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There are things known, there are things unknown, in between are doors Jim Morrison (1943-1971) Access to telecommunications networks Marcel Canoy*, Paul de Bijl**, and Ron Kemp*** * CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis, The Hague ** CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis, The Hague, currently at the Ministry of Finance *** EIM, Zoetermeer Paper prepared for European Commission, DG Competition Preliminary version September 2002
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Page 1: There are things known, there are things unknown, in ...ec.europa.eu/competition/sectors/... · ‚There are things known, there are things unknown, in between are doors™ Jim Morrison

�There are things known, there are things unknown, in between are doors�

Jim Morrison (1943-1971)

Access to telecommunications networks

Marcel Canoy*, Paul de Bijl**, and Ron Kemp***

* CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis, The Hague

** CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis, The Hague, currently at the

Ministry of Finance

*** EIM, Zoetermeer

Paper prepared for European Commission, DG Competition

Preliminary version

September 2002

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Contents1 Introduction.......................................................................................................................................................... 42 One-way access.................................................................................................................................................... 5

2.1 Introduction................................................................................................................................................... 52.2 Access pricing ............................................................................................................................................... 7

2.2.1 First-best solution................................................................................................................................... 72.2.2 Ramsey pricing....................................................................................................................................... 72.2.3 ECPR...................................................................................................................................................... 9

2.3 Dynamic pricing rules ................................................................................................................................. 112.3.1 Backward-looking access pricing rules ................................................................................................ 122.3.2 Forward-looking access pricing rules................................................................................................... 12

3 Two-way access ................................................................................................................................................. 133.1 Introduction................................................................................................................................................. 143.2 Access pricing ............................................................................................................................................. 153.3 Dynamic considerations .............................................................................................................................. 17

4 Policy Issues....................................................................................................................................................... 184.1 Fixed-mobile termination............................................................................................................................ 19

4.1.1 Policy relevance ................................................................................................................................... 194.1.2 Economic theory .................................................................................................................................. 204.1.3 Practical experiences ............................................................................................................................ 224.1.4 Policy conclusions................................................................................................................................ 23

4.2 Margin squeeze ........................................................................................................................................... 254.2.1 Policy relevance ................................................................................................................................... 254.2.2 Economic theory .................................................................................................................................. 264.2.3 Practical experiences ............................................................................................................................ 314.2.4 Policy conclusions................................................................................................................................ 33

4.3 The allocation of common costs.................................................................................................................. 344.3.1 Policy relevance ................................................................................................................................... 344.3.2 Economic theory .................................................................................................................................. 354.3.3 Practical experiences ............................................................................................................................ 374.3.4 Policy conclusions................................................................................................................................ 40

4.4 Static versus dynamic efficiency................................................................................................................. 414.4.1 Policy relevance ................................................................................................................................... 414.4.2 Economic theory .................................................................................................................................. 424.4.3 Practical experiences ............................................................................................................................ 434.4.4 Policy conclusions................................................................................................................................ 46

5 Conclusions........................................................................................................................................................ 47References............................................................................................................................................................. 49

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1 Introduction

From the very beginning of liberalisation operations in telecommunications markets, access

has been a key issue for regulators. Despite some notable successes in various submarkets,

even in 2002, more than ten years after the first liberalisation steps, incumbent operators still

have strong positions in many aspects of their business and infrastructure competition has not

matured in all parts of the industry. Most notably, there has not been much infrastructure

competition in the local loop and the unbundling of the local loop progresses slowly (Buigues,

2002). As a result, incumbent operators owning local loops may have the opportunity to

engage in anti-competitive behaviour, e.g. by providing access against unfavourable terms.

Because ex-post application of the Competition Law can turn out to be less effective in this

type of situations, regulators face the task of deciding on setting the terms and conditions of

access charges.

Although the legitimacy for regulators to intervene in access charges is easily

understood, there is considerable difficulty in determining how to set these charges in

practice. There are a number of reasons for that. First, economic theory is not always clear-cut

on providing optimal ways of setting access charges. Second, even in cases where theory is

univocal, practice is not as easy as theory predicts. The �difficulty of daily regulation

business� is not just the usual cliché. Admittedly, the usual problems exist here: required data

are often simply not available and time is lacking. But on top of that, access regulation often

serves too many goals. Access charges are used to allocate scarce capacity, provide incentives

for productive efficiency, promote entry, promote investments by incumbents as well as by

entrants, taking a fair allocation of common costs into consideration and meanwhile serving

equity goals such as universal service obligation. This is a bit much for an access charge,

which is, in its simplest form, a one-dimensional price. A number of these goals can easily

conflict. Low access charges can be good for stimulating competition in services, but might

hamper investments in infrastructure. The minimum any regulator has to do is to make sure ex

ante which goals it wants to reach with the access charge, and, in case of conflicts, which

goals have priority and why. Sometimes �smart regulation� is possible to reach seemingly

conflicting goals: an access charge that starts low but rises over time can both promote

services competition in the short run (enhancing static efficiency) and provide incentives for

entrants to invest in infrastructure. But more often than not, choices have to be made.

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This chapter overviews the theory of access charges, with a clear policy perspective in

the back of our minds. Following Armstrong (2001), we distinguish between one- and two-

way access.1 In a situation of one-way access, there is an entrant who needs access to an

infrastructure owned by an incumbent operator, but the reverse is not true. Examples are

Unbundled Local Loop and Carrier Select. Two-way access refers to network interconnection,

that is, operators mutually need access in order to terminate calls on each others� networks.

We shall see that the policy implications in one- and two-way access can be quite different.

Determining access prices implies taking both short and long run into consideration.

Both economic theory and regulation practices (in particular the early days) had a strong

focus on static efficiency (i.e. the short run). However, dynamic considerations are important

and should not be neglected for a number of reasons, one of which is that if competition in

infrastructures matures less regulation is needed. That is why this chapter devotes extra

attention to dynamic considerations.

The main sources used for this paper are surveys of the economic literature on

telecommunications by Armstrong (2001) and Laffont and Tirole (2000), and policy-oriented

research by Cave et al. (2001) and (to a lesser extent) Bennett et al. (2001), as well as many

policy documents, most notably from the European Commission and OFTEL.

This paper is organised as follows. Section 2 discusses one-way access. Section 3

discusses two-way access. Section 4 analyses four special topics, i.e. fixed-mobile

termination, margin squeeze, the allocation of common costs and static versus dynamic

efficiency. Section 5 concludes.

2 One-way access

2.1 Introduction

One-way access is characterised by a vertically integrated incumbent, usually the former

state-owned monopolist, with a local access network. There are one or more entrants who do

not have such a local network, nor are they able to build one in the reasonably short run.

1 Armstrong also mentions competitive bottleneck as a separate category, but we prefer to discuss competitivebottlenecks in the policy chapter.

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Entrants may have their own long-distance network, but this is not necessary2. However, in

order to compete with the incumbent in the retail market for voice telephony and replicate the

pattern of offers of the incumbents, they need access to the incumbent�s local access network.

One-way access is common in the early phase of competition, when entrants have not

yet been able to roll out (part of) their own local connections, but is also relevant in mature

stages of the market. An important example of one-way access is Unbundled Local Loop

(ULL): an entrant gets access to the copper-cable pairs of the incumbent�s local network and

gets control over the use of (parts of) the total frequency spectrum of the copper-cable pairs.

The main implication of this is that it enables the new network operators to offer high

bandwidth directly to consumers and henceforth faster competition for high-bandwidth

services.3

Why does ULL get so much policy attention? First of all, ULL allows for a direct and

comprehensive relation with the end-consumer without the need of a full rolled-out network.

It also creates pressure on operators to offer consumers a whole new range of services, that

uses (parts of) the total bandwidth, such as fast Internet, receiving richer content such as video

on demand, etc. Although there might be alternative technologies that can provide broadband

services, such as cable and UMTS, ULL seems to be deployed most rapidly.

At the moment, the roll-out of broadband services (e.g. ADSL) is relatively limited

(Buigues, 2002). This might have to do with difficulties new entrants face: behaviour of the

incumbents such as excessive pricing, delays in delivery, predatory pricing or price squeezes

and refusals to supply the necessary information or space in the incumbent�s locations. All

these aspects deserve the attention of regulators.

Carrier Select is another example of one-way access: an entrant has originating and

terminating access to the incumbent�s local network. By dialling a prefix (usually consisting

of four digits), consumers can indicate that they want the entrant instead of the incumbent to

carry a telephone call. After some starting problems and other topics that need attention (such

as margin squeeze, or scarcity), this type of access seems to work quite well.

Because of the asymmetry in the incumbent�s and entrants� bargaining positions, as

well as in their interests, it is very unlikely that they are able to agree on the level of the

2 Entrants without their own backbone may lease long-distance capacity from the incumbent. Since theincumbent may have spare capacity, this may be in its interest.3 Only the leasing part of ULL is one way access. The interconnection part is two way access. The interestingregulation issues are however with the leasing part.

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access price. In particular, the incumbent has a strong incentive to set the access price as high

as possible, perhaps even to foreclose entry, whereas entrants prefer cheap access.4 Hence, the

interests are strongly opposed, so that regulation of the access price is necessary. In particular,

the central question concerns the optimal access policy.

2.2 Access pricing

2.2.1 First-best solution

The �first-best� solution, that is the theoretical solution if there are no imperfections, is to set

the access price equal to the marginal cost of access. With such an access price, there are no

distortions in retail prices, and entrants receive correct signals: they can make positive profits

only if they are more efficient than the incumbent. Also, this access price is fair and non-

discriminatory, because it is the same for all entrants and it is not usage-based. In this first-

best world, the incumbent�s fixed cost of its network is covered by a lump-sum payment from

the state to the incumbent.

The first best can rarely (if ever) be implemented in practice. An obvious problem

with the first-best solution is that lump-sum transfers from the government are usually not

feasible, at least not without creating large distortions elsewhere in the economy and seriously

impeding the incentive structure of the incumbent. Therefore, one has to look for an access

price above marginal cost, that helps to cover the incumbent�s fixed network cost.

2.2.2 Ramsey pricing

The practical problems of setting access prices equal to marginal costs, create a necessity to

introduce mark-ups to enable the incumbent to recover its network costs. On a more general

level, one can try to set not only the incumbent�s access prices, but also its retail prices such

that welfare is maximised, subject to the constraint that the incumbent recoups its fixed cost.

