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Towards Intellectual Capital Report of Turkey
Kamil Kamil Yılmaz Yılmaz Koç Koç UUniversitniversityy
January 29, 20January 29, 200099
Towards IC Report for Turkey - 5
Turkey – Demographic Indicators (2008)
Land Area (km²) 774,820 Population (Million) 71.5Rate of Population Growth 1.31%Density (km²) 92.3Urban Population 62.2%Average Age 28.4 Population Aged 15-64 66.4%Labor Force (Million) 24.6Unemployment Rate 10.9%Labor Force Participation 49.1%Female Labor Force Participation 26.2%
Towards IC Report for Turkey - 6
Turkey – Major Economic Indicators
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
GNP (Billion $) 390 481 526 657 722
Real GDP Growth 9.4 8.4 6.9 4.5 2.3
CPI 9.3 7.7 9.7 8.4 10.6
WPI 13.8 2.7 11.6 5.9 8.1
Export (Billion $) 63.2 80.2 85.5 107.2 131.8
Import (Billion $) 97.5 116.8 139.6 170 201.6
Foreign Trade Balance -34.3 -36.6 -54.1 -62.8 -69.8
Tourism Revenues 13.4 15.3 14.1 15.2 18.3
Workers Remittances 0.8 0.85 1.1 1.2 1.2
Current Account Bal./ GDP -3.7 -4.6 -6.1 -5.8 -5.5
Towards IC Report for Turkey - 7
FDI Inflows
Towards IC Report for Turkey - 8
Infrastructure-related Factors Adversely Effecting Turkey’s
CompetitivenessTurke
y Polan
d Czech Rep.
Hungary
Share of high technology export (%, 2006) 1.50 3.81 14.10 23.99
Ratio of illiterates (%, + 15 age, 2005) 12.6 1 1 1
Pupil/teacher ratio in primary education (%, 2005) 25.80 11.66 17.53 10.61
Telecommunication investments (ratio to GDP, 2006) 0.22 0.72 0.44 0.37
Number of internet users (per 1000 population, 2007) 241 413 587 443
Electricity cost in industry ($/kwh, 2006) 0.10 0.073 0.094 0.105
Human Development Index (2005) 0.78 0.87 0.89 0.87
Number of computers (per 1000 population, 2007) 83 260 375 306
Life expectancy at birth (2005) 71.5 75.0 76.0 73.0
R&D investments (USD per capita, 2006) 39.7 49.8 215.1 112.1
Source: IMD World Competitiveness Report, 2008
Towards IC Report for Turkey - 9
1990-1997
1998-2001
2002-2006
Agriculture
15.7 14.7 11.2
Industry 25.6 23.8 26.3
Service 58.7 61.5 62.5
Sector Shares in GDP*, period average, %
% %
10-2
4
25-4
9
50-9
9
100-
199
200-
499
500-
999
1000
+
10-2
4
25-4
9
50-9
9
100-
199
200-
499
500-
999
1000
+
Enterprises in Manufacturing
Employment in Manufacturing
The share of agriculture in GDP and employment declines constantly.
Employment share of agriculture is still very high.
Turkish industrial structure is characterized by a majority of small and medium sized enterprises.
