Date post: | 13-Apr-2017 |
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Compiled on behalf of:
U.S. VOTER OPINIONREGARDING ISRAEL
2016
February 11-15, 2016
N=2,000 Registered Voters
Margin of Error: +/- 2.2%
March 10-14, 2016
N=1,995 Registered Voters
Margin of Error: +/- 2.2%
Polls Included:
2
40%
21%
12%
12%
6%
4%
4%
2%
Econ issues #1, Security a solid #2 but with significant partisan disagreement on importance.
Economic Issues – like taxes, wages,
jobs, unemployment, and spending
DEM IND GOP
34% 47% 41%
15% 17% 31%
17% 10% 8%
12% 12% 12%
9% 6% 2%
7% 2% 2%
5% 4% 1%
2% 2% 3%
Security Issues – like terrorism, foreign
policy, and border security
Health Care Issues – like the 2010 health
care law, Medicaid, other challenges
Seniors Issues – like Medicare and Social
Security
Education Issues – like school
standards, class sizes, school choice,
and student loans
Women’s Issues – like birth control,
abortion, and equal pay
Energy Issues - like carbon emissions,
cost of electricity/gasoline, or renewables
Other
Now, thinking about your vote, what would you say is the top
set of issues on your mind when you cast your vote for
federal offices such as U.S. Senate or Congress?
3
Now, thinking about your vote, what would you say is the top set of issues on your
mind when you cast your vote for federal offices such as U.S. Senate or Congress?
42%44%
42%40% 40%
42%41% 42%45%
37%40%39%
27%
33%
38%40%
15%
11%11%
16% 16% 16%18%
20%18%
20%17%17%
37%
26%23%
21%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
Economic Issues
Security Issues
Health Care Issues
Seniors Issues
Education Issues
Women's Issues
Energy Issues
Other
+ Denotes Likely Voters
Security remains a solid #2 issue, but the San Bernardino / Paris scare faded from the issue priority
as quickly as it appeared.
4
“Israeli People” and “Israel” both elicit goodwill from voters. P.A., Hezbollah, & Hamas all negative.
Thinking about some organizations and countries that are active in politics and world
affairs, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat
Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each group or country listed below.
85%80%
71%
61% 59%55%
39%
31% 31%
20%
29%25% 26%
11%7% 7%
14%10%
5%5% 7%
15%19%
28%25%
40% 38%43%
35%
48%53%
57% 56%53%
56%
64%
73%
86%
+80
Fv Un
+73 +56
Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un
+42 +31 +30 -1 -7 -12 -15 -19 -28 -31 -45 -46 -49 -50 -63 -81
5
55%
25%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%Favorable
Unfavorable
Thinking about some organizations and countries that are active in politics and world affairs,
please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or
Very Unfavorable opinion of each group or country listed below. … ISRAEL
Israel’s image has been relatively steady over the past fourteen years.
** Trend from research by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner and Public Opinion Strategies.
6
61% 61%54%
71%
31%
46%
28%23%
19% 21% 21%17%
43%
31%38%
58%
Total Lib.(27%)
Mod.(32%)
Cons.(38%)
Total Lib.(27%)
Mod.(32%)
Cons.(38%)
Thinking about some people, organizations, and countries that are active in politics and
world affairs, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable,
Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of…
Fav Unf
Israeli people seen positively across the ideological spectrum, the Palestinian people with
a more mixed image among voters.
“Israeli People” “Palestinian People”
Total & By Ideology Total & By Ideology
Fav Unf Fav Unf Fav Unf Fav Unf Fav Unf Fav Unf Fav Unf
+42 +40 +33 +54 -12 +15 -10 -35
7
55%
48% 47%
71%
7% 9% 7% 6%11%
16%10% 10%
7% 9%5% 7%
25%
32%28%
18%
56%53%
50%
67%
56%50% 50%
67%
53% 51% 49%
61%
Total Lib.(27%)
Mod.(32%)
Cons.(38%)
Total Lib.(27%)
Mod.(32%)
Cons.(38%)
Total Lib.(27%)
Mod.(32%)
Cons.(38%)
Total Lib.(27%)
Mod.(32%)
Cons.(38%)
Thinking about some people, organizations, and countries that are active in politics and
world affairs, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable,
Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of…
Fv
Majority favorable toward Israel, unfavorable toward Hamas, PA, and Hezbollah. All three groups
seen through very similar ideological lens.
