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TRANSFORMATIONAL SYSTEMS CONCEPTS & TECHNOLOGIESTRANSFORMATIONAL SYSTEMS CONCEPTS & TECHNOLOGIESFOR FUTURE SPACE MISSIONSFOR FUTURE SPACE MISSIONS
THE CHALLENGE BEFORE USTHE CHALLENGE BEFORE USto theto the
Space Resources RoundtableSpace Resources Roundtable
October 2003October 2003
John C. MankinsJohn C. MankinsAssistant Associate Administrator for Advanced Systems (act.)Assistant Associate Administrator for Advanced Systems (act.)
Chief Technologist, Space Flight EnterpriseChief Technologist, Space Flight EnterpriseOffice of Space Flight / NASA HeadquartersOffice of Space Flight / NASA Headquarters
Washington, D.C. 20546Washington, D.C. 20546
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INTRODUCTIONINTRODUCTION
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October 2003 TSCT_Overview_Page
2003 NASA Strategic Plan2003 NASA Strategic Plan
Stepping Stones to the FutureStepping Stones to the Future
We are developing a robust, integrated exploration strategy to guide our investments.We are developing a robust, integrated exploration strategy to guide our investments.Through our newThrough our new building blockbuildin
g block capabilitiesc
apabilitiesand scientific discoveries, we createand scientific discoveries, we create
stepping stonesst
epping stonesto the futureto the future
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INTRODUCTIONINTRODUCTIONStrategic Concept: Phased Exploration & DiscoveryStrategic Concept: Phased Exploration & Discovery
Sun-EarthSun-EarthL2L2
MarsMars(and its Moons)(and its Moons)
TheTheMoonMoon
Earth-MoonEarth-MoonL1L1
AsteroidsAsteroids
Low EarthLow Earth
OrbitOrbit High EarthHigh EarthOrbitOrbit
The Earths NeighborhoodThe Earths Neighborhood The Neighborhood ofThe Neighborhood ofMarsMars
Beyond...Beyond...
As Early as 2015 theAs Early as 2015 theCapability forCapability for
Initial 50-100 day Class Missions As Early as 2020-2025As Early as 2020-2025the Capability forthe Capability for
300-1000 day class InitialInterplanetary Missions
After 2025+ After 2025+
SustainableCampaigns
For Now..For Now..
GettingReady
With Diverse Opportunities to Enable
Continuing Commercial Development of Space
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CurrentConceptsandTechnologies
NewConcepts
New Technologies
CurrentConcepts and
NewTechnologies
New Concepts Using New
Technologies
RevolutionaryConcepts UsingBreakthroughTechnologies
Create InnovativeCreate InnovativeConcepts -- and Drive outConcepts -- and Drive outOpportunities/Needs forOpportunities/Needs forRevolutionary AdvancesRevolutionary Advances
in Technologyin Technology
New Conceptsand CurrentTechnologies
INTRODUCTIONINTRODUCTIONTechnology and Innovation Strategy -- EXAMPLESTechnology and Innovation Strategy -- EXAMPLES
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The View from the TopThe View from the Top
Systems Concepts
Technologies
Missions & Markets
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TSCT Technical Interchange MeetingsTSCT Technical Interchange Meetings
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TSCT Technical Interchange Meeting SeriesTSCT Technical Interchange Meeting Series
New systems concepts and technologies are needed to achieveNASAs Vision and Mission
The Advanced Systems Office within the Office of Space Flight atNASA Headquarters (Code M-7) has undertaken a series ofbrainstorming town-hall type meetings at which to identifyoptions and opportunities for the future
The first Transformational Systems Concepts and Technologies(TSCT) Technical Interchange Meeting (TIM) was held at theAthenaem at the California Institute of Technology (CalTech) inPasadena, CA in January 2003
The focus was on identifying new concepts and technologies and vettingthe basic concept that a transformation in how the US approaches spaceexploration, research and discovery is possible
The second meeting was held at the National Space Science and
Technology Center (NSSTC) at the University of Alabama,Huntsville (UAH) in June 2003
The focus was on identifying and assessing candidate technology optionsand opportunities for the future
The 3rd TSCT TI was held at CalTech and at the NASA JetPropulsion Laboratory during October 14-17, 2003
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TSCT TIM #3TSCT TIM #3Working Instructions / Ground RulesWorking Instructions / Ground Rules
TSCT TIM#3 will
Examine a baseline that uses the major technological elements ofan existing Design Reference Architecture (DRA)
