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7/23/2019 Topics in Economics http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/topics-in-economics 1/54 Lesson 3 Marshall vs. Walras on Equilibrium and Disequilibrium Ph.D. Program in Economics University of York February-March 2008 Franco Donzelli Topics in the History of Equilibrium Analysis
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Lesson 3

Marshall vs. Walras onEquilibrium and Disequilibrium

Ph.D. Program in EconomicsUniversity of York

February-March 2008

Franco Donzelli

Topics in the History of Equilibrium Analysis

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Lesson 3 - Marshall vs. Walras   2Franco Donzelli

Introduction 1

The problem:

Do Walras’s and Marshall’s

approaches to price theory only differ in

the respective scope of the analysis (general vs. partial analysis)?

Or do they differ in presuppositions, aims, analysis, and results?

The received view as expressed by:

introductory and intermediate textbooks (e.g., Frank, Schotter,

Varian): graphical vs. algebraic development of price theory

advanced textbooks (e.g., Mas-Colell, Whinston, Green):

general analysis as a natural extension of partial analysis

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Lesson 3 - Marshall vs. Walras   3Franco Donzelli

Introduction 2

The working hypothesis:

Walras’s and Marshall’s approaches to price theory differ in essentialrespects.

The main differences have to do with:

the basic assumptions about the functioning of the trading process

the nature of competition: “perfect competition” vs. “bilateralbargaining”

the nature of the disequilibrium process: in either “logical” or “real”time

the interpretation of the equilibrium construct: either an

“instantaneous” state or the “limit point of a sequence” in “real” time the nature of prices: numeraire normalization vs. money prices

The manifest difference in the scope of the analysis, i.e., general vs.partial analysis, is the neces

sary by-product of more fundamentalepistemological and theoretical differences

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Lesson 3 - Marshall vs. Walras   4Franco Donzelli

Introduction 3

The structure of the presentation:

1.  A common ground for the analysis: the

pure-exchange, two-

commodity economy

2. Walras’s approach:

1. basic assumptions about the trading process

2. the model of a pure-exchange, two-commodity economy3. interpretation and textual evidence

4. limitations and extensions

3. Marshall’s approach:

1. basic assumptions about the trading process

2. the model of an Edgeworth Box economy

3. the “temporary equilibrium” model

4. limitations and extensions

4. Comparison between the two approaches and conclusions

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Lesson 3 - Marshall vs. Walras   5Franco Donzelli

The pure-exchange, two-commodity economy 1

Walras’s Eléments d ’  économie politique pure:

I ed.: 1874-1877; II ed.: 1889; III ed.: 1896; IV ed. 1900; V ed.: 1926Most important changes in II and IV editions

English ed.: 1954

Price theory: 31 Lessons out of 42

Pure-exchan

ge, two-commodity economy: Lessons 5 to 10

 A small part of overall price theory, but fundamental (as recognized byWalras himself)

Marshall’s Principles of Economics

8 editions, from 1890 to 1920

Most important changes in V edition (1907)

Price theory: Book V (out of 6, since II ed.)

Pure-exchan

ge, two-commodity economy: Book V, Ch. 2 and App. F

 A very small part of overall market equilibrium theory, but relevant(Marshall’s stance ambiguous on this)

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Lesson 3 - Marshall vs. Walras   6Franco Donzelli

The pure-exchange, two-commodity economy 2

L = 2 commodities, indexed by l = 1, 2

I consumers-traders, indexed by i = 1, …, I (I ≧ 2)

  ∀i = 1,…, I,

a consumption set Xi = {xi ≡ (x1i, x2i)} =ℝ2+ ;

a “cardinal” utility function ui: Xi → ℝ, assumed additivelyseparable in its arguments, that is:

ui(x1i, x2i) = v1i (x1i) + v2i(x2i)

endowments ωi ≡ (ω1i, ω2i) ∈ ℝ2

+ \ {0}

Let:

x = (x1,…, xI) ∈ X = xi Xi ⊂ ℝ2I+ be an allocation

ω   ̅= ∑ ωi ∈ ℝ2++ be the aggregate endowments

 Ape2xI = {x ∈ X| ∑ xi = ω  }̅ be the set of feasible allocations

 Assume:

ui(∙) twice continuously differentiable, with

∇ui(xi) = (v’1i(x1i), v’2i(x2i)) >> 0 and (v’’1i(x1i), v’’2i(x2i)) << 0, ∀xi∈Xi

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Lesson 3 - Marshall vs. Walras   7Franco Donzelli

The pure-exchange, two-commodity economy 3

Let:

ℰ pe2xI = {(Xi, ui(∙), ωi)Ii=1} be a pure-exchange, two-commodityeconomy

ℰ EB = ℰ pe2x2 = {(ℝ2

+, ui(∙), ωi)2

i=1} be an Edgeworth Boxeconomy

Given ℰ pe2xI, ∀x ∈ Ape

2xI, let

MRSi21(xi) ≡ |dx2i/dx1i|ui(xi+dxi)=u(xi) = (∂u(xi)/∂u(x1i) / (∂u(xi)/∂u(x2i)be consumer i’s marginal rate of substitution of commodity 2 forcommodity 1 when his consumption is xi

Let

zi(xi) ≡ (z1i, z2i)(xi) ≡ xi - ωi ≡ (x1i - ω1i, x2i - ω2i) ∈ ℝ2

be consumer i’s excess demand, when his consumption is xi

If zli(xi) > 0, then zli(xi) is called consumer i’s net demand proper for commodity I and consumer i is said to be a net buyer 

If zli(xi) < 0, then |zli(xi)| is called consumer i’s net supply forcommodity I and consumer i is said to be a net seller 

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Lesson 3 - Marshall vs. Walras   8Franco Donzelli

