From Technologies to Markets
© 2020
Thermal Imagers and Detectors
2020Covid-19 outbreak impact
Market and Technology
Preliminary Report
Sample
2
a-Si:Amorphous Silicon
ASP:Average Selling Price
ASIC:Application-Specific Integrated Circuit
BST: Barium Strontium Titanate
EBT: Elevated Body Temperature
EST: Elevated Surface Temperature
CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate
CCD: Charge-Coupled Device
CMOS: Complementary Metal Oxide Semiconductor
CMP: Chemical Mechanical Planarization
CSD: Chemical Solution Deposition
FIR: Far Infrared
HVAC: HeatVentilation Air Conditioning
IR: Infrared
LED: Light-Emitting Devices
LWIR: Long-Wave Infrared
MEMS: Micro Electro Mechanical Systems
MCT: Mercury Cadmium Tellium
MWIR: Middle-Wave Infrared
NIR: Near Infrared
NETD: Noise-Equivalent Temperature Difference
PCB: Printed Circuit Board
PIR: Pyro Infrared
PLP: Pixel-Level Packaging
PZT: Lead Zirconate Titanate
QVGA: QuarterVGA
QW: Quantum Well
QWIP: Quantum Well Infrared Photo Imager
RoW: Rest of the World
ROIC: Read-Out Integrated Circuit
SEM: Secondary Electron Microscopy
SOI: Silicon-On Insulator
SWaP: Size,Weight and Power
SWIR: Short-Wave Infrared
QVGA: QuarterVideo Graphics Array
TAM:Total Accessible Market
TCR:Temperature Coefficient of Resistance
TiOx :Titanium Oxide
TSV:Through-SiliconVia
UFPA: Uncooled Focal Plane Arrays
VGA:Video Graphics Array
VOx:Vanadium Oxide
VWOx :Vanadium Tungsten Oxide
WLC:Wafer-Level Camera
WLP:Wafer-Level Packaging
WLO:Wafer-Level Optics
XVGA: ExtendedVideo Graphics Array
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GLOSSARIES
3
• Glossary and definitions 2
• Table of contents 3
• Why this current preliminary report? 5
• Report scope 7
• Methodology 9
• The authors 10
• List of companies 11
• What we got right/what we got wrong 12
• 3-pages summary 13
• Executive Summary 17
• Introduction 34
• Market forecasts 47
• Imagers
• What if thermal imaging becomes the new normal
• Alternative scenario for thermal imagers
• Detectors
• Market trends 75
• Imagers
• Detectors
• Smartphone opportunity
• Supply chain 88
• Supply chain relationships
• Estimation of players market share evolution
• Focus on China
• Current booming technology trends 98
• Outlooks 106
• Related reports 111
• Corporate presentation 114
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OVERVIEW: TABLE OF CONTENTS OF THIS PRELIMINARY REPORT
4Thermal Imagers and Detectors 2020 - Preliminary Report | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020
WHY THIS CURRENT PRELIMINARY REPORT ?
Covid-19 outbreak has changed our world and will do so for the next coming years.
Given the high criticality of thermal detection/imaging systems that are needed to stem the spread ofthe virus by detecting the fever, we decided to work on a preliminary report as of May 2020. Thispreliminary report would start to investigate the change on the thermal imaging market so far.
The former well-known Yole report named ”Uncooled infrared detectors and imagers 2019” will beupdated and renamed “Thermal Imagers and Detectors 2020” and is scheduled to be released by Q42020.
This current report is a preliminary work to give you some first insights on this market; the completeanalysis will be done in the final report. Volumes, market value, market shares will be consolidated bythe end of the year. Here, we present only our preliminary expectations for the thermaldetection/imaging market, based onYole’s scenarios.
When buying this preliminary report, you also buy the complete report that will automatically be sentto you when ready.
Indeed, the current sanitary situation led us to deeply analyse the market and provide sooner data andinsight that would help your business.
5Thermal Imagers and Detectors 2020 - Preliminary Report | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020
REPORT OBJECTIVES OF THE COMPLETE REPORT (Q4 2020)
Provide market data on key thermal detectors and imagers, including market metrics and dynamics:
o Thermal detectors (pyroelectrics, thermopiles), along with thermal imagers (microbolometers), in units and revenue bymarket segment
o Thermal detector and imager sales, in units and revenue by market segment
o Market share for thermal detectors and imagers
Offer key technical insights into future technology trends and challenges
Deliver an in in-depth understanding of the thermal imaging value chain, infrastructure, and players:
o Who are the industrial thermal sensor players (IDMs, foundries) and what is their market and technological position?
o More generally, which are the key players to watch and how will the thermal detection/imaging market evolve?
