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TNI ASSET MANAGEMENT€¦ · lost 8.4% compared to 9.2% index loss. ... portfolio contributed 90%...

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The Fund Manager does not and cannot guarantee the performance of the Fund, and the past performance of the Fund is not a guarantee of its future performance. Furthermore, it is understood that the Fund Manager does not give any advice and/or warranties, express or implied, and shall in no way be responsible or liable to any party for relying on any information with respect to the matters identified herein. 0.0% 20.0% 40.0% 60.0% 80.0% 100.0% 120.0% 140.0% 160.0% Dec-05 Apr-06 Aug-06 Dec-06 Apr-07 Aug-07 Dec-07 Apr-08 Aug-08 Dec-08 Apr-09 Aug-09 Dec-09 DJ / DIFC Arabia 50 MSCI GCC Index MSCI Arabian Mkts TNI ASSET MANAGEMENT Investor Monthly Newsletter – January 2010 Performance and Strategy Review Market Performance The new year started with some jolts in the regional markets as the results season commenced on a sombre note for the banking sector. Trading values remained flat over the preceding month with the markets pricing in caution with respect to the impending results disclosure. While some markets declined during the month, the best performer in the region was Morocco. Manager’s Comments TNI UAE Blue chip Fund January was a challenging month in the UAE, dominated by volatility and low volumes. Investors remained on the side lines inspite of a limited rebound by end of month. The fund lost 8.4% compared to 9.2% index loss. We maintain a negative view on the banking sector and remain overweight on services and transportation. Cash is limited at 2.8%. TNI MENA REAF The Fund lost 5% in January. The MSCI R.E. Capped Index declined by 5.5% during the month. The Fund remains committed to its Overweight stance in key markets like Saudi Arabia while exercising caution with regards to Kuwait and the UAE, particularly Dubai. TNI MENA Special Sits The fund registered a second consecutive positive monthly performance since the Dubai crisis, with the NAV rising by 1.13%. The Fund’s volatility since inception is 10.12%. The equity portfolio contributed 90% of the performance with the fixed income allocation accounting for the residual. For 2010, we remain cautious with a 37% allocation to money markets that we intend to use for deep value equity calls during the first half of 2010. DJ / DIFC 50 TITANS Index- MSCI GCC Index Regional Performance Performance % MTD YTD DJ Arabia Titans -0.3 -0.3 MSCI Arabia -0.7 -0.7 MSCI GCC 0.1 0.1 The National Investor Headquarters TNI Tower| Zayed 1 st Street Khalidiya| P.O. Box 47435 | Abu Dhabi, |UAE Phone: +971 2 619 2300 Fax: +971 2 619 2400 www.tni.ae Inside this issue: Flat performance in the MENA region for January 2010 Topic of the month: From 2009 to 2010 Other MENA Indices MTD% YTD% Egypt 6.96 6.96 Morocco 7.57 7.57 Tunisia 6.11 6.11 Jordan -1.07 -1.07 Lebanon -3.38 -3.38 MSCI GCC Indices MTD% YTD% Saudi Arabia 2.49 2.49 UAE -9.24 -9.24 Kuwait -5.42 -5.42 Qatar -4.35 -4.35 Oman 2.13 2.13 Bahrain -1.27 -1.27
Transcript
Page 1: TNI ASSET MANAGEMENT€¦ · lost 8.4% compared to 9.2% index loss. ... portfolio contributed 90% of the performance with the fixed income allocation accounting for the residual.

The Fund Manager does not and cannot guarantee the performance of the Fund, and the past performance of the Fund is not a guarantee of its future performance. Furthermore, it is understood that the Fund Manager does not give any advice and/or warranties, express or implied, and shall in no way be responsible or liable to any party for relying on any information

with respect to the matters identified herein.

0.0%

20.0%

40.0%

60.0%

80.0%

100.0%

120.0%

140.0%

160.0%

Dec-05 Apr-06 Aug-06 Dec-06 Apr-07 Aug-07 Dec-07 Apr-08 Aug-08 Dec-08 Apr-09 Aug-09 Dec-09

DJ / DIFC Arabia 50

MSCI GCC Index

MSCI Arabian Mkts

TNI ASSET MANAGEMENT Investor Monthly Newsletter – January 2010

Performance and Strategy Review

Market Performance

The new year started with some jolts in the regional markets as the results season commenced on a sombre note for the banking sector. Trading values remained flat over the preceding month with the markets pricing in caution with respect to the impending results disclosure. While some markets declined during the month, the best performer in the region was Morocco.

Manager’s Comments

TNI UAE Blue chip Fund January was a challenging month in the UAE, dominated by volatility and low volumes. Investors remained on the side lines inspite of a limited rebound by end of month. The fund lost 8.4% compared to 9.2% index loss. We maintain a negative view on the banking sector

and remain overweight on services and transportation. Cash is limited at 2.8%. TNI MENA REAF The Fund lost 5% in January. The MSCI R.E. Capped Index declined by 5.5% during the month. The Fund remains committed to its Overweight stance in key markets like Saudi Arabia while exercising caution with regards to Kuwait and the UAE, particularly Dubai. TNI MENA Special Sits The fund registered a second consecutive positive monthly performance since the Dubai crisis, with the NAV rising by 1.13%. The Fund’s volatility since inception is 10.12%. The equity

portfolio contributed 90% of the performance with the fixed income allocation accounting for the residual. For 2010, we remain cautious with a 37% allocation to money markets that we intend to use for deep value equity calls during the first half of 2010.

