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Truth in Immigration-2010

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    Immigration

    FactsWhat Every Citizen Needs to Know

    1

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    About this presentation

    Four things you need to know about this presentation

    1. This is a non-partisan work. Republicans, Democrats, business leaders,

    clergy, Latinos, academics and others contributed to this presentation.

    2. Its purpose is to inform.

    3. The information presented herein are based on verifiable public data

    obtained from recognized sources with sources listed at the bottom of

    each slide.

    2

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    A salient characteristic of the current debate

    on U.S. immigration policy is the high ratio of

    hot air to data.

    Dr. Douglas Massey

    Co-director, Mexican Migration Project

    Princeton University

    3

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    Immigration Quiz: True or False?

    Increase amount of crime

    Take jobs from Americans

    Dont pay any taxes

    Strain health care &

    education systems

    Increase terrorism threat

    4

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    Immigration Quiz: True or False?

    Wont enter legally

    Dont assimilate, learn

    English, respect culture

    No Constitutional Rights

    Come here to vote illegally

    Threaten our sovereignty

    5

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    What people believe

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    67%Wont assimilate or learn English

    7Source: Zogby American Poll, April 2006

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    52%Strain health care, education andsocial services

    8Source: Pew Hispanic Center, The State of American Public Opinion on Immigration in Spring 2006

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    49%Dont pay taxes

    9Source: Benson Strategy Group, Immigration Opinions Poll, May 9-12, 2009

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    48%Threaten our sovereignty

    10Source: Pew Hispanic Center 2006 Immigration Survey, February 8-March 7, 2006

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    39%Increase the crime rate

    11Source: FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll, 6 April 06

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    35%Take jobs from Americans

    12Source: Time Magazine Poll, March, 29-30, 2006

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    31%Increase the threat of terrorism

    13Source: Opinion Dynamics Fox News Poll, April 25-26, 2006

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    20%Wont enter the country legally

    14Source: Benson Strategy Group, Immigration Opinions Poll, May 9-12, 2009

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    ?Have no Constitutional rights

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    ?Come here to vote illegally

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    Unreliable Sources

    Majority of false claims originate with anti-immigration groups

    They rarely cite their sources or explain their conclusions

    Purposefully misinterpret reports or data often disagreeing without

    providing any proof for their point other than simply saying so, and often

    cross-reference one anothers research

    The most well-known anti-immigration groups were started by one man:

    John Tanton

    Bottom line: bad information makes for bad laws and policies

    17

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    Reliable Sources

    Colleges and universities publishing peer-reviewed studies that stand

    up to critical analysis

    Use original source data from FBI, Dept. of Homeland Security, U.S.Citizenship and Immigration Services and Dept. of Justice

    Research and policy centers that are not purely pro or con

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    A lie gets halfway around the world

    before the truth gets its boots on.

    19

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    Legality

    20

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    CivilThe type of offense for entering theU.S. at an improper time or place

    21Source: USC 18, Title 12, Subchapter 2, Part VIII, Section 1325

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    $50-$250The penalty for entering the U.S. atan improper time or place

    22Source: USC 18, Title 12, Subchapter 2, Part VIII, Section 1325 (b)

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    False PapersPoint at which improper entrybecomes a criminal offense

    23Source: USC 18, Title 12, Subchapter 2, Part VIII, Section 1325 (a)(3)

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    ArizonaStates in which being in the countrywithout papers is a Felony

    24

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    85%Percentage of undocumentedentries from Mexico offset bydepartures between 1965 and 1985

    25Source: Massey & Singer, New Estimates of Undocumented Mexican Migration and the Probability of Apprehension, 1995

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    45%Percentage of undocumentedimmigrants who overstayed a legalvisa

    26Source: Pew Hispanic Center, Modes of Entry for the Unauthorized Migrant Population, May 2006

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    3%Percentage of total U.S. populationestimated to be undocumented

    27Source: Dept. of Homeland Security, Center for Immigration Statistics

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    10Years a naturalized citizen fromMexico may have to wait to bringtheir spouse into the U.S.

    28Source: American Immigration Lawyers Association, AILA Backgrounder: Myths and Facts in the Immigration Debate

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    20Years a naturalized citizen may haveto wait to sponsor siblings into theU.S.

