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Prof. Shivanand Swamy Centre of Excellence in Urban Transport, CRDF, CEPT University, Ahmedabad Towards Decarbonisation of Urban Transport Opportunities to decarbonize Urban Transport through interventions in Travel Demand Management September 23, 2020 UNESCAP
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Page 1: Towards Decarbonisation of Urban Transport Shivanand... · 2020. 9. 28. · Estimating Emissions GHG UNDER VARIOUS SCENARIOS Centre of Excellence in Urban Transport Base Year 2011

Prof. Shivanand Swamy

Centre of Excellence in Urban Transport, CRDF, CEPT University, Ahmedabad

Towards Decarbonisation of Urban Transport

Opportunities to decarbonize Urban Transport through interventions in Travel Demand Management

September 23, 2020

UNESCAP

Page 2: Towards Decarbonisation of Urban Transport Shivanand... · 2020. 9. 28. · Estimating Emissions GHG UNDER VARIOUS SCENARIOS Centre of Excellence in Urban Transport Base Year 2011

THE SYNERGY EFFECT

PROJECTING EMISSION LEVELS IN INDIAN CITIES

Centre of Excellence in Urban Transport

22.3%24.3%

24.3%

46.4%

46.4%

46.4%

1.5%

6.9%

0.0%

20.0%

40.0%

60.0%

80.0%

100.0%

120.0%

Impact of Vehicle Technology Impact of Public Transport + Vehicle Technology Impact of Density + Public Transport + VehicleTechnology

%a

ge

CO

2 S

avin

g (

co

mp

are

d t

o c

um

ula

tive

im

pa

ct)

Impact of Density Impact of Public Transport Impact of Vehicle Technology Synergy

Swamy H.M Shivanand, Gautam IP, Lohia SK , Bhakuni Nitika, “Promoting Sustainable urban growth in Indian Cities” The Journal of Governance

Volume 4,January 2012 (69-85) (20 cities – analysis)

Page 3: Towards Decarbonisation of Urban Transport Shivanand... · 2020. 9. 28. · Estimating Emissions GHG UNDER VARIOUS SCENARIOS Centre of Excellence in Urban Transport Base Year 2011

Estimating Emissions GHG UNDER VARIOUS SCENARIOS

Centre of Excellence in Urban Transport

Base Year

2011

Future Year

2031

71941

46189

3240530027

Swamy H.M Shivanand, Gautam IP, Lohia SK , Bhakuni Nitika, “Promoting Sustainable urban growth in Indian Cities” The Journal of Governance

Volume 4,January 2012 (69-85)

Page 4: Towards Decarbonisation of Urban Transport Shivanand... · 2020. 9. 28. · Estimating Emissions GHG UNDER VARIOUS SCENARIOS Centre of Excellence in Urban Transport Base Year 2011

Prof. H M Shivanand Swamy | Centre of Excellence in Urban Transport, CEPT University | 07 September, 2020

Page 5: Towards Decarbonisation of Urban Transport Shivanand... · 2020. 9. 28. · Estimating Emissions GHG UNDER VARIOUS SCENARIOS Centre of Excellence in Urban Transport Base Year 2011

Covid 19 “Disruption”

Reverse Flow to

Tier-2 & Tier-3 cities

Impacts

Largest disruption of the last 100

years- Instantaneous and of this

magnitude with global impact

Unattractive and

Unsafe PT for “Choice

Riders”; Travel if

“Unavoidable”

Instant adaptation

to WFH & flexi

work timings

Trip substitution via

digitalisation

Instant adaptation to

new technologies &

tools;

Disruptions give an opportunity for

innovations - need to arrest

positive changes and mitigate the

negative

Cycling emerging as the

“Choice”

Low Pollution

Swamy HMSS & Laghu Parashar

Page 6: Towards Decarbonisation of Urban Transport Shivanand... · 2020. 9. 28. · Estimating Emissions GHG UNDER VARIOUS SCENARIOS Centre of Excellence in Urban Transport Base Year 2011

Reconfiguring Mobility Landscape

• Ensure that gain due to change in travel

behaviour sustains

• Reset priorities, standards and focus on

quality (with quantity)

• Ensure robust digital infrastructure,

especially in T-2 & T-3 cities

• Bring cities & people closer

• High-speed/semi-high speed rail

connectivity for region (Build Rail & Not

Highways)

• Bus integrated collective mobility

system

• Raise and priortise funds- “who should pay”

to create affordable infrastructure

• Build capacity of the cities/states

Guiding Principles for “New Normal”