“Israel”
Total & By Party
Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Un Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Un Un
“Hamas”
Total & By Party
“The PA”
Total & By Party
“Hezbollah”
Total & By Party
FvFv Fv
8
70%78%
63% 63%68% 70%
75% 77%
65% 66%
81%
13% 13% 14%18% 16% 14%
6%12% 15% 15%
10%
Total Male(48%)
Female(52%)
18-29(21%)
30-44(20%)
45-54(22%)
55-64(16%)
65+(21%)
DEM(40%)
IND(27%)
GOP(33%)
Do you support or oppose the United States maintaining a strong alliance with Israel?
Sup
Strategic support for maintaining the strong U.S.-Israel alliance is high, above 60% of all key
demographic groups.
Total
+57
Op Sup Op Sup Op Sup Op Sup Op Sup Op Sup Op Sup Op Sup Op Sup Op Sup Op
+65 +49
By Gender By Age By Party
+45 +52 +56 +69 +65 +50 +51 +71
9
51%
10%0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Israel Supporter Palestinian SupporterNeither/Don’t Know/Refused
** Trend from research by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner and Public Opinion Strategies.
Now, thinking about the ongoing conflict between Israel and the Palestinians in the Middle East,
please tell me whether, in general, you think America should be... A strong supporter of Israel, a
supporter of Israel, a supporter of the Palestinians ...or... a strong supporter of the Palestinians?
In context of the conflict, Israel receives far more U.S. support than it did in the early 2000s.
10
The key terms for communicating to U.S. voters about an ally (like Israel).
Thinking about allies of the United States, which of the terms shown below are MOST important in
an alliance? Please choose AT LEAST ONE and UP TO FIVE that you think are most important…
Respect 46%
Human Rights 39%
War on Terror 34%
Values 32%
Economic Partner 31%
Mutual Interests 30%
Defense 26%
Openness 24%
Trade 22%
Democratic 15%
Forthrightness 14%
Mutual Enemies 10%
Christian 10%
Beaches 1%
Western 2%
Judeo-Christian 3%
Travel 3%
Liberal 4%
Autonomy 4%
Language 4%
Militaristic 5%
Innovative 6%
Innovation 7%
Investment 7%
Minority Rights 8%
Culture 8%
Conservative 9%
11
Below are some words and phrases that people sometimes use to describe countries in the world.
Please tell me whether you think it describes ISRAEL very well, pretty well, not too well, or not well at all.
Israel seen as facing real threats, strong & necessary ally of US. “Burden to US” is rejected.
74%
64%
61%
60%
59%
54%
43%
35%
34%
29%
29%
12%
18%
21%
22%
20%
27%
34%
45%
47%
54%
53%
Faces real threats
Is of strategic importance
A strong ally of the US
A strong friend of the US
Is a democracy
Willing to take risks for peace
Shares my values
Extreme
Too religious
A burden to the US
Is a burden
Very Well / Pretty Well Not Too Well / Not Well At All
12
81%
63%54% 51%
10% 12%
36%
26%
Total Total Total Total
Do you agree or disagree with the following statement...
“Nothing can justify hate.” Putting BDS into this framework flips the conversation.
Campaigns of hate only
drive everyone further
away from peace and
reconciliation. Nothing
can justify hate.
Agree Disagree
18%
Strongly
Agree Disagree Agree Disagree Agree Disagree
The United States
should oppose efforts to
delegitimize our allies
around the world,
undermining someone’s
right to exist will never
advance the cause of
peace.
Economic warfare is the
same as any other type
of warfare.
The United States
should not allow any of
its allies to be attacked
with economic weapons
like boycotts.
16%
Strongly
28%
Strongly
49%
Strongly