Ferrexpo GroupAn Introduction
Analyst Site Visit – July 2008
1
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2
Ferrexpo management on Site Visit 2008
Gavin Mackay
Group Manager – Investor RelationsChris Mawe
Chief Financial Officer
Simon Wandke
Chief Marketing Officer
Dave Webster
Interim Group Chief Operating Officer
3
CURRENT OPERATIONS
MARKETING AND LOGISTICS
GROWTH PROJECTS
OVERVIEW
FINANCIALS
OUTLOOK
4
The strategy
The Ferrexpo value proposition
The only pure play iron ore company in the FTSE 100
The key facts The opportunity
¹ 6.3bn tonnes of proven resources (under JORC Code) plus c. 14bn tonnes of further estimated resources (Soviet GKZ Code)
• Ferrexpo‘s Poltava operations
constitute a globally significant
iron ore resource at
approximately 20 billion
tonnes¹
• Global steel industry and
demand for iron ore is growing
strongly
• Pellets have become relatively
attractive vs other forms of iron
ore
• Proximity to markets
• Strong customer base
• Operational history
• Current infrastructure
requirements in place
• Excess pelletising capacity
• Brownfield project pipeline
• International management
team
• Recent performance track
record
• Commercialise the
ore body
• Aggressive growth
• Partnering
• Focused initiatives
• Operational performance
• Cost control
• Production growth
• Critical partnerships
• Market share
• Product quality
• Organisation Capability
• Governance
• Best practice
5
Ferrexpo – a snapshot
June 2008 Ferrexpo enters FTSE100 index with a
market capitalisation of US$4,828m at
400p per share
June 2007 Ferrexpo plc lists on the Main Board of the
LSE with pre-IPO market capitalisation of
US$1,671m at 140p per share
2004/05 New international management team
appointed to list the Company and initiate
Business Improvement Programme
2001 Kostyantin Zhevago buys out business
partners
1996 - 2000 Kostyantin Zhevago and business
partners acquire majority of shares in
Poltava GOK, Ferrexpo‘s operating asset,
in a series of transactions
1995 Privatisation process commences
1977 Soviet era production of iron ore pellets
1970 Soviet-era mining and iron ore
concentrate production
1960s Mining operations commence at Poltava
at current FPM site
Reserves Resources (incl. Reserves)
Proved and probable Measured and indicated Inferred
million tonnes
Fe grade (%)
million tonnes
Fe grade (%)
million tonnes
Fe grade (%)
Gorishne-Plavninskoye 399 30 1,443 30 1,275 31
Lavrikovskoye 92 30 812 30 174 29
Total PGOK 491 30 2,255 30 1,449 31
Yeristovskoye 632 34 765 27 96 17
Belanovskoye 1,627 31 37 30
Galeschinskoye 325 59 29 59
Total projects 632 34 2,717 33 162 27
Total assets 1,123 32 4,972 32 1,611 30
Source: SRK
JORC reserves and resources
Konstantyn Zhevago
Public
Decometal (DCM)
Minority
Ferrexpo plc
(UK)
Ferrexpo
Poltava Mining
(UK)
Ferrexpo UK Ltd
(UK)
Ferrexpo AG
(Swiss)
72.3%
27.7%
10.6%
3.6%
100%
85.8%1
100%
History and development Current shareholdings
1 Ferrexpo has a repurchase agreement with Decometal under which it is entitled to acquire Decometal’s 10.6% holding in Ferrexpo Poltava Mining in 2008 for $11m,
which will bring its holding in FPM to c.96.4%
6
0
2,500
5,000
7,500
10,000
12,500
15,000
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
ConcentratePelletsWith Northern Extension - ConcentrateWith Northern Extension - Pellets
kt
History of sustained production
Introduction of 62% Fe pellet production
Independent UkraineUSSR
Ferrexpo is in a position to exceed its historical production highs
Introduction of 65% Fe pellet production
7
Recent performance highlights
Location
Ferrexpo
2007 Revenue
US$698m
2007 EBITDA
US$246m1
2007 Net income
US$124m
2007 Employees
10,1122
2007 Production
9.1mt
1 EBITDA is calculated as profit from continuing operations before tax and finance less foreign exchange (loss)/gain plus depreciation (included in both cost of sales and administrative expenses) and
non-recurring cash items included in other income, non-recurring cash items included in other costs plus disposal of subsidiaries and associates. EBITDA is not a measure of financial performance
under IFRS
2 Poltava employees only – yearly average
Share Price Performance Since IPO
Current Market Capitalisation
US$3,950m
+16%
+133%
2008 Contract Price Increase
90% +
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
Jun-0
7
Aug-0
7
Oct-
07
Dec-0
7
Feb-0
8
Apr-
08
Jun-0
8
FXPO FTSE 100
FTSE 250 FTSE 350 MiningGBp
(18%)
(28%)
8
Steel industry drives iron ore market
• Unprecedented demand for steel
making raw materials; Chinese steel
will continue to drive world steel
output for ~ another 10 years; but
India, Asia and Central Europe ‗re-
industrialising‘ of growing importance
• Consolidation to continue
• Higher global industry privatisation.
Was 23% 1980, now ~78%. Good for
steel price stability. More private mills
in China.
• Big players securing up and down
stream. Break ‗big 3 grip‘. More in
mining…opportunity
• BF sector forecast to continue
dominance in all regions except
Middle East.
• Scrap availability and substitutes
supply issues: est 30+ years before
China becomes a net producer of
steel scrap
• China modernising Integrated route
capacity, adding significant pellet
capacity, and raising pellet ratios
• Global iron ore consumption growing
rapidly: China led.
• Global supply to grow. Large capacity
‗wave‘ due to hit market ~2009-2011.
