UBS Mid Cap Oil & Gas Conference
March 2015
1 1
Contents
• Introduction – Group Overview
• Strategy update
• Industry & market developments
• Strategic business units (SBUs)
• Appendix
Complex refining asset base and leading domestic market share; Group
benefits from refining industry upturn and Greek market stabilisation
2
• Complex refineries (Nelson index 9.6)
• Balanced sales channel mix with exports at
50% of total sales
• Leading domestic market position with c.60-
65% of wholesale and c.30% of retail
• Regional footprint with international
subsidiaries
• Completed extensive restructuring plan with
>€300m of recurring cash benefits realised to
date and c.€50-70m of further upside
• 30% of capital employed in non-refining
margin driven returns (Marketing, Petchems,
Power and NatGas)
Nelson/Solomon complexity benchmark margins
Group operational footprint
ROMANIA
TURKEY
BULGARIA
SERBIA
CYPRUS
FYROM
GREECE
ALBANIA
BOSNIA
MONTENEGRO
Refining
Marketing
Power & Gas
5* -3* 4*
*$/bbl, average 2010-14
6.9
11.39.7
5.0
13.9
8.8
Elefsina Thessaloniki Aspropyrgos
Solomon NCI
Shareholding & Governance Controlling shareholders’ agreement supported long-term strategy and successful transition
from state to private sector
Shareholding structure
6%
8%
36%
Greek State
Retail
7% Int’l institutionals
GR institutionals
POIH 43%
Corporate Governance
Board of Directors:
• Consists of 13 members (3 executive and 10 non
executive) appointed as per Articles of Association
• Board Committees (Finance / Audit / HR)
Executive Committee:
• Key management executives with responsibility for
strategy and operations
Management structure:
• SBU structure ensures focus on key business issues
• Regional portfolio controlled centrally
• Experienced with proven track record in
transformation
3
Assets overview Core business around downstream assets with activities across the energy value chain
DESCRIPTION METRICS
• Exploration assets in Greece, Montenegro
• Complex (recently upgraded) refining system:
– Aspropyrgos (FCC, 148kbpd)
– Elefsina (HDC, 100kbpd)
– Thessaloniki (HS, 93kbpd)
• Pipeline fed refinery/terminal in FYROM
• Capacity: 16MT
• NCI: 9.6
• Market share: 65%
• Tankage: 7m M3
• Leading position in all market channels (Retail,
Commercial, Aviation, Bunkering) through EKO and
HF (BP branded network)
• c.1,700 petrol stations
• 30% market share
• Sales volumes: 3MT
• Strong position in Cyprus, Montenegro, Serbia,
Bulgaria
• Advantage on supply chain/vertical integration
• c.260petrol stations
• Sales volumes: 1MT
• Basel technology PP production (integrated with
refining) and trading
• > 60% exports in the Med basin
• Capacity (PP): 220 kt
• ELPEDISON: Second largest IPP in Greece (JV
with Edison/EdF)
• Capacity: 810 MW
(CCGT)
• DEPA/DESFA GROUP: 35% in Greece’s
incumbent NatGas supply company (under
privatisation)
• Volumes (2014):
• 3.0bcm
Refining, Supply & Trading
Exploration & Production
Domestic Marketing
International Marketing
Petrochemicals
Power & Gas
4
Our Group in numbers – key financials
5
€ million, IFRS 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Income Statement
Sales Volume (MT’000) - Refining 15,885 14,502 12,528 12,796 12,696 13,538
Net Sales 7,424 8,477 9,308 10,469 9,674 9,478
Segmental EBITDA
- Refining, Supply & Trading 269 338 259 345 57 253
- Petrochemicals 20 50 44 47 57 81
- Marketing 92 114 66 53 68 90
- Other (incl. E&P) -19 -28 -6 0 -5 -7
Adjusted EBITDA * 362 474 363 444 178 417
Adjusted associates’ share of profit 18 30 67 69 57 28
Adjusted Net Income * 150 205 137 232 -117 5
Balance Sheet / Cash Flow
Capital Employed 3,927 4,191 4,217 4,350 3,905 2,870
Net Debt 1,419 1,659 1,687 1,855 1,689 1,140
Capital Expenditure (incl. refinery upgrades) 614 709 675 521 112 136
