Date post: | 05-Apr-2018 |
Category: |
Documents |
Upload: | serhat-ertan |
View: | 215 times |
Download: | 0 times |
of 236
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
1/236
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
2/236
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
3/236
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
4/236
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
5/236
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
6/236
1
Turkey Watch: EU Member States Perceptions on Turkeys Accession tothe EU
ISBN:978-605-89751-2-5A publication of the Center for European Studies, Middle East TechnicalUniversity
Any part of this publication may be fully reproduced in any form foreducational or non-profit uses with appropriate acknowledgement. No use ofthis publication may be made for resale or other commercial purposes withoutprior written permission of the Center for European Studies, Middle EastTechnical University, Ankara, Turkey.
SInAN logosu ve Strengthening and Integrating Academic Networks(SInAN)
Publication funded by the Strengthening and Integrating AcademicNetworks(SInAN) project (Grant Contract Nr. TR0604.01-03/092) which isimplemented by the Center for European Studies, Middle East TechnicalUniversity under the Programme Promotion of Civil Society Dialogue betweenthe EU and Turkey: Universities Grant Scheme in coordination with theSecretariat General for EU Affairs. The contracting authority for this project isthe Central Finance and Contracts Unit
The contents and publications of the SInAN project are the sole responsibility ofthe Center for European Studies, Middle East Technical University and can inno way be taken to reflect the views of the European Union.
The opinions expressed herein are only those of the authors and do not reflectany institutional views.
Page and Cover design byYlmaz Alaahan
First Published: November 2009
Printed in Turkey byZeplin letiim Hizmetleri Ltd. ti.6. Cadde 45/2, Birlik Mahallesi, ankaya 06610 Ankara-Turkey
Center for European Studies,FEAS B-Building, Middle East Technical University, 06531, Ankara, Turkey
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
7/236
2
Acknowledgments
First of all, we are grateful to all our authors of this volume for
putting a lot of effort and time in preparing their contributions. We
would like to thank, Aime Lindenmayer Ay, who worked very
hard to edit and proof read all the chapters in this volume on EU
Member States Perceptions on Turkeys Accession to the EU.
And also, we are thankful to Berat Tapnar, who helped us in
preparing the volume for publication, at the Center for European
Studies, METU.
Last but not least, we are all obliged to our families and friends
who have been there for us in all desperate and stressful times
throughout the project. Thank you all for your patience and
understanding...
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
8/236
3
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
9/236
4
ContentsSait Akit, idem stn
Introduction: In Search of an EU-wide Debate on Turkey..........6
Nicolas Monceau
French Perceptions.....................................................................16
Katrin Bttger, Eva-Maria MaggiGerman Perceptions...................................................................32
Yvonne Nasshoven
Belgian Perceptions ................................................................... 46
Emiliano Alessandri with Sebastiano Sali
Italian Perceptions......................................................................58
Eduard Soler i Lecha & Irene Garca
Spanish Perceptions ................................................................... 74
Athanasios C. Kotsiaros
Greek Perceptions......................................................................90
Gunilla Herolf
Swedish Perceptions ................................................................ 104
Cengiz Gnay
Austrian Perceptions................................................................118
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
10/236
5
Costas Melakopides
Greek Cypriot Perceptions.......................................................132
Petr Kratochvl, David Krl, Dominika Drailov
Czech Perceptions....................................................................150
Adam Szymaski
Polish Perceptions....................................................................166
Iulia Serafimescu, Mihai SebeRomanian Perceptions .............................................................186
Marin Lessenski
Bulgarian Perceptions..............................................................204
zgehan enyuva, Sait Akit
Turkey Seen from the EU: Conclusions ..................................218
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
11/236
6
Sait Akit, idem stn1
Introduction: In Search of an EU-wide Debateon Turkey
Turkey was accepted as an eligible candidate for EU
membership at the Helsinki Summit in December 1999, and began
her negotiations process for membership in October 2005. This
was a period with very positive developments in the relations
between Turkey and the EU, leading to a series of reform packages
in Turkey with an aim to fulfil the needs and requirements of
Turkeys aspiration of membership. The same period corresponded
to an important era of developments and attempts, first by the
Ecevit government and then by the Gl and Erdoan governments,
to transform Turkeys internal and external policies. At times,these attempts provided serious challenges on very sensitive issues.
Some of the important developments of the period are the
reconsideration of Turkeys foreign policy priorities and attempts
at solving long-standing disputes, such as the problematic relations
with Greece and the question of Cyprus.
Things have changed since the start of the negotiations
process, and the period between 2006 and 2009 has had its ups anddowns; in fact, more downs than ups. This has various reasons.
One of the most expressed criticisms of this period has been the
1 Research Fellows, Center for European Studies, Middle East TechnicalUniversity.The opinions expressed herein are only those of the authors and do not reflect
any institutional views.
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
12/236
7
assessment that Turkey has not accomplished much since 2006. In
fact, the reform process was argued to have slowed down, and at
times to have come to a halt. On the European Union side, the lackof progress in Turkeys reform process is cited as an important
reason for lack of progress in the negotiations process.
Shortly after the start of the negotiations process, these
claims were coupled with calls, on the EU side, for alternatives to
Turkeys full membership. This corresponded with the change of
leadership, first in Germany and then in France. German
Chancellor Angela Merkel, who came to power in November
2005, strongly advocated a privileged membership of Turkey
rather than full membership. This position was also asserted by
French President Nicolas Sarkozy, who was elected to the French
presidency in May 2007, first during his election campaign and
later during his presidency. The election of the adamantly-opposed
Sarkozy to the presidency meant a turning point in Frances
official position on Turkeys membership to the EU2, and was
followed up by what was perceived in Turkey as an alternative for
full membership: the proposal of the Union for the Mediterranean.
Thus, in Turkey, the picture seems more mixed. First, it is
believed that there is an increasing ambiguity in the messages
given to Turkey by the institutions of the European Union as well
as by the leaders of some EU member states, including Merkel andSarkozy. The proposals for an alternative to membership, plus
political statements and comments on Turkeys sensitive internal
and external policy issues, have reinforced the feeling of
ambiguity; this has led to a commonly held belief that some of the
2
As also put forward by Nicolas Monceau in his chapter for this book.
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
13/236
8
leaders of EU member states are creating new conditions and
obstacles which are not officially part of the accession negotiations
process, with an aim to keep Turkey out. Indeed, in Turkey it wasexpected that the accession process would not be easy after the EU
membership of the Republic of Cyprus3, whose citizens largely
perceive Turkey as the main party responsible for a lack of
resolution to the Cyprus problem. These concerns proved to be
true, with the unofficial Greek Cypriot blockage of certain chapters
of the negotiations process, and the fears of a train crash in
December 2006. Indeed, Turkeys process of negotiations provedto be more difficult, and the road to membership thornier, than
envisaged. The calls for a privileged partnership, the proposal of
the Union for the Mediterranean, the pressure on the extension of
the protocol of the Ankara agreement to include Cyprus, and the
calls for the opening of air and sea ports to Cyprus are all
strongly perceived in Turkey as trials intended to create new
obstacles or promote an alternative relationship with Turkey.Furthermore, the EUs ongoing debate on Turkeys
Europeanness and repeated questioning of the nature of Turkeys
candidacy only reinforce the myths and prejudices regarding the
EU, in Turkey.
We believe that there are serious, damaging myths and
prejudices in Turkey about the EU, on the one hand, and in the EUmember states about Turkey, on the other. One of the starting
points of the project on Strengthening and Integrating Academic
3 As officially named, the Republic of Cyprus, although accepted by the EU torepresent the whole island in the EU, is not representative of the Turkish CypriotCommunity on the island. The Republic of Cyprus in this volume thereforerefers to the Greek Cypriot administered part of the island, and perceptions in
Cyprus refers to Greek Cypriot perceptions.
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
14/236
9
Networks (SInAN) was to question the myths and prejudices
embedded in this ambiguous relationship. This edited volume is an
attempt to outline how Turkeys candidacy is perceived bydifferent actors in a number of EU member states. While Turkish
membership to the European Union, its opportunities and
challenges for all parties are widely discussed, it is rather difficult
to find comprehensive analysis that brings together the positions
and arguments of different actors in different countries. In fact, at a
very general level, it is argued that Turkeys accession into the
European Union is one of the most controversial and divisivetopics deeply dividing both the EU governments and their citizens.