Many late, over cost
• Big-3, then large gaps, although
ambitions exist; Anglo, FMG
• Cost curve steeper. Getting steeper
as China adds more high cost low
grade magnetite capacity. Big-3
suffering from strong demand cycle
cost impacts
• Steel integrated companies pursuing
resources; but will probably be green-
field, higher cost
• Pellets will continue to play important
role in meeting this demand growth
• Productivity benefits of pellets in
blast furnaces; leading to higher
BFP rates in Blast Furnaces eg
China
• Renewed interest in direct
reduced iron (DRI) production —
largely pellet-based
• Limited sources of high grade/
direct-charge lump ore
• Other refined ores (eg Sinter)
have environmental issues
• Significant addition to global capacity
planned to 2017 yet capacity
Utilisation forecast to remain high
9
Supplier of Choice to Critical Customer Group
Rail: Purchase of 550 railcars for US$33.5m
Shipping: Own 49.9% of TIS Ruda port facility, with
access to 100% of 5mtpa capacity
Nautical Miles
P. Hedland (Australia) 3,600
Saldanha (S. Africa) 8,000
Yuzhny (Ukraine) 8,600
Tubarao (Brazil) 11,000
Sev.Island (Canada) 11,5001
First (lowest cost) quartile of iron ore pellet supply
into existing markets in Central and Eastern
Europe on a CIF basis
0%
50%
100%
2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017
65% Fe 62% Fe
Black
Sea
Poland
Germany
Romania
Poltava
GOK
Bulgaria
Austria
Serbia
Italy
Slovakia
Ukraine
Russia
Turkey
Netherlands
Czech
China,
Middle East
Source: Ferrexpo plc1 Via Panama Canal2 From main ports to Qingdao
Hungary
Position of operations – location is KEY Competitive cash supply costs
Production quality increasing
Investments in logistics & infrastructure
Shipping distance to China2
Potential for DR (68% Fe) pellets under consideration
10
Strong focus on strategic marketing
2007 sales of 9,261kt
Three largest
customers represent
approximately 53% of
sales in 2007
Traditional
NaturalGrowth
Natural 2%
Traditional – Ukraine
17%
Growth 17%
Traditional
64%
• Traditional
• Building on historic relationships and logistics
advantages
• Ukraine: Maintaining historic relationships and
capturing supply to new Blast Furnace capacity in
Ukraine
• Growth
• Framework agreements at selected steel mills in
China
• Converting trial cargoes to framework agreements
in India and Japan
• Participating in China growth, brand building and
paving the way for future Ferrexpo products
growth
• Natural
• Leveraging logistics, proximity
• New contract customer in Turkey
• Further trials and progress
• c. 90% of Ferrexpo production sold on contract
BF Pellet sales by region 2007
• Ukraine
• CIS
• Eastern & Central Europe
Three strategic marketing segments
• China
• India
• Japan
• Western Europe
• Southern Europe
• Middle East
Marketing strategy
11
Resources and development horizons
Gorishne – Plavnikoe 2,718mt
Galeshchinskoe 325mt
Lavrikovskoe 986mt
Belanovskoe 1,664mt
Yeristovskoe 861mt
Brovarskoe
KharchenkovskoeVasilyvskoe
Manuylovskoe
Current mining
operations
Yeristovskoe
Belanovskoe
Galeschinskoe
Others
GPL Expansion
and
Extension
Y Development
B Development
G Development
c.14,000mt
Northern Resources
Exploration
and
Appraisal
Source: Ferrexpo plc
Substantially under-exploited iron ore resources
Dnieper River
Gro
wth
Pip
elin
e
12
Ferrexpo Group – Management structure
Members of the
Executive Committee
Mike OppenheimerChief Executive Officer
Dennis McShaneExecutive Director
Business Development
Members of the
Board of Directors
Chris Stamp
(Prism CoSec)Company Secretary
Simon WandkeChief Marketing Officer
Viktor LotousCOO & Director General
of FPM
Nikolay GoroshkoChief Commercial Officer
(Major Growth Projects)
David WebsterInterim Group Chief
Operating Officer
John DaweGroup HR Manager
Gavin MackayGroup Manager – Investor
Relations & Corporate
Comms
Nikolay KladievCFO FPM
John ArnoldGroup Treasurer
M Abrahams Chairman (UK)
O Baring Senior Independent (UK)
I Mitiukov Independent (Ukraine)
W Kuoni Independent (Swiss)
R Genovese Independent (Swiss)
K Zhevago Non Independent (Ukraine)
M Oppenheimer Executive (Aus)
D McShane Executive (USA)
C Mawe Executive (UK)
Chris MaweChief Financial Officer
George MoverDirector General (Major
Growth Projects)
Major Growth
Projects Personnel
13
Board and committees
• The management and governance structure complies with the requirements of the Combined Code
• All Board and Committee meetings are held outside the UK
• Principally in Switzerland, some in Ukraine
• The PLC board meets at least quarterly and consists of:
• Three executive directors, Mike Oppenheimer, Chris Mawe and Dennis McShane
• Kostyantin Zhevago as a non-independent, non-executive director
• Michael Abrahams, independent non-executive chairman, Oliver Baring, senior independent non-
executive director and three further independent non-executive directors, including Ihor Mitiukov,
the former Ukrainian Finance Minister and Ambassador to the UK
• The remaining INEDs, Wolfram Kuoni and Raffaele (Lucio) Genovese, are Swiss nationals
• The standing PLC Board committees meet at least twice a year and include
• Audit, Remuneration and Nomination Committees - all chaired by non-executives
• CSR Committee (not a Combined Code requirement) chaired by CEO
• The management ―Exco‖ committee
• Subject to appointment by the Board of Ferrexpo plc
• Dealing with management issues
• Comprising executive directors and senior management only
Ferrexpo is Combined Code compliant
14
Relationship with principal beneficial owner
• Kostyantin Zhevago beneficially owns 72.3% of Ferrexpo following the IPO
• Independence is effected through best practice corporate governance and business