    29Source: American Immigration Lawyers Association, AILA Backgrounder: Myths and Facts in the Immigration Debate

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    Population Growth 1990-2008

    30

    0

    100,000,000

    200,000,000

    300,000,000

    400,000,000

    1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2007 2008

    United States Hispanic Origin

    15%14.8%14.1%

    13%12.5%

    11.2%10.6%10%9.5%9%

    Source: U.S. Census Bureau, State & County QuickFacts

    15.4%

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    What is the truth?Why do people come to the U.S.?

    Priority given to families or those with in-demand technical skills

    They come here to work

    They come here to rejoin their families

    Bottom line: Federal law must be changed to be market-driven andto accommodate the needs of business and society

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    Crime

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    4.4%Estimate of all Arizona crimescommitted by undocumentedimmigrants

    33Source: ASU Incarceration Study, 2006

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    3.5%Percent of all undocumentedimmigrants DHS deported fromArizona with prior criminal records

    34Source: DHS, Office of Immigration Statistics, 2004

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    2.1%Percent of MCSO arrests ofundocumented immigrants aspercent of total arrests

    35Source: MCSO web site and press releases

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    10%Percent of all people booked intoMCSO jails subject to an ICE hold

    36Source: M. Kiefer, Arizona Republic, Feb. 25, 2008

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    52.5%Percent drop in violent crime asundocumented population grewbetween 1994-2006

    37Source: U.S. DoJ, Bureau of Justice Statistics, Key Facts At A Glance, March 29, 2010

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    48.6%Percent drop in property crime asundocumented population grewbetween 1994-2006

    38Source: U.S. DoJ, Bureau of Justice Statistics, Key Facts at a Glance, March 29, 2010

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    What is the truth?Although the undocumented

    population has grown by an

    estimated 1,400 people per

    day, the murder rate declinedfrom 61 per day in 1996 to 47

    per day in 2006.

    Total murders per day have

    declined while the number of

    undocumented aliensentering the country has

    increased.

    39Source: Paul Stiles, Novice Bear, January 10, 2008

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    31.6%Hispanics as a percentage of allpersons arrested in Arizona

    40Source: Arizona Department of Public Safety, Crime in Arizona 2006

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    29.2%Hispanics as a percentage of allArizona residents

    41Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census, State Population Estimates by Characteristics 2006

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    13%Incarceration rate of native-bornmales 18-39 in California with lessthan a high school diploma

    43Source: Crime, Corrections and California, California Counts, PPIC, Vol. 9, No. 3, February, 2008

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    0.5%Incarceration rate of immigrantmales 18-40 in California with lessthan a high school diploma

    44Source: Crime, Corrections and California, California Counts, PPIC, Vol. 9, No. 3, February, 2008

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    5Number of times native citizens aremore likelythan any immigrant to beincarcerated

    45Source: Debunking the Myth of Immigrant Criminality: Imprisonment Among First- and Second-Generation

    Young Men, Rubn G. Rumbaut, Roberto G. Gonzales, Golnaz Komaie, and Charlie V. Morgan, 2006

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    73.3%The percentage of the U.S. prisonpopulation who are U.S. citizens

    46Source: U.S Bureau of Prisons, BOP Quick Facts, February 27, 2010

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    18.0%Percentage of the U.S. prisonpopulation who are Mexican citizens

    47Source: U.S Bureau of Prisons, BOP Quick Facts, February 27, 2010

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    What is the truth?Understanding the numbers

    DHS data report cumulative arrest numbers that doNOTindicate the

    actual number of people who may have crossed illegally.

    The relationship between apprehensions to either the number of attempted

    illegal entries or the number of successful illegal entries is unclear

    Bottom line: There is virtually nothing you can infer about the volume ofillegal migration from the number of apprehensions

    48Source: DHS Office of Immigration Statistics Fact Sheet Border Apprehensions, November. 2006

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    Jobs

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    66%Percent of undocumented Mexicanimmigrants who have not completedhigh-school

    50Source: Pew Hispanic Center, Survey of Mexican Migrants, December 6, 2005, p. 36.

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    $259Average day-laborer weekly income

    51Source: Day Labor in the Golden State, CEP, Vol. 3, No. 3, 2007

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    $7.25/hrArizona minimum wage for 2010

    52Source: The Industrial Commission of Arizona, Minimum Wage Standard, 2010.