Note that welfare, defined as the sum of consumers� and producers� surplus, here refers to

static efficiency. The solution to this problem is known as Ramsey pricing. Put differently, the

problem is to find the price structure for a multi-product (i.e., access and retail services)

regulated incumbent that maximises welfare, given that overall, the incumbent has to break 4 If the incumbent wants to increase traffic on its network, there need not be a conflict of interest (cf. virtual

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even. A priori, Ramsey pricing implies that there should be mark-ups in the incumbent�s

access prices as well as retail prices. The central idea is that to maximise welfare, all the

incumbent�s prices (wholesale and retail prices) should participate in the recovery of fixed

costs. In particular, the optimal access price will be equal to the marginal cost of access plus a

�Ramsey term� (i.e., a specific mark-up).

By construction, Ramsey prices (wholesale and retail) reflect underlying costs as well

as demand characteristics (see Laffont and Tirole, 2000, section 2.2). Hence, Ramsey prices

are at the same time cost-based and usage-based. This implies that they are, in principle,

compatible with a firm�s standard marketing practices, since the latter also takes costs and

demand into account. More precisely, it can be shown that welfare-maximizing prices are

obtained if the firm maximizes its profits under the constraint that it offers a certain minimum

level of surplus to its customers (the "Ramsey-Boiteux" social welfare level). Note that the

regulator is supposed to have full information about cost and demand characteristics.

Intuitively, if the price elasticity for a specific service is relatively low, then the mark-up in

the price for this service can be relatively high. This is optimal for welfare, since the prices of

services with higher elasticities can be reduced while still satisfying the incumbent�s cost

recovery constraint. For instance, it may be optimal to increase the access price above

marginal cost in order to reduce retail prices. In general, mark-ups can be higher when they

lead to less distortion in the optimal allocation.

It is important to remark that there are potential problems with Ramsey pricing (see

Laffont and Tirole, 2000, section 3.4). First, the informational requirements of Ramsey

pricing are very high. For instance, Ramsey prices require the regulator to have knowledge

about cost levels and demand elasticities, information which the regulator usually does not

have One should, however, not rule out the possibility to obtain reasonable estimates of these

data. Alternatively, the regulator can delegate pricing decisions to the better-informed firm, of

course within the constraints imposed by Ramsey pricing. To see this, notice that unregulated

firms are usually able to use fine-tuned and sophisticated pricing tactics, which suggests that

they have much more information than regulators do. In particular, pricing behaviour tends to

reflect cost levels, elasticities, competitive pressure, and so on. Indeed, it can be shown that

the structure (not the levels) of an unregulated monopolist�s prices is the same as the structure

of Ramsey prices. Therefore, a regulator may obtain the Ramsey pricing structure by mobile operators).

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imposing a global price cap such that (i) access is treated as a final good and included in the

price cap, and (ii) the weights of the price cap are exogenously determined based on

forecasted quantities. If the weights are set appropriately, then the operator internalises net

consumers surplus when it maximises its profits. Although the principles for setting the

optimal weights are rather straightforward, the information that is needed (about forecasted

quantities) depend on actual costs and demand elasticities and may therefore be difficult to

obtain (see Laffont and Tirole, 2000, section 4.7). Nevertheless, this is much less demanding

than obtaining the information needed to set an optimal partial price cap.

Second, usage-based access prices are discriminatory access prices, and therefore

seem to contradict the policy principle of non-discrimination. More precisely, Ramsey pricing

prescribes that the charge paid by an entrant must depend on the use of the service. The access

price typically depends on the incumbent�s price-cost margin in the relevant retail market,

demand-side substitution possibilities, supply-side bypass possibilities, and the elasticity of

the demand for access. For instance, customers of services that are not very price sensitive

contribute more to cost recovery. From an economic perspective, this dependence simply

maximises welfare: access prices should be higher when they are used for services for which

the demand is less elastic. However, applying Ramsey prices can imply a (very) skewed

distribution of prices (see e.g. Jullien 2001) and hence the political feasibility is often

dubious.

Overall, the problems mentioned above are, from an economic perspective, not

necessarily worrisome for policy makers. By construction, Ramsey pricing is the best way to

set access and retail prices simultaneously, that is, it is the �least-bad� departure from first-

best prices. At least, if application turns out to be prohibitively difficult in practice or

politically too unattractive, Ramsey pricing can (or should) serve as a useful benchmark for

access regulation.

2.2.3 ECPR

Whereas Ramsey pricing aims at choosing optimal access and retail prices, it may be the case

that the problem of access regulation is separated from retail pricing. In the latter context, the

Efficient Component Pricing Rule (ECPR) is a popular pricing rule, since it provides a link

between the access and retail.

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ECPR, which is also known as the Baumol-Willig rule, has a background in the theory

of contestable markets.5 A retail market is said to be �contestable� if there is potential hit-and-

run entry which constrains the incumbent�s retail price. That is, the threat of quick entry

disciplines the incumbent�s pricing behaviour. An underlying assumption is that potential

entrants take the incumbent�s price as given. Therefore, the idea is that for a fixed price

charged by the incumbent, a more efficient firm can enter and take over the market; there is

no �in-market� competition.

Another assumption underlying ECPR is that access price regulation is separated from

price setting in the retail market. In particular, retail prices are fixed beforehand by the

regulator. Therefore, ECPR�s prescription is to choose the access price that maximises

welfare given the incumbent�s retail prices. The regulator is not concerned with overall

welfare maximisation, as in the case of Ramsey pricing, but aims at cost recovery and

productive efficiency.

Assuming that final products are homogeneous (which seems a realistic assumption

for voice telephony) and the market is contestable (which is a controversial assumption, as

discussed above), ECPR prescribes that access price should not be larger than the incumbent�s

opportunity cost, which is equal to its marginal cost of access plus its missed retail mark-up.

Equivalently, one can state that the access price should not be larger than the incumbent�s

retail price minus its cost in the competitive retail activity.

An attractive feature of ECPR is that entrants receive correct signals, that is, they enter

only if they have a cost advantage. Also, it is sometimes argued that another positive feature

is that entry is revenue neutral for the incumbent. But it is not clear why one should want to

have revenue-neutrality. If the incumbent�s profits are excessive, they will remain so under

ECPR also if market entry is possible.ECPR and Ramsey pricing do not generally coincide,

although this divergence can − perhaps − be restored if one makes specific assumptions about

symmetry and absence of entrants' market power.An important difference is that ECPR

neglects that the wholesale market and the retail market are related. ECPR is a partial rule, in

contrast to Ramsey pricing. If retail prices are regulated at Ramsey levels, then ECPR is

optimal.

5 See Tirole (1988), chapter 8.

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2.3 Dynamic pricing rules

The pricing rules for access, discussed in the previous subsection were based on the implicit

assumption that firms do not invest or develop new technologies. The purpose was simply to

compensate the incumbent for providing entrants access to its network, in a way that its fixed

investments can be recouped. Since telecommunications markets are changing very rapidly

exactly because of investments and technological progress, dynamic considerations should

also play a role in access regulation. In particular, it is important to note that any access price

affects operators� (potential) profits, and hence also their incentives to enter the market, to

invest in new technologies, to roll out networks, to maintain and upgrade existing networks,

and so on. To deal with these types of dynamic issues, regulators have come up with specific

access pricing rules, which are discussed below. More generally, when assessing the effects of

access regulation on firms� incentives to invest, one has to distinguish between:

• the effects on entrants� incentives to roll out networks themselves (versus using an

incumbent�s existing network), and

• the effects on an incumbent�s incentives to maintain and upgrade its existing network.

These effects depend on current as well as expected access prices. For instance, if the access

price is low and firms expect it to remain low in the future, then the incumbent is not very

eager to invest in its existing network, while entrants feel no urge to roll out their own

networks. On the other hand, competition in the short run will be intense, as entrants can

easily compete by using the incumbent�s network. In the short run this is good for consumers,

but it is uncertain if this is also the case in the longer run. If the access price is high and firms

expect it to remain high, then it makes more sense for entrants to start rolling out their own

networks, which in turn imposes discipline on the incumbent to invest as well, in order to

remain competitive. However, in the short run, it is expensive for entrants to start building up

market share (e.g., by starting with Carrier Select services as long as their networks are not

yet ready), which may negatively affect consumers for a long time. The following subsections

discuss the dynamic consequences of access rules.

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2.3.1 Backward-looking access pricing rules

Backward-looking cost-based access pricing rules are based on the incumbent�s actual or

historical costs (also called embedded costs). An example is Embedded Direct Costs (EDC).

A backward-looking rule can be called fair in the sense that the incumbent is compensated for

its actual network investments. On an ongoing basis though, it may give weak incentives to

reduce costs, since the implicit message is that any cost will be reimbursed. Also, backward-

looking access prices will be relatively high, compared to forward-looking prices (see below),

which makes it harder for entrants without networks to compete with the incumbent.

2.3.2 Forward-looking access pricing rules

Forward-looking cost-based access pricing rules are based on state-of-the-art, currently

available technology. Hence, they explicitly take technological progress into account. If a new

network can be rolled out at half the cost of the incumbent�s network, than the cost of the new

technology serves as the relevant benchmark. Accordingly, forward-looking rules incorporate

cost efficiency; they can be used to correct for possible inefficiencies of the incumbent.

Arguably, they can be used to mimic competition that is not yet existent. Because of the

downward pressure on access prices, it is even possible that an incumbent�s access service,

using an existing or obsolete technology, becomes a loss-making activity. Hence, in theory

forward-looking rules give the incumbent an incentive to keep up with technological progress,

and to keep investing in its network. A downside of forward looking rules is that they tend to

neglect so-called �stranded assets�. If an investment has a 50-50% chance of success, then the

revenue that is needed in case the investment is a success should account for the chance this it

would have failed. If access rules do not take this into consideration, this may lead to under-

investments and risk-averse behaviour.

The main example of a forward-looking rule is Long Run Incremental Cost (LRIC).

LRIC prices can be substantially lower than the incumbent�s actual cost levels. However, it

should be noted that LRIC can lead to substantially higher prices as well (e.g. due to

increasing labour costs, better but more expensive technology), especially in the case of

access to the local loop. LRIC does not seem to be well-suited to incorporate corrections for

quality differences between old and new technologies. It may therefore better be suited for

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interconnection fees (i.e., two-way access prices; see the next section) than for pricing access

to the local loop.6

Despite its intuitive appeal, LRIC has some further drawbacks (see also Laffont and

Tirole, 2000, Leo et al 2002). For instance, note that the cheapest technology that is available

cannot be derived from standard accounting systems. Hence the regulator has to determine

how efficient the incumbent should be (i.e., the regulator does not determine the desired

efficiency level, but can put a lower bound on it). Also, LRIC may not allow the incumbent to

make a profit margin on access. If this happens, the incumbent has strong incentives to deny

access to entrants by using non-price anti-competitive practices, such as refusals to deal, and

delays in interconnection. Accordingly, a possible consequence of LRIC (and other forward-

looking rules) is that the regulator has to continue to play a key role in managing entry. In

other words, LRIC may imply that regulation remains heavy-handed, which is in contrast to

the plan to gradually withdraw regulation as competition matures.

