THINCATSINVESTORCONFERENCE
11th October 2018
AGENDA
2
⚫ Housekeeping
⚫ Welcome & Business Overview
⚫ Business Development
⚫ Importance of Institutional Investors
⚫ Credit Process
⚫ Security, Monitoring & Recoveries
⚫ IT
⚫ New Products
⚫ FCA
MEET THE PRESENTERS (PART OF THE TEAM)
3
John MouldChief Executive Officer
Ravi AnandManaging Director
Damon WalfordChief Development
Officer
Jill SandfordChief Risk Officer
Matt JonesFinance Director
Greg BeamishHead of Credit
WELCOME & BUSINESS OVERVIEWJOHN MOULD CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER
THINCATS HAS BEEN BUILT THOUGHTFULLY OVER TIME
5 WE ARE CHANGING ORGANISATION
PRE-ESF 2011-2015 POST-ESF 2016-PRESENT FUTURE
Business Model Pure P2P Professionalisation Direct lending
Origination OutsourcedBig data plus.11 person team focused on professional intermediaries
Repeat business
Credit OutsourcedProprietary data + strong underwriting team
Further build out of team including sector specialisms
Funders Retail Crowd Retail Crowd +£600m institutional Retail & Institutional
OperationsIn house servicing based on proprietary tech
Fully built out Automation
Regulation Interim Full P2P +AIFM
No. of People 8 70 c.140
LIMITED CONSISTENT COMPETITION
6
BANK CAPITAL AND PROCESS RESULTS IN A FOCUS ON ASSET BACKED LENDING
THINCATS OCCUPIES UNIQUE POSITION IN A LARGE MARKET
Direct Lending Funds
ThinCats: A challenger to the established and
challenger banks
• No consistent competition from banks or
other alternative lenders for loans from
£0.5m - £10m
Key issues facing established banks as
competitors
• Faced with regulatory and cost constraints
• Insufficient resources to deliver complex
lends to SMEs
• Banks are too slow
• Challenger banks also affected
Alternative providers
• Struggle with capital to be consistently
relevant on larger loans
BANK CAPITAL AND PROCESS RESULTS IN A FOCUS ON ASSET BACKED LENDING
OTHER NON BANK FUNDERS FOCUS ON SMALLER OR LARGER LOANS
“ThinCats is a real wake up call to the High
Street lenders. Their streamlined process makes the traditional banks look very outdated and not fit for purpose.”Mark Lilley, Founder and CEO of Abokado
LARGE MARKET OF UNDERSERVED UK SMEs
7 TARGET SMEs HAVE £30BN+ OF ANNUAL BORROWING DEMAND
THINCATS MARKET SEGMENT ACCOUNTS FOR MORE THAN 25% OF THE UK ECONOMY
1. Business Statistics, House of Commons December 20172. BOE/Experian3. PH analytics for BIS, with extrapolation of SME cohort
UK SME MARKET SEGMENTATION
Category
Micro SMEs Large Total
Employees 1 No. <9 9-249 250+
% 33% 27% 40%
Share of Aggregate Turnover 1 22% 28% 49% £3.7bn
No. of Companies 2 5.5m 300,000 6,000 5.9m
- of which borrowers 127,000 85,000 2,500 215,000
Gross Assets <£0.5m £0.5-£20m £20m+
Annual borrowing
Reported 2 £27bn £25bn £200bn £250bn
Funding Gap 3 unknown £5-10bn £15bn £20-25bn
Total Borrowing Demand £30-35bn
ThinCats targets a market of 200,000 SMEs driven by:
• A manageable and identifiable number which can be targeted
• Existing borrowers who need more capital• Considerable funding gap
ThinCats is targeting £900m of origination within 5 years or less than 3% of current annual demand
“ThinCats fills an important gap in the market for ambitious SMEs
that are looking for a competitive source of funding to drive acquisitions and growth.”Tommy Cook, CEO of Calnex Solutions
BUSINESS DEVELOPMENT DAMON WALFORD CHIEF DEVELOPMENT OFFICER
ORIGINATION: TIMELINE
9
1st Originator - Midlands
2nd Originator – Central London
Recruitment
2016
3rd Originator - SW
2017 2018
Total reliance on existing sponsors
4th Originator - NW
5th Originator – NE