Present an in-depth analysis of thermal detector and imager for commercial (extra color on elevated bodytemperature screening included in thermography & surveillance segments) and defense applications:
For detectors:
Motion detection
Low-end/high-end temperature measurement
Gas and fire detection
Spectroscopy
HVAC
People-counting for retail
Smart building
For imagers:
Thermography (ultra-low-end/low-end/middle-end/high-end)
Surveillance (ultra-low-end/low-end/middle-end/high-end)
Automotive
Maritime
Firefighting
Personal vision systems (PVS)
Plug-in for smartphones
Ruggedized smartphones
Smart buildings
Other commercial (UAV, EVS, etc.)
Military
6Thermal Imagers and Detectors 2020 - Preliminary Report | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020
SCOPE OF THE REPORT
$1
$10
$100
$1,000
Sensor price
4 x 4 16 x 168 x 8 64 x 6432 x 32 80 x 80 160 x 120
Sensor
resolution
Infrared
Detectors
Report
Single
pixel
XVGA
Market research scope:o This report surveys long-wave infrared (8 to 12µm), also known as
LWIR or FIR, uncooled detectors, imagers, and cameras forcommercial and military businesses
o Market data and forecasts are furnished for the 2018 – 2025 period, inshipments (units) and revenue ($M)
o This report covers the following technologies: pyroelectric (detector),thermopile (detector), and microbolometer (imager)
o This preliminary report deals with the impact on covid-19 on the uncooledLWIR market
Atto320 - Lynred
Heimann Sensor
MICRO80 - Lynred
© Yole Développement, April 2020
7
In previous Yole’s IR reports, various names have appeared: IR detectors, IR imagers, IR cameras, uncooled IR detectors/imagers, passive infrared
(PIR), far infrared (FIR), microbolometers, thermopiles, pyroelectrics, etc…
In this report we will use two main terms to avoid possible confusion: thermal detectors and thermal imagers (which are used in thermal cameras).
The difference between thermal imager and camera is that the imager is simply the packaged pixel array with its ROIC, while the camera includes
the core, the optics, the final packaging, assembly, test, etc. The detectors’ main functionality is to mainly detect & sense thermal radiation, while the
imagers’ main functionality is to take an image of thermal radiation. More information can be found further in this report, and extra info will be
given, when needed.
Thermal detectors characteristics:• Technology: pyroelectric (bulk, thin-film, CMOS) or thermopile
• Pixel number: from 1 up to 80x80 arrays
• Spectral range: 8-14 µm
• Main function: detection/sensing
• No external cooling
Thermal imagers characteristics:• Technology: microbolometer
• Pixel number: 80x80 up to XGA & Full HD resolution (1024x768 & 1920x1080)
• Spectral range: 8-14 µm
• Main function: imaging
• No external cooling
Note that wherever we mention in this report « fever detection » we imply detection of elevated body or surface temperature, which could
indicate a fever (a symptom that could be caused, among others, by infectious as well as non-infectious diseases/illnesses). By no means whatsoever
thermal imagers/cameras and detectors could ever assert specific illnesses (covid-related or not).
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ATTENTION: CHANGE OF INFRARED NOMENCLATURE IN THIS REPORT
8Thermal Imagers and Detectors 2020 - Preliminary Report | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020
METHODOLOGIES & DEFINITIONS
Market
Volume (in Munits)
ASP (in $)
Revenue (in $M)
Yole’s market forecast model is based on the matching of several sources:
Information
Aggregation
Preexisting
information
9
Dr. Dimitrios DAMIANOS, Analyst
Dimitrios Damianos joined Yole as a Technology & Market Analyst, working within the Photonics, Sensing & Display division. Dimitrios collaborates
daily with his team to deliver valuable technology and market reports covering imaging, photonics, and sensors. Upon completing his research activities
on theoretical and experimental quantum optics and laser light generation, Dimitrios attended Grenoble University (France) and pursued a Ph.D. in
Optical and Electrical Characterization of Dielectric Materials on Silicon as well as SOI, with applications in photovoltaics, image sensors and
microelectronics. Additionally, Dimitrios holds an MSc in Photonics from the University of Patras (Greece), and has authored/co-authored several
scientific papers published in international peer-reviewed journals.