management processes and through a relationship agreement
• Mr Zhevago is a non–executive director of Ferrexpo plc and does not participate in the executive
management of the company
• Mr Zhevago will cooperate with the Company and give it the opportunity to participate in any
transaction concerning businesses involved in the mining, processing and sale of iron ore in the
Ukraine
• All dealings with Mr Zhevago are subject to rigourous internal processes and comply with the
Related Party rules contained in the UK Disclosure and Transparency Rules
• Mr Zhevago has other interests in the metals and mining industry, as well as in auto
manufacturing, food, banking and others
15
Snapshot of Ukraine
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Nominal GDP (US$bn) 49.9 64.8 86.5 106.7 137.0
Real GDP growth (%) 9.5 12.1 2.6 7.4 7.5
Industrial prod % change 15.7 12.5 3.1 6.2 9.9
Source: Global Insight
Economic indicators
Stabilisation indicators
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Inflation (CPI) % 8.2 12.3 10.3 11.6 12.8
Budget balance (% of GDP) (0.2) (3.2) (1.8) (0.7) (1.1)
Exchange rate (UAH:USD) 5.33 5.32 5.10 5.04 5.05
• Presidential parliamentary republic
• Orange Revolution in late 2004 / early 2005
• Greater political openness, faster economic reforms and
commitment to the integration with the West
• Political outlook
• President Viktor Yuschenko sworn into office following the
Orange Revolution and is regarded as a pro-Western
liberal reformer
• Prime minister Yulia Tymoshenko heads a pro-western
coalition
• Observers optimistic that Ms Tymoshenko‘s cabinet will
adopt reforms to maintain Ukraine‘s strong economic
growth
• Entry to WTO
• Both EU and US granted ―market status‖ to Ukraine
• Ukraine is now a full member of WTO
• Legal / constitution
• Constitutional Court was only established in December
2006 which has resulted in ambiguous demarcation of
power between President and Prime Minister
Economic statistics Political system
0
5
10
15
20
25
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Foreign direct investment (US$bn)
16
Relevant laws and regulations State authorities
Ukrainian regulatory framework
• Code of Ukraine on the Subsurface (―Subsurface Code‖)
• Subsurface including its mineral resources in the exclusive property of the
Ukrainian people
• Only granted for the use of legal entities and individuals
• Can only prospect for and mine mineral resources pursuant to production
sharing agreements/licenses/permits
• Law of Ukraine No 1775-III on Licensing of certain Entrepreneurial Activities
(―Licensing Law‖)
• Land Code of Ukraine (―Land Code‖)
• Law of Ukraine No 1264 – XII on Environmental Protection (―Environmental
Law‖)
• Annual Resolutions of the Cabinet Ministers of Ukraine
• State Commission on Mineral Reserves of Ukraine
• Confirms surveys of commercially extractable minerals
• Registered State Balance of Mineral Deposits
• Applications for mining license
• State Committee for Industrial Safety, Labour Protection and Mining
Supervision
• Grants mining allotment with submission of mining license, estimated
reserves report and field development or extraction programme
• Ministry of Environmental Protection of Ukraine
• Grants exploratory licenses
• Grants licenses for extraction of minerals
• Up to 20 year licenses
• May contain special conditions and can be suspended or revoked
• Several national and regional environmental bodies
• All deposits are included within the state Fund of Natural Resources Deposits
• Separate business license required under Licensing Law
• Ancillary licenses include:
• supplying electricity at an unregulated tariff
• supplying natural gas at an unregulated tariff
• manufacturing explosives
• blasting
• operating telecommunications equipment and networks and using radio
frequencies
• construction works
Licenses and permits
• Number of environmental licenses and permits
• air emission control
• solid waste disposal
• tailings disposal
• mine waste disposal
• special waste disposal
• special use of fresh water
17
CURRENT OPERATIONS
MARKETING AND LOGISTICS
GROWTH PROJECTS
OVERVIEW
FINANCIALS
OUTLOOK
18
Operational results in 2007
• 9% increase in iron ore output to 28.9 million tonnes
• 19% increase in production of high quality (65% Fe) pellets from own ore
• Substantial savings in raw materials
• Substantial savings in energy input per unit
• Continued focus on organizational effectiveness
• leadership & capability development
• sustained reduction in headcount ( ~19% in 2 years )
19
Production performance
23.3
26.4
28.9
7.89.18.618%
35%
41%
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
2005 2006 2007
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%Iron Ore Pellets % 65% Fe Pellets
Production and quality improvement
mt %
Stripping Volume
(mm3)13.1 18.5 18.7
20
Cost Performance
41.1
36.1
31.833.8
29.831.8
29.329.9
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
2005 2006 2007 H1/H2 2007
Nominal Real 2007
1 C1 costs are total cash costs of production of pellets from produced concentrate, ex-works2 Producer price index over period3 Average exchange rate over period
US$/t
C1 Costs in nominal and real 2007 terms1
Ukrainian PPI2 (%) 9.5 14.1 23.3
UAH/US$3 5.05 5.05 5.05
11.0
5.00
21
C1 Costs
29.26
0.150.300.260.56
0.52
0.74
31.79
C1 2006 Steel & other
materials
Electricity Gas Repairs & other Diesel Personnel
Costs
C1 2007
C1 Costs1 waterfall 2006 – 2007 ($/t)
1 C1 costs are total cash costs of production of pellets from produced concentrate, ex-works
22
5.26
3.17 3.07
2.90 3.192.27
2.832.60
3.341.441.324.094.58
7.68 8.20
5.11