Swamy HMSS & Laghu Parashar

10

05

Years

BAU Pre- Covid

Do-nothing Post - Covid

Desired New Normal Post - Covid

NN

Page 7: Towards Decarbonisation of Urban Transport Shivanand... · 2020. 9. 28. · Estimating Emissions GHG UNDER VARIOUS SCENARIOS Centre of Excellence in Urban Transport Base Year 2011

D I S S E R T A T I O N 2 0 0 7 - 0 9 Lavinder Walia, IP 0907

PUSH and PULL - BOTH NEED TO BE PUT IN PLACE

S E R V I C E E L A S T I C I T Y

25

6 6 8

17

73

109

152

172

227

0

50

100

150

200

Crowdnessdecrease

Decrease in In-vehicle time

Decrese in Out-vehicle time

Decrease in tansitfares

Connectivityincreases- new

fleet

Well connected Subsidised fares Increase in Fuelprice

Levyingcongestion

charge

Increase inparking fares

No shift

Existing Public transport New Public transit Personal vehicle No shift

I M P R O V E D S E R V I C E L E V E L S N E W

T R A N S I T

A D D I T I O N A L C O S T N O

S H I F T

▪ Service elasticities of existing public transport is very inelastic

▪ For car users, service elasticity is zero, which means demand is perfectly inelastic, it will not change whatever may be the change in the service

levels.

SERVICE ELASTCITIES OF TWO

WHEELERS

▪ -0.0009 for decrease in

crowdedness level

▪ -0.01 for decrease in In-vehicle

time

▪ 0 for decrease in transit fares

▪ -0.024 for increase in connectivity-

new fleet

Where e = elasticity Δ Q = Change in demand

P = base price Δ P = Change in price

Q= base demand

e = Δ Q

Δ P

P PPQ

P E R C E N TA G E C H A N G E I N D E M A N D B Y

P E R C E N TA G E C H A N G E I N P R I C E

(0.88%)(2.2%)

(2.6%) (2.6%) (3.5%)

(7.5%)

(32.2%)

(48%)

(67%)

(75.7%)

(24.3%)

SOURCE: Computations from S.P. surveys, 2009

Page 8: Towards Decarbonisation of Urban Transport Shivanand... · 2020. 9. 28. · Estimating Emissions GHG UNDER VARIOUS SCENARIOS Centre of Excellence in Urban Transport Base Year 2011

Investing Right

Symbolic/Status vs Meaningful Contribution!!!

Page 9: Towards Decarbonisation of Urban Transport Shivanand... · 2020. 9. 28. · Estimating Emissions GHG UNDER VARIOUS SCENARIOS Centre of Excellence in Urban Transport Base Year 2011

Transit Systems: MRTS and BRTS

Metro Rail – Elevated/UG Mono Rail - Elevated

LRT Rail, At Grade

BRTS – Segregated Corridor (At Grade)

Tram, At Grade

Page 10: Towards Decarbonisation of Urban Transport Shivanand... · 2020. 9. 28. · Estimating Emissions GHG UNDER VARIOUS SCENARIOS Centre of Excellence in Urban Transport Base Year 2011

Ridership Forecasts & Actuals – Metro Rail Global

10

Systems Study Ridership v/s Forecast

Three federally funded US Transit

Systems

Wachs (1986) 47% to 68% below

forecast

% metros in developing cities

worldwide

Halcrow Fox

(1990)

50% to 90% below

forecast

10 federally-funded US transit

systems

Pickrell (1990) 28% to 85% below

forecast

6 Asia rail concessions Halcrow (2004) 25% to 50% of forecast

Bangkok Sky Train: (24 kms) UNESCAP

(2014)

Actual 1.8 lakh v/s

forecast of 6.5 lakh

-72% below forecast

Invest in Bus ways in Cities and Railways for regional Connectivity

Page 11: Towards Decarbonisation of Urban Transport Shivanand... · 2020. 9. 28. · Estimating Emissions GHG UNDER VARIOUS SCENARIOS Centre of Excellence in Urban Transport Base Year 2011

CityCommence

ment Year

Proposed

Network

Length (2016) -

km

Operational

Network length

(2016) - km

Estimated Daily

Ridership (2016)

Actual Daily

Ridership

(2016)

Actual Daily

Ridership

(2017)

