Uk Aerospace International Strategy 2012 Final

UK Aerospace International Strategy 2012

Executive Summary 2

Introduction 3Objectives 3

Methodology 4

Opportunities 5

Civil Programmes 8

Fixed Wing Widebody/Twin Aisle 8AirbusA350-1000XWB(D) 8Rolls-RoyceTrentXWB(D) 8Boeing787-9/10(M/C) 8Boeing777X(C) 8

Fixed Wing Narrowbody/Single Aisle 9Boeing737MAX(D) 9A320neo 9BombardierCSeries(M) 10COMACC919(D) 10IrkutMS21(D) 10

Fixed Wing Regional Jets 11Embraer190X(C) 11

Fixed Wing Regional Turboprops 11NewATR(C) 11MA700(D) 11BusinessJets 12DefenceProgrammes 13

Fixed Wing Fighters 13LockheedMartinF-35LightningII(O,M) 13TheFifthGenerationFighterAircraft(C) 14

Trainers 15UST-XTrainer(C) 15

Fixed Wing Multirole/Transport 16USAFKC-46ATanker(D) 16EmbraerKC390(D) 16Multi-RoleTransportAircraft(MTA)(IL-214T) 17

Rotary Wing Programmes 18

Civil 19AgustaWestlandAW169(D) 19

Military 20USArmedAerialScoutHelicopter–AAS(C) 20Medium 20AgustaWestlandAW149(D) 20KAH(C) 20MH-60GRecap(C) 21Heavy 21VXX(C) 21CH-53K(D) 21IndianHelicopterProgrammes(D) 22

Unmanned Aircraft Systems (UAS) 22Militarymarket(C) 23

General Recommendations During the Period January 2012 – March 2013 25RecommendedUKTI/ADSActionbyCountryDuringthePeriodJanuary2012–March2013 25AsiaPacific 25Brazil 25Canada 25China 25Europe 26India 26Japan 26SouthKorea 27MiddleEast 27Russia 27USA 27

Conclusions 28AuthorsCliveLewis AchievingtheDifferenceLLPDavidScotter ADSJimGilhooly AgustaWestlandJohnBulmer BAESystemsTomDillon BombardierMikeLee DoncastersJonWhite GEAviationMikeMcCann GKNAerospaceMartinPhillips GoodrichAndrewMair MidlandsAerospaceAllianceJamieMartin UltraElectronics

Contents

Inassociationwith

UK Aerospace International Strategy 20122 UK Aerospace International Strategy 2012 3

ThisreportisanupdateofthestrategydocumentthatwasproducedinFebruary2011bytheADSAerospaceExportFocusGroup,whichoutlinedthestatusoftheworldwidemarketplace,identifiedkeyexportmarketsfortheUKaerospacesectorandrecommendedhowopportunitiesinthesemarketsshouldbeapproached.ThisdocumentwassubmittedtoUKTIinsupportoftheirannualbusinessplanningprocess.

AsaresultatargetedprogrammeofactivitiesfocusingonkeyaerospaceopportunitieshasbeendeliveredforUKcompaniesbasedaroundtherecommendations.Duringthepast12months,thishasresultedingreaterengagementfromUKindustrythanpreviouslyseen,whichhasincludedinwardandoutwardactivityinvolvingChina,India,RussiaandUSAmarketsandaseriesofwellsupportedmarketandprogrammebriefingsintheUK.AlloftheseactivitieshavereceivedpositivefeedbackandsignificantlyincreasedUKcompanies’knowledgeandinterestinpursuingbusinessinthesemarkets.

ThedatagatheringandconsolidationexercisealsoresultedinacomprehensivesetofworldwideprogrammeforecastdatathathasbeenmadeavailabletotheUKAerospaceIndustryviatheADSwebsiteandthroughregionaltradeassociations.ThishasbeenparticularlyvaluableforSMEcompaniesthatdonothavetheirownin-houseresearchteamstogatherandproducethisanalysis.Theyhavebeenabletousethisdatatoidentifywhichprogrammesoffergreatestpotentialfortheirproducts/servicesandthusprioritisetheirmarketingandbusinessdevelopmentactivities.Largercompanieshavealsobeenabletousethisdatetocalibratetheirownin-housemarketanalysisandforecastsandtoidentifywheretherearedifferences,investigatetheseareasandrefocustheirstrategyifrequired.