DJ / DIFC 50 TITANS Index- MSCI GCC Index

Regional Performance

Performance % MTD YTD

DJ Arabia Titans -0.3 -0.3

MSCI Arabia -0.7 -0.7

MSCI GCC 0.1 0.1

The National Investor

Headquarters

TNI Tower| Zayed 1st Street

Khalidiya| P.O. Box 47435 | Abu

Dhabi, |UAE

Phone: +971 2 619 2300

Fax: +971 2 619 2400

www.tni.ae

Inside this issue:

� Flat performance in the

MENA region for January

2010

� Topic of the month: From

2009 to 2010

Other MENA Indices MTD% YTD%

Egypt 6.96 6.96

Morocco 7.57 7.57

Tunisia 6.11 6.11

Jordan -1.07 -1.07

Lebanon -3.38 -3.38

MSCI GCC Indices MTD% YTD%

Saudi Arabia 2.49 2.49

UAE -9.24 -9.24

Kuwait -5.42 -5.42

Qatar -4.35 -4.35

Oman 2.13 2.13

Bahrain -1.27 -1.27

Page 2: TNI ASSET MANAGEMENT€¦ · lost 8.4% compared to 9.2% index loss. ... portfolio contributed 90% of the performance with the fixed income allocation accounting for the residual.

The Fund Manager does not and cannot guarantee the performance of the Fund, and the past performance of the Fund is not a guarantee of its future performance. Furthermore, it is understood that the Fund Manager does not give any advice and/or warranties, express or implied, and shall in no way be responsible or liable to any party for relying on any information

with respect to the matters identified herein.

MARKETS REVIEW January 2010

The MENA Equity Markets

The regional markets entered the annual results season in January with Saudi companies leading the way in terms of being the first ones to disclose. The trend remained sideways during the month at the regional level as uncertainty surrounding the global economy sustains its grip on capital markets. Liquidity was tight during the first month of the year however compared to January last year, there was significant improvement.

On the Dubai front, sovereign entities are seeking to offload some foreign investments in order to generate liquidity. Bank Muscat has come up as a potential source of such funding for Dubai Holding, which owns 15% of the bank. The holding is valued at about US$ 350m in terms of current prices. On a similar note, EFG Hermes announced that it sold its 28% stake in Bank Audi for US$ 91/share. Some companies in Oman and Qatar took the initiative to be the first ones to go public this year after a lull in capital markets. Mazaya Qatar was the first company to go public as it seeks to raise funds to finance its nascent real estate business.

Commodities experienced a slow start to the year with crude starting the first day of the year at US$ 82 but sliding to US$ 72 by the end of the month. The IEA and OPEC are still cautious in their outlook for oil demand for the current year. With production cuts still in place, the current levels are a blessing for the GCC from the much lower levels seen in 2009.

The corporate results did not offer any shocking surprises during the first month of the year. Growth was concentrated in defensive sectors like Food and Telecoms. Almarai, a Saudi Arabia listed dairy company reported full year net profits of SAR 1.09bn compared to SAR 910m last year. Similarly Agthia, a leading supplier of bottled water in the UAE reported full year net income of AED 104m against just AED 72m during 2008. There was a significant decline in Agthia’s QoQ results, however the management had hinted at margin contraction.

Chart (1): AlMarai quarterly net income in SAR million

162.2

235.2

293.7

219.2197.2

287.1

363.4

249.0

0.0

50.0

100.0

150.0

200.0

250.0

300.0

350.0

400.0

1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09

Chart (2): Agthia quarterly net profits in AED million

18.4 19.5

16.318.0

46.5

29.4

20.2

8.0

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

45.0

50.0

1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09

Source: Company reports

.

Page 3: TNI ASSET MANAGEMENT€¦ · lost 8.4% compared to 9.2% index loss. ... portfolio contributed 90% of the performance with the fixed income allocation accounting for the residual.

The Fund Manager does not and cannot guarantee the performance of the Fund, and the past performance of the Fund is not a guarantee of its future performance. Furthermore, it is understood that the Fund Manager does not give any advice and/or warranties, express or implied, and shall in no way be responsible or liable to any party for relying on any information

with respect to the matters identified herein.

