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    Turkey Watch: EU Member States Perceptions on Turkeys Accession tothe EU

    ISBN:978-605-89751-2-5A publication of the Center for European Studies, Middle East TechnicalUniversity

    Any part of this publication may be fully reproduced in any form foreducational or non-profit uses with appropriate acknowledgement. No use ofthis publication may be made for resale or other commercial purposes withoutprior written permission of the Center for European Studies, Middle EastTechnical University, Ankara, Turkey.

    SInAN logosu ve Strengthening and Integrating Academic Networks(SInAN)

    Publication funded by the Strengthening and Integrating AcademicNetworks(SInAN) project (Grant Contract Nr. TR0604.01-03/092) which isimplemented by the Center for European Studies, Middle East TechnicalUniversity under the Programme Promotion of Civil Society Dialogue betweenthe EU and Turkey: Universities Grant Scheme in coordination with theSecretariat General for EU Affairs. The contracting authority for this project isthe Central Finance and Contracts Unit

    The contents and publications of the SInAN project are the sole responsibility ofthe Center for European Studies, Middle East Technical University and can inno way be taken to reflect the views of the European Union.

    The opinions expressed herein are only those of the authors and do not reflectany institutional views.

    Page and Cover design byYlmaz Alaahan

    First Published: November 2009

    Printed in Turkey byZeplin letiim Hizmetleri Ltd. ti.6. Cadde 45/2, Birlik Mahallesi, ankaya 06610 Ankara-Turkey

    Center for European Studies,FEAS B-Building, Middle East Technical University, 06531, Ankara, Turkey

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    Acknowledgments

    First of all, we are grateful to all our authors of this volume for

    putting a lot of effort and time in preparing their contributions. We

    would like to thank, Aime Lindenmayer Ay, who worked very

    hard to edit and proof read all the chapters in this volume on EU

    Member States Perceptions on Turkeys Accession to the EU.

    And also, we are thankful to Berat Tapnar, who helped us in

    preparing the volume for publication, at the Center for European

    Studies, METU.

    Last but not least, we are all obliged to our families and friends

    who have been there for us in all desperate and stressful times

    throughout the project. Thank you all for your patience and

    understanding...

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    ContentsSait Akit, idem stn

    Introduction: In Search of an EU-wide Debate on Turkey..........6

    Nicolas Monceau

    French Perceptions.....................................................................16

    Katrin Bttger, Eva-Maria MaggiGerman Perceptions...................................................................32

    Yvonne Nasshoven

    Belgian Perceptions ................................................................... 46

    Emiliano Alessandri with Sebastiano Sali

    Italian Perceptions......................................................................58

    Eduard Soler i Lecha & Irene Garca

    Spanish Perceptions ................................................................... 74

    Athanasios C. Kotsiaros

    Greek Perceptions......................................................................90

    Gunilla Herolf

    Swedish Perceptions ................................................................ 104

    Cengiz Gnay

    Austrian Perceptions................................................................118

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    Costas Melakopides

    Greek Cypriot Perceptions.......................................................132

    Petr Kratochvl, David Krl, Dominika Drailov

    Czech Perceptions....................................................................150

    Adam Szymaski

    Polish Perceptions....................................................................166

    Iulia Serafimescu, Mihai SebeRomanian Perceptions .............................................................186

    Marin Lessenski

    Bulgarian Perceptions..............................................................204

    zgehan enyuva, Sait Akit

    Turkey Seen from the EU: Conclusions ..................................218

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    Sait Akit, idem stn1

    Introduction: In Search of an EU-wide Debateon Turkey

    Turkey was accepted as an eligible candidate for EU

    membership at the Helsinki Summit in December 1999, and began

    her negotiations process for membership in October 2005. This

    was a period with very positive developments in the relations

    between Turkey and the EU, leading to a series of reform packages

    in Turkey with an aim to fulfil the needs and requirements of

    Turkeys aspiration of membership. The same period corresponded

    to an important era of developments and attempts, first by the

    Ecevit government and then by the Gl and Erdoan governments,

    to transform Turkeys internal and external policies. At times,these attempts provided serious challenges on very sensitive issues.

    Some of the important developments of the period are the

    reconsideration of Turkeys foreign policy priorities and attempts

    at solving long-standing disputes, such as the problematic relations

    with Greece and the question of Cyprus.

    Things have changed since the start of the negotiations

    process, and the period between 2006 and 2009 has had its ups anddowns; in fact, more downs than ups. This has various reasons.

    One of the most expressed criticisms of this period has been the

    1 Research Fellows, Center for European Studies, Middle East TechnicalUniversity.The opinions expressed herein are only those of the authors and do not reflect

    any institutional views.

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    assessment that Turkey has not accomplished much since 2006. In

    fact, the reform process was argued to have slowed down, and at

    times to have come to a halt. On the European Union side, the lackof progress in Turkeys reform process is cited as an important

    reason for lack of progress in the negotiations process.

    Shortly after the start of the negotiations process, these

    claims were coupled with calls, on the EU side, for alternatives to

    Turkeys full membership. This corresponded with the change of

    leadership, first in Germany and then in France. German

    Chancellor Angela Merkel, who came to power in November

    2005, strongly advocated a privileged membership of Turkey

    rather than full membership. This position was also asserted by

    French President Nicolas Sarkozy, who was elected to the French

    presidency in May 2007, first during his election campaign and

    later during his presidency. The election of the adamantly-opposed

    Sarkozy to the presidency meant a turning point in Frances

    official position on Turkeys membership to the EU2, and was

    followed up by what was perceived in Turkey as an alternative for

    full membership: the proposal of the Union for the Mediterranean.

    Thus, in Turkey, the picture seems more mixed. First, it is

    believed that there is an increasing ambiguity in the messages

    given to Turkey by the institutions of the European Union as well

    as by the leaders of some EU member states, including Merkel andSarkozy. The proposals for an alternative to membership, plus

    political statements and comments on Turkeys sensitive internal

    and external policy issues, have reinforced the feeling of

    ambiguity; this has led to a commonly held belief that some of the

    2

    As also put forward by Nicolas Monceau in his chapter for this book.

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    leaders of EU member states are creating new conditions and

    obstacles which are not officially part of the accession negotiations

    process, with an aim to keep Turkey out. Indeed, in Turkey it wasexpected that the accession process would not be easy after the EU

    membership of the Republic of Cyprus3, whose citizens largely

    perceive Turkey as the main party responsible for a lack of

    resolution to the Cyprus problem. These concerns proved to be

    true, with the unofficial Greek Cypriot blockage of certain chapters

    of the negotiations process, and the fears of a train crash in

    December 2006. Indeed, Turkeys process of negotiations provedto be more difficult, and the road to membership thornier, than

    envisaged. The calls for a privileged partnership, the proposal of

    the Union for the Mediterranean, the pressure on the extension of

    the protocol of the Ankara agreement to include Cyprus, and the

    calls for the opening of air and sea ports to Cyprus are all

    strongly perceived in Turkey as trials intended to create new

    obstacles or promote an alternative relationship with Turkey.Furthermore, the EUs ongoing debate on Turkeys

    Europeanness and repeated questioning of the nature of Turkeys

    candidacy only reinforce the myths and prejudices regarding the

    EU, in Turkey.

    We believe that there are serious, damaging myths and

    prejudices in Turkey about the EU, on the one hand, and in the EUmember states about Turkey, on the other. One of the starting

    points of the project on Strengthening and Integrating Academic

    3 As officially named, the Republic of Cyprus, although accepted by the EU torepresent the whole island in the EU, is not representative of the Turkish CypriotCommunity on the island. The Republic of Cyprus in this volume thereforerefers to the Greek Cypriot administered part of the island, and perceptions in

    Cyprus refers to Greek Cypriot perceptions.

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    Networks (SInAN) was to question the myths and prejudices

    embedded in this ambiguous relationship. This edited volume is an

    attempt to outline how Turkeys candidacy is perceived bydifferent actors in a number of EU member states. While Turkish

    membership to the European Union, its opportunities and

    challenges for all parties are widely discussed, it is rather difficult

    to find comprehensive analysis that brings together the positions

    and arguments of different actors in different countries. In fact, at a

    very general level, it is argued that Turkeys accession into the

    European Union is one of the most controversial and divisivetopics deeply dividing both the EU governments and their citizens.

