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GLOBAL COMPETITIVENESS &PERFORMANCE OF COUNTRIES
AT 2014 FIFA WORLD CUP
The Global Competitive Index (GCI) by the World Economic
Forum (WEF) "assesses the ability of countries to provide high
levels of prosperity to their citizens. This in turn depends on how
productively a country uses available resources. It also measures
the set of institutions, policies, and factors that set the
sustainable current and medium-term levels of economic
prosperity”. (Wikipedia)
In my opinion, a country with strong institutions would
automatically have a viable and developed economy bringing
prosperity to its Citizens. Similarly, since Football is a competitive
sport, I assume a competitive economy should reflect in the
quality of performance of such a country’s football team – my
hypothesis.
Particularly, I hope to establish a relationship between Country’s
performance at the 2014 FIFA World Cup in Brazil and their
respective GCI as released by WEF for the year 2013-2014.
VARIABLES:
METHODOLOGY OF STUDY
The performance of each Nation paired
from group matches to the final match at
the 2014 FIFA World Cup in Brazil will be
compared with their Global Competitive
Index rating, in order to establish a
possible degree of predictability of
performance from Competitiveness.
– Global Competitive Index of each participating Country
– Performance of each Country at the World Cup
HYPOTHESIS
H0: Competitive Nations have better
chance of success against Non-
competitive Nations.
H1: A Competitive and Non-
competitive Nations have equal
chance of success.
32 16 8 4 2 1
32 Teams
1 Champion
Games
DB C
32 COUNTRIES IN
2014 FIFA WORLD CUP
Australia
Chile
Netherlands
Spain
Colombia
Greece
Ivory Coast
Japan
Costa Rica
England
Italy
Uruguay
A
Brazil
Cameroun
Croatia
Mexico
HF G
Argentina
Bosnia-H
Iran
Nigeria
Ghana
Germany
Portugal
USA
Algeria
Belgium
South Korea
Russia
E
Ecuador
Honduras
France
Switzerland
32 COUNTRIES &
2014 GCI RANKING
DB C
Australia (21)
Chile (34)
Netherlands (8)
Spain (35)
Colombia (69)
Greece (91)
Ivory Coast (126)
Japan (9)
Costa Rica (54)
England (10)
Italy (49)
Uruguay (85)
A
Brazil (56)
Cameroun (115)
Croatia (75)
Mexico (55)
HF G
Argentina (104)
Bosnia-H (87)
Iran (82)
Nigeria (120)
Ghana (114)
Germany (4)
Portugal (51)
USA (5)
Algeria (100)
Belgium (17)
South Korea (25)
Russia (64)
E
Ecuador (71)
Honduras (111)
France (23)
Switzerland (1)
Table showing:32 Countries that participated in 2014 FIFA World Cup,Score of all matches playedGlobal Competitive Index of each Nation,Deduction on how GCI affected score line.
The deduction goes thus:Results of matches compared against GCI ranking
A more competitive Nation (with lower GCI) wins a match against a less competitive Nation (with higher GCI)
A more competitive Nation (with lower GCI) loses a match against a less competitive Nation (with higher GCI)
Match ended in draw
WORLD CUP TEAM & GCISwitzerland is the most competitive Nation at the FIFA 2014 World Cup – GCI ranked No. 1 in the World.Germany (4th), USA (5th), Netherlands (8th), Japan (9th), and England are the GCI ranked top 10 Nations in BrazilIvory Coast is the least ranked competitive nation at the World Cup – GCI ranked 126th
Group B; comprising of Netherlands (8th), Australia (21st), Chile (34th), and Spain (35th) is the most competitive GCI ranked group at the World CupWhile Group F; comprising of Argentina (104th), Nigeria (120th), Bosnia-H (87th), and Iran (82nd) is the least competitive GCI ranked group at the World Cup
GROUP STAGES
Total match played in group stages – 48Total win recorded –39Total win by competitive Nations against less competitive Nations –24 (62%)Total lose by competitive Nations –15 (38%)
ROUND OF 16
Total match played in round of 16 – 8
Total win by competitive Nations against less
competitive Nations – 5 (62.5%)
Total lose by competitive Nations to less
competitive Nations – 3 (37.5%)
QUARTER & SEMI FINALS
Total match played in Quarter and Semi finals – 6
Total win by competitive Nations against less
competitive Nations – 4 (66.7%)
Total lose by competitive Nations to less
competitive Nations – 2 (33.3%)
THIRD PLACE & FINALS
Total match played – 2
Total win by competitive Nations against less
competitive Nations – 1 (100%)
SUMMARYGroup
StageRound of 16
Quarter &
Semi Finals
Third Place
& FinalOverall
Competitivedefeat less competitive
62% 62.5% 66.7% 100% 63.64%
Competitivelose to less competitive
38% 37.5% 33.3% 0% 36.36%
This implies, a competitive Nation has
approximately 64% chance of winning a
match against a less competitive Nation
H0 is TRUE!
It therefore shows in some degrees, that a competitive Nation has 64% chance of
defeating a less competitive Nation.This fact is even more evident as teams qualify
for more competitive stages.Particularly, Germany ranked 4th in the World defeated Argentina ranked 104th in the 2014
FIFA World Cup Final.The farther apart competing Nations are on the GCI ranking, the more a competitive Nations is
likely to win.
SUMMARY
Data Source:
- www.FIFA.com
- www.LIVESCORE.com
- Global Competitive Report, 2013-14
Analysis by: Wale Micaiah
b: walemicaiah.com
w. www.statisense.com