© OECD/IEA 2018
Tracking Clean Energy Progress (TCEP): Where are we along the road of energy transitions?
Cyril Cassisa, Senior Energy Policy Analyst, IEA
12 December 2018 – COP24 – Room Pieniny
2© OECD/IEA 2018
IEA at COP24 – Key messages
• Paris Agreement goals are slipping out of reach
- IEA estimates energy-related CO2 emissions will reach an historic high in 2018
- To meet Paris goals, CO2 emissions need to peak around 2020 and enter a steep decline
• The IEA Family of countries now covers almost 75% of global energy demand, so is
ideally placed to help countries meet their energy objectives
• The IEA offers data, analysis and solutions across “All Fuels and All Technologies”
• IEA analysis is key to tracking progress of global energy transitions
- Assessing progress on energy transitions, under the Talanoa Dialogue and beyond
- Helping to drive further NDC ambition
3© OECD/IEA 2018
Global emissions are set to increase in 2018 - again
The world is not moving towards the Paris goals, but rather away from them
Global energy-related CO2 emissions
Where are we?
CO2 emissions
Increase in 2017
5
10
15
20
25
30
35Gt CO2
4© OECD/IEA 2018
Where do we want to go?
A wide variety of technologies are necessary to meet goals,
with energy efficiency and renewables playing lead roles
Global energy-related CO2 emissions
16
20
24
28
32
36
2010 2020 2030 2040
Central Scenario
Sustainable
Development Scenario
Efficiency
Renewables
Fuel-switching
CCS
Other
Nuclear
44%
36%
2%6%9%2%
Gt CO2
2
5© OECD/IEA 2018
Coal plants make up one-third of CO2 emissions today and half are less than 15 years old; policies are
needed to support CCUS, efficient operations and technology innovation
Can we unlock a different energy future?
Global energy-related CO2 emissions
12
18
24
30
2017 2025 2030 2035 2040
Gt 36
Sustainable
Development Scenario
Coal-fired power plants
Increased
room to
manoeuvre
6
New Policies Scenario
Existing and under constructionpower plants, factories, buildings etc.
6© OECD/IEA 2018
Tracking Clean Energy Progress 2018
https://www.iea.org/tcep/
7© OECD/IEA 2018
The IEA works around the world to support
accelerated clean energy transitions that are
enabled by real-world SOLUTIONS
supported by ANALYSIS
and built on DATAwww.iea.org/COP24
8© OECD/IEA 2018
www.iea.orgIEA
