1. Control4 and iRobot Two stocks that may satisfy the growth
needed in your portfolio. Source: iRobotSource: iRobot
2. What is iRobot? Many consumers are likely most familiar with
iRobot in the form of its Roomba vacuum lineup. But many dont
realize that it has other household robots that mop floors, clean
pools and clear gutters. iRobot Corporation designs, develops, and
markets robots for consumer, defense and security, telemedicine,
and video collaboration markets worldwide, (according to Yahoo!
Finance company description). Source: iRobot
3. What is Control4? From SEC filing: Control4 Corporation
provides automation and control solutions for the connected home
Control4 functions as the operating system of the home, integrating
music, video, lighting, temperature, security, communications, and
other devices in the home automation market, (according to Yahoo!
Finance company description). So far, market penetration for home
automation is in its infancy for all companies in this relatively
new market. Thus, it has plenty of opportunity and runway
ahead.
4. Debt and Cash While Control4 does have $1.83 million in
long-term (LT) debt, iRobot has zero LT debt. Both Control4 (CTRL)
and iRobot (IRBT) have plenty of cash and short-term investments on
the balance sheet, with $84.5 million and $153 million,
respectively. $153 $85 $0.0 $1.8 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
110 120 130 140 150 160 170 IRBT CTRL Dollars(inmillions) Cash
Debt
5. Earnings Growth Analysts expect CTRL to grow EPS by 21% in
2014 and a whopping 61% in 2015. iRobot experienced a sharp drop in
defense and security orders from 2011 to 2012, hurting the
bottom-line. It has since returned to double digit EPS growth.
Analysts expect IRBT to grow EPS 18% in 2014 and 28% in 2015. 0 5
10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 2013 2014* 2015* EPSGrowth(%)
Fiscal Year (* = estimate) CTRL IRBT
6. Earnings Per Share 0 0.16 0.32 0.48 0.64 0.8 0.96 1.12 1.28
1.44 1.6 2013 2014* 2015* EarningsPerShare Fiscal Year (* =
estimate) CTRL IRBT In the previous slide we detailed earnings per
share growth. Here is a look at each companys actual earnings per
share and estimates for 2014 and 2015.
7. Revenue Growth Control4 has grown revenues by double digit
percentages since 2010, and is expected to do so in 2014 and 2015
as well. Year-over-year revenue fell in 2012, due to a fall in
D&S sales, but IRBT has grown revs by double digits each year
since. 5 7 8 10 11 13 14 16 17 19 20 2013 2014* 2015*
RevenueGrowth(%) Fiscal Year (* = estimate) CTRL IRBT
8. Actual Revenue In the previous slide we detailed revenue
growth. Here is a look at each companys actual revenues and
estimates for 2014 and 2015. 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450
500 550 600 650 2013 2014* 2015* Revenues(inMillions) Fiscal Year
(* = estimate) CTRL IRBT
9. Revenues and Earnings You cannot compare the actual earnings
and actual revenues between the two companies because iRobot is
much bigger than Control4. Thats why its important to keep in mind
the growth of each companys earnings per share and revenue. For
that reason, I included the growth figures for each company, and
will now take a look at valuation.
10. Valuation IRBT iRobot has reasonable valuation metrics when
compared to its expected growth. At 25 times 2015 earnings
estimates, the stock looks cheap as analysts expect EPS to grow
28%. The company has a 5-year PEG ratio of 0.97 according to Yahoo!
Finance a measurement indicating a potentially undervalued asset.
(More about the PEG ratio can be read here, while a more in-depth
analysis of iRobots valuation can be read in, Whats iRobots Stock
Really Worth?).
11. Valuation CTRL A forward PE ratio of 24.5 is reasonable,
considering analyst expect 2015 earnings to grow a whopping 60%
from 2014s earnings. CTRLs 3-year PEG ratio comes in at 0.72
another measurement indicating a potentially undervalued asset. A
3-year PEG ratio was used because I believe the estimates are more
accurate than 5-year estimates, the latter of which is 1.85
according to Yahoo! Finance. (Note: A 3-year PEG was not available
for IRBT). It seems likely that CTRL will be able to grow faster
than the five-year PEG ratio would suggest, given that its
three-year PEG is much lower.
12. CTRL and IRBT in Review By examining several metrics for
iRobot and Control4, we have concluded that shares are reasonably
priced in the low-$30s and mid-teens, respectively. Our highlight
for both companies includes: Little to no debt, with plenty of cash
Accelerated earnings and revenue growth Reasonable valuations given
the growth of EPS and revenues
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