Identify no fewer than 2-3 fundamentally different Alternate DesignArchitectures (ADAs)
Identify the key System Elements for both the DRA and the ADAs
Payloads including living systems will be considered as a key
trade for each OPTION and/or Design ArchitectureGround Rules
The time frame of interest for accomplishing the challenge is theperiod from 2010 to 2020 and beyond
New technology is acceptable--there is no presumption of riskaversion--however, risks must be characterized
The mission case is to be one of an ongoing campaign ofactivities Assume: one mission per year for not less than 10 years
Multiple applications for the Design Architectures is a goal
It is possible that a particular type of system may be useful inmeeting the requirements of more than one OPTION Alternatively, it is possible that a particular technology and/or subsystem will
be used to meeting the requirements of more than one OPTION
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Potential Architecture CasesPotential Architecture Cases(Those elements of the Trade Space View Likely to Viable)(Those elements of the Trade Space View Likely to Viable)
DRA (ADA 1) - Reusable High Energy Solar/Cryo
Modular systems, high-energy electric and cryo propulsion, pre-positioning of logistics/fuel in space,highly autonomous, human capable, enabled by advanced technology OPTIONS 2 through 5
ADA 1b - Expendable NEP (Reusable Variation) Nuclear electric propulsion (NEP) replaces the SEP
OPTIONS 2-5
ADA 2a - Expendable Chemical (~Apollo-like) All-expendable, all-chemical with direct entry at Earth return, modest robotics, minimum use of new
technology
OPTIONS 1 - 2 ADA 2b - Expendable Cryogenic (Advanced Apollo)
All-expendable, cryogenic propulsion with direct entry at Earth return, all-up mission option, some useof new technology
OPTIONS 3-5
ADA 2c - Reusable Chem/Cryo - Aerobrake (~SEI-like) Reusable, all-chemical with aero-braking to orbit at Earth return, modest robotics, minimum use of new
technology; Variation on Reusable Aerobrake versus Expendable Ballute
OPTIONS 1 3-5
ADA 3 - Reusable ISRU, Surface Ops (Space Ops Variation) ADA 1, but with refueling on surface rather than in LLO enabled by ISRU (drops the SEP system);
Variation: launch of lunar propellants to LLO or L1
OPTIONS: 3-5
ADA 4 - Expendable NTR (Reusable Variation) Nuclear thermal propulsion (NTP) based, LOX-augmentation variation, fast-lunar trip enabling, no SEP,
no pre-positioning of logistics, requires cryo propulsion for excursion vehicle
OPTIONS 3-5
ADA 5 - Longer-Term Space Infrastructures Orbit-based slingers; maglev or rail guns on the Moon chemical for landing, RCS, etc.
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Elements
Lunar ArchitectureL1 Architecture
GEO Servicing Architecture
BA
Low
Lunar
Orbit
Earth
Surface
Propulsive
Capture
XTV Refuels in
Lunar Orbit
Low
EarthOrbit
Crew Transfer
from OSP to
XTV
OSP
Crew
Launch
XTV Refuels in
Lunar Orbit
Solar Electric
Stages & Prop
Tankers Spiral
to LLO
Solar Electric
Stages Spiral to
LEO
Descent Ascent
Propellant Launches
(Qty TBD)
XTV Fuels
in LEO
OSP Crew
Landing
Outbound Leg
Landing Leg
Return
Leg
Crew Transfer
to OSP
LEO Tanker
and OSP
OSP OSP OSP
Propellant
Tankers
B
A
B
A
A
B
A
B
Plus MissionsPlus Missions
Alternate Design Architecture 1Alternate Design Architecture 1
GEO
Earth
Surface
Propulsive
Capture
XTV Refuels at
GEO
Low
Earth
Orbit
Crew Transfer
from OSP to
XTV
OSP
Crew
Launch
Solar Electric
Stages Spiral to
LEO
Propellant
Launch
XTV Fuels
in LEO
OSP Crew
Landing
Outbound Leg
Return
Leg
Crew Transferto OSP
LEO Tanker
and OSP
On-DemandPropellant
Tanker
OSP OSP OSP
GEO ASSET
Earth-
Moon
L1
Earth
Surface
Propulsive
Capture
XTV Refuels at L1
Low
Earth
Orbit
Crew Transfer
from OSP to
XTV
OSP
Crew
Launch
Solar Electric
Stages & Prop
Tankers Spiral
to L1
Solar Electric
Stages Spiral to
LEO
Propellant Launches
(Qty TBD)
XTV Fuels
in LEO
OSP Crew
Landing
Outbound Leg
Return
Leg
Crew Transfer
to OSP
LEO Tanker
and OSP
Propellant
Tankers
Sun-
Earth
L1
OSP OSP OSP
Observatories to-from
L via low-energy1
transfers
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Why Reusable Systems? Cost per Mission ImprovementWhy Reusable Systems? Cost per Mission Improvement
Parametric Comparison of Levels ofParametric Comparison of Levels ofExpendabilityExpendability
Reusable Space Systems critical to reducing excessive expendable hardware costs
of Apollo-derived architectures.