    Indeed, there is very limited literature on the European perceptions

    on Turkeys membership into the EU, and almost none that tries to

    tackle all relevant stakeholders, such as the government, the

    opposition, the public and the elites, by exploring their views and

    examining the media coverage of those views within different

    countries.4

    This volume is an output of the project on Strengthening

    and Integrating Academic Networks (SInAN), funded by the

    European Union under the Promotion of Civil Society Dialogue

    between the EU and Turkey: Universities Grant Scheme. Turkey

    Watch has its origins in the early stages of the SInAN proposal

    aiming to follow the example of EU-27 Watch5

    , prepared under the

    4 One exception to this is the TEPAV-IAI Talking Turkey series; Natalie Tocci(ed.), Talking Turkey in Europe: Towards a Differentiated CommunicationStrategy, Quaderni IAI, December 2008. Also, for some detailed analysis onEuropean public opinion, see Antonia R. Jimnez and Ignacio T. Pay,European Public Opinion and Turkeys Accession: Making Sense of Argument

    For or Against, EPIN, European Policy Institutes Network Working Paper no.16, 2007.5

    http://www.eu-consent.net/content.asp?contentid=522

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    EU-CONSENT project which was coordinated by our partner, Jean

    Monnet Centre, University of Cologne. With this publication, the

    Center for European Studies, Middle East Technical University, asthe main coordinator ofSInAN, intends to question the myths that

    characterise the terms of the current debate on Turkeys EU

    integration process and to facilitate better knowledge and

    understanding of Turkey within the EU and of the EU within

    Turkey. Although the envisaged content of the volume has

    changed over time, resulting in views from different EU member

    states on Turkish candidacy to the EU, the main objectivesremained the same. Turkey Watch addresses one general question,

    which is the following: How has Turkeys candidacy been

    perceived in EU member states between the years 2006 and 2009?

    We asked different experts from the member states to take up the

    question, and to give qualitative insights by considering the

    perceptions of some of the main actors in their respective

    countries: the governments, the opposition parties, the civil societyorganisations and the media.

    Different experts provided us with insights on France,

    Germany, Belgium, Italy, Spain, Greece, Sweden, Austria,

    Republic of Cyprus6, Czech Republic, Poland, Romania, and

    Bulgaria. This particular group of EU member states reflects a

    number of concerns. First, it represents a wide geographicaldistribution, including member states from southern, northern,

    central and eastern Europe. Second, the group includes member

    states from each successive enlargement process of the European

    Union. Third, it includes core, old, new, small and large member

    states. Fourth, it includes EU neighbours of Turkey, and states

    6

    See footnote 3.

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    which have good economic relations with Turkey. Fifth, it includes

    states which officially have a supportive position for Turkeys bid

    for membership, although some show only conditional support,and states which have a negative position on Turkeys

    membership. These scholarly attempts to tackle all relevant

    stakeholders collectively support our assumption: Although

    perceived and long accepted as an elite-driven process, the EU

    integration process must take into consideration the perceptions of

    different actors for a better understanding of the various

    dimensions of Turkeys bid for membership.7

    With the various country studies, we have tried to find

    answers to the following questions, through a consideration of the

    period between 2006 and 2009:

    How strong is the debate on Turkey? How informed is the debate on Turkey? What forms the basis of the perceptions of the

    different actors?

    Are there certain myths and prejudices thatdominate the debate on Turkey in these countries?

    What are the reasons and motives in support for oropposition to Turkeys membership?

    What are some of the perceived opportunities andchallenges presented by Turkeys membership?

    Is there convergence of arguments in favour of oragainst Turkey on a cross-country basis?

    Should perceptions on Turkeys membership be7 See zgehan enyuva, Turkey European Union Relations: A Quest for Mass

    and Elite Opinion SInAN Newsletter 2, 2009.

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    considered within a broader context such as that of

    future of Europe?

    Indeed, comprehensive answers to these questions needfurther exploration. This volume is an endeavour to contribute to

    such studies.

    Overview of the Book

    In his analysis of the French perceptions on Turkeys

    accession to the EU, Nicolas Monceau points out that France is

    one of the EU members where the public debate on Turkey is the

    most intense and controversial. Monceau presents the main factors

    that explain the opposition in France, at the elite and the public

    level, and looks at whether there are any dividing lines across the

    parties and the leaders.

    Katrin Bttger and Eva-Maria Maggi argue that there arediverging positions on the question of Turkeys accession in

    Germany, and point to different lines of argumentation which raise

    a comprehensive list of questions. Yvonne Nasshoven, on the other

    hand, spotlights a limited debate on Turkeys candidacy in

    Belgium, due largely to its internal difficulties. However, the

    Belgian stance deserves exploration due to the countrys large

    Turkish population, and the fact that Belgian Prime MinisterHermann von Rompuy is to take the office of the President of the

    European Council for two and a half years, between 2009 and

    2012.

    Emiliano Alessandris contribution, with Sebastiano Sali,

    on Italian perceptions is particularly interesting, as Italy is one of

    Turkeys strongest supporters when it comes to integration into the

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    EU. As such, the perceptions of different actors and the inter-

    linkages between them remain interesting issues to be explored.

    Similar to Italy, Spain is one of the most supportive states ofTurkeys entry into the EU. Eduard Soler i Lecha and Irene Garca

    evaluate the Spanish position, and question whether this official

    support is reflected at different levels. Athanasios C. Kotsiaros, on

    the other hand, points to a supportive but reluctant position in

    Greece, in his evaluation of the elements of support and opposition

    to Turkeys accession. Swedish contributor Gunilla Herolf draws a

    picture of conditional support for Turkeys membership, revealingthat her countrys interest largely lies in Turkeys reform process.

    Alongside Germany and France, Austria and the

    Republic of Cyprus can be counted among the most ardent

    opponents of Turkeys accession to the European Union. Cengiz

    Gnay discusses various elements and concerns with respect to the

    Austrian opposition, and links these to concerns in Austria which

    go beyond the simple debate on Turkey. Costas Melakopides

    evaluation of the Greek Cypriot perceptions raises very

    controversial points and issues for Turkey, and shows how

    prejudicial a community, the Greek Cypriot community, can be in

    this particular issue

    The debate on Turkeys candidacy is more limited in

    some of the new members of the EU, as expressed by differentexperts. The Czech contribution by Petr Kratochvl, David Krl

    and Dominika Drailov, and the Polish contribution by Adam

    Szymaski both point to the limited nature of debate, while

    questioning the determinants of support and opposition for

    Turkeys membership. Iulia Serafimescu and Mihai Sebe, on the

    other hand, take up the question for Romania by largely

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    concentrating on regional factors. Bulgaria is a most interesting

    case, given the large Turkish minority in the country and the

    political role it has played since the early 1990s. In this finalcontribution, Marin Lessenski looks at the factors that inform and

    influence the Bulgarian perception, by concentrating on the images

    created by the Turkish minority, the bilateral relations, and the

    historical and cultural context that has shaped the relations

    between the two neighbouring countries.

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    Nicolas Monceau*

    French Perceptions

    Abstract

    France is one of the European countries in which the

    issue of Turkeys accession to the EU has sparked off the most

    intense public debate, often controversial in tone, during recentyears. This may initially seem surprising, insofar as for centuries

    Turkey and France have shared close ties in many historical,

    political and economic areas. This report first draws the evolution

    of the French public opinion dealing with Turkeys accession to

    the EU in the past years. It presents the main factors political,

    economic, cultural and social explaining French majority

    opposition, both in the elites and the public. Then the reportfocuses on the political field in France, underlining the strong

    divide between French political parties and leaders facing Turkeys

    accession to the EU. It shows how French political perceptions of

    Turkeys accession to the EU are linked to different conceptions of

    Europe and presents the evolution of Frances official position on

    Turkeys membership to the EU since the election of Nicolas

    Sarkozy as French President in 2007. The report concludes with

    the role of the French media in launching a public debate in France

    on Turkeys accession to the EU.

    * The opinions expressed herein are only those of the author and do not reflect

    any institutional views.

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    Introduction

    France is one of the European countries in which the

    issue of Turkeys accession to the EU has sparked off the most

    intense public debate, often controversial in tone, during recent

    years. This may initially seem surprising, insofar as for centuries

    Turkey and France have shared close ties in many historical,

    political and economic areas.

