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TIP National Voter Survey On Israel

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Compiled on behalf of: U.S. VOTER OPINION REGARDING ISRAEL 2016 February 11-15, 2016 N=2,000 Registered Voters Margin of Error: +/- 2.2% March 10-14, 2016 N=1,995 Registered Voters Margin of Error: +/- 2.2% Polls Included:
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Page 1: TIP National Voter Survey On Israel

Compiled on behalf of:

U.S. VOTER OPINIONREGARDING ISRAEL

2016

February 11-15, 2016

N=2,000 Registered Voters

Margin of Error: +/- 2.2%

March 10-14, 2016

N=1,995 Registered Voters

Margin of Error: +/- 2.2%

Polls Included:

Page 2: TIP National Voter Survey On Israel

2

40%

21%

12%

12%

6%

4%

4%

2%

Econ issues #1, Security a solid #2 but with significant partisan disagreement on importance.

Economic Issues – like taxes, wages,

jobs, unemployment, and spending

DEM IND GOP

34% 47% 41%

15% 17% 31%

17% 10% 8%

12% 12% 12%

9% 6% 2%

7% 2% 2%

5% 4% 1%

2% 2% 3%

Security Issues – like terrorism, foreign

policy, and border security

Health Care Issues – like the 2010 health

care law, Medicaid, other challenges

Seniors Issues – like Medicare and Social

Security

Education Issues – like school

standards, class sizes, school choice,

and student loans

Women’s Issues – like birth control,

abortion, and equal pay

Energy Issues - like carbon emissions,

cost of electricity/gasoline, or renewables

Other

Now, thinking about your vote, what would you say is the top

set of issues on your mind when you cast your vote for

federal offices such as U.S. Senate or Congress?

Page 3: TIP National Voter Survey On Israel

3

Now, thinking about your vote, what would you say is the top set of issues on your

mind when you cast your vote for federal offices such as U.S. Senate or Congress?

42%44%

42%40% 40%

42%41% 42%45%

37%40%39%

27%

33%

38%40%

15%

11%11%

16% 16% 16%18%

20%18%

20%17%17%

37%

26%23%

21%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

Economic Issues

Security Issues

Health Care Issues

Seniors Issues

Education Issues

Women's Issues

Energy Issues

Other

+ Denotes Likely Voters

Security remains a solid #2 issue, but the San Bernardino / Paris scare faded from the issue priority

as quickly as it appeared.

Page 4: TIP National Voter Survey On Israel

4

“Israeli People” and “Israel” both elicit goodwill from voters. P.A., Hezbollah, & Hamas all negative.

Thinking about some organizations and countries that are active in politics and world

affairs, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat

Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each group or country listed below.

85%80%

71%

61% 59%55%

39%

31% 31%

20%

29%25% 26%

11%7% 7%

14%10%

5%5% 7%

15%19%

28%25%

40% 38%43%

35%

48%53%

57% 56%53%

56%

64%

73%

86%

+80

Fv Un

+73 +56

Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un

+42 +31 +30 -1 -7 -12 -15 -19 -28 -31 -45 -46 -49 -50 -63 -81

Page 5: TIP National Voter Survey On Israel

5

55%

25%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%Favorable

Unfavorable

Thinking about some organizations and countries that are active in politics and world affairs,

please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or

Very Unfavorable opinion of each group or country listed below. … ISRAEL

Israel’s image has been relatively steady over the past fourteen years.

** Trend from research by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner and Public Opinion Strategies.

Page 6: TIP National Voter Survey On Israel

6

61% 61%54%

71%

31%

46%

28%23%

19% 21% 21%17%

43%

31%38%

58%

Total Lib.(27%)

Mod.(32%)

Cons.(38%)

Total Lib.(27%)

Mod.(32%)

Cons.(38%)

Thinking about some people, organizations, and countries that are active in politics and

world affairs, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable,

Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of…

Fav Unf

Israeli people seen positively across the ideological spectrum, the Palestinian people with

a more mixed image among voters.

“Israeli People” “Palestinian People”

Total & By Ideology Total & By Ideology

Fav Unf Fav Unf Fav Unf Fav Unf Fav Unf Fav Unf Fav Unf

+42 +40 +33 +54 -12 +15 -10 -35

Page 7: TIP National Voter Survey On Israel

7

55%

48% 47%

71%

7% 9% 7% 6%11%

16%10% 10%

7% 9%5% 7%

25%

32%28%

18%

56%53%

50%

67%

56%50% 50%

67%

53% 51% 49%

61%

Total Lib.(27%)

Mod.(32%)

Cons.(38%)

Total Lib.(27%)

Mod.(32%)

Cons.(38%)

Total Lib.(27%)

Mod.(32%)

Cons.(38%)

Total Lib.(27%)

Mod.(32%)

Cons.(38%)

Thinking about some people, organizations, and countries that are active in politics and

world affairs, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable,

Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of…

Fv

Majority favorable toward Israel, unfavorable toward Hamas, PA, and Hezbollah. All three groups

seen through very similar ideological lens.

