Sheets - Cold Rolled 732,334 223,973 416,375 3 1 2 13.8% 23.3% 13.7%
Sheets & Strip - Galvanized 287,794 59,539 173,499 7 8 7 5.4% 6.2% 5.7%
Sheets & Strip - Electrical 6,134 1,139 2,961 16 16 15 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Other 442,515 21,519 63,348 6 11 11 8.4% 2.2% 2.1%
Total 5,290,095 962,091 3,045,018 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Coverageisbyeachofthe50statesandbyend-usersectorincluding:WhiteGoods,Construction,Containers,Electrical,Machinery,OilandGas,OutsideProcessingandConverting,Rail,ServiceCentresandShipbuilding.
*Dummy data
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l Where should you build your plant to best meet future steel consumption patterns? lWhere are steel consumers based? How has steel consumption migrated since 1985 and where will it transform out
to 2020? lWhat regions of the USA will show the most growth in steel consumption in the longer term? lWhich steel-consuming sectors have growth potential? Which sectors are declining?l WhatisthegrowthpotentialforspecificsteelproductsineachUSstateandbyvalueaddedtypeoutto2020?Whichsteelproductshavethebestlong-termprospects?
Keyquestionsaddressedinthestudy:
Steelconsumption:Containerindustry1985(tons)
0 - 50,000
50,001 - 100,000
100,001 - 150,000
150,001 - 200,000
200,001 - 250,000
250,001 - 300,000
300,001 - 350,000
350,001 - 400,000
400,001 - 450,000
450,001 - 500,000
500,001 - 550,000
550,001 - 600,000
600,001 - 650,000
650,001 - 700,000
700,001 - 750,000
750,001 - 800,000
800,001 - 850,000
850,001 - 900,000
Legend
N
Steelconsumption:Containerindustry2011(tons)
N
0 - 50,000
50,001 - 100,000
100,001 - 150,000
150,001 - 200,000
200,001 - 250,000
250,001 - 300,000
300,001 - 350,000
350,001 - 400,000
400,001 - 450,000
450,001 - 500,000
500,001 - 550,000
550,001 - 600,000
600,001 - 650,000
650,001 - 700,000
700,001 - 750,000
750,001 - 800,000
800,001 - 850,000
850,001 - 900,000
Legend
Source: Metal Bulletin Research
Steelconsumption:Electricalsheet2011(tons)
N
0 - 4,000
4,001 - 8,000
8,001 - 12,000
12,001 - 16,000
16,001 - 20,000
20,001 - 24,000
24,001 - 28,000
28,001 - 32,000
32,001 - 36,000
36,001 - 40,000
40,001 - 44,000
Legend
Steelconsumption:Electricalsheet1985(tons)
0 - 4,000
4,001 - 8,000
8,001 - 12,000
12,001 - 16,000
16,001 - 20,000
20,001 - 24,000
24,001 - 28,000
28,001 - 32,000
32,001 - 36,000
36,001 - 40,000
40,001 - 44,000
Legend
N
Source: Metal Bulletin Research
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torequestcomplimentarysamplepages
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1.USSteelMarketUS total production of steel US production of steel-product form US total imports of steel US imports of steel-product form US total exports of steel US exports of steel-product form US total apparent domestic consumption of steel US apparent domestic consumption of steel-product form
2.OurApproachClassification of industries
Service Centers White GoodsAutomotive Construction Containers Electrical Machinery Oil and Gas Rail Shipbuilding Other
Classification of steel products Forecast
3.SteelConsumptionbyIndustry-1985-2020US apparent domestic consumption of steel industry WhiteGoods-1985-2020
Total consumption Product Mix Quality White Goods consumption - product form - by state 1985-2020
Industry-Automotive Total consumption Product Mix Quality Automotive consumption - product form - by state 1985-2020
Industry-Construction Total Consumption Product Mix Quality Construction consumption - product form - by state 1985-2020
Industry-ContainersTotal Consumption Product Mix Quality Containers consumption - product form - by state 1985-2020
Industry-Electrical Total consumption Product Mix Quality Electrical consumption - product form - by state 1985-2020
Industry-MachineryTotal consumption
Product Mix Quality Machinery consumption - product form - by state 1985-2020