6th Originator – Greater London
7th Originator - Scotland
8th Originator – South Coast
9th Originator – East Midlands
10th Originator – Wales & Bristol
11th Originator – South Midlands
Damon made responsible for
Origination
Basic Collateral Produced
Credit Appetite finalised
New website launched/Collateral
produced
New branding Launched/Launch
event
10th Originator Manchester Starts
Limited Market Launch of Lower Cost
Debt (LCD)
9th Originator - South Midlands leaves
4th Originator – NW leaves
Waterfall debt arrives
Market messages created
11th South Midlands replacement joins and 12th
Home Counties
Total reliance on new origination
Drop of existing sponsors
Build up of new origination
H1 H2 H1 H2 H1 H2
Fullmarketing
of LCD
A REGIONALLY FOCUSSED BUSINESS DEVELOPMENT TEAM HAS BEEN RECURITED
(Including some of the old sponsors)
EVOLUTION OF ORIGINATION MODEL NOW BEARING FRUIT
10 A TOTAL CHANGE OF LOAN ORIGINATION SOURCES
REGIONALLY FOCUSED AND RIGOROUS BDM RECRUITMENT
11 TOP PERFORMING BDMs KEY UK REGIONS
Scotland12,6503,050
E. Midlands14,3003,750
N.W19,4005,300
Wales4,9001,200
W. Midlands17,3504,650
SW15,9503,900
SE23,2005,500
London47,85011,600
East15,9503,800
BDM months in role 13
BDM months in role 2
BDM months in role 0
N.E20,2005,750
BDM months in role 11
BDM months in role 5
BDM months in role 22
BDM months in role 16BDM months in role 12BDM months in role 21
BDM months in role 11
BDM months in role 5
BDM months in role 28
BDM months in role 0
Modelled SME opportunity
Relevant SMEs 192,000
Primary Targets 48,500
BDMs are recruited into key targeted regions. Coverage is now country wide although coverage of c 40% of SMEs by region only just started
REGIONALLY FOCUSSED BDM RECRUITMENT RIGOROUS BDM RECRUITMENT PROCESS
BDM recruitment is disciplined focus on top performers with diverse skillsets, high cognitive ability and from varied backgroundsEach BDM is independently assessed and we are raisng the bar on client service
Aggregate BDM independent assessments
Source: Mercuri Urval
IMPORTANCE OF INSTITUTIONAL INVESTORSRAVI ANAND MANAGING DIRECTOR
THINCATS & INSTITUTIONAL FUNDERS
13
• Borrowers and introducing professionals require certainty to consider using ThinCats as a funder
• We need to show significant capital to ensure we can satisfy market requirements
• Some borrowers concerned about exposure to pure retail investors
• Certain borrowers require lower rates reflecting their credit risk
• We engaged with the whole institutional market and have now raised c£500m
• All funders undertook extensive due diligence on the business and engaged third parties to review our systems and controls
Key areas of focus were :
− Credit policy and process- detailed review of a number of loans
− PRISM risk tool and its predictive power around potential loss
− Cash processing and controls
− Legal documentation (including independent opinions on legal enforcement)
− Monitoring and Recoveries processes
► THE INSTITUTIONS ARE NECESSARY
WHERE DO INSTITUTIONS INVEST
14
Institutions provide a number of benefits for the retail investors
• Provide certainty that loans will be filled
• Ensure a wider pool of opportunities are available to the market through providing borrowers and intermediaries certainty and comfort
• Test our system and controls on a regular basis
• Ensure the platform can scale and maintain high standards through reinvestment into systems and marketing
But here are some disadvantages:
- Lowest risk loans are not available to the crowd but rates are typically sub 5%
- Institutions take a minimum 51% investment in any loan.