Indeed, there is very limited literature on the European perceptions
on Turkeys membership into the EU, and almost none that tries to
tackle all relevant stakeholders, such as the government, the
opposition, the public and the elites, by exploring their views and
examining the media coverage of those views within different
countries.4
This volume is an output of the project on Strengthening
and Integrating Academic Networks (SInAN), funded by the
European Union under the Promotion of Civil Society Dialogue
between the EU and Turkey: Universities Grant Scheme. Turkey
Watch has its origins in the early stages of the SInAN proposal
aiming to follow the example of EU-27 Watch5
, prepared under the
4 One exception to this is the TEPAV-IAI Talking Turkey series; Natalie Tocci(ed.), Talking Turkey in Europe: Towards a Differentiated CommunicationStrategy, Quaderni IAI, December 2008. Also, for some detailed analysis onEuropean public opinion, see Antonia R. Jimnez and Ignacio T. Pay,European Public Opinion and Turkeys Accession: Making Sense of Argument
For or Against, EPIN, European Policy Institutes Network Working Paper no.16, 2007.5
http://www.eu-consent.net/content.asp?contentid=522
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
15/236
10
EU-CONSENT project which was coordinated by our partner, Jean
Monnet Centre, University of Cologne. With this publication, the
Center for European Studies, Middle East Technical University, asthe main coordinator ofSInAN, intends to question the myths that
characterise the terms of the current debate on Turkeys EU
integration process and to facilitate better knowledge and
understanding of Turkey within the EU and of the EU within
Turkey. Although the envisaged content of the volume has
changed over time, resulting in views from different EU member
states on Turkish candidacy to the EU, the main objectivesremained the same. Turkey Watch addresses one general question,
which is the following: How has Turkeys candidacy been
perceived in EU member states between the years 2006 and 2009?
We asked different experts from the member states to take up the
question, and to give qualitative insights by considering the
perceptions of some of the main actors in their respective
countries: the governments, the opposition parties, the civil societyorganisations and the media.
Different experts provided us with insights on France,
Germany, Belgium, Italy, Spain, Greece, Sweden, Austria,
Republic of Cyprus6, Czech Republic, Poland, Romania, and
Bulgaria. This particular group of EU member states reflects a
number of concerns. First, it represents a wide geographicaldistribution, including member states from southern, northern,
central and eastern Europe. Second, the group includes member
states from each successive enlargement process of the European
Union. Third, it includes core, old, new, small and large member
states. Fourth, it includes EU neighbours of Turkey, and states
6
See footnote 3.
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
16/236
11
which have good economic relations with Turkey. Fifth, it includes
states which officially have a supportive position for Turkeys bid
for membership, although some show only conditional support,and states which have a negative position on Turkeys
membership. These scholarly attempts to tackle all relevant
stakeholders collectively support our assumption: Although
perceived and long accepted as an elite-driven process, the EU
integration process must take into consideration the perceptions of
different actors for a better understanding of the various
dimensions of Turkeys bid for membership.7
With the various country studies, we have tried to find
answers to the following questions, through a consideration of the
period between 2006 and 2009:
How strong is the debate on Turkey? How informed is the debate on Turkey? What forms the basis of the perceptions of the
different actors?
Are there certain myths and prejudices thatdominate the debate on Turkey in these countries?
What are the reasons and motives in support for oropposition to Turkeys membership?
What are some of the perceived opportunities andchallenges presented by Turkeys membership?
Is there convergence of arguments in favour of oragainst Turkey on a cross-country basis?
Should perceptions on Turkeys membership be7 See zgehan enyuva, Turkey European Union Relations: A Quest for Mass
and Elite Opinion SInAN Newsletter 2, 2009.
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
17/236
12
considered within a broader context such as that of
future of Europe?
Indeed, comprehensive answers to these questions needfurther exploration. This volume is an endeavour to contribute to
such studies.
Overview of the Book
In his analysis of the French perceptions on Turkeys
accession to the EU, Nicolas Monceau points out that France is
one of the EU members where the public debate on Turkey is the
most intense and controversial. Monceau presents the main factors
that explain the opposition in France, at the elite and the public
level, and looks at whether there are any dividing lines across the
parties and the leaders.
Katrin Bttger and Eva-Maria Maggi argue that there arediverging positions on the question of Turkeys accession in
Germany, and point to different lines of argumentation which raise
a comprehensive list of questions. Yvonne Nasshoven, on the other
hand, spotlights a limited debate on Turkeys candidacy in
Belgium, due largely to its internal difficulties. However, the
Belgian stance deserves exploration due to the countrys large
Turkish population, and the fact that Belgian Prime MinisterHermann von Rompuy is to take the office of the President of the
European Council for two and a half years, between 2009 and
2012.
Emiliano Alessandris contribution, with Sebastiano Sali,
on Italian perceptions is particularly interesting, as Italy is one of
Turkeys strongest supporters when it comes to integration into the
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
18/236
13
EU. As such, the perceptions of different actors and the inter-
linkages between them remain interesting issues to be explored.
Similar to Italy, Spain is one of the most supportive states ofTurkeys entry into the EU. Eduard Soler i Lecha and Irene Garca
evaluate the Spanish position, and question whether this official
support is reflected at different levels. Athanasios C. Kotsiaros, on
the other hand, points to a supportive but reluctant position in
Greece, in his evaluation of the elements of support and opposition
to Turkeys accession. Swedish contributor Gunilla Herolf draws a
picture of conditional support for Turkeys membership, revealingthat her countrys interest largely lies in Turkeys reform process.
Alongside Germany and France, Austria and the
Republic of Cyprus can be counted among the most ardent
opponents of Turkeys accession to the European Union. Cengiz
Gnay discusses various elements and concerns with respect to the
Austrian opposition, and links these to concerns in Austria which
go beyond the simple debate on Turkey. Costas Melakopides
evaluation of the Greek Cypriot perceptions raises very
controversial points and issues for Turkey, and shows how
prejudicial a community, the Greek Cypriot community, can be in
this particular issue
The debate on Turkeys candidacy is more limited in
some of the new members of the EU, as expressed by differentexperts. The Czech contribution by Petr Kratochvl, David Krl
and Dominika Drailov, and the Polish contribution by Adam
Szymaski both point to the limited nature of debate, while
questioning the determinants of support and opposition for
Turkeys membership. Iulia Serafimescu and Mihai Sebe, on the
other hand, take up the question for Romania by largely
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
19/236
14
concentrating on regional factors. Bulgaria is a most interesting
case, given the large Turkish minority in the country and the
political role it has played since the early 1990s. In this finalcontribution, Marin Lessenski looks at the factors that inform and
influence the Bulgarian perception, by concentrating on the images
created by the Turkish minority, the bilateral relations, and the
historical and cultural context that has shaped the relations
between the two neighbouring countries.
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
20/236
15
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
21/236
16
Nicolas Monceau*
French Perceptions
Abstract
France is one of the European countries in which the
issue of Turkeys accession to the EU has sparked off the most
intense public debate, often controversial in tone, during recentyears. This may initially seem surprising, insofar as for centuries
Turkey and France have shared close ties in many historical,
political and economic areas. This report first draws the evolution
of the French public opinion dealing with Turkeys accession to
the EU in the past years. It presents the main factors political,
economic, cultural and social explaining French majority
opposition, both in the elites and the public. Then the reportfocuses on the political field in France, underlining the strong
divide between French political parties and leaders facing Turkeys
accession to the EU. It shows how French political perceptions of
Turkeys accession to the EU are linked to different conceptions of
Europe and presents the evolution of Frances official position on
Turkeys membership to the EU since the election of Nicolas
Sarkozy as French President in 2007. The report concludes with
the role of the French media in launching a public debate in France
on Turkeys accession to the EU.
* The opinions expressed herein are only those of the author and do not reflect
any institutional views.
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
22/236
17
Introduction
France is one of the European countries in which the
issue of Turkeys accession to the EU has sparked off the most
intense public debate, often controversial in tone, during recent
years. This may initially seem surprising, insofar as for centuries
Turkey and France have shared close ties in many historical,
political and economic areas.