    Three main steps can be identified in the development of

    French perceptions about Turkeys accession to the EU. First ofall, the year 2002 marks a milestone in the media coverage of the

    Turkish issue in France. In November 2002, Valry Giscard

    d'Estaing, then chairman of the Convention on the future of

    Europe, launched the debate in France on the subject of Turkeys

    Europeanness, asserting that as Turkey is not located in Europe,

    its accession would mark the end of the EU. In the same month,

    the Justice and Development Party (Adalet ve Kalkinma Partisi, or

    AKP)'s victory in Turkeys general elections led to the formation

    of a new government described by the French media as moderate

    Islamist. In 2004 and 2005, Turkeys application came under

    debate as a political issue during the French campaign for the

    European elections, followed in May 2005 by the referendum on

    the European Constitution and the membership negotiationsbetween Turkey and the EU begun in October. Finally, in 2007,

    the election of Nicolas Sarkozy as French President marks a

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    turning point in Frances official stance towards Turkeys

    accession to the EU1.

    A Majority of French Citizens Against Turkeys Accession to

    the EU

    Most of the opinion polls tend to show the same findings:

    at the European level, France, along with Germany, Austria and

    Greece, demonstrates the strongest popular opposition to Turkeysaccession to the EU. According to the Eurobarometer2, a majority

    of French citizens expressed reservations about the prospect of

    Turkey joining the EU. In autumn 2006, 69% of French citizens

    interviewed were opposed to Turkey becoming a member of the

    EU in the future, while 22% expressed the opposite view3. Other

    international public opinion surveys, such as the Transatlantic

    Trends, confirm the same tendencies.

    French opposition appears stable over time, even tending

    to increase in recent years: varying from 64% to 69% between

    spring 2002 and autumn 2006, and reaching 71% in spring 2008.

    During the same period, the proportion of positive opinion also

    increases, but only slightly (from 19% to 22%). The decrease of

    No opinion since 2002 is also an indicator of the impact of the

    1 Bruno Cautrs et Nicolas Monceau, La Tentation du refus ? Europens,Franais et Turcs face ladhsion de la Turquie lUnion europenne, Paris,Presses de Sciences Po, 2010.2 When another source is not mentioned, all the percentages quoted in the reportare from the Eurobarometers.3Eurobaromtre 66. Lopinion publique dans lUnion europenne. Automne

    2006. Rapport national France, Brussels, january 2007.

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    public debate about the Turkish issue on the shaping of public

    opinion.

    French opposition to Turkeys full accession to the EU

    can be viewed within the more general opposition to EU

    enlargement expressed in recent years. In spring 2007, 60% of

    French respondents are opposed to the EU enlargement while 32%

    expressed the opposite view4. In national opinion polls carried out

    by IFOP in December 2002, June 2003, and in June and September

    2004, between 56% and 61% of French respondents expressed

    negative opinions concerning Turkeys accession to the EU5.

    What are the main factors explaining French majority

    opposition to Turkey's accession to the EU? The political,

    economic, cultural and migratory dimensions of Turkish-European

    relations play an important role in French perceptions of Turkish

    membership to the EU. In autumn 2006, economic and political

    conditionality is supported by a large majority of French

    respondents, particularly in the issue of human rights. Fears of

    encouraging immigration from Turkey are also widely shared by

    the French. Last but not least, cultural non-compatibility, an

    argument often raised in the debates about Turkeys

    Europeanness, features among the main concerns of the French.

    In June 2008, Turkey's accession to the EU appeared notto represent a priority in the opinions of French citizens or leaders.

    4Eurobaromtre 67. Lopinion publique dans lUnion europenne. Printemps2007. Rapport national France, Brussels, july 2007.5 The main resultats of these surveys are available on the Website of IFOP(www.ifop.com), in particular the following : Les Europens et la Turquie,survey carried out by IFOP in December 2004 in five European countries

    (France, Germany, England, Italy and Spain).

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    Indeed, Turkeys potential accession to the EU was ranked in

    thirteenth position among the three topics of most concern to the

    French (with 6% of respondents), while no leader interviewedexpressed concern about this issue. Similarly, as a matter of

    foreign policy, Turkish membership was ranked respectively at

    sixth and fourth place among the concerns of the population (14%

    of respondents) and of the elite (13%). Finally, Turkeys potential

    accession to the EU was not regarded by the French as one of the

    two priority topics to be handled by President Sarkozy during the

    French Presidency of the EU in 20086.

    Both the French population and the elite adopt similar

    positions, which translate as a majority opposition to Turkey

    joining the EU. In June 2008, 62% and 63% of respondents from

    the general public and among the "Top Leaders" do not support

    Turkeys accession to the EU, of which 36% not at all among the

    general public. In contrast, 35% and 37% were in favour, of which6% very favourable, among the citizens and leaders interviewed.

    An analysis based on social categories reveals significant

    variations. Older generations are more reluctant to accept Turkey's

    membership than the new ones. Indeed, opposition to Turkey's

    accession appears higher, the older the population. Similarly,

    political orientations seem to play a significant role in the French

    perception of Turkey's application. The supporters of SgolneRoyal in the 1st round of the 2007 presidential election are more

    likely to favour Turkeys accession (54%) than those who voted

    for Franois Bayrou (36%) or Nicolas Sarkozy (21%). However,

    6 Survey on the image of Turkey in France, commissioned by the TurkishEmbassy in Paris and carried out in June 2008 by OpinionWay, to a

    representative sample of the population and a panel of French leaders.

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    these results merit explanation, insofar as nearly half of all French

    citizens surveyed (42%), who in June 2008 declared themselves

    opposed to Turkeys accession (that is, 62% of the sample), wouldnevertheless be in favour of Turkeys membership to the EU in the

    future if it meets all the criteria (legal, economic and political) as

    defined by the European Council. The same goes for 25% of

    leaders surveyed who expressed their opposition in 2008. We

    observe here again that time plays an important role in the

    perception of Turkey's application. Among the reasons for

    opposition to Turkeys accession to the EU: Turkey is notconsidered to be a European country either geographically or

    culturally for 48% of citizens and 74% of the leaders interviewed.

    Political and legal arguments prevail for the general public -

    Turkey will never be a truly secular country (19%) or a true

    democracy (14%) while the elite place emphasis on Turkeys

    over-preponderance in the EU owing to its population (13%).

    French popular perception of Turkey also throws light on

    the respective places of these arguments in the national

    imagination. For the majority of respondents, Turkey is a country

    with a rich history (84% of citizens and 100% of leaders). It is also

    perceived as a young country, culturally vibrant, turned towards

    the future and economically dynamic. Nearly half of the people

    and one third of the elite polled believe ultimately that Turkey canmake an important contribution to Europe. But Turkey is

    considered by only a minority of respondents to be democratic

    (38% of residents and 32% of leaders), secular (37% and 55%) and

    respectful of human rights (27% and 10% of positive opinions). In

    conclusion, other findings show that the French public has limited

    knowledge of Turkey as a country, its history, culture, political

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    system and economic and social realities. A Turkish Season

    launched in France between July 2009 and March 2010 should

    encourage citizens to gain more insight into this country.

    In 2009, French perceptions of Turkeys EU candidacy

    seem to be evolving more positively. After President Obamas

    statement in favour of Turkey's accession to the EU at the EU-

    United States summit in Prague in April 2009, 50% of French

    citizens interviewed said that they were against and 35% in favour.

    Supporters of the Centre-Right Democratic Movement expressed a

    majority of negative opinions to Turkish accession (71%),

    followed by right-wing (67%) and left-wing supporters (41%).

    Among the French respondents in favour of Turkeys accession,

    49% are left-wing supporters, 21% are MoDem sympathizers and

    19% from the right. These results reflect an increase in the French

    support of Turkeys accession to the EU in comparison to previous

    opinion polls. In June 2005, a survey on the same topic obtainedresults of 66% against, 28% in favour and 6% no opinion.

    Finally, the French viewpoint on Turkeys accession to

    the EU can also be explained by additional factors not regularly

    gauged by opinion surveys. The role of secularism in French

    society is certainly a factor to take into consideration and in

    particular the impact of public debates raised in the past about thewearing of Islamic headscarves in public. In 2004, a law adopted

    according to the recommendations of the Stasi commission

    banned religious symbols in French state schools. Such debates are

    likely to have an influence on French public opinion towards

    Turkeys application, which is seen as a Muslim country where

    issues of secularism and religion in the public domain are regularly

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    discussed. Frances perception of the Islamic religion, due to its

    colonial past (especially in North Africa), plus the importance

    given to the devoir de mmoire (duty of remembrance), whichled France to officially recognize the Armenian genocide in 2001,

    are also significant factors which may explain French views on

    Turkeys accession to the EU.

