+ All Categories
Home > Documents > Thorsten Arnold, Ph.D. Technical supervisor Source Water ... · Source Water Protection & Modeling...

Thorsten Arnold, Ph.D. Technical supervisor Source Water ... · Source Water Protection & Modeling...

Date post: 28-Sep-2020
Category:
Upload: others
View: 0 times
Download: 0 times
Share this document with a friend
27
Thorsten Arnold, Ph.D. Technical supervisor Source Water Protection, Saugeen Valley, Grey Sauble, Northern Bruce Peninsula
Transcript
Page 1: Thorsten Arnold, Ph.D. Technical supervisor Source Water ... · Source Water Protection & Modeling efforts “Adaptive” approach to water management Updates of Assessment Report

Thorsten Arnold, Ph.D.

Technical supervisor

Source Water Protection, Saugeen Valley, Grey Sauble, Northern Bruce Peninsula

Page 2: Thorsten Arnold, Ph.D. Technical supervisor Source Water ... · Source Water Protection & Modeling efforts “Adaptive” approach to water management Updates of Assessment Report

Source Water Protection Saugeen, Grey Sauble, Northern Bruce Peninsula 

Source Water Protection Saugeen, Grey Sauble, 

Northern Bruce Peninsula 

Page 3: Thorsten Arnold, Ph.D. Technical supervisor Source Water ... · Source Water Protection & Modeling efforts “Adaptive” approach to water management Updates of Assessment Report

MotivationSource Water Protection & Modeling efforts

Wellhead Protection Area delineation

Water Budget Models

FEFLOW

GAWSER

Tier‐III

MODFLOWMODFLOW

MODFLOWMODFLOW

MODFLOWMODFLOW

MODFLOWMODFLOW

MODFLOWMODFLOW

MODFLOWMODFLOW

MODFLOWMODFLOW

MODFLOWMODFLOW

MODFLOWMODFLOW

MODFLOWMODFLOW

MODFLOWMODFLOW

MODFLOWMODFLOW

MODFLOWMODFLOW

MODFLOWMODFLOW

MODFLOWMODFLOW

Intake Protection Zone delineation

Delft3D Georgian Bay

Wiarton

Lion‘s Head

Delft3D Lake Huron

Kincardine

SouthamptonOwen Sound

Meaford

Thornbury

CESCESCESCESCES

CESCESCESCESCES

Delft3D IPZ‐3 Quality

Visual Modflow Flex

Software Licenses Knowledge !

Page 4: Thorsten Arnold, Ph.D. Technical supervisor Source Water ... · Source Water Protection & Modeling efforts “Adaptive” approach to water management Updates of Assessment Report

MotivationSource Water Protection & Modeling efforts “Adaptive” approach to water management

Updates of Assessment Report  (Clean Water Act) Legal litigations may require to discuss model‐based analysis

Better data  improvement of models Refining existing model for new uses …

BUT HOW CAN WE MANAGE THE KNOWLEDGE ABOUT THESE MODELS?

Page 5: Thorsten Arnold, Ph.D. Technical supervisor Source Water ... · Source Water Protection & Modeling efforts “Adaptive” approach to water management Updates of Assessment Report

Content1. Motivation

2. Model management in Source Water Protection:Tasks, ownership and the role of knowledge

3. The Spatial Data Analyzer©: A tool managing models

4. Summary & Outlookh

Page 6: Thorsten Arnold, Ph.D. Technical supervisor Source Water ... · Source Water Protection & Modeling efforts “Adaptive” approach to water management Updates of Assessment Report

Tasks, ownership and the role of knowledge

Page 7: Thorsten Arnold, Ph.D. Technical supervisor Source Water ... · Source Water Protection & Modeling efforts “Adaptive” approach to water management Updates of Assessment Report

Model Management: Tasks, ownership and the role of knowledge

Definition:  Two types of knowledge Specialist knowledge 

Multiple academic disciplines Data management  systems Modeling software & Modeling tools

For performing specific tasks

Common knowledge Language/Lingo/Connotation Tools/Methods/Formats/Software Procedures and work flows

For communication/coordination between specialists

Page 8: Thorsten Arnold, Ph.D. Technical supervisor Source Water ... · Source Water Protection & Modeling efforts “Adaptive” approach to water management Updates of Assessment Report

Evolution of Tasks in Water Managementand Knowledge Requirements

Specialist knowledge• Science, Methods, Software, 

Data handling,

Page 9: Thorsten Arnold, Ph.D. Technical supervisor Source Water ... · Source Water Protection & Modeling efforts “Adaptive” approach to water management Updates of Assessment Report

Model Management: Tasks, ownership and the role of knowledge

Access to Specialized Knowledge

Three options:1. Teach it to yourself  … Learn by yourself !2. Your colleague knows it  … Collaborate in your team!3. Get it from a third party … Cooperate with others!