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
2006 2007
Other
Explosives
Grinding bodies
Natural Gas
Fuel
Spare Parts
Labour
Electricity
C1 Cost Breakdown - 2007
1 C1 costs are total cash costs of production of pellets from produced concentrate, ex-works
Reduction in utilisation of critical inputs2
80
100
120
140
1Q06 2Q 06 3Q 06 4Q 06 1Q 07 2Q 07 3Q 07 4Q 07
8
9
10
11
12
Average payroll number, 000'persons
Payroll cost, mio'UAH (indexed to 100)
Labour Cost Development
C1 Costs1 by input ($/t) in 2007
Explosives
4%
Other
14%
Grinding bodies
11%
Natural Gas
9%
Fuel
10%Spare Parts
10%
Labour
17%
Electricity
25%
Total: 31.79
60
70
80
90
100
110
Q1 06 Q2 06 Q3 06 Q4 06 Q1 07 Q2 07 Q3 07 Q4 07
Electricity (MWhr) Gas (Th cubic Metres)
Grinding bodies (Kg)
Payroll cost
rebased
to 100
Employees
(000‘s)
2 per tonne of Pellets (own raw materials)
Rebased
to 100
23
Distribution costs: Rail Tariffs
80
100
120
140
Q1 06 Q2 06 Q3 06 Q4 06 Q1 07 Q2 07 Q3 07 Q4 07
Actual Cost per tonne KM
Tonnes Transported
CPI
Rail Tariff costs and related metrics (rebased to 100)
2006 2007
24
Production process and current facilities
Gorishne–Plavninskoye
Lavriskovskoye open pit mine
(28.5mt in 2007)
Crushing and Grinding
• Four kiln grate units, with design
capacity of 3.0mtpa each
• Kilns form material into pellets of
around 10–12mm and bake at high
temperature to remove moisture
• Ore crushed and ground to produce
concentrate
• Iron content increased from c.30% to
c.65%
• Design capacity of crushers is 34.0
mtpa, and of concentrators is
13.8 mtpa
• Mining operations based 30 kilometres
from Kremenchug in central Ukraine,
on banks of Dnipro River
• Hard rock iron ore mining, using
shovel, truck and train
Iron Ore Mining Beneficiation
Magnetic Separation
Flotation
Pelletising
Produced Concentrate
Purchased Concentrate
• Rail links to domestic & European customers, and Black Sea ports
• Direct access to Dnipro River also allows transportation by barge
• Ownership of 49.9% of TIS-Ruda gives access to captive loading capacity at Port
Yuzhniy of up to 5mtpa
Transport & Logistics
Rail
River Barge
TIS-Ruda
Ocean
25
Business Improvement Programme
• Ferrexpo Poltava Mining is working with international consultants GPR Dehler to increase production efficiency and reduce costs as
part of a business improvement programme
• Increasing productivity of existing fleet
• Reduce requirement for capex to increase fleet
• Improve processes and procedures on our massive site
Equipment
utilisation
Cost control
Remove
bottlenecks
Culture and
organisation
• Reverse Soviet–era ―production–at–any–cost‖ culture
• 3 year plan to reduce costs at existing pit and implement industry best practice
• Energy efficiency improvements
• Labour cost savings
• More concentrating capacity required
• Implement best practice in mining operations
• Rationalise inherited fragmented system of departments
• Training: improving local management skills
Implementation – a methodical approach
• Phased implementation underway – halfway through plan
• Reduction of unit utilisations of major cost inputs achieved
• Process is methodical and inclusive – designed to have an enduring effect on the business
Volume and efficiency gains and cost reductions with little or no spend
26
Health & safety and environment
Health & Safety
• Board, Executive Committee and Operational Management fully
committed to proactive Health and Safety
• Two further fatalities in 2008
• Intensification of safety leadership intervention
• Step change in quality of corrective actions and culture
• DuPont engaged to advise on next level safety improvement
• Objective of moving Ferrexpo to best practice over time
• Setting specific improvement goals towards this objective
Ferrexpo Poltava Mining 2005 2006 2007
Employees 10,843 11,350 10,112
Total fatal accidents 2 1 1
Total accidents 24 14 9
LTIFR 2.23 1.34 0.57
Source: Company
Health and safety performance at FPM
Environment
• Ferrexpo is complying with the international standard on environmental protection – ISO 1400197
• Compliance with all national and local regulations concerning emissions
• Ferrexpo has adopted its own system of environmental standards and environmental controls
• Effective internal environmental management and monitoring system
• Expenditure on environmental permits and protection was approximately US$12.7m in 2007 (US$10.1 million in 2006)
27
CURRENT OPERATIONS
MARKETING AND LOGISTICS
GROWTH PROJECTS
OVERVIEW
FINANCIALS
OUTLOOK
28
Marketing in 2007
Establishing a key differentiating capability
• Objective to produce all Fe +65% within 5 years
• ‗Supplier of choice‘ for key customers
• Achieved desired level of LT contracts, with direct linkage to global pricing
• Achieved premium to record pellet price increases as of April 2008 (90%+)
• Securing new customers in advance of major growth
• Considering potential for DR (68% Fe) pellets – Middle Eastern markets
• Investments in logistics
• TIS-Ruda port facility at Yuzhny commissioned (49.9% Ferrexpo)
• Establishing own fleet of railcars
29
Our core market segments
Growth Markets
• China: East, Southern: Growing mid sized mills
• Grow with selected mills: BFP, PF
• Selected strategic tie ups
• BF/DRP business Asia
Natural Markets
• Take share in W Europe as our
quality improves
• Grow DRP, PF business in
Middle East
• Capture major share in BOF
growth regions: Turkey
• Leverage proximity via logistics
• Currently ~45mtpa pellet
consumption
Traditional Markets
• Position as ‗Supplier of Choice‘
• Hold/grow share where possible: replace Vale
• Grow margins to CFR-VIU maximum
• Leverage Logistics and Trading
• Seek new niche positions in
