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Tim Draper, Fast Pitch Forum & Technology Showcase

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Tim Draper, Founder, Draper Fisher Jurvetson, keynote address at the 2009 WTIA Fast Pitch Forum & Technology Showcase event.
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WTIA 2009—Tim Draper November 2008
Transcript
Page 1: Tim Draper, Fast Pitch Forum & Technology Showcase

WTIA 2009—Tim Draper

November 2008

Page 2: Tim Draper, Fast Pitch Forum & Technology Showcase

Economic Nuke

Page 3: Tim Draper, Fast Pitch Forum & Technology Showcase

Nuclear Winter

Page 4: Tim Draper, Fast Pitch Forum & Technology Showcase

The press painted a grim picture

Investors are looking for direction

Real estate values have plummeted

Stock markets are down

Lending is frozenCompanies are laying

off employees

Consumer and capital spending have

slowed

Page 5: Tim Draper, Fast Pitch Forum & Technology Showcase

Monopolies block liquidity:

Government Regulations—Sarbox, The 40 Act, 409ABulge Bracket Distribution Controls—Syndication, Sales, Trading, Investment BankingNasdaq/NYSE Restrictions—Acceptance Hurdles, Fees Big 3 Standards—FAS 157, FAS 141, FASBDinosaur Technologies—Stock transfers, Bloomberg

Page 6: Tim Draper, Fast Pitch Forum & Technology Showcase

Liquidity Crisis

Page 7: Tim Draper, Fast Pitch Forum & Technology Showcase

Liquidity ProblemsLiquidity Problems

Page 8: Tim Draper, Fast Pitch Forum & Technology Showcase

Don’t panic

Page 9: Tim Draper, Fast Pitch Forum & Technology Showcase

Don’t cling to the past

Page 10: Tim Draper, Fast Pitch Forum & Technology Showcase

Crisis orOpportunity

Page 11: Tim Draper, Fast Pitch Forum & Technology Showcase

New game

Page 12: Tim Draper, Fast Pitch Forum & Technology Showcase

With great power…It is all up to you!!!!

Page 13: Tim Draper, Fast Pitch Forum & Technology Showcase

Best time ever to start a business:Best time ever to start a business:

1.1. People need jobsPeople need jobs

2.2. Existing companies are reelingExisting companies are reeling

3.3. Fewer start-up competitorsFewer start-up competitors

4.4. Newer technologiesNewer technologies

5.5. You are young!!!!!!!You are young!!!!!!!

Page 14: Tim Draper, Fast Pitch Forum & Technology Showcase

Companies that started in recessions or depressionsCompanies that started in recessions or depressions

Page 15: Tim Draper, Fast Pitch Forum & Technology Showcase

Best time ever to invest venture capital money in USBest time ever to invest venture capital money in US

1.1. Recession/DepressionRecession/Depression

2.2. Low valuationsLow valuations

3.3. Liquidity solutionsLiquidity solutions

4.4. Less competition for VC’s, entrepreneursLess competition for VC’s, entrepreneurs

5.5. New technologiesNew technologies

Page 16: Tim Draper, Fast Pitch Forum & Technology Showcase

Inventions in the past 50 years

COMPUTERS EMAILFAX

FIBER OPTICS BIOTECH

SMART PHONES

NANOTECH

PHOTOCOPIER

SEARCH ENGINES

SPACE TRAVEL

JETS CREDIT CARDS ICsMICROWAVENUCLEAR POWER THE PILL

DVRs

VOICEMAIL

SATELLITES

INTERNET WEB BROWSERS

MRIs

DIGITAL CAMERAS

CELL PHONES

Page 17: Tim Draper, Fast Pitch Forum & Technology Showcase

Future possibilities

ABUNDANT CHEAP WATER

NON-INVASIVE SURGERY

ENERGY EFFICIENT BUILDINGS

LONG-LASTING BATTERIES

INTERACTIVE EDUCATION

CLOUD COMPUTING

IMMERSIVE 3-D ENTERTAINMENT

FOOD DROPCURES FOR CANCER, AIDS & MALARIA

GENETIC DISEASE PREDICTION

NEAR INFINITE ENERGY SUPPLY

NEAR-THOUGHT COMMUNICATIONS

NEW LIFE FORMS FOOD SUPPLY

CURE FOR HEART DISEASE

SELF-NAVIGATINGELECTRIC CARS

Page 18: Tim Draper, Fast Pitch Forum & Technology Showcase

One thing has not changed….

Innovation is exponential and relentless

Page 19: Tim Draper, Fast Pitch Forum & Technology Showcase

Companies can post their profile and control access

Investors can peruse, connect with companiesbuy and sell Shares

Matching platform connects buyers and sellers of shares

Springboard to an IPO

Page 20: Tim Draper, Fast Pitch Forum & Technology Showcase

Longer term

Xchange will allow companies to raise money through an XPO

Xchange will allow users to trade shares through the system

Springboard to an IPO

Page 21: Tim Draper, Fast Pitch Forum & Technology Showcase

Liquidity:

Page 22: Tim Draper, Fast Pitch Forum & Technology Showcase

The Cost of CommunismThe Cost of Communism

GDP Per Capita NormalizedGDP Per Capita Normalized

Page 23: Tim Draper, Fast Pitch Forum & Technology Showcase

The Cost of CommunismThe Cost of Communism

Growth Rates GDPGrowth Rates GDP

Page 24: Tim Draper, Fast Pitch Forum & Technology Showcase

The Sucking Sound of The Sucking Sound of SocialismSocialism

Page 25: Tim Draper, Fast Pitch Forum & Technology Showcase

US government spending damps GDP growthUS government spending damps GDP growth

Page 26: Tim Draper, Fast Pitch Forum & Technology Showcase

The Sucking Sound of The Sucking Sound of SocialismSocialism

Good WordsOpportunityEarningsBusiness SolutionLet losers dieFreedomFree Trade

Bad WordsEntitlementRightGovernment InterventionBailoutRegulationPatriotism>Protection>Poverty

Page 27: Tim Draper, Fast Pitch Forum & Technology Showcase

The Importance of Liquidity:

Human flexibilitySpeed of gratificationFewer desperate buyers/sellersThe deal.