Both require common knowledge!

Page 10: Thorsten Arnold, Ph.D. Technical supervisor Source Water ... · Source Water Protection & Modeling efforts “Adaptive” approach to water management Updates of Assessment Report

WM

R Third party

Shallowcooperation

WM

Specia‐lists R

Everything in‐house

Third party

Deep collaboration 

WM

Specia‐lists R

Organizational Design options Interaction requires Common Knowledge

“Deep collaboration” most demanding here!

Page 11: Thorsten Arnold, Ph.D. Technical supervisor Source Water ... · Source Water Protection & Modeling efforts “Adaptive” approach to water management Updates of Assessment Report

Collaboration designs & costs:Comparison

In‐house External Common knowledge 

requirementsCosts Owner‐ ship

Contracting costs

1. “Shallow”cooperation Low

Low(black box)

High•Mainly within third party organization

2. “Deep”collaboration

Mode‐rate

High(grey box)

Mode‐rate

• High• Both in‐house and in communication with third parties

3. Everythingin‐house High

Full(white box)

None • High• Only in‐house

Page 12: Thorsten Arnold, Ph.D. Technical supervisor Source Water ... · Source Water Protection & Modeling efforts “Adaptive” approach to water management Updates of Assessment Report

Collaboration designs & costs:An Adaptive Water Management perspective

In‐house External Common knowledge 

requirementsCosts Owner‐ ship

Contracting costs

1. “Shallow”cooperation Low

Low(black box)

High•Mainly within third party organization

2. “Deep”collaboration

Mode‐rate

High(grey box)

Mode‐rate

• High• Both in‐house and in communication with third parties

3. Everythingin‐house High

Full(white box)

None • High• Only in‐house

In‐houseCosts for updating

External Common knowledge 

requirementsCosts Owner‐ ship

Contracting costs

1. “Shallow”cooperation Low

Low(black box)

High High•Mainly within third party organization

2. “Deep”collaboration

Mode‐rate

High(grey box)

Mode‐rate

Mode‐rate

• High• Both in‐house and in communication with third parties

3. Everythingin‐house High

Full(white box)

Low None • High• Only in‐house

Preferable for AWM, but …. 

Page 13: Thorsten Arnold, Ph.D. Technical supervisor Source Water ... · Source Water Protection & Modeling efforts “Adaptive” approach to water management Updates of Assessment Report

Model Management ?!?

Access to specialist knowledge embedded in models Reduce need for common knowledge to handle models

Minimize cost for setting up, applying and updating models

Page 14: Thorsten Arnold, Ph.D. Technical supervisor Source Water ... · Source Water Protection & Modeling efforts “Adaptive” approach to water management Updates of Assessment Report

Applied in Source Water Protection

Page 15: Thorsten Arnold, Ph.D. Technical supervisor Source Water ... · Source Water Protection & Modeling efforts “Adaptive” approach to water management Updates of Assessment Report

Database ?GISDocument Repository

Information TypesSpatial‐Type• Images 

•Polygons

• Grids/surfaces

(plus tables)

Dynamic‐Type•Time series,

•Measurement/ model 

• 1D, 2D, 3D•Tracking data

(Location/time/ quantity)

•HUGE DATA (Tbytes)

Text‐Type• Reports• Meta data• ASCII model input files• Forms: 

•Applications,•Certificates of approval• etc

Table‐Type• e.g. Customer Database • …

GeoDatabase Spatial Data Analyzer

Page 16: Thorsten Arnold, Ph.D. Technical supervisor Source Water ... · Source Water Protection & Modeling efforts “Adaptive” approach to water management Updates of Assessment Report

SDA© Application 1:

Visualization of GIS Data

Shape filesImage FilesRaster files

Page 17: Thorsten Arnold, Ph.D. Technical supervisor Source Water ... · Source Water Protection & Modeling efforts “Adaptive” approach to water management Updates of Assessment Report

SDA© Application 2:

Visualization of time series data

Measurement Data (Time series) Climate Stations, daily

AES stations

Climate Stations, hourly AES stations Saugeen Valley meteorological stations

Hydrological data, hourly & daily Flow meters (HYDAT) Saugeen Valley flow stations Groundwater Monitoring (Level)