The pure-exchange, two-commodity economy 4

Let us suppose that consumer i can trade commodity 2 for

commodity 1

If the marginal rate at which he can trade is

- dx2/dx1 = |dx2/dx1| = MRSi21(xi) ,

then his utility is unaffected by the trade, since in that case:

du(xi) = ∇ui(xi)dxi = (∂u(xi)/∂u(x1i)dx1i + (∂u(xi)/∂u(x2i)dx2i = 0

On the contrary, if the marginal rate of exchange is

- dx2/dx1 = |dx2/dx1| < MRSi21(xi) ,

then consumer i’s utility increases (resp., decreases) if he is a net

buyer (resp., a net seller) of commodity 1 If instead the marginal rate of exchange is

- dx2/dx1 = |dx2/dx1| > MRSi21(xi) ,

then consumer i’s utility decreases (resp., increases) if he is a netbuyer (resp., a net seller) of commodity 1

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Lesson 3 - Marshall vs. Walras   9Franco Donzelli

The pure-exchange, two-commodity economy 5

Hence the marginal rate of substitution of commodity 2 forcommodity 1, MRSi21(xi), can also be interpreted as the maximum

(resp., minimum) quantity of commodity 2 that a utility maximizingbuyer (resp., seller ) of commodity 1 is willing to pay (resp., toreceive) at the margin in exchange for one unit of commodity 1,when his consumption is xi.

MRSi21(xi) represents consumer i’s “reservation price” ofcommodity 1 in terms of commodity 2, when his consumption is xi.

Both Walras and Marshall do not exactly employ the aboveconceptual apparatus

They do not make any strong monotonicity assumption, ∇ui(xi) =

(v’1i(x1i), v’2i(x2i)) >> 0; Walras explicitly allows for consumers tobecome satiated at finite consumption bundles. But to assumenon-satiation is an unobtrusive simplifying assumption.

They both ignore both the notion of marginal rate of substitutionand that of reservation price.

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Lesson 3 - Marshall vs. Walras   10Franco Donzelli

The pure-exchange, two-commodity economy 6

Yet, they do know and systematically employ the notion ofmarginal utility of commodity l for consumer i, which, under thestated assumptions on the properties of the utility functions, is:

(∂ui(xi)/(∂xli)) = v’li(xli), for l = 1, 2.

Moreover, though not explicitly discussing the notion of marginalrate of substitution as such, they do implicitly make use of it intheir analyses, since they compute the ratio of any two marginalutility functions and examine its role in the agents’ choices.

Hence the above conceptual apparatus, though slightly moregeneral than that originally employed by Walras or Marshall, canlegitimately be said to lie at the foundation of both economists'

demand-and-supply analyses.  Any further development of either Walras’s or Marshall’s

approach, however, requires further assumptions, which arespecific to either economist.

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Lesson 3 - Marshall vs. Walras   11Franco Donzelli

Walras’s three basic assumptions about the trading process 1

The three assumptions are separately stated, even if they areobviously interrelated, and often confused (occasionally byWalras himself) or jointly formulated in the literature.

The wording of the assumptions is carefully chosen in order tomake their statement consistent with Walras’s original discussion,

ambiguities not excepted.

The three assumptions underlie not only the model of a pure-exchange, two-commodity economy, but all of Walras’s models (intheir final form).

The undefined terms in the assumptions will be first defined withspecific reference to the model of a pure-exchange, two-commodity economy, and then discussed with reference to thewhole Walrasian approach.

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Lesson 3 - Marshall vs. Walras   12Franco Donzelli

Walras’s three basic assumptions about the trading process 2

Assumption 1. (“Law of one price" or "Jevons' law ofindifference")

 At each instant of the trading process, a price is quoted in themarket for each commodity. Moreover, if any transactionconcerning a given commodity takes place at any instant of thetrading process, then it takes place at the price quoted at that

instant.

Assumption 2. ("Perfect competition")

 All traders behave competitively, that is, they take prices as givenparameters in making their optimizing choices.

Assumption 3. ("No trade out of equilibrium")

No transaction concerning any commodity is allowed to takeplace out of equilibrium.

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Lesson 3 - Marshall vs. Walras   13Franco Donzelli

Walras’s model of a pure-exchange, two-commodity economy 1

Let ℰ pe2xI

= {(Xi, ui(∙), ωi)Ii=1} be the pure-exchange, two-

commodity economy under consideration.

Let p = (p1, p2) ∈ ℝ2++ be the price system, where prices are

expressed in terms of units of account and are positive in view of

the strong monotonicity of preferences.

In view of assumption 1, the price system ought to be referred to

a particular instant of the trading process; but dating the variables

is unnecessary at this stage: for the exogenous variables

(consumption sets, preferences, endowments) are constant, while

the endogenous (prices and traders’ choices) are allsimultaneous.

Under assumptions 1 and 2, consumers optimizing choices are

homogeneous of zero degree in prices.

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Lesson 3 - Marshall vs. Walras   14Franco Donzelli

Walras’s model of a pure-exchange, two-commodity economy 2

Hence prices can be normalized without any effect on consumers’behavior.

Let p12 ≡ p1/p2) ≡ p21-1 be the relative price of commodity 1 in

terms of commodity 2, where the latter is taken as the numeraire

of the economy (which implies p2 ≡ 1).

Solving the constrained maximization problem for consumer i

yields:

ui   x1i, x2i

 x1i

ui   x1i, x2i

 x2i

 p12   1

12 x1i  x2i   p121i 2i   ,   1

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Lesson 3 - Marshall vs. Walras   15Franco Donzelli

Walras’s model of a pure-exchange, two-commodity economy 3

From that system one gets consumer i’s Walrasian direct demand

and excess demand functions, for i = 1, …, I:xi(p12,ωi) and zi(p12, ωi) = xi(p12,ωi) - ωi

Under assumptions 1 and 2, aggregating demand and excessdemand functions over consumers is immediate, since they allreceive the same price signals (by assumption 1), which they take

as given parameters (by assumption 2). Hence letz(p12, ω) = ∑i zi(p12, ωi) = ∑i xi(p12,ωi) - ωi

be the aggregate demand function, where ω =(ω1,…, ωI).