INSTITUTIONS SYNDICATED BY RISK
Lender rates of 7-14%Generally offered to institutions and
crowd
Lender rates of 4-7%Whole loans to institutions only
Risk based loan pricing
★★★★★
★★★★
★★★
★★ Not funded
★
Strong Weak
Credit
Security
THE INSTITUTIONS WANT TO INVEST IN ALL TYPES OF LOANS
THINCATS & INSTITUTIONAL FUNDERS
15
£500m + LEADING GLOBAL INSTITUTIONS SYNDICATED BY RISK AND LOAN SIZE
UK Asset Manager£200m UK specialist manager
Are committing an initial £10m to fund property loans alongside the crowd
£700bn manager of pension and insurance funds.
Have committed up to £300m to fund SME whole loans only, no crowd participation
A £6bn credit fund investing into a number of platforms and have committed £410m to ThinCats.
A £500m specialist credit manager who have committed £30m to ThinCats and are also an equity owner Waterfall and ESO share SME loans pro rata to their commitment- with Waterfall leading,retail lenders participate alongside Waterfall and ESO in the same auction
DIVERSE INSTITUTIONAL FUNDING
THE CREDIT PROCESSGREG BEAMISH HEAD OF CREDIT
EVOLUTION OF RISK APPETITE
MIGRATION TOWARDS HIGHER QUALITY CREDIT DUE TO ENHANCED CREDIT PROCESS17
CREDIT PROCESS HAS DEMONSTRABLY LOWERED RISK
Credit Grade
Security Grade
New credit policy post acquisition
38%
18% 16%27% 34%
3%
10%
10%22%
16%13%
4% 5%
41%
5%31%
26%25% 15%
26%40%
45%22% 14%17% 15% 27%
51% 22%
9%25% 26%19% 16% 12% 16%
33%
5%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
1 padlock 2 padlocks 3 padlocks 4 padlocks 5 padlocks
5% 4% 5% 11% 10% 10%10%16%
28% 26%22%
45%
28%
65%58% 33%
42%33%
44%
28%
46%
17%13% 39%
21% 34%18% 13% 26%
8%19%
7% 5% 2% 5% 5%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
A B C D E1-5 Stars from 2017
• Introduction of new credit process has pushed lending towards higher graded credit - 75% B grade or above
• Greater focus on:
• Downside protection – 3rd party asset valuations and exit route assessment; and
• Serviceability – Look forward CF analysis and liquidity pinch points
Of loans ~ 3* or better
FIVE LINES OF CREDIT DEFENCE
ROBUST CREDIT PROCESS FILTERS 100s OF LOANS WITH ~11% CONVERSION RATE18
PRESENCE AND MIDLANDS BASED TRANSACTION SUPPORT
11 BDMs
Initial filter of opportunities
3 Regional Heads of Credit
Review financials and management
4 Senior Credit & 3 Junior Credit Analysts
2 In-house lawyers
Detailed DD and preparation of IC papers
3 IC Members
Group MD, Head of Credit, Head of Portfolio Management
Final sign off
Monitoring & Recoveries - Headed by Head of Risk
Chasing defaults and reporting
In-house recovery
Qualified Deal
1
2
3
4
5
200 Professional Intermediaries (first screening of opportunities)
EXPERIENCED CREDIT TEAM
OVER 200 YEARS OF LENDING EXPERIENCE ACROSS THE TEAM19
CREDIT TEAM HAS SIGNIFICANT DEPTH OF EXPERIENCE FROM A VARIETY OF BACKGROUNDS
• Establishment of an experienced team with Regional Heads Of Credit enabling opportunities to be considered across the UK
• Scale of team allows for vast majority of borrowers to be met by credit prior to drawdown
• Mid Cap and Large SME experience enables team to analyse larger deals more efficient given tend to provide better information and more robust advisers
