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Hartmut Esser Toward a General Theory of Action: The Model of Frame-Selection University of Mannheim Faculty of Social Sciences Mannheim Centre for European Social Research Conference „Game Theory and Society“ Zürich 27th-29th July 2011
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Hartmut Esser

Toward a General Theory of Action:The Model of Frame-Selection

University of MannheimFaculty of Social SciencesMannheim Centre for European Social Research

Conference„Game Theory and Society“Zürich 27th-29th July 2011

A challenging (and meanwhile classical) example fromrational choice theory…

Cooperation and Punishment

Cooperation and Punishment in a Collective-Good-Game (Fehr&Gächter 2000; Fehr & Gintis 2007)

Cooperation and Punishment in a Collective-Good-Game (Fehr&Gächter 2000; Fehr & Gintis 2007): Proportion „Cooperation“

0

20

40

60

80

100

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20

Period

withpunishment

withoutpunishment

50%!

„Altruists“ start with cooperationand adapt (rationally) to

the exploitation by „Egoists“

„Egoists“ and „Altruists“anticipate possible punishment by

some „irrationals“ and thisinitiates (full) cooperation

Cooperation and Punishment in a Collective-Good-Game (Fehr&Gächter 2000; Fehr & Gintis 2007): Proportion „Cooperation“

no last roundeffect!

„RCT“?

… and a (completely) different explanation:Wallstreet and Community

The „Wallstreet-Game“ (Liberman, Samuels & Ross 2004)

67

33

75

33

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Community Wall Street Game Game

% C

oope

ratio

n Fi

rst R

ound

"Most Likely Cooperators"

"Most Likely Defectors"

„Personality“

„Definition“of the situation

Symbols activate certaincultural „models“, which governbehavior regardless of individual

preferences/incentivesFrame of the

Game

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Die incentives bei diesem Experiment sind durch die bekannte Payoff-Matrix des PD gegeben – also wäre bei rationalen Egoisten Defektion das Nash-GG. Was auf der Folie als „personal preferences“ bezeichnet ist, sind Einschätzungen der studentischen Versuchspersonen durch Betreuer der Studentenwohnheime. Es sind also eher Reputationen – die offensichtlich nicht das Verhalten erklären!

… and another classics (modified):Kahneman&Tversky: Save or Die?

20

40

60

80

100

01 2 3 4 5

Experiments

num

bers

/pro

port

ions

50

A/C: save withcertainty/risk

B/D: die withcertainty/risk

All programs have thesame objective efficiency:

200 rescued people

… but responses arevery different

depending on its verbalpresentationK&T

original

Difference in efficiency of programs

200

0

20

40

60

80

100

1 2 3 4 5

Experiments

num

bers

/pro

port

ions

50

A/C: save withcertainty/risk

B/D: die withcertainty/risk

Norm „die“:never let die someone

with certainty!

All programs have thesame objective efficiency:

200 rescued people

… but responses arevery different

depending on its verbalpresentation

Difference in efficiency of programs

Norm „save“:If you can save someone,

do it with certainty!

K&Toriginal

What happens ifefficiency changes?

200

0

20

40

60

80

100

1 2 3 4 5

Experiments

num

bers

/pro

port

ions

50

Difference in efficiency of programs

K&Toriginal

200

0

20

40

60

80

100

1 2 3 4 5

Experiments

num

bers

/pro

port

ions

50

Difference in efficiency of programs

K&Toriginal

number of rescued(more) by A/C vs B/D

Replication&Variations

objective incentiveto vote for A/C

200201

210

250

300

RCT-Expectation:with increasing incentivesdifferences will disappear

0

20

40

60

80

100

1 2 3 4 5

Experiments

num

bers

/pro

port

ions

50

number of rescued(more )by A/C vs B/D

objective incentiveto vote for A/C

strong increase in incentives,slight increase in choice,

almost no change in differences

Difference in efficiency of programs

RCT-Expectation:with increasing incentivesdifferences will disappear

200201

210

250

300K&T

originalReplication&

Variations

… even for extremely high costs:Rescue of Jews in WWII

The Rescue of Jews in Nazi Europe (Varese & Yaish 2000)

Factors of rescue behavior (logistic regression coefficients)

Variables

Age (1940)Gender (male)Education (high)Religiosity (no)Many neighborsCellar in houseNumber roomsUrban/rural„Resistance“

„RC“-Factors

Model 1

0.078**-0.959**-0.1960.468**-0.890-0.7230.295-1.08710.205

2.847**

Model 2

0.109**1.890**-0.2290.501**-1.153-0.0610.261-0.97911.378

Personal call

most importantsingle factor!