Three main steps can be identified in the development of
French perceptions about Turkeys accession to the EU. First ofall, the year 2002 marks a milestone in the media coverage of the
Turkish issue in France. In November 2002, Valry Giscard
d'Estaing, then chairman of the Convention on the future of
Europe, launched the debate in France on the subject of Turkeys
Europeanness, asserting that as Turkey is not located in Europe,
its accession would mark the end of the EU. In the same month,
the Justice and Development Party (Adalet ve Kalkinma Partisi, or
AKP)'s victory in Turkeys general elections led to the formation
of a new government described by the French media as moderate
Islamist. In 2004 and 2005, Turkeys application came under
debate as a political issue during the French campaign for the
European elections, followed in May 2005 by the referendum on
the European Constitution and the membership negotiationsbetween Turkey and the EU begun in October. Finally, in 2007,
the election of Nicolas Sarkozy as French President marks a
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
23/236
18
turning point in Frances official stance towards Turkeys
accession to the EU1.
A Majority of French Citizens Against Turkeys Accession to
the EU
Most of the opinion polls tend to show the same findings:
at the European level, France, along with Germany, Austria and
Greece, demonstrates the strongest popular opposition to Turkeysaccession to the EU. According to the Eurobarometer2, a majority
of French citizens expressed reservations about the prospect of
Turkey joining the EU. In autumn 2006, 69% of French citizens
interviewed were opposed to Turkey becoming a member of the
EU in the future, while 22% expressed the opposite view3. Other
international public opinion surveys, such as the Transatlantic
Trends, confirm the same tendencies.
French opposition appears stable over time, even tending
to increase in recent years: varying from 64% to 69% between
spring 2002 and autumn 2006, and reaching 71% in spring 2008.
During the same period, the proportion of positive opinion also
increases, but only slightly (from 19% to 22%). The decrease of
No opinion since 2002 is also an indicator of the impact of the
1 Bruno Cautrs et Nicolas Monceau, La Tentation du refus ? Europens,Franais et Turcs face ladhsion de la Turquie lUnion europenne, Paris,Presses de Sciences Po, 2010.2 When another source is not mentioned, all the percentages quoted in the reportare from the Eurobarometers.3Eurobaromtre 66. Lopinion publique dans lUnion europenne. Automne
2006. Rapport national France, Brussels, january 2007.
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
24/236
19
public debate about the Turkish issue on the shaping of public
opinion.
French opposition to Turkeys full accession to the EU
can be viewed within the more general opposition to EU
enlargement expressed in recent years. In spring 2007, 60% of
French respondents are opposed to the EU enlargement while 32%
expressed the opposite view4. In national opinion polls carried out
by IFOP in December 2002, June 2003, and in June and September
2004, between 56% and 61% of French respondents expressed
negative opinions concerning Turkeys accession to the EU5.
What are the main factors explaining French majority
opposition to Turkey's accession to the EU? The political,
economic, cultural and migratory dimensions of Turkish-European
relations play an important role in French perceptions of Turkish
membership to the EU. In autumn 2006, economic and political
conditionality is supported by a large majority of French
respondents, particularly in the issue of human rights. Fears of
encouraging immigration from Turkey are also widely shared by
the French. Last but not least, cultural non-compatibility, an
argument often raised in the debates about Turkeys
Europeanness, features among the main concerns of the French.
In June 2008, Turkey's accession to the EU appeared notto represent a priority in the opinions of French citizens or leaders.
4Eurobaromtre 67. Lopinion publique dans lUnion europenne. Printemps2007. Rapport national France, Brussels, july 2007.5 The main resultats of these surveys are available on the Website of IFOP(www.ifop.com), in particular the following : Les Europens et la Turquie,survey carried out by IFOP in December 2004 in five European countries
(France, Germany, England, Italy and Spain).
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
25/236
20
Indeed, Turkeys potential accession to the EU was ranked in
thirteenth position among the three topics of most concern to the
French (with 6% of respondents), while no leader interviewedexpressed concern about this issue. Similarly, as a matter of
foreign policy, Turkish membership was ranked respectively at
sixth and fourth place among the concerns of the population (14%
of respondents) and of the elite (13%). Finally, Turkeys potential
accession to the EU was not regarded by the French as one of the
two priority topics to be handled by President Sarkozy during the
French Presidency of the EU in 20086.
Both the French population and the elite adopt similar
positions, which translate as a majority opposition to Turkey
joining the EU. In June 2008, 62% and 63% of respondents from
the general public and among the "Top Leaders" do not support
Turkeys accession to the EU, of which 36% not at all among the
general public. In contrast, 35% and 37% were in favour, of which6% very favourable, among the citizens and leaders interviewed.
An analysis based on social categories reveals significant
variations. Older generations are more reluctant to accept Turkey's
membership than the new ones. Indeed, opposition to Turkey's
accession appears higher, the older the population. Similarly,
political orientations seem to play a significant role in the French
perception of Turkey's application. The supporters of SgolneRoyal in the 1st round of the 2007 presidential election are more
likely to favour Turkeys accession (54%) than those who voted
for Franois Bayrou (36%) or Nicolas Sarkozy (21%). However,
6 Survey on the image of Turkey in France, commissioned by the TurkishEmbassy in Paris and carried out in June 2008 by OpinionWay, to a
representative sample of the population and a panel of French leaders.
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
26/236
21
these results merit explanation, insofar as nearly half of all French
citizens surveyed (42%), who in June 2008 declared themselves
opposed to Turkeys accession (that is, 62% of the sample), wouldnevertheless be in favour of Turkeys membership to the EU in the
future if it meets all the criteria (legal, economic and political) as
defined by the European Council. The same goes for 25% of
leaders surveyed who expressed their opposition in 2008. We
observe here again that time plays an important role in the
perception of Turkey's application. Among the reasons for
opposition to Turkeys accession to the EU: Turkey is notconsidered to be a European country either geographically or
culturally for 48% of citizens and 74% of the leaders interviewed.
Political and legal arguments prevail for the general public -
Turkey will never be a truly secular country (19%) or a true
democracy (14%) while the elite place emphasis on Turkeys
over-preponderance in the EU owing to its population (13%).
French popular perception of Turkey also throws light on
the respective places of these arguments in the national
imagination. For the majority of respondents, Turkey is a country
with a rich history (84% of citizens and 100% of leaders). It is also
perceived as a young country, culturally vibrant, turned towards
the future and economically dynamic. Nearly half of the people
and one third of the elite polled believe ultimately that Turkey canmake an important contribution to Europe. But Turkey is
considered by only a minority of respondents to be democratic
(38% of residents and 32% of leaders), secular (37% and 55%) and
respectful of human rights (27% and 10% of positive opinions). In
conclusion, other findings show that the French public has limited
knowledge of Turkey as a country, its history, culture, political
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
27/236
22
system and economic and social realities. A Turkish Season
launched in France between July 2009 and March 2010 should
encourage citizens to gain more insight into this country.
In 2009, French perceptions of Turkeys EU candidacy
seem to be evolving more positively. After President Obamas
statement in favour of Turkey's accession to the EU at the EU-
United States summit in Prague in April 2009, 50% of French
citizens interviewed said that they were against and 35% in favour.
Supporters of the Centre-Right Democratic Movement expressed a
majority of negative opinions to Turkish accession (71%),
followed by right-wing (67%) and left-wing supporters (41%).
Among the French respondents in favour of Turkeys accession,
49% are left-wing supporters, 21% are MoDem sympathizers and
19% from the right. These results reflect an increase in the French
support of Turkeys accession to the EU in comparison to previous
opinion polls. In June 2005, a survey on the same topic obtainedresults of 66% against, 28% in favour and 6% no opinion.
Finally, the French viewpoint on Turkeys accession to
the EU can also be explained by additional factors not regularly
gauged by opinion surveys. The role of secularism in French
society is certainly a factor to take into consideration and in
particular the impact of public debates raised in the past about thewearing of Islamic headscarves in public. In 2004, a law adopted
according to the recommendations of the Stasi commission
banned religious symbols in French state schools. Such debates are
likely to have an influence on French public opinion towards
Turkeys application, which is seen as a Muslim country where
issues of secularism and religion in the public domain are regularly
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
28/236
23
discussed. Frances perception of the Islamic religion, due to its
colonial past (especially in North Africa), plus the importance
given to the devoir de mmoire (duty of remembrance), whichled France to officially recognize the Armenian genocide in 2001,
are also significant factors which may explain French views on
Turkeys accession to the EU.