TheconsolidateddataanalysedtoproducethisreportwillbemadewidelyavailabletoUKindustryonarequestbasis,alongwithacopyofthisreportsummarisingthekeyopportunities.ADSproposestopromotetheavailabilityofthisreportviaitsownwebsite,itsregionalpartnersandtheUKTIwebsite.ItisalsoproposedthataseriesofroadshowswillbeorganisedinRegionallocationstopresentboththeconsolidateddataandtherecommendedactivitytoUKindustryandtoallowthemtoaskquestionsaboutthecontent.

ItisalsointendedthattheUKTIAdvancedEngineeringTeamshouldcirculatethisreporttotheirvirtualnetworkaroundtheworldtoinformtheaerospaceleadsineachmarketwhereUKindustrybelievesthegreatestopportunitiesareandhowtheycantargettheiractivitytoassistUKIndustrypursuetheseopportunities.

ObjectivesTheprimaryobjectivesofthisreportare:

- ToprovideanevidencebasetoinformUKTIAdvancedEngineering2012/13activityplanning.

- ToprovidetheUKAerospaceIndustryinallareasofthesupplychainandacrossalltiersarichandvalidatedevidencebaseonwhichtobasefuturebusinesscaptureactivitiesandplanning.

1. ThisreportidentifiesthemajoropportunitiesforUKAerospaceininternationalmarketsandprovidesrecommendationsonhowtheseopportunitiesshouldbeapproachedduringthenext12-18months.

Overthenext10years,thelargehighgrowthmarketssuchasChina,IndiaandBrazilwilldriveglobalcivilaerospacegrowth,althoughexisting/traditionalaerospacemarketswillremainimportantforUKindustry.AswellassupplyingtomajorOEMs,suchasAirbusandBoeing,theemergingmarketsarealsodevelopingtheirownindigenouscivilaerospaceprogrammes,UKcompanies,particularlyatOEMandTier1level,withtheassistanceofUKTIandADS,needtoenterdiscussionsontheseprogrammesattheearliestpossiblestagetoenablethemtosecurework.ThiswillthenfacilitateopportunitiesforotherUKcompanieslowerdowninthesupplychain.

2. Theprincipalopportunitiesinthenext10-yearperiodarelikelytobeonnewBoeing,Airbus,Bombardier,COMACandEmbraerprogrammesduetotheirsheervolumeandthefactthattherewillbeoptionsfornewsupplierentries.TherearealsosignificantopportunitiesforUKsupplierstowininternationalbusinessonnewrotorcraftandbusinessaircraft.

3. TheglobalisationofthesupplychainandcurrentmarketconditionsrequirethatUKaerospacecompaniesandUKGovernmentco-operateevenmorecloselythanbeforetomaintainandexpandtheirshareofthisimportantpartoftheadvancedengineeringsector.ADSwillcontinuetoworkcollaborativelywithUKTrade&Investment(UKTI)andtheDepartmentforBusiness,InnovationandSkills(BIS)AerospaceMarine&DefenceUnit,whichhasleadresponsibilitytoensurethattheUKhastherightstrategiesandframeworkstoincreasethecompetitivenessoftheUKcivilaerospacesectorandmaintainitscomparativeadvantage,andtopromoteandsafeguardtheUK’slong-termgrowthincivilaerospacee.g.throughpromotinginternationallycompetitiveskills,supportinginnovation&technologicaldevelopment,andsupportingmoreeffectivesupplychains.

4. SuccessiveUKGovernmentshaverecognisedtheimportanceofaerospaceasastrategicsectorandhavebeensupportiveinhelpingittodevelopandgrowitsinternationalcivilanddefenceaerospacebusiness.AdvancedmanufacturingsectorssuchasaerospaceanddefencealsocontinuetobeseenasimportanttomaintainingabalancedeconomyintheUK.

5. ThisdocumentisadirectresultofUKTIrequiringaconsolidatedUKaerospaceindustryviewofwhereitcanbestallocateitsresources.ADSandtheUKAerospaceIndustrywelcomethesupportthatUKTIandBIShavegiventoproducingthisdocumentandlookforwardtocontinuedcollaborationbetweenallpartiesforthebenefitoftheUKAerospaceIndustry.