    A (Strong) Divide Between Political Parties and Leaders

    In the political field, French perceptions of Turkeys

    accession to the EU have created a split within French political

    parties and leaders since the early 2000s. Turkeys application for

    full membership to the EU has gone beyond national political

    divisions, resulting in opposition from both right and left. The

    table below shows the - positive or negative - stances of the main

    French political parties, and of their leaders, towards Turkey'saccession to the EU.

    In favour Against

    Nationalist parties

    National Front Jean-Marie Le Pen

    Conservative parties

    Union for a PopularMovement (UMP)

    Jacques Chirac, PierreLellouche

    Nicolas Sarkozy, AlainJupp, Jean-PierreRaffarin, Jean-FranoisCop

    Movement for France(MPF)

    Philippe de Villiers

    Hunt, Fish, Nature,Traditions (CPNT)

    Frdric Nihous

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    Arise the Republic Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

    Centrist parties

    Democratic Movement(MoDem - formerlyUnion for FrenchDemocracy)

    Franois Bayrou,Valry GiscarddEstaing, Jean-LouisBourlanges

    New Center (NC) Herv Morin

    Green parties

    The Greens Dominique Voynet,Daniel Cohn-Bendit

    Parliamentary leftparties

    Socialist Party (PS) Michel Rocard, PierreMoscovici, DominiqueStrauss-Kahn,Sgolne Royal,Martine Aubry

    Laurent Fabius, HubertVdrine, RobertBadinter, Max Gallo

    French Communist Party Marie-Georges Buffet

    Far-left parties

    RevolutionaryCommunist League, NewAnticapitalist Party(NPA)

    Olivier Besancenot

    Workers Struggle (LO) Arlette Laguiller

    Nationalist, right-wing and centrist parties are mostly

    against Turkey's accession to the EU, while the far-left and left-

    wing parties seem to be more divided. The Greens and the French

    Communist Party support Turkeys accession to the EU within the

    framework of the conditions set up by the Copenhagen criteria.

    The geographical, cultural and religious arguments are more

    favoured by the right-wing parties while the political conditionality

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    (respect for human rights and minorities) - and the Armenian issue

    for the Socialist Party - are underlined by the left-wing parties.

    Valry Giscard d'Estaing was one of the first French politicalleaders to reject Turkey's accession to the EU on geographical

    grounds. In November 2002, in an interview published by Le

    Monde that provoked a vigorous public debate in France about

    Turkey, he stated : Turkey is a country with close ties to Europe,

    an important country with a real elite, but it is not a European

    country. (...) Its capital is not within Europe, 95% of its population

    is outside of Europe: this is not a European country. The culturaland religious arguments, which focus on the threat of a conflict of

    civilizations between Islamic and Western cultures and values,

    were also often cited by many right-wing and centrist political

    leaders, such as Franois Bayrou, chairman of the Democratic

    Movement, or Jean-Pierre Raffarin, former Prime Minister in

    2002-2005.

    Beyond the divide between left and right sides, the issue

    of Turkey's accession to the EU has also created divisions within

    French leading political parties and the government. Within the

    Gaullist movement, former President Jacques Chirac has supported

    Turkeys "European vocation" for years. He played an important

    role in supporting Turkeys application on the European scene, in

    particular in the decision of the Helsinki European Council inDecember 1999 to grant the status of candidate country to Turkey.

    However, in October 2004, President Chirac stated that he wished

    to submit any further EU enlargement to a compulsory

    referendum, so hoping to dissociate the Turkish issue and the

    debate on the European Constitution. In this way, the French

    would be consulted by referendum on Turkey's accession to the

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    EU. The issue of a compulsory referendum about Turkeys

    accession to the EU was raised again in summer 2008 on the

    occasion of the debate about the revision of the FrenchConstitution. While the abolition of a compulsory referendum for

    the ratification of any new accession to the EU was considered,

    MPs voted for a provision rendering a referendum compulsory for

    EU accession of countries whose population represents more than

    5% of the total EU population, which is true in Turkeys case. In

    the end, the French Senate decided to cancel the provision.

    In the years 2002-2007, President Chiracs support for

    Turkeys application to the EU appears to have been at odds with

    the presidential party stand (UMP) and the parliamentary majority.

    During the campaign for European Parliament elections, Turkeys

    application was used as a major campaign argument by some

    political parties. In April 2004, the UMP and its then chairman

    Alain Jupp distanced itself from Jacques Chirac and stated itsopposition to Turkey's accession to the EU. The presidential party

    formulated a "privileged partnership" with Turkey as an alternative

    to full membership. This kind of partnership has been promoted in

    Europe, especially in French and German public debates in recent

    years. It aims to maintain the cohesion of the EU while ensuring

    the stability of its borders.

    The election of Nicolas Sarkozy as French President on 6

    May 2007, inaugurated a turning point in France's official position

    on Turkeys membership to the EU. Throughout the presidential

    campaign, particularly during the debate between the two

    candidates Sgolne Royal and Nicolas Sarkozy, the latter

    reasserted his opposition to Turkeys accession in the event of his

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    election. Quoting geographical arguments - "Turkey is Asia

    Minor" - he proposed an alternative in the form of a Union for the

    Mediterranean, which was officially launched in Paris in July 2008with the participation of Turkish Prime Minister Recep T.

    Erdogan. In reaction to the support given by U.S. President Barack

    Obama to Turkeys accession to the EU at the EU-United States

    Summit in Prague in April 2009, President Sarkozy reiterated his

    opposition to this prospect.

    Beyond the left-right division, positions on Turkey differ

    along with the visions of the future of the EU. Indeed, Turkey's

    candidacy goes beyond the partisan opposition to bring together,

    on both sides, those who defend the idea of a European power. The

    latter, Laurent Fabius and Franois Bayrou among them, oppose

    the entry of Turkey into the EU on the pretext that it would

    severely threaten the political construction of Europe. On the other

    hand, Turkey's application is championed by both the right and theleft for geopolitical reasons. In this way, Pierre Lellouche, one of

    the few representatives of the UMP to support Turkey's accession

    to the EU who was appointed as Secretary of State for European

    Affairs in June 2009, and Dominique Strauss-Kahn for the PS

    concur in their analysis of the geopolitical significance of Turkey

    in Europe. Turkey's candidacy also raises objections within the

    current French government. President Sarkozys opinions are notshared by a number of ministers, such as the minister of Foreign

    Affairs, the socialist Bernard Kouchner, and the Secretary of State

    for European Affairs from 2007 to December 2008, Jean-Pierre

    Jouyet, who have both reiterated their support for Turkey's

    accession to the EU.

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    If nowadays right-wing and centrist parties are mostly

    opposed to Turkeys membership of the EU, the Socialist Party

    seems to be more divided on the issue. In recent years, the PS hasprovided a measured support to Turkeys accession in the long run,

    and its status of candidate country was recognised by the European

    Council in 1999 when Lionel Jospin was Prime Minister.

    However, the Turkish issue raises significant opposition within the

    party. Some of its members, such as Laurent Fabius, Hubert

    Vdrine or Robert Badinter, are openly opposed to Turkeys

    accession for a variety of reasons. Others are more supportive ofthe prospect, such as Dominique Strauss-Kahn, currently director

    of the IMF, or Pierre Moscovici, former minister of European

    affairs and PS national secretary for international relations, who is

    in favour of a "reasoned yes" to Turkey's accession if it meets the

    Copenhagen criteria. Out of all the French Socialist leaders,

    Michel Rocard, former Prime Minister, has shown the most

    support for the Turkish candidacy in recent years. He participatedin an Independent Commission on Turkey, which in September

    2004 issued a report supporting the opening of accession

    negotiations with the EU if Turkey fulfilled the Copenhagen

    political criteria. Similarly, Rocard has engaged in public debate

    on numerous occasions for Turkeys accession to the EU,

    defending his views in the book Yes to Turkey, published in

    September 2008. Sgolne Royal has long declared that the issue

    of Turkeys membership should be left to the French people to

    decide. During the 2007 presidential campaign, she then claimed

    that she was in favour of Turkeys accession on principle but that

    the EU needed to put the procedure on hold. Finally, several

    leading politicians from both left and right who previously

    supported Turkeys membership, have also changed their minds

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    about Turkeys accession to the UE, including Alain Jupp, former

    Prime Minister, Michel Barnier, former Minister of Foreign

    Affairs and more recently Bernard Kouchner.