111
RECURRINGBeyond LEO MISSION HARDWARE COST($,M)
111 111 111 111 1111 1111 1111 1111 1111
FLIGHTHARDWAREDRYMASS
(KG,1111
s)
11
5 5
11
111
111
111
Typical Dry Mass for a Human Lunar Mission - LOWER Limit
Typical Dry Mass for a Human Lunar Mission - UPPER Limit
% EXPENDED11 % EXPENDED11
% EXPENDED11
% EXPENDED11
% EXPENDED111
% EXPENDED1
Sustainable ApproachSustainable ApproachUpdated ApolloUpdated Apollo
FOR CONSUMED MISSION HARDWAREAVERAGING ABOUT $ , / kg11111 NOT
INCLUDING NEW CAPABILITY
Rangeof
Interest
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Notional Example Comparing Lunar MissionNotional Example Comparing Lunar MissionHardwareHardware
Updated Apollo
Sustainable Approach
Initial M-1 M-2 M-3 M-4 M-5 M-6 M-7 M-8 M-9 M-10
Initial M-1 M-2 M-3 M-4 M-5 M-6 M-7 M-8 M-9 M-10
7x
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Why Intelligent Modular Systems? Cost-RiskImprovement
Notional Example: Modular Systems in FutureNotional Example: Modular Systems in FutureMissionsMissions
Comparison of Cost-Risk Cases(Integrated vs. Modular Type w/ % "1 11
$( , . )111111
$( , . )111111
$( , . )111111
$( , . )111111
$( , . )111111
$( , . )111111
$-
Cost
($,
M)
Integrated $( , . )5 555 55 $( , . )111111 $( , . )5 555 55 $( , . )111111 $( . )11111
Modular $( , . )111111 $( . )11111 $( . )1111 $( . )1111 $( . )111
Class A ( %11
HW)
Class B ( %11
HW)
Class C ( %11
HW)
Class D ( %11
HW)
Class E ( %11
HW)
Mission Cost-Risk(Launch @ $5,000/kg, 95% Reliability)
Case A: Integrated
System systemmass @ ~25 t
Case B: ModularSystems systemredundancy @ 25%
Redundant, modular subsystems and interfaces critical to reliability of
reusable in-space systems. May also reduce non-recurring costs.
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Mass Produced Aerospace Systems
Cost Estimation Relationship(s)
2000PriceperP
ound,
AerospaceS
ystems($/kg)
(Sys
temP
urchasedHardwareCostsOnly)
Number Aerospace Systems Manufactured/Sold
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
250 500 750 1000 1250 150050
@ ~$10,000/kg for 125 IRIDIUM Constellation Satellites
@ ~$40,000-$ 80,000/kg Typical On order 5-10 Units GEO Constellation Satellites
@ ~$200,000/kg and greater One-of-a-kind Systems (e.g., ISS)
@ 1000 Boeing 747s
@ ~$40,000/kg for ~20 Units B-2 Bombers
ASSERTION:When assessing manufacturing
in Large Lot Sizes,
Space Systems/Subsystemsshould be cost-estimatedaccording to this type of curve
This suggests a strategicline of attack on the
challenge of AffordableSpace Systems
@ ~$4,000/kg for ~324 TELEDESIC Constellation Satellites
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Why Autonomous / Intelligent Systems? Reduced OpsWhy Autonomous / Intelligent Systems? Reduced OpsCostsCosts
Parametric Comparison of Levels ofParametric Comparison of Levels ofStaffingStaffing
Intelligent systems critical to low recurring operations costs.