A (Strong) Divide Between Political Parties and Leaders
In the political field, French perceptions of Turkeys
accession to the EU have created a split within French political
parties and leaders since the early 2000s. Turkeys application for
full membership to the EU has gone beyond national political
divisions, resulting in opposition from both right and left. The
table below shows the - positive or negative - stances of the main
French political parties, and of their leaders, towards Turkey'saccession to the EU.
In favour Against
Nationalist parties
National Front Jean-Marie Le Pen
Conservative parties
Union for a PopularMovement (UMP)
Jacques Chirac, PierreLellouche
Nicolas Sarkozy, AlainJupp, Jean-PierreRaffarin, Jean-FranoisCop
Movement for France(MPF)
Philippe de Villiers
Hunt, Fish, Nature,Traditions (CPNT)
Frdric Nihous
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
29/236
24
Arise the Republic Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
Centrist parties
Democratic Movement(MoDem - formerlyUnion for FrenchDemocracy)
Franois Bayrou,Valry GiscarddEstaing, Jean-LouisBourlanges
New Center (NC) Herv Morin
Green parties
The Greens Dominique Voynet,Daniel Cohn-Bendit
Parliamentary leftparties
Socialist Party (PS) Michel Rocard, PierreMoscovici, DominiqueStrauss-Kahn,Sgolne Royal,Martine Aubry
Laurent Fabius, HubertVdrine, RobertBadinter, Max Gallo
French Communist Party Marie-Georges Buffet
Far-left parties
RevolutionaryCommunist League, NewAnticapitalist Party(NPA)
Olivier Besancenot
Workers Struggle (LO) Arlette Laguiller
Nationalist, right-wing and centrist parties are mostly
against Turkey's accession to the EU, while the far-left and left-
wing parties seem to be more divided. The Greens and the French
Communist Party support Turkeys accession to the EU within the
framework of the conditions set up by the Copenhagen criteria.
The geographical, cultural and religious arguments are more
favoured by the right-wing parties while the political conditionality
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
30/236
25
(respect for human rights and minorities) - and the Armenian issue
for the Socialist Party - are underlined by the left-wing parties.
Valry Giscard d'Estaing was one of the first French politicalleaders to reject Turkey's accession to the EU on geographical
grounds. In November 2002, in an interview published by Le
Monde that provoked a vigorous public debate in France about
Turkey, he stated : Turkey is a country with close ties to Europe,
an important country with a real elite, but it is not a European
country. (...) Its capital is not within Europe, 95% of its population
is outside of Europe: this is not a European country. The culturaland religious arguments, which focus on the threat of a conflict of
civilizations between Islamic and Western cultures and values,
were also often cited by many right-wing and centrist political
leaders, such as Franois Bayrou, chairman of the Democratic
Movement, or Jean-Pierre Raffarin, former Prime Minister in
2002-2005.
Beyond the divide between left and right sides, the issue
of Turkey's accession to the EU has also created divisions within
French leading political parties and the government. Within the
Gaullist movement, former President Jacques Chirac has supported
Turkeys "European vocation" for years. He played an important
role in supporting Turkeys application on the European scene, in
particular in the decision of the Helsinki European Council inDecember 1999 to grant the status of candidate country to Turkey.
However, in October 2004, President Chirac stated that he wished
to submit any further EU enlargement to a compulsory
referendum, so hoping to dissociate the Turkish issue and the
debate on the European Constitution. In this way, the French
would be consulted by referendum on Turkey's accession to the
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
31/236
26
EU. The issue of a compulsory referendum about Turkeys
accession to the EU was raised again in summer 2008 on the
occasion of the debate about the revision of the FrenchConstitution. While the abolition of a compulsory referendum for
the ratification of any new accession to the EU was considered,
MPs voted for a provision rendering a referendum compulsory for
EU accession of countries whose population represents more than
5% of the total EU population, which is true in Turkeys case. In
the end, the French Senate decided to cancel the provision.
In the years 2002-2007, President Chiracs support for
Turkeys application to the EU appears to have been at odds with
the presidential party stand (UMP) and the parliamentary majority.
During the campaign for European Parliament elections, Turkeys
application was used as a major campaign argument by some
political parties. In April 2004, the UMP and its then chairman
Alain Jupp distanced itself from Jacques Chirac and stated itsopposition to Turkey's accession to the EU. The presidential party
formulated a "privileged partnership" with Turkey as an alternative
to full membership. This kind of partnership has been promoted in
Europe, especially in French and German public debates in recent
years. It aims to maintain the cohesion of the EU while ensuring
the stability of its borders.
The election of Nicolas Sarkozy as French President on 6
May 2007, inaugurated a turning point in France's official position
on Turkeys membership to the EU. Throughout the presidential
campaign, particularly during the debate between the two
candidates Sgolne Royal and Nicolas Sarkozy, the latter
reasserted his opposition to Turkeys accession in the event of his
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
32/236
27
election. Quoting geographical arguments - "Turkey is Asia
Minor" - he proposed an alternative in the form of a Union for the
Mediterranean, which was officially launched in Paris in July 2008with the participation of Turkish Prime Minister Recep T.
Erdogan. In reaction to the support given by U.S. President Barack
Obama to Turkeys accession to the EU at the EU-United States
Summit in Prague in April 2009, President Sarkozy reiterated his
opposition to this prospect.
Beyond the left-right division, positions on Turkey differ
along with the visions of the future of the EU. Indeed, Turkey's
candidacy goes beyond the partisan opposition to bring together,
on both sides, those who defend the idea of a European power. The
latter, Laurent Fabius and Franois Bayrou among them, oppose
the entry of Turkey into the EU on the pretext that it would
severely threaten the political construction of Europe. On the other
hand, Turkey's application is championed by both the right and theleft for geopolitical reasons. In this way, Pierre Lellouche, one of
the few representatives of the UMP to support Turkey's accession
to the EU who was appointed as Secretary of State for European
Affairs in June 2009, and Dominique Strauss-Kahn for the PS
concur in their analysis of the geopolitical significance of Turkey
in Europe. Turkey's candidacy also raises objections within the
current French government. President Sarkozys opinions are notshared by a number of ministers, such as the minister of Foreign
Affairs, the socialist Bernard Kouchner, and the Secretary of State
for European Affairs from 2007 to December 2008, Jean-Pierre
Jouyet, who have both reiterated their support for Turkey's
accession to the EU.
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
33/236
28
If nowadays right-wing and centrist parties are mostly
opposed to Turkeys membership of the EU, the Socialist Party
seems to be more divided on the issue. In recent years, the PS hasprovided a measured support to Turkeys accession in the long run,
and its status of candidate country was recognised by the European
Council in 1999 when Lionel Jospin was Prime Minister.
However, the Turkish issue raises significant opposition within the
party. Some of its members, such as Laurent Fabius, Hubert
Vdrine or Robert Badinter, are openly opposed to Turkeys
accession for a variety of reasons. Others are more supportive ofthe prospect, such as Dominique Strauss-Kahn, currently director
of the IMF, or Pierre Moscovici, former minister of European
affairs and PS national secretary for international relations, who is
in favour of a "reasoned yes" to Turkey's accession if it meets the
Copenhagen criteria. Out of all the French Socialist leaders,
Michel Rocard, former Prime Minister, has shown the most
support for the Turkish candidacy in recent years. He participatedin an Independent Commission on Turkey, which in September
2004 issued a report supporting the opening of accession
negotiations with the EU if Turkey fulfilled the Copenhagen
political criteria. Similarly, Rocard has engaged in public debate
on numerous occasions for Turkeys accession to the EU,
defending his views in the book Yes to Turkey, published in
September 2008. Sgolne Royal has long declared that the issue
of Turkeys membership should be left to the French people to
decide. During the 2007 presidential campaign, she then claimed
that she was in favour of Turkeys accession on principle but that
the EU needed to put the procedure on hold. Finally, several
leading politicians from both left and right who previously
supported Turkeys membership, have also changed their minds
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
34/236
29
about Turkeys accession to the UE, including Alain Jupp, former
Prime Minister, Michel Barnier, former Minister of Foreign
Affairs and more recently Bernard Kouchner.