TOPIC OF THE MONTH January 2010

From 2009 to 2010 As we head into the results season, the global economy continues to be jolted by policy actions and the unveiling of more problems. The month of January ended with Zain Saudi Arabia negotiating the repayment of debt with its creditors. The news came as a surprise as it was the first event in the telecom sector . Across the MENA region, telecom operators boast strong balance sheets, growing income statements and stable dividend payouts. However Zain was a third entrant into an oversaturated Saudi market with two players already reaping the rewards of penetration rates close to 200%. The results season has kicked off with Saudi companies being the first ones to disclose fourth quarter results. The banking sector was afflicted with shrinking profits again due to mounting provisions as concerns surrounding asset quality linger in the region. Moreover, balance sheet contraction also continued unabated, a trend persistent across 2009 as loans were written off and credit off-take came to a halt. Some institutions like SAMBA showed resilience with YoY growth in net income despite a sharp increase in loan loss provisions. Net income for 4Q/09 was SAR 835m, an increase of 1.8% over last year. In the banking sector, growth, if any, is expected largely from spread management. The asset side may be suffering from contraction or stagnation in most markets. However some institutions remain strong on the funding side by way of access to cheap deposits. In the Saudi market, we saw evidence of spread management leading to YoY growth during 2009. In the UAE, the story is slightly different with some banks exposed to the real estate sector through an investment property portfolio. Moreover, NPL, spike has been sharper in the UAE along with provisions. The UAE Central Bank is currently in the process of reviewing provisioning rules for commercial banks. The consumer sector has shown its strength once again through growth in 2009. The first results in this sector were those for Almarai, a Saudi-based dairy company with a large franchise across the region. Revenues and net income for 2009 grew at 16% and 20% to reach SAR 5.9bn and SAR 1,096m respectively. Almarai has used its leverage to expand regionally in the recent past and continues to do so by venturing into the poultry segment in its home market through the recent acquisition of HADCO. We anticipate good results from Agthia too, a UAE-listed company that sells bottled water and other beverages. Zain’s debt issues are an anomaly in an otherwise resilient sector. This is visible from the two Saudi telecom operators which have announced their results. Etihad Etisalat, the second mobile operator in Saudi Arabia announced net income for the fourth quarter of SAR 1.05bn compared to SAR 778m last year. Moreover, the company declared dividends of SAR 1.25/share for 2009. Saudi is a difficult market for a third operator as penetration rates are close to 200%. The largest Saudi operator, STC announced net income of SAR 2.94bn, which amounted to a doubling of YoY profit for the fourth quarter, however it was largely attributable to an extraordinary item. The outlook for the real estate sector remains challenging in the immediate future. Companies in Saudi Arabia are awaiting the enactment of the mortgage law. For the time being, Saudi Real Estate projects are either in development stage or the major developers are earning rental income from modest portfolios. In the UAE, January was a momentous month with the delivery of the Burj Khalifa finally becoming a reality. The sheer scale of the project promises a spike in both unit sales and rental income for Emaar. In Qatar, Barwa and Aqaria’s merger went through however there is little to say about the Qatari real estate sector due to its nascent nature. Egypt has young companies like Palm Hills striving to deliver units in the next few years however the Egyptian exchange offers too wide a variety of sectors for real estate to be particularly appealing. No matter what the outlook for individual sectors in the region, the world as a whole is going through policy implications of the crisis. The US recently proposed more risk regulation for banks, China is finally pondering the prospect of containing its blistering growth, some countries like Norway have already raised benchmark interest rates and the MENA region is focusing on the banking sector to ensure growth in the future. In light of these measures, 2010 could be a year of consolidation for the region and the world as a whole. As the stimulus spending breathes its last and the global economy stands on its own feet, we may see some less inspiring macroeconomic data towards the end of the year. However commodity prices have remained resilient and thus promise liquidity for the GCC.

Page 4: TNI ASSET MANAGEMENT€¦ · lost 8.4% compared to 9.2% index loss. ... portfolio contributed 90% of the performance with the fixed income allocation accounting for the residual.

The Fund Manager does not and cannot guarantee the performance of the Fund, and the past performance of the Fund is not a guarantee of its future performance. Furthermore, it is understood that the Fund Manager does not give any advice and/or warranties, express or implied, and shall in no way be responsible or liable to any party for relying on any information

with respect to the matters identified herein.

BCF vs. MSCI UAE Index*

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

110%

120%

130%

May-05 Sep-05 Jan-06 May-06 Sep-06 Jan-07 May-07 Sep-07 Jan-08 May-08 Sep-08 Jan-09 May-09 Sep-09 Jan-10

MSCI UAE INDEX

TNI BCF

7.6%

8.3%

8.3%

9.8%

10.0%

0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0%

Air Arabia

Aldar

NBAD

FGB

Emaar

`

51.5%

37.7%

2.7%2.1%

6.0%

0.00

0.50

1.00Abu Dhabi

Dubai

CashGCC

DIFX

TNI UAE BLUE CHIP FUND Fact Sheet as of January 28, 2010

Fund Profile

Focus: Although the fund may participate in markets throughout the Gulf Cooperative

Countries (‘GCC’), its investments will be primarily focused on publicly traded equities of UAE

firms with large capitalization, which present a steady and recurrent track record of earnings

growth and have a potential for capital appreciation.

Management Style: The key investment criteria are the company’s financial strengths,

competitiveness, profitability, growth prospects and quality of management. The allocation

will be based on fundamental research and will incorporate a blend of top-down and a

bottom-up analytical approach.

Objective: The fund aims to provide long-term capital appreciation through investing in

equity securities publicly traded, primarily in the UAE, and, to a lesser extent, in other GCC

markets.

Suitability: Units of the Fund are speculative and involve a high degree of risk. The Fund is

therefore designed for sophisticated investors who are able to understand the risks involved

in emerging markets’ equity investments, particularly in the GCC equities.

Asset Allocation Top Holdings

Fund Performance (%)

Monthly Performance (%)

WTD -3.7

MTD -9.2

YTD -9.2

Since Inception -68.8

Value Blend Growth

Large

Medium

Small

Fund Profile

WTD -3.0

MTD -8.4

YTD -8.4

Since Inception -51.2

Fund Facts

MSCI UAE Index (%)

* D u e t o t h e u n a va i l a b i l i t y o f M SC I UA E I n d e x f o r M a y 2 0 0 5 , we h a ve u s e d N BA D UAE I n d e x r e t u rn s f o r t h e s a me p e r i o d .

Index comparison is used for

illustrative purposes only.