1
LOWER LIMIT ON OPERATIONS COST PER MISSION ($,M)[DUE TO MISSION OPERATIONS PERSONNEL COSTS ONLY]
111 5 5 5 111 111 111 111 111 111
T
OTALNUMBEROFBeyon
dLEOMISSIO
NS/YEAR
1
1
1
1
1
1
11
Assumes a Personnel Cost of$ , / Full-Time Equivalent 111111Includes Operations and
Supporting Engineering, etc.
1
Operations@ , People11111
Operations@ , People1111
Operations@ , People1111Operations
@ , People1111Operations@ People111
Rangeof
Interest
~ BeyondLEOMission EveryYear1
e.g.,~ BeyondLEOMissionsEveryYear1
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High-energy electric propulsion critical to reducing excessive propellant mass
of reusable architectures.
InitialMass
inLEO
InitialMassinLEO
50 mT50 mT
100 mT100 mT
150 mT150 mT
200 mT200 mT
250 mT250 mT
300 mT300 mT
Apollo-TypeApollo-TypeExpendable,Expendable,
Chemical, with DirectChemical, with DirectEntryEntry
SustainableSustainableReusable, withReusable, withHigh EnergyHigh Energy
ModularModular
Excessive MassExcessive MassReusable, withReusable, with
Chemical PropulsionChemical Propulsion
> 400 mT> 400 mT
350 mT350 mT
Why High Energy Space Systems? Reduced Initial MassWhy High Energy Space Systems? Reduced Initial Massin LEOin LEO
Parametric Comparison of Major OptionsParametric Comparison of Major Options
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Pre-Deployment of Logistics/Propellants critical to Timely-Payload Deliveryperformance for reusable architectures.
Payload
Payload
5 mT5 mT
10 mT10 mT
15 mT15 mT
MEO and GEOMEO and GEO Libration PointsLibration Points Lunar OrbitLunar Orbit
NoneNone
Pre-DeploymentPre-Deployment
NoneNone
Pre-DeploymentPre-Deployment
NoneNone
Pre-DeploymentPre-Deployment
Why Pre-Deploy Logistics/Propellants? PerformanceWhy Pre-Deploy Logistics/Propellants? Performance
Parametric Comparison of Major OptionsParametric Comparison of Major Options
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Other BenefitsOther Benefits
Go Anywhere in the Earths NeighborhoodGo Anywhere in the Earths Neighborhood
HRE_ _Mankins_ 1111 11September1111 Pre-Decisional / Internal Use Only
Mapping Delta-VelocitiesMapping Delta-Velocitiesin the Earthin the EarthssNeighborhoodNeighborhood
EarthEarth
LEOLEO
GTO
GEO
S-E L1
LLO
Lunar SurfaceLunar Surface
LTO Lunar Transfer Orbit
LLO Low Lunar Orbit
SE L1 Sun-Earth Libration Point L1
EM L1 Earth-Moon Libration Point L1
GEO Geostationary Orbit
GTO GEO Transfer Orbit
LEO Low Earth Orbit
V ~ km/s11
V Low-T~ , m/s1111
V~ m/s111
V~ - m/s111111
S-E L1
E-M L1E-M L1
V High-T~ , m/s1111
V Low-T~ , m/s1111
V High-T~ , m/s3 3 33
V Low-T~ . m/s3 3 33
V High-T~ m/s1111
V Low-T~ , m/s3 3 33
V High-T~ , m/s1111
V Low-T~ m/s111
V High-T~ m/s111
V Low-T ~ , m/s1111
V High-T~ , m/s1111
V High-T~ , m/s1111
V High-T~ , m/s1111
V Low-T~ , m/s1111
V High-T~ , m/s1111
V High-T~ , m/s1111
Working Notes
EML to trans-lunar trajectory1 ~ m/s555
Lunar Orbit Insertion ~ m/s111
Deorbit & Landing ~ m/s5555
Total ~ m/s1111
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What capabilities can the Reusable Injection Stage and SEP Stage provide to
other potential missions?