(*) Calculated as Reported less the Inventory effects and other non-operating items
6
Contents
• Introduction – Group Overview
• Strategy update
• Industry & market developments
• Strategic business units (SBUs)
• Appendix
7
2013-2017 Strategy Update Refocuses on operational excellence; maximise cash flows to deleverage
1
2
5
Consolidate regional and
domestic market position on
new refining asset base
Develop our people and continue
to build culture of excellence
3 Continue competitiveness
improvement
4 Leverage business portfolio
Realise full benefit of the new
investment 1
2 Deleverage Group on the back
of incremental cashflows and
asset disposals
3 Diversify funding profile and
reduce costs
4 Manage for value focusing
on stakeholders return
Deliver improved profitability
BUSINESS TARGETS FINANCIAL TARGETS
Adjusted EBITDA projected evolution (€m)
45
194
Medium Term Margins* FX*
40
Performance FY14
417
Margins Operations FY13
178
Operational improvements rebased profitability; together with capex normalisation
redefine cash flow profile; refining macro provides positive outlook
8 (*) $1/bbl sensitivity in margins results to €80m, assuming planned utilisation of refineries and €/$ at 1.2
(**) Assuming ΔWC=0
FCC margin
($2.4/ bbl)
450-700 Medium term
performance
driven by refining
margins
FCC margin
($3.4/ bbl)
(Elefsina,
competiteveness, sales
volumes)
Does not
include
contribution
from
Associates 30-50
112
521
675709
614
Stay in business capex
2015P 2014
136
2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 Pre Tax Free
Cash Flow
EBITDA Capex
400-700
(100-150)
250-550
Capex evolution 2009-2015 (€m) Cash Flow profile pro-forma** (€m)
54%
76% 81% 85%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
0
5
10
15
20
2011 2012 2013 2014
Exports Domestic sales Utilisation rate**
30
8
12
30
19
Total
51
Exports
5
PetChems Int’l*
8
Aviation &
Bunkering*
Domestic
market*
Refining
38
Source: Wood Mackenzie
2018 Net cash margin projection, Med basin refineries
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
(*) Includes both trading & marketing
(**) Note on utilisation rate: 2011-1H12 Elefsina Refinery was not operating due to its upgrade project 9
Elefsina Refinery and new business model Stabilisation of Elefsina operations (>100% utilisation), leads to business model transformation
towards exports with significant benefits (risk profile, economics, working capital)
European Med refineries Net Cash margins
Elefsina
Elefsina Refinery utilisation (%)
80
95
8376
2H14 1H14 2H13 1H13 Q412
> 100%
Refining Sales breakdown (mMT’)
High Low None
Group Gross margin breakdown (%)
Greek market: contribution 21%
49%
10
COMPETITIVENESS IMPROVEMENTS €89m incremental benefits in 2014; positive impact evident in a number of KPIs, as well
as international benchmarking
Group Headcount
2009
-36%
2010 2014 2013 2012 2011 2008
COMO network sales share
- Domestic Marketing
2013
3x
2014 2012 2011 2010
ELPE positioning in Solomon benchmarking*
(*) Global benchmarking study conducted on a bi-annual basis; results displayed for C&S Europe (31 refineries)
BEST80 savings (% over spent)
16
9
2014 2009
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2020+ 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
Capital structure Emphasis throughout 2014 on liquidity risk management vs funding cost; full utilisation of
credit facilities and max cash balance preservation through working capital management
11%
38%
30%
Banks (committed)
21%
EIB
DCM
Banks (uncommitted)
FY14 Gross debt by source
Total:
€3.0bn
DCM
FY14 Maturity Profile
Gross Debt (€bn)
Cash (€bn)
1.00.91.0
0.6
DCM
Cashflow & ΔWC
2014
1.8
2013 2012 2011 2010
2.72.82.7
2.4
2013
3.0
2014
DCM
2012 2011 2010
2015-16: c. €400m
11
Contents
• Introduction – Group Overview