RAVI ANANDMANAGING DIRECTOR, IC MEMBER AND CHAIR
GREG BEAMISHHEAD OF CREDIT, IC
MEMBER
ZOE SHAWPORTFOLIO MGT, IC
MEMBER
SIMON BROOKRHOC - SOUTH
DAVID JAMIESONRHOC - MIDLANDS
ROB THOMPSONRHOC - NORTH
LAUREN BURNSSENIOR ANALYST
MAHESH CHORDIA SENIOR ANALYST
SIMON LUKESENIOR ANALYST
HELENA MERCERSENIOR ANALYST
29 years’ experience in financial services
12 years’ Credit Investing, Special Situations and Private Equity
36 years’ Credit Investing , Mid - Market Lending, Securitisation & Portfolio Management
35 Years’ Credit & Risk 22 years’ Lending, Credit And Investing
35 years’ Credit and Risk
8 years’ Credit Analysis And Debt Structuring
11 years’ credit investing
7 years’ SME / Mid-market Lending
30+ years’ experience in financial services
Head of Corporate Finance at Dexion Capital
Head of Corporate Finance and co-head of Alternatives at New Star
ECM Director at HSBC
Managing Director at ESO Capital.
Sun Capital Senior Associate.
Barings Asset Management and KPMG
Head of fixed Income at Hermes
Founder New Bond Street
Senior roles at BGB UK and WestLB UK
Finance Director at Syscap
VP at Manufacturers Hanover, Daiwa Securities and Grindlays Bank
Williams & Glyn, RBS Group and KPMG
Senior roles at Barclays, AIB and Santander
Senior Associate at Westpac Institutional Bank
Private Debt (UK) at AIMCo, senior roles at SMBC and DZ BANK
Commercial Manager at ANZ Bank, New Zealand
International Banks and ratings agency
TYPES OF DEAL
ACCESS TO ATTRACTIVE RISK-ADJUSTED RETURNS VIA ABILITY TO ANALYSE BOTH CF AND ASSET BACKED DEALS20
TEAM EXPERIENCE ENABLES ABILITY TO UNDERWRITE BOTH ASSET BACKED AND CASH FLOW LENDS
Deal Type Asset backed deal Cash flow backed deal
Key metric and typical limit LTV 75% on distressed asset value Leverage 3.5x last twelve months EBITDA
Downside Protection Underlying assets Property, P&M, Stock, Debtors
Implied (or cash) equity cushion
Key considerations Asset values, liquidity of assets, debt serviceability
Recurrability of cash flows, customer diversification, debt serviceability
Stars and Padlocks Typically more locks Typically more stars
CASH FLOW DEALS KEY CONSIDERATIONS
RECURRING CASH FLOWS AND IMPLIED EQUITY CUSHIONS UNDERPIN CASH FLOW DEALS21
RECURRING CASH FLOWS CAN PROVIDE ROBUST PROTECTION
KEY CRITERIA:
• Underlying market dynamicso Favourable trends (e.g. digitisation, healthy eating/low-carb etc.)
• Recurring Cash flowso Contracted or repeatable revenues
• Customer diversification o Limited dependence on any one customer
• Gross leverage level vs. EV multipleo Derives implied equity cushion
CASH FLOW DEALS EXAMPLE
ATTRACTIVE EN-VOGUE OFFERING WITH DIVERSIFIED SITE PORTFOLIO22
£3M, 4YR LOAN, £1.25M I/O FOR 12 MONTHS THEN AMORTIZING, £1.25 M BULLET (+ £0.5M*)
7.0% COUPON
Borrower A fast casual dining business providing healthy and food that has grown from one store in 2004 toa current portfolio of 24 stores located across Central London. Initially launched by a husband and wifeteam who developed a strong, recognisable and ethical brand. Now supported by an experienced teamincluding an FD, Ops Director, Marketing Manager.