“Israel”

Total & By Party

Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Un Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Fv Un Un Un

“Hamas”

Total & By Party

“The PA”

Total & By Party

“Hezbollah”

Total & By Party

FvFv Fv

Page 8: TIP National Voter Survey On Israel

8

70%78%

63% 63%68% 70%

75% 77%

65% 66%

81%

13% 13% 14%18% 16% 14%

6%12% 15% 15%

10%

Total Male(48%)

Female(52%)

18-29(21%)

30-44(20%)

45-54(22%)

55-64(16%)

65+(21%)

DEM(40%)

IND(27%)

GOP(33%)

Do you support or oppose the United States maintaining a strong alliance with Israel?

Sup

Strategic support for maintaining the strong U.S.-Israel alliance is high, above 60% of all key

demographic groups.

Total

+57

Op Sup Op Sup Op Sup Op Sup Op Sup Op Sup Op Sup Op Sup Op Sup Op Sup Op

+65 +49

By Gender By Age By Party

+45 +52 +56 +69 +65 +50 +51 +71

Page 9: TIP National Voter Survey On Israel

9

51%

10%0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Israel Supporter Palestinian SupporterNeither/Don’t Know/Refused

** Trend from research by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner and Public Opinion Strategies.

Now, thinking about the ongoing conflict between Israel and the Palestinians in the Middle East,

please tell me whether, in general, you think America should be... A strong supporter of Israel, a

supporter of Israel, a supporter of the Palestinians ...or... a strong supporter of the Palestinians?

In context of the conflict, Israel receives far more U.S. support than it did in the early 2000s.

Page 10: TIP National Voter Survey On Israel

10

The key terms for communicating to U.S. voters about an ally (like Israel).

Thinking about allies of the United States, which of the terms shown below are MOST important in

an alliance? Please choose AT LEAST ONE and UP TO FIVE that you think are most important…

Respect 46%

Human Rights 39%

War on Terror 34%

Values 32%

Economic Partner 31%

Mutual Interests 30%

Defense 26%

Openness 24%

Trade 22%

Democratic 15%

Forthrightness 14%

Mutual Enemies 10%

Christian 10%

Beaches 1%

Western 2%

Judeo-Christian 3%

Travel 3%

Liberal 4%

Autonomy 4%

Language 4%

Militaristic 5%

Innovative 6%

Innovation 7%

Investment 7%

Minority Rights 8%

Culture 8%

Conservative 9%

Page 11: TIP National Voter Survey On Israel

11

Below are some words and phrases that people sometimes use to describe countries in the world.

Please tell me whether you think it describes ISRAEL very well, pretty well, not too well, or not well at all.

Israel seen as facing real threats, strong & necessary ally of US. “Burden to US” is rejected.

74%

64%

61%

60%

59%

54%

43%

35%

34%

29%

29%

12%

18%

21%

22%

20%

27%

34%

45%

47%

54%

53%

Faces real threats

Is of strategic importance

A strong ally of the US

A strong friend of the US

Is a democracy

Willing to take risks for peace

Shares my values

Extreme

Too religious

A burden to the US

Is a burden

Very Well / Pretty Well Not Too Well / Not Well At All

Page 12: TIP National Voter Survey On Israel

12

81%

63%54% 51%

10% 12%

36%

26%

Total Total Total Total

Do you agree or disagree with the following statement...

“Nothing can justify hate.” Putting BDS into this framework flips the conversation.

Campaigns of hate only

drive everyone further

away from peace and

reconciliation. Nothing

can justify hate.

Agree Disagree

18%

Strongly

Agree Disagree Agree Disagree Agree Disagree

The United States

should oppose efforts to

delegitimize our allies

around the world,

undermining someone’s

right to exist will never

advance the cause of

peace.

Economic warfare is the

same as any other type

of warfare.

The United States

should not allow any of

its allies to be attacked

with economic weapons

like boycotts.

16%

Strongly

28%

Strongly

49%

Strongly

Page 13: TIP National Voter Survey On Israel

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