„… I could notdeny!“

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Schreibfehler: Yaish

… and a reminder from (classical) Sociology:Talcott Parsons

The „Unit Act“

RC

(„Structure of Social Action“ 1937)

„Definition of the Situation“

ActorsEndsSituation: Conditions (not under control)

Means (under control)

Normative Orientation

Every action is somehow „framed“ by a binding orientation

„Rational choice“ takes always place within such anormative orientation (and constitutes sometimes such aframe itself)

Most important: integration of utilitarian, normative andcultural aspects of actions to ONE comprehensive concept!

Assumptions and Perspectives:

„Correcting explanation“ of special theories by „reduction“to a more general one (Popper)

„Toward a General Theory of Action“ (Parsons et al. 1954)

Two (completely) different mechanisms

The difficulty:

mechanism 2

activationof a

„programme“

decodingof the past

consideration ofconsequencesin the future

mechanism 1

calculationof

cost&benefits

… including„social“ motives!

rational choicenormativebehavior

„Rational action – be it economically or politicallymotivated – is concerned with outcomes. Rationalitysays‚ 'If you want to achieve Y, do X’..“ (Elster 1989(“Nuts and Bolts”): 113)

„I define social norms by the feature that they are notoutcome-oriented. ... The imperatives expressed in socialnorms ... are unconditional.“ (Elster 1989 („The Cementof Society“): 98)

rationalchoice

normativebehavior

conditional!

unconditional!

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Ich würde hier betonen, dass dies eine sehr stilisierte Gegenüberstellung ist. Ich habe gemerkt, dass Leser dazu tendieren, dass MFS so miss zu verstehen, als würde der as-Modus dem kulturellen Depp i.S. Parsons und der rc-Modus einem rationalen Egoisten (für den Normen nur als äußere Restriktion relevant sind) entsprechen. Gerade DiMaggio hat das so verstanden. Dabei kann dem as-Modus auf der Handlungsebene natürlich auch ein sehr bewusstes abwägendes „moral reasoning“ zu Grunde liegen (nur in der Handlungssituation werden Anreize ausgeblendet).

decodingof the past

activationof a

„programme“

mechanism 2mechanism 1

calculationof

cost&benefits

rational choicenormativebehavior

conditional unconditional

condideration ofconsequencesin the future

… regardless thekind of motives! … any new incentive

could beat the norm!

… no incentive canbeat the norm!

… and a third one

mechanism 1

calculationof

cost&benefits

mechanism 1Homooeconomicus

rational choice

conditional

mechanism 2

activationof a

„programme“

mechanism 2Homosociologicus

decodingof the past

normativebehavior

unconditional

„interpretation“&

„symbolic interaction“

mechanism 2mechanism 2Homo

culturalis

„meaning“of symbolsand „cues“

mindfulorientation

„creative“

condideration ofconsequencesin the future

„logic ofcalculativeness“

„logic ofappropriateness“

Homoreciprocans

… and One for All:… and One for All:The Model of Frame-Selection

Main intuition

Situational Objects/Mental Models

Frame-Selection

Script-Selection

Action/Behavior

visibleresponses

internalmechanisms

Ideas/Concepts/Categories/Schemes

Habits/Routines/Standard Procedures

Symbols with„Meaning“

(un-)reflected(re-)actions

Three Roots

Rational Choice Theory&Theory of Reasoned Action

Attitude-Theory&Program Based Behavior

Categorization&Schema-Theory

Coleman/Fishbein&Ajzen

Allport/Homans; Mayr

Mead/Abelson

Three mechanisms

Situational Objects/Mental Models

Frame-Selection

Script-Selection

Behavior/Action

VariableRationality

Definitionof Situation

PatternRecognition

1. Pattern Recognition

Pattern Recognition

(Mis-)Match between mental models and situational objects Activation of biological/socialized reaction-programsBackground: Schema-Theory/Cognition-Theory/Neuro-Science

Situational Objects/Mental Models

Frame-Selection

PatternRecognition

(Mis-)MatchObject/Mental Model

„cues“„symbols“„triggers“

2. Variable Rationality

Variable Rationality

Selection of different degrees of „elaboration“two extremes: automatic-spontaneous vs reflexive-calculating Background: Dual-Process-Theory/Schütz; Mead; Goffman; Garfinkel

Situational Objects/Mental Models

Frame-Selection

VariableRationality

Degree ofelaboration

with „RC“ as oneextreme … … and physiological

reflexes as the other

3. Definition of Situation

Definition of the Situation

Selection of a certain „view“ of the situation („Framing“)… with different degrees of „rationality“ and „conditionality“Background: Attitude-Theory/Schema-Theory/

Thomas, Allport, Abelson

Situational Objects/Mental Models

Frame-Selection

Definitionof Situation

Selection of the„view“ on the

situation

… in differentdegrees ofelaboration

The process

perfect match

normativebehavior

mindfulinterpretation

rationalchoice

notsuitable

suitable

match not perfect

Motivation Opportunity

Effort

VariableRationality

Frame-Selection Definition

of Situation

Pattern Recognition

… and: “Action!”