Since Inception %

TNI UAE Blue Chip Fund -51.2

MSCI UAE Index -68.8

%

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

June

July

Aug

Sept

Oct

Nov

Dec

YTD

2005 - - - - +2.7 +6.9 -11.2 +6.0 +5.9 +4.3 +1.3 -4.1 +12.2

2006 -5.4 -4.7 -3.4 -8.5 -5.7 -2.9 -2.4 +5.2 +2.2 -3.4 -8.4 +0.3 -32.9

2007 -0.8 +2.5 -5.1 +3.7 +18.8 -1.7 0.0 -3.8 +1.6 +18.9 +4.4 +9.1 +54.9

2008 -3.7 +7.2 -6.1 +9.8 -0.5 -1.8 +0.8 -15.0 -15.7 -22.4 -23.2 -12.1 -60.7

2009 -9.7 +4.9 +8.7 +5.8 +9.3 -1.8 +5.0 +4.2 +13.2 -2.9 -4.8 -13.1 +16.2

2010 -8.4 -8.4

Inception Date May 01, 2005

Currency AED

Minimum Inv. AED 1 million

NAV / Unit AED 4.88

Initial Fee 1% (max.)

Management Fee 1.5% annually

Custody Fee 0.45% annually

Performance Fee 10% subject to

High Watermark

Hurdle Rate EIBOR (3M)

Redemption Fee 1% after 1 Year

NAV Weekly

Lock-up Period None

Custodian Gulf Clearing Co

Administrator Gulf Clearing Co

Auditors KPMG

Lawyers Tamimi & Co

Net Assets AED 86 m

Reuters BCF - TNIBCF

Bloomberg BCF TNIUAEF -UH

Fund Manager Ali El Adou

The National Investor

Headquarters

TNI Tower | Zayed 1st Street Khalidia|

P.O. Box 47435 | Abu Dhabi | UAE

Phone: +971 2 619 2300

Fax: +971 2 619 2400

www.tni.ae

Fund Performance since Inception

Page 5: TNI ASSET MANAGEMENT€¦ · lost 8.4% compared to 9.2% index loss. ... portfolio contributed 90% of the performance with the fixed income allocation accounting for the residual.

The Fund Manager does not and cannot guarantee the performance of the Fund, and the past performance of the Fund is not a guarantee of its future performance. Furthermore, it is understood that the Fund Manager does not give any advice and/or warranties, express or implied, and shall in no way be responsible or liable to any party for relying on any information

with respect to the matters identified herein.

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

Apr-06 Jan-07 Oct-07 Jul-08 Apr-09 Jan-10

``

26.4%

23.4%

10.3%

9.9%

7.6%

6.0%

5.1%

3.6%

3.0%

2.1%

0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0%

Banks

Real Estate

Services

Energy

Transportation

Marine

Telecom

Investments

Construction

Funds

51.5%

37.7%

6.0%

2.1%

2.8%

0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0%

Abu Dhabi

Dubai

DIFX

GCC

Cash

-9.0%

4.8%

-0.7%

2.1%

2.8%

-10.0% -8.0% -6.0% -4.0% -2.0% 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0%

TNI UAE BLUE CHIP FUND Fund Analytics as of January 28, 2010

Asset allocation by Exchange (%) Deviation by Exchange (%)

Asset allocation by Sector (%) Deviation by Sector (%)

Fund Statistics

Weighted Av. PE Weighted Av. PB Weighted Av. ROE% Market Cap

(AED b)

TNI BCF 8.9 1.1 9.9 11.6

MSCI UAE 9.2 1.0 9.4 11.1

1Y 2Y 3Y Since Inception

Relative Alpha -11.7% 4.1% 6.5% 7.6%

Ann. Return 17.9% -34.1% -14.2% -14.0%

St. Deviation 27.3% 35.8% 34.7% 29.6%

Tracking Error 7.2% 7.6% 8.6% 13.6%

Info. Ratio -1.6 0.5 0.8 0.6

Returns (%) BCF MSCI UAE

1M -8.4 -9.2

3M -24.3 -24.3

6M -13.3 -10.0

1Y 17.9 29.6

3Y -36.8 -50.0

Since launch -51.2 -68.6

Evolution of Yearly Tracking Error -15.3%

-7.4%

7.6%

2.7%

4.8%

-0.7%

2.6%

-1.0%

1.8%

2.1%

-20.0% -15.0% -10.0% -5.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0%

Page 6: TNI ASSET MANAGEMENT€¦ · lost 8.4% compared to 9.2% index loss. ... portfolio contributed 90% of the performance with the fixed income allocation accounting for the residual.

The Fund Manager does not and cannot guarantee the performance of the Fund, and the past performance of the Fund is not a guarantee of its future performance. Furthermore, it is understood that the Fund Manager does not give any advice and/or warranties, express or implied, and shall in no way be responsible or liable to any party for relying on any information

with respect to the matters identified herein.

Value Blend Growth

Large

Medium

Small

8.2%

8.4%

10.0%

10.5%

12.8%

Aldar

Emaar

Al-soor uited

Solidere

Orascom Con.

30%

50%

70%

90%

110%

130%

150%

Aug-05 Jan-06 Jun-06 Nov-06 Apr-07 Sep-07 Feb-08 Jul-08 Dec-08 May-09 Oct-09

MENA REAF

MSCI R.E Capped Index

`

ADSM10.6%

Egypt17.4%

DIFX0.4%

Qatar13.3%

DFM16.2%

Morocco4.9%

Lebanon10.5%

KSA23.5%

KW3.2%

TNI MENA REAL ESTATE ACTIVE FUND Fact Sheet as of January 28, 2010

Fund Profile

Focus: the Fund is a sector focused fund mainly targeting investments in equities of real

estate firms publicly traded in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) official exchanges.