The disadvantages of LRIC have their origin in the implicit assumption that markets

are contestable. Since telecommunication markets are typically not contestable, LRIC fails to

take into account that assets can become stranded and that operators need risk premiums to

take care of that possibility. It follows that applying LRIC without taking these dynamic

considerations into account can be pretty disastrous.

Summarising, forward looking rules such as LRIC are appealing for interconnection.

For access to the local loop there are serious dangers, in particular it puts a lot of weight on

the quality of regulation.Overall, one cannot draw a clear-cut conclusion on the dynamic considerations. The problem is that access

prices, especially in situations of one-way access as we have seen above, often have to perform too many tasks at

the same time. Those tasks are possibly conflicting, as indicated above. In the policy chapter 4 we will come

back to possible solutions of this problem.

3 Two-way access

6 Applying LRIC to certain services (e.g., wholesale services) and backward-looking prices to others (e.g., retailservices) might lead to inconsistencies.

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3.1 Introduction

Two-way access refers to a situation where there are two or more operators with their own

infrastructure (consisting of long-distance and local access networks), that need mutual links

so that any consumer can call anyone else. These operators compete for subscribers to their

networks and need each other to offer maximum network benefits to their customers

(interoperability). The typical situation of two-way access is network interconnection.

Another important example of two-way access is fixed-mobile terminating access: a

network operator can charge a consumer for making use of the network (e.g. a two-part tariff).

The network operator can also charge other parties to reach their subscribers. There is

competition for subscribers but no competition for reaching the subscribers of a network. The

characteristics of fixed-mobile call termination are that there is competition for mobile

subscribers, but no competition for providing access to mobile customers once they

subscribed to a particular mobile network. The main difference with network interconnection

is that the services are provided to non-competing operators. For example, in fixed-mobile

termination, the mobile operator needs to access the fixed -and conversely- but (to some

extent), they are not exactly competing head-to-head against each other. Much of the theory

that is discussed in this chapter applies to fixed-mobile termination. That is why we have

decided to deviate from the categorisation introduced by Armstrong (2001) who has a

separate discussion on �competitive bottlenecks� (of which fixed-mobile termination is

considered to be the main example). Indeed there are a number of interesting and separate

policy questions related to fixed-mobile termination. E.g. access to the incumbent�s fixed

lines was more heavily regulated than access to mobile. This creates some policy questions

but does not necessarily warrant new theory. We will discuss the policy aspects of fixed-

mobile termination in chapter 4.

Another situation of two-way access seems to be international network

interconnection, which was already relevant before liberalisation started to take off. The

crucial difference (and the reason why we do not consider this two-way access) with the

examples above is that there is no competition for subscribers. This creates other types of

problems, which we will not discuss here. The same applies to international roaming. If a

subscriber roams on another network to enable its mobile to function abroad, the visited

network operator bills the home network operator for this call and vice versa. Since

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international roaming is, in principle, a competitive service, and possible problems related to

it are beyond the access discussions of this chapter, we will not pursue this in this section.

Similar to one-way access, the central question is how high the access price, in this

case the terminating access price, should be. A difference is that by definition, there is always

more than one access price � each operator charges its own terminating access price. Hence,

an additional question is whether terminating access prices should be reciprocal, that is, the

same for all operators, or not. A third question concerns the so-called �missing price�. Because

of the �calling party pays� principle (CPP), there is no price for receiving a call. This fact will

turn out to be important for the discussion.

3.2 Access pricing

There are two questions related to optimal terminating access prices. The first one concerns

the optimal level of access prices, and whether they should be reciprocal. The main issue, at

least in a mature market, is to set access prices that maximise welfare (or, alternatively,

consumers surplus) such that total industry profits are sufficient to cover fixed costs. The

second question is whether operators should be able to negotiate on access prices, or whether

these prices should be regulated.

The results in the literature on the optimal level of access prices in two-way access

situations are somewhat scarce, although there are some recent contributions, for instance De

Bijl and Peitz (2002 a and b). The main results in the earlier literature focused on mature

markets. Nevertheless, a new entrant, starting from scratch and slowly building up its market

share, finds itself in a much more difficult position with regard to the incumbent than vice

versa. The large asymmetry in market shares leads to asymmetric traffic flows between the

networks, and hence asymmetric access payments (depending on the access prices). A result

in the literature (Laffont and Tirole, 2000, chapter 4) is that in a mature market with

symmetric operators that compete in two-part tariffs, welfare is maximised by setting a

reciprocal access price equal to the marginal cost of access. Operators optimally set per-

minute prices equal to marginal costs of calls, and recoup fixed costs on a per-customer basis

through subscription fees.

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A central question in the literature on two-way access is whether the access price is an

instrument of tacit collusion. Under specific assumptions, it can indeed be shown that

operators� profit levels are increasing in the level of the reciprocal terminating access price.

The reason for implicit collusion is that high access prices increase the cost of a unilateral

retail price cut. This is because such a price cut increases the net outflow of calls to the rival

operator, which is costly because of the access mark-up. However, this result of collusion is

not very robust. For instance, an underlying assumption is that there are symmetric operators

who compete in linear prices, that is, in per-minute prices only and not in subscription fees.

This is not very realistic, since entrants are usually quite small compared to the incumbent in

the early phase of competition, and moreover, operators typically do not compete in linear

prices but in two-part tariffs. Although also this result critically depends on the assumptions

of the model (e.g., the demand for subscriptions is inelastic), it is important to note that the

tacit-collusion result may easily vanish, depending on the assumptions of the model that is

used. Overall, the risk of tacit collusion should not be neglected, but in an immature market, it

seems less pressing than protecting small entrants from a high access price charged by the

incumbent.

On a general level, it seems safe to conclude that in a mature market with roughly

symmetric operators, the socially optimal access price is equal to the marginal cost of access.

Since operators who compete in two-part tariffs do no benefit from access mark-ups, it is not

necessary to regulate the access price, at least not in such a stylised situation. In more realistic

cases where operators are asymmetric, access regulation seems to be necessary in order to

protect small entrants as well as to prevent a reduction in consumers surplus (See De Bijl and

Peitz (2000, 2002a, 2002b), who explore the nature of asymmetric competition between a

small entrant and a large incumbent). Moreover, non-reciprocal access prices may be very

useful to stimulate competition in the short run.7 In particular, if entrants are still small

compared to the incumbent (in terms of market shares) while there is customer lock-in (e.g.

because of switching costs, lack of quality track record for new operators), as in immature

markets, it may be optimal to regulate the incumbent�s access price at the marginal cost level

7 E.g., Armstrong (1998) and Laffont et al. (1998) address asymmetric competition between an incumbent andan entrant, but do not consider non-reciprocal access regulation. Laffont et al. (1998) do, however, show thatnon-cooperative access price setting by the operators, which allows for non-reciprocal access prices, may lead tovery high (and inefficient) access prices.

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(possibly allowing for a modest mark-up that yields a reasonable return), while allowing

entrants to charge an access mark-up. Such an asymmetric access mark-up increases the

entrant�s profits as well as consumers� surplus. Welfare is hardly affected, but the incumbent's

profits are obviously reduced. Although this latter effect is undesirable (and should not

become too large), it is outweighed by the positive effects on consumers surplus and the

entrant's profits. Thus, non-reciprocal access prices may be useful to stimulate competition in

an immature market. In the longer run, when the entrant has built up substantial market share,

cost-based access prices for both firms are optimal for consumers� surplus and welfare.

All the preceding discussion assumes that the �calling party pays� principle (CPP)

applies. And indeed CPP applies in all European countries. Recent literature (Laffont et al.,

2001) has shown that most of the problems mentioned above may disappear when the CPP

principle is abolished. The reason is that under CPP a price is missing, namely a price for

receiving a call. As a consequence, all costs have to be incurred by the caller, while

technically the costs should be split somehow. One of the consequences is that operators have

monopoly power on their incoming calls, which generates problems, e.g. in the fixed-mobile

termination traffic (see section 4.1). Laffont et al. (2001) show under quite general

assumptions that interconnection charges will be set at the competitive level if the missing

price is recovered. In contrast with the CPP case, perfect retail competition can exist and is

viable. In the case of perfect competition, the access charge serves to determine how the cost

of communication is split between the caller and the callee, with the operators being

indifferent (since they achieve zero profits anyhow). However, whenever there is imperfect

competition (market power, even limited), operators� favoured access charge need not

coincide with the socially optimal one; unfortunately, the nature of the operators� bias is not

that easy to predict.

3.3 Dynamic considerations

There are two issues that concern the short and the long run. First, as we have pointed out that

asymmetric access regulation is optimal in an infant market, an important question is at what

moment the market can be considered to be sufficiently mature, so that asymmetric regulation

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can be lifted. Second, similar to one-way access situations, any access price affects operators�

profit levels, and hence their incentives to invest.

Concerning the first issue, if the regulator imposes asymmetric access prices to

stimulate competition in the short run, a crucial question is: when does the transition phase

end, that is, when are entrants sufficiently large so that there is effective competition? For

policy purposes, this is mainly an empirical question. Clearly, the 'stopping rule' or 'sunset

clause' should be based on observable market outcomes. In practice, policy makers can look at

various indicators, such as growth of entrants� market shares, reductions in retail prices,

quality/price ratios and variety for end-users. There is a risk involved in making the lifting of

asymmetric regulation dependent on market outcomes, though.8 For instance, a criterion

based on market share gives both the incumbent and entrants incentives to compete less

aggressively by increasing retail prices. To see this, notice that the incumbent wants the

entrant to gain market share more quickly so that it no longer incurs the access mark-up

charged by the entrant, and the entrant wants to keep enjoying the access mark-up as long as

possible. Therefore, various regulators have been investigating the criteria for sun-set clauses:

(e.g. Canadian Radio-Television and Telecommunications Commission, 2000, or OFTEL,

1999). However, it is not yet clear what all these dynamic regulation methods have produced.

Concerning the second issue, note that the policy prescription of asymmetric access

regulation (as discussed above) does not conflict with the possibility that the regulator may

want to introduce a bias towards facilities-based entry. Nevertheless, if the regulator explicitly

wants to stimulate entrants to roll out networks themselves, it is more direct to make other

types of entry (Carrier Select, unbundled access to the local loop) gradually less attractive.

