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TRANSMILENIO AND TRANSANTIAGO Luis Willumsen Public Transport planning in cities around the world
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Page 1: TRANSMILENIO AND TRANSANTIAGO · 2015-01-12 · Transmilenio in Bogotá, Colombia . M ODEL DEVELOPMENT Modelling for Bogotá: Transmilenio . D EMAND: M ODE SPLIT Walk 31% Other 2%

TRANSMILENIO AND TRANSANTIAGO

Luis Willumsen

Public Transport planning in cities around the world

Page 2: TRANSMILENIO AND TRANSANTIAGO · 2015-01-12 · Transmilenio in Bogotá, Colombia . M ODEL DEVELOPMENT Modelling for Bogotá: Transmilenio . D EMAND: M ODE SPLIT Walk 31% Other 2%

THEORY AN

D PRACTICE

Putting Theory into Practice in Latin America

1

1

Using models to support creativity and design

Page 3: TRANSMILENIO AND TRANSANTIAGO · 2015-01-12 · Transmilenio in Bogotá, Colombia . M ODEL DEVELOPMENT Modelling for Bogotá: Transmilenio . D EMAND: M ODE SPLIT Walk 31% Other 2%

A DILEM

MA

The need for quality in emerging countries

Car availablehouseholds

Split

GrowthUrban

population

Car notavailable

household

Income growth

Prio

rity

Public Transportin line with

quality & lifestyleexpectations

Expectations

Public Transportthat is affordable,

accessible andreliable

Prio

rity

Page 4: TRANSMILENIO AND TRANSANTIAGO · 2015-01-12 · Transmilenio in Bogotá, Colombia . M ODEL DEVELOPMENT Modelling for Bogotá: Transmilenio . D EMAND: M ODE SPLIT Walk 31% Other 2%

BO

GO

TÁ Bogotá, Colombia

Page 5: TRANSMILENIO AND TRANSANTIAGO · 2015-01-12 · Transmilenio in Bogotá, Colombia . M ODEL DEVELOPMENT Modelling for Bogotá: Transmilenio . D EMAND: M ODE SPLIT Walk 31% Other 2%

7 millon inhabitants 1 million cars

30,000 buses, de-regulated, different varieties

Bus commercial speed (Peak) = 10 Km/hr.

Average time per day on bus = 140 mins/traveller

Infrastructure mostly car oriented

BO

GO

TÁ Bogotá’s transport system 1990’s

Page 6: TRANSMILENIO AND TRANSANTIAGO · 2015-01-12 · Transmilenio in Bogotá, Colombia . M ODEL DEVELOPMENT Modelling for Bogotá: Transmilenio . D EMAND: M ODE SPLIT Walk 31% Other 2%

BO

GO

TÁ Chaotic public transport system pre-Transmilenio

Some bus corridors carried over 30,000 pax/hr/dir

Page 7: TRANSMILENIO AND TRANSANTIAGO · 2015-01-12 · Transmilenio in Bogotá, Colombia . M ODEL DEVELOPMENT Modelling for Bogotá: Transmilenio . D EMAND: M ODE SPLIT Walk 31% Other 2%

Infrastructure built by Government, ~US$5.3 million/km Integrated fare of US$0.40 covers operating costs + buses Pay on station, high platform; level boarding to speed up operations

TRANSM

ILENIO

Transmilenio in Bogotá, Colombia

Page 8: TRANSMILENIO AND TRANSANTIAGO · 2015-01-12 · Transmilenio in Bogotá, Colombia . M ODEL DEVELOPMENT Modelling for Bogotá: Transmilenio . D EMAND: M ODE SPLIT Walk 31% Other 2%

MO

DEL DEVELOPM

ENT

Modelling for Bogotá: Transmilenio

Page 9: TRANSMILENIO AND TRANSANTIAGO · 2015-01-12 · Transmilenio in Bogotá, Colombia . M ODEL DEVELOPMENT Modelling for Bogotá: Transmilenio . D EMAND: M ODE SPLIT Walk 31% Other 2%

DE

MA

ND: M

OD

E SP

LIT

Walk 31%

Other 2% Work Bus

1%

School Bus 4%

Bus 44%

Taxi 4%

Car driver

10%

Car passenger

4%

Extensive data collection and model calibration

Page 10: TRANSMILENIO AND TRANSANTIAGO · 2015-01-12 · Transmilenio in Bogotá, Colombia . M ODEL DEVELOPMENT Modelling for Bogotá: Transmilenio . D EMAND: M ODE SPLIT Walk 31% Other 2%