6. TheinformationcontainedinthisreportwascompiledfromdataprovidedbymajorUK-basedcompaniesintheaerospacesectorduringlate2011.ItprovidesaconsolidatedviewoffutureinternationalopportunitiesandwassignedoffassuchbyADSAerospaceExportFocusGroupinJanuary2012.

7. The2012reportwasformallylaunchedattheUKTIInternationalAerospaceExchangeeventon7February2012.AtthiseventmajorcivilaerospaceOEMs,andtheirTier1partners,gavepresentationsontheirmajorcivilaerospaceprogrammes,includingdatageneratedforthecurrentreport,andhowtheUKsupplychaincanaccesstheseopportunities

ExecutiveSummary Introduction


ADScontractedaconsultanttogathermarketintelligenceandforecastdataforkeyaerospaceprogrammesfromADSmembercompaniesandconsolidatethesedatatoproduceanindustryviewonglobalopportunities.InaworkshopfacilitatedbytheconsultantthemembersoftheADSAerospaceExportFocusGroupanalysedthesummarydata,generatedalistofpriorityopportunitiesfortheUKaerospaceindustry,andalistofrecommendedactionsbyADSandUKTIinsupportofwinningbusinessintheseareas.

Theworkshopcoveredthefollowingissuesandwasbrokendowninto3phases:

- PresentationandEvaluationofConsolidateddata- IdentificationofPriorityProgrammes,Stageof

DevelopmentandlevelofopportunitiesthatremainfortheUKsupplychain

- IdentificationofPriorityMarkets/Countries

Theconsolidateddatawaspresentedbysectorandthetotalmarketvolumebysectorandmarketvaluebysectorfromthedatathatwassubmittedaresummarisedinthechartsbelow:

arketVolume

Inaddition,inordertoidentifytheopportunitiesthatremainfortheUKaerospacesupplychain,eachprogrammewasanalysedbystageofdevelopment,whichwasclassifiedintofourcategoriesidentifyingwhereopportunitiesexistingeneral:

Concept (C) - aprogrammethatisstillatconceptstageandthereforepresentsopportunitiesforcompaniesofallsizesandlevelsofthesupplychain.Design and Development (D) – aprogrammethatisalreadyindesignanddevelopmentandwherethemajorsystemsandstructureshavealreadybeenselectedandopportunitiesremainforsub-system,componentandmaterialsuppliers.

Manufacture (M) –aprogrammethatisalreadyinproductionandlimitedopportunitiesarelikelytoremainforUKcompaniestore-competeforexistingbusinesse.g.dualsourcing.Operations and Maintenance (O) –aprogrammethathasalreadyenteredintoservicebutmaystillpresentopportunitiesforUKcompaniesprovidinglogisticsandoperationalsupport.

MarketVolume

Methodology Opportunities

Ease of Access BenefitLevelofInvestmentrequired VolumeofProduction

Costtowin ContinuityofProgramme

Culturalskills Scope(rangeofopps)

Opennessofsupplychain–lackofincumbents Stabilityofprogramme

Export/importbarriers/costs Newcustomeraccess

Offsets Margins

Dualuse NoIPtransfer

Levelofcompetition Timescales

Winprobability

Productliability

IPprotection

Accesstofinance

Currency

Nationalsupport

TheworkshopidentifiedalistofpriorityprogrammesthatitisbelievedwillpresentthegreatestopportunitiesforUKindustryduringtheperiod2012-2020.EachoftheseprogrammeswasevaluatedbybenefittoUKcompaniesofsecuringworkontheseprogrammesversuseaseofaccess.Thecriteriausedforeachofthesecategorieswereasfollows:


AlthoughNorthAmericaisatransparentmarket,itisademandingonefromUKSME’stoaddressandthismarkethasthereforebeenmovedtothelongertimescalesetofprioritymarkets,asitisfeltthatUKTIsupportisessential.

