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Top 10 Technology Issues: C-Suite Watchlist
WSHMMA Spring ConferenceSurviving Healthcare Reform-Bridging the Gap
Vancouver, WA
April 14, 2011
Anthony J. MontagnoloExecutive Vice President and [email protected] ext. 5175 ©ECRIInstitute.Montagnolo.2011
Nonprofit healthcare information organization Collaborating Center, World Health Organization Evidence-based Practice Center, Agency for Health Care Policy
and Research now known as the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ)
Interdisciplinary staff of over 300 Stringent conflict-of-interest regulations Largest information provider worldwide for healthcare technology
—its assessment, planning, selection, procurement, management, and risk and quality assessment.
Consulting support and technical assistance worldwide
2 ©ECRIInstitute.Montagnolo.2011
Outline
Building a Bridge To The FutureThe Forecasting Chasm—Seeing around
corners.The Technology Chasm—Where is
technology headed?
Action Steps
3 ©ECRIInstitute.Montagnolo.2011
©Montagnolo.ECRI Institute.2011
Today’s technology decisions are a bridge to our future (like it or not)
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“Prediction is very hard…
especially when it’s about the future.”
Yogi Berra
©ECRIInstitute.Montagnolo.20107
The Forecasting Chasm
Trends are often clear but timing isn’t.
Ergo… Changing too soon and/or changing too late are deadly.
Will intraoperative MRI become a standard of care at every hospital?
Will hospitals be in the genetic medicine business?
9 ©ECRIInstitute.Montagnolo.2011
Outline: The Forecasting Chasm
Expert opinions often conflict.
Forecasting technology is a lot like forecasting economics.
“I wish I could find a one-handed economist.”—Harry Truman
10 ©ECRIInstitute.Montagnolo.2011
Outline: The Forecasting Chasm
Trends are easier to predict than breakthroughs and are often evolutionary in nature.
The timing of a revolution is incredibly hard to predict…but a little planning goes a long way.
The tipping point –Malcolm Gladwell.
©ECRIInstitute.Montagnolo.201111
When it comes to new technology, if you are not part of the steam roller, you are part of the road.
--Stewart Brand
©ECRIInstitute.Montagnolo.201013
©Montagnolo.ECRI Institute.2011
Will intra-operative MRI or CT become standard of care?
Courtesy, Brainlab, Inc.
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The Medical Arms Race:Victims, Wounded, Missing-in-action
Biliary LithotripsyLaser AngioplastyInhaled InsulinCine CTAutologous bone
marrow transplant for metastatic breast cancer
©ECRIInstitute.Montagnolo.201116
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MARCH 2010| IN VIVO: THE BUSINESS & MEDICINE REPORT| www.ElsevierBI.com
©ECRIInstitute.Montagnolo.2011
Outline
Building a Bridge To The FutureThe Forecasting Chasm—Seeing around
corners.The Technology Chasm—Where is
technology headed?
Action Steps
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Six Macro Technology Trends
Genetic/Molecular Medicine Computer-related technologiesHome and Self-careMinimally invasive proceduresDevice/drug hybrid productsOrgan replacement/assist devices using
hardware and tissue-engineering
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Key Technology Trends
1. Diffusion of electronic medical records and clinical decision support systems
2. Convergence of medical devices and information technology
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ECRI TOP 10 Technologies (2009)1.Electronic Medical Records: What Should You Be Doing Now?
2.Ultrahigh-Field-Strength MRI and Premium Performance CT: Do You Really Need Them? Now?
3.Physician Preference Items: Do Your Docs Know the Costs?
4.Robotic-Assisted Systems for Surgery and Endovascular Catheterization: How Many Should You Have?
5.Radiation Oncology: Will Proton Centers Fulfill Their Promise?
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©Montagnolo.ECRI Institute.2011
Hitting cancer harder… Protons join the fray.
Roberts Proton Therapy Center (at Penn)24 ©ECRIInstitute.Montagnolo.201
ECRI TOP 10 Technologies (2009)
6.Radio-Frequency Identification Technology: What Problems Can It Really Solve?
7.Alarm Integration Technologies: How Best to Monitor All Those Alarms?
8.Hybrid Operating Rooms: How Many of Your ORs Should Have Imaging Capability?
9.Therapeutic Hypothermia after Heart Attack, Stroke, Spinal Cord Injury: Dawn of a New Era in Emergency Medicine?
10.Rapid Tests for Deadly Infections: Where Do They Fit in Infection Control Protocols?