Mission Max Payload
Capability w/ No
Refueling
Max Payload
Capability w/
Refueling
Reusable
Injection Stage(1)
DoD Mid-Inclination Orbit 178 kg 13,561 kg
GEO Payload Deployment 793 kg 13,993 kg
Lunar L1 Halo Orbit 2,793 kg 15,437 kg
Lunar Orbit 2,805 kg 15,445 kg
GPS Orbit 3,254 kg 15,778 kg
GEO Transfer Orbit 28,135 kg N/A
Lunar Surface Cargo Delivery(2) 15,733 kg 27,775 kg
Trans-Mars Injection(3) 17,794 kg -
SEP Stage(4) Lunar Orbit 33,015 kg 36,438 kg
Lunar L1 44,170 kg 46,971 kg
GEO Payload Deployment 46,259 kg 48,967 kg
Reusable Injection Stage Specs* SEP Stage Specs*Dry Mass = 5,240 kg (no landing gear) Dry Mass = 10,000 kg (Xe tankage not included)
Propellant Capacity = 29,217 kg Propellant Capacity = 19,151 kg
Isp = 460 s Isp = 3,000 s
Propulsive Capture for LEO Return Max. Power = 500 kW
Starting/Return Orbit: LEO, 500 km, 28.5o Starting/Return Orbit: LEO, 500 km, 28.5o
Notes:1. RIS returns to LEO via propulsive capture
2. SEP delivers RIS and payload to lunar orbit. RIS is expended on lunar surface.
3. Mars/Deep Space missions assume RIS is expended
4. SEP Stage outbound trip times limited to no longer than 270 days
Injection Stage Capabilities to Various C s1
1
1
11
11
11
11
11
-1 1 1 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 111 111 111
C (km11/s
1)
No
minalPayloadMass(,
kg)
1111
Lunar L1Escape
Mars
GEO
Assumes RIS is ExpendedAssumes RIS is Expended
Jupiter Pluto
*Element Specs consistent with Space-based XTV /
LEO Propulsive Capture / LOR Architecture
Other BenefitsOther Benefits
Candidate Applications / MissionsCandidate Applications / Missions
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TSCT TIM#3: The ChallengeTSCT TIM#3: The Challenge
The following functional requirements are to be satisfied
For the LOWEST (Life Cycle) COST DELIVER from KSC -- using one or more types of launchers
Not part of the detailed challenge for this meeting
To anywhere on the Lunar Surface where the sun shineswith precision (99.5% reliability)
A safe, functional PAYLOAD, (pressurized or un-pressurized) of OPTION 1 -- 20 kg
OPTION 2 -- 100 kg OPTION 3 -- 500 kg
OPTION 4 -- 2,500 kg
OPTION 5 -- 12,500 kg
AndRETURN to low Earth orbit Either to 28.5, 400 km circular, or to ISS
A safe, functional PAYLOAD, (pressurized or un-pressurized) of OPTION 1 -- 2 kg
OPTION 2 -- 10 kg
OPTION 3 -- 500 kg
OPTION 4 -- 2,500 kg
OPTION 5 -- 12,500 kg
With a total stay on the Lunar surface of < 14 days
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Integrated Technology AssessmentIntegrated Technology Assessment
TSCT #3 Architecture-Critical TechnologiesTSCT #3 Architecture-Critical Technologies
Design Arch. Architecture-Critical Technologies
Modular, Reusable,SEP/Cryogen Prop.
DA -No.