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    $9.71/hrArizona H-2A hourly Adverse EffectWage Rate (AWER) for 2010

    53Source: USDA 75 FR 6884, February 12, 2010

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    $67,019Median annual income for family offour in 2005

    54Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Median Income for 4-Person Families, by State, 2005

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    $25,000Average family income of a migrantfamily of four

    55Source: Pew Hispanic Center, Unauthorized Migrants: Numbers and Characteristics, 2005

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    14 millionNumber of new jobs created in U.S.between 1996 and 2000

    56Source: Bean, Frank D., and Gillian Stevens, 2003. Americas Newcomers and the Dynamics of Diversity.

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    12 millionTotal U.S. population growthbetween 1996 and 2000

    57Source:Bean, Frank D., and Gillian Stevens, 2003. Americas Newcomers and the Dynamics of Diversity.

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    Undocumented Impact on Wages

    58

    -10%

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    1990-2004

    -3%

    8%

    0-8 Years 8-11 Years 12-20 Years

    Source: University of Arizona

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    59

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    Sales & Admin Professional Manufacturing Services Construction Agriculture

    Non-Citizen Naturalized Native-born

    Foreign-Born Labor Force: 2007

    Source: U.S. Census Bureau, The Foreign-Born Labor Force in the United States: 2007, Figure 6.

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    Annual Immigration Limits: 1996, 2004-2009

    60

    0

    100,000

    200,000

    300,000

    400,000

    1996 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

    Family Preference Employment Preference

    Source: DHS, Office of Immigration Statistics, U.S. Legal Permanent Residents: 1996, 2004-2009

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    24Number of hours to fill quota of

    65,000 H1-B visas for 2008

    61Source: U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services

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    60Days needed to fill quota of

    66,000 H2-B visas for 2008

    62Source: U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services

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    30,000Number of unskilled workers needed

    daily by Yuma farmer Tim Dunn to

    bring in a winter lettuce crop

    63Source: Interview on Desert Politics, Dec. 8, 2007

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    375Number of new non-family related

    employment visas issued to

    Mexican citizens for all of 2009

    64Source: U.S. Department of State, Report of the Visa Office 2009, Table III

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    What is the truth?

    65

    Taking good jobs from Americans

    Studies from Berkeley, and U.C. Davis show there is no relationship

    between an influx of migrant workers and the ability of native citizens to

    find work.

    Immigrants overallincrease the wages of natives, partially because

    natives tend to become the supervisors of the migrant workers

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    What is the truth?Immigration fills legitimate labor needs

    Aging and low birthrate of U.S. population means greater need for

    additional workers in order to:

    Fill available jobs at all levels - we dont have enough replacement

    workers

    Contribute local, state and Federal taxes to cover Social Security and

    Medicare

    Low employment rates encourages export of U.S. jobs overseas

    due to lack of a skilled and motivated labor market

    66

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    Taxes

    67

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    What is the truth?Paying Taxes

    Studies from ASU, University of Arizona, Thunderbird School of

    Management, the Texas Comptroller, the Social SecurityAdministration and common sense show that:

    Undocumented workers pay just about every type of tax there is

    including: sales, real estate, income, social security, and other taxes

    68

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    $940MUndocumented immigrants net

    financial benefit to the Arizona

    economy

    69Source: University of Arizona, Immigrants in Arizona, Gans, 2006

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    $78MUndocumented immigrants sales

    tax contributions to the Arizona

    economy

    70Source: University of Arizona, Immigrants in Arizona, Gans, 2006

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    $836BEarnings Suspense File account

    balance from non-matching SSNs as

    of the end of FY2009

    71Source: U.S. Social Security Administration, SSAS FY 2009 Performance and Accountability Report

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    60%Percent growth in SSA Earnings

    Suspense File account balance

    2005-2009

    72Source: U.S. Social Security Administration, SSAS FY 2009 Performance and Accountability Report

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    $0Amount of Suspense Fund balance

    payable to undocumented

    immigrants

    73Source: U.S. Social Security Administration, Auditors Report, 2007

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    $1BLoss in Arizona state revenues from

    the loss of 50,000 jobs

    74Source: APS Immigration Loss Impact Study

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    What is the truth?Paying Taxes