The market-clearing conditions can be written as:

where p12W is a Walrasian equilibrium price of commodity 1 in

terms of commodity 2.

1 p12W  ,0   2

2 p12

W ,0   ,   2

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Lesson 3 - Marshall vs. Walras   16Franco Donzelli

Walras’s model of a pure-exchange, two-commodity economy 4

From budget equations, by rearranging terms and summing overconsumers, we get the so-called Walras’ Law:

Due to Walras’ Law, equation (2’’) is necessarily satisfied whenequation (2’) holds. Hence we can focus on equation (2’).

Equation (2’) has at least one solution, not necessarily unique

under the stated assumptions.

Each solution yields a Walrasian equilibrium price of commodity 1in terms of commodity 2, p12

W, to which a Walrasian equilibrium

allocation x(p12W) = (x1(p12

W),…, xi(p12W),…, xI(p12

W)) is

associated.

i1

 I  p12 z 1i p12 ,i z 2i p12 ,i p12 z 1 p12 , z 2 p12 ,0, p12  0 .

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Lesson 3 - Marshall vs. Walras   17Franco Donzelli

Walras’s model: textual evidence and interpretation 1

Right at the beginning of Lesson 5 of the Eléments, one finds along illustrative passage, where the functioning of the market for

“3 per cent French Rentes” is described in detail:

“Let us take, for example, trading in 3 per cent French Rentes on

the Paris Stock Exchange and confine our attention to theseoperations alone. The three per cent, as they are called, are

quoted at 60 francs. [...]

We shall apply the term effective offer to any offer made, in this

way, of a definite amount of a commodity at a definite price. [...]

We shall apply the term effective demand to any such demand fora definite amount of a commodity at a definite price.

We have now to make three suppositions according as the

demand is equal to, greater than, or less than the offer.

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Lesson 3 - Marshall vs. Walras   18Franco Donzelli

Walras’s model: textual evidence and interpretation 2

First supposition. The quantity demanded at 60 francs is equal tothe quantity offered at this same price. [...] The rate of 60 francs ismaintained. The market is in a stationary state or equilibrium.

Second supposition. The brokers with orders to buy can no longerfind brokers with orders to sell. [...] Brokers [...] make bids at 60

francs 05 centimes. They raise the market price.Third supposition. Brokers with orders to sell can no longer findbrokers with orders to buy. [...] Brokers [...] make offers at 59francs 95 centimes. They lower the price.”

(Walras, 1954, pp. 84-85)

 As this passage reveals, Walras’s star ting point is represented bya very realistic picture of the trading process, a picture whichstands at a very great distance from the image of that sameprocess emerging from the basic assumptions and the formalmodel.

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Lesson 3 - Marshall vs. Walras   19Franco Donzelli

Walras’s model: textual evidence and interpretation 3

Which is the true Walras?

The first striking difference between the model and the securities

example lies in the moneyless character of the former as

contrasted with the monetary character of the latter.

This is particularly relevant when we consider the monetarycharacter of Marshall’s “temporary equilibrium” model, where

“corn” is traded for money on the daily market of a small town

(“corn”, instead of “securities”, is the commodity traded for money

in Walras’s original example in his 1874 first theoretical

contribution, the mémoire entitled “Principe d’une théorie de

l’échange”).

On this point, however, Walras is very clear. For, a few lines after

the securities example, he adds:

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Lesson 3 - Marshall vs. Walras   20Franco Donzelli

Walras’s model: textual evidence and interpretation 4

“Securities, however, are a very special kind of commodity.Furthermore, the use of money in trading has peculiarities of itsown, the study of which must be postponed until later, and notinterwoven at the outset with the general phenomenon of value inexchange. Let us, therefore, retrace our steps and state ourobservations in scientific terms. We may take any twocommodities, say oats and wheat, or, more abstractly, (A) and

(B).” (Walras, 1954, pp. 86-87)

Coming now to the three basic assumptions about the tradingprocess, we see that all three of them are apparently disconfirmedin the securities example:

traders “make” prices, so that assumption 2 is violated;

different price bids can apparently coexist in time, so that alsoassumption 1 fails;

trades can actually occur at out-of-equilibrium prices, so thatassumption 3 is violated as well.

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Lesson 3 - Marshall vs. Walras   21Franco Donzelli

Walras’s model: textual evidence and interpretation 5

 Also in this case Walras tries to sharply distinguish the informalpresentation of an issue by means of an example from the “scientific”discussion of the same issue by means of a formal model.

 As far as assumptions 1 and 2 are concerned, his line of defense isnot wholly convincing, but in the end they are vindicated.

What is really problematic is Walras’s attitude towards assumption 3: it is very likely that Walras did not initially realize the need for such

assumption as far as the pure-exchange model is concerned;

it is certain that he did not make any similar assumptionconcerning the production model in any one of the first threeeditions of the Eléments, that is, up to at least 1896.

But to allow out-of-equilibrium trades to actually occur in theeconomy, as Walras does at least as far as the production model upto 1896 is concerned, is inconsistent with the requirements ofequilibrium determination in Walras’s approach.

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Lesson 3 - Marshall vs. Walras   22Franco Donzelli

Walras’s model: textual evidence and interpretation 6

In the pure-exchange model the occurrence of disequilibriumtransactions would make the equilibrium indeterminate

by altering the data of the economy (individual endowments)

by altering such data in an unpredictable way, for while Walras’stheory can predict the optimally chosen plans of action at bothequilibrium and disequilibrium, it can only predict the individual

actions when the economy is at equilibrium.

Bertrand’s critique (1883) and Walras’s reaction (1885)

In the second edition (1889), Walras changes the securitiesexample, by adding

the words "Exchange takes place" in the case of marketequilibrium;

the expressions "Theoretically, trading should come to a halt"and "Trading stops" in the case of excess demand and excesssupply, respectively.