In Spring 2009, the Turkish issue came back strongly into
the French political arena on the occasion of the campaign for the
European elections. President Sarkozy played a major role in
making Turkeys accession to the EU a major issue in the
European elections. He stated his opposition to Turkeys accession
to the EU, both in a speech at a UMP meeting in Nmes in May
and during a joint declaration with the chancellor of Germany,
Angela Merkel, in Berlin on 10 May 2009. Sarkozys stance
provoked a number of reactions within the EU, in particular from
European countries whose governments support Turkeys
membership to the EU, such as Poland, Portugal or Sweden.
As regards the French media, in particular radio and
television, one may say that they do not have a specific stand
concerning Turkeys accession to the EU. In recent years, the
national press has mostly broadcasted the positions held by the
opinion leaders, such as the academics or the politicians, especially
in specific sections such as Opinions (inLe Monde orLe Figaro)
or Rebonds (Libration). For instance, Le Monde played an
important role in launching a public debate in France when itheadlined on the front page the interview with Giscard dEstaing in
November 2002, which was then followed with many reactions in
the same sections.
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
35/236
30
Conclusion
In conclusion, French perceptions of Turkeys accession
to the EU have shown a stable and majority opposition, both in the
public and the elites, for the last years. However, some recent
opinion polls may give a more optimistic view of French
perceptions, when more citizens answer that they agree with
Turkeys membership to the EU in the future if it fulfills the
required criteria. In parallel, French perceptions have revealed the
great divide among EU countries in the face of Turkeys accession
to the EU. Sarkozys stance during the campaign for the European
elections in 2009 has not been followed by many national
governments within the EU. In this prospect, the evolution of
French perceptions in the coming years will also be linked to the
place and influence of France within Europe.
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
36/236
31
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
37/236
32
Katrin Bttger, Eva-Maria Maggi*
German Perceptions
Introduction
When analyzing the German perception of Turkish
candidacy for EU-membership, diverging positions can be
observed in the media, in the government and opposition parties as
well as in civil society. These diverging arguments mostly follow
the lines of three subjects with opposing positions that are
advanced to different degrees by the actors. The first subject is the
question of identity. Here, the two extremes are the following: On
the one side stands the argument that the relationship between a
Christian European Union and a Muslim Turkey is that of a Clashof Civilizations, while on the other side, humanitarian thinking is
the reference point and being advocated at the same time. The
second subject by which the perception of Turkish EU-
membership is pervaded concerns institutional (in)stability. Here,
arguments concern either the EUs outdated internal structure or
the Turkish political system. While some argue that Turkey is not
ready for accession, other actors stress the fact that Turkey will notenter the EU before it is ready and fulfils the necessary criteria
* Dr. des. Katrin Bttger is Research Associate at the Institut fr EuropischePolitik, Berlin; Eva-Maria Maggi is Ph.D candidate at the Helmut-SchmidtUniversity Hamburg. The article results form the IEP-Programme DialogueEurope of the Otto Wolff-Foundation.*The opinions expressed herein are only those of the author and do not reflect
any institutional views.
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
38/236
33
anyway. A third line of argumentation deals with strategic
geopolitics and security. Here, one side argues that a Turkish EU-
membership would bring the conflicts of Iraq, Iran andAfghanistan closer too close to the EU, while the other side
sees Turkey as a buffer or even a bridge between Europe and the
Arab world.
It has to be noted however, that not all actors promoting
or opposing Turkish EU membership make use of all the
arguments systematized above.
By the Media
Some parts of the German media have been constantly
engaged with the Turkish EU accession process during the last
years. The nature of this engagement has changed recently,
whereas the main attitude towards Turkeys accession stays
divided. Other print media, TV and radio stations remain notably
quiet. Instead, the integration of Turkish immigrants in Germany is
a steady topic.
Along the lines of their political (party) orientation,
German newspapers are divided into a group of accession
supporters on the one side and critics on the other. The mostly
conservative newspapers Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung (FAZ)
and Die Welt have analyzed the accession process quite sceptically
and would rather prefer an alternative affiliation of Turkey, such as
the privileged partnership proposed by the Christian Democratic
Party (CDU) in 2004. Their arguments emphasize the differences
between Turkey and the European Union drawing upon cultural
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
39/236
34
heritages, identities and history.1 In contrast to this, the more
liberal/left-leaning newspapers like the Sddeutsche Zeitung (SZ)
and the Frankfurter Rundschau have generally assessed Turkeysambitions to join the EU positively, dependent on the speed of the
reform-process initiated by the Turkish government to fulfil the
accession criteria. Other newspapers, like the left-leaning
Tageszeitung or the tabloid Bild do not present the issue as a
central topic.
Rather, domestic questions like the integration of Turkish
immigrants in Germany are emphasized.
Interestingly, the argumentative nature of the main
newspapers has moved away from a concentration on the domestic
political situation in Turkey towards a closer look at the future and
identity of the EU project itself. Especially during the last year,
Turkish EU membership aspirations and EU internal processes like
the establishing of the new Lisbon Treaty were combined in
commentaries.2 Using the accession negotiations with Turkey as an
example, commentators argue pro and con over an effective EU
enlargement policy that has to be linked to the debate on European
identity. Even though the main protagonists, the FAZ and the SZ,
keep their basic opinions to the EU membership of Turkey, their
1 Wimmel, A. (2006) Beyond the Bosphorus? Comparing German, French andBritish Discourses on Turkeys Application to Join the European Union, ReihePolitikwissenschaft/Political Science Series, No. 111,http://www.ihs.ac.at/publications/pol/pw_111.pdf, see also Welt am Sonntag(2008) EU-Beitritt der Trkei: Entspannt euch!, 25 May 2008, p. 31; PeterGraf Kielmansegg (2009) Europa braucht Grenzen, in: FAZ, 27 May 2009, p.7.2 Peter Graf Kielmansegg (2009) Europa braucht Grenzen, in: FAZ, 27 May2009, p. 7.; SZ (2009) Insel gegen Kontinent 30 July 2009, p. 4; Welt am
Sonntag (2008) EU-Beitritt der Trkei: Entspannt euch!, 25 May 2008, p. 31.
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
40/236
35
argumentations are linked to internal affairs of the EU rather than
treating both issues separately. The FAZ, for example, commented
on Turkeys disagreement with Anders Fogh Rasmussen as NATOgeneral secretary, as an example of a conflict of civilizations
which could be enhanced with Turkey as a member of the EU
system, where blackmailing often works and identity plays an
important role in daily political life.3 Also, the SZ claims that the
problematic signing procedure of the Lisbon Treaty shows the
need to combine the future of enlargement policy with the debate
on European identity. The will of the accession candidates tocontribute to the European Integration process should be an
accession criterion for future enlargements and for Turkeys
accession.4
Taking into consideration all types of media, the debate
mainly remained an issue within the print media. In general,
reports of other media, like TV stations, concentrate on negativeconnotations of Islam.5 The picture drawn emphasizes cultural
differences and the reports concentrated on rather negative
examples of social integration.6
German media perceive Turkeys ambitions to join the
EU differentiated. While the conservative press advocates a
sceptical approach, the liberal orientated newspapers are rathersupportive. Accompanied by the mostly negative reporting on
Islam within the broader media, it can be said that in general the
3 FAZ (2009) Schne Partner, 5 April 2009, p. 14.4 SZ (2009) Insel gegen Kontinent 30 July 2009, p. 4.5 Kai Hafez/Carola Richter (2007) Das Islambild von ARD und ZDF, in: ApuZ26-27/2007, pp. 40-46.6 Grsel Gr (2005) Das Trkeibild der deutschen Presse, in: Brger im Staat
3/2005, pp. 122-129.
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
41/236
36
German media shows little optimism concerning a successful EU
accession of Turkey.
By the Government and the Opposition
Since there has been a general election in Germany on 27
September 2009 and it is foreseeable that a new government will
be formed shortly, the following section will firstly deal with the
positions of the government of 2005-2009 and the opinions of thetwo parties therein. Secondly, the individual positions of the three
smaller parties in parliament (Bundestag) in opposition between
2005 and 2009 will be outlined. In a third step, the opinions
voiced during the coalition negotiations in the Fall of 2009 will be
mentioned.
The government of chancellor Angela Merkel comprises
the two largest parties in Germany, namely the conservative
Christian Democratic Party (CDU) and the Social Democratic
Party (SPD).