% Ridership

Achieved

Delhi 2002 193 213.00 22.00 26.61 24.20 118%

Mumbai 2014 11.4 11.40 6.00 2.77 3.80 46%

Jaipur 2015 12.06 9.63 2.10 0.25 0.18 12%

Chennai 2015 43.80 20.00 7.56 0.12 0.30 2%

Bengaluru 2011 72.09 30.30 14.80 1.75 3.20 12%

Chennai*2015 173.01 45.10 8.89 1.15 13%

Lucknow* 2016 107.98 22.90 6.44 0.67 10%

Kochi*2017 39.07 24.80 4.68 0.6 13%

Hyderabad*2017 188.00 69.21 10.89 4.9 45%

11

Source: Compiled from different sources,1. Delhi: UNEP, 2014, “PROMOTING LOW CARBON TRANSPORT IN INDIA”2. http://www.delhimetrorail.com/otherdocuments/SustainabilityReport2014-15.pdf3. http://www.jaipurmetrorail.in/pdf/DPR%20Phase%20I.pdf4. Mumbai Phase I Metro DPR5. Chennai Metro Phase I DPR Summary6. http://www.bmrc.co.in/pdf/phase2/phase2forweb.pdf• Multiple sources; Estimated & Actual Ridership figures refers to 2019

Main reason for short fall – optimism in mode shift from personalised vehicles

Ridership Forecasts & Actuals – Metro Rail India

Page 12: Towards Decarbonisation of Urban Transport Shivanand... · 2020. 9. 28. · Estimating Emissions GHG UNDER VARIOUS SCENARIOS Centre of Excellence in Urban Transport Base Year 2011

Travel Demand – Mode Shifts To BRTWe need to replace bus with a better bus!!!!

• Mode Shift – From private cars/modes - Global• Metrobús (BRT, Istanbul) 4-9% (Yazici et al., 2013) (Alpkokin &

Ergun, 2012)

• Stombuss (Blue buses) (BRT, Stockholm) 5% (Finn et al.,2011)

• Trans-Val-de-Marne (BRT, Paris) 8% (Finn et al., 2011)

• BRT Line 1 (BRT, Beijing) 12% (Deng & Nelson, 2013)

• Jokeri line (BRT, Helsinki) 12% (Finn et al., 2011)

• TransJakarta (BRT, Jakarta) 14% (Ernst, 2005)

• Adelaide – 40% (Prayogi, 2017)

• Sydney – 9% (Prayogi, 2017)

• Mode Shift – From Public /Para Transit• Ahmedabad – 91% (53% bus & 38% shared auto-2015)

(CEPT, 2015)

• Indore - 72% (2013) (WRI, 2013)

• Surat - 77% (Mainly from shared auto) (CEPT, 2019)

• Hubli - Dharwad – 94% (2019- From bus) (CEPT, 2019)

• Pune – 92% (2011) – (Bus & Shared Auto) (ITDP, 2012)

• Lagos – 93% (Dayo, 2018)

• Guangzhou -91% (Bus – 81%, MRT-10% - 2010) – 2013 -82%(54+28) (ITDP, 2016)

Access Mode

Access

Share

Previous

Mode

Same TripWalk >10min 34.8 1.8

Trams/Subway 3.5 6.1

Commuter Rail 0.3 0.7

IFTT Bus 22 55.7

Pvt Public Bus 9 18.1

Service bus 0.2 0.4

Dolmus/Mini Bus 25.5 9.4

Sub Total Bus 56.7 83.6

Taxi 3.4 1

Private Car 1.3 4

Total 100 97.2

Induced/ Growth - 2.8

Total 100 100

12

ISTANBUL METRO BUS – 2010Source: Ingvardson, Jesper Bláfoss; Nielsen, Otto Anker

Page 13: Towards Decarbonisation of Urban Transport Shivanand... · 2020. 9. 28. · Estimating Emissions GHG UNDER VARIOUS SCENARIOS Centre of Excellence in Urban Transport Base Year 2011

Bogota – TransMilenio

• Phase -1 Network – Dual Carriageway December 2000

• BRT 41 Kms – 470 Articulated Buses

• Feeder – 309 Km – 235 conventional feeder buses (Free)

• 4 terminals; 57 stations

• Phase – 2 2003 – 41km (3 stages 13+18+10)

• Demand projections

• Estimated ridership at 673,000 passengers per weekday. - on the first day of operation (December 18, 2000), the system carried 19,000 people. (16400/km)

• Ridership steadily grew throughout 2001 and 2002, & by October 2002 the system was carrying around 770,000 passengers/day. May 2003 - 792,000.