• Strategy update
• Industry & market developments
• Strategic business units (SBUs)
• Appendix
12
Recent Industry developments Recent improvement in European refining environment driven by regional crude supply
and global demand dynamics
13
• European refining margins benefited from improved Atlantic basin crude supply conditions (production
growth in US, as well as Iraq)
• Higher gasoline demand in US and emerging markets; diesel demand growth positive (IMO & Asian
markets)
• Challenges from regional overcapacity and additional product flows from Middle East remain
• Weak crude prices and stronger USD positive for refiners, despite one-off inventory impact
Med complex margins - $/bbl (2012-2015)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8 Hydrocracking
FCC
4Q14 3Q14 2Q14 1Q14 4Q13 3Q13 2Q13 1Q13 4Q12 3Q12 2Q12 1Q12 1Q15*
Med FCC margins:
2.4
$/bbl
3.4
(*) Data updated as of 1st March 2015
2,8372,518
2,2242,066
3,353
2,932
2,883
1,983
1,159
953
805
765
-42%
MOGAS
ADO
HGO
LPG & Others
2012
7,727
2,913
2011
9,267
3,355
2010
10,125
3,722
2009
11,413
4,064
Domestic market environment First year of growth in fuels demand post Greek crisis, driven by heating GO recovery as well
as auto fuels consumption in 2H
(*) Does not include PPC and armed forces
Source: Ministry of Production Restructuring, Environment and Energy
Domestic Market demand* 2009 – 2014 (MT ‘000)
2,248 2,375
930 972
751 820
1%
2014
6,697
2,530
2013
6,599
2,670
+9%
+5%
+6%
-5%
1,860
1,5801,5121,645
1,982
1,6251,5021,588
3Q
-1% +3% -3%
+7%
4Q 2Q 1Q
2014 2013
14
15
Contents
• Introduction - Group overview
• Strategy update
• Industry & market developments
• Strategic Business Units (SBUs)
• Appendix
Aviation &
Bunkering
C&I (Construction,
wholesale)
Retail
16
Greek petroleum market overview and route to market Leading domestic market position through vertical integration and competitive logistics
assets; well positioned to capture Greek recovery
3rd party
Imports
60-65% 25-30%
0-10%
Greek Refining capacity: 25MT
Domestic market: 11.5MT
ELPE Group
subsidiaries: 3MT
(30%)
MOH Group
subsidiaries: 2MT
(20%)
Independent
marketing
companies: 5MT
(40%)
ELPE exports: 6-8MT
3rd party exports:
5MT
16MT
ELPE Group
subsidiaries: 1-2MT
9%
10%
8%
21%
8%
21%
22% Fuel Oil
Greek market product breakdown
Specialty markets
(PPC, public sector):
1.5MT (10%)
Gasoline
Diesel
Gasoil Jet
Bunkers
Other
Greek Refining, Supply & Trading economics Trading activity in domestic and international markets complements refining returns;
export sales accounting for 50% of total
Markets
(sales premia varying
across channels)
Refining
(Med benchmark returns
& operations performance)
Imported Products
(0.5-1.5m MT)
Aviation & Bunkering
(Med competitive pricing)
Exports, Intra-Group
(Platts Med FOB based + premia)
Domestic market
5.5 MT
2.5 MT
Exports, 3rd parties
(Platts Med FOB based)
2.0 MT
5.0 MT
Aspropyrgos
NCI 9.7
148kbpd
FCC
Thessaloniki
NCI 6.9
95kbpd
Hydroskimming
Elefsina
NCI 11.3
100kbpd
HDC
16 MT
0.5-1.5 MT
$ / €
Total ELPE capacity
12%
55%
25%
8%
Fuel oil Middle Distillates
Gasoline Other
17
Refined Products
(14.0m MT) $ $ $
11%
89%
High sulphur
Low sulphur
25%
8%
55%
12%
Other
Gasoline Fuel Oil
Middle Distillates
Marketing Leading position in the Greek market with EKO and BP brands; subsidiaries in
neighboring markets increase downstream integration; selective expansion to increase
network control
Auto-fuels domestic market share
evolution (%)
Domestic Retail network evolution (# PS)
International Marketing: Regional footprint
30
15
2012 (post BP
acquisition)
2008 (EKO only)
International Marketing: Sales volumes evolution (MT)
194 220 222 336 367
126152 150
117 115
256243 237
215 211
375
126
209
1,072
2013
379
2012
1,072
404
2011
1,041
433
2010
1,051
436