DE

MA

ND P

RO

FILE

0

200000

400000

600000

800000

1000000

1200000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24HORA

Pasa

jero

s

BUS AUTO TAXI

Extensive data collection and model calibration

Page 11: TRANSMILENIO AND TRANSANTIAGO · 2015-01-12 · Transmilenio in Bogotá, Colombia . M ODEL DEVELOPMENT Modelling for Bogotá: Transmilenio . D EMAND: M ODE SPLIT Walk 31% Other 2%

SO

CIO-E

CO

NO

MIC G

RO

UP

S Identification of demand groups and their requirements

Weights for • Walking • Waiting • In-vehicle

times, • Transfers & • willingness

to pay Segmented by type of user

Page 12: TRANSMILENIO AND TRANSANTIAGO · 2015-01-12 · Transmilenio in Bogotá, Colombia . M ODEL DEVELOPMENT Modelling for Bogotá: Transmilenio . D EMAND: M ODE SPLIT Walk 31% Other 2%

0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000

Van

Minibus

Standard bus

Articulated + conductor

Bi articulated + cond.

Artic + High Platform

Bi-artic High Platform

Artic H Plat pay off-bus

Bi-artic H Plat pay off-bus

CAPACITY O

F BUS BASED SYSTEM

S Passenger capacity and vehicle type

Page 13: TRANSMILENIO AND TRANSANTIAGO · 2015-01-12 · Transmilenio in Bogotá, Colombia . M ODEL DEVELOPMENT Modelling for Bogotá: Transmilenio . D EMAND: M ODE SPLIT Walk 31% Other 2%

TRANSM

ILENIO: C

ORRIDO

RS

Seven corridors planned and designed in 1999

Page 14: TRANSMILENIO AND TRANSANTIAGO · 2015-01-12 · Transmilenio in Bogotá, Colombia . M ODEL DEVELOPMENT Modelling for Bogotá: Transmilenio . D EMAND: M ODE SPLIT Walk 31% Other 2%

PASSEN

GERS EN

TERING A TRAN

SMILEN

IO STOP

Pay off-bus, speed up boarding

Page 15: TRANSMILENIO AND TRANSANTIAGO · 2015-01-12 · Transmilenio in Bogotá, Colombia . M ODEL DEVELOPMENT Modelling for Bogotá: Transmilenio . D EMAND: M ODE SPLIT Walk 31% Other 2%

STATION CO

NFIG

URATIO

N IN TRANSM

ILENIO

Sation configuration

Page 16: TRANSMILENIO AND TRANSANTIAGO · 2015-01-12 · Transmilenio in Bogotá, Colombia . M ODEL DEVELOPMENT Modelling for Bogotá: Transmilenio . D EMAND: M ODE SPLIT Walk 31% Other 2%

TRANSM

ILENIO

Bike parking

Page 17: TRANSMILENIO AND TRANSANTIAGO · 2015-01-12 · Transmilenio in Bogotá, Colombia . M ODEL DEVELOPMENT Modelling for Bogotá: Transmilenio . D EMAND: M ODE SPLIT Walk 31% Other 2%

TRANSM

ILENIO

Bicycle lanes in Bogotá as feeder mode

Page 18: TRANSMILENIO AND TRANSANTIAGO · 2015-01-12 · Transmilenio in Bogotá, Colombia . M ODEL DEVELOPMENT Modelling for Bogotá: Transmilenio . D EMAND: M ODE SPLIT Walk 31% Other 2%

Time savings of 32% per user (speed, reliability and interchange)

37% of users say “spend more time with family”

+300% reduction in accidents

20% reduction in emissions

Popular recognition of change in the quality of life in Bogotá

Commercial Speeds of ~26 Km/hr

Results from the implementation of the first 3 corridors

Page 19: TRANSMILENIO AND TRANSANTIAGO · 2015-01-12 · Transmilenio in Bogotá, Colombia . M ODEL DEVELOPMENT Modelling for Bogotá: Transmilenio . D EMAND: M ODE SPLIT Walk 31% Other 2%

CHILE

Santiago

Page 20: TRANSMILENIO AND TRANSANTIAGO · 2015-01-12 · Transmilenio in Bogotá, Colombia . M ODEL DEVELOPMENT Modelling for Bogotá: Transmilenio . D EMAND: M ODE SPLIT Walk 31% Other 2%

SANTIAG

O Santiago

Some 5.5 million people, 1.2 million cars

Some 8,000 buses and a similar number of less formal shared taxis, etc.