Russia, other regions
• India niche plays
• Australia potential- low Phos
30
Ferrexpo is marketing-driven
• Maximise benefit of favourable location
• Three core target segments, based on Ferrexpo‘s competitive position and their relative value
• Create market for additional sales volumes from full utilisation of the existing pelletising capacity
• Maintain share of traditional market by rebuilding relationships and refocusing sales offering, and VIU pricing
• Establish a ―beachhead‖ position in Natural markets, and Growth markets
• Continue product quality enhancement program at Ferrexpo Poltava Mining
• Establish selected long–term Framework Agreements within Natural and Growth markets
• Widen market for subsequent pellet volume growth
• Mine and Delivery facilities plans to be progressed in line with market capture objectives:
• TIS-Ruda
• Own rail cars
• Enhance product quality and diversify product range to meet increasing customer requirements
• Build further value growth
• Potentially include Fines, concentrate and DR pellets in product suite
• Leverage logistics and marketing positions and capability beyond equity pellet sales : strategic alliances
Positioning and capability development to secure market share ahead of significant production uplift
Broadening our markets in preparation for increased production is central to the Ferrexpo
business strategySource: Company
31
Market Performance in 2007
Revenue and average pellet price
547
698
61.872.3
0
125
250
375
500
625
750
2006 2007
40
50
60
70
80Revenue Price
17%
64%
2%
17%
Ukraine
Traditional Markets
Natural Markets
Growth Markets
$m
$ p
er
tonne D
AF
/FO
B
EBITDA margin by segment
China
India
Japan
Growth Markets 25%
Natural Markets
Western Europe
Southern Europe
Middle East
29%
Traditional Markets
CIS
Eastern Europe
Central Europe
31%
Ukraine 46%
Market mix 1
2007 Sales
9,261kt
1 by 2007 Sales volume
32
Infrastructure - a unique competitive advantage
BELARUS
ROMANIA
RUSSIAN
FEDERATION
BLACK SEA
SEA OF
AZOV
Yuzhny
SevastopolYalta
Illichevsk
Kerch
Berdyansk
Mariupol
POLANDKiev
MOLDOVA
Odesa
FERREXPO
(Poltava GOK)
• Ferrexpo uses transport logistics
to customers as a competitive
advantage
• The seaport Izmail, in the Black
Sea, receives barge vessels
• The TIS-Ruda terminal at the
port of Yuzhny is designed to
receive Panamax vessels
• Rail links to domestic & European customers, and Black Sea ports
• Direct access to Dnipro River also allows transportation by barge
• Ownership of 49.9% of TIS-Ruda gives access to captive loading capacity at Port Yuzhny of up to
5mtpa
Rail
River Barge
TIS-Ruda
Ocean
Major Ports
Main railways
Ferrexpo site
Izmail
33
The case for blast furnace (BF) pellets
The trend is for lower cost of production and
lower impurity steel
• Lower Gangue content; especially SiO2.
Lower SiO2:
• lowers slag volumes
• lowers BF fuel usage rates
• improves productivity
• Low phosphorus. Critical for Flat Steel product producers
• Low alkalis.
• lowers coke rates
• assists to improve productivity
What Iron & Steelmakers need
Pellet consumption rate will increase in Blast
Furnaces
• High quality, direct charge lump supply is declining
• Direct charge materials will increase as iron makers
pursue:
• Lower Coke rates
• greater BF productivity
• Sinter plants are an environmental problem with high
SO2, NO2, CO2 output.
• Rapidly growing DR demand. CVRD and Samarco now
focusing more on DR
The case for BF pellets
1 Source: LKAB
Pellets are becoming the ‗preferred‘ feedstock - mitigated only by COST
34
Pricing: BF Pellets
• Future pellet consumption rates forecast to rise in all markets in reaction to:
• Environmental pressure on sinter plants
• Dwindling high quality lump ore supply
• BF Pellet prices at record levels in real terms (Vale BFP to Europe; 2008$)
• Conversion cost fines to pellets ~USc18/dmtu
• Premium last 10 years: USc20 to 85/dmtu
• 2008 Premium USc85.79/dmtu … due to extreme under-supply
132
182
51
142
111
36%37%
35%
23%
27%
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
A B C D E
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
A
%
35
Structural change underpins long-term price
132
182
51
142
111
36%37%
35%
23%
27%
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
A B C D E
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
A
%
Pellets
Fines
• Marginal cost of production (China, India
etc) seems to be growing faster than
median/average
• This has increased the theoretical LT
average margin for iron ore producers
• Implicit cost Inflation sources are funding
base cost & therefore will provide future
price support
• RAISES LT PRICE OUTLOOK
• IMPROVES AVERAGE INDUSTRY
MARGINS
36
How Ferrexpo pricing works
• International pricing typically normalised as ‗delivered at customer‘s plant‘
• Nothing new in Asian freight premia - Europe has priced on comparative landed cost for decades
• This ‗delivered price‘ actually computed into complex ‗value in use‘ (in the blast furnace) by customers to rank holistic attractiveness
of supply options
• International price forecasts for pellets typically based on FOB Tubarao
• However, Ferrexpo average DAF/FOB price receives a premium to FOB Tubarao price
• Largely due to transport costs
• Also can include logistics service premia from certain customers for ―JIT‖ (small lot, just in time) delivery
• Landed cost of Brazilian BF pellets (DAF/FOB + ocean freight + lightering + intra-Europe rail/barge) into Ferrexpo‘s major
Traditional market customers is significantly higher than that of Ferrexpo (rail direct, or rail + barge)
• Landed cost of such higher cost pellets plus value in use is Ferrexpo target pricing for its customers