These two governing parties hold diverging positions in
the grand coalition concerning Turkish candidacy for EU-
membership. While the CDU wants a privileged partnership, the
SPD advocates EU-membership. The CDU argues along the linesof EU-internal and identity reasons, whereas the SPD is of the
opinion that membership can stabilize Turkish democracy and thus
refute the argument that we are heading for a Clash of
Civilizations.
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
42/236
37
The Coalition contract7 of 2005 foresees that if the EU is
not able to absorb another member or if Turkey is not able to fulfil
all criteria related to membership, then Turkey has to be bound toEurope as closely as possible and in a way that allows for its
privileged relations to develop. The contract thus comprises both
of the institutional arguments, namely the question of the EUs
internal structures as well as that of the Turkish political system. It
does not give an opinion, however on what should happen if both
prerequisites are met, but only maps out further steps for a
situation in which one or the other or both conditions are notfulfilled.
Concerning the election campaign for the European
Parliament, further enlargements of the EU were not an important
subject. There was, however, a mentioning of the subject in the
manifestoes.
In their manifesto8 for the elections of the European
Parliament, the conservatives (CDU) based their advocating a
privileged partnership on a more general support of a consolidation
phase and a slowing down of all enlargement processes, since they
give priority to the stabilizing of the European identity and the
EUs institutions. Already in 2000, in its updated programme,9 the
CDU stressed the fact that the question of where the borders ofEurope lie should be answered before it reaches the borders of Iraq
and Iran. It is thus using an argument of fear of the conflicts of the
7 CDU/CSU/SPD (2005) Gemeinsam fr Deutschland. Mit Mut undMenschlichkeit, 11 November 2005, Berlin.8 CDU (2009) Starkes Europa Sichere Zukunft, 16 March 2009, Berlin.9 CDU-Bundesvorstand (2000) Programmatische Offensive fr Deutschland.
Norderstedter Erklrung, 7/8 January 2000, Norderstedt.
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
43/236
38
Arab world rather than seeing future membership as a bridge or a
buffer between Europe and countries like Iraq or Iran. In its
electoral programme for post-2009,10
the CDU stresses the factthat Turkey does not fulfil the prerequisites for EU-membership,
such as equal rights, the protection of minorities or freedom of
religion. For that reason they support a privileged partnership
instead of EU-membership for Turkey.
In addition, the CDUs Bavarian partner CSU supports
referenda to decide on new EU-members.11 The same opinion has
been voiced by Chancellor Merkel. At a meeting of young
conservatives in May 2009, she stressed the fact that there is no
sense in repeated enlargements if these make it impossible to
handle the EU.12 She thus pointed once more to the inadequate
EU-internal structure for further enlargements. Her statements are
backed by another large member of the EU, namely France, which
also opposes a Turkish EU-membership. The German-TurkishForum, a small organisation within the CDU with 400 members
that aims at bringing People of Turkish descent and the CDU
closer together, advocates Turkish EU-membership.13 It especially
opposes arguments aiming for differing and incompatible values.
They see only a minority of CDU members following this
argument, while a majority refers to the countrys size and the
EUs limited absorption capacity. The German-Turkish Forum
10 CDU/CSU (2009) Wir haben die Kraft. Gemeinsam fr unser Land.Regierungsprogramm 2009-2013, 28. June 2009, Berlin.11 CSU (2009) Wahlaufruf der Christlich-Sozialen Union zur Bundestagswahl2009. Was unser Land jetzt braucht: Eine starke CSU in Berlin, 17/18 June2009, Nuremberg.12 Cf. Turkey shocked by Franco-German Rhetoric, in: EurActiv.com, 11 May2009.13
Cf. Deutsch-Trkisches Forum der CDU, http://www.dtf-online.de.
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
44/236
39
argues in particular that if these two cultures were incompatible
that an integration of people of Turkish descent into German
society would make any efforts for integrating these into Germansociety useless. Its goals are being counter-acted by discussions
such as the one following a controversial speech by the Turkish
Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan in Cologne in February
2008 to the Turkish community in Germany, dealing with their
assimilation. In the wake of this speech, the CSU called for
suspending accession negotiations with Turkey.14 What would a
so-called privileged partnership actually look like? A policy paperof the CSU affiliated Hanns-Seidel-Stiftung that was authored by
the now Minister of Economics, Karl-Theodor zu Guttenberg maps
out possible alternatives to a full-fledged membership.15 The
policy paper is based on the assumption that Turkish membership
would overwhelm the European Union and that alternatives have
to be found. It especially stresses the point that not all four
freedoms can be opened to Turkey. While it sees no problems in adeep economic cooperation, restrictions to free movement of
persons and free movement of services, as well as a monetary
union and large-scale financial support in the form of direct
payments to the agricultural sector or in Structural and Cohesion
Policy are foreseen.
14 FAZ (2008) Sder fordert einfrieren der Beitrittsverhandlungen, 15 February2008; see also Barbara Lippert (2008) Wait-and-See. Attitudes of GermanStakeholders Towards EU-Turkey, in: Nathalie Tocci (ed.) Talking Turkey inEurope: Towards a Differentiated Communication Strategy, Rome, pp. 135-160, here p. 145.15 Karl-Theodor zu Guttenberg (2004) Die Beziehungen zwischen der Trkeiund der EU eine Privilegierte Partnerschaft, Hanns-Seidel-Stiftung:
Aktuelle Analysen 33.
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
45/236
40
The Social Democrats, on the other hand, support Turkish
EU-membership if Turkey fulfils all the necessary criteria. They
stress the fact that a Turkey which is committed to Europeanvalues can build a bridge to other Muslim countries, an asset which
lies in the interest of Germany and Europe. In March 2009, the
German foreign minister, Frank-Walter Steinmeier, stressed the
fact that it is enlargement that is being negotiated with Turkey and
nothing else.16 Concerning referenda, he underlined that those do
not exist in Germany on a national level. He thinks it is thus not
politically correct to hold a referendum on this subject or anyother. He said that it is a question of credibility to fulfil existing
obligations concerning Turkish and Balkan membership
perspectives. He does not deny the fact, however, that internal
reforms are necessary to proceed.
Between the two largest parties, a different approach on
causes and effects in these fields can be observed. While the CDUstresses the causes and assumes that the lack of internal and
external reforms is the cause for alternative measures other than
enlargement, the SPD stresses the effect, namely membership as
being able to result in stability and peace in the region.
Of the opposition by the three smaller parties, the Green
Party supports serious accession negotiations with Turkey tosupport the countries democratic and economic transformation. It
assumes that Turkish EU-Membership is in the EUs own interest,
since it can be a stabilizing anchor in the region.17
16 Frank-Walter Steinmeier, interview with Hrriyet, 21 March 2009.17 Bndnis 90/Die Grnen (2009) Volles Programm mit WUMS! Fr ein
besseres Europa, 23-25 January 2009, Dortmund, p. 150.
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
46/236
41
The liberal Federal Democrats (FDP) see the Lisbon
treaty, or an equivalent, as a prerequisite for further enlargement.
Cautiously, they stress the point that Turkish accession is not onthe agenda in the next five years anyway.18 They see the key for
accession in the implementation of reforms and the absorption
capacity of the EU. Party leader Guido Westerwelle said in an
interview in May 2009 that Turkey has a right to expect Europe
not to deny EU-membership categorically. As has been agreed, a
possible accession has to be considered unprejudiced. He considers
calling off the process as demanded by the CSU would be the endof a prudent foreign policy19. However, he does not think an
accession is possible on a short timescale. His main focus is on
reforms in Turkey: The country has to show that it is on the right
path in terms of rule of law, society, democracy and economy.
In its party documents, The Left (Die Linke) does not
deal with enlargement in general or Turkey in particular.20
Yet, inFebruary 2008, their deputy party leader Katina Schubert stressed
the fact that Turkey belongs in the EU if it fulfils the Copenhagen
criteria.21
For the coalition consultations between the CDU, CSU
and FDP following the elections on 27 September 2009, the
18 FDP (2009) Ein Europa der Freiheit in der Welt des 21. Jahrhunderts.Programm der Freien Demokratischen Partei fr die Wahl zum VII.Europischen Parlament 2009, 17 January 2009, Berlin, p. 4.19 Guido Westerwelle, interview with Der Spiegel, 4 May 2009.20 Die Linke (2009) Solidaritt, Demokratie, Frieden Gemeinsam fr denWechsel in Europa! Europawahlprogramm 2009 der Partei DIE LINKE, 28February 2009, Essen; idem (2009) Konsequent sozial. Fr Demokratie undFrieden. Bundestagswahlprogramm 2009, 20/21 June 2009, Berlin.21 Katina Schubert (2008) Europisierung ist Perspektive gegen Nationalismus,
press release, 13 February 2008.
