Date post: | 06-May-2015 |
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WTIA 2009—Tim Draper
November 2008
Economic Nuke
Nuclear Winter
The press painted a grim picture
Investors are looking for direction
Real estate values have plummeted
Stock markets are down
Lending is frozenCompanies are laying
off employees
Consumer and capital spending have
slowed
Monopolies block liquidity:
Government Regulations—Sarbox, The 40 Act, 409ABulge Bracket Distribution Controls—Syndication, Sales, Trading, Investment BankingNasdaq/NYSE Restrictions—Acceptance Hurdles, Fees Big 3 Standards—FAS 157, FAS 141, FASBDinosaur Technologies—Stock transfers, Bloomberg
Liquidity Crisis
Liquidity ProblemsLiquidity Problems
Don’t panic
Don’t cling to the past
Crisis orOpportunity
New game
With great power…It is all up to you!!!!
Best time ever to start a business:Best time ever to start a business:
1.1. People need jobsPeople need jobs
2.2. Existing companies are reelingExisting companies are reeling
3.3. Fewer start-up competitorsFewer start-up competitors
4.4. Newer technologiesNewer technologies
5.5. You are young!!!!!!!You are young!!!!!!!
Companies that started in recessions or depressionsCompanies that started in recessions or depressions
Best time ever to invest venture capital money in USBest time ever to invest venture capital money in US
1.1. Recession/DepressionRecession/Depression
2.2. Low valuationsLow valuations
3.3. Liquidity solutionsLiquidity solutions
4.4. Less competition for VC’s, entrepreneursLess competition for VC’s, entrepreneurs
5.5. New technologiesNew technologies
Inventions in the past 50 years
COMPUTERS EMAILFAX
FIBER OPTICS BIOTECH
SMART PHONES
NANOTECH
PHOTOCOPIER
SEARCH ENGINES
SPACE TRAVEL
JETS CREDIT CARDS ICsMICROWAVENUCLEAR POWER THE PILL
DVRs
VOICEMAIL
SATELLITES
INTERNET WEB BROWSERS
MRIs
DIGITAL CAMERAS
CELL PHONES
Future possibilities
ABUNDANT CHEAP WATER
NON-INVASIVE SURGERY
ENERGY EFFICIENT BUILDINGS
LONG-LASTING BATTERIES
INTERACTIVE EDUCATION
CLOUD COMPUTING
IMMERSIVE 3-D ENTERTAINMENT
FOOD DROPCURES FOR CANCER, AIDS & MALARIA
GENETIC DISEASE PREDICTION
NEAR INFINITE ENERGY SUPPLY
NEAR-THOUGHT COMMUNICATIONS
NEW LIFE FORMS FOOD SUPPLY
CURE FOR HEART DISEASE
SELF-NAVIGATINGELECTRIC CARS
One thing has not changed….
Innovation is exponential and relentless
Companies can post their profile and control access
Investors can peruse, connect with companiesbuy and sell Shares
Matching platform connects buyers and sellers of shares
Springboard to an IPO
Longer term
Xchange will allow companies to raise money through an XPO
Xchange will allow users to trade shares through the system
Springboard to an IPO
Liquidity:
The Cost of CommunismThe Cost of Communism
GDP Per Capita NormalizedGDP Per Capita Normalized
The Cost of CommunismThe Cost of Communism
Growth Rates GDPGrowth Rates GDP
The Sucking Sound of The Sucking Sound of SocialismSocialism
US government spending damps GDP growthUS government spending damps GDP growth
The Sucking Sound of The Sucking Sound of SocialismSocialism
Good WordsOpportunityEarningsBusiness SolutionLet losers dieFreedomFree Trade
Bad WordsEntitlementRightGovernment InterventionBailoutRegulationPatriotism>Protection>Poverty
The Importance of Liquidity:
Human flexibilitySpeed of gratificationFewer desperate buyers/sellersThe deal.
The Deal
Free Trade!!!!!!!!!
Without China:No Semiconductors
Without China:No Flat Screens
Without China:No Memory
Without Computers:No Software
Without Software:No New Media
Zeroed Business ModelsZeroed Business Models
CompanyAmazonParametricHotmail, SkypeOverture, Google, Baidu
EliminatedInventory and A/RExcess Engineering CostsMarketing ExpenseAd Sales Expense
RevolutionsRevolutions
CompanyAmazonHotmailSkypeGoogle, BaiduEBay
RenovatedThe Book StoreThe Post OfficeThe Telephone CompanyThe BroadcastersThe Trading Post
Problem SolversProblem Solvers
CompanyReva, TeslaEnernoc, Solar CityAthenaHealth, QuickHealthSkype, Hotmail, MeeboGlam, KyteTVGraspr,Skygrid, YeePay, MchkWigixMginger, ContextWeb
SolvingTransportation ProblemEnergy ProblemMedical ProblemGlobal Peace ProblemMedia Control ProblemEducation ProblemFinancial ProblemEbay ProblemSpam Problem
Never forget: Entrepreneurs are heroes.
Create new jobsBuild value from nothingMake lives betterRebuild the economy
The Riskmaster (all rights reserved)(Lyrics by Tim Draper)
Invested all his mattress moneyDivorced his Prom Queen hometown honey
Scraping up his alimonyFriends think he’s a little “funny”
Needs a “world class CEO.”Just another million or so
Get him to some real cash flowSo tears and sweat can IPO
For 15 years he’s been out gunnedBankers demanding blood refund
Company’s looking MoribundEven Draper will not fund!
Chorus:
He is the RiskmasterLives fast drives fasterSkates on the edge of disasterHe is the Riskmaster
He’s got a missionCompany vision
An artist’s ambitionGut intuition
Fearless and free employeeNo guarantee for the corporate escapee
Team fights on against the trendHad to lay off his best friend
Called a “recession” seems like “depression.”
Chapter seven. Is this the end?
But then a salesman shouts, “We got it!” The company’s gonna show a profitTo think the papers rang, “quixotic”
The sky has opened astronautic.
Chorus:
He is the RiskmasterLives fast drives fasterSkates on the edge of disasterHe is the Riskmaster
He is on top, on top of the worldAt last they see it. Vision unfurled!
Cashflow landslide!Now everybody wants a piece of his hide.
Court wants him tried. Press wants him fried. Anyone this rich must have lied.
Chorus:
He is the RiskmasterLives fast drives fasterSkates on the edge of disasterHe is the Riskmaster
To the rescue:
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