This may be sufficient to induce entrants without their own local loops but with experience

and market share to start building them.

4 Policy Issues

In this section, we shall discuss four policy issues in more detail. The issues are fixed-mobile

termination, margin squeeze, the allocation of common costs and static versus dynamic

efficiency. The issues are highly relevant for regulators at this stage of development of the

telecom market. A lot of policy attention concerns issues of fixed-mobile termination and

8 This is pointed out by De Bijl and Peitz (2002b).

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margin squeeze. The allocation of common costs and static versus dynamic efficiency issues

are important issues in regulation in general.

The structure of this chapter is as follows. For each policy issue we first discuss the

policy relevance, followed by an overview of what economic theory has to say. Sometimes

this implies a summary of earlier chapters. The policy issues proceed with practical

experiences and end with some policy conclusions. The policy conclusions combine insights

from the earlier chapters with the practical experiences.

4.1 Fixed-mobile termination

4.1.1 Policy relevanceFixed-mobile termination receives a lot of policy attention. Quite a number of complaints of

fixed network operators concern this issue and also politicians talk about the high fixed-

mobile termination tariffs. In practice, one can indeed observe that these access prices are

usually very high, compared to the cost of access. Also there is a price asymmetry, i.e. the

cost of being called is higher than making a call (although they place similar demands on the

network). After other mobile operators entered the market, the retail price for making a

mobile call decreased whereas the terminating access price decreased much slower, the price

asymmetry increased. One might conclude that the fixed networks are subsidising the mobile

networks. OPTA (2002) calculates that for 2000 and 2001 the revenue of fixed-mobile

termination was about € 270 million above revenue based on cost orientation, i.e. a cross-

subsidy from about € 270 million from the fixed networks to mobile networks. Furthermore,

the revenues from termination are very significant. For Telefonica, 75% of mobile revenue

was derived from termination and roaming services (OECD, 1999). This might be a reason for

intervention of regulators.

What are the options for intervention? Regulators can decide not to intervene. One can

expect that the situation will remain the same because in the short run no alternatives for

mobile termination are to be expected. Fixed subscribers subsidise mobile subscribers.

Regulators may decide to intervene and treat fixed-mobile termination as a

competitive bottleneck and regulate the terminating access tariffs. Different pricing principles

can be applied to calculate cost-oriented tariffs (see section 2). Ramsey pricing and LRIC are

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most commonly referred to. When Ramsey pricing is applied, the problem might not be

solved in a way that satisfy the concerns of the regulators (excessive prices).9 The common

costs will be allocated based on the demand (elasticities). Demand in the retail market is more

elastic than in the fixed-mobile terminating market. This implies that the largest part of the

common costs will be recovered in the terminating market. The current price asymmetry

might therefore be in line with Ramsey pricing. The alternative is LRIC, which is commonly

used by regulators in this situation. To recover the common costs, a fair share of these costs is

often set on top of the price based on LRIC. The calculation of this fair share is arbitrary. This

implies that parts of the common costs that are now recovered in the fixed-mobile access

market have to be recovered in another market. If this cannot be recovered because of

competitive forces in that market (e.g. the mobile retail market), this implies that companies

will make losses. This might result in a shake-out in the market. On the other hand, if the

common costs can be recovered, this might imply that retail prices will increase (see also

section 4.3.2 on common costs).

Call termination might be tied to the price of mobile originating, e.g. a termination

charge has to be proportional to the originating access charge. While this option might seem

appealing, it also comes with a cost, i.e. the price-setting in a competitive market will be

influenced by the regulatory action.

4.1.2 Economic theoryFixed subscribers, when they want to reach mobile users, have no choice but to pay the high

access fee (as part of the overall per-minute price). The level of the fixed-mobile termination

access price does not directly influence the level of the usage-based mobile retail prices, but

part of the fixed cost related to the mobile subscribers (e.g. lower subscription fee or subsidies

on hand sets). That is, high access mark-ups imply that fixed customers subsidise mobile

users. Mobile users benefit from high fixed-mobile access charges, to the extent that retail

prices are subsidised.

Under rather standard assumptions, it can be shown that welfare is maximised by

setting the terminating access prices equal to marginal costs (see Armstrong, 2001). However,

it seems that there is no effective competitive pressure to set terminating prices at marginal

costs. The policy discussion focuses on the issue to what extent different mechanisms restrict

9 It is not clear however, if that would constitute a problem in terms of welfare.

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the MNO�s to behave to an appreciable extent independently of its competitors, customers

and ultimate consumers. In other words, has the MNO a dominant position or not? If the

MNO is dominant and (in addition) sets excessive terminating access prices, intervention

seems required.

To what extent do mobile consumers care about how much it costs others to call

them? One might argue that mobile users can be reached in other ways as well, for instance

by using a fixed connection. This argument, however, misses the point that one usually tries

to reach mobile users at their mobile phone when they are mobile, that is, remote from home

or office where there is a fixed line with a known phone number (or remote from other

alternatives to contact them). Even when there are substitution possibilities, they may not be

strong enough to result in substantial downward pressure on access charges.

Furthermore, one might argue that market forces already exert sufficient discipline on

mobile operators. For example, suppose that mobile customers derive utility from being called

(which is undoubtedly true in many cases). If consumers want to receive more calls, they may

care about the termination access price charged by their operator, and hence they may take the

costs of inbound calls into account when they choose a mobile subscription. As a

consequence, the presence of �call externalities� gives mobile operators an incentive to reduce

fixed-mobile termination access prices, although it is unclear how strong this effect is in

reality. Armstrong (2001) actually shows that if mobile subscribers derive utility from

incoming calls, then welfare is maximised by setting termination charges below the marginal

cost of access. The reason is that access below cost encourages fixed subscribers to make calls

to mobile subscribers. Another way in which consumers may take the costs of inbound calls

into account occurs if one assumes that they care about the costs incurred by people calling

them. In theory, if mobile customers, when they choose a mobile operator, internalise the

welfare of people calling them, then again mobile operators have incentives to reduce

termination fees (Armstrong, 2001). This story has some realistic content, since people often

receive most calls from family members or direct colleagues.

Ultimately, it is an empirical question how much mobile customers care about the

costs of incoming calls. Existing evidence (e.g. Oftel 2001) together with casual observation

(the rates are indeed very high all over Europe) suggests that it is most likely that mobile

customers do not care that much for the costs incurred by people calling them when they

choose a subscription.

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As the current system of the �Calling Party Pays� (CPP) and customer pressure does

not seem to exert enough downward pressure on the terminating access prices, one might

choose changing the payment principle. The alternative is to let mobile operators charge their

customers for incoming calls. That is, call recipients pay a per-minute price for receiving calls

from fixed subscribers (instead of the CPP principle). This remedy takes away the bottleneck

problem (given that the mobile operator does not charge the fixed operator for the termination

anymore), since customers who have to pay for incoming calls will be more sensitive to prices

for that service.10 Changing the system may create a distortion, i.e. subscribers pay too little

for calls to mobile users if the costs between callers and callees are split for fixed-mobile but

not for fixed-fixed. It is not clear how serious this distortion is, but to solve it one may

consider to introduce the split also for other services.

The conclusion is that policy intervention seems to be necessary. There might be some

mechanisms that restrict the behaviour of the MNO�s, but the effect is too small to conclude

that competition in the fixed-mobile termination market is effective. On the short run, most

research indicates that these mechanisms will not increase sufficiently in strength to create a

situation of effective competition (see e.g. Armstrong 2001).

4.1.3 Practical experiencesThe central part in the debate on fixed-mobile termination is whether fixed-mobile call

termination is a �bottleneck� and whether Mobile Network Operators (MNO�s) can exercise

market power. A lot of policy discussions between Regulators and market players concern

this point. The principle of the �calling party pays� is a central point in this discussion.

Arguments can be given why there is no (or limited) effect on the height of the terminating

access prices versus arguments why there is enough pressure on MNO�s to compete on the

terminating access prices (see e.g. OFTEL, 2001, IRG, 2002). Despite the results of this

discussion, Armstrong showed that in most cases the pressure from these mechanisms is too

small to restrict the behaviour of MNOs in setting their termination access prices. The high

terminating access prices seem to support this argument. Most regulators also follow this line

of reasoning and intervene.

OFTEL (2001) discusses different mechanisms that might constrain the behaviour of

MNOs. First of all, mobile subscribers might care about the costs of calling them and take the 10 However, it does not solve the originating access from fixed to mobile. These charges should still be

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termination prices into account when making a choice for a MNO. Their conclusion is that

mobile callers put little weight on terminating prices (this might be different for different

groups). Second, the effect of closed user groups11 generates a limited pressure on termination

prices. Furthermore, OFTEL concludes that there are no real alternatives and buyers have no

countervailing power. The conclusion is that there is insufficient competitive pressure to

constrain the terminating prices and that the pressures are expected to remain insufficient.

OPTA uses more or less the same arguments as OFTEL and comes to the conclusion

that mobile call termination is a bottleneck facility. OPTA decided to intervene and set a

timeframe to come to cost-oriented terminating access tariffs in 2003. In between, OPTA

suggested terminating prices that they considered as fair.

For calculating terminating access prices, the regulators use the LRIC pricing principle

or are planning to use it in the near future. LRIC is preferred over Ramsey pricing because

Ramsey pricing might be difficult to calculate and might result in an unfair allocation of

common cost (cross-subsidisation and/or big price asymmetries). Also the common costs

seem to be a relatively small problem (see section 4.3 on common costs).

4.1.4 Policy conclusions

The policy conclusions combine insights from the earlier chapters with the practical

experiences from above.

• Fixed-mobile termination is a hot topic in the telecom sector and receives a lot of attention

of the regulators. So far, the conclusion of most regulators is that fixed-mobile termination

is (close to) a bottleneck facility. There are too little competitive pressures to restrain the

behaviour of the MNOs and therefore regulation is considered to be necessary. It is,

however, important to review the developments of the potential mechanisms that might

result in effective competition. It is, for example, unclear how closed user groups will

develop and to what extent they might restrict the behaviour of MNOs.

• Another important issue is the potential of alternatives for the calling party pays (CPP)

principle. CPP is common practice in Europe. CPP might be exchanged for receiving

regulated.11 Closed user groups are groups which have an interest in how much it costs to call each other and therefore allsubscribe to the same network (e.g. familymembers or a company). For these closed user groups special offersare often made.