• When the first part of the Phase II busway opened in late 2003, ridership rose to over 900,000 passengers per day. (17000/km)

• Ridership is currently 1,050,000 passengers per day (January 2006) and is expected to rise to 1.4 million passengers

Travel Time Savings

• Phase I, equating to a 32% reduction in average travel times for transit users (Yepes, 2003)

• Overall, TransMilenio has reduced average travel time in the city by 13 minutes per trip (Martínez, 2005).

13

Page 14: Towards Decarbonisation of Urban Transport Shivanand... · 2020. 9. 28. · Estimating Emissions GHG UNDER VARIOUS SCENARIOS Centre of Excellence in Urban Transport Base Year 2011

• Public Transport share - from 64 % in 1999 to 70 % in 2005 (6% increase)

• TransMilenio share - only 27% of the city’s total transit trips

• The proportion of non-motorized trips has increased from 8% in 1999 to 15 % in 2005

• During the same period the proportion of personal vehicle trips has reduced from 18 % to 11 %.

• 9% of surveyed riders stated that before TransMilenio they made the same trip by private car.

• Access Mode: Mainly by 2 methods - Connecting through other buses, or by Walking

Other Supportive Initiatives

• Feeder System (Free)

• Car use restrictions; 40 % of cars are banned from using roads in the peak periods (7:00 to 9:00 a.m. and 5:00 to 7:00 p.m.)

• Bikeway construction – 20km

• Public areas construction (walkways, green space, road dividers, sidewalks)

• TOD

• Single fare favouring poor bus users

BRT as a Quality PT Option. BRT is my City Bus14

Bogota – TransMilenio

Page 15: Towards Decarbonisation of Urban Transport Shivanand... · 2020. 9. 28. · Estimating Emissions GHG UNDER VARIOUS SCENARIOS Centre of Excellence in Urban Transport Base Year 2011

Delhi - Network and Ridership TrendsDelhi Metro

• Started in 2002 (25km) & carried less than 1.5 lakh passengers per day for the first 4 years

• Crossed 2 lakh daily passengers only in the fifth year

• With network expanding to 69 km, the ridership started to increase.

• With network length of 190 km, Delhi Metro is servicing 25 lakh passengers per day (2013)

• With network length of 348 km, Delhi Metro is servicing 46-57 lakh passengers/ day (2019-20)

Ridership /Km

• Starting ridership per.km was below 2500/km till 2005 (first 4 years) with 25 km network

• Total boarding increased but remained below 6000/km till 2007 (6th year)

• Crossed 8000/km mark in 2010 (9th year) with 146 kms under operation

• Crossed 10000/km mark in 2012 (10th year of operation)

• Crossed 15000/km mark in 2019 (17th year of operation)

DHAKA BRT3 N: (Pass/km)

BUET – 2021 -20222 to 21840 /km; 2026- 24460 to26418/km; 2031–29990 to 32300/km

Page 16: Towards Decarbonisation of Urban Transport Shivanand... · 2020. 9. 28. · Estimating Emissions GHG UNDER VARIOUS SCENARIOS Centre of Excellence in Urban Transport Base Year 2011

Delhi Metro Ridership, Network Length & PHPDT – RAMP-UP

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

0

500000

1000000

1500000

2000000

2500000

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

Len

gth

(km

)

Daily R

iders

hip

Ridership Length

Network Length vs. Daily Ridership

Network Length vs. Max. PHPDT

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

Len

gth

(km

)

Max P

HP

DT

Max PHPDT Length

Source: DMRC

Page 17: Towards Decarbonisation of Urban Transport Shivanand... · 2020. 9. 28. · Estimating Emissions GHG UNDER VARIOUS SCENARIOS Centre of Excellence in Urban Transport Base Year 2011

INVESTING RIGHT

CELEBRATING SUCCESS

Integrated Transport

Page 18: Towards Decarbonisation of Urban Transport Shivanand... · 2020. 9. 28. · Estimating Emissions GHG UNDER VARIOUS SCENARIOS Centre of Excellence in Urban Transport Base Year 2011

BRTS in Jakarta, Indonesia

Source: www.itdp.org

Page 19: Towards Decarbonisation of Urban Transport Shivanand... · 2020. 9. 28. · Estimating Emissions GHG UNDER VARIOUS SCENARIOS Centre of Excellence in Urban Transport Base Year 2011

BRTS in Hanoi, Vietnam

Page 20: Towards Decarbonisation of Urban Transport Shivanand... · 2020. 9. 28. · Estimating Emissions GHG UNDER VARIOUS SCENARIOS Centre of Excellence in Urban Transport Base Year 2011