2009
1,014
438
1,079
2014
369
CY BU JPK SER
18
1,175 1,078 1,041 982 942 900
1,170 1,108
981 949
874 816
2,345 2,186
2,022 1,931 1,816
1,716
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
EKO HF
Petrochemicals Operations centred on vertical integration for higher value product; trading geared to
exports markets
Polypropylene value chain
Propylene (refinery grade)
Propylene splitter
90%
Thessaloniki PP plant
(220 kt)
PP
Imports
10%
Propylene (polymer grade)
10%
90%
Domestic and international
market
BOPP film plant (26kt)
Position:
• Competitive advantage in polypropylene - vertical
integration exceeding 85% of total production
• Exports account for >60% of total sales; strong
export markets in Turkey, Italy and East Med
• Domestic market share in petchems exceeds 50% in
all products, produced or traded
Targets:
• Increase propylene production capturing propane
conversion value
• Exploit niche markets:
– Increase PP resin grade portfolio and BOPP film
types with tangible cash benefits
– Add new plastics
• Leverage regional positioning and in-market
presence to increase trading
19
Power: second largest IPP in Greece; development of a renewable energy
portfolio
Thisvi 420MW CCGT power plant
Consolidated as Associate
• Elpedison BV, is a 50/50 JV between Hellenic
Petroleum and Edison, Italy’s 2nd largest electricity
producer and gas distributor (EdF Group)
– Owns 75% of 810MW of installed CCGT
capacity: a 390MW plant in Thessaloniki and a
420MW in Thisvi
– Increasing power trading & marketing,
considering credit exposure
• Energy market in Greece under restructuring;
current model targets system stability during a
transitional phase
• Renewables portfolio target > 100MW (wind, PV,
biomass) subject to fiscal environment and market
developments
20
21
Gas: 35% participation in DEPA, Greece’s incumbent gas company (in sale
process)
DEPA
– Long-term contracts on pipe gas (Russian & Azeri) and
capacity rights on two in-bound interconnecting pipelines
– Long-term contracts with power generators, eligible
industrial customers and existing EPAs
– Owns 51% of the local supply companies (EPAs), with
rights until 2036
DESFA (RAB)
– Greece’s gas grid and LNG import terminal owner and
operator
– International pipelines: Participation in Greece-Bulgaria
Interconnector
• SPA for sale of 66% of DESFA to SOCAR for €400m signed
on 21 Dec 2013; regulatory approvals in process for
completion of transaction
DEPA snapshot financials (€m)
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012* 2013 2014
EBITDA 240 166 211 288 287 196 126
Net Income 120 61 91 191 197 147 83
* Adjusted for settlement with PPC
Natural gas transmission network
DEPA Volumes 2007-14 (bcm)
Consolidated as Associate
2007 2008 2009 2014 2013
4.3
2010
3.8
3.0
3.8
2012
4.0
2011
3.3
4.2
3.6
22
Contents
• Introduction - Group overview
• Strategy update
• Industry & market developments
• Strategic business units (SBUs)
• Appendix
23
Key Milestones Transforming stand-alone government controlled Greek companies to a leading private
sector regional energy player
PETROLA ( Elefsina
Refinery)
DEP &
DEPEKY (Greek E&P)
ELDA ( Aspropyrgos
Refinery)
ESSO -
PAPPAS ( Thessaloniki
Refinery)
PETROLA
(Elefsina
Refinery)
DEP &
DEPEKY (Greek E&P)
ELDA ( Aspropyrgos
Refinery)
ESSO -
PAPPAS ( Thessaloniki
Refinery)
1998 1960 –
1998 2003 2007 2008 2009 2014
Elpedison: 50/50 JV
with Italy’s Edison,
in Power
Libyan upstream
concessions sold to
GDF Suez for $170m
2010
Thessaloniki Refinery
upgrade completed
Sale of 70% stake in
W. Obayed upstream
concession in Egypt
Acquisition of BP’s
Ground Fuels business
in Greece
Merger with
Petrola
Hellas
Elpedison’s 2nd CCGT
Plant (420MW) in
commercial operation
Shareholding events
Listing of
new Group in
ASE/LSE
Greek Government
