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Cornie Huizenga, Secretary General, SLoCaT Partnership South African International Renewable Energy Conference
6 October 2015
Transport and Renewable Energy
Mission: Integrate Sustainable Transport in Global Policies on Sustainable Development and Climate Change
SLoCaT Partnership
90+ Members: International Organizations – Government –Development Banks – NGOs – Private Sector - Academe
SLoCaT Foundation: Established in 2014 with sole objective to support the functioning of the SLoCaT Partnership
Diamond Supporters
Platinum Supporters
Gold Supporters
Tran
spo
rt a
nd
th
e S
DG
Fra
mew
ork
Transport Emissions Trends (6DS Scenario)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
Bill
ion
To
ns
of
CO
2B
illio
ns
Power
Other transformation
Industry
Transport
Residential
Commercial
Agriculture
Source: International Energy Agency (2014), Tracking Clean Energy Progress 2014, OECD/IEA, Paris
Transport sector CO2 emissions projected to increase by about 60% from 2015 to 2050
-100%
-90%
-80%
-70%
-60%
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
Agriculture Commercial Residential Transport Industry Power2
DS
CO
2 G
row
th b
etw
ee
n 2
01
5 t
o 2
05
0
2015-2050 Growth 2DS
2DS Growth in Different Sectors 2015-2050
Transport must reduce emissions by 40% of 2015 levels by 2050 for 2DS; however, non-OECD countries have just begun to motorize
Source: IEA WEO 2012
Improve
Shift
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022
MIL
ES
PE
R G
AL
LO
N
(All
cou
ntr
ies
con
ver
ted
to
CA
FE
tes
t
UNITED STATES EUROPE
JAPAN AUSTRALIA
CANADA CHINA
CALIFORNIA S. KOREAJAPAN
UNITED STATES
EUROPEAN UNION
CHINA AUSTRALIA
CANADA
S. KOREA
CALIFORNIA+ 16 S TATES
Dotted line: Proposed or contested
Solid lines: Enacted
Source: Passenger Vehicle Greenhouse Gas and Fuel Economy Standards: A Global Update, International Council on Clean Transportation, 2007
Standardized Comparison of International Fuel Economy and GHG Standards
Electronic Road Pricing Parking Policies License Plate RestrictionsLand Use Planning
Cycling/ Bikeshare Bus Rapid Transit Multimodal Connectivity High-Speed Rail
Electric VehicleFuel Economy Standard Bio-fuels
Avoid Transport Sector Mitigation Strategies
Globally about 93% of the transport sector is (still) driven by oil, with biofuels accounting for 2% and natural gas 1% of transport fuel
Residential/Comm. & Public, 49.40%
Electric Plants, 28.60%
Industry, 10.20%Other, 5.00%
Transport, 3.50%
Combined heat & Power Plants, 2.70%
Heat Plants, 0.40%
Current Transport Share of Renewable Energy Use
Source: IEA, Renewables Information (2015 edition)
To reach a 2DC scenario, EVs must exceed 40% of passenger car sales, and biofuels must provide more than 10% of road transport fuel, 11%
of shipping energy and 33% of aviation fuel by 2040.
Fuel Diversity Across Transport Modes
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Passenger Freight Passenger Freight
2012 2050
Hydrogen
Electricity
Natural gas
Biofuels
Oil products
Source: IEA ETP 2015
Among proposed transport sector measures, decarbonizing fuel has the highest priority in INDCs submitted to date
Diversification of Transport Fuel in INDCs
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
Ener
gy E
ffic
ien
cy
Dec
arb
on
izin
g Fu
el
Fuel
Su
bsi
dy
Lan
du
se/U
rban
fo
rm
Pu
blic
Tra
nsp
ort
Wal
kin
g/C
yclin
g
Insp
ecti
on
&
mai
nte
nan
ce
Park
ing
Middle East
Latin America & Caribbean
North America
East Asia & Pacific
Europe & Central Asia
Sub-Saharan Africa
Source: SLoCaT Partnership analysis
A broad set of decarbonizing measures are proposed in INDCs from diverse regions
Fuel Decarbonization Measures in INDCs
Source: SLoCaT Partnership analysis
Country INDC Planned Measures to Decarbonize Transport Fuel
Barbados Encourage adoption of hybrid and electric vehicles through tax incentives
Burkina Faso Biodiesel to account for 5% of diesel consumption by 2030
CanadaGasoline to contain 5% renewable content and diesel fuel to contain 2%
renewable content
JordanFacilitate purchase of low emission vehicles and scrap high polluting vehicles
through standards, incentives and legal means
KiribatiReplace more than one-third of fossil fuels for electricity and transport by
2025; trial use of coconut oil-based biofuel
MongoliaIncrease share of private hybrid road vehicles
from 6.5% in 2014 to 13% by 2030
Marshall IslandsReplace more than one-third of fossil fuels with renewables
for electricity and transport by 2030
New Zealand Increase renewable electricity usage in transport
Republic of Korea Implement tax reductions for electric and hybrid vehicles
Lima Paris Action Agenda:
• Action Platform on Urban Electric Mobility (UEMI): Increase
market share of EVs in cities to 30% of all new vehicles by 2030
• International Zero-Emission Vehicle Alliance: Accelerate adoption
of EVs, plug-in hybrids and fuel-cell vehicles
Others:
• CALSTART: Commercialize efficient vehicles, low-carbon fuels, and
integrated mobility strategies
• Global Compact - Caring for Climate: Mobilize critical mass of
business leaders to implement and recommend climate change
solutions and policies
• Michelin Challenge Bibendum: Bring together actors from the
transport sector to define/implement shared vision of mobility
Renewable Energy Oriented Technology Partnerships
Conclusions and Recommendations
• Technology and Innovation
• Scale up technology transfer through the UNFCCC process
• Accelerate research in efficient batteries/energy storage
• Expand cooperation to develop biofuels/reduce externalities
• Scale up use of renewable electricity generation
• Policy instruments
• Increase focus on policies to link EVs and renewable energy
• Consider expansion of biofuel blend mandates
• Further the phase-out of fossil fuel subsidies
• Financing
• Create dedicated funding for EVs with fossil fuel phase out
• Implement local, national and global carbon pricing policies
• Monetize/capture co-benefits of decarbonizing fuel and
establish transfer mechanism to the transport sector
Global Agreement on Climate Change that empowers transport sector to take action on climate change
Inclusive platform on mobility and climate created by SLoCaT Partnership and Michelin Challenge Bibendum
Common Messages on Mobility and
Climate
Knowledge Products
National, Regional and Thematic
DialoguesEvents at COP21
PPMC Components:
www.ppmc-cop21.org