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party pays (RPP) or a combination of both. RPP can put effective pressure on the call

termination prices because the individual who chooses the network operator is charged for

both outgoing and incoming calls. The individual has the possibility to switch to a

different network operator with better prices. Countries with CPP have significant higher

terminating access prices than countries with RPP (OECD, 2000: 50). Therefore, RPP

might result in lower terminating access prices. On the other hand, RPP might have

disadvantages as well. Prepaid might become less attractive. The subscriber not only has

to pay for outgoing calls, but also incoming calls, about which it has no control (besides

disconnecting the mobile). It will be more difficult for a prepaid subscriber to control the

telephone expenses. It is also argued that CPP has more potential to help the mobile

market to grow (OECD, 2000). Under CPP it becomes increasingly valuable to join a

network, because it is �free� to receive calls as well as that prepaid cards are more

attractive in markets with CPP. Finally, with the new proposed ONP, it will be easier to

designate MNO�s to have significant market power in narrower markets (e.g. mobile

termination) and not intervene in the more competitive retail market.

• Competitive pressures might also be introduced by giving consumers more alternatives.

For instance, it might be possible to give consumers the possibility to choose a different

network for receiving calls than the one for making calls. The mobile subscriber can select

the network operator with the lowest originating and the lowest terminating prices. This

implies that two separate markets are created. It is not clear to what extent operators

focusing on a separate market (e.g. only terminating) can compete with operators that

provide a bundle of originating and terminating services. For this option, it is also

necessary that SIM cards could communicate with all mobile networks. Furthermore to be

effective, it is necessary that the mobile subscriber takes the costs of the calling party into

account.

• Also the calling party might be able to call a mobile subscriber by using different MNOs.

The mobile subscriber might have more mobile phones (not very realistic) or the mobile

subscriber can be reached by different MNOs. This provides MNOs an incentive to

compete on terminating access prices. This last option also implies that the SIM cards

could communicate with different mobile networks. It implies that the mobile subscriber

owns the SIM card instead of the MNO and that the networks need to be highly

standardised. It is, however, unclear if this will be possible and desired in the future.

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• Increasing the awareness of mobile subscribers about terminating access costs might

enhance their willingness to take these terminating costs into account. Transparency on

the pricing structures is a tool in this. To be effective, fixed network operators need to

differentiate their retail tariffs for the different MNOs.

4.2 Margin squeeze

4.2.1 Policy relevanceTelecom operators or independent service providers may rely on a key input (upstream

market) of the vertically integrated operator while at the same time compete with that operator

in the downstream market. If the vertically integrated operator is dominant in the upstream

market, there could be scope for it to leverage its dominant position into the downstream

market, resulting in a margin or price squeeze.

A margin squeeze occurs if the retail prices charged by the dominant operator are so

close to the wholesale prices of services offered to competitors that even a more efficient

competitor cannot enter into or survive in the market. The vertically integrated operator can

subject its competitors to high access prices (raising the cost of the key input) and/or lower its

prices in the downstream market. The total revenue of the vertically integrated operator may

remain unchanged. In extreme cases, the access price may even be higher than the

incumbents� retail prices. In a situation of a margin squeeze, there is too little room for

competitors to compete. Therefore, a margin squeeze can harm the development of effective

competition in the long run (relatively high prices, low quality, etc).

The absence of (efficient) entrants or competitors does not necessarily reduce welfare.

If the incumbent is much more efficient than its (potential) competitors and the benefits are

passed on to the customers, it is not a problem that there are no entrants/competitors. If this is

not the case, then a margin squeeze is a problem because efficient competitors do not enter

into or stay in the market and competitive forces cannot do their job.

More formally, a margin squeeze can be defined as (given that access and retail

services are strictly comparable12

12 If different retail services use the same access service, the allocation of common costs to the different retailservices will come into play, see section 4.3.

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a + c > p

where:

a = access price charged by incumbent to entrants;

p = incumbent�s retail price of the corresponding service (provided that access and retail

services can be compared);

c = incumbent�s cost of delivering the retail service, on top of costs already included in

access price a.

This implies that:

the incumbent would make losses if it buys access itself at price a, given retail price p;

p � a does not reflect the incumbent�s own downstream cost c; the �notional downstream

margin� on the incumbent�s retail activities is negative, p � (a+c) < 0.

Is the possibility of a margin squeeze enough reason to intervene as a regulator is a margin

squeeze part of the process of becoming a competitive industry? Is a margin squeeze the result

of normal business practices or anti-competitive behaviour? To assess the need for (potential)

intervention, it is worthwhile to look at what economic theory has to say about margin

squeeze.

4.2.2 Economic theoryThe critical point in a margin-squeeze case is that an efficient (not vertically integrated)

competitor cannot enter into or stay in the market and earn a normal profit because of pricing

behaviour of a (dominant) vertically integrated incumbent. In order to understand the case of a

margin squeeze and the potential remedies, one should look at the causes of the margin

squeeze. There can be three different cases that may cause a margin squeeze:

a. access price too high (and competitive retail price), risk of exploitative abuse

b. retail price too low (and cost-based access price), possibly predatory pricing;

c. margin squeeze between the prices above, possibly cross-subsidisation.

We shall discuss these cases in more detail.

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Access price is too high: risk of exploitative abuse

In the case of excessive access prices, it is important to look at the reason for the level of the

access price and the relation with the underlying costs. Excessive access prices are

characterised by an absence of a reasonable relationship between the price and the economic

value of the product/service supplied. If there is a big gap between the price and underlying

costs, profits are higher than it could be expected in a competitive setting. There can be

different reasons for excessive access prices. Access prices may be too high as a result of a

dominant position. From an access perspective, this is one-way access situation (see section

2). On the other hand, access prices may be too high as a result of conflicting objectives in

regulation practices.

In theory excessive access prices at the upstream market are no problem if it attracts

new entrants on to the network market. This depends on the barriers to entry in this market.

Especially for the local loop, the barriers to entry are high and no disciplinary forces can be

expected at any short notice. Therefore, the regulators might decide to intervene.

Access price might also be too high without an intentional abuse of the incumbent.

Price-regulation rules set by the regulators might result in excessive access prices (in relation

with retail prices). This can be the result of conflicting objectives and/or different pricing

principles at the access and the retail market. The objective of efficient investments (access

price based on cost) might contradict the objective of creating effective entry and competition

at the retail level (retail minus). In such a situation, the regulator has to set priorities: not all

objectives can be reached at the same time and some objectives are more important than

others.

Retail price is too low: possibly predatory pricing

Different causes can underlie the retail prices being too low. As a result of different pricing

rules charged by regulators on the wholesale and retail market, the retail prices might be too

low (compared to the access price). Also a uniform national retail price might be too low

compared to cost-based access prices in a rural area. On the other hand, low retail prices can

also be the result of an intentional abuse of the incumbent, i.e. a special case of predatory

pricing.

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A margin squeeze as a particular form of predatory pricing implies that an efficient

entrant or competitor cannot redeem its downstream costs and will not enter or leave the

market. The incumbent chooses for a short-term loss in order to make long-term extra profits

as a result of a dominant position.

Predatory pricing implies that there is a price reduction that is profitable only because

of the added market power the predator gains from eliminating, disciplining or otherwise

inhibiting the competitive conduct of a rival or potential rival (Bolton et al., 2000). Customers

may benefit in the short run from lower prices, in the longer run weakened competition will

lead to higher prices, lower quality or less choice. The fact that an activity is being run at a

loss, is not enough for a case of predatory pricing, the question is whether it has an anti-

competitive effect. In order to prove the anti-competitive effect of predatory pricing, Bolton et

al. (2000) propose a five-criteria rule:

1 a facilitating market structure,

2 a scheme of predation and supporting evidence,

3 probable recoupment,

4 price below cost and

5 absence of efficiencies or business justification defence.

ad 1) The market structure must make predation a feasible strategy. A company must have the

power to raise prices (or otherwise exploit consumers or suppliers) over some significant

period of time (dominant firm or small group of jointly acting firms, entry and re-entry

barriers).

ad 2) Predation pricing and recoupment require that predation is plausible ex ante and

probable ex post. This means that must be a predatory scheme ex ante under which the

predator can expect to recoup its initial losses. Using tools of applied game theory can help to

identify economic conditions under which predation is rational profit-seeking conduct by a

dominant firm. Ex post probability is shown by subsequent exclusion of rivals and post-

predation market conditions that make future recoupment likely.

ad 3) At a minimum, the losses incurred from the predation strategy must be recouped

somehow. If the operator is not able to recoup the losses, because of competition from

existing or potential competitors, the predation strategy is not viable. Recoupment is only

possible if there is an exclusionary effect on (potential) rivals or the disciplining of the rival�s

competitive conduct. The most common and straightforward recoupment occurs when prices

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rise above the competitive level in the predatory market. In more complex settings,

recoupment can occur through other channels, e.g. by raising prices of complementary or

closely-related services. It is essential that these latter price increases should unambiguously

be explained by the earlier predatory pricing (see also Cabral and Riordan 1997).

ad 4) In the predatory period, prices should be below average variable cost, although also

prices that are above average variable cost but below average total cost might be predatory

and injure competition13. The most used cost standards are average total cost (ATC) and

average variable cost (AVC) (OFT, 1998) or long-run average incremental cost (LRAIC) as

substitute for ATC and average avoidable cost as a substitute for AVC (Bolton et al., 2000). If

prices are above ATC, there is no problem. If prices are below AVC, predation can be

assumed. A price between ATC and AVC is either presumptively or conclusively lawful. If

the price is presumptively lawful, there is a need for evidence that the operator intends to

eliminate or discipline a competitor.

ad 5) Finally, there can be cases where below-cost pricing by an operator with dominance

might be efficiency-enhancing rather than predatory. However, in these cases one has to look

very closely whether the efficiency enhancement is also to the benefit of the consumers in the

long run. Otherwise the argument can be abused to foreclose a market on the basis that it is

�efficient� to do so.

The five-criteria rule provides a clear procedure how to handle a potential predatory

pricing case. However, predatory pricing might be hard to prove, especially the intentional

part. In the section on policy conclusions, we shall discuss the practical value of this rule in

more detail.

Margin squeeze between access price and retail price: possibly cross-subsidisation

Cross-subsidisation occurs where an operator uses revenues from one market to subsidise

losses on another market. If the revenues are earned in a market in which the operator has a

dominant position and are used to subsidise losses in a competitive market, this hampers

competition and might be unlawful. In a case of cross-subsidisation, the losses in one market

are redeemed by another market. Cross-subsidisation is especially viable if the market is

13 If prices are below cost but stay on that level �for ever� then there is no predation. This can be a viablebusiness strategy in industries characterised by network externalities or learning by doing. The period of belowcost pricing extends no longer than necessary to achieve the network economics or untill the cumulativeproduction experiences result in lower costs. See also the next section on cross-subsidisation.