The Fund provides investors with a liquid investment approach to a traditionally illiquid and

capital intensive sector.

Management Style: the key investment criteria are the company’s financial strengths,

competitiveness, profitability, growth prospects and quality of management. The allocation

will be based on fundamental research and will incorporate a blend of top-down and a

bottom-up analytical approach.

Objective: the fund aims to provide long-term capital appreciation through investing in

equity securities of real estate firms publicly traded in the MENA equity markets. Fund

investments can also include private equities of firms expected to list their shares within a 12-

month period, as well as debt instruments issued by MENA real estate firms.

Suitability: Units of the Fund are speculative and involve a high degree of risk. The Fund is

therefore designed for sophisticated investors who are able to understand the risks involved

in emerging markets’ equity investments, particularly in the MENA equities.

Asset Allocation Top Holdings

Fund Performance since Inception

Monthly Performance (%)

Inception Date August 01, 2005

Currency USD

Minimum Inv. $ 100,000

NAV / Unit* US$ 912.907

Initial Fee Up to 3.0%

Management Fee 1.5% annually

Custody / Admin Fee 0.45% annually

Performance Fee 10% subject to High Watermark

Hurdle Rate 3 M LIBOR

Redemption Fee 0% after 18 months

NAV Weekly

Lock-up Period None

Custodian HSBC Bank Middle East Ltd

Administrator Apex Fund Services

Ltd

Auditors Deloitte & Touche

Lawyers Appleby

Net Assets USD 11.8 million

Reuters MENA - TNIMREF

Bloomberg MENA - TNIMERF UH

Domicile Bermuda

Fund Manager C. Ghandour

Fund Profile

Fund Facts

WTD -4.0

MTD -5.5

YTD -5.5

Since Inception -42.8

MSCI Arabian R.E Capped** (%)

Since Inception %

TNI MENA REAF -26.6

MSCI Arabian R.E Capped

-42.8

The MSCI Arabian Real Estate Capped Index was created in a joint effort between MSCI Barra and TNI. Going forward, the Index will be used as a benchmark for the Fund.

The National Investor

Headquarters

TNI Tower | Zayed 1st Street Khalidiya|

P.O. Box 47435 | Abu Dhabi | UAE

Phone: +971 2 619 2300

Fax: +971 2 619 2400

www.tni.ae

*The Fund has been re-domiciled to a Bermuda Segregated Account Company and the showed NAV can be converted to the old NAV by using 0.8039% as a multiplier.

WTD -3.2

MTD -5.0

YTD -5.0

Since Inception -26.6

Fund Performance (%)

% Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

June

July

Aug

Sept

Oct

Nov

Dec

YTD

2005 - - - - - - - +4.5 +6.3 -0.9 +1.5 +3.9 +16.2

2006 +1.4 -5.6 -0.8 -5.9 -9.3 -5.6 -1.8 +6.5 +5.2 -0.6 -7.3 +2.8 -20.4

2007 +0.9 +3.8 -2.1 -0.3 +11.0 -1.0 +2.7 +0.1 +7.7 +15.1 +9.2 +2.1 +59.7

2008 -1.6 +7.1 -5.4 +6.1 -2.9 -4.6 -5.2 -10.0 -11.9 -20.3 -7.5 -6.0 -48.9

2009 -5.1 -2.8 -0.4 +2.6 +9.7 -0.3 +0.8 +3.2 +6.8 +0.7 -4.7 -6.9 +2.2

2010 -5.0 -5.0

Page 7: TNI ASSET MANAGEMENT€¦ · lost 8.4% compared to 9.2% index loss. ... portfolio contributed 90% of the performance with the fixed income allocation accounting for the residual.

The Fund Manager does not and cannot guarantee the performance of the Fund, and the past performance of the Fund is not a guarantee of its future performance. Furthermore, it is understood that the Fund Manager does not give any advice and/or warranties, express or implied, and shall in no way be responsible or liable to any party for relying on any information

with respect to the matters identified herein.

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

Jul-06 Jan-07 Jul-07 Jan-08 Jul-08 Jan-09 Jul-09 Jan-10

77.2%

16.1%

4.4%

2.3%

0.0%

R.E Dev.

Const.

Mortgage

Hotel Dev

Cash

-4.1%

0.8%

1.9%

1.5%

0.0%

27.2%

23.5%

17.4%

13.3%

10.5%

3.2%

4.9%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

UAE

KSA

Egypt

Qatar

Lebanon

Kuwait

Morocco

Cash

Bahrain

Jordan

Oman

Tunisia

2.3%

5.5%

-0.6%

1.7%

2.8%

-8.0%

-1.0%

0.0%

-0.9%

-0.6%

-0.5%

-0.6%

TNI MENA REAL ESTATE ACTIVE FUND Fund Analytics as of January 28, 2010

Asset allocation by Exchange (%) Deviation by Exchange (%)

Asset allocation by Sub-Sector (%) Deviation by Sub-Sector (%)

Fund Statistics

Weighted Av. PE Weighted Av. PB Weighted Av. ROE (%)

Av. Market Cap (US$ b)

MENA REAF 12.4 2.0 8.5 3.7

MSCI Real Estate 16.3 2.1 9.4 2.8

1Y 2Y 3Y Since Inception

Relative Alpha (%) -25.9 1.8 1.7 5.0

Ann. Return (%) 2.4 -28.9 -7.7 -6.7

Volatility (%) 16.8 23.3 24.3 21.9

Tracking Error (%) 11.52 18.4 17.6 19.5

Info. Ratio -2.25 0.1 0.1 0.26

Returns (%) MENA

REAF

MSCI Real

Estate Index

1M -5.0 -5.8

3M -15.8 -15.8

6M -6.5 -6.1

YTD -5.0 -5.8

Since launch -26.6 -42.8

Evolution of Yearly Tracking Error

Page 8: TNI ASSET MANAGEMENT€¦ · lost 8.4% compared to 9.2% index loss. ... portfolio contributed 90% of the performance with the fixed income allocation accounting for the residual.