• Ferrexpo has adopted a delivered price / value in use approach with its major customers in recent years, and is now seeking to
maximise its DAF/FOB prices on competitive value
• Based on 2008/9 pricing on our term contracts, Ferrexpo is running at an average c. $10/t higher than 2008/9 FOB Tubarao
benchmark price
• In Traditional markets (~80% of Ferrexpo sales) that premium is up to c. $19/t
• Accordingly, to convert an industry price; this premium must be added to the Vale BF pellets FOB Tubarao price to calculate
Ferrexpo prices
37
Forecasting Prices
Ferrexpo internally run „Floor‟ and „Long Run‟ price forecasts, defined as;
• Floor Price: lowest point it is expected that price may fall to for a short period of time
• Long Run Price: mid cycle price from approximately 5 years out and to about 20 years out
• Both types of forecast can be tested with simple scenarios driven by varying demand/supply outlooks
„Floor‟ approach:
• Based on belief that average industry price typically set based on cash cost plus minimum acceptable profit margin for majority of supply curve, and that lowest point in historic price curve was low point above cash cost (real)
• Escalating that Fines price low-point to the current year based on an assumption of industry cash costs movements gives a conservative Fines ‗Floor‘
• To this should be added the current cash cost of conversion of pellet fines to pellets to create a ‗Floor‘ pellet price
• Since this is a benchmark equivalent (FOB Tubarao), the Ferrexpo price premium is then added
„Long Run‟ approach:
• Several different approaches used, including
• Extrapolating industry cost curve, and estimating future cash cost of the ‗marginal supply‘
• Floor price + the Cost of attracting new greenfield entrants to invest/supply
• As with ‗Floor‘, this forecast yields a benchmark equivalent (FOB Tubarao), to which should be added the Ferrexpo premium
38
Marketing our increased production
0.0
20.0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2017
MM
T
Years
Traditional Markets: BF Pellets Fair Market Share
versus Sales Forecast
Fair Market Share
0.00
5.00
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2017
MMT
Years
Ukraine: BF Pellets Fair
Market Share versus Sales
Forecast
Fair Market Share FPM Sales Plan
0.00
5.00
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2017
MM
T
Years
Natural Markets: BF Pellets Fair Market Share versus
Sales Forecast
Fair Market Share FPM Sales Plan
0.00
10.00
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2017
MM
T
Years
Growth Markets: BF Pellets Fair Market Share versus
Sales Forecast
Fair Market …
¹ Market constrained
² CRU data. F’cast to 2017 only
BF Pellets: the “Fair Share Test”
Ferrexpo‟s share of Global BF pellet exports¹ was 5%2 in 2007 and will be 8.9% in 2017
39
CURRENT OPERATIONS
MARKETING AND LOGISTICS
GROWTH PROJECTS
OVERVIEW
FINANCIALS
OUTLOOK
40
Ferrexpo‘s growth objectives
• Europe’s largest iron ore producer, by 2018
• Over 100 mtpa ore
• 35 mtpa products
• Supplier of choice to critical customer group
• Lowest cost quartile supplier into key markets
• 100% 65% BF pellets
• Technical feasibility of DR pellets confirmed
• Underpinned by integrated market services & logistics capability
• Ownership of logistics assets
• Maximising margins via supply chain control
41
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
2008 2011 2014 2017 2020 2023 2026 2029 2032
Current Extension Expansion
Yeristovskoye Belanovskoye Ore (Indicative)
Indicative production profile
Current mining
operations
Yeristovskoye
Belanovskoye
Galeschinskoye
Others
Ore (mt)
10.5mt
10mt
15mt
Over 100mtpa of iron ore and 35mtpa of pellets by 2018
Pellets
Dnieper River
42
Growth projects status – existing operations
• Projects
• Expansion of mine (15% production growth by 2011)
• Extension of mine life (beyond 2035)
• Upgrade first concentrator line to produce 65% pellets from lean ore
• Upgrade second concentrator line to produce 68% (DR) pellets
• Refurbish pelletiser for increased mine life and to realise design production capacity
• Capital expenditure
• $158m already approved for mine expansion and extension
• c. $350m required for processing plant upgrades
• Final Board approvals for remainder of capex expected in October
• Progress
• Expansion and extension on schedule and within budget
• Stripping for expansion of mine underway
• Resource restatement in June – c. 2bt additional resources
• Definitive Feasibility Study for beneficiation and pelletising plants nearing completion
43
Growth projects status – major growth projects
• Projects
• New c.27.5mtpa iron ore mine on Yeristovskoye deposit + processing plant
• New c.56mtpa iron ore mine on Belanovskoye deposit + processing plant
• Scoping study on potential of Galeschina hematite deposit completed
• Capital expenditure
• Indicative capex to develop Yeristovskoye and Belanovskoye approx $5-6 billion
• Progress - Yeristovskoye
• $100m pre-approval capex committed for draglines & mining equipment
• Ordered equipment arriving on site and in process of assembly
• Infrastructure & site preparation underway; pre-strip to commence in Nov 2008
• Definitive Feasibility Study to be complete by September
• Final Board approval expected in October
• Belanovskoye
• Pre-Feasibility assessment for Belanovskoye expected to be completed in Sept
44
Building the capability to deliver growth
• Operational capability
• Leveraging established capability at Ferrexpo Poltava Mining (FPM)
• New legal and operating entity being established for Yeristovskoye and Belanovskoye
(separate from FPM); senior management appointed