Itisimportanttonotethatduringtheworkshopanumberofprogrammesthatwereincludedinthepreviousyear’sstrategyweretakenoutastheywereconsideredtonolongerpresentsignificantenoughopportunitiesfortheUKsupplychaintoremainapriority.Themainreasonsforthisdecisionwerethatsupplychainsfortheseprojectswerealreadyfullycommittedorthattheprogrammewashighlyunlikelytoproceedinthetimescalesthatthereportcovers.Theprogrammesthatwereremovedfromthisyear’spriorityprogrammelistinclude:

MitsubishiRegionalJet(MRJ)CivilUAS

Anumberofprogrammesthatwerenotconsideredfarenoughadvancedin2011torepresentopportunitiesforUKindustrywhenthe2011reportwaspreparedhavealsobeenaddedtothe2012Reportwhichinclude:

SikorskyS-97BellMagellanKoreanKFXGulfstreamP-42FalconSMSGEPassportengine

Thisresultedinamappingofpriorityprogrammesasshownintheimagebelow:

Priorityprogrammes

*not launched

Asimilarmappingwasalsoproducedbymarketwhichresultedintwosetsofmarkets–thosethathaveashortertimetosaleandarethereforeprimarilysupportablebyatradeassociationandthosethathavealongertimetosaleandwhereUKTIsupportcanaddthemostvaluetocompaniesbusinessdevelopmenteffortsasshownintheimagebelow:


Fixed Wing Narrowbody/Single AisleAfterenjoyingaduopolypositioninsingleaislenarrowbodyaircraft,AirbusandBoeingfacecompetitionfromnewentrantsthatpromisefuelsavingsusingnewgenerationengines.Bothhavereactedwithre-enginedversionsoftheirnarrowbodyofferings.

Boeing737MAX(D)Boeinghaslaunchedthe737MAXre-enginedaircraftwithmajorordersfromAmericanAirlinesandSouthwestAirlines.Firstdeliveriesarescheduledtotakeplacein2017.Boeingclaimsmorethan900ordersfrom13customers.

Boeingintendstominimisechangesfromthe737NGbutwilldevelopwidespreadstructuralstrengtheningandalongernosegeartoaccommodatethelargerdiameterfanoftheLEAP-1Bengine.Opportunitiesatfirsttierexistnowintheareasofairframe,nosegearandenginerelatedequipment.

CFMLEAP-1B(D)Airlineshavebeenpushingenginemanufacturersforlessfuelconsumptionandlessnoise/Nox.InNov2010,GEandSnecmalaunchedtheLEAP-X(18-50Kthrust),whichrepresentsatotallynewturbofanenginethatwillbeabletoprovidealongerlifetotheB737andA320family.IthasnocommonpartswiththecurrentCFM56-5/7engine.

InDecember2009,CFMwasselectedasthesoleengine(LEAP-1C)fortheC919programmebytheChinesecompanyCOMAC.Entryintoserviceforthe919istargetedfor2016.Followingthis,inNov2010,AirbusselectedtheLEAP-1AasoneoftwoalternativeenginesthatwillpowerthenewA320neo(NewEngineOption).ThethirdplatformfortheLEAP-1Bisonthenew737MAX.

Theengineisareal“leap”intechnology.TheLeap-Xwillhaveabypassratioofaround10,comparedwith5-6fortheCFM56family,andacorepressureratiodoublethatofthecurrentengine,at22.Thepowerplantwillalsofeatureatwo-stagehigh-pressureturbinedrivinga10-stageHPcompressor,andthelow-pressureturbinebladeswillbeproducedusingceramicmatrixcomposite.GEisinchargeoftheHPcore,combustionchamberandtheHPturbine,whilstSnecmaisresponsibleforthelowpressureturbineandcompressor.Nexcellewillprovideanintegratedlightweightnacellesystem.

ThetotalfirmLEAP-Xorderbookstandsatover1500engines.ThisincludesthelatestorderbySouthwestAirlinesfor150737MAXaircraft.TheMAXorderbookstandsat948aircraftfrom13customers,buttheLEAP-1BengineisnotyetreflectedinthetotalMAXorderstally.

