The World Gasification The World Gasification Industry 2004Industry 2004--2010 2010
Major Factors & Trends Major Factors & Trends Driving GrowthDriving Growth
Freiberg GermanyFreiberg GermanyJune June
James ChildressJames ChildressExecutive DirectorExecutive Director
Gasification Technologies CouncilGasification Technologies Council
Gasification Technologies CouncilGasification Technologies Council
GTC MembersGTC MembersAFC Coal PropertiesAFC Coal PropertiesAir Liquide America*Air Liquide America*Air Products and Chemicals, Inc.*Air Products and Chemicals, Inc.*Allied Syngas Corporation*Allied Syngas Corporation*American Electric Power*American Electric Power*Aramco Services Company*Aramco Services Company*Bechtel Corporation*Bechtel Corporation*Black & Veatch Corporation*Black & Veatch Corporation*BOC Gases*BOC Gases*Boeing, Rocketdyne Propulsion & Power*Boeing, Rocketdyne Propulsion & Power*Calpine Corporation*Calpine Corporation*Cinergy Corporation*Cinergy Corporation*ConocoPhillips*ConocoPhillips*Constellation Energy*Constellation Energy*The Dow Chemical Company*The Dow Chemical Company*Eastman Chemical Company*Eastman Chemical Company*Ebara CorporationEbara CorporationEmery Energy CompanyEmery Energy CompanyFluor Corporation*Fluor Corporation*Foster Wheeler Energy International Inc.*Foster Wheeler Energy International Inc.*Gas Technology InstituteGas Technology InstituteGE Energy*GE Energy*
Global Energy, Inc.*Global Energy, Inc.*Kentucky Center for Applied Energy ResearchKentucky Center for Applied Energy ResearchLake Charles Cogeneration, LLCLake Charles Cogeneration, LLCLinde Process PlantsLinde Process PlantsLockwood Greene E&C / CH2M HillLockwood Greene E&C / CH2M HillLurgi Oel Gas Chemie GmbHLurgi Oel Gas Chemie GmbHMitretekMitretekNexant, Inc.Nexant, Inc.Parsons Energy & Chemicals Group Inc.*Parsons Energy & Chemicals Group Inc.*Porvair PLCPorvair PLCPraxair, Inc.*Praxair, Inc.*Sasol TechnologySasol TechnologySempra GenerationSempra GenerationShell Global Solutions B.V.*Shell Global Solutions B.V.*Siemens Westinghouse Power Corporation*Siemens Westinghouse Power Corporation*Snamprogetti S.p.A.Snamprogetti S.p.A.Tennessee Valley Authority* Tennessee Valley Authority* Uhde Corporation of America*Uhde Corporation of America*UOPUOPValvtechnologies, IncValvtechnologies, IncWaste Management & Processors Pty., LLC*Waste Management & Processors Pty., LLC*
* Denotes member of Board of Directors* Denotes member of Board of Directors
Gasification Technologies CouncilGasification Technologies Council
OverviewOverview
State of the gasification industryState of the gasification industry–– WorldwideWorldwide–– U.S.U.S.
Why Coal Gasification?Why Coal Gasification?Environmental performance: gasification vs. Environmental performance: gasification vs. combustioncombustionFactors driving gasification trendsFactors driving gasification trendsProspects for gasification in U.S.Prospects for gasification in U.S.