The Fund Manager does not and cannot guarantee the performance of the Fund, and the past performance of the Fund is not a guarantee of its future performance. Furthermore, it is understood that the Fund Manager does not give any advice and/or warranties, express or implied, and shall in no way be responsible or liable to any party for relying on any information

with respect to the matters identified herein.

40%

45%

50%

55%

60%

65%

70%

75%

80%

85%

90%

95%

100%

105%

110%

115%

120%

Aug-08 Oct-08 Dec-08 Feb-09 Apr-09 Jun-09 Aug-09 Oct-09 Dec-09 Feb-10

TNI SSF

US LIBOR 3M

37.0%

9.1%

6.6%

5.3%

5.2%

Money Market

Aldar Conv.

Commercial Bank of Qatar

Etihad Etisalat

Telecom Egypt

`

UAE 17 %

Qatar 18 %

Egypt 10 %

Saudi 11 %

Oman 6 %

Money Market

37 %

RISK

RETURN

HIGH

MID

LOW

LOW MID HIGH

TNI SSF

MSCI ARABIA

TNI MENA SPECIAL SITUATIONS FUND Fact Sheet as of January 31, 2010

Fund Profile

Focus: Achieve absolute return by investing in special situations in the Middle East and North

regional firms.

Management Style: The allocation will be based on fundamental research and will

incorporate a blend of top-down and a bottom-up analytical approach, with a focus on

bottom-up approach. Portfolio construction will be diversified amongst asymmetric

risk/reward investment ideas, with a major focus on capital preservation.

Objective: The Fund aims to generate long-term capital growth by investing primarily in

special opportunities and situations in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region.

Special situations/opportunities include investments in securities such as equities,

convertibles, derivatives and debt instruments.

Suitability: Shares of the Fund are speculative and involve a high degree of risk. The Fund is

therefore designed for sophisticated investors who are able to understand the risks involved

in emerging markets’ securities investments, particularly in the MENA region.

Asset Allocation by Geography Top Holdings

Fund Performance since Inception

MENA SSF vs. US LIBOR 3M

Monthly Performance (%)

Fund Profile

MTD 1.13

YTD 1.13

Since Inception 9.15

Fund Performance (%)

Fund Facts

MSCI Arabian Markets (%)*

%

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

June

July

Aug

Sept

Oct

Nov

Dec

YTD

2008 - - - - - - - - -0.18 -3.98 1.26 0.02 -2.92

2009 -1.00 -0.50 1.87 2.79 3.00 -0.32 3.69 1.83 5.00 1.52 -7.52 0.84 11.17

2010 1.13 1.13

First Dealing Day Sept 01, 2008

Currency USD

Minimum Inv. USD 1 million

NAV / Share USD 1091.496

Initial Fee 3% (max.)

Management Fee 2% annually

Custody Fee 0. 5% annually

Performance Fee 20%

Hurdle Rate LIBOR (3M)

Redemption Fee 2%

NAV Monthly

High Watermark Yes

Lock-up Period 6 Months

Custodian HSBC

Administrator Apex

Auditors Deloitte

Lawyers Appleby

Net Assets USD 5.5million

Domicile Bermuda

Bloomberg TNIMESS BH

Fund Manager C. Chandour

The National Investor

Headquarters

TNI Tower | Zayed 1st Street Khalidiya|

P.O. Box 47435 | Abu Dhabi | UAE

Phone: +971 2 619 2300

Fax: +971 2 619 2400

Since Inception %

TNI MENA SSF 9.15

US LIBOR 3M 1.79

MSCI Arabian Markets* -37.89

MTD -0.04

YTD -0.04

Since Inception -37.89

*MSCI Arabian Markets comparison is used for illustrative purposes only as the MENA market is the Universe of the Fund.

MTD 0.02

YTD 0.02

Since Inception 1.79

US LIBOR 3M (%)

Page 9: TNI ASSET MANAGEMENT€¦ · lost 8.4% compared to 9.2% index loss. ... portfolio contributed 90% of the performance with the fixed income allocation accounting for the residual.

The Fund Manager does not and cannot guarantee the performance of the Fund, and the past performance of the Fund is not a guarantee of its future performance. Furthermore, it is understood that the Fund Manager does not give any advice and/or warranties, express or implied, and shall in no way be responsible or liable to any party for relying on any information

with respect to the matters identified herein.