A320neoAirbushasreactedtonewcompetitionwiththeA320NewEngineOption(NEO).The‘option’includestheCFMInternationalLeap-XorPratt&WhitneyPW1100Gengineandimprovedaerodynamicperformance.Theaircraftisduetoenterservicein2016andhasprovenpopularwithoperators..InthefirstyearaftertheprogrammelaunchinDecember2010,Airbusclaimstohavereceived1,420ordersandcommitments.AsaderivativeoftheexistingA320,theA320neoislikelytoofferlessscopefornewcontracts,withexceptionoftheenginesandrelatedequipment,thananallnew-aircraft.OpportunitiesexistatTier1andlowerandnewengineswillpresentnewopportunitiesinrelatedsystemsandaerostructures.

PW1000(GearedTurbofan)(D)LaunchedinJuly2008,Pratt&Whitney’sPW1000Gfamily(formerlyGTF)isthecompany’ssolutionforanext-generationturbofan.Theenginehasconventionalturbofanarchitecture,butfeaturesanadditionalplanetarygearboxbetweenthefanandcompressorsections.

Fixed Wing Widebody/Twin AisleInallcasesenginesapplicabletorelevantairframesfollowdirectlyaftertheairframesummary:

AirbusA350-1000XWB(D)TheAirbusA350-900XWBdesignisfirmedup.Finalassemblyofthefirstaircrafthasslippedfrom2011into2012withfirstflightnowscheduledformid-2013.TheaircraftisprovingtobeanattractivecommercialpropositionwithAirbusclaiming567ordersattimeofwriting.EntryintoService(EIS)oftheA350-900XWBisscheduledfor2014followedbythesmallerA350-800XWBin2015.FollowingadecisionbyAirbustouseahigherthrustRolls-RoyceTrentXWBenginefortheA350-1000XWBandincreasethevariant’spayload-rangecapability,itsentryintoserviceisnowscheduledfor2017.ItwillcompeteforbusinesswiththelargervariantsofBoeing’s787andtheBoeing777.TheaircrafthassofaronlybeenofferedwithversionsoftheRollsRoyceTrentXWBengine.

AlthoughTier1suppliersarenowselected,someopportunitiesstillexistintheneartermatlowertiersonA350-1000XWB

Rolls-RoyceTrentXWB(D)TheTrentXWBhasbeendevelopedandoptimisedexclusivelyfortheAirbusA350XWBfamilyandwillbethesixthmemberofthehighlysuccessfulTrentfamily.TheXWBEnginerangeconsistsof3engineswithdifferingthrustrangesfrom75klbto93klb.TheTrentXWBwillusethesuccessfulthree-shaftarchitectureofRolls-Royceenginesandthedetaileddesignwillreflect70millionhoursofTrentfamilyserviceexperience.

TheA350hascurrentlyattracted567firmaircraftordersfrom36customers,anorderbookthatalreadyexceeds1,100enginesbeforeithasenteredintoservice,arecordforanyRolls-Royceengine.

InJune,attheParisAirShow,AirbusannouncedthattherevampedA350-1000wouldfeatureamorepowerfulthrustrangeupto97klb.

Boeing787-9/10(M/C)TheBoeing787hashadsomewellpublicisedscheduleproblems.Thefirstflighttookplaceon15December2009andthefirst787-8revenueflightwasmadebyANAinOctober2011after40monthsofdelay.Netordersfortheprogrammedeclinedin2010and2011duetocancellations.Nevertheless,theprogrammelookssettobesuccessfulwithabackloginexcessof800.TheaircraftisofferedwithboththeRollsRoyceTrent1000andGeneralElectricGEnx2Bengines.

TorecoverasmuchprogrammeslippageaspossibleBoeinghasbeenpullingworkbackin-house.ItispossibleBoeingwilllooktoreplaceunderperformingcontractorsandre-outsourcework.ThismaybeanopportunitythatestablishedandtrustedUKsupplierscouldexploit.NonethelessitisobviousthatBoeingwillberiskaversewithregardstoitssupplychainformanyyearstocome.

Thebasemodelis787-8whichistobefollowedbytheslightlylarger787-9.Suppliersareproducingcomponentsforthefirst787-9now.Afurtherstretchto787-10isplannedbutwouldnotdelivertherange/payloadcapabilitytomakeita777replacement(seeentrybelow).