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characterised by economies of scale and economies of scope, i.e. scale and scope economies

widen possibilities for incumbents to use part of their business to cross-subsidise other parts.

Causally attributable and avoidable costs of a service can be labelled as common costs

resulting in too low incremental costs. If the price is set to incremental cost, then there is a

case of cross-subsidisation (see also section 4.3 on common costs).

There is a case of cross-subsidisation if the revenues are expected to fail to cover the

cost of the associated activities over its economic lifetime. If the costs are covered over the

economic lifetime of the service, relatively low prices at the introduction of the service might

be a normal business strategy (penetration strategy) and hence there is no anti-competitive

behaviour. For example, if the production of a service is characterised by economies of scale

or learning effects, an appropriate business strategy might be to offer the initial service below

cost price (for the first customers). As demand significantly grows, as a result of the low

price, this will result in a sharp decrease of production costs. This option might result in a

higher profit over the economic lifetime of the service (low price, big quantity and substantial

lower costs) than the alternative of a high price and slower decrease of costs.

The assessment of cross-subsidisation is related to the assessment of predatory pricing.

If the revenues exceed the long-run incremental cost (including the cost of capital), the service

would be sustainable in the long run and there would be no case of cross-subsidisation

(OFTEL, 2000). If services share common costs, the evaluation is more complex (see also

section 4.4). In that case, total costs consist of the long run incremental costs of all services

and the common costs. In a case of cross-subsidisation, a dominant operator might charge a

higher price to cover the common costs in the market wherein it has a dominant position and

uses a price that equals the incremental costs in the competitive segment. Although this is not

unlawful in terms of predation, it might hamper competition. A competitor that does not

provide all services of the dominant operator might be at a cost disadvantage in the

competitive market (cannot recover the common cost in another market).

The economic literature focuses on two tests for cross-subsidisation: the incremental

cost test and the stand-alone test (Braeutigam, 1989: 1337-1342, Sharkey, 1982, Faulhaber,

1975, as cited in Nicolaides and Polmans, 1999). The incremental cost test requires that the

revenues from each subset S at least cover the increment to the total costs that occurs when S

is produced as opposed to not being produced at all. If revenues of S do not cover the

incremental cost of S, then service S is subsidised. The incremental cost test sets the lower

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bound on the subsidy-free price range. The stand-alone test argues that if the revenues of S

exceed the costs of providing service S alone, then users of S are subsidising other services.

The stand-alone test sets an upper level to the revenues generated by S. The tests must be

done for all possible subsets14 (often referred to as the combinatorial cost test).

Economic theory produces important insights on margin squeeze, its causes and ways

to assess different forms. The theoretical insights have to be interpreted in real life cases.

4.2.3 Practical experiences

Until recently, regulation and intervention of regulators focused on the prevention of

excessive prices (e.g. price caps). The last 2-3 years, regulators get more attention for the

potential harmful effects of low prices. As a result of complaints of entrants and new

competitors, the hampering effects of low prices for competition became more perceptible.

The interest in margin squeeze increased as a result of the potential problems with Local Loop

Unbundling (European Commission, 2001).

Margin squeeze does not necessarily imply intentional abuse. Margin squeeze can be

the result of incomplete rebalancing of prices. If prices are not completely rebalanced on cost-

oriented bases, prices do not adequately represent the underlying costs. This may result in

overcharging or underpricing. The Commission can launch infringement proceedings against

Member States to solve this problem.

Also accounting inconsistencies may result in margin squeeze. Certain pricing

principles focus on static efficiency (e.g. Ramsey pricing), whereas others focus on dynamic

efficiency (e.g. LRIC). National uniform retail prices might conflict with differences in

regional costs of providing access. Pricing principles may conflict and may result in margin

squeeze.

Most regulators studied the effects of price squeezing and suggested price-squeeze

tests when they approve interconnection tariffs of the incumbent (e.g. OFTEL, 2000, OPTA

and NMa, 2001). This ex ante regulation can be interpreted as part of the cost-orientation

check of regulators. In a price-squeeze test, the costs of the incumbent are studied, more

specifically the costs that the incumbent has to make to provide the service internally. The

14 This also solves the discussion with which subset to start.

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extra costs the incumbent makes to deliver the access service (e.g. billing) should be left out

of the test. In determining the access tariffs, most of the regulators use LRIC or plan to use

LRIC in the near future.

A problem might arise when using LRIC in a sector with high common costs. The

telecommunication sector is such a sector. A multi-product supplier can choose the market in

which to recover these common costs, on the condition that it does not abuse its dominant

position. If all services are priced at LRIC, the common costs are not recovered. To test if

there is no case of predation, OFTEL tests if the prices of the services are at least at LRIC

level plus a fair share of the common costs. If a dominant operator is pricing below LRIC,

predation is presumed, unless the operator provides solid arguments. On top of that, all the

relevant services should together be able to recover all common costs (combinatorial test

(OFTEL, 2000)). If the dominant operator prices above LRIC, but revenue overall fails to

cover total costs and the dominant operator has the intention to eliminate a competitor,

predatory pricing is presumed.

OPTA and NMa (2001) published price-squeeze guidelines. These guidelines explain

how the price-squeeze test will be executed. The test might be applied to all retail products of

the dominant operator and will be applied to the different components of the retail price (set-

up cost, peak, off-peak, etc.). As a result of this detailed approach, it will be difficult for

entrants to cherry pick.

Another issue that needs attention is the allocation of costs (costs related to access

versus related to retail activities, see also section 4.3 on common costs). An incumbent might

allocate costs that are related with the retail activities to access activities. As a result, the costs

of access are too high and retail costs are too low. If the access prices are cost-oriented based

on these (high) access costs, then the entrant is paying too much (i.e. part of the incumbents

retail costs). Therefore, when setting access prices based on information of an incumbent, the

relevance of the cost must be addressed.

To conclude, most regulators recognise the problem of price squeeze. They developed

or are planning to develop a price-squeeze test. This instrument is used as part of the cost-

orientation check. As this instrument is relatively new, it is too soon to draw conclusions on

the effectiveness of price-squeeze tests.

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4.2.4 Policy conclusions

Theoretical insights need a practical interpretation. A margin squeeze can be difficult to

assess, proper data are hard to get and interventions can also come at a cost. Mistaking

competitive pricing for a margin squeeze will tend to distort the market. On the other hand,

mistaken predation for competition may result in less competition and higher prices in the

long run.

To minimise these mistakes in practice, it is important to look at the cause of the

margin squeeze. Depending on the cause and the effect on competition, the regulators might

decide to intervene. Therefore, the regulators should first investigate what is the cause of the

margin squeeze. The discussion in the theoretical part can be an important starting point.

There are a few issues that need special attention. These are: the time dimension, allocation of

(common) costs, information asymmetry and ex ante regulation versus ex post intervention.

− Time is an important issue in margin-squeeze cases caused by predatory pricing and cross-

subsidisation. In a predatory pricing case, time refers to the period that is necessary for

recoupment. The period in which recoupment is possible is likely to be short, especially in

the telecom sector with its fast technological development. On the other hand, path

dependence might imply that once a company missed a stage, it will be very hard to make

up the disadvantage. Also entry barriers for new technologies might increase the period

for recoupment. In a cross-subsidisation case, time is important to evaluate if certain

business practices are anti-competitive behaviour or not. For normal business practice,

revenues over the economic lifetime of the service should cover the costs. If the costs are

covered, the operator uses a penetration price in order to quickly build up a large custom

base. If the costs are not covered over the economic lifetime of the service, there might be

a case of cross-subsidisation.15

− A case of margin squeeze can be very complex if common costs are involved. If the

revenues of a service are higher than the LRIC plus the common costs, then there might be

a case of cross-subsidisation. By using the incremental cost test and the stand-alone test

one can identify if there is a case of cross-subsidisation. Also predatory pricing is more

15 A practical issue is how to determine the economic lifetime. This is an accounting issue.

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difficult to prove if common costs are involved. Part of the problem is related to the

allocation of the common costs over the relevant services.

− It is clear that a case of margin squeeze caused by predation or cross-subsidization is hard

to prove. It is difficult to get all the necessary information on costs and allocate the costs

to the relevant activities. If a regulator cannot perfectly observe the incumbent�s cost

levels, the incumbent may try to hide such a margin squeeze by allocating to its wholesale

activities costs that are actually incurred as a result of its retail activities. Accordingly, in

practice, the risk of a margin squeeze is closely linked to information asymmetry.

Secondly, it is hard to prove intentions of operators. The chance that a specific case

satisfies all criteria will be limited.

− Finally, there is a trade-off between ex ante regulation versus ex post intervention. An ex-

ante margin-squeeze test clearly helps to make regulation transparent and creates clearness

for market parties. It can contribute to more competition in the market. On the other hand,

it can result in too much and perhaps needless regulation, especially if the price-squeeze

test is very detailed. Margin-squeeze cases can also be dealt with ex post, with the risk that

intervention becomes too late (complaints procedures take a very long time). Regulators

have to make a trade-off between perhaps needless regulation and the risk of too late

intervention.

4.3 The allocation of common costs

4.3.1 Policy relevance

One of the hardest regulation problems concerns the allocation of common costs. Technically

speaking, entrants only use part of the infrastructure when e.g. leasing a line or using only

parts of the spectrum. However, access would be of no use if the other parts (i.e. the parts of

the infrastructure it does not directly use) were not there. In other words, there are parts of the

infrastructure that are �used� for various services but it is not clear in what proportion the

costs of that part of the infrastructure should be allocated over those services. A related but

slightly different issue arises when the costs do not depend on the amount of the bandwidth

that is actually used or the number of services that run on it. Finally, there are also often

provisions for public services to be shared among the various services. When the regulator

decides to intervene, the regulator has to come with an answer by deciding upon some

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allocation method of the common costs. A misallocation of these common costs can distort

competition.

4.3.2 Economic theory

The necessity to finance part of the common costs is a problem that is reasonably well

covered by the economic literature (see e.g. Armstrong 2001 or Laffont and Tirole 2000). At

the same time, it is acknowledged there is no easy way to do it. Determining access charges

typically consists of two stages. In stage one, the regulator determines the causally attributable

costs (see section 2 for various methods). Stage two then deals with the common costs. The

lack of allocating appropriate costs in stage one implies that the residual would also contain

costs which might otherwise have been allocated as causally attributable costs, but will be

allocated as if they were common costs. The question then becomes: how to allocate these

common costs?