Public Bike Sharing, Bandung

Source: https://www.infobdg.com/v2/bandung-bike-sharing-mulai-dioperasikan/

Page 21: Towards Decarbonisation of Urban Transport Shivanand... · 2020. 9. 28. · Estimating Emissions GHG UNDER VARIOUS SCENARIOS Centre of Excellence in Urban Transport Base Year 2011

Trash for ticket, Surabaya, Indonesia

Source: https://phys.org/news/2019-08-trash-tickets-indonesia-plastic-bus.html

Page 22: Towards Decarbonisation of Urban Transport Shivanand... · 2020. 9. 28. · Estimating Emissions GHG UNDER VARIOUS SCENARIOS Centre of Excellence in Urban Transport Base Year 2011

Dhaka City -Strategic Public Transport Network

INTEGRATED MRT and BRT Lines

Page 23: Towards Decarbonisation of Urban Transport Shivanand... · 2020. 9. 28. · Estimating Emissions GHG UNDER VARIOUS SCENARIOS Centre of Excellence in Urban Transport Base Year 2011

Mini Bus based on App booking, Ho Chi Minh

Source: https://vnexplorer.net/ho-chi-minh-city-proposes-new-minibus-service-with-app-booking-

a202063427.html

Page 24: Towards Decarbonisation of Urban Transport Shivanand... · 2020. 9. 28. · Estimating Emissions GHG UNDER VARIOUS SCENARIOS Centre of Excellence in Urban Transport Base Year 2011

3000 CNG Public Transport fleet, Tehran

Source: https://www.gnvmagazine.com/en/flota-de-autobuses-de-teheran-equipada-con-500-tanques-de-gnc-2/

Page 25: Towards Decarbonisation of Urban Transport Shivanand... · 2020. 9. 28. · Estimating Emissions GHG UNDER VARIOUS SCENARIOS Centre of Excellence in Urban Transport Base Year 2011

Legend: BRTS

HMC

CITY BUS SERVICE

INTERCHNANGE

Regional

Urban

Zonal

DEPOT

BRTS Depot

CBS Depot Planned

INTERCHANGES for

seamless travel

Also, decentralizing

city

Regional: 3

Urban: 5

Zonal: 7 DEPOT for regular

bus maintenance

Distributed across

city for managing

Dead-km

BRTS: 2

City Bus: 9 planned Metro-Rail planned

with an integrated

approach

Mobility Plan

approved in 2017-18

Parking Policy

approved in 2018

Integrated Fare –

Open Loop Card

BRTS towards Sustainable

Mobility

Planned Network: 102 km

Operational Network: 102 km

Operational Fleet: 166

Pax per day: 105,000+

Phase 1: 30km under JnNURM

(50% Centre, 20% State & 30%

SMC funds)

Phase 2: 72km + 30km 100%

SMC’s own funds High Mobility Corridor to

revive old city economic

growth

Planned Network: 12 km

Stations: 22

Headway (peak): 3-4min

Service: 24 hoursCity Bus Service to connect the

last mile

Planned Network: 515 km

Operational Network: 230 km

Operational Routes: 32

Operational Fleet:275

Total Urban Coverage 94%

Investing on Right Path : Sustainable Public Transport

Solutions Comprehensive Planning

Page 26: Towards Decarbonisation of Urban Transport Shivanand... · 2020. 9. 28. · Estimating Emissions GHG UNDER VARIOUS SCENARIOS Centre of Excellence in Urban Transport Base Year 2011

26

PLANNING FRAMEWORK – LAND MANAGEMENT (+TOD+LVC)

Development Plan” (Macro Level) (Since 1954)

Zoning ProposalsRegulation for DevelopmentCity level Transportation and infrastructure planning andimplementation

“Town Planning Schemes” (Micro Level) (since 1915)

Local Area Plan” (Micro Level) (Since 2014)

Land reconstitution

Neighborhood level road network , social and

physical

infrastructure

Financing of neighborhood level infrastructure

Detailed area level plan with urban design

interventions

Planning for TOZ

Amendment in Gujarat Town Planning & Urban

Development Act, 1976

‐Local Area Plan

Page 27: Towards Decarbonisation of Urban Transport Shivanand... · 2020. 9. 28. · Estimating Emissions GHG UNDER VARIOUS SCENARIOS Centre of Excellence in Urban Transport Base Year 2011

Celebrating Bus Service: Sustainable Public Transport

ServicesPlanning for Seamless Transit Infrastructure (Intracity + Intercity + Sub-Urban + Regional Services)