Situational Objects/Mental Models

Frame-Selection

Script-Selection

Definitionof the Situation

VariableRationality

Behavior/Action

link?

link?

PatternRecognition

sameprocedure …

sameprocedure …

The formal core of the MFS

Pattern Recognition/Categorization: match or mis-match?

Modus-Selection: which degree of elaboration?

Model-Selection: which frame, script and action?

Three steps:

Pattern Recognition/Categorization: match or mis-match?

Modus-Selection: which degree of elaboration?

Model-Selection: which frame, script and action?

Three steps:

(1-mi)*(Ur+Cw)*p – C > 0

Categorization/(Mis-)Match

Opportunities

Effort

gain right„frame“

loss wrong„frame“

Everything is given inthe actual situation!

… or an objectiverestriction!(pre)knowledge

timeressources

Conditions to change to „elaboration“

(1-mi)*(Ur+Cw)*p – C > 0

Categorization/(Mis-)Match

Opportunities

EffortMotivation

Everything is given inthe actual situation!

… or an objectiverestriction!(pre)knowledge

timeressources

Conditions to change to „elaboration“

analogous stepwise for script- and action-selection …

… depending on the activation weight of the respective frame/script

An Illustration

rationalcalculation

of costs/benefits

spontaneousreaction

followinga „program“

futureconsequences

encoding/decoding

(mis)„match“with a„model“

e.g. a branch ina forest looking

like a snake

… for a laymen hotemotion

concentratedroutine

… for asnake expert

cooldecision

… if time andinformations are

available

Main implication: (un)conditionality

decodingof the past

activationof a

„programme“

mechanism 2mechanism 1

calculationof

cost&benefits

rational choicenormativebehavior

conditional unconditional

condideration ofconsequencesin the future

… regardless thekind of motives!

Two Cases

Case 1: Perfect Match

(1-mi)*(Ur+Cw)*p – C > 0

Categorization/(Mis-)Match

Conditions to change to „elaboration“

(1-mi)*(Ur+Cw)*p – C > 0

perfect match

Conditions to change to „elaboration“

(0) *(Ur+Cw)*p – C > 0

mi = 1

Conditions to change to „elaboration“

Alfred Schütz:Everyday Behavior

– C > 0

Conditions to change to „elaboration“

Alfred Schütz:Everyday Behavior

„automatic“

Case 2: No Opportunities

(1-mi)*(Ur+Cw)*p – C > 0

Opportunities

Conditions to change to „elaboration“

(1-mi)*(Ur+Cw)*p – C > 0

noopportunities

Conditions to change to „elaboration“

(1-mi)*(Ur+Cw)*0 – C > 0

p = 0

Conditions to change to „elaboration“

– C > 0

Conditions to change to „elaboration“

„automatic“

(0) *(Urc+Cw)*0 – C > 0

perfectmatch

noopportunities

all incentives aresuppressed!

strong framing

automaticreaction

Conditions to change to „elaboration“

… and a typical statistical interaction effect

strong

weak

Framing

incentiveslow high

-4

-2

0

2

4

actiontendency

The interaction of framing and RC-incentives

with strong framing„rational“ incentives

are ignored

unconditional!

conditional!

Empirical evidence?

Divorce, Embeddedness and Church Wedding(Esser 2002)

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

TR

ate

Network dense

Opportunities

Network not dense

Opportunities

Transition Rates to Divorce

Frame 1 (weak)

Frame 3 (strong)

Frame 1 (weak)

Frame 3 (strong)

unconditional!

unconditional!

A strong marriage frameprevents divorce for all conditions

conditional!

The Rescue of Jews(Kroneberg, et. al. 2010)

0.2

.4.6

.81

Pr(R

escu

eing

)

-2 -1 0

Perceived Risk Index (z-scores)

High Prosocial Orientation (Empirical Max.)Low Prosocial Orientation (Empirical Min.)

unconditional!

conditional!help is

(in)dependent ofperceived risks

Risk!