Most PT services were end-to-end with very long routes

High frequency, poor quality buses, aggressive driving

Flat fare of ~US$ 0.45 , no subsidies

Page 21: TRANSMILENIO AND TRANSANTIAGO · 2015-01-12 · Transmilenio in Bogotá, Colombia . M ODEL DEVELOPMENT Modelling for Bogotá: Transmilenio . D EMAND: M ODE SPLIT Walk 31% Other 2%

SANTIAG

O METRO: 85 KM

S AND 5 LIN

ES Santiago Metro

Moved 1.3 million passengers per day in 2006

Page 22: TRANSMILENIO AND TRANSANTIAGO · 2015-01-12 · Transmilenio in Bogotá, Colombia . M ODEL DEVELOPMENT Modelling for Bogotá: Transmilenio . D EMAND: M ODE SPLIT Walk 31% Other 2%

TRANSANTIAG

O TranSantiago

A multi-modal Transport Plan

Part of this plan is the introduction of a new Public Transport system

Inspired in Transmilenio and Curitiba, based on a trunk-feeder system; it also uses Metro as a trunk system

More ambitious than Bogotá: The whole network: Cleverly Optimised

Only smartcards for payment

Not much infrastructure: technology will solve the problems

Implemented in 2006-2007, in full from February 2007

Page 23: TRANSMILENIO AND TRANSANTIAGO · 2015-01-12 · Transmilenio in Bogotá, Colombia . M ODEL DEVELOPMENT Modelling for Bogotá: Transmilenio . D EMAND: M ODE SPLIT Walk 31% Other 2%

Improve service quality to all users.

An economic, social and environmentally sustainable PT system.

Maintain and improve PT share of trips in Santiago.

TRANSANTIAG

O OBJECTIVES

Objectives

Page 24: TRANSMILENIO AND TRANSANTIAGO · 2015-01-12 · Transmilenio in Bogotá, Colombia . M ODEL DEVELOPMENT Modelling for Bogotá: Transmilenio . D EMAND: M ODE SPLIT Walk 31% Other 2%

14 concessions

1 concession

1 concession

Three groups of concessions + Metro + Infraestructure?

Page 25: TRANSMILENIO AND TRANSANTIAGO · 2015-01-12 · Transmilenio in Bogotá, Colombia . M ODEL DEVELOPMENT Modelling for Bogotá: Transmilenio . D EMAND: M ODE SPLIT Walk 31% Other 2%

TRUN

K ROU

TES Trunk routes

Page 26: TRANSMILENIO AND TRANSANTIAGO · 2015-01-12 · Transmilenio in Bogotá, Colombia . M ODEL DEVELOPMENT Modelling for Bogotá: Transmilenio . D EMAND: M ODE SPLIT Walk 31% Other 2%

IMPLEM

ENTATIO

N 2007: Reality disappoints

Buses

Metro, carries over 2 million passengers per day

Extreme crowding, especially in the Metro, frustration, low quality of service: a high political cost

Page 27: TRANSMILENIO AND TRANSANTIAGO · 2015-01-12 · Transmilenio in Bogotá, Colombia . M ODEL DEVELOPMENT Modelling for Bogotá: Transmilenio . D EMAND: M ODE SPLIT Walk 31% Other 2%

DEM

ON

STRATION

S, OFFICIAL IN

QU

ESTS

What went wrong?

Page 28: TRANSMILENIO AND TRANSANTIAGO · 2015-01-12 · Transmilenio in Bogotá, Colombia . M ODEL DEVELOPMENT Modelling for Bogotá: Transmilenio . D EMAND: M ODE SPLIT Walk 31% Other 2%

WHAT W

ENT W

RON

G What went wrong?

Some basic design issues A case of extreme optimism The use of strategic model of 700 zones to undertake a

tactical PT design Zones generally too large to design PT routes and services Zones near the periphery too large to locate bus stops It could have been adapted and moderated using on-the-ground

experience

The abuse of spreadsheet financial model to achieve “objective” of no subsidy

Rejection of experience (not invented here) and negative views

Page 29: TRANSMILENIO AND TRANSANTIAGO · 2015-01-12 · Transmilenio in Bogotá, Colombia . M ODEL DEVELOPMENT Modelling for Bogotá: Transmilenio . D EMAND: M ODE SPLIT Walk 31% Other 2%

DESIG

N OBJECTIVES FO

R TRANSANTIAG

O The design problem

Design a system that: Offers new buses, professional operators and new labour contracts

with drivers; this was the Improvement in the Level of Service Minimises operating costs without subsidies Satisfy known demand Implicitly: without major investment in infrastructure