Loan purpose Initial loan of £2.5M provided to refinance the RBS facility (£2M) and provide a working capital cushion (£500k). *Additional £500k loan committed to within the first 12 months for new store openings subject to covenant compliance. (New stores tend to be cash generative in the month of opening, as food and packaging debtors are paid a month later).
Security First ranking debenture over the company and all assets, Shareholder loans (£3.19M at end-March 2018) tobe non-cash pay and fully subordinated to the ThinCats facility.
Deal Rationale Acceptable initial leverage of 2.4x & high level of cash generation to service debt, as well as the valuation forthe business, thought to be 6 - 7x recurring EBITDA, which would thus be expected to cover the ThinCatsloan by > 2.0x. Abokado has survived market cycles and also expanded, capitalising on healthy eatingtrends, which show no apparent sign of diminishing.
Credit and Security Grading 3 star & 3 lock (driven by leverage level and customer concentration)
SECURITY,MONITORING & RECOVERIESJILL SANDFORD CHIEF RISK OFFICER
THE TEAMS
24 EXPERIENCED TEAMS
Monitoring SecuritiesLegalRecoveriesTransaction
Support
TRANSACTION SUPPORT
25
IP writing
⚫ Supporting the BD and credit teams in drafting the IP.
⚫ Consistent format.
⚫ Clear and not misleading.
Securities
⚫ Initial security review.
⚫ Advise Credit on alternative structures.
⚫ Registration of security OR confirm registration if completed by external solicitors.
⚫ Review requests to release security.
Legal
⚫ Instruct external solicitors, acting on behalf of Lenders.
⚫ Liaise with solicitors regarding any proposed modifications to the loan documents.
⚫ Execution of all loan and security documents in preparation for drawdown.
SUPPORTING THE DEAL TO DRAWDOWN
MONITORING
Monitoring
⚫ Engage with the borrower at drawdown and establish relationship.
⚫ Review of borrowers MI.
⚫ Covenant testing as specified in the loan agreement.
⚫ Site visits to discuss specific issues with borrowers.
⚫ Receive initial notification of DD failure and ascertain from the borrower the reasons why.
⚫ Liaise with Credit and Recoveries as appropriate.
⚫ Issue breach and default notices
What are they looking for ?
• Is the MI in line with projections?
• Are annual accounts in line with MI?
• Trends both positive and negative
• Additional borrowings:
• other lenders
• extension of creditor days
• Review of bank statements
• Changes in credit status
• Changes in ownership and management
• Late filings at Companies HouseMONITORING THE BORROWERS PERFORMANCE THROUGHOUT THE LIFECYCLE OF THE LOAN26
WORKING WITH THE BORROWER
NEGOTIATED REVISED COVENANTS AND AN INCREASED INTEREST RATE OF 1.75% FOR LENDERS TO BE IN PLACE UNTIL CERTAIN MILESTONES ACHIEVED27
CASE STUDY
• Borrower acknowledged that they were going to breach covenant test and requested that they be waived / reset
• Severe cashflow pressure:
• Creditors being managed
• HMRC arrears and threat of WUP
• External equity raise in progress
• Meetings held with the management team and advisors (Credit, Monitoring and Recoveries)
• Commissioned and Independent Business Review (paid for by the borrower)
• Revised projections and management accounts requested
• Decision made to support the borrower subject to the successful equity raise:
• Professional advisors to join the board as NEDs
• The investment into the business will enable the business to grow and therefore enhance the value of the business
• Additional assets will be purchased, which will be caught by our security, thereby strengthening the security position
RECOVERIES
28
⚫
aways
⚫ Commercial strategies to maximise returns for lenders:
⚫ Accelerated sale of the business
⚫ Protection of intellectual property and contracts
⚫ Enhanced asset realisations via work out scenarios
⚫ Work with the borrower where possible:
⚫ Engagement at an early stage
⚫ Always have plan B running in the background
⚫ Patience can maximise returns.