Output and Industrial Structure
1990-1997
1998-2001
2002-2005
Agriculture
44.5 38.8 34.1
Industry 16.1 17.4 18.4
Service 39.3 43.8 47.6
Sector Shares in Employment
Towards IC Report for Turkey - 10
Kişi Başına GSYİH Büyüme Oranı, 1926-2005
(5-yıl hareketli ortalama)
Annual growth rate of GDP per capital, 1926-2005(5-year moving averages)
-5
0
5
10
1925 1935 1945 1955 1965 1975 1985 1995 2005
An
nu
al g
row
th r
ate
(%
)
Towards IC Report for Turkey - 11
HC Indicators for Turkey
Indicators Source StartYear
End Year
*HCA_1: Proportion of total population having completed at least upper secondary education
EUROSTAT, OECD 2000 2007
HCA_2: Proportion of active population using a computer for professional purposes that had computer training
HCA_3: Proportion of the adult population aged 25 to 64 participating in education and training
EUROSTAT 2000 2007
HCA_4: Researchers per thousand of employment WORLDBANK 2000 2006
HCA_5: Employment rate EUROSTAT 2000 2007
*HCA_6: Employment in Knowledge intensive services and High tech & medium - high tech manufacturing
EUROSTAT 2006 2007
HCI_1: Total expenditure on education as % of GDP EUROSTAT 1994 2004
HCI_2: Total public expenditure on labor market policy measures as % of GDP
*HCE_1: GDP per hour worked (as % of US) OECD 2004 2007
HCE_2: Value added of knowledge intensive services, relative to GDP
Towards IC Report for Turkey - 12
SC Indicators for TurkeySCA_1: Percentage of households who have Internet
access at homeEUROSTAT 200
32004
SCA_2: Percentage of enterprises who have access to Internet
TURKSTAT 2005
2008
SCA_3: Number of patent applications to the European Patent Office (EPO) per million inhabitants
EUROSTAT 1994
2005
SCA_4: Number of patent applications to the US Patent and Trademark Office (USPTO) per million inhabitants
EUROSTAT 1991
2002
SCA_5: Number of scientific publications per million inhabitants
World Competitiveness Yearbook
2001
2005
*SCA_6: Enterprise environment indicator from World Economic Forum
World Competitiveness Yearbook
2005
2008
*SCA_7: Entrepreneurial attitude TURKSTAT 2002
2006
SCA_9: Time required to start a new business WORLDBANK 2005
2007
*SCA_10: Venture Capital Investment as % of GDP World Competitiveness Yearbook
2005
2008
SCA_11: Number of EU directives not notified
SCA_12: General government consolidated gross debt as a percentage of GDP
EUROSTAT 2001
2007
Towards IC Report for Turkey - 13
SC Indicators for Turkey
SCI_1: Gross domestic expenditure on R&D as of GDP
EUROSTAT, OECD
1990
2006
SCI_2: Expenditure for IT hardware, equipment, software and other services as a percentage of GDP
SCE_1: Percentage of businesses using the Internet for purchasing and selling
TURKSTAT 2005
2005
SCE_2: Birth rate of enterprises
*SCE_3: The share of persons with an equivalised disposable income below the risk-of-poverty threshold
EUROSTAT 2002
2003
*SCE_4: Value added of high tech industry, relative to GDP
TURKSTAT 2000
2007
SCE_5: Life expectancy at birth OECD 1990
2007
Towards IC Report for Turkey - 14
RC Indicators for Turkey
RCA_1: Percentage of international meetings hosted
RCA_2: SMEs involved in innovation co-operation
*RCA_3: Foreign students as percentage of all students
World Competitiveness Yearbook
- 2005
*RCA_4: international outgoing telecom traffic EUROSTAT 2003
2006
RCE_1: Breadth of international scientific collaboration
RCE_2: Percentage of patents with foreign co-inventors
RCE_3: Export of royalty and license fees
RCE_4: Export of services EUROSTAT 2000
2007
RCE_5: High tech export EUROSTAT 1999
2006
Towards IC Report for Turkey - 15
Substitute Indicators
Substitute Indicators Source Start Year
End Year
S_HCA_1: Percentage of the population aged 20 to 24 having completed at least upper secondary education
EUROSTAT, OECD
2000 2007
S_HCA_6: Annual data on employment in technology and knowledge-intensive sectors at the national level, by type of occupation.
EUROSTAT 2006 2007
S_HCE_1: GDP per person employed per hour(US$)
OECD 2004 2007
S_SCA_6: Entrepreneurship of managers being widespread in business.
World Competitiveness Yearbook
2005 2008
S_SCA_7: Percentage of innovative enterprises in industry.
TURKSTAT 2002 2006
S_SCA_10: Business development; increasing numbers represent easiness of availability.
World Competitiveness Yearbook
2005 2008
S_SCE_3: At-risk-of-poverty rate after social transfers by gender - % of GDP
EUROSTAT 2002 2003
S_SCE_4: Value added of industry, relative to GDP
TURKSTAT 2000 2007
S_RCA_3: Foreign tertiary level students per 1000 inhabitants.