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The Gasification IndustryThe Gasification Industry2004 World Gasification Survey2004 World Gasification Survey
§§ Summary FindingsSummary Findings§§ Growth ForecastGrowth Forecast§§ Geographical DistributionGeographical Distribution§§ Feedstock DistributionFeedstock Distribution§§ Product DistributionProduct Distribution
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World Gasification SurveySummary Operating Plant Statistics
2004
117117 Operating PlantsOperating Plants385385 GasifiersGasifiersCapacity~Capacity~45,000 45,000 MWthMWthFeedsFeedsCoal Coal 49%,49%, Pet. Resid. Pet. Resid. 36%36%
ProductsProductsChemicals Chemicals 37%,37%, FF--T T 36%,36%, Power Power 19%19%
Growth ForecastGrowth Forecast 5% annual5% annual
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World Gasification Capacity GrowthWorld Gasification Capacity Growth20002000--20102010
35,000
45,000
55,000
65,000
75,000
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010
2004 Survey2001 Survey
(MW(MWth Equivalent)Equivalent)
Source: 2004 World Gasification SurveySource: 2004 World Gasification Survey
Gasification Technologies CouncilGasification Technologies Council
Geographical Distribution of World Geographical Distribution of World Gasification Capacity, 2004Gasification Capacity, 2004
(MW(MW th Equivalent)Equivalent)
Europe +28%
Asia/Aust.22%
Afr/ME34%
C&S America1%
North America15%
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Geographical Distribution of World Geographical Distribution of World Gasification Capacity GrowthGasification Capacity Growth
(MW(MW th Equivalent)Equivalent)
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
C&S America NorthAmerica
Europe + Asia/Aust. Afr/ME
Planned (2010)Operating (2004)
Gasification Technologies CouncilGasification Technologies Council
Product Distribution of World Product Distribution of World Gasification Capacity, 2004Gasification Capacity, 2004
(MW(MW th Equivalent)Equivalent)
Liquid Fuels36%
Gaseous Fuels8%
Power19%
Chemicals37%
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Product Distribution of World Product Distribution of World Gasification Capacity GrowthGasification Capacity Growth
(MW(MW th Equivalent)Equivalent)
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
Power Chemicals Liquid Fuel GaseousFuel
NotSpecified
Planned (2010)Operating (2004)
Gasification Technologies CouncilGasification Technologies Council
Feedstock Distribution of World Feedstock Distribution of World Gasification CapacityGasification Capacity
(MW(MW th Equivalent)Equivalent)
Gas9%
Petcoke3%
BWO2%
Coal50%
Petroleum36%
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Feedstock Distribution of World Feedstock Distribution of World Gasification Capacity GrowthGasification Capacity Growth
(MW(MW th Equivalent)Equivalent)
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
Coal Petroleum Gas Petcoke BWO*
Planned (2010)Operating (2004)
China(US)
US
MidEast
EuropeEurope
CanadaCanada
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Factors Driving Gasification GrowthFactors Driving Gasification Growth
AsiaAsiaFertilizers & Chemicals (China, poss. India)Fertilizers & Chemicals (China, poss. India)Power (China/Japan future)Power (China/Japan future)Fuels (Longer term)Fuels (Longer term)Wild Card Wild Card –– China, Environmental Issues & Econ. Growth; Japan, China, Environmental Issues & Econ. Growth; Japan, Policy Shift Toward IGCC?Policy Shift Toward IGCC?
EuropeEuropeRefinery Models Refinery Models –– Environment Driven Toward Cleaner FuelsEnvironment Driven Toward Cleaner Fuels
–– Pernis (Hydrogen, Power)Pernis (Hydrogen, Power)–– Italian Plants (Power)Italian Plants (Power)
COCO2 Concerns
Remote GasRemote GasFF--T LiquidsT Liquids
North AmericaNorth AmericaNatural Gas Prices Natural Gas Prices U.S. Coal, Power, Environment (The AEP Model)U.S. Coal, Power, Environment (The AEP Model)U.S. Petcoke in Refineries (Hydrogen, Power)U.S. Petcoke in Refineries (Hydrogen, Power)Possible Public Sector Incentives ($$ + Regulations)Possible Public Sector Incentives ($$ + Regulations)Canada Canada –– Oil Sands, CoalOil Sands, Coal
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U.S. Gasification DriversIncreasing demand for electricityIncreasing demand for electricityHigh natural gas & petroleum prices affecting power and High natural gas & petroleum prices affecting power and manufacturing industriesmanufacturing industriesDrive for cleaner fuels (refinery HDrive for cleaner fuels (refinery H22, F, F--T)T)Expectations of more stringent criteria emissions +Hg Expectations of more stringent criteria emissions +Hg limitslimitsExpectations of COExpectations of CO22 limitslimitsDesire to keep coal in the energy mixDesire to keep coal in the energy mixStrong Technology Providers, Alliances & Guarantees Strong Technology Providers, Alliances & Guarantees (ConocoPhillips, GE Energy, Shell Global Solutions)(ConocoPhillips, GE Energy, Shell Global Solutions)AEP, Cinergy announce plans to build commercial scale AEP, Cinergy announce plans to build commercial scale coalcoal--IGCC plants. Calpine considering petcoke IGCC.IGCC plants. Calpine considering petcoke IGCC.Other IGCC, Polygen projects in design, developmentOther IGCC, Polygen projects in design, development
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U.S. Wellhead Natural Gas Price ($/mcf)U.S. Wellhead Natural Gas Price ($/mcf)
$-
$1.00
$2.00
$3.00
$4.00
$5.00
$6.00
$7.00
Jan-90 Jan-92 Jan-94 Jan-96 Jan-98 Jan-00 Jan-02 Jan-04
Source: EIASource: EIA
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Annual U.S. New Capacity Additions by FuelAnnual U.S. New Capacity Additions by FuelMwe Summer CapabilityMwe Summer Capability
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
Natural GasCoal
Source: EIASource: EIA
Gasification Technologies CouncilGasification Technologies Council
Gasification Technologies CouncilGasification Technologies Council
Questions?Questions?
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