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
47/236
42
question of Turkish EU accession is a conflictive, albeit not a
central, subject. While the spirit within the FDP leans towards
agreeing with Turkish EU-membership, the CDU continues toadvocate a privileged partnership.22 It will be interesting to see
whether the FDP will change its opinion, converging towards the
CDUs and CSUs point of view. The subject led to a conflict
between CSUs Horst Seehofer, who wants to include a No
concerning Turkish EU-membership in the coalition contract, and
FDP party leader Guido Westerwelle who opposes this idea on the
basis that the subject will not become relevant during the newgovernments four-year term in office.23 Since the foreign ministry
combined with the position of deputy chancellor traditionally goes
to the coalition partner and this is expected to be filled by party
leader Guido Westerwelle, this conflict of opinions might continue
to be relevant in the future.
Civil society Christian churches and Turkish communities
Speaking about the perception of Turkeys accession
aspirations by German civil society, two groups, the Christian
churches and the Turkish communities in Germany, are of special
interest. Both groups are notably sensitive to the topic, their
positions controversial and their perspectives different.
Two thirds of the German population is affiliated to a
Christian church, even though their membership rates have been
22 Oliver Grimm (2009) Rckkehr der liberalen Pro-Europer, in: Die Presse,28 September 2009.23 Spiegel Online: Seehofer und Westerwelle verkrachen sich wegen Trkei,
13 October 2009.
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
48/236
43
constantly declining during the last years. The Catholic and the
Protestant churches are skeptical about EUs enlargement towards
Turkey wherein they concentrate on the domestic situation inTurkey. Their main concerns are the freedom of religion, the non-
discrimination against minorities and the respect of human rights
within the country. During the last years, the Protestant Church
declared the accession negotiations between the EU and Turkey an
open process with the accession as one possible outcome.24
Referring to the unacceptable situation of the Christian minority in
Turkey, this position changed recently.25 Alternatives to EUmembership, restricted to an intensified economic cooperation, are
now favored and a full-membership is not supported anymore.
Also, the Catholic Church pledges against full membership.
Emphasizing the cultural differences between Europe and Turkey,
the Catholic Church in Germany prefers the privileged partnership
proposed by the CDU.26
Within the Turkish community, the broader perception of
Turkeys membership aspirations is difficult to access. In Germany
there are several organizations which claim to represent the interest
of the 2.6 million German Turks, who are also divided along
political party lines. Comments on Turkish EU-membership from
these organizations are rare. Nevertheless, Cem zdemir, the
24 Speech of Bishop Wolfgang Huber Religionsfreiheit und Toleranz - Wieaktuell ist derAugsburger Religionsfriede?, 22 September 2005,http://www.ekd.de/vortraege/050923_huber_religionsfriede .html.25 Wolfgang Huber, interview with Hamburger Abendblatt Online, 31 May2009, http://www.abendblatt.de/politik/article1034762/Bischof-Huber-Die-Tuerkei-gehoert-nicht-in-die-EU.html26 Central Committee of German Catholics, presse release, 17. April 2005,
http://www.zdk.de/pressemeldungen/meldung.php?id=229.
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
49/236
44
German-Turk politician and chairman of the Green Party, sees a
generally positive attitude of the German-Turk population towards
Turkeys ambitions to join the EU.27
The Turkish Community inGermany (Trkische Gemeinde Deutschlands TGD) for
example, which represents more than 200 communities in
Germany, pledges for membership and emphasizes the practical
facilitation for the Turks living in Germany and Europe; for
example their right to vote locally.28 Furthermore, Turkeys
membership could converge the Muslim and Christian
communities within Europe and thus become a geo-political andcultural bridge between Europe and the Middle East.
Summing up, within the German Christian churches, a
critical attitude towards Turkish membership is dominant. While
concentrating on the domestic situation in Turkey, they estimate
the cultural differences between Turkey and Europe as too
significant for a successful cooperation within the EU. The Turkishcommunity in Germany emphasizes Turkeys capacity to bridge
cultural differences between the Christian and Muslim community
within and outside Europe. Looking at these two groups, German
civil society seems to be divided over the question of EU
membership of Turkey.
27 Cem zdemir (2005) Demokratie und Islam sind vereinbar, in: Cafe Babel,25 February 2005, http://www.cafebabel.com/fre/article/1103/demokratie-und-islam-sind-vereinbar.html.28 Turkish community in Germany, activity report 2006-2008,http://www.tgd.de/index.php?name=News&file=article&sid=842&theme=Printe
r.
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
50/236
45
Conclusion: A Mixed Picture
It can thus be concluded that German public opinion
towards Turkish candidacy for EU-membership is comprised of
diverging positions and arguments. The virulence of proponents
and/or opponents of Turkish EU-membership will depend on the
further development of the accession process but also of the
internal institutional development of the European Union.
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
51/236
46
Yvonne Nasshoven*
Belgian Perceptions
Abstract
Belgium has in the debate on the accession of Turkey to
the European Union always taken a positive stance. Still, debate
has remained limited as internal problems, mostly due to thedifficult situation between Flemish and Wallonians in the country,
have forced the state to put its emphasis on domestic politics. This
passivity has especially been reflected by the near absence of
debate in the media, which has only for short timeframes gained
importance.
However, throughout 2010 the Kingdom of Belgium isgoing to become one of the key players of European politics, as the
country will hold the Presidency of the EU. Also its Prime
Minister, Hermann von Rompuy is at the moment one of the
frontrunners for the office of the first President of the European
Council. Under these circumstances, European and foreign policies
are going to figure more prominently in the political landscape,
including Turkeys accession to the EU.
* The opinions expressed herein are only those of the author and do not reflect
any institutional views.
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
52/236
47
Introduction
Belgium has been a founding member of the European
Communities and actively been involved in shaping European
politics since the beginning. Especially for the countrys position
as a small member country of the EU, European integration has
always meant an enhancement of its role in the world. Therefore
the country has taken a strong prointegrative view, calling for a
deepening of the European Union.
However, throughout the last years Belgium internalfederalism has suffered from separatist and regionalist movements,
mostly in the prosperous Dutch-speaking Flanders, but also in
French-speaking Wallonia. Those forces, with regard to Turkish
EU enlargement opposed to the general line of Belgium politics,
have taken a position against the possibility of a Turkish
membership in the European Union. Although the two main
separatist parties Vlaams Belang in Flanders, and Front National
in Wallonia are not involved in government and still provide
only for a small part of the Belgium Assembly, the underlying
problems between the two major regions have paralyzed the
country during the last two years to a large extent.
By the Media
Debate about Turkish membership is largely absent in the
Belgium press. Mostly, discussions are caused by incidents
happening within the country that have an effect on the perception
of Turkey by Belgians. Here, especially, two discussions deserve
to be mentioned: The election of a grey wolf at the municipal
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
53/236
48
elections in Brussels in October 2006, and the debate following a
statement of the Turkish ambassador to Belgium, Fuat Tanlay, in
2009.
The debate on the election of Murat Denizli, a grey wolf
who has been elected in the Brussels district of Schaarbeek, in this
sense is exemplary as it shows that the discussion on Turkish
membership in Belgium is largely stimulated by events happening
on the ground with regard to the Belgian Turkish community.
Here, especially, the fear of a possible communitarization of
Turkish problems in Belgium has been discussed, linked with a
debate on the overall problem of Turkish ultranationalist parties.
A second incident has been caused lately by the statement
of the Turkish ambassador to Belgium, Fuat Tanlay. In the context
of a court case concerning the Revolutionary Peoples Liberation
Front (Devrimci Sol) in summer 2009, the ambassador was quoted
in Hrriyet saying that terrorism one day was going to haunt
Belgium and that then would be understood what the word
terrorism means.1 This, by many, has been understood as a
threat and has been heavily criticized.
