Towards Sustainability!
Prof. Martin Curley Vice President, Intel Labs
Director, Intel Labs Europe,
Intel Corp.
Co-Director, Innovation Value Institute
National University of Ireland, Maynooth
Dublin Castle,
23rd November, 2012
…the Winds of Change
> “When the winds
of change come,
some people build
walls, other build
windmills” > Brian and Sangeeta Mayne
Mass
Collaboration
Sustainability Digital
Transformations
Exploit the Mega Trends
Copyright © Intel 2012
Digital Transformations
Copyright © Intel 2012
“Integrated electronics will make electronic
techniques more generally available throughout
all of society, performing many functions that
presently are done inadequately by other
techniques or not done at all.” Gordon Moore
90nm
300mm
130nm
200mm
180nm
200mm
250nm
200mm
65nm
300mm
45nm
300mm
Feature Width
Wafer Size
32nm
300mm
Relentless Pursuit of Moore’s Law
Opens the Door to Innovation
Number of transistors on a chip doubles every ~2
years
Copyright © Intel 2012
1 million x factor reduction in energy/transistor over 30+ years Smaller, faster transistors = faster AND more efficient chips and computer systems
And The Trend Continues…
Source: Intel Labs
Core Integer Performance Over Time* Power reduction Over Time*
Pentium® Pro Processor
Pentium® -II Processor Pentium® -IIi Processor
Pentium® 4 Processor
Pentium® 4 Processor EE
Pentium® -D Processor
Core™ 2 Duo Processor X6800
Core™ 2 Duo Extreme QX6700
i486DX2
i486
386
Pentium® Processor
1986 2008 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 1
10
100
1000
10000
Single Core Moore’s Law
1970 1980 1990 2000 2005 2010
1.E-07
1.E-06
1.E-05
1.E-04
1.E-03
1.E-02
1.E-01
1.E+00
MOORE’S LAW DRIVES CONTINUOUS CHIP-LEVEL ENERGY
EFFICIENCY: directly supports Sustainability
Copyright © Intel 2012
…Moore’s law is colliding with many
domains
Genomics Research
Medical Imaging
Financial Analysis
Weather Prediction
Oil Exploration
Design Simulation
Cloud Computing
Data Center Refresh
Many opportunities from Genomic Research to Connecting cars,
and much, much more…
Point of Sale IP Cameras Power Lines IP Phones In-Vehicle Infotainment
Home Storage Sensors Net book
Security IPTV/IMS Military/Aero Learning Home Auto Digital Signage Portable Medical Net top
Gaming Industrial PC Printers Medical Transport Robotics Factory Automation
MID
Copyright © Intel 2012
Innovation Agenda: Digital Europe
Digital Government
Digital Health
Digital Education
Digital Business
Digital Home
Broadband/ Wireless
Digital Literacy
PCs/Phones,Tablets etc
E-Services / Digital Content
DIGITAL EUROPE
Delivering…
An Integrated Infrastructure
A Connected Society
A Competitive Economy
Copyright © Intel 2012
USD 1 USD 10 USD 100 USD 1,000 USD 10,000
0%
100%
Cost of Care/Day
Qu
alit
y o
f L
ife
Moore’s Law for the Healthcare Industry: Shift
Left
Source: Doug Busch, Intel
Home Care
Healthy, Independent Living
Chronic Disease Management
Community Clinic
Doctor’s Office
Residential Care
Assisted Living
Skilled Nursing Facility
Acute Care
Specialty Clinic
Community Hospital
ICU
Copyright © Intel 2012
Sustainability
Copyright © Intel 2012
The Changing Shape of Society
From Resource Based . . .
Copyright © Intel 2012
To Knowledge Based
Copyright © Intel 2012
Sustainable Development
Sustainable development is a pattern of resource use
that meets the needs of the present without
compromising the ability of future
generations to meet their own needs. Brundtland report
Copyright © Intel 2012
Source: Global Footprint Network
An Inconvenient Truth: Our Collective Challenge
If consumption trends continue,
we will need two Earths to support us.
There is no Planet B! Jose Maria Figueres
Copyright © Intel 2012
Source: Unep international resource panel
Resource Decoupling
Source: “A Smarter Shade of Green,” ACEEE Report for the Technology CEO Council, 2008.
Automobiles
Passenger
Airlines
Agriculture
Steel
Manufacturing
Lighting
Computer
Systems
40%
121%
132%
167%
339%
2,857,000%
1978 2008 Energy-efficiency Improvement
14.3 miles per gallon of gas
20.0 miles per gallon of gas
22.8 revenue
passenger miles
per gallon
50.4 revenue
passenger miles
per gallon
0.63 units of
output per unit
of energy use
1.46 units of
output per unit
of energy use
63 pounds of steel per MBtu
167 pounds of steel per MBtu
Incandescent light bulb— 13 lumens
per watt
Compact flourescent bulb—
57 lumens per watt
1,400 instructions
per second per watt
40,000,000
Instructions per second per watt
Increasing Energy Efficiency ICT leading sector in energy efficient improvements : need to take advantage of this out-performance.
