Trends in humanitarian

and development

assistance in a rapidly

changing global context

Tony German

Executive Director

Development Initiatives

www.devinit.org

• An independent organisation

working for the eradication of

absolute poverty

• Our mission is to empower and

enable people to make evidence-

based and data-informed decisions

to deliver more effective use of

resources for poverty eradication

• Produce accessible data, analysis

and infographics

• Offices in Bristol (UK), Nairobi

(Kenya) and with partners DRT,

Kampala (Uganda)

International architecture: G8 to G20 – G7+

From DAC to post-Busan Global Partnership

Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, Indonesia,

Gulf States, Foundations, private sector

95 non DAC countries contributed to tsunami –

distinction between donor and recipient will become

history, Ireland, Spain, Portugal, Korea, bail outs –

changing pattern of resources

MDGs to High Level Panel and UN post 2015 settlement

Open data and IT empowers even very poor and crisis-

affected people to provide feedback, demand

accountability, pursue opportunity

Humanitarian community views on post 2015?

Extreme $1.25 a day poverty is falling: from 40% in 1981, to 25% in 2008

2015 & 2025: World Bank projections

If nothing changes, it will be 2080 before extreme poverty is eradicated – a continuing

humanitarian crisis

Brazil: President Dilma has committed to eradicating absolute poverty by 2015

Big resource mix with potential to eliminate $1.25/$2 a day poverty

and reduce vulnerability to natural or manmade shocks that cause

crisis and can leave people in intergenerational poverty

Source: Development Initiatives based on World Bank, UNCTAD, IMF, UN ,

OECD DAC , annual reports

ODA Humanitarian aid

Other official flows

Development finance

institutions

NGOs

South-South cooperation Remittances

Public and private debt

flows

Portfolio equity

Foreign direct investment

Afghanistan resource mix shows how modest

humanitarian and development assistance is

compared to military & security spending

Source: Development Initiatives based on OECD DAC and SIPRI

The number of non-DAC humanitarian donors

has been growing in the last decade...

Source: Development Initiatives based on UN OCHA FTS and OECD DAC

23 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 23

52 54 47 41 40

95

57 70

92 101

130

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Nu

mb

er

of

do

no

rs

non-DAC donors reporting to the FTS

DAC donors reporting to the FTS

Non-DAC humanitarian volumes up to 10% of global

humanitarian spend, somewhat volatile, but very

significant for some recipients – and growing in influence

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

8%

9%

10%

-

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

% o

f N

DD

US$

mill

ion

HA from non-DAC donors, volume

HA from non-DAC donors, % of total HA

Source: Development Initiatives based on UN OCHA FTS and OECD DAC

Aid as % public expenditure 2010

Non-DAC donor humanitarian aid contributions to

Yemen, Bangladesh and Maldives compared with DAC

donor contributions, 2006-2009

172.5

105.4

71.9

75.4

17.7

8.7

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Bangladesh

Yemen

Maldives

20

07

2

00

8 2

00

9

Non-DAC donors DAC donors

Source: Development initiatives based on UN OCHA FTS and OECD DAC data, US$ million

...with Gulf states representing the majority of non DAC

humanitarian flows

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

US$

mill

ion

Gulf states BRICS EU 12 All other donors

Source: Development Initiatives based on UN OCHA FTS

Non DAC aid still a modest but growing part of global

picture – and aid overall has risen over the decade

Source: Development Initiatives based on UN OCHA FTS and OECD DAC

-

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

US$

bill

ion

(co

nst

ant

20

10

pri

ces)

"ODA like" flows from non-DAC countries

ODA from DAC countries

Non DAC donors channel more humanitarian aid through governments

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

US$

mill

ion

Other

Multilateral organisations

NGOs

Public sector

DAC donors, 9%

NDD, 33%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

2007-11

Shar

e o

f H

JA t

hro

ugh

pu

blic

se

cto

r

Source: Development initiatives based on UN OCHA FTS and OECD DAC

Donors prioritise different countries for different reasons

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

HA ODA

Shar

e o

f to

tal

ODA and HA shares to Oceania, 2007-11

Australia

Other DAC donors

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

ODA HA

Shar

e o

f to

tal

ODA and HA shares to the Great Lakes region, 2007-11

Belgium

Other DAC donors

Source: Development initiatives based on OECD DAC data

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

2009-11

HA from all donors Sudan

Pakistan

Haiti

Palestine/OPT

Ethiopia

Afghanistan

Congo, Dem. Rep.

Somalia

Kenya

Iraq

Other

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

2009-11

HA from Gulf States Pakistan

Sudan

Palestinian territory, occupied

Somalia

Syrian Arab Republic

Yemen

Haiti

Afghanistan

Lebanon

Bangladesh

Other

Source: Development initiatives based on UN OCHA FTS and OECD DAC

For some countries humanitarian aid is more

relevant than development aid..

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Libya Somalia Korea, Dem. Rep.

Chad Sudan Syria South Asia,

regional

Myanmar

Zimbabwe

Haiti

HA

as

a %

of

tota

l OD

A

Source: Development Initiatives based on OECD DAC