In general, debates on Turkish EU membership have
rather been reproduced than stimulated by the Belgian media. This
is especially true for the regular perception of progress reportspublished by the European Commission, and the debate on a
privileged partnership , launched by Nicolas Sarkozy and
Angela Merkel in 2009. Belgian media thus can be characterized
as reactive, not proactive on the topic of Turkish accession. This
1
RTBF, Lambassadeur turc souhaite du terrorisme en Belgique, 20 July 2009.
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
54/236
49
certainly is also due to the fact that Belgium, as seat of many key
European institutions and capital of the European Union, is
closely watching to keep its own national identity distinct from themomentum of the European institutions, and to separate those
areas of life distinctively. Still, surprisingly public discussion on
enlargement is less positive on Turkish enlargement than the
governments view. This is also confirmed by the figures of
Eurobarometer, where only a close majority of 53% are in favour
of a further enlargement.2
By the Government
Belgian foreign policy in the past years cannot be
discussed without referring to Belgiums own political situation.
The overall fragmentation of the party system3, discontinuity in the
government and increased tensions between the Flemish andWallonian population have led to only limited discussion on
foreign policy matters in the government and beyond. Looking into
the situation more closely, since 2006, the Kingdom of Belgium
has seen four governments: Verhofstadt II, composed of a coalition
between four parties from 11 July 2003 to 21 December 2007,
2 Eurobarometer 71, Lopnion publique dans lUnion Europenne, Spring 2009,p. 50.3 Political parties in Belgium are organised along the lines of the Flemish andWallonian community, so that no overarching Belgian party exists. The mainparties involve the Christian democratic parties (Christian Democratic andFlemish party and Centre Dmocrate Humaniste), the socialist parties(Socialistische Partij Anders and Parti Socialiste), the liberal parties (FlemishLiberal Democrats and Mouvement Rformateur) and the green parties (Groen!and Ecolo). Very important players are the Flemish and Wallonian nationalistparties Vlaams Belang and Front National, Vlaams Belang gaining around 11%
in the general elections 2007.
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
55/236
50
Verhofstadt III, in place as an interim government from 21
December 2007 to 20 March 2008, the government Leterme from
20 March 2008 until 30 December 2008, and, starting from 30December 2008 the government with Herman van Rompuy as
Prime Minister. The government formation which followed the
general elections on 10 June 2007 thereby has been the longest
period of establishing a new government in Belgian history. In
addition, in the past governments five parties have been sharing
power in order to form a majority, so that consensus has been
found only at the lowest common denominator. As a consequence,domestic politics have dominated the governments agenda.
Nevertheless, the Belgium government has during the
past years shown a favorable attitude towards the accession of
Turkey to the European Union. Especially Guy Verhofstadt,
Belgium Prime Minister from 1999 to 2008 has taken a positive
stance on the prospect of Turkish EU membership, a position he isnow also continuing to pronounce in the European Parliament as
leader of the group of the Liberals (ALDE), though voicing his
opinion more moderately.
The roots of this positive position are twofold: Internal
policies, especially Turkish population living in Belgium and
domestically informed objectives, especially security, on the onehand; and the external policies of Belgium and its agenda as
member state of the European Union, on the other hand. Being a
small country, Belgium plays a specific role here; , as one diplomat
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
56/236
51
put it: Inevitably, as a small country being against Turkish
membership will not change much.4
Furthermore, the reasons brought forward for Belgiums
position diverge depending on the context in which the discussion
takes place, but in general three areas can be identified:
(1) Geopolitical reasons and the role of Europe in the
world: Here the possible function of Turkey as a bridge between
Europe and the Near East, even Central Asia, is emphasized.
Turkey is expected to be a factor of stability in a troubled region,also given its membership in NATO since 1951 which was not put
into question by the Cold War, and a potential reorientation
towards Russia.5 Turkey therefore proved to be a reliable partner in
the context of cooperation in international organizations, so that an
atmosphere of trust emerged which can be built upon.
(2) Security from a European perspective: The integrationof Turkey in the institutions and policies of the European Union is
seen by the Belgian government as the best way to achieve security
both with regard to militarist and fundamentalist forces in Turkey
on the one hand, and energy security for the European Union on
the other hand. Thus, a mixture of internal security and economic
matters is informing this realist position, founded on
instrumentalist and rational choice beliefs.
4 Pourqoi les Belges soutiennent la candidature de la Turquie, in Le Soir, 08December 2004.5 Chambre des Reprsentants de Belgique, Proposition de Rsolution relative ladhsion de la Turquie lUnion europenne, texte adopt par la Commission
des relations extrieures, DOC 502121/004, 10 dcembre 2002.
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
57/236
52
(3) Providing a tool for reform in Turkey: The Belgian
government also puts forward the need for reform in Turkey, for
which it sees enlargement as the main incentive.6
Thereby,especially the values of human rights, democracy and minority
rights are put forward. Still, the discourse on minorities features
less prominently than in other countries, given the Belgian
problmatique of Flemish-Wallonian relations.
The offspring of the favorable position of the government
consequently results from a mixture of self-interested security
reasons, but also from the strong belief that cooperation and the
existence of joint values is essential for the well-being of the
respective Belgian and Turkish societies. As many people of
Turkish origin already live in the member countries of the
European Union, membership is seen as a natural next step. This
position has been more or less intensively pronounced during the
last governments; however, the Belgian government at the sametime has always been clear that there are clear conditions for
membership which have to be met: First, the Copenhagen criteria,
which have also guided the European Unions enlargement to the
East, need to be strictly applied. This for Belgium means
especially the political criteria of the respect of the rule of law, of
human rights and of healthy civil-military relations. Comprised is
also the full transposition of the acquis communautaire, whereasthe need for reform on the economic system is only discussed at
the margins by the Belgian government. Secondly, Turkey needs to
6 Coalition agreement concluded between negotiators of the ChristenDemokraatisch und Vlaams CD&V, Movement Reformateur (MR), PartiSocialiste PS, Vlaamse Liberalen and Democraten Open Vld und centre
democratie humaniste, 23/12/2007.
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
58/236
53
solve its difficulties with Cyprus and Greece. This, as Guy
Verhofstadt stated already in 2005, is crucial to the negotiations.7
Belgium will, from 01 July 2010 onwards, take on the
Council Presidency of the European Union. Preparation is still in
its early stages, but some exchanges of opinion have already taken
place. In this context, the preparatory documents point in the same
direction: In line with the progress made in the accession criteria,
the negotiations with Turkey and FYROM shall proceed. Still,
with regard to Cyprus and the situation on human rights it is
remarked in the document that the steps forward have been rather
little.8
Summing up, although Belgium has not been at the
forefront of lobbying for a Turkish membership among the
member countries of the European Union, it has continuously
supported the Turkish membership, but also demanded clear
standards. Belgium has, in addition, acknowledged the need for a
partnership approach with regard to Turkey, as stated by the then
Belgian Foreign Minister Karel de Gucht on 20 January 2009:
[] Turkey has not been well - or even equally - treated by the
EU. [] The time has come for the partnership between Turkey
and Europe to mature. It needs to become a permanent and
unbreakable bond. []Turkey is Europes ally. As an integral partof the European family, sharing the same values, it is Europes
bridge to the emerging powers in Asia and - let no one forget - the
7 Riccardi, Fernando, Les divergences sur ladhsion de la Turquie seradicalisent, dans bulletin Quotidien Europe n 8861, 07.01.2005, p.3.8 Snat et Chambre des reprsentants de Belgique, Prparation de la prsidencebelge de l'Union europenne en 2010 (1), Rapport fait au nom du comit davisfederal charg des questions europennes par Mme Delvaux et M. De Croo,
Document lgislatif n 4-986/1, 9 December 2008.
7/31/2019 Turkey Watch EU Member States' Perceptions on Turkey's Accession to the EU
59/236
54
Middle East. Even more than that, Turkey is a bridge to the
Muslim world and it is the prime example that modernisation,
secularisation and democracy are not anathema to Islam. Turkey is,in short, an essential ally in the most important struggles that the
world will face for years to come. So let Europe rise above its fears
and be as great and as generous as this great game demands.9
By the Opposition
Belgian opposition parties for the most part share the
governments approach of a clear enlargement perspective for
Turkey, given that the criteria for membership are met by the
country. One example can here be given by the electoral
programme of the Green Flemish party Groen!, which in its
manifesto for the 2007 general ele