• DTP Terressment Alliance fully involved in managing Yeristovskoye mine development
• Project execution capability
• Worley Parsons (WP) fully engaged as project management partner
• WP/Ferrexpo team managing all GPL, Y, B and infrastructure project activities
• Formal alliance structure target for Q4 (WP and DTP)
• Major focus on developing Western execution capability while maximising Ukrainian
input
45
Strategic Investor (SI) Programme
• ‗In-house‘ capacity to finance GPL expansion & Yeristovskoye
• Potential to accelerate development of Belanovskoye
• Contemplating SI equity at the asset level in Y, B, G
• excluding existing GPL facilities
• Seeking project execution capability, technology, offtake in addition to funding
• Preliminary discussions have been held with several parties
• Investment bank has been engaged to formalise the process
• Completion target: end 2008
• Likely to be JV at the asset level
46
Indicative transaction structure
Yeristovskoye
Logistics
Ferrexpo AG
Marketing
Gorishne - Plavninskoye Lavrikovskoye – Northern Extension
Galeshchinskoye
Belanovskoye
FPM
JV
100%
100%
No
t le
ss
than
50%
Strategic Investor
Up
to
50%
Sales
Ferrexpo plc
47
CURRENT OPERATIONS
MARKETING AND LOGISTICS
GROWTH PROJECTS
OVERVIEW
FINANCIALS
OUTLOOK
48
Strong financial results in 2007
• Revenue up 28% to $698 million
• EBITDA up 65% to US$246m
• EBIT up 63% to $187 million
• Underlying earnings1 up 128% to $152 million
• Operating C1 costs increased 8.6% vs Ukrainian PPI of 23.3%
• Gearing reduced to 26% from 48%
¹ 'Underlying earnings' is an alternative earnings measure, which the directors believe provides a clearer picture of the underlying financial performance of the Group's
operations. Underlying earnings is presented after minority interests and excludes adjusted items.
Adjusted items are those items of financial performance that the Group believes should be separately disclosed on the face of the income statement to assist in the
understanding of the underlying financial performance achieved by the Group. Adjusted items that relate to the operating performance of the Group include impairment
charges and reversals and other exceptional items. Non-operating adjusting items include profits and losses on disposal of investments and businesses.
49
EBITDA and influencing factors
149.1
246.1
-3.2
97.3
37.72.6
-14.2 -1.0
2006 EBITDA Sales Price Sales Vol.
Own Ore
Other Sales C1 Costs Dist. Costs Purchased
Ore
Admin. 2007 EBITDA
-22.2
EBITDA waterfall 2006 – 2007 ($m)
50
EBITDA Margin
142
245
27%
35%
0
50
100
150
200
250
2006 2007
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%EBITDA Margin
2 1
5%
10%
0
50
100
150
200
250
2006 2007
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%EBITDA Margin
EBITDA from own concentrate EBITDA from purchased concentrate
$m % $m %
51
Capital Structure and Debt
Multiple%
1,2
1 Net debt calculated as current interest bearing loans & borrowings + non-current interest bearing loans & borrowings + non-current trade & other payables – cash & cash
equivalents and short term deposits2 EBITDA is calculated as profit from continuing operations before tax and finance less foreign exchange (loss)/gain plus depreciation (included in both cost of sales and
administrative expenses) and non-recurring cash items included in other income, non-recurring cash items included in other costs plus disposal of subsidiaries and associates.
EBITDA is not a measure of financial performance under IFRS3 Total debt for the purposes of gearing is all interest-bearing debt, i.e. current interest bearing loans & borrowings + non-current interest bearing loans & borrowings. Gearing is
Total Debt / (Total Debt + Total Equity)
1.9x
0.5x
48%
26%
0x
1x
2x
3x
4x
5x
6x
2006 2007
5%
15%
25%
35%
45%
55%Net Debt/EBITDA Gearing• Benefits of debt restructuring in 2006
Reduced margins
Reduced effective borrowing cost
Extended tenor - less reliant on
expensive short term debt
• Increased capital base
Total assets up by 23%
• Rebalanced short and long term liabilities
• Improved working capital prospects
• Maintain prudent gearing levels
Throughout cycle
3
Strong unlevered balance sheet Capital Structure
52
Capital Expenditure
Capital Expenditure Split
Focus areas for future
• Current Pit (GPL) mine expansion &
processing upgrades
• Development of Yeristovskoye (Y)&
Belanovskoye (B)
• Further utility and logistics investments
Capex committed in 2007
• $158m for GPL expansion
• $47m on draglines for Y
• $55m mining equip for Y (Feb 2008)
Investment (Significantly Accretive Projects)
13
49
36
43
14
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
2006 2007
GPL Maintenance GPL Development Grow th Projects
53
Financial highlights – Income StatementUS$ ‗000 2007 $/tonne 2006 $/tonne
Revenue 698,216 72.33 547,310 61.83
C1 Cost of Sales (279,573) 31.794 (238,471) 29.264
Other Cost of Sales1 (56,363) (58,249)
Gross Profit 362,280 250,590
% Margin 52% 46%
Selling and distribution 100,614 10.865 86,376 9.885
G&A and other 44,560 4.815 43,635 4.995
Operating Profit 217,106 120,579
% Margin 31% 22%
EBITDA 246,057 26.575 149,142 17.065
% Margin 35% 27%
Profit before Taxation 160,760 80,737
Taxation 26,275 14,758
Effective Tax Rate 16.3% 18.2%
Profit for the Year 134,035 65,979
Underlying Earnings2 151,545 66,359
Underlying EPS 24.93 10.92
EPS 20.41 10.47
¹ Other Cost of Sales: depreciation, purchased concentrate and ore
² 'Underlying earnings' is an alternative earnings measure, which the directors believe provides a clearer picture of the underlying financial performance of the Group's
operations. Underlying earnings is presented after minority interests and excludes adjusted items.