Equities-

Value

27%

Equities-

Growth

20%Convertibles 9%

Sukuk 6%

Money

Market

37%

Telecom

10%

Real Estate

9%

Financial

14%

Energy

16%Others

14%

Money

Market

37%

TNI MENA SPECIAL SITUATIONS FUND Fact Sheet as of January 31, 2010

Asset allocation by Strategy Asset allocation by Sub-Sector

Statistics since Fund inception

TNI SSF MSCI ARABIA LIBOR (3M)

Monthly. Return 1.13% -0.04% 0.02%

YTD 2010 1.13% -0.04% 0.02%

Since Inception 9.15% -37.89% 1.79%

Ann. Return 6.37% -28.55% 1.26%

Volatility 10.12% 34.41% 0.33%

Sharpe Ratio 0.58 NA NA

Maximum Drawdown -7.52% -56.32% NA

# of Months 17 17 17

% Positive Month 64.71% 47.06% 100%

Best Month 5.00% 15.21% 0.34%

Worst Month -7.52% -22.27% 0.02%

Returns % TNI SSF MSCI Arabia

1M 1.13 -0.04

3M -5.69 -5.47

6M 2.38 0.86

1Y 10.12 17.24

Since Inception 9.15 -37.89

Returns % TNI SSF LIBOR (3M)

1M 1.13 0.02

3M -5.69 0.07

6M 2.38 0.16

1Y 10.12 0.65

Since Inception 9.15 1.79

Page 10: TNI ASSET MANAGEMENT€¦ · lost 8.4% compared to 9.2% index loss. ... portfolio contributed 90% of the performance with the fixed income allocation accounting for the residual.

The Fund Manager does not and cannot guarantee the performance of the Fund, and the past performance of the Fund is not a guarantee of its future performance. Furthermore, it is understood that the Fund Manager does not give any advice and/or warranties, express or implied, and shall in no way be responsible or liable to any party for relying on any information

with respect to the matters identified herein.

Cash 9%

MENA 65%Global 26% 9%

20%

26%

45%

Cash

Fixed

Income

International

Equities

MENA

Equities

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

110%

120%

130%

140%

150%

160%

170%

180%

Dec-06 Mar-07 Jun-07 Sep-07 Dec-07 Mar-08 Jun-08 Sep-08 Dec-08 Mar-09 Jun-09 Sep-09 Dec-09

TNI DWF

MSCI AC World

MSCI Arabian Markets

\

TNI DANA WOMEN FUND Fact Sheet as of January 31, 2010

Fund Profile

Focus: The Fund is targeting long Term capital appreciation. It is a global fund, overweighting

the UAE market.

Management Style: The allocation will be based on fundamental research and will

incorporate a blend of top-down and a bottom-up analytical approach, with a focus on

top-down approach. Portfolio construction will be diversified amongst asymmetric

risk/reward investment ideas, with a major focus on outperforming global market (MSCI

World).

Objective: The Fund aims to generate long-term capital growth by investing primarily in the

UAE and International markets. The investments include funds such as Index funds, ETFs,

hedge funds, convertibles, derivatives and debt instruments.

Suitability: Shares of the Fund are speculative and involve a high degree of risk. The Fund is

therefore designed for sophisticated investors who are able to understand the risks involved

in emerging markets’ securities investments, particularly in the MENA region.

Asset Allocation by Geography Top Holdings

Fund Performance since Inception

TNI DWF vs. MSCI Arabia and MSCI World

Monthly Performance (%)

Fund Profile

MTD -2.9

YTD -2.9

Since Jan 2007 -1.4

Fund Performance (%)

Fund Facts

MSCI World (%)

%

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

June

July

Aug

Sept

Oct

Nov

Dec

YTD

2007 -0.1 +0.9 -3.4 +2.1 +11.9 -0.8 +1.0 -2.8 -2.7 +5.7 +2.0 1.0 +21.2

2008 -2.9 +2.5 -4.2 +5.8 -0.6 -1.7 -0.6 +1.4 -2.6 -6.6 -8.16 -4.7 -20.9

2009 -2.1 -0.6 +0.9 +2.2 +2.1 -0.2 +3.8 +1.0 +4.8 -1.5 -6.9 +2.7 +6.0

2010 -2.9 -2.9

Currency AED

Minimum Inv. AED 1 million

NAV / Unit AED 8.3621

Initial Fee 1% (max.)

Management Fee 2% annually

Custody Fee 0. 75% annually

Performance Fee 20%

Hurdle Rate EIBOR (1M) +4%

Redemption Fee 2%

NAV Monthly

High Watermark Yes

Lock-up Period 12 Months

Custodian TNI

Administrator TNI

Auditors KPMG

Lawyers Tamimi & Co

Net Assets AED 12.5 m

Domicile UAE

Bloomberg TNIDWFD

Fund Manager C. Ghandour

The National Investor

Headquarters

TNI Tower | Zayed 1st Street Khalidiya|

P.O. Box 47435 | Abu Dhabi | UAE

Phone: +971 2 619 2300

Fax: +971 2 619 2400

www.tni.ae

Since Jan 2007 %

TNI DWF -1.4

MSCI Arabian Markets -22.2

MSCI World -22.1

MTD -4.4

YTD -4.4

Since Jan 2007 -22.1

Expected Return

RISK

HIGH

MSCI AC World Index

MID

LOW

LOW MID HIGH

Expected Return

RISK

HIGH

MSCI AC World Index

MID

LOW

LOW MID HIGH

RISK

HIGH

MSCI AC World Index

MID

LOW

LOW MID HIGH

Index comparison is used for illustrative purposes only.

MSCI Arabian Markets (%) MTD -0.0

YTD -0.0

Since Jan 2007 -22.2

Page 11: TNI ASSET MANAGEMENT€¦ · lost 8.4% compared to 9.2% index loss. ... portfolio contributed 90% of the performance with the fixed income allocation accounting for the residual.