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Lesson 3 - Marshall vs. Walras   23Franco Donzelli

Walras’s model: limitations and extensions 1

Walras strenuously resists the generalized adoption of the no-trade-out-of-equilibrium assumption because, together with the

other two, it turns

the adjustment process towards equilibrium into a virtual,

unobservable process occurring in a “logical” time entirely

disconnected from the “real” time over which the economyevolves;

the equilibrium concept into an “instantaneous” equilibrium

concept, instantaneously arrived at in one instant of “real” time.

 All this appears to Walras overly unrealistic and potentiallyundermining the empirical content of the theory

Yet there is a trade-off between unrealism and generality, which

eventually convinces Walras to endorse all the three basic

assumptions about the trading process

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Lesson 3 - Marshall vs. Walras   24Franco Donzelli

Walras’s model: limitations and extensions 2

Concerning generality:

by assuming “perfect competition” and the “law of one price”, Walras(unlike Jevons and Marshall) can immediately attack the problem ofequilibrium determination in a pure-exchange economy with any finitenumber of traders, rather than just two;

by giving up the descriptively realistic hypothesis that one of the twocommodities be money, and by deciding to normalize prices by means

of a numeraire, he makes the transition from a two-commodity to amulti-commodity economy easier: for, when all commodities aresymmetrical, and every one can indifferently play the role of thenumeraire, the dimensionality of the price system (two vs. manyprices) becomes irrelevant; moreover, the cardinality assumption isirrelevant and can be dispensed with;

by making the “no-trade-out-of-equilibrium assumption”, on top ofassuming “perfect competition” and the “law of one price”, he arrives atdefining a concept of “instantaneous equilibrium” which can be easilyapplied, without significant change, to economies that are moregeneral than the pure-exchange economy, such as economies withproduction, capital formation, and even money.

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Lesson 3 - Marshall vs. Walras   25Franco Donzelli

Marshall’s basic assumptions about the trading process 1

Marshall does not assume traders to behave “competitively” (inWalras’s sense), that is, as price-takers and quantity-adaptors.

Hence, in Marshall one does not find individual and aggregate

demand functions of the Walrasian type, since the latter depend on

the “perfect competition” assumption and the “law of one price”.

Marshall’s fundamental ideas about the trading process are that:

the trading process should be viewed as a sequence of bilateral

bargains, each involving two consumers at a time

the conditions governing each individual bargain depend on theMRS’s of the two traders participating in it, viewed as reservation

prices (of either a buyer or a seller, as the case may be).

Precisely, let us focus on consumer i.

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Lesson 3 - Marshall vs. Walras   26Franco Donzelli

Marshall’s basic assumptions about the trading process 2

Let MRS21

i

(ω1i,ω2i) = (∂u(ω1i,ω2i)/∂u(x1i) / (∂u(ω1i,ω2i)/∂u(x2i) be theinitial value of consumer i’s marginal rate of substitution of

commodity 2 for commodity 1

Supposing ∃ j s.t. j ≠ i and MRS21 j(ω1j,ω2j) ≠ MRS21

i(ω1i,ω2i), let

kij(ω) = min {MRS21i(ω1i,ω2i), MRS21 j(ω1j,ω2j)}and

Kij(ω) = max {MRS21i(ω1i,ω2i), MRS21

 j(ω1j,ω2j)}

 A bilateral bargain involving a marginal trade (dx1i,dx2i) = - (dx1j,dx2j)

between traders i and j is weakly advantageous to both iff | (dx2i/dx1i)| = |(dx2j/dx1j| ∈ [kij(ω),Kij(ω)]

Marshall assumes that any weakly advantageous bargain will be

exploited.

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Lesson 3 - Marshall vs. Walras   27Franco Donzelli

Marshall’s basic assumptions about the trading process 3

Hence, if the traders’ initial endowments are not all alike, the initialallocation will change. But, the direction of change cannot be

predicted.

Similarly, even if one can predict that the trading process will come

to an end, neither the final allocation nor the final rate of exchange

can be predicted, failing further assumptions.

 According to Marshall, this sort of indeterminacy is characteristic of

any trading process involving two commodities proper, that is, to any

“system of barter ”.

To discuss the problem of indeterminacy, as well as other aspects of

barter, Marshall focuses attention on an Edgeworth Box economy

ℰ EB = ℰ pe2x2 = {(ℝ2

+, ui(∙), ωi)2

i=1} .

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Lesson 3 - Marshall vs. Walras   28Franco Donzelli

Marshall’s model of an Edgeworth Box economy 1

Marshall shows that the barter process between two consumerstrading “apples” for “nuts” may follow a number of alternative paths,each of which eventually terminates

“because any terms that the one is willing to propose would bedisadvantageous to the other. Up to this point exchange hasincreased the satisfaction on both sides, but it can do so no further.

Equilibrium has been attained; but really it is not the equilibrium, it isan accidental equilibrium” (Marshall, 1961a, p. 791; Marshall'sitalics).

So, any final allocation or rate of exchange is an equilibriumallocation or rate of exchange. But, in general, any such equilibriumis “accidental” or “arbitrary”

There is however a path, characterized by a constant rate ofexchange between the two commodities over the exchange process,which stands apart from all the other possible paths, occupying aposition that, according to Marshall, is theoretically unique, thoughpractically irrelevant.

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Lesson 3 - Marshall vs. Walras   29Franco Donzelli

Marshall’s model of an Edgeworth Box economy 2

“There is, however, one equilibrium rate of exchange which hassome sort of right to be called the true equilibrium rate, because if

once hit upon would be adhered to throughout. [...] This is then the

true position of equilibrium; but there is no reason to suppose that it

will be reached in practice” (Marshall, 1961a, p. 791)

Let us formalize Marshall’s discussion. Let i =1,2. AssumingMRS21

1(ω11,ω21) ≠ MRS212(ω12,ω22), let

k12(ω) = min {MRS211(ω11,ω21), MRS21

2(ω12,ω22)} <

< max {MRS211(ω11,ω21), MRS21

2(ω12,ω22)} = K12 (ω)

The Pareto set of ℰ EB is the set

 EB   x P   A pe

2 2  MRS 21

1  x1

 P  MRS 21

2  x2

 P ,

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Lesson 3 - Marshall vs. Walras   30Franco Donzelli

Marshall’s model of an Edgeworth Box economy 3

while the contract curve ofℰ 

EB is the set

CEB ≠ ∅. Any xC ∈ CEB is an “equilibrium” allocation and any

MRS21

i

(x j

C

) = p1

C

, for i =1, 2 is an “equilibrium” rate of exchange, butin general such equilibria would be “arbitrary”.