announces its
intention to divest
its shareholding in
ELPE
2011
Agreement to
DESFA sale for
€212m
Elefsina
upgraded refinery
start up
POIH becomes
strategic investor
with 25% stake
Float 21%
Greek State
36%
POIH 43%
2012 2013
Issue of €500m
Eurobond
Acceleration of
transformation
programs achieving
c.90m of benefits
Issue of €325m and
$400m Eurobond
24
Regional market – Diesel shortage in the Med ELPE middle distillates yield match expected increasing shortage in the region
-178
-103
-65 -28
-40
-40
-10 -11
-20
-6
-5
-18
-195
-34
-55
-16
-13
-87
+4
+8
+9
PORTUGAL
GIBRALTAR
MOROCCO
SPAIN
MED FRANCE
ALGERIA
TUNISIA MALTA
ITALY
CROATIA
SLOVENIA
SERBIA
BOSNIA
FYROM
ALBANIA
GREECE
MONTENEGRO
TURKEY
LIBYA
EGYPT ISRAEL
LEBANON
SYRIA
CYPRUS
Diesel/Gasoil surplus (2020)
Diesel/Gasoil deficit (2020)
Key DIESEL/GASOIL balances in the Med region, kb/d (2020)
-59
Source: Wood Mackenzie
25
Group Key financials: 2004 – 2014 Strong track record of consistent delivery and balance sheet resilience
(*) Calculated as Reported less the Inventory effects and other one-off non-operating items and special income taxes
€ million, IFRS (Published) 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Income Statement Figures
Sales Volume (MT'000) - Refining 15,807 16,525 16,952 17,130 16,997 15,885 14,557 12,528 12,796 12,696 13,538
Sales Volume (MT'000) - Marketing 4,793 4,727 4,790 5,236 4,910 4,787 5,735 5,126 4,434 4,043 4,131
Net Sales 4,907 6,653 8,122 8,538 10,131 6,757 8,477 9,308 10,469 9,674 9,478
EBITDA 372 671 502 617 249 390 501 335 298 29 -84
Adjusted EBITDA* 400 466 526 458 513 362 474 363 444 178 417
Net Income 128 334 260 351 24 175 180 114 86 -269 -365
Adjusted Net Income* 149 191 277 232 216 150 205 137 232 -117 5
Balance Sheet / Cash Flow Items
Capital Employed 2,335 2,956 3,442 3,557 3,153 3,927 4,191 4,217 4,350 3,905 2,870
Net Debt 386 699 1,044 977 679 1,419 1,629 1,687 1,855 1,689 1,140
Capital Expenditure 295 185 145 195 338 614 709 675 521 112 136
Free Cash flow -122 -182 -177 204 512 -561 17 165 25 404 770
Dividend (€/share) 0.26 0.43 0.43 0.50 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.15 n/a n/a
Key drivers
Brent crude ($/bbl) 38.0 55.2 68.1 72.9 98.3 62.6 80.3 111.0 111.7 108.7 99.0
FCC cracking Med margins ($/bbl) 7.2 7.3 7.3 7.1 6.8 3.7 4.4 2.9 4.7 2.4 3.4
€/$ 1.24 1.24 1.26 1.37 1.47 1.39 1.33 1.39 1.29 1.33 1.33
€ million, IFRS 4Q FY
2013 2014 Δ% 2013 2014 Δ%
Income Statement
Sales Volume (MT) - Refining 2,915 3,981 37% 12,696 13,538 7%
Sales Volume (MT) - Marketing 967 1,075 11% 4,043 4,131 2%
Net Sales 2,227 2,383 7% 9,674 9,478 -2%
Segmental EBITDA
- Refining, Supply & Trading 24 133 - 57 253 -
- Petrochemicals 11 25 - 57 81 41%
- Marketing 12 15 31% 68 90 31%
- Other -2 -2 26% -5 -7 -25%
Adjusted EBITDA * 45 171 - 178 417 -
Share of operating profit of associates ** 7 6 -15% 57 28 -51%
Adjusted EBIT * (including Associates) -13 121 - 11 240 -
Finance costs - net -53 -49 6% -209 -215 -3%
Adjusted Net Income * -35 53 - -117 5 -
IFRS Reported EBITDA -11 -206 - 29 -84 -
IFRS Reported Net Income -98 -227 - -269 -365 -36%
Balance Sheet / Cash Flow
Capital Employed 3,905 2,870 -26%
Net Debt 1,689 1,140 -33%
Capital Expenditure 55 51 -8% 112 136 22%
4Q14 GROUP KEY FINANCIALS
(*) Calculated as Reported less the Inventory effects and other non-operating items
(**) Includes 35% share of operating profit of DEPA Group
+37%
4Q14
4,0
4Q13
2,9
Refining sales volume (m MT)
171
45
+280%
4Q14 4Q13
Adj. EBITDA (€m)
136
112
+22%
FY14 FY13
Capex (€m)
26
4Q14 KEY HIGHLIGHTS
• Record high 4Q results; Adj. EBITDA at €171m (€45m LY) and Adj. Net Income at €53m (-€35m LY)
resulting in a clean EPS of €0.17; All business units reported improved performance; IFRS results