    In Spring 2009, the Turkish issue came back strongly into

    the French political arena on the occasion of the campaign for the

    European elections. President Sarkozy played a major role in

    making Turkeys accession to the EU a major issue in the

    European elections. He stated his opposition to Turkeys accession

    to the EU, both in a speech at a UMP meeting in Nmes in May

    and during a joint declaration with the chancellor of Germany,

    Angela Merkel, in Berlin on 10 May 2009. Sarkozys stance

    provoked a number of reactions within the EU, in particular from

    European countries whose governments support Turkeys

    membership to the EU, such as Poland, Portugal or Sweden.

    As regards the French media, in particular radio and

    television, one may say that they do not have a specific stand

    concerning Turkeys accession to the EU. In recent years, the

    national press has mostly broadcasted the positions held by the

    opinion leaders, such as the academics or the politicians, especially

    in specific sections such as Opinions (inLe Monde orLe Figaro)

    or Rebonds (Libration). For instance, Le Monde played an

    important role in launching a public debate in France when itheadlined on the front page the interview with Giscard dEstaing in

    November 2002, which was then followed with many reactions in

    the same sections.

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    Conclusion

    In conclusion, French perceptions of Turkeys accession

    to the EU have shown a stable and majority opposition, both in the

    public and the elites, for the last years. However, some recent

    opinion polls may give a more optimistic view of French

    perceptions, when more citizens answer that they agree with

    Turkeys membership to the EU in the future if it fulfills the

    required criteria. In parallel, French perceptions have revealed the

    great divide among EU countries in the face of Turkeys accession

    to the EU. Sarkozys stance during the campaign for the European

    elections in 2009 has not been followed by many national

    governments within the EU. In this prospect, the evolution of

    French perceptions in the coming years will also be linked to the

    place and influence of France within Europe.

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    Katrin Bttger, Eva-Maria Maggi*

    German Perceptions

    Introduction

    When analyzing the German perception of Turkish

    candidacy for EU-membership, diverging positions can be

    observed in the media, in the government and opposition parties as

    well as in civil society. These diverging arguments mostly follow

    the lines of three subjects with opposing positions that are

    advanced to different degrees by the actors. The first subject is the

    question of identity. Here, the two extremes are the following: On

    the one side stands the argument that the relationship between a

    Christian European Union and a Muslim Turkey is that of a Clashof Civilizations, while on the other side, humanitarian thinking is

    the reference point and being advocated at the same time. The

    second subject by which the perception of Turkish EU-

    membership is pervaded concerns institutional (in)stability. Here,

    arguments concern either the EUs outdated internal structure or

    the Turkish political system. While some argue that Turkey is not

    ready for accession, other actors stress the fact that Turkey will notenter the EU before it is ready and fulfils the necessary criteria

    * Dr. des. Katrin Bttger is Research Associate at the Institut fr EuropischePolitik, Berlin; Eva-Maria Maggi is Ph.D candidate at the Helmut-SchmidtUniversity Hamburg. The article results form the IEP-Programme DialogueEurope of the Otto Wolff-Foundation.*The opinions expressed herein are only those of the author and do not reflect

    any institutional views.

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    anyway. A third line of argumentation deals with strategic

    geopolitics and security. Here, one side argues that a Turkish EU-

    membership would bring the conflicts of Iraq, Iran andAfghanistan closer too close to the EU, while the other side

    sees Turkey as a buffer or even a bridge between Europe and the

    Arab world.

    It has to be noted however, that not all actors promoting

    or opposing Turkish EU membership make use of all the

    arguments systematized above.

    By the Media

    Some parts of the German media have been constantly

    engaged with the Turkish EU accession process during the last

    years. The nature of this engagement has changed recently,

    whereas the main attitude towards Turkeys accession stays

    divided. Other print media, TV and radio stations remain notably

    quiet. Instead, the integration of Turkish immigrants in Germany is

    a steady topic.

    Along the lines of their political (party) orientation,

    German newspapers are divided into a group of accession

    supporters on the one side and critics on the other. The mostly

    conservative newspapers Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung (FAZ)

    and Die Welt have analyzed the accession process quite sceptically

    and would rather prefer an alternative affiliation of Turkey, such as

    the privileged partnership proposed by the Christian Democratic

    Party (CDU) in 2004. Their arguments emphasize the differences

    between Turkey and the European Union drawing upon cultural

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    heritages, identities and history.1 In contrast to this, the more

    liberal/left-leaning newspapers like the Sddeutsche Zeitung (SZ)

    and the Frankfurter Rundschau have generally assessed Turkeysambitions to join the EU positively, dependent on the speed of the

    reform-process initiated by the Turkish government to fulfil the

    accession criteria. Other newspapers, like the left-leaning

    Tageszeitung or the tabloid Bild do not present the issue as a

    central topic.

    Rather, domestic questions like the integration of Turkish

    immigrants in Germany are emphasized.

    Interestingly, the argumentative nature of the main

    newspapers has moved away from a concentration on the domestic

    political situation in Turkey towards a closer look at the future and

    identity of the EU project itself. Especially during the last year,

    Turkish EU membership aspirations and EU internal processes like

    the establishing of the new Lisbon Treaty were combined in

    commentaries.2 Using the accession negotiations with Turkey as an

    example, commentators argue pro and con over an effective EU

    enlargement policy that has to be linked to the debate on European

    identity. Even though the main protagonists, the FAZ and the SZ,

    keep their basic opinions to the EU membership of Turkey, their

    1 Wimmel, A. (2006) Beyond the Bosphorus? Comparing German, French andBritish Discourses on Turkeys Application to Join the European Union, ReihePolitikwissenschaft/Political Science Series, No. 111,http://www.ihs.ac.at/publications/pol/pw_111.pdf, see also Welt am Sonntag(2008) EU-Beitritt der Trkei: Entspannt euch!, 25 May 2008, p. 31; PeterGraf Kielmansegg (2009) Europa braucht Grenzen, in: FAZ, 27 May 2009, p.7.2 Peter Graf Kielmansegg (2009) Europa braucht Grenzen, in: FAZ, 27 May2009, p. 7.; SZ (2009) Insel gegen Kontinent 30 July 2009, p. 4; Welt am

    Sonntag (2008) EU-Beitritt der Trkei: Entspannt euch!, 25 May 2008, p. 31.

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    argumentations are linked to internal affairs of the EU rather than

    treating both issues separately. The FAZ, for example, commented

    on Turkeys disagreement with Anders Fogh Rasmussen as NATOgeneral secretary, as an example of a conflict of civilizations

    which could be enhanced with Turkey as a member of the EU

    system, where blackmailing often works and identity plays an

    important role in daily political life.3 Also, the SZ claims that the

    problematic signing procedure of the Lisbon Treaty shows the

    need to combine the future of enlargement policy with the debate

    on European identity. The will of the accession candidates tocontribute to the European Integration process should be an

    accession criterion for future enlargements and for Turkeys

    accession.4

    Taking into consideration all types of media, the debate

    mainly remained an issue within the print media. In general,

    reports of other media, like TV stations, concentrate on negativeconnotations of Islam.5 The picture drawn emphasizes cultural

    differences and the reports concentrated on rather negative

    examples of social integration.6

    German media perceive Turkeys ambitions to join the

    EU differentiated. While the conservative press advocates a

    sceptical approach, the liberal orientated newspapers are rathersupportive. Accompanied by the mostly negative reporting on

    Islam within the broader media, it can be said that in general the

    3 FAZ (2009) Schne Partner, 5 April 2009, p. 14.4 SZ (2009) Insel gegen Kontinent 30 July 2009, p. 4.5 Kai Hafez/Carola Richter (2007) Das Islambild von ARD und ZDF, in: ApuZ26-27/2007, pp. 40-46.6 Grsel Gr (2005) Das Trkeibild der deutschen Presse, in: Brger im Staat

    3/2005, pp. 122-129.

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    German media shows little optimism concerning a successful EU

    accession of Turkey.

    By the Government and the Opposition

    Since there has been a general election in Germany on 27

    September 2009 and it is foreseeable that a new government will

    be formed shortly, the following section will firstly deal with the

    positions of the government of 2005-2009 and the opinions of thetwo parties therein. Secondly, the individual positions of the three

    smaller parties in parliament (Bundestag) in opposition between

    2005 and 2009 will be outlined. In a third step, the opinions

    voiced during the coalition negotiations in the Fall of 2009 will be

    mentioned.

    The government of chancellor Angela Merkel comprises

    the two largest parties in Germany, namely the conservative

    Christian Democratic Party (CDU) and the Social Democratic

    Party (SPD).