Only a rate of exchange p1* = MRS211(x1*) = MRS21

2(x2*) satisfying

the additional condition

,

being constant over the trading process, would qualify as a “true

equilibrium” rate.

C  EB   xC   P  EB  u1 x1

C u11,u2 x2

C u22.

1

 x21

21

 x11

11

 x22

22

 x12

12

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Lesson 3 - Marshall vs. Walras   31Franco Donzelli

Marshall’s model of an Edgeworth Box economy 4

Finally, sinceMRSi

21(xi) ≡ |dx2i/dx1i|ui(xi+dxi)=u(xi) = (∂u(xi)/∂u(x1i) / (∂u(xi)/∂u(x2i),

for i = 1,2, in Marshall’s “true equilibrium” the following condition also

holds:

which is nothing but Jevons’ equilibrium condition, as expressed in

The Theory of Political Economy (1871, Ch. 4, pp. 142-143).

 As can be seen, the extreme form of Jevons’ “law of indifference” is

interpreted by Marshall as an equilibrium condition, precisely, as a

condition for achieving a “true equilibrium”. But “but there is no

reason to suppose that it will be reached in practice”.

u i x i

 x1i

  /ui x i

 x2i

    dx2i

dx1i

   x2i

2i

 x1i

1i

,

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Lesson 3 - Marshall vs. Walras   32Franco Donzelli

Marshall’s model of an Edgeworth Box economy 5

For Marshall, the indeterminacy of equilibrium in the “apple” and“nuts” model depends on its being a model of barter:

“The uncertainty of the rate at which the equilibrium is reached

depends indirectly on the fact that one commodity is being bartered

for another instead of being sold for money. For, since money is a

general purchasing medium, there are likely to be many dealers whocan conveniently take in, or give out, large supplies of it; and this

tends to steady the market.” (Marshall, 1961a, p. 793)

 As far as the indeterminacy problem is concerned, the fundamental

property of money is that “its marginal utility is practically constant”

This allows one to distinguish between the “theory of barter ” (two

commodities) and the “theory of buying and selling” (“money and

commodity”)

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Lesson 3 - Marshall vs. Walras   33Franco Donzelli

Marshall’s model of an Edgeworth Box economy 6

“The real distinction then between the theory of buying and sellingand that of barter is that in the former it generally is, and in the latter

it generally is not, right to assume that the stock of one of the things

which is in the market and ready to be exchanged for the other is

very large and in many hands; and that therefore its marginal utility

is practically constant.” (Marshall, 1961a, p. 793)

 According to Marshall, if one commodity (“nuts”) shared the

essential properties of money (“constant marginal utility”), then the

indeterminacy problem would not arise in the Edgeworth Box model

either.

Let ℰ EBm = ℰ pe

2x2,m be an Edgeworth Box economy where the first

commodity (“apples”) still is a commodity proper, but the second one

(“nuts”) is a money-like commodity, with constant marginal utility

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Lesson 3 - Marshall vs. Walras   34Franco Donzelli

Marshall’s model of an Edgeworth Box economy 7

Let consumer i’s utility function be quasi-linear in commodity 2, that is:

where (∂ui(x1i, x2i)/(∂x1i)) = v’1i(x1i), assumed positive and decreasingfor x1i ∈ [0, ω̅1], depends only on the quantity consumed of commodity1, while (∂ui(x1i, x2i)/(∂x2i)), the marginal utility of the money-like

commodity, is constant (normalized to 1).

Hence

MRS21i(xi) = (∂ui(x1i, x2i)/(∂x1i)) / (∂ui(x1i, x2i)/(∂x2i)) = v’1i(x1i)

depends only on the quantity consumed of commodity 1.

Let

d1i(x1i,ω1i) = max {0, x1i - ω1i}

be consumer i’s net demand proper for commodity 1 for x1i ∈ [0, ω̅1]

ui x1i, x2iv1i x1i x2i   ,   i 1,2   ,

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Lesson 3 - Marshall vs. Walras   35Franco Donzelli

Marshall’s model of an Edgeworth Box economy 8

s1i(x

1i,ω

1i) = |min {0, x

1i- ω

1i}|

be consumer i’s net supply of commodity 1 for x1i ∈ [0, ω̅1]

If x1i > ω1i, then d1i(x1i,ω1i) > 0 and consumer i is a net buyer ofcommodity 1; hence MRS21

i(xi) = v’1i(x1i) can be interpreted as abuyer ’s reservation price, or demand price.

If x1i < ω1i, then s1i(x1i,ω1i) > 0 and consumer i is a net seller ofcommodity 1; hence MRS21

i(xi) = v’1i(x1i) can be interpreted as aseller ’s reservation price, or supply price.

Consumer i’s Marshallian inverse supply correspondence ofcommodity 1, p1i

s: [0,ω1i] → ℝ +, is defined as follows:

p1is(s1i) = [0,v’1i(x1i)] for s1i = 0

p1is(s1i) = v’1i(ω1i – s1i) for s1i ∈ (0,ω1i) (a continuous increasing function)

p1is(s1i) = [v’1i(0),∞) for s1i = ω1i

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Lesson 3 - Marshall vs. Walras   36Franco Donzelli

Marshall’s model of an Edgeworth Box economy 9

Consumer i’s Marshallian inverse demand correspondence forcommodity 1, p1id: [0,ω  1̅ - ω1i] → ℝ +, is defined as follows:

p1id(d1i) = (∞, v’1i(ω1i)] for d1i = 0

p1id(d1i) = v’1i(ω1i + d1i) for d1i ∈ (0, ω  1̅ - ω1i) (a continuous decreasing

function)

p1i

d(d1i

) = (v’1i

(ω   ̅1

), 0] for d1i

= ω   ̅1

- ω1i

By taking the inverses of the above two functions, and suitablyextending them to cover the whole price domain, one gets theMarshallian direct supply and demand functions.