affected by inventory impact from crude oil price drop
• Historical high refining production (4m MT) on the back of improved refining economics and high
mechanical availability; exports reached 2m MT as Group’s business is now 50% non-Greek related
• Refining operating costs per bbl 30% lower vs LY; competitiveness improvement projects contributed
€24m in 4Q14
• Controllable cashflow improvement q-o-q, on improved results and normalised capex
• Enhanced HSE performance, with safety indices improved y-o-y
• Stronger balance sheet; further improvement of financing terms and reduced cost, despite challenging
environment
• Distribution of €0.21/share approved in December
27
112
103 110 109 108 110
102
76 1.32
1.31 1.33
1.36 1.37 1.37
1.33
1.25
1.20
1.25
1.30
1.35
1.40
1.45
1.50
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14
Brent EURUSD
INDUSTRY ENVIRONMENT Crude oil price collapse on supply surplus; strongest USD in 8 years favors € reporting
refiners; sweet-sour differentials affected by crude availability in the region ICE Brent ($/bbl)
EURUSD Exchange Rate ($/€)
28
01/10/14
1.26
2013 2014
4Q 1.36 1.25
FY 1.33 1.33
2013 2014
Y/E 110 55
4Q 109 76
FY 109 99
01/10/14
94.6
31/12/14
55.0
31/12/14
1.21
• Increased supply, especially for
light/sweet grades, led prices to a 5-
year low; further drop recorded post
Y/E
• Improved US macro and QE
expectations in Europe led to stronger
USD
• Med sweet-sour spreads wider y-o-y,
despite reduced Russian exports
• Brent – WTI spread tighter q-o-q; diesel
arbitrage closed for part of 4Q14
ICE Brent ($/bbl) and EUR/USD
18.2
9.1
3.8
11.8
9.4
6.7 6.2
4.0
1.2 0.3 -0.3 0.3 0.8 1.4 1.0 0.8
1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14
Brent-WTI Brent - Urals
Crude differentials ($/bbl)
Product Cracks* ($/bbl)
0
5
10
15
12
14
16
18
Hydrocracking
INDUSTRY ENVIRONMENT Improved product cracks y-o-y and weak crude prices (affecting energy costs) led recovery of
benchmark margins to 2-year highs
Med benchmark margins ($/bbl)
MOGAS
HSFO
ULSD
(*) Brent based. A revision of benchmark margins post Elefsina and feed changes is in progress.
Naphtha
FCC
2.4
1.01.0
3.5
4.1
3.4
4.94.6
2.31.7
1Q 2Q FY
+40%
3Q 4Q
2013 2014
3.7
4.7
2.92.4
4.7 4.5
5.55.1
3.2
4.1
2Q
+22%
4Q 3Q 1Q FY
-35
-30
-25
-20
-15
2013 2014
-15
-10
-5
0
29
-2 -2
24
133
11
FX 20
25
30
8
25
23
20
12
15
CAUSAL TRACK & SEGMENTAL RESULTS OVERVIEW 4Q 2014 Refining economics confirm strategic rationale for Elefsina upgrade, while operational
improvements across all businesses deliver increased profitability
Adjusted EBITDA causal track 4Q14 vs 4Q13 (€m)
171 �
Refining,
S&T
MK
Chems
Refining,
S&T
MK
Chems
Other
(incl. E&P) Other
(incl. E&P)
Environment
Performance
4Q13
Elefsina Supply 4Q14
Performance
improvements
Benchmark
Refining
Margins
Sales
Volume
30
57
253
57
81
68
45
73
87
25
90
-5
9
-7
CAUSAL TRACK & SEGMENTAL RESULTS OVERVIEW 2014 2H refinery environment added to operational improvements achieved, leading to a “turn-
around” of Group performance
Adjusted EBITDA causal track FY14 vs FY13 (€m)
Refining,
S&T
MK
Chems
Refining,
S&T
MK
Chems
Other
(incl. E&P) Other
(incl. E&P)
417 �
FY13 Elefsina Sales
Volume Other FY14
Performance
improvements Benchmark
Refining
Margins
Environment
Performance
31
CASH FLOW PROFILE Improved performance and normalised Capex generate operating cashflow for deleveraging
while business model and improved international supply conditions and liquidity allow more
effective working capital management
Free Cashflow from Operations (Adj. EBITDA less capex- €m)
Working Capital Release FY14 vs FY13 (€bn)
120121
1227
-11
55
-6
28
4Q14 3Q14 2Q14 1Q14 4Q13 3Q13 2Q13 1Q13
Working Capital KPI*s
45
30
10
Stock days
(incl. CSO)
DPO DSO
0.2
0.3
1.0
0.5
FY14 Payment terms Volume
(incl. CSO)
Price (Inv.