Adjusted items are those items of financial performance that the Group believes should be separately disclosed on the face of the income statement to assist in the
understanding of the underlying financial performance achieved by the Group. Adjusted items that relate to the operating performance of the Group include impairment
charges and reversals and other exceptional items. Non-operating adjusting items include profits and losses on disposal of investments and businesses.
3 average pellet price 4 own ore 5 sales volume
54
Financial highlights – Balance Sheet
US$ ‗000 31.12.2007 31.12.2006
Non-Current Assets
Property, Plant & Equipment 364,545 301,343
Other 244,884 209,041
Current Assets
Inventories 56,545 48,487
Trade & Other Receivables 43,575 58,284
Other 71,426 73,525
Liabilities
Trade & Other Payables 23,477 12,214
Other 52,681 63,216
Capital employed 704,817 615,250
Net Financial Indebtedness 117,895 278,458
Equity 586,922 336,792
704,817 615,250
Key Ratios
Net Debt to EBITDA 0.5x 1.9x
Return on Capital Employed 19% 10%
55
Financial highlights – Cash Flow Statement
US$ ‗000 2007 2006
EBITDA 246,057 149,142
Working capital movements (1,766) (31,888)
Net financial payments (24,026) (27,495)
Income tax paid (32,018) (14,562)
Movement in provisions and other non-cash items 599 (6,897)
Net Cash Flows from Operating Activities 188,846 68,300
Sustaining CAPEX (49,821) (19,177)
Free Cash Flow 139,025 49,123
Development CAPEX (56,747) (29,583)
Purchases of investments (12,126) (3,119)
Proceeds from issue of share capital in Ferrexpo AG 0 109,329
Loans repaid by related parties 0 106,783
Acquisition of minority interest in subsidiaries 0 (231,945)
Acquisition of associate 0 (16,950)
Loans to Joint Venture (TIS-Ruda) (5,000) 0
Net IPO proceeds 153,424 (7,503)
Distributions (69,841) (31,766)
Other 11,828 5,983
(Increase) / decrease in Net Financial Indebtedness 160,563 (49,648)
56
Strong Balance Sheet and Cash Flows
US$ ‗000 2007 2006
Net Cash Flows from Operating Activities 188,846 68,300
Sustaining CAPEX (49,821) (19,177)
Development CAPEX (56,747) (29,583)
Net IPO proceeds 153,424 (7,503)
Distributions (69,841) (31,766)
Other (5,298) (29,919)
(Increase) / decrease in Net Financial Indebtedness 160,563 (49,648)
Key Ratios
Net Debt to EBITDA 0.5x 1.9x
Return on Capital Employed 19% 10%
57
CURRENT OPERATIONS
MARKETING AND LOGISTICS
GROWTH PROJECTS
OVERVIEW
FINANCIALS
OUTLOOK
58
Outlook for 2008 - Ferrexpo
• Positive market environment for iron ore pellets
• short term pricing extremely strong
• progress with building customer base and logistics for aggressive growth
• Incremental production & product quality improvements continuing
• Ukrainian and industry cost inflation challenges
• improvement programmes will continue to mitigate
• Acceleration of growth projects
• critical investment decisions H2
• funding and capability development options being pursued
• Group is well positioned for continued profitable growth
59
Demand - per capita steel consumption
Per capita steel consumption (kg)
Countries in „infrastructure building‟ mode can
rise to rates of 700 to 1,000kg/capita, then
settle back to long run of ~300kg/c
Per capita consumption is climbing rapidly in
Asia driven by investments in:
• industry
• transport infrastructure
• construction
• overall improved standards of living
Based on experience in Japan, S Korea &
Taiwan, China may have another 10 years of
strong consumption levels
India – significant forecast growth ...the next
China ???
Insert text here
132
182
51
142
111
36%37%
35%
23%
27%
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
A B C D E
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
A
%
Source: CRU
60
‗Steel super-cycle‘
…..So what has changed from past days of cyclicality?
• Structural demand growth explosion
China !!!
India
Eastern Europe re-industrialisation
Russia
Latin America
Asia
• Significant reduction in government ownership in global Steel capacity
• Iron ore industry highly consolidated. Profit driven players
• Cost curve dramatic change in last 5 years as China demand exploded
Flatter on low end. Steeper on high end driven by high cost new supply
= high cost marginal supply ~4 x higher than 2003 (Ave costs ~2 x)
= raises long term price
= improved industry average margins
Existing and new capacity cost inflation: Drivers: US$ weakness, energy costs, labour and logistics cost
• Next generation Tier-1 iron ore assets will be slow and high cost to commercialise….and possibly few
61
Demand and supply going forward
Seaborne Iron Ore
• Iron Ore supply-demand Forecast to be in deficit
2008-09. New supply capacity enters 2011-
2013, then trending to ‗managed balance‘
• 2011-13 potential oversupply moderated by;
• reduction in high cost supply from India and
China; which is positive for sea-borne iron ore
trade.
• Shelving of high cost, or geographically risky
projects
• Iron Ore Majors manage supply to cycle…..75%
of the planned new supply is from the ‗Big-3‘.
• Steel majors with upstream positions also
manage supply to cycles
• Premiums for high grade and direct-charge
feed (eg pellets) is likely to improve, especially
as China average grade is falling…possibly
rapidly
Steel feeds- tight for a few years yet
- transition into relative balance from 2013
-200
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Seaborne
imports
Seaborne
exports
Surplus / deficit
MM
T
Source: UNCTAD, Citi Investment Research
62
Compelling investment case
The only pure play iron ore company in the FTSE 100
One of the largest iron ore resources in the world
Capacity to accelerate growth & value capture
Comprehensive plans to supply growing global markets
Location, location, location