DRA(ADA-1)
NEP, Modular,Reusable Cryogen
Prop Excursion
Re-startable,Reliable andThrottleable
Cryo Propulsion
ADA-1b
Chemical / Expendable/ StagedADA-2a
Cryogenic /Expendable/ StagedADA-2b
Chem-/Cryo-Propulsion with
AerobrakingADA-2c
ISRU Enabled, LunarSurface Refueling and
OperationsADA-3
Expendable NTRShuttle, Reusable
Cryo-Prop ExcursionADA-4
Far-Term SpaceInfrastructuresADA-5
Long-Lived,High-Power, Low
Mass SolarElectric Power
Long-Lived,High-Power EM
Propulsion
Long-Duration,Low-LossCryogen
Mgt/Storage/xfer
High-EnergyDirect Entry
CryogenManagementand Storage
High-EnergyAerobraking at
Earth Return
Lunar Surface
ISRU Systems
Lunar Surface
Power
Nuclear ThermalPropulsion
Advanced,Robust
Structural TetherConcepts
ElectromagneticMass Drivers
and/or MagLev
PlusVarious
Re-startable,Reliable andThrottleable
Cryo Propulsion
Long-Lived,High-Power EM
Propulsion
Long-Lived,High-Power, Low
Mass NEP
Long-Duration,Low-LossCryogen
Mgt/Storage/xfer
Re-startable,Reliable and
ThrottleableCryo Propulsion
Re-startable,Reliable andThrottleable
Cryo Propulsion
Re-startable,Reliable andThrottleable
Cryo Propulsion
CryogenManagementand Storage
High-EnergyDirect Entry
Long-Duration,Low-LossCryogen
Mgt/Storage/xfer
Lunar SurfaceInfrastructure
Systems
Long-Duration,Low-Loss
CryogenMgt/Storage/xfer
Lunar SurfaceInfrastructure
Systems
High-EnergyAerobraking at
Earth Return
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October 2003 TSCT_Overview_Page
Architecture Design AlternativesArchitecture Design Alternatives
TSCT #3 Major Options AssessmentTSCT #3 Major Options Assessment
Design ArchictureAlternatives
Success vis--vis CriteriaDA -No.
ADA-1
ADA-1b
ADA-2a
ADA-2b
ADA-2c
ADA-3
ADA-4
ADA-5
Modular, Reusable,SEP/Cryogen Prop.
NEP, Modular,Reusable Cryogen
Prop Excursion
Chemical / Expendable/ Staged
Cryogenic /Expendable/ Staged
Chem-/Cryo-Propulsion with
Aerobraking
ISRU Enabled, LunarSurface Refueling andOperations
Expendable NTRShuttle, Reusable
Cryo-Prop Excursion
Far-Term SpaceInfrastructures
Low R&D
Risk Applications Dev. Cost Ops CostBenefits
Very high technical risk and high cost during period chosen (2010-2020)
High risk and high cost during period chosen (2010-2020)
Cannot satisfy full range of applications, nor provide benefits comparable toother options; also, operations costs higher than reusable cases
Cannot satisfy full range of applications, nor provide benefits comparable toother options; also, operations costs higher than reusable cases
High risk and high cost during period chosen (2010-2020); cannot satisfy fullrange of applications nor provide full scope of benefits
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October 2003 TSCT_Overview_Page
Integrated Technology AssessmentIntegrated Technology AssessmentCommon Technologies - Most Viable ArchitecturesCommon Technologies - Most Viable Architectures
TIM#3TIM#3Design Arch. Multi-Architecture Common TechnologiesDA -No.
ADA-1
Advanced Materials & Structural Concepts
ADA-1b
ADA-2a
ADA-2b
ADA-2c
ADA-3
ADA-4
ADA-5 Thermal Protection Systems
Cryogenic Fluid Management, Storage, Transfer
Modular, Reusable,
SEP/Cryogen Prop.
NEP, Modular,Reusable Cryogen
Prop Excursion
Chemical / Expendable/ Staged
Cryogenic /Expendable/ Staged
Chem-/Cryo-Propulsion with
Aerobraking
ISRU Enabled, LunarSurface Refueling and
Operations
Expendable NTRShuttle, Reusable
Cryo- Prop Excursion
Far-Term SpaceInfrastructures
High-Power Electric/Electromagnetic Propulsion
High-Energy Solar Electric Power
Hazard Avoidance and Precision Landing
Intelligent Vehicle/System Health Management
Space Assembly, Maintenance and Servicing
Reliable on-Board PMAD Systems
Attitude Control/GN&C
Computing and Communications
Habitation, EVA and Bioastronautics
Space Environmental Effects
Reusable, Throttling Cryogenic Propulsion
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TSCT TIM #3 Case StudyTSCT TIM #3 Case Study
Meeting the Earth Neighborhood TransportationMeeting the Earth Neighborhood Transportation
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October 2003 TSCT_Overview_Page
Meeting the Earth Neighborhood TransportationMeeting the Earth Neighborhood TransportationChallengeChallenge
Synthesizing Concepts & Technologies (Proof ofSynthesizing Concepts & Technologies (Proof ofPrinciple)Principle)
O-2
OPTION 3OPTION 2 (1?)