This led to a system that:

A trunk-feeder structure and feeds metro too Low floor buses and high load factors Adjust supply very closely to known demand Integrated fare using smartcard “BIP”

Reduces frequencies Requires transfers Increases, or at most retain, travel times

Page 30: TRANSMILENIO AND TRANSANTIAGO · 2015-01-12 · Transmilenio in Bogotá, Colombia . M ODEL DEVELOPMENT Modelling for Bogotá: Transmilenio . D EMAND: M ODE SPLIT Walk 31% Other 2%

Access Time

Number & location of

stops

Route Coverage

Operational design

Waiting time

Frequency

Fleet size

In-vehicle time

Infrastructure & priority

Delays at stops: pay on/off bus

Operational design

Integration

Transfer time

Infrastructure

Operational design

Fare

Risk allocation

Commercial speed

Cost recovery ratios

δ τ + + + + + = transf in bus wait access n Fare a t a t a t a GenCost 4 3 2 1

Design of new services: how to satisfy user requirements

In practice, transfers were undervalued and the reduction of travel times was not seen as a key indicator of performance

Page 31: TRANSMILENIO AND TRANSANTIAGO · 2015-01-12 · Transmilenio in Bogotá, Colombia . M ODEL DEVELOPMENT Modelling for Bogotá: Transmilenio . D EMAND: M ODE SPLIT Walk 31% Other 2%

BU

SINESS M

ODEL

The overall business model

Network and Optimised Services

Model Fare and Financial

Model

Concession design & Fleet Specifications

Revenues

payments

costs

services

No government subsidies No major infrastructure improvements Use of modern technology (GPS, SmartCards)

Reduction of fleet

Page 32: TRANSMILENIO AND TRANSANTIAGO · 2015-01-12 · Transmilenio in Bogotá, Colombia . M ODEL DEVELOPMENT Modelling for Bogotá: Transmilenio . D EMAND: M ODE SPLIT Walk 31% Other 2%

IMPLEM

ENTATIO

N In February 2007 the system is implemented in a “one-day big bang” Service coverage and comfort: despite the new buses, these were

overloaded, offer fewer seats, sometimes passengers cannot board them and this increases delay: fragility of the new system

Walking and Travel times: these have increased although a few people with trips along a trunk route now have somewhat faster services

Transfers: more transfers than before thus increasing travel time and uncertainty

“One-Day Big Bang”, a very risky strategy that nobody has got right yet SmartCard: initially a significant problem; seems to work OK now

Results

Page 33: TRANSMILENIO AND TRANSANTIAGO · 2015-01-12 · Transmilenio in Bogotá, Colombia . M ODEL DEVELOPMENT Modelling for Bogotá: Transmilenio . D EMAND: M ODE SPLIT Walk 31% Other 2%

LESSON

S 1 High performance is not the same as trunk-feeder services Trunk-feeder structure will only improve services if the

infrastructure and operation design permit significant saving on the trunk section to compensate for transfers

All elements in a BRT system are interrelated: lanes, platform, payment, alignment, car restraint, revenue, enforcement, etc.

If major protected bus infrastructure and “pay off bus” is not possible it is better to think about open rather than closed systems

Public Transport systems are much more vulnerable to errors and overloads than road traffic; they require redundancy and spare capacity

Lessons

Page 34: TRANSMILENIO AND TRANSANTIAGO · 2015-01-12 · Transmilenio in Bogotá, Colombia . M ODEL DEVELOPMENT Modelling for Bogotá: Transmilenio . D EMAND: M ODE SPLIT Walk 31% Other 2%

LESSON

S 2 Modelling without experience and judgement is a dangerous combination NEVER TRY TO IMPLEMENT A COMPREHENSIVE NEW ROUTE SYSTEM IN ONE DAY

• There is a lot to be learn from pilot studies and gradual change • Users need time to adapt to new systems, but they need to go to

work every day • The resources required for good implementation are easily

underestimated at a significant political cost

Be very careful with the data you collect and the models you develop Use appropriate Key Performance Indicators Involve stakeholders as co-planners (rather than challengers) from the start

Lessons

Page 35: TRANSMILENIO AND TRANSANTIAGO · 2015-01-12 · Transmilenio in Bogotá, Colombia . M ODEL DEVELOPMENT Modelling for Bogotá: Transmilenio . D EMAND: M ODE SPLIT Walk 31% Other 2%

THANK YOU


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