The Fund Manager does not and cannot guarantee the performance of the Fund, and the past performance of the Fund is not a guarantee of its future performance. Furthermore, it is understood that the Fund Manager does not give any advice and/or warranties, express or implied, and shall in no way be responsible or liable to any party for relying on any information

with respect to the matters identified herein.

Equities

45%

ETF

26%

Convert.

20%

Cash

9%Real Estate

22%

Telecom

16%

Banking

9%

Others

44%

Cash

9%

TNI DANA WOMEN FUND Fund Analytics as of January 31, 2010

Asset allocation by Strategy Asset allocation by Sub-Sector

Statistics since January 2007

TNI DWF MSCI AC World MSCI ARABIA AEIBOR

Monthly. Return -2.9% -4.4% -0.0% 0.1%

YTD 2010 -2.9% -4.4% -0.0% 2.3%

Since Jan 2007 -1.4% -22.1% -22.2% 11.3%

Ann. Return -0.5% -7.8% -7.8% 3.6%

Volatility 13.4% 22.4% 28.0% 0.4%

Sharpe Ratio NA NA NA NA

Tracking Error 19.1% 22.4% NA

Info. Ratio 0.4 0.4 NA

Maximum Drawdown

-23.7% -56.2% -62.8% NA

# of Months 37 37 37 37

% Positive Month 49% 49% 46% 100%

Best Month 11.9% 11.4% 15.2% 0.5%

Worst Month -8.2% -19.9% -22.3% 0.1%

Returns % TNI DWF MSCI World

1M -2.9 -4.4

3M -7.2 1.3

6M -3.2 7.6

1Y 5.1 37.6

Since 2007 -1.4 -22.1

Returns% TNI DWF MSCI Arabia

1M -2.9 -0.0

3M -7.2 -5.5

6M -3.2 0.9

1Y 5.1 29.5

Since 2007 -1.4 -22.2

Returns% TNI DWF AEIBOR

1M -2.9 0.1

3M -7.2 0.4

6M -3.2 0.8

1Y 5.1 2.1

Since 2007 -1.4 11.4

Page 12: TNI ASSET MANAGEMENT€¦ · lost 8.4% compared to 9.2% index loss. ... portfolio contributed 90% of the performance with the fixed income allocation accounting for the residual.

The Fund Manager does not and cannot guarantee the performance of the Fund, and the past performance of the Fund is not a guarantee of its future performance. Furthermore, it is understood that the Fund Manager does not give any advice and/or warranties, express or implied, and shall in no way be responsible or liable to any party for relying on any information

with respect to the matters identified herein.

TNI ASSET MANAGEMENT Team Members

Fund Management

Walid Hayeck

Director +971 2 619 2321 [email protected] Christian Ghandour Senior Vice President +971 2 6192337 [email protected]

Ali Adou Senior Associate +971 2 619 2327 [email protected] Hassan Awan +971 2 619 2369 [email protected] Associate

Business Development Kashif Zia Director +971 2 6192305 [email protected] Sani Tsuruta

Vice President +971 2 619 2356 [email protected]

Rania Senada

Sales Support +9712 619 2336 [email protected]

Middle Office and Risk Management

Imran Ladhani Manager +971 2 619 2334 [email protected] Ahmed Bakir Junior Analyst +9712 6192329 [email protected]

Operations & Settlement

Rajeev Nanda Director +971 2 619 2421 [email protected]

Malik Al Zyadat Senior Manager +971 2 619 2425 [email protected]

Compliance

Ajith Mathew Vice President +971 2 619 2366 [email protected]

Custody & Administration

Gulf Clearing Company Ali Al Laith +973 1 721 8822 [email protected] Apex Fund Services Peter Hughes +144 1 292 2793 [email protected] HSBC Fund Services Christopher Peter +971 2 615 2227 [email protected]

Auditors

KPMG

Munther Dajjani +971 2 634 3318 [email protected]

Deloitte & Touche Wissam Moukahal +971 2 6760606 [email protected]

Distribution

PICER Gabrielle Verwilghen + 41 55 422 24 60 [email protected]

IGS Group John Godden +44 (0) 20 7395 6800 [email protected]

Important Notice

This “Investor Monthly Newsletter” is confidential to the addressee and should not be disclosed nor distributed to any third party without the prior consent of The National Investor (hereinafter referred to as “TNI” or the “Fund Manager”).

This newsletter is for information and does not constitute a prospectus or offering circular or an offer or invitation to subscribe

for Units or Shares in any of TNI funds. All TNI funds (the “Funds”) are available for subscription only on the basis of the relevant Private Placement Memorandum, Subscription Agreement and Application Form which are available only to investors that satisfy the applicable eligibility criteria for investment.

TNI Funds included in this Newsletter are unregulated funds for the purposes of the United Kingdom Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (“FSMA”), the promotion of which in the United Kingdom is restricted by sections 21 and 238 of FSMA. Accordingly, no TNI Fund Shares or Units may be offered or sold in the UK other than (i) by a person authorized by the UK Financial Services Authority (the “FSA”) (an “Authorized Person”) in accordance with the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Promotion of Collective Investment Schemes - Exemptions) Order 2001 or the FSA Conduct of Business Rules; or (ii) by a person other than an Authorized Person in accordance with the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005. The Company is not regulated by the FSA and investors will not have the benefit of the FSA Financial Services Compensation Scheme and other protections afforded by FSMA or the rules and regulations made hereunder.


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