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Transit Connections 2013 The Value of Transit
Emerging Trends:The Demographics and Needs of Seniors
Richard WeinerNelson/Nygaard
Grady TarbuttonWashoe County Senior Services
Connie McMullenSenior Spectrum Newspaper
Senior Transportation: Trends and Opportunities
December 6, 2013
Richard Weiner
PRESENTED TO TRANSIT CONNECTIONS 2013 CONFERENCE
Nelson\Nygaard Consulting Associates, Inc.
Overview
■ National demographic trends
■ Washoe County senior trends
■ Impact of the Americans with Disabilities Act (ADA)
■ Serving senior mobility needs in a car oriented environment
■ Range of mobility strategies
Nelson\Nygaard Consulting Associates, Inc.
Senior Demographic Trends
■ 13% of population over 65
■ 19% by 2030
■ Overlap between disability and senior population
■ 33% of people with disabilities are seniors
■ 75 and older: 55% have a disability that impacts public transit use
Nelson\Nygaard Consulting Associates, Inc.
Disability Prevalence by Age
Nelson\Nygaard Consulting Associates, Inc.
Transportation Mode Split Among Seniors 65+
Car Van Bus/Rail Bicycle Walk Other0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
79%
8%
1% 1%
9%
1%
Source: National Household Travel Survey, 2009
Nelson\Nygaard Consulting Associates, Inc.
Washoe County - % Change in Senior Population 2000-2010
Wash
oe County
Reno
Sparks
Sun Valley
Incline V
illage -
Cry
stal Bay
Spanish Sprin
gs
Cold Springs
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
300%
Nelson\Nygaard Consulting Associates, Inc.
Population of Washoe County, 2000-2009
POPULATION 2009
POPULATION 2000 % CHANGE
2009 SENIOR POPULATION
(65+)
2000 SENIOR POPULATION
(65+) % CHANGE
Washoe County 411,125 339,486 21% 48,702 35,797 36%
Cold Springs 9,255 3,834 141% 806 213 278%
Gerlach-Empire 361 499 -28% 72 47 53%
Incline Village - Crystal Bay 8,719 9,952 -12% 1,264 1,163 9%
Lemmon Valley-Golden Valley 6,777 6,855 -1% 755 534 41%
Nixon 235 418 -44% 22 40 -45%
Reno 213,772 180,480 18% 23,900 20,603 16%
Spanish Springs 13,940 9,018 55% 995 412 142%
Sparks 86,302 66,346 30% 10,089 6,789 49%
Sun Valley 19,522 19,461 0% 2,008 1,464 37%
Sutcliffe 211 281 -25% 46 32 44%
Verdi-Mogul 2,343 2,949 -21% 470 305 54%
Wadsworth 669 881 -24% 48 86 -44%
Source: US Census 2000, 2007-2009 American Community Survey 3-Year Estimates
Washoe County Population 65+ per Square Mile
Nelson\Nygaard Consulting Associates, Inc.
Nelson\Nygaard Consulting Associates, Inc.
Non-Driving Seniors
■ 21% of over 65 year olds
■ More isolated than drivers
■ Half shopping and eating trips
■ 65% less family, religious and social trips
■ Over half stay at home on given day due to lack of transportation
Can Paratransit Solve this Mobility Problem?
■ Seniors prefer to age in place
■ In a decade, over 75% in rural or suburban areas
■ Perception of ADA paratransit as the solution
■ But … limitations on eligibility, hours, area, cost
■ “Most older people do not have significant disabilities for most of their senior years” (Rosenbloom)
Nelson\Nygaard Consulting Associates, Inc.
Nelson\Nygaard Consulting Associates, Inc.
Limitations of ADA Paratransit
■ Dramatic cost increases
■ Many cutting back to ADA minimums
■ Most seniors don’t use paratransit
■ Only 7% of older people used in a given month
■ Older registrants take less than two round trips monthly
■ Poor substitute for driving
Nelson\Nygaard Consulting Associates, Inc.
Driving will likely always be the primary mode for seniors
■ Driving or riding as a passenger
■ Over 75% of trips will bein a car
■ Over 90% of shopping trips
Nelson\Nygaard Consulting Associates, Inc.
Careful Allocation of Resources Needed
■ Multi-pronged approach
■ Cost of Access versus RIDE Trip ($25.48 vs. $2.28)
■ ADA Paratransit always fill a critical need
■ Needs to be well-focused
■ Accurate eligibility screening essential
Nelson\Nygaard Consulting Associates, Inc.
Other Options
Services
■ Flexible transit
■ Shuttles
■ Community transit partners
■ Paratransit to fixed route feeder
■ Taxis
■ Independent Transportation Network
■ Volunteer driver program
Nelson\Nygaard Consulting Associates, Inc.
Other Options (continued)
■ Travel training
■ Mobility Ambassadors
■ Senior-friendly transportation information
■ Driver safety training
■ Walking and fitness
■ Pedestrian-friendly infrastructure
Nelson\Nygaard Consulting Associates, Inc.
Conclusion
■ Senior population growing significantly
■ Divergent needs and abilities
■ Nuanced approach needed
■ Range of strategies been adopted nation-wide
■ Careful allocation matching needs to resources
■ Coordinated effort needed to extend mobility
■ Ensure continued contributions of seniors through employment, volunteering, grandparenting, and driving other older adults
Questions?
NELSON\NYGAARD CONSULTING ASSOCIATES © 2013
Richard Weiner116 New Montgomery St., Suite 500
San Francisco, CA 94105415-284-1544
