Tropical cyclones crossing within 400 km of 12.42°S latitude, 130.89°E longitude

1906/07 to 2006/07

Wind Storm & Cyclones –

Cyclone activity has been predicted by the CSIRO to decrease overall by up to 44% in some areas of Australia.

However, the number of extreme cyclone events (Category 3-5) is expected to increase. That is, there will be a higher percentage of more destructive and longer living cyclone events.

Furthermore, the average decay location of cyclones is predicted to move southwards by up to 3 degrees of latitude

Potential insured losses from

Tropical Cyclone “Dinah” Jan – Feb 1967

• If Tropical Cyclone Dinah (1967, Cat 3) took place today, but only 100-150km further south, it would affect Brisbane, Gold Coast & Sunshine Coast.

• Munich Re estimated that potential insured losses would be US$8-14 billion (2006)

(Source: Munich Re, Topics GeoNatural Catastrophes 2006)

The Gold Coast