Date post: | 08-May-2015 |
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Toward the networked society 2020
Jose Luis Ayala Director of Government Relations, Latin America
Ericsson Internal | 2013-07-24
THE Networked Society
Security
Management
Sustainability
Network Cloud
Services Devices
Wireless Connectivity
is key
Ericsson Internal | 2013-07-24
Traffic Growth
Ericsson Internal | 2013-07-24
9 billion subscriptions by 2018
140% PENETRATION in latam
by 2018
900 m SUBSCRIPTIONS in latam
by 2018
Ericsson Internal | 2013-07-24
Latam penetration by country, Q1 2013
Source: Informa Telecom June/13
0.00%
50.00%
100.00%
150.00%
200.00%
250.00%
300.00%
350.00%
Ericsson Internal | 2013-07-24
3 GB
0.6 GB
0.45 GB
11 GB
2.7 GB
1.9 GB
2012 2018
Data traffic times 12 by 2018
Mobile Traffic Voice and Data
During 2013, overall mobile data traffic is expected to continue the trend of last years, of doubling each year.
Data Consumption per device and month
Ericsson Internal | 2013-07-24
SMARTPHONES FLOODING MARKETS
50% OF PHONES
SOLD IN Q1 WERE SMARTPHONES
4,5 B
0,8 B
1,2 B
0,3 B
17% OF SMARTPHONE
PENETRATION IN LATAM
Subscriptions with cellular connection
Ericsson Internal | 2013-07-24
video: half of data traffic in 2018
2012 2018
Video is the largest segment of data traffic in mobile networks expected to grow by around 60% annually until the end of 2018.
Ericsson Internal | 2013-07-24
Mobile subscriptions by Technology and Region
2012 2018
In Latin America by 2018, WCDMA/HSPA will be the dominant technology (~70%), however GSM/EDGE-only subscriptions will still have significant presence (~20%) and LTE will have ~10%
Technologies evolution
Ericsson Internal | 2013-07-24
Application coverage
@
SMS 10 Mbps 1
Mbps 0.1 Mbps
“App Coverage – the area where my app works as I expect”
Ericsson Internal | 2013-07-24
≈ 50%
≈ 5%
≈ 30%
≈ 15%
Heterogeneous Networks
Improve Densify
Add
Improve
Dense urban Sub-urban Urban Rural
Improve Densify
Traffic density
IMPROVE
ADD
DENSIFY
Site distribution in a typical European country
Ericsson Internal | 2013-07-24
Ericsson mobility report
www.ericsson.com/ericsson-mobility-report
Ericsson Internal | 2013-07-24
MEA Base: 2100 Future: 900, 1800 & 2600 2013+: CEPT800 & APT700
APAC Base: 2100, 900 & 850 Future: 1800, 2300 & 2600 2013+: APT700
Japan Base: 2100, 1700, JP850 Future: 1500, 900 & APT700
Europa Base: 2100 & 900 Future: 2600, 1800 & CEPT800
North America Base: 850, 1900, US700 & AWS Future: 2600
Out of a total 1177 MHz of identified spectrum in ITU RR, on average, ~ 1000 MHz available for licensing in each Region
Latin America Base: 850/900, 1800/1900, 2100 2013+: 1.7/2.1, 2500, 700 Future: 600, E850, 2.3, 1.5, & 3.5
spectrum Available for imt per region
Ericsson Internal | 2013-07-24
Source: Ericsson
• The lack of enough spectrum in the region is the major threat for massive MBB adoption
• Another challenge is the slow spectrum release process (i.e., typically between 6 – 10 yrs. from start)
529
380
240
440
192 180 179 178 170 170 170
120 110 118
260 262
Avai
labl
e S
pect
rum
per
Ban
d (M
Hz)
-
Nat
ionw
ide
Aver
age
292
Latam Spectrum availability, July 2013
Ericsson Internal | 2013-07-24
*UIT-R M.2078 Estimated spectrum required for IMT-2000 and IMT-Advanced services by 2020
Future spectrum needs
› WRC-07 estimated that a total of 1280 – 1720 MHz would be needed by 2020*
› NEW estimates for WRC-15 indicate a total spectrum need of up to 1900 MHz by 2020
› Additional 800-1000 MHz at WRC-15 for 2020
Ericsson Internal | 2013-07-24