Consumer i’s Marshallian direct supply function of commodity 1 is the

continuous function s1i: ℝ + → [0,ω1i] defined as follows:s1i(p1i

s) = 0 for p1is ∈ [0, v’1i(ω1i))

s1i(p1is) = ω1i – (v’1i)

-1(p1is) for p1i

s ∈ [v’1i(ω1i), v’1i(0))

s1i(p1is) = ω1i for p1i

s ∈ [v’1i(0), ∞)

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Lesson 3 - Marshall vs. Walras   37Franco Donzelli

Marshall’s model of an Edgeworth Box economy 10

Consumer i’s Marshallian direct demand function for commodity 1 isthe continuous function d1i: ℝ + → [0, ω  1̅ - ω1i] defined as follows:

d1i(p1id) = 0 for p1i

d ∈ (∞, v’1i(ω1i)]

d1i(p1is) = (v’1i)

-1(p1id) - ω1i for p1i

d ∈ (v’1i(ω1i), v’1i(ω  1̅)]

d1i(p1id) = ω  1̅ - ω1i for p1i

d ∈ (v’1i(ω  1̅),0]

Let p1mind = mini {v’1i(ω  1̅)} and p1max

d = maxi {v’1i(ω1i)};

let p1mins = mini {v’1i(ω1i)} and p1max

s = maxi {v’1i(0)}.

If the consumers’ tastes are not identical, then p1max

d > p1min

s

Let d1(p1d) = ∑i d1i(p1i

d), for p1d = p1i

d, for i = 1, 2 and p1d ∈ [0, ∞);

let s1(p1s) = ∑i s1i(p1i

s), for p1s = p1i

s, for i = 1, 2 and p1s ∈ [0, ∞).

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Lesson 3 - Marshall vs. Walras   38Franco Donzelli

Marshall’s model of an Edgeworth Box economy 11

The functions d1(∙) and s1(∙), arrived at by aggregating the individualdemand and supply functions over consumers, are called the Marshallian

aggregate demand and supply functions for commodity 1, respectively.

d1(∙) is nonincreasing in p1d, and strictly decreasing for

p1d ∈ [p1min

d, p1maxd], except possibly when d1i = ω  1̅ – ω1i, i = 1,2

s1(∙) is nondecreasing in p1s, and strictly increasing for

p1s ∈ [p1min

s, p1maxs], except possibly when s1i = ω1i, i = 1,2

Hence, supposing p1maxd = v’1i(ω1i) and p1min

s = v’1j(ω1j), i, j = 1, 2 and i ≠ j,

and assuming v’1i(ω  1̅i) < v’1j(0), there must exist a unique price

p1M = p1dM = p1sM ∈ (p1mins,p1maxd) s.t.

or 

d 1 p1 M  s1 p1

 M    6

d 1 p1 M  s1 p1

 M 0   7

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Lesson 3 - Marshall vs. Walras   39Franco Donzelli

Marshall’s model of an Edgeworth Box economy 12

where p1M is the Marshallian equilibrium price of commodity 1 in

terms of commodity 2, while the common value d1(p1M) = s1(p1

M) =

q1(p1M) is the Marshallian equilibrium total traded quantity of

commodity 1, or, for short, the equilibrium quantity of commodity 1.

Equation (7) resembles the Walrasian equilibrium equation (2’), any

solution of which is a Walrasian equilibrium price of commodity 1 interms of commodity 2, p12

W.

Yet, in spite of its appearance, and unlike equation (2’), equation (7)

is not a market-clearing equation; similarly, p1M, unlike p12

W, is not a

market a market-clearing price.

In fact, in general, the two consumers will not carry out their trades

at the constant rate p1M; and yet, even if different trades take place

at different rates, at the end of the process the total quantity traded

of commodity 1 will still be equal to the common value q1(p1M).

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Lesson 3 - Marshall vs. Walras   40Franco Donzelli

Marshall’s model of an Edgeworth Box economy 13

 An illustration:

 Assumption 1. (Utility functions quadratic in commodity 1 and quasi-linearin commodity 2)

ui(x1i, x2i) = v1i(x1i) + v2i(x2i) = ai(x1i - ω1i) - ½bi(x1i - ω1i)2 + x2i, i = 1,2.

Hence: MRS21i(xi) = v’1i(x1i) = ai - bi(x1i - ω1i) , i = 1,2.

 Assumption 2.

K12(ω) = MRS211(ω1) = a1 > a2 = MRS21

2(ω2) = k12(ω)

 Assumption 3.

ω11 < ω12 ; v’11(ω  1̅) < v’12(0)

Equilibrium:p11

d(d11) = p11s(s12) and d11 = s12 . Hence:

p1M = (a1b2 + a2b1) / (b1 + b2) ;

q1M = (a1 - a2) / (b1 + b2)

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Lesson 3 - Marshall vs. Walras   41Franco Donzelli

Marshall’s model of an Edgeworth Box economy 14

p11d,

p11s

p12d,

p12s

p1d,

p1s

d11, s11d12, s12

d1, s1

p1M

q1M

p11s

p11d p12

d

p12s

s1(p1s)

d1(p1d)

p1max

s

p1mins

p1mind

p1maxd

ω11 ω12 ω  1̅ω  1̅ -ω11 ω  1̅ - ω12

v’11(ω11)

v’12(ω12)

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Lesson 3 - Marshall vs. Walras   42Franco Donzelli

Marshall’s model of an Edgeworth Box economy 15

When the two consumers have already cumulatively traded a

quantity q  1̂ of commodity 1, such that q  1̂ ∈ [0, q1(p1M)), there stillexists a positive difference between the demand and the supplyprice of commodity 1 corresponding to q  1̂, that is p1

d(q  1̂) - p1s(q  1̂) > 0.