Page 28: Tim Draper, Fast Pitch Forum & Technology Showcase

The Deal

Page 29: Tim Draper, Fast Pitch Forum & Technology Showcase
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Page 34: Tim Draper, Fast Pitch Forum & Technology Showcase

Free Trade!!!!!!!!!

Page 35: Tim Draper, Fast Pitch Forum & Technology Showcase
Page 36: Tim Draper, Fast Pitch Forum & Technology Showcase

Without China:No Semiconductors

Page 37: Tim Draper, Fast Pitch Forum & Technology Showcase

Without China:No Flat Screens

Page 38: Tim Draper, Fast Pitch Forum & Technology Showcase

Without China:No Memory

Page 39: Tim Draper, Fast Pitch Forum & Technology Showcase

Without Computers:No Software

Page 40: Tim Draper, Fast Pitch Forum & Technology Showcase

Without Software:No New Media

Page 41: Tim Draper, Fast Pitch Forum & Technology Showcase
Page 42: Tim Draper, Fast Pitch Forum & Technology Showcase

Zeroed Business ModelsZeroed Business Models

CompanyAmazonParametricHotmail, SkypeOverture, Google, Baidu

EliminatedInventory and A/RExcess Engineering CostsMarketing ExpenseAd Sales Expense

Page 43: Tim Draper, Fast Pitch Forum & Technology Showcase

RevolutionsRevolutions

CompanyAmazonHotmailSkypeGoogle, BaiduEBay

RenovatedThe Book StoreThe Post OfficeThe Telephone CompanyThe BroadcastersThe Trading Post

Page 44: Tim Draper, Fast Pitch Forum & Technology Showcase

Problem SolversProblem Solvers

CompanyReva, TeslaEnernoc, Solar CityAthenaHealth, QuickHealthSkype, Hotmail, MeeboGlam, KyteTVGraspr,Skygrid, YeePay, MchkWigixMginger, ContextWeb

SolvingTransportation ProblemEnergy ProblemMedical ProblemGlobal Peace ProblemMedia Control ProblemEducation ProblemFinancial ProblemEbay ProblemSpam Problem

Page 45: Tim Draper, Fast Pitch Forum & Technology Showcase

Never forget: Entrepreneurs are heroes.

Create new jobsBuild value from nothingMake lives betterRebuild the economy

Page 46: Tim Draper, Fast Pitch Forum & Technology Showcase

The Riskmaster (all rights reserved)(Lyrics by Tim Draper)

Invested all his mattress moneyDivorced his Prom Queen hometown honey

Scraping up his alimonyFriends think he’s a little “funny”

Page 47: Tim Draper, Fast Pitch Forum & Technology Showcase

Needs a “world class CEO.”Just another million or so

Get him to some real cash flowSo tears and sweat can IPO

Page 48: Tim Draper, Fast Pitch Forum & Technology Showcase

For 15 years he’s been out gunnedBankers demanding blood refund

Company’s looking MoribundEven Draper will not fund!

Page 49: Tim Draper, Fast Pitch Forum & Technology Showcase

Chorus:

He is the RiskmasterLives fast drives fasterSkates on the edge of disasterHe is the Riskmaster

Page 50: Tim Draper, Fast Pitch Forum & Technology Showcase

He’s got a missionCompany vision

An artist’s ambitionGut intuition

Fearless and free employeeNo guarantee for the corporate escapee

Page 51: Tim Draper, Fast Pitch Forum & Technology Showcase

Team fights on against the trendHad to lay off his best friend

Called a “recession” seems like “depression.”

Chapter seven. Is this the end?

Page 52: Tim Draper, Fast Pitch Forum & Technology Showcase

But then a salesman shouts, “We got it!” The company’s gonna show a profitTo think the papers rang, “quixotic”

The sky has opened astronautic.

Page 53: Tim Draper, Fast Pitch Forum & Technology Showcase

Chorus:

He is the RiskmasterLives fast drives fasterSkates on the edge of disasterHe is the Riskmaster

Page 54: Tim Draper, Fast Pitch Forum & Technology Showcase

He is on top, on top of the worldAt last they see it. Vision unfurled!

Cashflow landslide!Now everybody wants a piece of his hide.

Court wants him tried. Press wants him fried. Anyone this rich must have lied.

Page 55: Tim Draper, Fast Pitch Forum & Technology Showcase

Chorus:

He is the RiskmasterLives fast drives fasterSkates on the edge of disasterHe is the Riskmaster

Page 56: Tim Draper, Fast Pitch Forum & Technology Showcase

Thank You

Tim DraperDraper Fisher Jurvetson

[email protected]

www.TheRiskmaster.com

Page 57: Tim Draper, Fast Pitch Forum & Technology Showcase

To the rescue:

sharespost

Page 58: Tim Draper, Fast Pitch Forum & Technology Showcase

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