©ECRIInstitute.Montagnolo.201125
Cleveland Clinic’s “Top 10” Innovations
Molecular imaging for Alzheimer’s T-cell antibody therapy for melanomaProstate cancer vaccineStatin Jupiter studyProtease inhibitors for Hepatitis C
26 ©ECRIInstitute.Montagnolo.2011
Cleveland Clinic’s “Top 10” Innovations
Heart failure patients use telehealth technologies
Transoral weight-loss surgery Nitric oxide analysis for asthma diagnosisOral treatment for Multiple SclerosisPediatric capsule endoscopy for GI
disorders
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©Montagnolo.ECRI Institute.2011
Ultrahigh-Field-Strength Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) 3.0 Tesla systems slowly
diffusing
Provides higher resolution images
Primary application is neuro studies for right now
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©Montagnolo.ECRI Institute.2011
Dual-Source and 256-Slice Computed Tomography
This technology may be used for cardiac scanning
May provide lower dose and improved resolution
25-50% more expensive than single source CT
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©Montagnolo.ECRI Institute.2011
Multislice Computed Tomography Angiography to Detect Coronary Artery Disease
Rapid diffusion
Will replace some cardiac cath
May act as gatekeeper to cardiac cath
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Intraoperative Magnetic Resonance Imaging
Diffusion is slow and limited to large teaching and surgery hospitals
Cost remains a major barrier to adoption (up to $5.5 million)
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©Montagnolo.ECRI Institute.2011
Digital Breast Tomosynthesis
Provides tomographic view –reduces overlapping tissue blurring
May cost 20-60% more than digital mammo
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Radiofrequency (RF) Catheter Ablation for Atrial Fibrillation
Increasing use of RF ablation could burden treatment centers.
Higher upfront costs could eliminate longer term drug costs.
©ECRIInstitute.Montagnolo.201133
©Montagnolo.ECRI Institute.2011
Bioabsorbable Stents
Bare metal and drug eluting in development
Stents “disappear” over time after implantation
May reduce thrombus
3-5 years away
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©Montagnolo.ECRI Institute.2011
Artificial Heart as Bridge to Transplantation
Very slow diffusion
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©Montagnolo.ECRI Institute.2011
Artificial Intervertebral Disc Replacement for Lumbar Degenerative Disc Disease
Diffusion slow so far
Poor reimbursement
Limited long-term evidence
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©Montagnolo.ECRI Institute.2011
Robot-assisted Surgery for all Applications
Currently being used in cardiology, urology, and gynecology
Diffusion seems to be accelerating as applications expand
Robotic neurosurgery on the horizon
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Bronchial Thermoplasty for the Treatment of Asthma
Endoscopic procedure uses R/F energy
Reduces smooth muscle in airway
Received FDA approval in April 2010
©ECRIInstitute.Montagnolo.201138
Therapeutic Vaccines for Colorectal Cancer
Designed to harness body’s immune response
One compound has received fast-track designation from US FDA
3-5 years until early adoption
©ECRIInstitute.Montagnolo.201139
Drug-eluting Angioplasty Balloons
Early adoption in 1-3 years
Could reduce the use of drug-eluting stents
Several products have approval from European Union
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Wearable Artificial Kidney
Several teams working on this technology
Mobile “dialysis” Not yet FDA approved
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Natural Orifice Transluminal Endoscopic Surgery
Speed recovery and reduce pain
E.g. gall bladder removed through the mouth!
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Deep Brain Stimulation: A shocking development
Brain “pacemaker”
Current treatment for Parkinson's
Potential for depression
©ECRIInstitute.Montagnolo.201144
Implantable Eye Telescope:
Used to treat macular degeneration
Approval by U.S. FDA in March of 2009
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ECRI’s Radar Screen– Technology for …
Advances in mobility—Bionic arms, exoskeletons, and IBOTs!
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Human Genome Project: Or Baby Needs a New Pair of Genes.
Understanding genetic variations and impact on disease
What is the vision for a provider today?
For example, BRCA1/BRCA2 for breast cancer
www.genome.gov
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Outline
Building a Bridge To The FutureThe Forecasting Chasm—Seeing around
corners.The Technology Chasm—Where is
technology headed?
Action StepsWhat do I do on Monday morning?
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Intuition and experts can be misleading…
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…(especially when estimating probabilities)
Strategies for Success
Implement evidence-based technology decision-making process for medical capital
Add organized horizon-scanning into your five-year strategic capital plan
Ensure your healthcare strategy includes a clinical technology strategy
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©Montagnolo.ECRI Institute.2011
D. Berwick,JAMA, April 16, 2003-Vol. 289, No. 15 (Reprinted)
Copyright 2003 American Medical Association. All rights reserved.
To thy own self be true…
where are you?
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Strategies for Success
Technology AcceleratorsGood-to-great organizations think differently
about technology and technological change than mediocre ones.
Good-to-great organizations avoid technology fads and bandwagons, yet they become pioneers in the application of carefully selected technologies.
Jim Collins, Good to Great (New York: HarperCollins Publishers Inc. 2001), 162.
©ECRIInstitute.Montagnolo.201154