MOE water quality data Provincial (Stream) Water Quality Monitoring Network (PWQMN) data, 2002‐2009 Drinking Water Inspection (DWIS) data, 2005‐2008 Drinking Water Surveillance Program (DWSP) data, 1998‐2009 Municipal/Industrial Strategy for Abatement (MISA) data, 2004‐2009

Climate Station Data

Flow and Climate Data

Page 18: Thorsten Arnold, Ph.D. Technical supervisor Source Water ... · Source Water Protection & Modeling efforts “Adaptive” approach to water management Updates of Assessment Report

SDA© Application 3:

GAWSER Runoff model

Video

Spatial entities: Routing with DEM  Sub watersheds Zones of Uniform Meteorology (ZUM) HRUSDA uses:  Visualization by spatial entity Calibration(Walkerton)

Detail analysis  (Walkerton)

Page 19: Thorsten Arnold, Ph.D. Technical supervisor Source Water ... · Source Water Protection & Modeling efforts “Adaptive” approach to water management Updates of Assessment Report

SDA© Application 4:

Lake current & water quality model Delft3D

Visualization of flows Comparison of flow scenarios Particle Tracking (IPZ) Water Quality Scenarios

(Events‐based approach)

Page 20: Thorsten Arnold, Ph.D. Technical supervisor Source Water ... · Source Water Protection & Modeling efforts “Adaptive” approach to water management Updates of Assessment Report

Summary (1) –A need for model management 

WM

R Third party

“Shallow” cooperation

Third party

“Deep” collaboration

WM

Specia lists R

Specialist knowledge Common knowledge

Page 21: Thorsten Arnold, Ph.D. Technical supervisor Source Water ... · Source Water Protection & Modeling efforts “Adaptive” approach to water management Updates of Assessment Report

Summary (2) –SDA as model management tool One‐stop ‐shop:

Visualize measurements, model input and output data Analyze model outputs, compare scenarios Compatibility with many types of models

Model management Tool Proposed as standard for model delivery in collaboration Deepened (and simplified) peer review and quality control Access to internal model behavior

Simplified updating  Simplified Legal litigations

One‐stop‐shop reduces knowledge (and license) needs for software

Enables water managers to take “ownership” of models (grey box) without getting lost in modeling

Page 22: Thorsten Arnold, Ph.D. Technical supervisor Source Water ... · Source Water Protection & Modeling efforts “Adaptive” approach to water management Updates of Assessment Report

Outlook/Next steps Conservation Authorities, Source Water Protection:  Status quo on model management practices ? Priorities and needs on model management ?

Cost Comparison:   Status‐Quo practices vs. proactive model managemen

Open questions:Who could administer a software such as SDA? Software & Proprietary rights?

Page 24: Thorsten Arnold, Ph.D. Technical supervisor Source Water ... · Source Water Protection & Modeling efforts “Adaptive” approach to water management Updates of Assessment Report

Other features Importing from various models and data formats Data Analysis tools

Time series analysis (statistical, hydrological) Water balancing along cross sections Extracting data from one grid to another Backward Particle Tracking (IPZ‐2 delineation) Forward Particle Tracking (IPZ‐3 screening)

Extracting/exporting of data  Automated publishing of maps

Page 25: Thorsten Arnold, Ph.D. Technical supervisor Source Water ... · Source Water Protection & Modeling efforts “Adaptive” approach to water management Updates of Assessment Report

Model Compatibility

Page 26: Thorsten Arnold, Ph.D. Technical supervisor Source Water ... · Source Water Protection & Modeling efforts “Adaptive” approach to water management Updates of Assessment Report

Technical Discussion (1) Advantages/Opportunities

Simple, one‐stop shop software to manage vast amounts (>1 TBytes) of time‐dependent data series

Convenient and intuitive use, no programming skills required Simple data format, import options for several regular formats (e.g. NetCDF)

Basic data analysis functionalities Compatibility with several models;  Strong ASCII import functionality Excellent data visualization capabilities (Dynamic & GIS) Template functionality for convenient map creation

Page 27: Thorsten Arnold, Ph.D. Technical supervisor Source Water ... · Source Water Protection & Modeling efforts “Adaptive” approach to water management Updates of Assessment Report

Technical Discussion (2) Disadvantages

Design for model evaluation, not for model management  No output options to write model input files Data analysis options limited

Several minor workarounds still necessary currently increases entry barrier

Proprietary code


Recommended