Thought Leaders Round Table – SAT. 17 May – FIU – Miami
Financial Presentation by Russ Dallen
Venezuela’s Falling Reserves
2 Venezuela Finances - Russell M Dallen Jr
Official Venezuela Inflation
3 Venezuela Finances - Russell M Dallen Jr
Venezuela’s Tumbling Bolivar
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
1006
-23
-20
10
7-2
6-2
01
0
8-2
5-2
01
0
10
-4-2
01
0
11
-17
-20
10
12
-28
-20
10
2-6
-20
11
3-1
8-2
01
1
4-1
8-2
01
1
5-1
9-2
01
1
6-1
9-2
01
1
7-1
8-2
01
1
8-1
6-2
01
1
9-1
5-2
01
1
10
-15
-20
11
11
-14
-20
11
12
-15
-20
11
1-1
3-2
01
2
2-1
1-2
01
2
3-1
4-2
01
2
4-1
2-2
01
2
5-1
4-2
01
2
6-1
2-2
01
2
7-1
2-2
01
2
8-1
4-2
01
2
9-1
2-2
01
2
10
-14
-20
12
11
-12
-20
12
12
-11
-20
12
1-1
1-2
01
3
2-9
-20
13
3-1
9-2
01
3
4-1
7-2
01
3
5-1
6-2
01
3
6-1
4-2
01
3
7-1
3-2
01
3
8-1
1-2
01
3
9-9
-20
13
10
-8-2
01
3
11
-6-2
01
3
12
-5-2
01
3
1-4
-20
14
2-2
-20
14
3-4
-20
14
4-2
-20
14
5-1
-20
14
Official
SITME
SICAD 1
SICAD 2
Voldemort
Official Rate 6.3 SICAD 1 10.00 SICAD 2 49.97 Voldemort 75.62
4 Venezuela Finances - Russell M Dallen Jr
Venezuela Official Scarcity Index
Regime halts reporting figure but Datanalisis puts scarcity for March at 60.2% 5 Venezuela Finances - Russell M Dallen Jr
As US Oil Imports Continue to
Decline
6 Venezuela Finances - Russell M Dallen Jr
US Oil Imports from Venezuela
Continue to Decline
7 Venezuela Finances - Russell M Dallen Jr
8 Venezuela Finances - Russell M Dallen Jr
Projected U.S. crude oil production in the AEO2014
Reference case reaches 9.6 million barrels per day (MMbbl/d)
in 2019
9 Venezuela Finances - Russell M Dallen Jr
Venezuela Oil Production Falling
10 Venezuela Finances - Russell M Dallen Jr
Venezuela Oil Breakdowns
Destination Repay of Loans Actual Revenue Producing Barrels
China 640 350 290
India 400 400
USA 700 700
1390
Domestic 800
Cuba 100
Petrocaribe 100
Total 2740
Venezuela Finances - Russell M Dallen Jr 11
Venezuela’s Paid Oil Exports
China 640 350 290
India 400 400
USA 700 700
Total US$ Exports 1390
Venezuela Finances - Russell M Dallen Jr 12
Revenue from Oil Sales
US$ per barrel
1.3 mbpd =
US$ billion 1.5 mbpd = US$ billion
50 24.14 28.34
60 28.97 34.01
70 33.80 39.68
80 38.63 45.35
90 43.46 51.02
100 48.29 56.68
Venezuela Finances - Russell M Dallen Jr 13
14 Venezuela Finances - Russell M Dallen Jr
15 Venezuela Finances - Russell M Dallen Jr
16 Venezuela Finances - Russell M Dallen Jr
Venezuela’s Cost to Borrow
17 Venezuela Finances - Russell M Dallen Jr
18 Venezuela Finances - Russell M Dallen Jr