    These two governing parties hold diverging positions in

    the grand coalition concerning Turkish candidacy for EU-

    membership. While the CDU wants a privileged partnership, the

    SPD advocates EU-membership. The CDU argues along the linesof EU-internal and identity reasons, whereas the SPD is of the

    opinion that membership can stabilize Turkish democracy and thus

    refute the argument that we are heading for a Clash of

    Civilizations.

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    The Coalition contract7 of 2005 foresees that if the EU is

    not able to absorb another member or if Turkey is not able to fulfil

    all criteria related to membership, then Turkey has to be bound toEurope as closely as possible and in a way that allows for its

    privileged relations to develop. The contract thus comprises both

    of the institutional arguments, namely the question of the EUs

    internal structures as well as that of the Turkish political system. It

    does not give an opinion, however on what should happen if both

    prerequisites are met, but only maps out further steps for a

    situation in which one or the other or both conditions are notfulfilled.

    Concerning the election campaign for the European

    Parliament, further enlargements of the EU were not an important

    subject. There was, however, a mentioning of the subject in the

    manifestoes.

    In their manifesto8 for the elections of the European

    Parliament, the conservatives (CDU) based their advocating a

    privileged partnership on a more general support of a consolidation

    phase and a slowing down of all enlargement processes, since they

    give priority to the stabilizing of the European identity and the

    EUs institutions. Already in 2000, in its updated programme,9 the

    CDU stressed the fact that the question of where the borders ofEurope lie should be answered before it reaches the borders of Iraq

    and Iran. It is thus using an argument of fear of the conflicts of the

    7 CDU/CSU/SPD (2005) Gemeinsam fr Deutschland. Mit Mut undMenschlichkeit, 11 November 2005, Berlin.8 CDU (2009) Starkes Europa Sichere Zukunft, 16 March 2009, Berlin.9 CDU-Bundesvorstand (2000) Programmatische Offensive fr Deutschland.

    Norderstedter Erklrung, 7/8 January 2000, Norderstedt.

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    Arab world rather than seeing future membership as a bridge or a

    buffer between Europe and countries like Iraq or Iran. In its

    electoral programme for post-2009,10

    the CDU stresses the factthat Turkey does not fulfil the prerequisites for EU-membership,

    such as equal rights, the protection of minorities or freedom of

    religion. For that reason they support a privileged partnership

    instead of EU-membership for Turkey.

    In addition, the CDUs Bavarian partner CSU supports

    referenda to decide on new EU-members.11 The same opinion has

    been voiced by Chancellor Merkel. At a meeting of young

    conservatives in May 2009, she stressed the fact that there is no

    sense in repeated enlargements if these make it impossible to

    handle the EU.12 She thus pointed once more to the inadequate

    EU-internal structure for further enlargements. Her statements are

    backed by another large member of the EU, namely France, which

    also opposes a Turkish EU-membership. The German-TurkishForum, a small organisation within the CDU with 400 members

    that aims at bringing People of Turkish descent and the CDU

    closer together, advocates Turkish EU-membership.13 It especially

    opposes arguments aiming for differing and incompatible values.

    They see only a minority of CDU members following this

    argument, while a majority refers to the countrys size and the

    EUs limited absorption capacity. The German-Turkish Forum

    10 CDU/CSU (2009) Wir haben die Kraft. Gemeinsam fr unser Land.Regierungsprogramm 2009-2013, 28. June 2009, Berlin.11 CSU (2009) Wahlaufruf der Christlich-Sozialen Union zur Bundestagswahl2009. Was unser Land jetzt braucht: Eine starke CSU in Berlin, 17/18 June2009, Nuremberg.12 Cf. Turkey shocked by Franco-German Rhetoric, in: EurActiv.com, 11 May2009.13

    Cf. Deutsch-Trkisches Forum der CDU, http://www.dtf-online.de.

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    argues in particular that if these two cultures were incompatible

    that an integration of people of Turkish descent into German

    society would make any efforts for integrating these into Germansociety useless. Its goals are being counter-acted by discussions

    such as the one following a controversial speech by the Turkish

    Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan in Cologne in February

    2008 to the Turkish community in Germany, dealing with their

    assimilation. In the wake of this speech, the CSU called for

    suspending accession negotiations with Turkey.14 What would a

    so-called privileged partnership actually look like? A policy paperof the CSU affiliated Hanns-Seidel-Stiftung that was authored by

    the now Minister of Economics, Karl-Theodor zu Guttenberg maps

    out possible alternatives to a full-fledged membership.15 The

    policy paper is based on the assumption that Turkish membership

    would overwhelm the European Union and that alternatives have

    to be found. It especially stresses the point that not all four

    freedoms can be opened to Turkey. While it sees no problems in adeep economic cooperation, restrictions to free movement of

    persons and free movement of services, as well as a monetary

    union and large-scale financial support in the form of direct

    payments to the agricultural sector or in Structural and Cohesion

    Policy are foreseen.

    14 FAZ (2008) Sder fordert einfrieren der Beitrittsverhandlungen, 15 February2008; see also Barbara Lippert (2008) Wait-and-See. Attitudes of GermanStakeholders Towards EU-Turkey, in: Nathalie Tocci (ed.) Talking Turkey inEurope: Towards a Differentiated Communication Strategy, Rome, pp. 135-160, here p. 145.15 Karl-Theodor zu Guttenberg (2004) Die Beziehungen zwischen der Trkeiund der EU eine Privilegierte Partnerschaft, Hanns-Seidel-Stiftung:

    Aktuelle Analysen 33.

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    The Social Democrats, on the other hand, support Turkish

    EU-membership if Turkey fulfils all the necessary criteria. They

    stress the fact that a Turkey which is committed to Europeanvalues can build a bridge to other Muslim countries, an asset which

    lies in the interest of Germany and Europe. In March 2009, the

    German foreign minister, Frank-Walter Steinmeier, stressed the

    fact that it is enlargement that is being negotiated with Turkey and

    nothing else.16 Concerning referenda, he underlined that those do

    not exist in Germany on a national level. He thinks it is thus not

    politically correct to hold a referendum on this subject or anyother. He said that it is a question of credibility to fulfil existing

    obligations concerning Turkish and Balkan membership

    perspectives. He does not deny the fact, however, that internal

    reforms are necessary to proceed.

    Between the two largest parties, a different approach on

    causes and effects in these fields can be observed. While the CDUstresses the causes and assumes that the lack of internal and

    external reforms is the cause for alternative measures other than

    enlargement, the SPD stresses the effect, namely membership as

    being able to result in stability and peace in the region.

    Of the opposition by the three smaller parties, the Green

    Party supports serious accession negotiations with Turkey tosupport the countries democratic and economic transformation. It

    assumes that Turkish EU-Membership is in the EUs own interest,

    since it can be a stabilizing anchor in the region.17

    16 Frank-Walter Steinmeier, interview with Hrriyet, 21 March 2009.17 Bndnis 90/Die Grnen (2009) Volles Programm mit WUMS! Fr ein

    besseres Europa, 23-25 January 2009, Dortmund, p. 150.

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    The liberal Federal Democrats (FDP) see the Lisbon

    treaty, or an equivalent, as a prerequisite for further enlargement.

    Cautiously, they stress the point that Turkish accession is not onthe agenda in the next five years anyway.18 They see the key for

    accession in the implementation of reforms and the absorption

    capacity of the EU. Party leader Guido Westerwelle said in an

    interview in May 2009 that Turkey has a right to expect Europe

    not to deny EU-membership categorically. As has been agreed, a

    possible accession has to be considered unprejudiced. He considers

    calling off the process as demanded by the CSU would be the endof a prudent foreign policy19. However, he does not think an

    accession is possible on a short timescale. His main focus is on

    reforms in Turkey: The country has to show that it is on the right

    path in terms of rule of law, society, democracy and economy.

    In its party documents, The Left (Die Linke) does not

    deal with enlargement in general or Turkey in particular.20

    Yet, inFebruary 2008, their deputy party leader Katina Schubert stressed

    the fact that Turkey belongs in the EU if it fulfils the Copenhagen

    criteria.21

    For the coalition consultations between the CDU, CSU

    and FDP following the elections on 27 September 2009, the

    18 FDP (2009) Ein Europa der Freiheit in der Welt des 21. Jahrhunderts.Programm der Freien Demokratischen Partei fr die Wahl zum VII.Europischen Parlament 2009, 17 January 2009, Berlin, p. 4.19 Guido Westerwelle, interview with Der Spiegel, 4 May 2009.20 Die Linke (2009) Solidaritt, Demokratie, Frieden Gemeinsam fr denWechsel in Europa! Europawahlprogramm 2009 der Partei DIE LINKE, 28February 2009, Essen; idem (2009) Konsequent sozial. Fr Demokratie undFrieden. Bundestagswahlprogramm 2009, 20/21 June 2009, Berlin.21 Katina Schubert (2008) Europisierung ist Perspektive gegen Nationalismus,

    press release, 13 February 2008.