Hence there still is room for a weakly advantageous marginal tradebetween the two consumers, at any rate of exchange

p   ̂1 ∈ [p1

d

(q   ̂1),p1

s

(q   ̂1)]

The rate of exchange p1M ought to be interpreted as the final rate to

which the sequence of the rates at which the consumers havetraded during the trading process necessarily converges, along apath which may exhibit no regularity other than the statedconvergence.

The total quantity of commodity 1 traded by the traders, q1(p1M)),

ought instead to be interpreted as the quantity of commodity 1 towhich the monotonically increasing sequence of the quantitiescumulatively traded by the consumers during the exchange processnecessarily converges.

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Lesson 3 - Marshall vs. Walras   43Franco Donzelli

Marshall’s model of an Edgeworth Box economy 14

The total quantity of the money-like commodity 2 cumulatively

traded by the consumers at the end of the trading process remainsundetermined, its final value being however necessarily confined tothe interval

,

where i, j = 1,2, i ≠ j; i, j are s.t. v’1i(ω1i) = p1mins and v’1j(ω1j) = p1max

d.

Hence in Marshall’s model there exists no counterpart of equation(2’’) in Walras’s model, where it provides the market-clearingcondition for commodity 2.

Further, in Marshall’s model there is nothing comparable to Walras’Law, even if, due to the bilateral character of any exchange, the totalvalue of sales must always equal that of purchases for eachconsumer, hence for the whole economy.

0

q1 p1

 M 

 p1i

 s s1ids1i,

0

q1 p1

 M 

 p1 j

d d 1 jdd 1 j

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Lesson 3 - Marshall vs. Walras   44Franco Donzelli

Marshall’s “temporary equilibrium” model 1

Marshall's "temporary equilibrium" model actually consists in a limited

extension of his Edgeworth Box model with a money-like commodity toa pure-exchange, two-commodity economy with an arbitrar y finitenumber of traders, that is, an economy

ℰ pe2xI,m = {(ℝ2

+, ui(∙), ωi)Ii=1} with I >2,

where commodity 1 is a consumers' good, commodity 2 is money, andthe marginal utility of commodity 2 is assumed to be constant.

 An ambiguity of the model:

formally: an entire economy → general equilibrium analysis

substantially: a single market → partial equilibrium analysis

Effects on the possibility of formalizing Marshall’s empirical justificationsfor assuming the “marginal utility of money” to be “constant”:

money should be “in large supply and general use” (possible)

the expenditure on the good for which money is traded shouldrepresent “a small part of [each trader ’s] resources” (meaningless)

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Lesson 3 - Marshall vs. Walras   45Franco Donzelli

Marshall’s “temporary equilibrium” model 2

 Assumption 1 (new):

No strategic or game-theoretic considerations are allowed: eachbilateral bargain is regarded as a self-contained transaction by thetwo traders involved in it, so that each trader, in deciding whether toget engaged in a bargain, takes into account only the immediateeffects of that bargain on his utility. (Edgeworth and Berry)

 Assumption 2: An individual bar gain can only take place if it is weaklyadvantageous for the two consumers involved in it.

 Assumption 3:

Each consumer will not stop trading as long as he can increase his

utility by so doing. Under these assumptions, the generalization of the model of an

Edgeworth Box economy with a money-like commodity, ℰ EBm =

ℰ pe2x2,m, to the "temporary equilibrium" model of a pure-exchange

economy with I consumers, ℰ pe2xI,m, with I > 2, is immediate.

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Lesson 3 - Marshall vs. Walras   46Franco Donzelli

Marshall’s “temporary equilibrium” model 3

We shall rewrite equations (6) and (7) as:

it being understood that, in deriving equations (8) and (9), theMarshallian aggregate demand and supply functions for commodity 1are, respectively:

d1I(p1

d) = ∑i d1i(p1id), for p1

d = p1id, for i = 1, …, I, and p1

d ∈ [0, ∞),

and

s1I(p1s) = ∑i s1i(p1is), for p1s = p1is, for i = 1, …, I, and p1s ∈ [0, ∞).

In equations (8) and (9) p1M is the Marshallian “temporary equilibrium”

money price of commodity 1, while the common value d1(p1M) =

s1(p1M) = q1(p1

M) is the Marshallian “temporary equilibrium” quantity ofcommodity 1.

d 1

 I  p

1

 I , M  s

1

 I  p

1

 I , M    8

d 1

 I  p

1

 I , M  s

1

 I  p

1

 I , M 0   ,   9

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Lesson 3 - Marshall vs. Walras   47Franco Donzelli

Marshall’s “temporary equilibrium” model 4

Marshall’s interpretation of equations (8) and (9) is essentially the

same as that of equations (6) and (7). Yet Marshall’s claims are notentirely justified.

Marshall’s “temporary equilibrium” model is developed by means ofan example, referring to “a corn market in a country town”, where“corn” is traded for “money”. The illustration is based on the “facts”

summarized by the following “table” (Marshall, 1961a, pp. 332-333):

 At the price Holders will be Buyers will be

willing to sell willing to buy

37s.   1000 quarters   600 quarters

36s.   700   "   700   "

35s.   600   "   900   "

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Lesson 3 - Marshall vs. Walras   48Franco Donzelli

Marshall’s “temporary equilibrium” model 5

“Many of the buyers may perhaps underrate the willingness of the

sellers to sell, with the effect that for some time the price rules atthe highest level at which any buyers can be found; and thus 500quarters may be sold before the price sinks below 37s. Butafterwards the price must begin to fall and the result will stillprobably be that 200 more quarters will be sold, and the market willclose on a price of about 36s. For when 700 quarters have been

sold, no seller will be anxious to dispose of any more except at ahigher price than 36s., and no buyer will be anxious to purchaseany more except at a lower price than 36s.