Theoretically there is an optimal way (Ramsey pricing, see section 2.2.2). In short,

common costs are allocated inversely proportional to price elasticity of the service, i.e. the

service with the lowest price elasticity carries the highest burden. There are three reasons why

Ramsey prices are rarely used in practice. The first is a political reason: Ramsey prices often

involve a (very) skewed distribution of prices over services and may imply sky-high prices for

some services, which may be politically unattractive. The second reason is a practical one: to

calculate Ramsey prices, one may need very detailed information, which is often unavailable.

The third one is that Ramsey prices do not allow for clear comparisons between countries or

operators. Such comparisons could be useful for benchmarking (see e.g. Jullien 2001).

Because of these practical difficulties, regulators had to come up with alternative

approaches (see DTe 2000, Europe Economics 2001, OFTEL 2001). We mention four of

them:

• Equal proportionate mark-up (EPMU)

The mark-up for common costs is proportional to the incremental costs of the service

provided on it. The difference with Ramsey prices is that the willingness to pay does not

count, only the costs. Henceforth, this method neglects demand-side factors and scores worse

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than Ramsey pricing on allocative efficiency. In cases where common costs are small relative

to incremental costs, this distortion is modest.

• Pro-rata appointment

The mark-up on common costs is decided by a fixed proportion between various services. The

proportion can be decided by the regulator. The advantage of this method is that it is very

simple to implement, and can easily be tailor-made to a specific goal by the regulator.

However, unless the regulator comes up with plausible arguments, the proportions are set in

an arbitrary way.

• Incremental and stand-alone costs

This method is based on the calculation of two extremes. The boundaries of the costs to be

allocated to any service are provided by:

- a floor, the incremental cost � the cost that would be avoided were that service not

provided, and

- a ceiling, the stand-alone cost � the cost that would be incurred if that service were

provided in isolation.

The difference between these two boundaries represents the level of common costs. With

pricing at incremental cost, the service concerned makes no contribution to common costs;

with pricing at stand-alone cost, the service concerned bears the totality of common costs. At

intermediate prices, the service makes some contribution towards common costs. This method

is particularly useful in casting light on what causes costs. The method provides an estimate

of the magnitude of common costs which is independent of the accounting data and thus

could be applied as a cross-check to the identification of attributable and common costs. As a

method of determining some intermediate level, the same criticism is applicable as to the pro-

rata method.

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• Commercial negotiation

The regulator sets prices that are consistent with a hypothetical commercial negotiation

between two independent parties in advance of the expenditure being incurred (Europe

Economics 2001). The advantage of this method is that it takes demand-side consideration

into account but is not likely to lead to the extreme Ramsey outcomes, nor does it require such

a high information burden. The downside is that it is not clear a priori what would be the

outcome of this method. In the worst case, the method is as arbitrary as pro-rata appointment.

4.3.3 Practical experiences

Before going into the main telecommunication experiences, it should be observed that other

utilities face quite similar problems. We mention an airport and an electricity example.

• Airports U.K.

In a number of European Airports, regulators are considering a so-called �dual-till� system.

Under a dual till, airport activities would be divided into �aeronautical� and �non-

aeronautical� activities, and only costs and revenues in the former category, termed the

�regulatory till�, would be taken into account when setting the price control for regulated

charges (Europe Economics, 2001). The U.K. has the longest and best documented experience

with it, so we focus on the U.K. here.

Europe Economics (2001), in advising the regulator on inter alia common costs,

rejects Ramsey pricing for practical and political reasons, such as discussed above. It rejects

the EPMU, because it would cause profitable activities to cease (or prevent others from being

introduced). Here, the absence of demand-side considerations takes its toll. As a compromise,

Europe Economics (2001) suggests the commercial-negotiation principle. In practice, the

method boils down to a variant of EPMU but corrected for demand-side factors.

• Electricity in the Netherlands

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The Dutch regulator considers �the local electricity loop� as regional natural monopolies and

regulates access to the local loop via yardstick competition. Of course, the regional structure

of the electricity networks helps the regulator in applying yardstick competition. But even

TenneT, the national grid company, is benchmarked against best-practice grids in the U.S. and

Europe (DTe, 2000). Yardstick competition implies that there is no relationship between

access charges and the costs of the network. Access charges are set on basis of the best-

practice performance in the country (or elsewhere). Yardstick competition obviously avoids

any discussion on common costs. The applicability of yardstick competition for

telecommunication depends on how comparable accounting and regulation principles are

between European countries. If they are comparable, then yardstick competition could be a

useful alternative for other types of price-cap regulation. A recent example is the Local Loop

Unbundling in Ireland, where tariffs are based on international comparisons (Office of the

Director of telecommunication regulation Ireland, 2001).

Now we move into the two main telecommunication applications:

• Unbundled Local Loop/shared access in the U.K.

Unbundled Local Loop (ULL) enables competing operators to lease the local loop of the

fixed-line incumbents and install equipment at their exchange sites. The main implication of

this is that it enables these operators to offer high bandwidth directly to consumers and

henceforth foster competition for high-bandwidth services. ULL is a typical situation of one-

way access. Section 2 already discussed access charges with ULL, but left the common-cost

aspect to this section. One way to reduce additional costs for consumers of hiring these new

operators of their high bandwidth is to introduce shared access (see e.g., EC Commission

Recommendation C2000 1059, OFTEL). An issue specific to shared access is how to split the

common costs between high and low frequencies.

OFTEL has suggested a method for sharing common costs in the case of shared access

(OFTEL, 2000). It first observes that shared loops differ from fully unbundled local loops, in

that the competing firms only lease a portion of the local loop - the high frequency one. So

after applying step one, the attributable costs (in this case, LRIC is used), in step two it has to

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be determined what to do with the costs of the loop that are invariant with the bandwidth

used.

OFTEL rejects Ramsey pricing for the usual reason: the information burden is too

high. It goes on stating that its objective is to adopt a method that ensures that the take-up of

higher-bandwidth services is neither discouraged nor deterred, i.e. allocative efficiency in

DSL services seems to be the main goal. OFTEL concludes that the easiest way to achieve

these goals is to let the local loop provider (LLP) set the access charges themselves provided

non-discrimination, i.e. the LLP cannot charge competitors a different amount than it charges

itself. Since the LLP�s do not charge any of the common costs to their own downstream

higher-bandwidth business, OFTEL suggests that the total of common costs will be allocated

to voice.

• Fixed-mobile termination

From section 3 and section 4.1, it has been concluded that fixed to mobile termination is a

service that should be regulated since mobile network operators (MNOs) have a near

monopoly position in this service. Indeed, a number of regulators have adopted RPI-X

regulation to prevent MNOs from exploiting their near monopoly position (see e.g. OFTEL,

Review of the Charge Control on Calls to Mobiles - 26 September 2001).

OFTEL opts for the EPMU system for the common costs (Kobold and Maldoom,

2001). It underpins this choice since the recovery of these costs is a relatively minor issue in

the context of mobile termination because the common costs of a mobile network are

relatively small. In OFTEL�s cost model, common costs amount only to about 3%-5% of the

total costs of a 900 MHz and 1800 MHz network. The common costs comprise the cost of a

network-management system plus the fixed costs of coverage, i.e. the cost of acquiring,

renting and operating the number of sites required to provide coverage. The characteristics of

a 1800 MHz spectrum mean that more base stations are required to provide the same degree

of coverage, which is why common costs are a slightly higher proportion of total costs than in

a 900 MHz network. As a consequence, the distortion of EPMU is modest. Since EPMU is

easy to implement, the choice is clear.

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4.3.4 Policy conclusions

• Ramsey pricing, though theoretically appealing, is often discarded as being unpractical or

politically unfeasible. Still, the message of Ramsey pricing is that demand-side factors

can be important, in particular in situations where the common costs are relatively large

relative to incremental costs.

• When common costs are large, Ramsey prices, or more generally demand-side factors,

should no be discarded that easily. Difficult data requirements can sometimes be

resolved. Imperfect demand estimations can be better than no demand-side estimations.

Political (income-distribution) problems can also sometimes be solved otherwise.

• In cases where Ramsey pricing is unfeasible, the regulators will find themselves at cross-

roads since none of the alternatives can be assessed as being a priori superior to the other.

• The two leading questions that determine the best available alternative are: (i) To what

type and what level of distortion does the method lead? (ii) Which are the main objectives

that the regulator wants to achieve with the access charges?

• The first question gives a feeling for the relative damage that the method inflicts: In the

case of fixed mobile termination, e.g., we saw that the common costs were relatively

small, implying that an alternative such as EPMU only causes a small distortion.

• The second question puts weights on the distortions: one distortion is not as bad as the

other. In the Airline example, we saw that demand-side considerations were considered

very important, which made EPMU unappealing.

• A totally different perspective came from the electricity market. Indeed, one can wonder

how international comparisons either by benchmarking or even by the more formal

brother of benchmarking (yardstick competition) is a feasible option in

telecommunications land in the future.

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4.4 Static versus dynamic efficiency

4.4.1 Policy relevance

Sections 2 and 3 paid some attention to dynamic consequences of access prices. Because of

the policy relevance in virtually all access problems, the lack of a theoretical consensus in

general, as well as the lack of a well developed analysis of the linkage between access pricing

and dynamic efficiency, this section comes back to the issue in more detail.

Why do regulators struggle with this question? There are a large number of

explanations. First, theory is well developed for static access rules, not for dynamic ones.

Second, while the emphasis was on developing competition for services in the early stages of

liberalisation, the attention has shifted (at least to a certain extent) to competition for

infrastructures. Third, there could be trade-offs between static and dynamic efficiency.

Regulating access prices that foster competition for services does not automatically foster

competition for infrastructure. The well-known example here is low one-way access prices:

entrants who can �free-ride� on the incumbent�s network do not have incentives to build their

own networks. Fourth, partially because of the low market sentiments for telecommunication,

investments in new infrastructure are not as booming as expected (with some notable

exceptions). Fifth, there is considerable political pressure on regulators to play easy on

telecommunication operators because a tight regulation is allegedly harmful for investments,

particularly given the current market sentiments. Finally, the emphasis on dynamic

considerations cannot be overstated. The telecommunications industry is an industry largely

driven by innovation and investments in new infrastructure. So putting the incentives for

investments and innovation right can easily dwarf any of the static considerations.

Throughout this section, we use the notions of static and dynamic efficiency.16 This

allows us to address the possible trade-off between short- and long-run implications of policy

choices. Roughly speaking, static efficiency is high if competition is sufficiently intense, there

is downward pressure on prices, consumers can choose between several suppliers, and they

get good value for money. Some drivers of static efficiency are: low entry barriers, no

collusion and no substantial consumer switching costs. Unfortunately, one cannot measure the

16 See also Bennett et al. (2001) and Leo et al (2002), in which the notions of static and dynamic efficiency playa central role to address various policy issues in telecommunications markets.