Dharwad

BRT

Depot

Hubli

BRT

Depot

Multilevel

Dharwad

BRTS

Terminal

Hosur

Interchan

ge

Foot Over

Bridges

for BRT

Station

Terminal for Sub-Urban

Services

BRTS

Station

FOB with Lift

Feeder Bus

Terminal

Regional Bus

Terminal

Drop off bay

for Pvt. veh

Land

reserved for

TOD with

Park & Ride

infrastructur

e

City Bus

Depot

Page 28: Towards Decarbonisation of Urban Transport Shivanand... · 2020. 9. 28. · Estimating Emissions GHG UNDER VARIOUS SCENARIOS Centre of Excellence in Urban Transport Base Year 2011

Celebrating Bus Service: Sustainable Public Transport

ServicesFrom two lane undivided SH to India’s highest capacity BRT between twin city

Page 29: Towards Decarbonisation of Urban Transport Shivanand... · 2020. 9. 28. · Estimating Emissions GHG UNDER VARIOUS SCENARIOS Centre of Excellence in Urban Transport Base Year 2011

Incentivizing, Pricing, Institution Building

Page 30: Towards Decarbonisation of Urban Transport Shivanand... · 2020. 9. 28. · Estimating Emissions GHG UNDER VARIOUS SCENARIOS Centre of Excellence in Urban Transport Base Year 2011

However is there is need for subsidies to promote them?

* Interest @10% pa, equated annual instalments for 100% cost

** Diesel price of Rs 79/litre and FE of 2.2 km/litre for Diesel Bus and Electricity at Rs 8 / unit and FE of 1.1 unit / km for the 12

m E bus. While electricity is available at concessional rate in many states at around Rs 4 per unit for EV Charging, taxes and

fuel adjustment charges bring it up to level of Rs. 8 per unit.

The two key costs of capital and energy costs in Diesel and Electric buses almost cancel each other out. Cost

differences in other costs such as manpower, insurance, maintenance are negligible. This shows that the case for

need for subsidies in E Buses is not strong.

Diesel High Quality (12 m) E – Bus (12 m)

Capital Cost of Bus (Rs lakh) 75 190

Charging Infra Per Bus (Rs lakh) - 8-12

Total Average Bus Cost (Rs lakh) 70 200

Depreciation + Interest Cost pa over 10

years* (Rs lakh)11.5 32.5

Capital Cost /Km@72000 km pa Rs 16/ km Rs 45/km

Energy Cost Per Km ** Rs 36/km Rs. 9/ km

Other Costs per km # Rs 23/km Rs 21/km

Total Cost per Km Rs 75/km Rs. 75/ km

Page 31: Towards Decarbonisation of Urban Transport Shivanand... · 2020. 9. 28. · Estimating Emissions GHG UNDER VARIOUS SCENARIOS Centre of Excellence in Urban Transport Base Year 2011

FAME Schemes have not delivered to expectations - Infrastructure

• FAME I : Subsidy available on procurement of Electric Buses. (Around 640 buses)

• On 15% localization: 60% of Purchase cost or Rs. 1 Crore whichever is lower

• On 35% localization: 60% of Purchase cost or Rs. 1.5 crore whichever is lower

• Upto 10% of eligible incentive as subsidy on the purchase of charging equipments.

• FAME II : Subsidy upto 40% of estimated cost of E Bus including charger (7000 buses)

Scheme Buses Sanctioned Total Buses Ordered Conversion Proportion

FAME I 640* 417 (most in operation) 65%

FAME II 5600 2488 ** (orders placed) 45%

*Includes initially sanctioned 25 buses to HP before FAME I, 390 to 11 cities sanctioned under FAME I, and 225 additional buses sanctioned under FAME I to cities of Mumbai,

Navi Mumbai, Bangalore, J&K, Kolkata and HP. ** Excludes 900 E-Buses for which some authorities have been given more time to complete tendering. Source: DHI review

meeting Aug 2020.

Bus Price (Bus + Charger) (Rs Lakh) 10-12 m Bus 8-10 m Bus

Price before Subsidy 190+10 130+10

Subsidy under FAME II 55 45

Price after Subsidy 145 85

FAME II Status (As of Aug 2020)

Page 32: Towards Decarbonisation of Urban Transport Shivanand... · 2020. 9. 28. · Estimating Emissions GHG UNDER VARIOUS SCENARIOS Centre of Excellence in Urban Transport Base Year 2011

Private Vs Public (Kochi City, India)

MODE INSTITUTION FLEET FARE SETTINGCOST(in INR

per day)

REVENUE(in INR per

day)

SURPLUS/

DEFICIT

per day

Auto

Rickshaw

JDI (Joint Declaration of Intend)

signed to form as a single body and

10,000 autos under 6 unions of total

18,360 autos

18,367 • Minimum Fare Rs 20 for 2.25 Km, with Rs 8 per Km

after minimum fare.