Industry-OilandGas Total consumption Product Mix Quality Oil and Gas consumption - product form - by state 1985-2020
Industry-OutsideProcessingandConverting
Total consumption Product Mix Quality Outside Processing and Converting consumption - product form 1985-2020
Industry-Rail Total consumption Product Mix Quality Rail consumption - product form - by state 1985-2020
Industry-ServiceCenters Total consumption Product Mix Quality Service Center consumption - product form - by state 1985-2020
Industry-ShipbuildingTotal consumption Product Mix Quality Shipbuilding - product form - by state 1985-2020
Industry-OtherTotal consumption Product Mix Other consumption - product form - by state 1985-2020
4.SteelConsumption-ProductTotal Consumption Ingots
Consumption-ingots-by industry Consumption-ingots-by state
WirerodConsumption-wire rod-by industry Consumption-wire rod-by state
StructuralConsumption-structural-by industry Consumption-structural-by state
PlateConsumption-plate-by industry Consumption-plate-by state
Rails Consumption-rails-by industry Consumption-rail-by state
Hotrolledbar Consumption-hot rolled bar-by industry Consumption-hot rolled bar-by state
ReinforcingbarConsumption-reinforcing bar-by industry Consumption-reinforcing bar-by state
Coldfinishedbar Consumption-cold finished bar-by industry Consumption-cold finished bar-by state
PipeandtubeOCTGConsumption-pipe and tube OCTG-by industry Consumption- pipe and tube OCTG-by state
Pipeandtubeother Consumption-pipe and tube other-by industry Consumption-pipe and tube other-by state
TinplateConsumption-tin plate-by industry Consumption-tin plate-by state
HotrolledsheetConsumption-hot rolled sheet-by industry Consumption-hot rolled sheet-by state
Coldrolledsheet Consumption-cold rolled sheet-by industry Consumption-cold rolled sheet-by state
Galvanizedsheet Consumption-galvanized sheet- by industry Consumption-galvanized sheet-by state
ElectricalsheetConsumption-electrical sheet-by industry Consumption-electrical sheet-by state
Other Consumption-other-by industry Consumption-other-by state
SteelConsumption-ByState
Tableofcontents
Alabama Alaska Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware Florida Georgia Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana
Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire New Jersey New Mexico New York North Carolina North Dakota Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas Utah Vermont Virginia Washington West Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming
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Family Name
Mr/Miss/Mrs/Ms/Dr
First/Given Name
Company Name
Job Title
Address
Post/Zip Code
Country
Tel +( )
Fax +( )
p Raw Material Supply (0003)
p Metal/Steel Production/
p Processing (0027)
p Fabrication/Manufacturing (0055)
p Distribution (0095)
p Services/Products for the Industry (0111)
p End-User Sector (0167)
p Finance Companies (0271)
p Production (0275)
p Processing & Equipment (0279)
p Trading (0287)
p Transport – Ports (0291)
p Non-Ferrous Foundry (0303)
p Extruding (0311)
p Other Primary Metal Products (0315)
p Ferrous Traders (0319)
p Non-Ferrous Traders (0323)
p Resource/Asset Recovery (0327)
p Library/Research (0321)
p Trade Association (0525)
p Legal/Regulations (0155)
p Government (0253)
YOURCOMPANYTYPE
p Base Metals (11001)
p Aluminium (11002)
p Downstream Aluminium (11157)
p Precious Metals (11160)
p Minor Metal (11267)
p Light Metals (11360)
p Steel (12001)
p Steel Tube & Pipe – Seamless (12042)
p Steel Tube & Pipe – Welded (12043)
p Stainless Steel (12159)
p Steel Wire (12230)
p Galvanising & Coated Coil (12226)
p Ferro Alloys (13000)
p Scrap & Secondary Metals (14000)
p Steelmaking Raw Materials (12231)
p Iron Ore (12232)
YOURMETALSINTEREST
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