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Towards a Targeted Response for Poverty Alleviation
Background• Develop Poverty Maps to improve delivery of assistance
programs• Poverty Maps allows us to identify concentrations of
Poverty at a lower geographical level• Current challenge for Poverty Alleviation programs is the
lack of small area level information to ensure that intervention programs reach the right recipients.
• Time frame – August 2010 to April 2011
Incidence of Poverty (by Division/area)
Area Division 2002 2008
Rural Central 29 36
Eastern 35 40
Northern 57 51
Western 38 43
Rural All 40 43
Urban Central 24 16
Eastern 42 30
Northern 39 38
Western 33 17
Urban All 28 19
FIJI 35 31
Towards a Targeted Response for Poverty Alleviation
Current Challenges Using the Western Division as an example
• The Western Division has a population of 320,000 living in 69,000 households. There are 3 provinces and 7 urban centers.• Poverty estimates are available only for Western Urban and Western Rural, clearly insufficient for a wide geographical region.• Poverty Alleviation programs require information at a lower geographical level
Western Division
-Population 320,000-3 Provinces-7 Urban Centers-2 Incidence of Poverty Estimates i.e. Western Urban (17%) and Western Rural (43%
Towards a Targeted Response for Poverty Alleviation
• The Poverty mapping exercise will provide information for at least 500 small area geographical units
• Around $1.5b for Poverty Alleviation program in the last 10 years
• The latest Poverty Findings indicate that the Western Rural and Urban are to be allocated 33% and 8% of Poverty Alleviation Resources, respectively.
Western Division EA Boundaries
500 Enumeration Areas500 Poverty Incidence Estimates
Towards a Targeted Response for Poverty Alleviation
• We also attempted to gather GPS Waypoints for each household in the 2007 Population Census
• We have completed about 85% of the work• The GPS Waypoints will enhance the usefulness of the
census data• We will need to figure out whether GPS information
could be useful in providing poverty rates at a lower level of geography then the Enumeration Area
GPS Waypoints
VITILEVU - GPS
Households with GPS Locations
Action Plan
• Main data sources confirmed i.e. 2007 Population and Housing Census and 2008-09 HIES
• Common variables have been identified.
• Data is being checked, verified and cleaned.
• Check on other relevant data i.e. those that may help explain differences in poverty between locations
Action Plan
• Identify other data sources: location-specific infrastructure, roads, agriculture and hotels.
• Identify how to merge those data onto HIES and Census (identifiers? Name?)
• Do clusters match with Census Enumeration Areas (EAs)?
Action Plan
• Model Welfare using survey sample
• Merge location-specific information onto survey
• Identify model that predicts welfare (poverty) “fairly well”
• Compute and save model coefficients
Action Plan
• Bring Model Results to Census
• Compute poverty (and inequality) estimates
• Produce “the map”
External Stakeholders
• Poverty Eradication Unit of the Prime Minister’s Office.
• Ministry of Social Welfare
• Other Government Ministries, Donors, NGOs and institutions involved in Poverty Alleviation Programs
VINAKA VAKALEVU