& A/R)
(*) Indicative days for incremental volume (assuming 50-50 domestic-exports)
32
4Q 2014 FINANCIAL RESULTS GROUP PROFIT & LOSS ACCOUNT
(*) Includes derecognition of Elefsina project hedges (non recurring) and VRS scheme implemented in 4Q13
(**) Includes 35% share of operating profit of DEPA Group
IFRS FINANCIAL STATEMENTS 4Q FY
€ MILLION 2013 2014 Δ % 2013 2014 Δ %
Sales 2,227 2,383 7% 9,674 9,478 (2%)
Cost of sales (2,134) (2,522) (18%) (9,369) (9,334) 0%
Gross profit 94 (139) - 305 145 (53%)
Selling, distribution and administrative expenses (119) (129) (8%) (448) (440) 2%
Exploration expenses (1) (2) - (3) (4) (43%)
Other operating (expenses) / income - net* (49) 8 - (50) 11 -
Operating profit (loss) (75) (262) - (195) (289) (48%)
Finance costs - net (53) (49) 6% (209) (215) (3%)
Currency exchange gains /(losses) (1) 1 - 9 (9) -
Share of operating profit of associates** 7 6 (15%) 57 28 (51%)
Profit before income tax (122) (305) - (338) (485) (43%)
Income tax expense / (credit) 23 77 - 66 116 77%
Profit for the period (98) (228) - (272) (369) (35%)
Minority Interest 0 1 - 3 3 0%
Net Income (Loss) (98) (227) - (269) (365) (36%)
Basic and diluted EPS (in €) (0.32) (0.74) - (0.88) (1.20) (36%)
Reported EBITDA (11) (206) - 29 (84) -
33
4Q 2014 FINANCIAL RESULTS REPORTED VS ADJUSTED EBITDA
(€ million) 4Q FY
2013 2014 2013 2014
Reported EBITDA -11 -206 29 -84
Inventory effect 6 375 70 484
One-offs 49 2 79 17
Adjusted EBITDA 45 171 178 417
34
4Q 2014 FINANCIAL RESULTS GROUP BALANCE SHEET
(*) 35% share of DEPA Group book value (consolidated as an associate)
IFRS FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FY FY
€ MILLION 2013 2014
Non-current assets
Tangible and Intangible assets 3,607 3,530
Investments in affiliated companies* 692 682
Other non-current assets 172 313
4,470 4,526Current assets
Inventories 1,005 638
Trade and other receivables 743 708
Cash and cash equivalents 960 1,848
2,707 3,194
Total assets 7,177 7,719
Shareholders equity 2,099 1,618
Minority interest 116 110
Total equity 2,214 1,729
Non- current liabilities
Borrowings 1,312 1,812
Other non-current liabilities 164 162
1,475 1,974Current liabilities
Trade and other payables 2,125 2,739
Borrowings 1,338 1,178
Other current liabilities 24 100
3,488 4,017
Total liabilities 4,963 5,991
Total equity and liabilities 7,177 7,719
35
4Q 2014 FINANCIAL RESULTS GROUP CASH FLOW
IFRS FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FY FY
€ MILLION 2013 2014
Cash flows from operating activities
Cash generated from operations 501 876
Income and other taxes paid (9) (23)
Net cash (used in) / generated from operating activities 493 853
Cash flows from investing activities
Purchase of property, plant and equipment & intangible assets (105) (136)
Acquisition of subsidiary (7) -
Sale of property, plant and equipment & intangible assets 4 5
Sale of subsidiary - -
Grants received
Interest received 8 9
Investments in associates - -
Dividends received 13 39
Participation in share capital (increase)/ decrease of associates (3) -
Net cash used in investing activities (90) (83)
Cash flows from financing activities
Interest paid (184) (197)
Dividends paid (46) (2)
Proceeds from borrowings 1,276 1,112
Repayment of borrowings (1,384) (828)
Net cash generated from / (used in ) financing activities (339) 85
Net increase/(decrease) in cash & cash equivalents 64 855
Cash & cash equivalents at the beginning of the period 901 960
Exchange gains/(losses) on cash & cash equivalents (6) 34
Net increase/(decrease) in cash & cash equivalents 64 855
Cash & cash equivalents at end of the period 959 1,848
36
(*) Calculated as Reported less the Inventory effects and other non-operating items
4Q 2014 FINANCIAL RESULTS SEGMENTAL ANALYSIS – I
4Q FY
€ million, IFRS 2013 2014 Δ% 2013 2014 Δ%
Reported EBITDA
Refining, Supply & Trading -18 -232 - -80 -233 -
Marketing 2 7 - 63 80 26%
Petrochemicals 9 20 - 53 76 43%
Core Business -6 -205 - 36 -77 -
Other (incl. E&P) -5 -1 70% -8 -6 18%
Total -11 -206 - 29 -84 -
Associates (Power & Gas) share attributable to Group 27 18 -31% 102 73 -28%
Adjusted EBITDA (*)
Refining, Supply & Trading 24 133 - 57 253 -