Voting and „civic duty“(Kroneberg et. al. 2010)

Pr(V

otin

g)

0.2

.4.6

.81

-2 -1 0

Political Preference Index (z-scores)

High Civic Duty Norm (Empirical Max.)Low Civic Duty Norm (Empirical Min.)

unconditional!

conditional!

participation is(in)dependent ofpossible gains!

Incentives!

More examples:

Stability of (non-marital) partnerships (Hunkler&Kneip 2008)Respondent behavior (Stocké 2006)Educational decisions (Stocké 2009)Environmental behavior (Best 2009)Participation in high culture (Weingartner 2009)Cultural Differences in Fertility (Nauck 2010)Criminal Behavior (Kroneberg 2010)Trust (blind vs reflected) (Rompf 2010)…

… and the first case again: A re-interpretation

0

20

40

60

80

100

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20

Period

withpunishment

withoutpunishment

Cooperation and Punishment in a Collective-Good-Game (Fehr&Gächter 2000; Fehr & Gintis 2007): Proportion „Cooperation“

two „types“:A and E

„punishment“sets the A-frame new!

A: „Community“ E: „Wallstreet“

A´s start with C,E´s with D

continuation of Dserves as mis-matchfor „Community“

„social“ framing and„rational“ rewards!

… incentivesbecome important

for all

… (re-)framing to„Wallstreet“ for all

„punishment“sets the A-frame new!

And for all!

punishment-costsare ignored!

What Else?

DPT?

no (formal) model for the integrationof categorization and MOE

but: strong empirical evidence for MOE for „variable rationality“

(wide) RCT?

no addition of new motives in utility functions, but suppression of incentives and „rational“ choice („variable rationality“)

different mechanism: categorization and pattern recognition instead of „calculation“

(wide) RCT as special case (as all other main approaches) with its own fields of applicability (and its merits there!)

Goal Framing?

incomplete: no theoretical place for cue-effects

imprecise: no model for the interaction of frames and incentives andtherefore (no) precise derivation of special implications (eg of „socialframing“ or „modularity“ and „porosity“)

special case of (wide) RCT with some (ad hoc) assumptions on basic frames, activated somehow by „goals“/needs and/or „cues“

A „General“ Theory of Action?

Three Models of Man

mechanism 1

calculationof

cost&benefits

mechanism 1Homooeconomicus

rational choice

conditional

mechanism 2

activationof a

„programme“

mechanism 2Homosociologicus

decodingof the past

normativebehavior

unconditional

„interpretation“&

„symbolic interaction“

mechanism 2mechanism 2Homo

culturalis

„meaning“of symbolsand „cues“

mindfulorientation

„creative“

condideration ofconsequencesin the future

„logic ofcalculativeness“

„logic ofappropriateness“

Homoreciprocans

… three main structural aspectsof social situations

mechanism 1

calculationof

cost&benefits

mechanism 1Homooeconomicus mechanism 2

activationof a

„programme“

mechanism 2Homosociologicus

decodingof the past

mechanism 2

„interpretation“&

„symbolic interaction“

mechanism 2Homoculturalis

„meaning“of symbolsand „cues“

Interests InstitutionsIdeas

rational choice

conditional

normativebehavior

unconditional

mindfulorientation

„creative“

condideration ofconsequencesin the future

„logic ofcalculativeness“

„logic ofappropriateness“

Homoreciprocans

… three conceptions of „rules“/„norms“/„roles“

mechanism 1

calculationof

cost&benefits

mechanism 1Homooeconomicus

Interests

mechanism 2

activationof a

„programme“

mechanism 2Homosociologicus

decodingof the past

Institutions

mechanism 2

„interpretation“&

„symbolic interaction“

mechanism 2Homoculturalis

„meaning“of symbols

Ideas

rational choice

conditional

normativebehavior

unconditional

mindfulorientation

„creative“

condideration ofconsequencesin the future

… asincentives

… asimperatives

… ascues

Homoreciprocans

… three social-science paradigms

mechanism 1

calculationof

cost&benefits

mechanism 1Homooeconomicus

Interests

mechanism 2

activationof a

„programme“

mechanism 2Homosociologicus

decodingof the past

Institutions

mechanism 2

„interpretation“&

„symbolic interaction“

mechanism 2Homoculturalis

„meaning“of symbolsand „cues“

Ideas

rational choice

conditional

normativebehavior

unconditional

mindfulorientation

„creative“

condideration ofconsequencesin the future

„logic ofcalculativeness“

„logic ofappropriateness“

… asincentives

… asimperatives

… ascues

UtilitarianParadigm

NormativeParadigm

InterpretiveParadigm

Homoreciprocans

A General Theory of Action?

A General Theory of Action!


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