Contact: [email protected]
Dr. Eric MOUNIER, Fellow Analyst
With more than 20 years of experience in MEMS, sensors and photonics applications, markets, and technology analyses, Eric provides deep industryinsight into MEMS and photonics current and future trends. He is a daily contributor to the development of MEMS and photonics activities at Yole,with a large collection of market and technology reports as well as multiple custom consulting projects: business strategy, identification of investmentsor acquisition targets, due diligences (buy/sell side), market and technology analysis, cost modelling, technology scouting, etc. Eric has contributed tomore than 250 marketing/technological analyses and 80 reports, helping move the MEMS and Si photonics industry forward. Thanks to his extensiveknowledge of the MEMS, sensors, and photonics-related industries, Eric is often invited to speak at industry conferences worldwide. Moreover, he hasbeen interviewed and quoted by leading media throughout the world. Prior to working at Yole, Eric held R&D and Marketing positions at CEA Leti inFrance. Eric has a Semiconductor Engineering degree and a Ph.-D in Optoelectronics from the National Polytechnic Institute of Grenoble.
Contact: [email protected]
Thermal Imagers and Detectors 2020 - Preliminary Report | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020
ABOUT THE AUTHORS
Biographies & contacts
10
3M Scott, Adasky, Athena, BAE, Bosch, Caterpillar, Dahua, DRS, Excelitas, Feevr, FLIR, Fluke, GuideIR, GWIC, Heimann Sensors, HIKVision, HGH Infrared Systems, Huawei, i3systems, Infrared Cameras Inc, Iray Technologies, Irisys, Irlynx, Intel, L3 Technologies, LG Innotek, Lynred, Magnity, Melexis, Murata, NEC, Nicera, Omron, ON Semi, Opgal,
Ophir, OptoTherm, Panasonic, Pyreos, Raytheon, SATIR, SCD, Schneider Electric, Schott, Seek, Sunell, Sunny Optical, Teledyne Dalsa, Testo, Thermoteknix, TowerJazz,
Umicore, Wahl, Zhejiang Dali and many more…
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COMPANIES CITED IN THIS REPORT
11
o Thermal imagers (microbolometers) stillstruggle to penetrate the automotive market.The question of whether thermal cameras willbe necessary for autonomous driving is stillopen.
o Thermal imaging activities in China areincreasing, with first products developed andmanufactured in-house.
o Strong demand in China, but even bigger nowdue to the fever detection component demand.
o Unfortunately, nobody detected and anticipateda world pandemic affecting the global worldeconomy COVID-19 at that time.
WHAT WE GOT RIGHT, WHAT WE GOT WRONG
Covid-19 outbreak changed everything
Thermal Imagers and Detectors | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020
12Thermal Imagers and Detectors 2020 - Preliminary Report | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020
THERMAL DETECTORS & IMAGERS PRICE VS RESOLUTION (BY TECHNOLOGY)
$1
$10
$100
$1000
Sensor price
4x4 16x168x8 64x6432x32 80x80 160x120
Sensor
Resolution
Single pixel QVGA2x2
© Yole Développement, April 2020
VGA/XGA
$5000
Thermopile
Pyroelectrics
Pyroelectrics
Microbolometer
13Thermal Imagers and Detectors 2020 - Preliminary Report | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020
THERMAL DETECTORS & IMAGERS PRICE VS RESOLUTION (BY APPLICATION)
$1
$10
$100
$1000
Sensor price
4x4 16x168x8 64x6432x32 80x80 160x120
Sensor
Resolution
Single pixel QVGA2x2
Smartphones
© Yole Développement, April 2020
Motion
Detection
VGA/XGA
$5000
14Thermal Imagers and Detectors 2020 - Preliminary Report | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020
THERMAL DETECTORS & IMAGERS PRICE VS RESOLUTION FOR FEVER DETECTION
$1
$10
$100
$1000
Sensor price
4x4 16x168x8 64x6432x32 80x80 160x120
Sensor
Resolution
Single pixel QVGA2x2
© Yole Développement, April 2020
VGA/XGA
$5000
The Covid-19 outbreak will drive an increasing use of fever-
screening thermal technology:
• For detectors: temperature measurement using
thermopile-based devices such as temperature guns
• For imagers: thermography & public surveillance/security
using microbolometer-based thermal cameras
Thermopile
Microbolometer
15
GuideIR
Dahua
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FEVER DETECTION THERMAL CAMERAS: COVID-INDUCED GOLD RUSH?Hikvision
Yantai IrayTechnology (Iraytek)
Tellhow-IR
16Thermal Imagers and Detectors 2020 - Preliminary Report | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020
SWOT ANALYSIS OF FEVER SCREENING THERMAL CAMERAS
• Temperature accuracy (depends
on model)
• Inability of the technique to
classify if the fever’s origin is covid-19 or other disease
• Still lack of AI for IR imaging
• Need for contactless
temperature acquisition
(comply with safety distance
between people)
• State & local governments
might raise privacy concerns
(especially when coupled with
visible cameras)
• Rapid deployment
• Fast screening & fever detection
• Mass scanning
Strengths
Opportunities
Weaknesses
Threats
17Thermal Imagers and Detectors 2020 - Preliminary Report | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020
USE-CASES AND ASSOCIATED THERMAL CAMERAS
Short-term “flexible”
Anywhere, anytime
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equidem appellantur, ut has commune
accommodare. Mea illum, ludus solet idpro.