Marketing 12 15 30% 68 90 31%
Petrochemicals 11 25 - 57 81 41%
Core Business 47 173 - 183 423 -
Other (incl. E&P) -2 -1 39% -5 -6 -19%
Total 45 171 - 178 417 -
Associates (Power & Gas) share attributable to Group 27 18 -31% 102 73 -28%
Adjusted EBIT (*)
Refining, Supply & Trading -23 93 - -97 114 -
Marketing -3 2 - 13 37 -
Petrochemicals 11 22 - 45 69 54%
Core Business -16 117 - -39 220 -
Other (incl. E&P) -3 -2 30% -7 -9 -27%
Total -19 115 - -46 211 -
Associates (Power & Gas) share attributable to Group (adjusted) 7 6 -15% 57 28 -51%
37
4Q 2014 FINANCIAL RESULTS SEGMENTAL ANALYSIS – II
4Q FY
€ million, IFRS 2013 2014 Δ% 2013 2014 Δ%
Volumes (M/T'000)
Refining, Supply & Trading 2,915 3,981 37% 12,696 13,538 7%
Marketing 967 1,075 11% 4,043 4,131 2%
Petrochemicals 72 64 -11% 295 236 -20%
Total - Core Business 3,954 5,119 29% 17,035 17,905 5%
Sales
Refining, Supply & Trading 2,060 2,217 8% 9,078 8,818 -3%
Marketing 781 741 -5% 3,345 3,220 -4%
Petrochemicals 83 84 0% 327 322 -1%
Core Business 2,925 3,042 4% 12,750 12,361 -3%
Intersegment & other -698 -659 6% -3,076 -2,882 6%
Total 2,227 2,383 7% 9,674 9,478 -2%
Capital Employed
Refining, Supply & Trading 2,248 1,344 -40%
Marketing 775 657 -15%
Petrochemicals 129 164 27%
Core Business 3,152 2,165 -31%
Associates (Power & Gas) 692 682 -1%
Other (incl. E&P) 62 23 -63%
Total 3,905 2,870 -26%
38
39
Glossary of Key Terms
Adjusted EBITDA Reported EBITDA adjusted by inventory effect (impact of the fluctuation of crude prices on BS inventories
and on the value of products sold during the related period) and other one-off non recurring items
CCGT Combined Cycle Gas Turbine
FCC Fluid Catalytic Cracking
HDC Hydrocracking
HS Hydroskimming
HSFO High Sulfur Fuel Oil
IPP Independent Power Producer
Leverage ratio Net Debt / Adjusted EBITDA (including associates share of net income)
LNG Liquefied Natural Gas
NatGas Natural Gas
Nelson Complexity Index (NCI) An index assessing the refinery conversion capacity by relating each processing unit capacity against the
crude distillation capacity and applying weighting factor.
Pro forma leverage ratio Net Debt (excluding debt equal to investment in associates ) / Adjusted EBITDA
Pro forma leverage on mid cycle
historical EBITDA (2010-2012 avg)
Net Debt (excluding investment in associates ) / Adjusted EBITDA(2010-2012 avg)
POIH Paneuropean Oil and Industrial Holdings (POIH)
PP Polypropylene
Solomon Comlexity Index Compares the relative refining configuration apart from throughput capacity. It is the total of EDC
(Equivalent Distillation Capacity) divided by the sum of the crude unit stream-day capacities.
ULSD Ultra-low-sulphur diesel (ULSD)
40
Disclaimer
Forward looking statements
Hellenic Petroleum do not in general publish forecasts regarding their future financial
results. The financial forecasts contained in this document are based on a series of
assumptions, which are subject to the occurrence of events that can neither be
reasonably foreseen by Hellenic Petroleum, nor are within Hellenic Petroleum's control.
The said forecasts represent management's estimates, and should be treated as mere
estimates. There is no certainty that the actual financial results of Hellenic Petroleum
will be in line with the forecasted ones.
In particular, the actual results may differ (even materially) from the forecasted ones
due to, among other reasons, changes in the financial conditions within Greece,
fluctuations in the prices of crude oil and oil products in general, as well as fluctuations
in foreign currencies rates, international petrochemicals prices, changes in supply and
demand and changes of weather conditions. Consequently, it should be stressed that
Hellenic Petroleum do not, and could not reasonably be expected to, provide any
representation or guarantee, with respect to the creditworthiness of the forecasts.
This presentation also contains certain financial information and key performance
indicators which are primarily focused at providing a “business” perspective and as a
consequence may not be presented in accordance with International Financial
Reporting Standards (IFRS).