    In Arizona, sales taxes supply nearly half of our state revenues. All

    immigrants pay sales taxes

    Schools are funded through property taxes that are paid by anyone

    who owns a home, rents a home or apartment or a business

    (Landlords cover their taxes through tenants rent payments)

    75

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    Assimilation

    76

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    1910The year in which the percentage of

    foreign-born residents reached its

    peak of 14.7%

    77Source: Pew Hispanic Center, 2007 and Gibbons and Lennon, 1999

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    12.6%Percentage of foreign-born residents

    of the U.S. in 2007

    78Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2007 American Community Survey

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    13Annual rate of immigrants per 1,000

    U.S. residents in 1910

    79Source: The New Americans, National Research Council

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    3Annual rate of immigrants per 1,000

    U.S. residents in 2005

    80Source: The New Americans, National Research Council

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    25%Percentage of the immigrant

    population that could not speak

    English at all in 1900

    81Source: George Rodriguez, From Newcomers to New Americans..., p. 18

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    47 millionNumber of U.S. citizens who speak

    a non-English language at home

    1980-2000

    82Source: Bean FD, Stevens G. 2003. Americas Newcomers and the Dynamics of Diversity. New York: Russell Sage. P. 149

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    8%Percentage of the immigrant

    population that could not speak

    English at all in 1990

    83Source: George Rodriguez, From Newcomers to New Americans..., p. 18

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    95%Percentage of Mexican-Americans

    who could speak English well in

    1990

    84Source: R. Alba and V. Nee, Remaking the American Mainstream: Assimilation and Contemporary Immigration p. 227

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    743,715Total number of new naturalized

    citizens in 2009

    85Source: DHS, Office of Immigration Statistics, Naturalizations in the U.S., 2009

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    2XThe rate at which Mexican

    immigrants become legal U.S.

    citizens compared to other countries

    86Source: DHS, Office of Immigration Statistics, Naturalizations in the U.S., 2009

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    10Number of years after arrival that

    75% of immigrants speak English as

    well as natives

    87Source: American Immigration Lawyers Association, Myths vs, Facts

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    Learning the language

    88

    0%

    25%

    50%

    75%

    100%

    Hispanic Origin English Mastery

    88%

    23%

    First Generation Second Generation Third Generation and later

    Source: Pew Hispanic Center, English Usage Among Hispanics in the United States, November 29, 2007

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    30Number of years the unavailability of

    English language programs delays

    assimilation

    89Source: Pew Hispanic Center

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    20%Percent of the recipients of the

    Congressional Medal of Honor in

    U.S. wars who were immigrants

    90Source: AILF Policy Report, March 2003

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    51%Percentage of first-generation

    California immigrants (1970s) who

    have purchased homes by 2000

    91Source: Russell Sage Foundation

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    75%Percentage of all immigrants who

    have permanent legal status

    92Source: Dept. of Homeland Security

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    Other myths

    93

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    3%Percentage ofanykind orany

    status of immigrant who receives

    food stamps

    94Source: Federalist Society Seminar Immigration, Amnesty and the Rule of Law, Nov. 16, 2007

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    10Yearslegalpermanent residents

    must pay into Social Security and

    Medicarebefore they get benefits

    95Source: Congressional Research Service

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    10%Percentage of Californias

    uncompensated health care in 2007

    attributable to undocumentedimmigrants E.R. use

    96Source: California Hospital Association

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    13%National percentage of Hispanic or

    Latino total E.R. visits in 2006

    97Source: National Hospital Ambulatory Medical Care Survey: 2006 Emergency Department Summary, Table 2: Number, percent distribution, and

    annual rate of emergency department visits with corresponding standard errors, by patient characteristics: United States, 2006

    http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nhsr/nhsr007.pdfhttp://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nhsr/nhsr007.pdf
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    61%White non-Hispanic percentage of

    total Arizona E.R. visits in 2008

    98Source: ADHS Table 4C-2 Rates* of Emergency Room Visits by Race/Ethnicity and Gender, Arizona, 2008

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    28%Hispanic or Latino percentage of

    total Arizona E.R. visits in 2008

    99Source: ADHS Table 4C-2 Rates* of Emergency Room Visits by Race/Ethnicity and Gender, Arizona, 2008