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    question of Turkish EU accession is a conflictive, albeit not a

    central, subject. While the spirit within the FDP leans towards

    agreeing with Turkish EU-membership, the CDU continues toadvocate a privileged partnership.22 It will be interesting to see

    whether the FDP will change its opinion, converging towards the

    CDUs and CSUs point of view. The subject led to a conflict

    between CSUs Horst Seehofer, who wants to include a No

    concerning Turkish EU-membership in the coalition contract, and

    FDP party leader Guido Westerwelle who opposes this idea on the

    basis that the subject will not become relevant during the newgovernments four-year term in office.23 Since the foreign ministry

    combined with the position of deputy chancellor traditionally goes

    to the coalition partner and this is expected to be filled by party

    leader Guido Westerwelle, this conflict of opinions might continue

    to be relevant in the future.

    Civil society Christian churches and Turkish communities

    Speaking about the perception of Turkeys accession

    aspirations by German civil society, two groups, the Christian

    churches and the Turkish communities in Germany, are of special

    interest. Both groups are notably sensitive to the topic, their

    positions controversial and their perspectives different.

    Two thirds of the German population is affiliated to a

    Christian church, even though their membership rates have been

    22 Oliver Grimm (2009) Rckkehr der liberalen Pro-Europer, in: Die Presse,28 September 2009.23 Spiegel Online: Seehofer und Westerwelle verkrachen sich wegen Trkei,

    13 October 2009.

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    constantly declining during the last years. The Catholic and the

    Protestant churches are skeptical about EUs enlargement towards

    Turkey wherein they concentrate on the domestic situation inTurkey. Their main concerns are the freedom of religion, the non-

    discrimination against minorities and the respect of human rights

    within the country. During the last years, the Protestant Church

    declared the accession negotiations between the EU and Turkey an

    open process with the accession as one possible outcome.24

    Referring to the unacceptable situation of the Christian minority in

    Turkey, this position changed recently.25 Alternatives to EUmembership, restricted to an intensified economic cooperation, are

    now favored and a full-membership is not supported anymore.

    Also, the Catholic Church pledges against full membership.

    Emphasizing the cultural differences between Europe and Turkey,

    the Catholic Church in Germany prefers the privileged partnership

    proposed by the CDU.26

    Within the Turkish community, the broader perception of

    Turkeys membership aspirations is difficult to access. In Germany

    there are several organizations which claim to represent the interest

    of the 2.6 million German Turks, who are also divided along

    political party lines. Comments on Turkish EU-membership from

    these organizations are rare. Nevertheless, Cem zdemir, the

    24 Speech of Bishop Wolfgang Huber Religionsfreiheit und Toleranz - Wieaktuell ist derAugsburger Religionsfriede?, 22 September 2005,http://www.ekd.de/vortraege/050923_huber_religionsfriede .html.25 Wolfgang Huber, interview with Hamburger Abendblatt Online, 31 May2009, http://www.abendblatt.de/politik/article1034762/Bischof-Huber-Die-Tuerkei-gehoert-nicht-in-die-EU.html26 Central Committee of German Catholics, presse release, 17. April 2005,

    http://www.zdk.de/pressemeldungen/meldung.php?id=229.

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    German-Turk politician and chairman of the Green Party, sees a

    generally positive attitude of the German-Turk population towards

    Turkeys ambitions to join the EU.27

    The Turkish Community inGermany (Trkische Gemeinde Deutschlands TGD) for

    example, which represents more than 200 communities in

    Germany, pledges for membership and emphasizes the practical

    facilitation for the Turks living in Germany and Europe; for

    example their right to vote locally.28 Furthermore, Turkeys

    membership could converge the Muslim and Christian

    communities within Europe and thus become a geo-political andcultural bridge between Europe and the Middle East.

    Summing up, within the German Christian churches, a

    critical attitude towards Turkish membership is dominant. While

    concentrating on the domestic situation in Turkey, they estimate

    the cultural differences between Turkey and Europe as too

    significant for a successful cooperation within the EU. The Turkishcommunity in Germany emphasizes Turkeys capacity to bridge

    cultural differences between the Christian and Muslim community

    within and outside Europe. Looking at these two groups, German

    civil society seems to be divided over the question of EU

    membership of Turkey.

    27 Cem zdemir (2005) Demokratie und Islam sind vereinbar, in: Cafe Babel,25 February 2005, http://www.cafebabel.com/fre/article/1103/demokratie-und-islam-sind-vereinbar.html.28 Turkish community in Germany, activity report 2006-2008,http://www.tgd.de/index.php?name=News&file=article&sid=842&theme=Printe

    r.

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    Conclusion: A Mixed Picture

    It can thus be concluded that German public opinion

    towards Turkish candidacy for EU-membership is comprised of

    diverging positions and arguments. The virulence of proponents

    and/or opponents of Turkish EU-membership will depend on the

    further development of the accession process but also of the

    internal institutional development of the European Union.

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    Yvonne Nasshoven*

    Belgian Perceptions

    Abstract

    Belgium has in the debate on the accession of Turkey to

    the European Union always taken a positive stance. Still, debate

    has remained limited as internal problems, mostly due to thedifficult situation between Flemish and Wallonians in the country,

    have forced the state to put its emphasis on domestic politics. This

    passivity has especially been reflected by the near absence of

    debate in the media, which has only for short timeframes gained

    importance.

    However, throughout 2010 the Kingdom of Belgium isgoing to become one of the key players of European politics, as the

    country will hold the Presidency of the EU. Also its Prime

    Minister, Hermann von Rompuy is at the moment one of the

    frontrunners for the office of the first President of the European

    Council. Under these circumstances, European and foreign policies

    are going to figure more prominently in the political landscape,

    including Turkeys accession to the EU.

    * The opinions expressed herein are only those of the author and do not reflect

    any institutional views.

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    Introduction

    Belgium has been a founding member of the European

    Communities and actively been involved in shaping European

    politics since the beginning. Especially for the countrys position

    as a small member country of the EU, European integration has

    always meant an enhancement of its role in the world. Therefore

    the country has taken a strong prointegrative view, calling for a

    deepening of the European Union.

    However, throughout the last years Belgium internalfederalism has suffered from separatist and regionalist movements,

    mostly in the prosperous Dutch-speaking Flanders, but also in

    French-speaking Wallonia. Those forces, with regard to Turkish

    EU enlargement opposed to the general line of Belgium politics,

    have taken a position against the possibility of a Turkish

    membership in the European Union. Although the two main

    separatist parties Vlaams Belang in Flanders, and Front National

    in Wallonia are not involved in government and still provide

    only for a small part of the Belgium Assembly, the underlying

    problems between the two major regions have paralyzed the

    country during the last two years to a large extent.

    By the Media

    Debate about Turkish membership is largely absent in the

    Belgium press. Mostly, discussions are caused by incidents

    happening within the country that have an effect on the perception

    of Turkey by Belgians. Here, especially, two discussions deserve

    to be mentioned: The election of a grey wolf at the municipal

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    elections in Brussels in October 2006, and the debate following a

    statement of the Turkish ambassador to Belgium, Fuat Tanlay, in

    2009.

    The debate on the election of Murat Denizli, a grey wolf

    who has been elected in the Brussels district of Schaarbeek, in this

    sense is exemplary as it shows that the discussion on Turkish

    membership in Belgium is largely stimulated by events happening

    on the ground with regard to the Belgian Turkish community.

    Here, especially, the fear of a possible communitarization of

    Turkish problems in Belgium has been discussed, linked with a

    debate on the overall problem of Turkish ultranationalist parties.

    A second incident has been caused lately by the statement

    of the Turkish ambassador to Belgium, Fuat Tanlay. In the context

    of a court case concerning the Revolutionary Peoples Liberation

    Front (Devrimci Sol) in summer 2009, the ambassador was quoted

    in Hrriyet saying that terrorism one day was going to haunt

    Belgium and that then would be understood what the word

    terrorism means.1 This, by many, has been understood as a

    threat and has been heavily criticized.