Short-term “fixed”
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equidem appellantur, ut has commune
accommodare. Mea illum, ludus solet idpro.
Long term, big areasCentralized access control at big places
with registering temperatures
Use casesWhere could thermal cameras be
used?
For use at building entries, elevators, airport
security check, etc… Pick and place.
For quick and easy deployment anywhere
For use at building entries, elevators, airport
security check, etc…
• Number of people: up to 30-50
• Resolution: QVGA, VGA (10-15mm lens)
• Accuracy: ±0.5°C (±0.3°C with optional
blackbody
• Software: yes, for reduction of false
detection
• Measurement guidelines: no
• Waiting time: none
• Wireless: yes (no operator)
*Thermal camera images are a courtesy from Hikvision and are for indicative purposes
• Number of people: up to 10
• Resolution: QQVGA, QVGA (3-6mm lens)
• Accuracy: ±0.5°C (±0.3°C with optional
blackbody
• Software: yes, for reduction of false
detection
• Measurement guidelines: yes
• Wating time: few seconds
• Wireless: yes (no operator)
• Number of people: 1
• Resolution: QQVGA
• Accuracy: ±0.5°C
• Software: no
• Measurement guidelines: yes
• Wating time: few seconds
• Wireless: yes (no operator)
• Number of people: 1
• Resolution: QQVGA
• Accuracy: ±0.5°C
• Software: no
• Measurement guidelines: yes
• Wating time: few seconds
• Wireless: no (operator needed)
Specifications of
each use case
18Thermal Imagers and Detectors 2020 - Preliminary Report | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020
THE HIGH VALUE MARKET OF THERMAL IMAGER AND CAMERA APPLICATIONS
2019 2020 2025COVID-19 effect* Back to normal?
*Thermal camera adoption scenario: fever detection(included in thermography, surveillance) will boom
$4.3B
$7.6B
$XXB
YoY 76%
+XX% CAGR
© Yole Développement, April 2020
Applications
• Thermography
• Military
• Surveillance
• PVS
• Firefighting
• Ruggedized smartphones
• Maritime
• Automotive
• Other commercial
$249M
$93M
$45M$23M
$1.12M
$1.49M
$623M
$366M$252M
$234M
$93M
$31M
$29M
$1.53M
$1.88M
$296M
$272M
$3.19M
19Thermal Imagers and Detectors 2020 - Preliminary Report | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020
THE MARKET OF THERMAL DETECTOR APPLICATIONS
2019 2020COVID-19 effect*
$291M
$350M
+20% YoY
+XX% CAGR © Yole Développement, April 2020
$XXM
*Thermal detector scenario: strong demand for thermopiles used in temperature guns and contactless thermometers
2025Smart building effect?
Applications
• Motion detection
• HVAC
• Low-end temperature
measurement
• Gas and fire detection
• People counting for retail
• Smart buildings
• Spectroscopy
• High-end temperature
measurement
$20M
$13M
$8M
$108M
$43M
$27M$22M
$50M
$21M
$14M
$12M
$112M
$54M
$81M
$28M$29M
20Thermal Imagers and Detectors 2020 - Preliminary Report | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020
THERMAL CAMERA BUSINESS RELATIONSHIPS IN 2020
Hikvision & Dahua (biggest Chinese security & surveillance camera manufacturers)
are blocked from selling their cameras (including thermal cameras) to procurement
officers, systems integrators or other government contractors (NDAA) NDAA: National Defense Authorization Act
Missed opportunity
by Chinese suppliersBeneficial for domestic
US camera suppliers
USChina
EU
production
21
Every player could profit from the « feverdetection » gold-rush. However, the companiesmanufacturing the thermal imager (microbolometer) as well as the optics for the thermal cameras will see their shipmentsexplode, as the demand skyrockets. Even companies with no thermal imaging productsbefore, have started including them in their list. Distributors are in the same path.