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static efficiency of a market, but in practice, it can roughly be assessed by consulting industry

experts, antitrust economists who and consumer organisations that each may have specific

views on certain indicators related to the drivers of static efficiency.

Dynamic efficiency is high if, typically, there are low entry barriers for new

technologies developed by rival firms, and firms have incentives to invest in R&D and

innovation. Some drivers of dynamic efficiency are: low entry barriers for players with new

technologies, the possibilities to recoup R&D investments, small regulatory uncertainty, and

effective standardisation. Again, it is hardly possible to measure dynamic efficiency, but in

practice one can look at the levels of investment in product and process innovation, R&D

budgets, the number of patents, the prospects for new players to introduce new technologies,

and consumer take-up of new products. These types of indicators may give a good

approximation of dynamic efficiency. It is important to stress that a high level of innovation

does not always mean that dynamic efficiency is high. There can also be too much innovation

in a market, for example in a situation of planned obsolescence.

4.4.2 Economic theory

Summarising the theoretical insights of sections 2-3 we see six conclusions:

1. Forward-looking access rules (e.g. LRIC) may give better incentives for investment

than backward-looking ones, although the empirical evidence is somewhat mixed (Cave

et al., 2001).

2. However, by implicitly assuming that markets are contestable, LRIC rules can have

adverse dynamic consequences, which can completely offset the positive incentives

mentioned above. Typically, telecommunication markets are not contestable: there are

substantial sunk costs as well as many unsuccessful investments (stranded assets).

Failing to take this into account can hamper investments and innovation.

3. Providing ex ante clarity on the leading regulation principles reduces uncertainty and

thereby contributes to dynamic efficiency.

4. Uncertainty can further be reduced by defining �sun-set clauses�, i.e. regulators

predetermine conditions under which regulation can be lifted or softened.

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5. Dynamic efficiency is not one-dimensional: access charges that are good for investment

incentives for incumbents are not always so good for those of entrants and investment is

not equivalent to innovation.

6. A simple focus on incentives for investments by the entrants is too short-sighted:

investments can be wasteful. It is only useful to provide incentives for entrants if the

incumbent�s infrastructure is replicable.

4.4.3 Practical experiences

There are a number of practical experiences with access in a dynamic context. In principle,

virtually all practical experiences can be mentioned here, but we focus on a couple of

experiences where the dynamic nature is most apparent. Much of this subsection on practical

experience is taken from Cave et al. (2001) and Bennett et al. (2001).

• Country experiences

We mention three country studies taken from Cave et al. (2001). The fourth is taken from

Bennett et al. (2001).

In the U.K., OFTEL realized in 1996 that their interconnection regime should be revised,

because insufficient attention was given to dynamic considerations. The new regime was

characterized by low (forward-looking) interconnection charges for entrants. Entrants

obtained a special status (Relevant Connectable Systems) that allowed them these low

charges. At the same time, OFTEL made it clear that operators could not assume they would

keep that status unless they were prepared to invest.

For the U.S., there is empirical evidence that access charges influence investment

levels, to the extent that lower access charges promoted greater deployment of digital

technology among US incumbent local-exchange carriers.

For the Netherlands, empirical evidence suggests that interconnection policies have

influenced the level and structure of investment, most notably in relation with ULL. A new

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group of DSL providers entered the market, which boosted investments in fibre optic

networks.

In the Netherlands, there has been a policy debate as to whether cable companies

should be forced to mandatory access to their cable infrastructure. Mandated access to the

cable is good for the television market, where cable companies have a dominant position. It

can also be good for static efficiency in the Internet market. The effects on dynamic efficiency

are unclear, since it may provide disincentives for cable companies to invest. Potential harm

to dynamic efficiency can be reduced by time-dependent access regulation, taking the

stranded assets discussion (see section 2.3.2) into consideration.

The conclusion of these country experiences is that various countries have experiences

with dynamic consequences of access charges. While these consequences are considered

important, it is not yet clear what lessons to draw from these experiences.

• Unbundling of the local loop

The discussion on ULL also yields interesting results for the discussion on static versus

dynamic efficiency. Consider various types of entry, where entrants adopt different strategies

or maturity of the market differs (quoted from Cave et al., 2001; some marginal editing by us

in italics).

�First, a cable operator like UPC [a Dutch cable operator] will have already replicated some

aspects of the local loop, although further investments are required both for telephony and

development of Internet services. In this respect, local access pricing makes little difference.

The cable operator has to buy call termination from the incumbent, probably in respect of the

majority of calls. This service is wholly non-replicable. But reciprocal pricing between

operator and incumbent neutralises this factor. Finally, the cable operator needs access to

long-distance conveyance, which is replicable, either by the cable operator and by other

entrants and should, with time, be competitively priced.

Second, consider the case of Tele2 [the biggest Dutch Carrier select player], whose

strategy consists of targeting a mass market, involving marketing and advertising expenditure,

on the basis of � initially at least � a minimal investment in infrastructure. As time passes,

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27-09-02 45

Tele2 makes further investments in switching and conveyance at the national level, but its

investments are limited (possibly confined to marketing costs).

Third, consider the case of non-cable entry into the high-bandwidth markets. This is a

new market, in which the incumbent has no historic market share, although clearly it has the

advantage of providing the related service of basic telecommunications to the vast

preponderance of domestic and business customers. Incumbents and entrants are under the

same necessity to make the appropriate investments in servers. In this instance, the key non-

replicable resort for entrants is the local loop, or access to part of the bandwidth provided by

the loop. Setting on one side wireless technology, which essentially untried, unbundling of the

loop is a necessity.

This raises the key question of how the unbundled loop should be priced [see also

section 2]. Commitment to a low regulated rental for the unbundled loop would clearly

encourage a competitor�s complementary investment. If, however, the regulator were

concerned about the entrant�s short-term cash position, it might choose to alleviate its

difficulties in the early phase of entry by a lower rental charge, which would then rise to

above cost. The choice of a final level on the price curve at which the price would be

stabilised would be influenced by the regulators preference for network duplication. If the

preference were slight, then a level-pricing policy would be preferable (or one which levelled

off at cost). If the preference for duplication was strong, then this could be reflected in a

pricing strategy which rose to above cost. A time limitation on mandated access to the local

loop might also be appropriate. But this last policy, which has been adopted in certain areas in

Canada, appears to carry the risk that entrants� fear is about what might happen towards the

end of the period of mandated access might discourage investment.�

This leads to the conclusion that regulators have two instruments to influence

investment decisions. The first one relates to whether the assets by the incumbents are

replicable or not. Clearly, entrants are not sensitive for access charges in parts of the network

they cannot replicate. Second, access charges can have a dynamic nature. Most entrants

choose a gradual investment strategy, leasing lines from the incumbent in the initial stages

and meanwhile investing in their own networks. A dynamic access policy takes this into

consideration: access charges can rise over time, or the level can be made contingent on the

level of investments.

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4.4.4 Policy conclusions

A number of policy conclusions emerge from above.

• Universally high access prices are not smart

A possible implication of static analysis is that the best way to stimulate infrastructure

investment is to have universally high access prices, i.e. access prices that are high and remain

high over time. The argument is that high access prices provide an investment incentive for

incumbents (risk premiums, stranded asset discussion) as well as for entrants (who can avoid

high access prices by investing themselves). This is not necessarily true when taking a

dynamic view. There is no evidence to support high-cost access pricing as a means of

encouraging infrastructure competition, neither theoretical nor empirical. The reason is that

future profit opportunities are more important than current price levels when considering an

investment decision. Admittedly, if entrants are certain that future access levels are at so low

levels that it will always be cheaper to obtain access than to invest, then (future) high access

levels are problematic. But there are many reasons why that picture may look different. The

investments can yield other type of returns (unrelated to access) and there can be a belief that

regulators will reward investments in infrastructure.

• Eligibility and replicability

Access charges that take investments and investment possibilities by entrants explicitly into

consideration, do well on dynamic efficiency. Think of OFTEL�s strategy of conditioning

charges or status of operators on investment decisions.

• Sun-set clauses and other dynamic regulation

Regulatory uncertainty can be lowered by pre-specifying sun-set clauses, not only (or rather:

not necessarily) the date, but the market condition under which some regulation can be

removed. Access charges that rise over time or contain some other temporal element enable to

fulfil both static and dynamic goals.

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• A dynamic focus can reduce the need for future regulation

Setting appropriate access charges is difficult. Stimulating investments in new infrastructure

that provides the basis of removing access regulation and replacing it by bilateral agreements

on interconnection charges.

5 Conclusions

This chapter overviewed the literature on access regulation and provided some lessons for

regulation practice.

A common element in all discussions in this chapter is that access prices can, by

definition, never be neutral. Any access price affects competition, or more precisely,

operators� profits, market shares, and retail prices.

A second element is that access charges are often performing too many tasks.

Access charges are used to stimulate static as well as dynamic efficiency and meanwhile

serving equity goals such as universal service obligation. This is a bit much for an access

charge, which is, in its simplest form, a one-dimensional price. A number of these goals can

easily conflict, so choices have to be made.

A third element is that focus has shifted from competition in service to competition in

infrastructure. Successful competition for infrastructure can reduce the need for access

regulation and does not preclude competition for services to take place at the same time.

Dynamic access policies, e.g. access charges that rise over time, enable to fulfil both static

and dynamic goals. It is important to reduce uncertainty by providing regulatory transparency

on these time-related issues.

A fourth element concerns various methods of determining access charges. No method

is a priori superior to the other. What determines which method is best is both the relative

levels and weights of distortions. Some methods distort dynamic efficiency, but if the focus is

on static efficiency, the method could be adequate. Other methods ignore demand-side

considerations, but if the distortion from that is small, the method could be used. Ramsey

methods require a high information burden, but sometimes this burden can and should be

overcome. Also the possibility of creating margin squeeze as a result of the selection of the

methods should be taken into account.

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A final element is the potential of alternatives for the �calling party pays� (CPP)

principle. CPP is common practice in Europe (with the notable exception of international

roaming). The CPP principle implies that a receiver obtains a service (receiving a call) but

does not pay for it. As result, some distortions take place, e.g. interconnection tariffs and fixed

-mobile termination, and Internet charges may be set at sub-optimal levels, when a balanced

cost allocation would lead to incentives to set the charges at competitive levels (Laffont et al.,

2001), thus reducing the need to regulate services that are currently under scrutiny of

regulators.

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