Boeing777X(C)TokeepitsofferingattractiveandtocompetewiththeA350-1000XWB,Boeingseemssettoupgradethe777.AnynewBoeingaircraftislikelytobecomparativelyaccessibleforUKindustry.Thereishowevernoprogrammelaunchandnodeclaredtimescale.BoeingappearstobewaitingformoreclarityoftheA350-1000XWBtimelinebeforefixingthatforthe777X.

CivilProgrammes


Fixed Wing Regional Jets

Embraer190X(C)EmbraerhasannouncedthatithasdecidednottofollowBombardieringoinghead-to-headwithBoeingandAirbusinthenarrowbodymarket.Insteaditintendstore-enginetheE-Jetseriesofregionaljetswithanentryintoservicetargetof2017or2018.Itaimstoclarifyitsstrategicdirectioninearly2012andthendefinewhichsystemswillbeupgradedinadditiontotheengine.Enhancementsunderconsiderationincludeacompositefuselageandastretchtobeyondthecurrent110-120seatE-195.

Becauseofpoordemandatthelowerendoftheregionaljetmarket,itisthoughtlikelythatEmbraerwilllaunchtheupgradeonitslargerE-190/195aircraftfirst.

GENG34(C)GEisworkingonareplacementforthevenerableCF34engine,ofwhichthereareover4,000inthefleet.Thenewgenerationregionaljetengine(NG34)wouldfeatureane-Core”similartothatontheCFMLEAP-X,comprisinga10stagehighpressurecompressor,compositefancase,widechordfantechnologybasedontheGEnxengine,aTAPPS11combustorandnextgenerationhighpressureturbinebladematerial.

GEareseekingafirstapplicationfortheengineanditisrumouredthattheEmbraer190Xwouldbethefirstmajortargetplatform.

IndianRTA-70(C)India’sseesthisregionalaircraftprogrammeasasteppingstonetolargeraircraft.Bothturbopropandturbofanversionsofthe70-90seaterareunderconsiderationbytheNationalAerospaceLaboratories(NAL).Thisprogrammeisataveryearlystagewithnoannouncedscheduleandnosuppliersselectedyet.Thereisthepossibilityofpartnershipwithexistingproducersofregionalaircraft.NALwashopingtohavethego-aheadtocreatetheaircraftbytheendof2011butthisdidnothappen.NALisintalkswiththemajorenginesuppliers.

Involvementoflocalsupplychainislikelytobeanextremelyimportantfactorinselectingsuppliers.FixedWingRegionalTurboprops

NewATR(C)ATRistalkingaboutaneworstretchedderivativeregionalturbo-proptomeetexpecteddemandinthe90seatsegmentandmaydecidetoproceedin2012withoutfullycommitting.

MA700(D)TheCAAC&ChineseGovernmentperceivestheneedforamediumsizeTurbopropaircrafttotransportpeopleforshorttomediumdistancesinthemiddleandEasternregionsofChina.TheX’ianAircraftCompany(XAC)hasbeenselectedtodeveloptheMA700whichhasa2cabinconfigurationcarrying76passengersinstandardclassor64standardwith4Businessclassseats.XACisanAVICcompanythathasalreadydevelopedtheMA60&MA600regionalturbopropaircraftfortheChinesemarket.

Theaircraftstructurewillbe20%compositewithflybywirecontrolandanintegratedavionics&electricalpower.ItwillhaveElectricalactuationdriveflap&stabiliser,windscreen&propellerbladeswithelectricalde-icingandElectrical-Hydraulicservoactuatordrive,rudder&elevator.ItwillbepoweredbytwoPratt&WitneyPW-127engines

XACisintheprocessofselectingTier1partnersfortheMA700.Fortherestofthesupplychain,XACwillprioritisethosecompaniesthatareexistingsupplierstotheTier1stheyselect.

Enginecompressorsandturbinesrunmostefficientlyathigherrpm,whilefansaremostefficientatlowerspeeds.Thereductiongearboxallowsboththefanandturbinesectionstoturnattheiroptimalspeeds.Thisreductionresultsinlessfannoiseasthebladetipsaremovingataslowerspeed,whichproducesarounda12-15%reductioninfuelconsumptionwheninstalledonacurrentairframe,anda20-25%reductionwheninstalledonanoptimizedairframe.