INR 350 to

400

Rs 750 to

1000NA

Ferry

System

Kerala State Water Transport

Department (KSWTD) – 5 divisions6

• Fare/Km is 50 Paisa and Access Fee of Rs2

• Minimum Fare distance -4Km & stage distance -

2Km

Rs

1,95,248

per day

Rs 46,630 per

day

INR 0.15

million

Private

Bus

(1 Million)

•Private Bus Operators

Association(PBOA)

•1000 Private Buses 7 Unions

1137

• Fare per Km is 70 paisa & Access Fee of Rs4.5

• Minimum fare distance - 5Km and stage distance -

2.5Km

CPKM:

Rs37EPKM: Rs49

INR 3.35

million

KURTC

(48k)

Kerala Urban Road Transport

Corporation (KURTC)

48 A/C

5 Non- A/C

• Fare per Km is 85paisa per Km for Non-A/C service

and Access Fee is Rs6

• Fare per Km : Rs 120 paisa per Km for A/C service

and Access Fee is Rs14

CPKM: Rs

69

EPKM for

AC:45 & Non

AC: 27

INR 1.56

million

KSRTC

(28k)

Kerala State Road Transport

Corporation (KSRTC)139

• Fare per Km : Rs 70 paisa per Km & Access Fee is

Rs 4.5

• Min.Fare for 5 Kms & stage distance of 2.5Kms

CPKM: Rs

85EPKM : Rs 41

INR 3.15

million

Metro

system

(60k)

Kochi Metro Rail Limited-KMRLOperational

length : 18.6Km

(as on 2018)

•Min. Fare: Rs10

•Max.Fare: Rs50 Fare per Km: Rs 2.7

CPKM: Rs

6,376

EPKM: Rs

2,950

INR 1.96

million

Source: Integrated Transit System: A Case of Kochi; Dennis Jose and H.M

Shivanand Swamy

Page 33: Towards Decarbonisation of Urban Transport Shivanand... · 2020. 9. 28. · Estimating Emissions GHG UNDER VARIOUS SCENARIOS Centre of Excellence in Urban Transport Base Year 2011

MEASURING IN MANAGING

SUSTAINABLE URBAN TRANSPORT INDEX (SUTI)

Contact:

Madan Bandhu Regmi <[email protected]>

Page 34: Towards Decarbonisation of Urban Transport Shivanand... · 2020. 9. 28. · Estimating Emissions GHG UNDER VARIOUS SCENARIOS Centre of Excellence in Urban Transport Base Year 2011

10 SUTI Indicators

34

No IndicatorsMeasurement

WeightsRange

units MIN MAX

1Extent to which transport plans cover public transport, intermodal

facilities and infrastructure for active modes0 - 16 scale 0.1 0 16

2 Modal share of active and public transport in commuting Trips/mode share 0.1 10 90

3 Convenient access to public transport service % of population 0.1 20 100

4 Public transport quality and reliability % satisfied 0.1 30 95

5 Traffic fatalities per 100,000 inhabitants No of fatalities 0.1 35 0

6 Affordability – travel costs as part of income % of income 0.1 35 3.5

7 Operational costs of the public transport system Cost recovery ratio 0.1 22 175

8 Investment in public transportation systems% of total

investment0.1 0 50

9 Air quality (pm10) μg/m3 0.1 150 10

10 Greenhouse gas emissions from transport CO2 Eq. Tons 0.1 2.75 0

SUM 1.00

Page 35: Towards Decarbonisation of Urban Transport Shivanand... · 2020. 9. 28. · Estimating Emissions GHG UNDER VARIOUS SCENARIOS Centre of Excellence in Urban Transport Base Year 2011

SUTI Aggregate Score – 15 citiesSr. No. Phase SUTI Cities SUTI Agg. Score

1 2017 Jakarta 57.88

2 2017 Hanoi 26.77

3 2017 Kathmandu 47.8

4 2017 Colombo 32.7

5 2018 Bandung 49

6 2018 Surabaya 46.3

7 2018 Dhaka 40.1

8 2018 Ho Chi Minh City 54.3

9 2018 Surat 61.1

10 2018 Suva 53.9

11 2019 Bhopal 42.33

12 2019 Khulna 49.99

13 2019 Tehran 50.54

14 2019 Thimphu 54.46

15 2019 Ulaanbaatar 34.54

57.88

26.77 47.8

32.7

49

46.3

40.1

54.361.1

53.9

42.33

49.99

50.54

54.46

34.54

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100Jakarta

Hanoi

Kathmandu

Colombo

Bandung

Surabaya

Dhaka

Ho Chi Minh CitySurat

Suva

Bhopal

Khulna

Tehran

Thimphu

Ulaanbaatar

SUTI Agg. Score

Min. Max.