In the same way if the sellers had underrated the willingness of thebuyers to pay a high price, some of them might begin to sell at thelowest price they would take, rather than have their corn left on

their hands, and in this case much corn might be sold at a price of35s.; but the market would probably close on a price of 36s. and atotal sale of 700 quarters.” (Marshall, 1961, p. 334)

Here we have a distinctly non-Walrasian equilibration process,since out-of-equilibrium trades are explicitly allowed for.

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Lesson 3 - Marshall vs. Walras   49Franco Donzelli

Marshall’s “temporary equilibrium” model 6

 And yet the process is said to converge to a well-determined price of

corn in terms of money (36s.) and a well-determined total traded quantityof corn (700 quarters), where such price and quantity incidentallycoincide with the Walrasian equilibrium ones.

 According to Marshall, also in this case the determinateness ofequilibrium crucially depends on the "constant marginal utility of money"assumption.

But is Marshall justified in supposing that the "constant marginal utility ofmoney" assumption is sufficient for granting equilibrium determinatenessin a pure-exchange economy with many traders, ℰ pe

2xI,m with I>2, as itwas in an Edgeworth Box economy with a money-like commodity, ℰ EB

m?

The answer is: not quite.

In the model of an Edgeworth Box economy with a money-likecommodity, the sharp result which has been obtained concerning p1

M,the Marshallian equilibrium price of commodity 1 in terms of commodity2, crucially depends on the existence of only two traders in the economy.

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Lesson 3 - Marshall vs. Walras   50Franco Donzelli

Marshall’s “temporary equilibrium” model 7

With only two traders, the marginal rate of exchange at which the last marginal

trade occurs necessarily coincides with both the marginal demand price of the onlymarginal buyer, p1d(q1(p1

M)), and the marginal supply price of the only marginal

seller, p1s(q1(p1

M)).

Hence, assuming uniqueness of the equilibrium price, it also necessarily coincides

with p1M, which can therefore be legitimately interpreted as the final rate to which

the sequence of the rates at which the traders have traded during the exchange

process necessarily converges.

But in Marshall's "temporary equilibrium" model there are more than two traders in

the economy: hence, in general, not only there may exist more than one marginal

buyer or seller, but also there may be some buyers or sellers that are not marginal.

Due to this, in Marshall's "temporary equilibrium" model the total quantity of

commodity 1 traded in the market still converges to the Marshallian "temporaryequilibrium" quantity, q1(p1

M), but the sequence of the money prices of commodity 1

at which the traders buy and sell that commodity during the trading process no

longer necessarily converges to the Marshallian "temporary equilibrium" price, p1I,M:

the outcome depends on the order of the matchings.

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Lesson 3 - Marshall vs. Walras   51Franco Donzelli

Marshall’s pure-exchange models: limitations and extensions 1

Marshall’s Edgeworth Box model is propedeutical to his “temporary

equilibrium” model, which is in turn propedeutical to Marshall’snormal equilibrium models.

But, even if propedeutical, Marshall’s pure-exchange models stillplay a fundamental role in the overall structure of Marshall’sthought.

In his pure-exchange, two-commodity models Marshall wants toshow how an equilibrium comes to be established as the finaloutcome of a realistic process of exchange in "real" time, wheretrades can actually take place at out-of-equilibrium rates ofexchange or prices.

This program inevitably raises the issue of equilibrium determinacy.

Marshall's solution consists in imposing some related restrictionson the traders' utility functions, which are assumed to be quasi-linear in one of the two commodities, and the nature of thecommodities themselves, one of which is interpreted as a money-like commodity or money tout court .

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Lesson 3 - Marshall vs. Walras   52Franco Donzelli

Marshall’s pure-exchange models: limitations and extensions 2

But, at the same time, Marshall inexorably restrains the scope of

his analysis.

His suggested solution of the equilibrium indeterminacy problemonly applies when no more than one commodity proper is explicitlyaccounted for in the model, so that the only unknowns to bedetermined boil down to the money price and the quantity traded ofthat single commodity proper.

There is no way to extend to a multi-commodity world, made up ofmany interrelated markets, the results achieved by Marshall withinhis one-commodity world, consisting in the isolated market wherethe only commodity proper explicitly contemplated by the model istraded for money.

Marshall's analysis remains necessarily confined to the partialequilibrium framework in which it is originally couched, even whenproduction is brought into the picture, as it happens with normalequilibrium models.

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Lesson 3 - Marshall vs. Walras   53Franco Donzelli

Conclusions 1

In this paper we have contrasted the received view on price theory,according to which Walras’s and Marshall’s approaches, whilediffering in scope, are basically similar in their aims, presuppositions,and results.

By focusing on the pure-exchange, two-commodity economy, whichhas been formally studied by both Walras and Marshall with the help

of similar tools, we have been able to precisely identify thedifferences between the two approaches.

First, the very basic assumptions underlying the analysis of thetrading process and shaping the conception of a competitiveeconomy have been shown to widely differ between the two

economists. Secondly, it has been shown that, starting from such different sets of

assumptions, the two authors arrive at entirely different models of thepure-exchange, two-commodity economy.

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Conclusions 2

By reducing the trading process to a purely virtual process in "logical"time, Walras arrives at a well-defined notion of "instantaneous"equilibrium, which can be easily extended to more general contexts (suchas pure-exchange, multi-commodity economies and productioneconomies).

By making a few further assumptions on the characteristics of the tradersand the nature of the commodities involved, one of which must be moneyor a money-like commodity, Marshall can indeed show that a determinate(or almost determinate) equilibrium emerges from a process of exchangein "real" time with observable out-of-equilibrium trades.

But his analysis cannot be significantly generalized beyond the partialequilibrium framework in which it is necessarily couched from the

beginning. There exists a trade-off between realism and scope of the analysis:

the more realistic the representation of the disequilibrium trading process,the less comprehensive and general is equilibrium analysis.


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