Copyright © Intel 2012
Resource
Decoupling
Opportunity
Leverage IT to Drive Energy Savings, Resource
Decoupling and Better Services
Industrial Robots
Logistics for
Transportation
LEED Certified Buildings
Smart Power Delivery
Video Conferencing
Online Entertainment
E-commerce
Remote Management
Converting Atoms
to Bits
Online Banking
Digital Music
Automation Substitution De-materialization
Copyright © Intel 2012
Mass Collaboration
Copyright © Intel 2012
Mass Collaboration
> European Internet
Foundation; Digital
2025
Copyright © Intel 2012
The central
paradigm we
propose is that of a
world driven by
Mass Collaboration
Copyright © Intel 2012
••• 20
Innovation moving out of the Lab
Centralized
inward looking
innovation
Closed
Innovation
Ecosystem centric, cross-organizational innovation
Innovation Networks
Externally focused, collaborative innovation Open Innovation
Open Innovation 2.0
Source: EU OISPG Copyright © Intel 2012
Intel Labs Europe Network Harnessing the collective value of Intel’s R&D investments in Europe
40 Labs
4000 R&D Professionals
>400 collaborators in Ecosystem
Mass Collaboration
Copyright © Intel 2012
Intel's Vision This decade we will create and extend computing technology
to connect and enrich the lives of every person on earth
Copyright © Intel 2012
Shared Value
> Re-conceiving the
intersection between
society and corporate
performance
> Find Win – Win
outcomes
> Profit through solving
Big problems
Copyright © Intel 2012
Intel Labs Europe
Bring the benefits of the ongoing digital revolution to European economy & society by:
Advancing breakthrough research
Forming close partnerships with the European technology community
Helping to Realize Europe 2020
ILE Research Agenda
ILE Innovation Agenda
DigitalGovernment
Digital Health
DigitalEducation
DigitalBusiness
DigitalHome
Broadband/ Wireless
Digital Literacy
PCs/MIDs etc
E-Services / Digital Content
DIGITAL EUROPE
Digital Agenda
Resource Efficient Europe
New Skills and Jobs
Industrial Policy
Innovation Union
Copyright © Intel 2012
Innovating
Innovation
Copyright © Intel 2012
Open Innovation 1.0
Source: Chesbrough
Triple Helix Innovation
Source: Etzkowitz
Copyright © Intel 2012
Open Innovation 2.0
Source: Venkat
31
Intel Sustainable & Connected Cities Institute
Institute Research Outputs • Novel user experiences
• Understanding of future workloads
• Future network architectures & protocols
• Security & privacy insights
• New opportunities in big data
• Architectural requirements
• New business models
• A step on the way to creating more
environmentally friendly, sustainable cities
Formation Q2 2012
Open Innovation at Work!
Copyright © Intel 2012
The Testbed: London
Collaborative Open Innovation
The Concept: driving the computing continuum
and innovating the city of the future
32
Sustainable Connected Cities Dublin
Copyright © Intel 2012
Accelerating the Sustainable City Society
Source: Intel Labs Europe Part Inspired by Rifkin: The Third Industrial Revolution
Copyright © Intel 2012
Sustainable
Intelligent Living
Accelerating the Sustainable Society
Create a virtuous circle:
energy efficiency/self sufficiency, new services and jobs
Value Cycle
vs
Value Chain
Copyright © Intel 2012
Sustainable
Intelligent Living
Value Cycle Outcomes:
Move the Needle
Energy
Efficiency Energy
Self
Sufficiency
Employment
Growth
New Services
Copyright © Intel 2012
Copyright © Intel 2012
37 Copyright © Intel 2012
A Sustainable Society
Nicola Tesla
The possibility
"Ere many generations pass,
our machinery will be driven
by a power obtainable at any
point of the universe”
> Ireland as the leading
exemplar of a sustainable
society to catalyze Europe
A possible vision
Sustainable Intelligent Living Conference
Vision: Sustainable Society, Mission: Sustainable Growth
Theme: Build a Smart, Sustainable and Inclusive society
through Open Innovation 2.0
Goal: Be the catalyst to enable an evolutionary leap towards
sustainable cities and society
EU Open Innovation
Strategy & Policy Group
May, 20-21 2013 – Dublin Castle
Sustainable
Intelligent Living
..but it takes courage too.
40
Thanks!
The Opportunity of a Lifetime has to be
taken in the lifetime of the Opportunity!
Email: [email protected]