⚫ Hostile appointments are sometimes necessary:
⚫ Ostrich syndrome
⚫ Preservation of assets
Enforcement:
⚫ Appointment of Administrators or Receivers - of our choosing.
⚫ Demand and appointment can be made on the same day if considered appropriate.
⚫ Recovery under corporate and personal guarantees.
⚫ Instruct independent solicitors and agents to act on behalf of lenders.
Pre funded recoveries to date
c £0.5m
COMMERCIAL STRATEGIES MAXIMISE RETURNS
FIGHTING HARD ON YOUR BEHALF
29
CASE STUDY 1
⚫ Roll up loans - not defaulted or matured
⚫ Director issued notice of a meeting of creditors to put the company into liquidation
⚫ Claimed that there were no assets other than debtors that we believed to be fictitious
⚫ The director was paying a fixed cash contribution to the proposed liquidator effectively a company burial fee
⚫ We objected to the proposed liquidator and appointed our own who specialised in fraud investigations
⚫ Provided an indemnity of £100k to the Court to enable the liquidator to apply for freezing orders across 40+ properties owned by the director and his family
⚫ Achieved 100% capital recovery plus a proportion of interest and fees
CASE STUDY 2
⚫ Protracted refinance proposals but we were always running Plan B
⚫ Served demand on the guarantor at the same that we made hostile appointments across the corporate entities
⚫ The next day we made an emergency application to the High Court London for the appointment of an interim receiver (same day hearing), on the grounds that we had concerns regarding asset dissipation. Including key information on personal computers
⚫ Application made without notice to the debtor
⚫ We provided an undertaking of £50k to the Court for costs
⚫ After 2 days in Court the judge did not make the order but did say that were perfectly within our rights to have made the application
PLATFORM & TECHNOLOGY UPDATEJOHN MOULD - CEO
PROGRESS IN 2018
31
Borrowers
⚫ Released new internal application which starts to enable the full automation of on-boarding borrowers
Scalability
⚫ Continued development to ensure the platform is scalable to support the business growth (e.g. automated payment processing)
Stability
⚫ Continuous bug fixes resolving issues impacting the operational staff and lenders
NEW PRODUCTSMATT JONES FINANCE DIRECTOR
DIVERSIFIED LOAN PORTFOLIO
DIVERSIFIED LOAN PORTFOLIO OFFERS LENDERS THE OPPORTUNITY TO DIVERSIFY THEIR LENDING PORTFOLIO33
Diversified Loan Portfolio Realisation
All capital and interest repayments received from Borrowers less fees will be returned to Lenders
⚫ No Secondary Market trading of either the Underlying Loans or the Diversified Loan Portfolio
⚫ Prior to the end of the Target Term, all remaining performing Underlying Loans will be offered for sale via the Secondary Market
⚫ Opportunity to lend to a selection of loans previously listed on the ThinCats Platform
⚫ Lenders can achieve greater diversification in a portfolio
⚫ ThinCats will charge a 1.0% administration fee
⚫ Target Term will typically be two years
INNOVATIVE FINANCE ISA (IFISA)
IFISAs CAN BE OPENED ON THE THINCATS PLATFORM FOR TAX EFFICIENT LENDING34
IFISA - 2018
Lenders can open a Thincats IFISA 2018 Account
⚫ Add £20,000 before 6th April 2019 and pay no income tax or capital gains tax
⚫ Self-select loans are eligible for an IFISA Investment
⚫ DLPs are eligible for an IFISA Investment
⚫ IFISA 2019
– Give the ability to perform transfers in
FCAJOHN MOULD
THE FCA
36
• The FCA Journey
• ThinCats FCA Journey
• The Future
• Lenders
• ThinCats
• Other P2P