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    50%Percent undocumented immigrants

    areless likelyto use emergency

    rooms than native Latinos

    100Source: Sampson, Morenoff, et. al.: Public Health Matters, Vol. 95., No. 2

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    2.1The number of fewer doctor visits of

    undocumented Latinos compared

    with their US-born counterparts

    101Source: Alexander N. Ortega, PhD, et.al;Archives of Internal Medicine.2007;167(21): 2354-2360

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    1/2 - 2/3Recent immigrants' per-person

    unadjusted medical expenditures

    compared to U.S. born, even whenimmigrants had full insurance

    102Source: Alexander N. Ortega, PhD, et.al;Archives of Internal Medicine.2007;167(21): 2354-2360

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    $11Estimated taxes per-person spent

    annually on health care for

    undocumented immigrants aged18-64

    103Source: Immigrants And The Cost Of Medical Care: Health Affairs, 25, no. 6 (2006): 1700-1711

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    What is the truth?CNNs Lou Dobbs reported that leprosy cases increased by 7,000

    cases in the last three years.

    According to the National Hansens Disease Program there have

    been only 7,000 cases in the entire U.S. the last 30 years.

    The term LaRaza as in The National Council of LaRaza does NOT

    mean the race. Besides, Hispanic and Latino isnt a race. Its

    an ethnicity--just like

    LaRaza, properly translated, means the people.

    104

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    What is the truth?Joe Turner, founder of Save Our State California (an anti-

    immigration group) has said, Just because one believes in white

    separatism, that does not make them racist.

    At a Federalist Society seminar titled Immigration, Amnesty, and theRule of Law, Georgetown University Law Center Dean T. Alexander

    Aleintikoff said: There is no substantial evidence of voter fraud or of

    illegals serving on juries.

    There is no NAFTA Superhighway. This refers to a series of existing

    roads that carry international trade between Mexico and/or Canada.

    105

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    Arizona Poll Results

    106

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    65%Disagree with classifying

    undocumented immigrants as

    common criminals

    107Source: BRC Rocky Mountain Poll - RMP 2007-V-01

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    66%Agree that politicians are turning

    immigration into an ugly racial

    issue

    108Source: BRC Rocky Mountain Poll - RMP 2007-V-01

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    78%Agree that a guest worker

    program should be implemented

    109Source: BRC Rocky Mountain Poll - RMP 2007-V-01

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    83%Agree that fair and humane

    treatment of foreign workers is as

    important as securing the border

    110Source: BRC Rocky Mountain Poll - RMP 2007-V-01

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    The Bottom Line

    The vast majority of Arizonans

    want practical, market-driven

    immigration reform without the

    racial overtones

    111Source: BRC Rocky Mountain Poll - RMP 2007-V-01

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    Summary

    112

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    113

    The greatest threat to democracy is having a

    public that thinks it is fully informed, but really

    isnt very well informed at all.Linda Foley

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    Now you knowUndocumented Immigrants:

    Are less likely to commit crimes and at a lesser rate than citizens

    Contribute significantly to the state and nations economy

    Are not a drain on state resources or programs

    Are ineligible to receive welfare, social security, health care, etc.

    Come here to work and support their families

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    Our prosperity depends on getting immigration right

    Loss of 10-14% of workforce and associated economic power is

    adversely affecting our states economy

    Home foreclosures and abandonments are at record levels

    Farmers are letting land go fallow or are moving out of state

    Business owners are announcing they would never come to Arizona

    Businesses are laying off Arizona workers and moving jobs out of state

    115

    Our present course is risky

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    What you can doReview the documents, video and audio on the CD you received

    Share these facts with your family, friends and colleagues

    Volunteer to help spread the truth, several groups are willing to trainyou in how to share this information

    Talk to candidates and get their viewpoints

    Contact your Congressman and let them know you support a market-

    driven, comprehensive solutions based on the facts

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    Thank YouFor your time and attention

    Schedule a presentations for other groups

    Get involved and educate the public

    2008-2010 Arizona Employers for Immigration Reform

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    Thou shalt not be a victim

    Thou shalt not be a perpetrator

    Above all, thou shalt not be a bystanderA sign in the Holocaust Museum

    Washington, D.C.


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