    In general, debates on Turkish EU membership have

    rather been reproduced than stimulated by the Belgian media. This

    is especially true for the regular perception of progress reportspublished by the European Commission, and the debate on a

    privileged partnership , launched by Nicolas Sarkozy and

    Angela Merkel in 2009. Belgian media thus can be characterized

    as reactive, not proactive on the topic of Turkish accession. This

    1

    RTBF, Lambassadeur turc souhaite du terrorisme en Belgique, 20 July 2009.

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    certainly is also due to the fact that Belgium, as seat of many key

    European institutions and capital of the European Union, is

    closely watching to keep its own national identity distinct from themomentum of the European institutions, and to separate those

    areas of life distinctively. Still, surprisingly public discussion on

    enlargement is less positive on Turkish enlargement than the

    governments view. This is also confirmed by the figures of

    Eurobarometer, where only a close majority of 53% are in favour

    of a further enlargement.2

    By the Government

    Belgian foreign policy in the past years cannot be

    discussed without referring to Belgiums own political situation.

    The overall fragmentation of the party system3, discontinuity in the

    government and increased tensions between the Flemish andWallonian population have led to only limited discussion on

    foreign policy matters in the government and beyond. Looking into

    the situation more closely, since 2006, the Kingdom of Belgium

    has seen four governments: Verhofstadt II, composed of a coalition

    between four parties from 11 July 2003 to 21 December 2007,

    2 Eurobarometer 71, Lopnion publique dans lUnion Europenne, Spring 2009,p. 50.3 Political parties in Belgium are organised along the lines of the Flemish andWallonian community, so that no overarching Belgian party exists. The mainparties involve the Christian democratic parties (Christian Democratic andFlemish party and Centre Dmocrate Humaniste), the socialist parties(Socialistische Partij Anders and Parti Socialiste), the liberal parties (FlemishLiberal Democrats and Mouvement Rformateur) and the green parties (Groen!and Ecolo). Very important players are the Flemish and Wallonian nationalistparties Vlaams Belang and Front National, Vlaams Belang gaining around 11%

    in the general elections 2007.

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    Verhofstadt III, in place as an interim government from 21

    December 2007 to 20 March 2008, the government Leterme from

    20 March 2008 until 30 December 2008, and, starting from 30December 2008 the government with Herman van Rompuy as

    Prime Minister. The government formation which followed the

    general elections on 10 June 2007 thereby has been the longest

    period of establishing a new government in Belgian history. In

    addition, in the past governments five parties have been sharing

    power in order to form a majority, so that consensus has been

    found only at the lowest common denominator. As a consequence,domestic politics have dominated the governments agenda.

    Nevertheless, the Belgium government has during the

    past years shown a favorable attitude towards the accession of

    Turkey to the European Union. Especially Guy Verhofstadt,

    Belgium Prime Minister from 1999 to 2008 has taken a positive

    stance on the prospect of Turkish EU membership, a position he isnow also continuing to pronounce in the European Parliament as

    leader of the group of the Liberals (ALDE), though voicing his

    opinion more moderately.

    The roots of this positive position are twofold: Internal

    policies, especially Turkish population living in Belgium and

    domestically informed objectives, especially security, on the onehand; and the external policies of Belgium and its agenda as

    member state of the European Union, on the other hand. Being a

    small country, Belgium plays a specific role here; , as one diplomat

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    put it: Inevitably, as a small country being against Turkish

    membership will not change much.4

    Furthermore, the reasons brought forward for Belgiums

    position diverge depending on the context in which the discussion

    takes place, but in general three areas can be identified:

    (1) Geopolitical reasons and the role of Europe in the

    world: Here the possible function of Turkey as a bridge between

    Europe and the Near East, even Central Asia, is emphasized.

    Turkey is expected to be a factor of stability in a troubled region,also given its membership in NATO since 1951 which was not put

    into question by the Cold War, and a potential reorientation

    towards Russia.5 Turkey therefore proved to be a reliable partner in

    the context of cooperation in international organizations, so that an

    atmosphere of trust emerged which can be built upon.

    (2) Security from a European perspective: The integrationof Turkey in the institutions and policies of the European Union is

    seen by the Belgian government as the best way to achieve security

    both with regard to militarist and fundamentalist forces in Turkey

    on the one hand, and energy security for the European Union on

    the other hand. Thus, a mixture of internal security and economic

    matters is informing this realist position, founded on

    instrumentalist and rational choice beliefs.

    4 Pourqoi les Belges soutiennent la candidature de la Turquie, in Le Soir, 08December 2004.5 Chambre des Reprsentants de Belgique, Proposition de Rsolution relative ladhsion de la Turquie lUnion europenne, texte adopt par la Commission

    des relations extrieures, DOC 502121/004, 10 dcembre 2002.

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    (3) Providing a tool for reform in Turkey: The Belgian

    government also puts forward the need for reform in Turkey, for

    which it sees enlargement as the main incentive.6

    Thereby,especially the values of human rights, democracy and minority

    rights are put forward. Still, the discourse on minorities features

    less prominently than in other countries, given the Belgian

    problmatique of Flemish-Wallonian relations.

    The offspring of the favorable position of the government

    consequently results from a mixture of self-interested security

    reasons, but also from the strong belief that cooperation and the

    existence of joint values is essential for the well-being of the

    respective Belgian and Turkish societies. As many people of

    Turkish origin already live in the member countries of the

    European Union, membership is seen as a natural next step. This

    position has been more or less intensively pronounced during the

    last governments; however, the Belgian government at the sametime has always been clear that there are clear conditions for

    membership which have to be met: First, the Copenhagen criteria,

    which have also guided the European Unions enlargement to the

    East, need to be strictly applied. This for Belgium means

    especially the political criteria of the respect of the rule of law, of

    human rights and of healthy civil-military relations. Comprised is

    also the full transposition of the acquis communautaire, whereasthe need for reform on the economic system is only discussed at

    the margins by the Belgian government. Secondly, Turkey needs to

    6 Coalition agreement concluded between negotiators of the ChristenDemokraatisch und Vlaams CD&V, Movement Reformateur (MR), PartiSocialiste PS, Vlaamse Liberalen and Democraten Open Vld und centre

    democratie humaniste, 23/12/2007.

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    solve its difficulties with Cyprus and Greece. This, as Guy

    Verhofstadt stated already in 2005, is crucial to the negotiations.7

    Belgium will, from 01 July 2010 onwards, take on the

    Council Presidency of the European Union. Preparation is still in

    its early stages, but some exchanges of opinion have already taken

    place. In this context, the preparatory documents point in the same

    direction: In line with the progress made in the accession criteria,

    the negotiations with Turkey and FYROM shall proceed. Still,

    with regard to Cyprus and the situation on human rights it is

    remarked in the document that the steps forward have been rather

    little.8

    Summing up, although Belgium has not been at the

    forefront of lobbying for a Turkish membership among the

    member countries of the European Union, it has continuously

    supported the Turkish membership, but also demanded clear

    standards. Belgium has, in addition, acknowledged the need for a

    partnership approach with regard to Turkey, as stated by the then

    Belgian Foreign Minister Karel de Gucht on 20 January 2009:

    [] Turkey has not been well - or even equally - treated by the

    EU. [] The time has come for the partnership between Turkey

    and Europe to mature. It needs to become a permanent and

    unbreakable bond. []Turkey is Europes ally. As an integral partof the European family, sharing the same values, it is Europes

    bridge to the emerging powers in Asia and - let no one forget - the

    7 Riccardi, Fernando, Les divergences sur ladhsion de la Turquie seradicalisent, dans bulletin Quotidien Europe n 8861, 07.01.2005, p.3.8 Snat et Chambre des reprsentants de Belgique, Prparation de la prsidencebelge de l'Union europenne en 2010 (1), Rapport fait au nom du comit davisfederal charg des questions europennes par Mme Delvaux et M. De Croo,

    Document lgislatif n 4-986/1, 9 December 2008.

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    Middle East. Even more than that, Turkey is a bridge to the

    Muslim world and it is the prime example that modernisation,

    secularisation and democracy are not anathema to Islam. Turkey is,in short, an essential ally in the most important struggles that the

    world will face for years to come. So let Europe rise above its fears

    and be as great and as generous as this great game demands.9

    By the Opposition

    Belgian opposition parties for the most part share the

    governments approach of a clear enlargement perspective for

    Turkey, given that the criteria for membership are met by the

    country. One example can here be given by the electoral

    programme of the Green Flemish party Groen!, which in its

    manifesto for the 2007 general ele


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