0 100

Page 36: Towards Decarbonisation of Urban Transport Shivanand... · 2020. 9. 28. · Estimating Emissions GHG UNDER VARIOUS SCENARIOS Centre of Excellence in Urban Transport Base Year 2011

Investment in PT Systems (Indicator 8) – 15 cities

Sr. No. Phase SUTI Cities

Investment in Public

Transport Systems

(% of total transport

investment)

1 2017 Jakarta 62.3

2 2017 Hanoi 2.0

3 2017 Kathmandu 17.8

4 2017 Colombo 24.8

5 2018 Bandung 29.5

6 2018 Surabaya 50.0

7 2018 Dhaka 92.6

8 2018 Ho Chi Minh City 13.0

9 2018 Surat 32.8

10 2018 Suva 25.0

11 2019 Bhopal 15.2

12 2019 Khulna 31.2

13 2019 Tehran 21.0

14 2019 Thimphu 30.1

15 2019 Ulaanbaatar 0.9 Min. Max.

0 50

62.3

2.017.8

24.8

29.5

50.0

92.6

13.0

32.8

25.0

15.2

31.2

21.0

30.1

0.90.0

10.020.030.040.050.060.070.080.090.0

100.0Jakarta

Hanoi

Kathmandu

Colombo

Bandung

Surabaya

Dhaka

Ho Chi Minh CitySurat

Suva

Bhopal

Khulna

Tehran

Thimphu

Ulaanbaatar

Investment in Public Transport Systems (% of total transport

investment)

Page 37: Towards Decarbonisation of Urban Transport Shivanand... · 2020. 9. 28. · Estimating Emissions GHG UNDER VARIOUS SCENARIOS Centre of Excellence in Urban Transport Base Year 2011

GHG Emissions (Indicator 10) – 15 cities

Sr. No. Phase SUTI CitiesGHG Emissions (tons per

capita per annum)

1 2017 Jakarta 0.79

2 2017 Hanoi 0.33

3 2017 Kathmandu 0.31

4 2017 Colombo 0.63

5 2018 Bandung 0.53

6 2018 Surabaya 0.18

7 2018 Dhaka 0.16

8 2018 Ho Chi Minh City 0.38

9 2018 Surat 0.18

10 2018 Suva 0.67

11 2019 Bhopal 0.44

12 2019 Khulna 0.06

13 2019 Tehran 1.23

14 2019 Thimphu 0.56

15 2019 Ulaanbaatar 1.17 Poor Good

2.75 0

0.79

0.33

0.31 0.63

0.530.18

0.16

0.38

0.18

0.67

0.44

0.06

1.23 0.56

1.17

0.00

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

1.20

1.40Jakarta

Hanoi

Kathmandu

Colombo

Bandung

Surabaya

Dhaka

Ho Chi Minh CitySurat

Suva

Bhopal

Khulna

Tehran

Thimphu

Ulaanbaatar

GHG Emissions (tons per capita per annum)

Page 38: Towards Decarbonisation of Urban Transport Shivanand... · 2020. 9. 28. · Estimating Emissions GHG UNDER VARIOUS SCENARIOS Centre of Excellence in Urban Transport Base Year 2011

Summary

• We have inherited sustainable practices such as TOD-Mixed use, walking and bicycle and other non-motorised mobility systems. We maintain/grow mode shares of these.

• We are forced to change our behaviour by external factors resulting in reduced mobility. We need to continue these practices into future.

• Technological innovations have given birth to new forms of mobility systems and management practices. We need to promote them.

• We need to invest in systems which Contribute (Bus-Bicycle-Walk)

• Focus on institutions, financing and pricing

• Measuring is managing!!

Page 39: Towards Decarbonisation of Urban Transport Shivanand... · 2020. 9. 28. · Estimating Emissions GHG UNDER VARIOUS SCENARIOS Centre of Excellence in Urban Transport Base Year 2011

Thank You

[email protected]


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