One might wonder: will there be a bottleneckeither in production or in supply chain? Manufacturing is up and running in China (sinceMarch) and we believe that the capacities are enough to address the huge growth (at least) in domestic demand. If problems appear, they wouldbe on the logistics side and the speeds of assembly/testing & calibration.
Thermal Imagers and Detectors 2020 - Preliminary Report | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020
WHAT’S HAPPENING IN CHINA
Biggest applications:
• Thermography
• Industrial inspection
• Fever detection (thermal cameras originatingfrom thermography/surveillance segment)
22
Now Future
Thermal Imagers and Detectors 2020 - Preliminary Report | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020
POSSIBLE THERMAL AI DEVELOPMENT
AI
Good thermal camera*
Powerfulprocessing
chip
OptimizedSoftware
Military
Surveillance
Transport??
Domains that have what is needed
for thermal AI developmentFuture uses?
Specially adapted NN
for thermal cameras
High resolution (VGA, XGA)
& huge dataset
• DNNs (deep neural networks) for visible light images
may be applicable to other image types, such as
thermal images.
• Resolution degradation of thermal images reduces
their classification accuracy when using a DNN
trained for visible light images.
• Classification accuracy can in some cases be improved
via the use of a SR (super-resolution) model.
Source: https://www.intel.com/content/www/us/en/artificial-
intelligence/posts/exploring-deep-learning-face-recognition-
with-thermal-images.html
Intel has published a study
examining whether AI can
recognise people’s faces using
thermal imaging (Jan 2020)
Other applications??
Technical limitations:
• Low-res images
• Small databases
but
23
Exemple of potential products
Imager
Detector
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POTENTIAL DEVELOPMENT FOR SMARTPHONE THERMAL IMAGING/DETECTION
Excelitas TPiD 1S (SMD) TI TMP006 (WLCSP) Melexis MLX90632
What if Huawei introduces a phone with temperature measurement
option now?
Naturally people are worried about covid-19 and it wouldn’t be
outrageous to use something to measure frequently their body
temperature, which happens to be constantly in their hands: their
smartphone.
Domestically, 850M people have smartphones, 60% of the Chinese
population (source: Newzoo). It wouldn’t be an exaggeration if 10M
people (1%) could buy a smartphone with this added functionality
(body temperature measurement). And this is a hypothesis where only
people in China adopt such a smartphone.
Development choices for mass production & smartphone
integration (10Mu order of magnitude)
FLIR Lepton Iraytek S0 or Tiny1
Accuracy
better than
0.5°C?
Small form
factor?
Low cost (few
$)?
8’’ or 12’’
CMOS
compatible?
(mass prod.)
Rapid
characterizati
on & test?
Technology?
(thermopile,
microbolomet
er, other?)
ASIC, chip etc
for reducing
false negative
reading?
Technology Product
24
Contact our
Sales Team
for more
information
3D Imaging & Sensing 2020Status of the MEMS Industry 2019
Machine Vision for Industry and Automation 2018
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YOLE GROUP OF COMPANIES RELATED REPORTS
Yole Développement
25
Contact our
Sales Team
for more
information
Autoliv’s 3rd Generation Automotive Night Vision Camera with FLIR’s ISC0901
Microbolometer
FLIR Boson – a small, innovative, low power, smart thermal camera core
Melexis Far Infrared Thermal Sensor MLX90640
FLIR One 2nd Generation & FLIR LEPTON 3 IR Camera Core
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YOLE GROUP OF COMPANIES RELATED REPORTS
System Plus Consulting
26
Contact our
Sales Team
for more
information
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YOLE GROUP OF COMPANIES RELATED REPORTS
Piseo – Design and Characterization of Innovative Optical Systems
Construction and performance
analysis of sensors and cameras
• Imagers, modules and cameras:
- NETD
- Responsivity
- Scene dynamic
- Dead pixels
- NUC
- RFPN
- MTF
- Optical design
FLIR Boson 640 Pro Iray TS3
Release : July 2020
27
The Yole Group of Companies, including Yole Développement,
System Plus Consulting, Knowmade and PISEO, are pleased to
provide you a glimpse of our accumulated knowledge.
Feel free to share our data with your own network, within your
presentations, press releases, dedicated articles and more. But
before that, contact our Public Relations department to
make sure you get up-to-date, licensed materials.
We will be more than happy to give you our latest results and
appropriate formats of our approved content.
Your contact: Sandrine Leroy, Dir. Public Relations
Email: [email protected]
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HOW TO USE OUR DATA?
28About Yole Développement | www.yole.fr | ©2020
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