O-3
O-4
O-5
OPTION 4 OPTION 5
Modular
Elements
Multiple
Payload Classes
Diverse Options
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October 2003 TSCT_Overview_Page
Team-X Session on 16 October 2003Team-X Session on 16 October 2003
Updated Guidelines - Day 2Updated Guidelines - Day 2
P/L
P/L
P/L
V
V
V
P/L = Payload
V = Vehicle
Lunar Surface
Polar Site, Illuminated, 14 day duration
P/L
V
500 kg
2,500 kg
Case A
Case B
LOX/LH2 Chem
Type 1 Type 2
500 kg
2,500 kg
LOX/LH2 Chem
12,500 kgCase C
Rough
12,500 kg
LOX/LH2 Chem
100 kgCase D
Rough
100 kg
LOX/LH2 Chem
Configuration Options for ExcursionConfiguration Options for Excursion
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October 2003 TSCT_Overview_Page
Configuration Options for ExcursionConfiguration Options for ExcursionVehicle(s)Vehicle(s)
Team-X Cases and Additional AlternateTeam-X Cases and Additional AlternateOptionsOptions
500 kg p/l Case
Alternate
500 kg p/l Case
2,500 kg p/l Case
Alternate
2,500 kg p/l Case
R bl C i T f V hi lR bl C i T f V hi l
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October 2003 TSCT_Overview_Page
Reusable Cryogenic Transfer VehicleReusable Cryogenic Transfer Vehicle(RCTV)(RCTV)
Team-X CasesTeam-X Cases
Leverage
100 kg(Rough)
500 kg500 kg 2,500 kg2,500 kg
Value(1,000
$/kg
)
Payload
10
20
30
40
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
R(SC Wet / Payload) Value ($/kg-payload)
20 kg(N/A)
12,500 kg(N/A)
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ctober 2003 SRR_Page
Advanced Systems, Technologies, ResearchAdvanced Systems, Technologies, Researchand Analysisand Analysis
Ad d S t T h l i R h dAd d S t T h l i R h d
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October 2003 TSCT_Overview_Page
FlightProjects
System Test,Launch &
Operations
System/SubsystemDevelopment
TechnologyDemonstration
TechnologyDevelopment
Research toProve
Feasibility
BasicTechnologyResearch
TRL 9TRL 9
TRL 8TRL 8
TRL 7TRL 7
TRL 6TRL 6
TRL 5TRL 5
TRL 4TRL 4
TRL 3TRL 3
TRL 2TRL 2
TRL 1TRL 1
BasicResearch
Researchand
TechnologyBase
TechnologyPush
Capability-
FocusedTechnologyDevelopment
and DemoPrograms
ApplicationsPull
e.g., SSEOBPR e.g., OAT,OBPR e.g., SFE, SSE, ESE,OAT e.g., Specific FlightProjects
Primary Emphasis of theASTRA Road Maps
AdvancedDevelopment
Programs
SystemSpecific
Advanced Systems, Technologies, Research, andAdvanced Systems, Technologies, Research, and
AnalysisAnalysisStrategic Technology Model forStrategic Technology Model forASTRA (1 of 2)ASTRA (1 of 2)
d d h l i h dAd d S T h l i R h d
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October 2003 TSCT_Overview_Page
Advanced Systems, Technologies, Research, andAdvanced Systems, Technologies, Research, andAnalysisAnalysis
Work Breakdown StructureWork Breakdown Structure
1.01.0Systems Integration,Systems Integration,Analysis, Concepts &Analysis, Concepts &
ModelingModeling
ASTRAASTRA1.11.1
Program andProgram andSystems IntegrationSystems Integration 1.21.2
Mission and MarketMission and MarketStudiesStudies
1.31.3Advanced ConceptsAdvanced Concepts
StudiesStudies 1.41.4Technology -SystemsTechnology -Systems
AnalysisAnalysis1.51.5
System andSystem andInfrastructureInfrastructure
ModelingModeling
1.61.6
Technology andTechnology andSystems VerificationSystems Verificationand Validationand Validation
2.02.0Advanced TechnologyAdvanced Technology
DevelopmentDevelopment
4.04.0Supporting Research andSupporting Research and
TechnologyTechnology
3.03.0Systems-Level TechnologySystems-Level Technology