World Competitiveness Yearbook
- 2005
S_RCA_4: Telecommunication services: Traffic EUROSTAT 2003 2006
Towards IC Report for Turkey - 16
Human Capital Assets
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
Initial 42.8 46.9 20.9
Final 46.4 45.8 21.1
HCA_1 HCA_5 HCA_6*0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
Initial 1 0.34
Final 1.5 0.46
HCA_3 HCA_4*
*HCA_1: Proportion of total population having completed at least upper secondary education EUROSTAT, OECD 2000 2007
HCA_3: Proportion of the adult population (25-64) participating in education and training EUROSTAT 2000 2007
HCA_4: Researchers per thousand of employment WORLDBANK 2000 2006
HCA_5: Employment rate EUROSTAT 2000 2007
*HCA_6: Employment in Knowledge intensive services and High tech & medium - high tech manufacturing
EUROSTAT 2006 2007
Towards IC Report for Turkey - 17
Structural Capital Assets - I
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Initial 7 0.87 0.23 6.61 6 3.09
Final 8 1.76 0.26 6.23 6 3.53
SCA_1* SCA_3* SCA_4* SCA_6 SCA_9* SCA_10
SCA_1: Percentage of households who have Internet access at home EUROSTAT 2003 2004
SCA_3: Number of patent applications to EPO per million inhabitants EUROSTAT 1994 2005
SCA_4: Number of patent applications to USPTO per million inhabitants EUROSTAT 1991 2002
*SCA_6: Enterprise environment indicator from World Economic Forum World Competitiveness Yearbook 2005 2008
SCA_9: Time required to start a new business World Bank 2005 2007
*SCA_10: Venture Capital Investment as % of GDP World Competitiveness Yearbook 2005 2008
SCA_11: Number of EU directives not notified NA
Towards IC Report for Turkey - 18
Structural Capital Assets - II
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Initial 80.4 60.4 29.4 52.3
Final 89.2 109.3 34.6 38.8
SCA_2 SCA_5* SCA_7* SCA_12*
SCA_2: Percentage of enterprises who have access to Internet TURKSTAT 2005 2008
SCA_5: Number of scientific publications per million inhabitants World Competitiveness Yearbook 2001 2005
*SCA_7: Entrepreneurial attitude TURKSTAT 2002 2006
SCA_12: General government consolidated gross debt - percentage of GDP EUROSTAT 2001 2007
Towards IC Report for Turkey - 19
Structural Capital Effects
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Initial 38 25 31 70.5
Final 26 28 71.8
SCE_1* SCE_2* SCE_3 SCE_4
Towards IC Report for Turkey - 20
Net and Gross National Income (PPP current dollars, 2006)
Towards IC Report for Turkey - 21
Triadic Patent Families - SCA(Granted by EU, US, Japan - 2005)
Towards IC Report for Turkey - 22
Expenditure on R&D - SCI (% of GDP, 2006)
Towards IC Report for Turkey - 23
Turkey/OECD - SCIR&D Expenditure as a percentage of GDP
0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
0.35
0.4
1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Towards IC Report for Turkey - 24
Number of Researchers per 1000 employed - HCA
(2006)
Towards IC Report for Turkey - 25
Researchers (Turkey / OECD, HCA)
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004
Towards IC Report for Turkey - 26
Households with access to a home computer - SCA (As a percentage of all
households, 2006 )
Towards IC Report for Turkey - 27
Tertiary Type-A Graduation Rates* - HCA
* Percentage of tertiary-type A graduates to the population at the typical age of graduation
Towards IC Report for Turkey - 28
Tertiary attainment rates (25-64, HCA)
(As a percentage of the population of that age group, 2005)
Towards IC Report for Turkey - 29
Total expenditure on educational institutions for all levels - HCI (As a percentage of GDP)
Towards IC Report for Turkey - 30
Unit labour costs, business sector (Average annual growth in percentage,
2000-2006 )
Towards IC Report for Turkey - 31
Inflows of foreign direct investment - RCI
(billion US dollars, average 2004-2006)
Towards IC Report for Turkey - 32
Ratio of the inactive elderly population aged 65 and over
to the labour force (%)
Towards IC Report for Turkey - 33
Employment in manufacturing and services in affiliates under foreign
control- RCE (As a percentage of total employment, 2005)
Towards IC Report for Turkey - 34
Turkey’s Participation in the European Knowledge Economy