DemonstrationsDemonstrations
2.32.3Habitation, Bio-Habitation, Bio-
astronautics, and EVAastronautics, and EVA
2.42.4Space Assembly,Space Assembly,
Maint., and ServicingMaint., and Servicing
2.52.5Surface ExplorationSurface Exploration
and Expeditionsand Expeditions
2.62.6SpaceSpace
TransportationTransportation
Level 1: Top TierLevel 1: Top TierLevel 2: Strategic ThemesLevel 2: Strategic Themes
2.12.1Self-Sufficient SpaceSelf-Sufficient Space
SystemsSystems
2.22.2Space Utilities andSpace Utilities and
PowerPower
3.53.5SAMS DemosSAMS Demos
3.63.6Lunar/PlanetaryLunar/Planetary
Exploration DemosExploration Demos
3.13.1Technology DemoTechnology DemoDefinition StudiesDefinition Studies
3.23.2Tech. Flt. ExperimentTech. Flt. Experiment
AccommodationsAccommodations
2.82.8Information andInformation andCommunicationsCommunications
2.72.7In Space InstrumentsIn Space Instruments
and Sensorsand Sensors
3.33.3High-Energy SpaceHigh-Energy Space
Systems DemosSystems Demos
3.4_Modular3.4_ModularSpace Platforms andSpace Platforms and
Systems DemosSystems Demos
4.34.3Power/ThermalPower/Thermal
TechnologyTechnology
4.44.4Electronics andElectronics and
SensorsSensors
4.54.5Software, Computing,Software, Computing,
and Intelligenceand Intelligence
4.64.6Mobility andMobility andManipulationManipulation
4.14.1Advanced MaterialsAdvanced Materials
4.24.2Structures andStructures and
ControlsControls
4.84.8Basic Physical andBasic Physical andChemical ResearchChemical Research
4.74.7Advanced PropulsionAdvanced Propulsion
4.104.10TBDTBD
4.94.9
Biological ResearchBiological Research
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October 2003 TSCT_Overview_Page
Many, DiverseCompeting
Technologies ata Low Level ofFunding -- All
AddressingApproximatelythe samefunctional
capabilities...
Starting Point:TRL 3/4
SeveralCompetingTechnologies at
a ModerateLevel of Funding
Goal: TRL 5
In Most Cases1 or 2 BestCandidate
Technologies ata Substantial
Level of Funding
Goal: TRL 6
Where Necessary,Technology Flight
Experiments TechnologyReady toSupport Decisionsto Proceed withDevelopment ofThe DesiredCapability...
Where Needed1 or 2 BestCandidate
Systems-LevelTechnology
Flight Demosat a Significant
Level ofFunding
Goal: TRL 7
Technologies Dropped orDeferred to Future
Application Opportunities
Number of CompetingTechnologies Being
Funded
Total Resources BeingInvested in a specific technology
TIME
Strategic Investment ElementsStrategic Investment ElementsFocusing on Enabling CapabilitiesFocusing on Enabling Capabilities
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ctober 2003 SRR_Page
ConclusionConclusion
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October 2003 TSCT_Overview_Page
WhatWhat MightMight Be Accomplished?Be Accomplished?
Increased Available Powerat Reduced Cost for Earth
Neighborhood SpaceSystems
Extension of EffectiveOperational Lifetime for
Systems Beyond Low EarthOrbit
Improvement in FuelEfficiency forTransportation in theEarths Neighborhood
Reduction in Operationsand Logistics Costs
2- to 5- FoldFactors-of
Improvement
in Several KeyEarth
NeighborhoodSpace SystemsCapabilities*
Increase in the Scale ofSystems Beyond LEO(without New Launchers)
Space Science
Missions
* In conjunction withkey CollaborativeInvestments
New Infrastructures
What ELSE Might beAccomplished??
New Industries
Communications
Satellites
NationalDefenseSystems
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Keeping PerspectiveKeeping Perspective