Todate,theGTFisbeingdevelopedfortheBombardierCSeries(21Kthrust),MitsubishiRegionalJet(17Kthrust)andtheIrkutMS-21(25Kthrust).TheengineistargetedtoenterserviceontheCSeriesin2013.

ThePW1100GfortheA320neohasbeenverysuccessfulsincelaunchandhasachieved744ordersresultinginamarketshareof45%.OntheBombardierCSeries,thePW1500Ghasaddedanother266engines,andassoleengineissettowinfurthersignificantorders

BombardierCSeries(M)BombardierlaunchedthisprogrammeinJuly2008,andholdsfirmorders,options,purchaserightsandLOIsforupto307aircraft.CustomersincludeBraathansAviation(Malmo),DeutscheLufthansa,KoreanAir,RepublicAirwaysandLeaseCorporationInternational.Optimisedforthelowerendofthe100-to149-seatcommercialmarket,theCSeriesfamilyofaircraftisdesignedtoofferairlinesimprovedeconomicsandperformance,withareducedenvironmentalimpact.

CSerieswillincludethelatesttechnologicaladvancements,suchasincreaseduseofcompositesandaluminiumlithiuminstructures;anext-generationengine–thePratt&WhitneyPW1000GPurePowerEngine;fly-by-wire,andadvancedaerodynamics.

TheadvancedcompositewingsarebeingdevelopedandmanufacturedatBombardier’sBelfastfacility,whichhasalmost40years’experienceincompositestechnology.ProducingthewingsisfurtherdevelopingBelfast’scapabilities,andtiesinwiththeUK’swiderstrategicinterestsinaircraftwingtechnology.TheCSeriesprogrammeisbenefitingsignificantlytheUK,widerEuropeanandUSsupplychains.Tier1suppliersarenowselectedandsigneduptotheprogramme.Opportunitieshoweverstillexistintheneartermatlowertiers.

COMACC919(D)TheC919isaChineseindigenouslydeveloped168-190seatnarrowbodyairlinerwithascheduledentryintoservicedateof2016.TherearerumoursthatARJ21certificationissuesarecausingresourcetobetakenofftheC919project,puttingC919timescalesatrisk.Contractshavebeenannouncedforthemajoraircraftsystems.

Chinaisgrowinganindigenouscivilaero-enginecapabilitybutrecognisingthatitisnotabletodosointimetomeettheEntryintoServicedateofthisprogramme,COMAChasselectedNexcelletoprovideanintegratedpropulsionsystemincludingnacellesandCFMLEAP-Xengines.

WhilealltheFirstTiersupplierpositionsarenotionallyallocated,significantgapsexistbetweenallocatedpackagesandcapability,andopportunitiesthereforeremainforTier2companiestohelpfillthesegaps,particularlywherespecialistcapabilitiesarerequiredandwhereexperienceofcertificationisneeded.OpportunitiesalsoremainforTiers3andTier4suppliers.SomeformoflocalcontentwillbeanimportantfactorinsupplierselectionasChinaseekstodevelopitsaerospaceindustry.COMAChasexpresseditsintenttofollowtheC919programmewithanindigenouslydevelopedwidebodyaircraft.

IrkutMS21(D)Systemandsub-systemsuppliershavebeenselectedforUAC’s150-to212-seatnext-generationreplacementfortheTupolevTu-204from2016.TheseincludethePW1400GPurePowerengine,RussianlandinggearproviderHydromash,HamiltonSundstrandfortheauxiliarypowerunit,IntertechniqueforthefuelsystemsandEatonforthehydraulics.

UKsupplierswhocanbringsignificanttier3and4productswithsignificantintellectualpropertyintechnologyorprocessingandforwhichthereisnocredibleindigenoussourcehaveopportunitiestogainapositiononthisprogramme.LocalcontentwillbeanimportantfactorinsupplierselectionasRussiaseekstodevelopitsaerospacecapability.


Theprogrammeisnotlaunchedandprojecttimescalesarelikelytoslipwithentryintoserviceexpectedtobeatleast2016.TheXACMA700platformwillcompetewithBombardier&ATRintheChinese&export(MainlyAfrican)markets.

BusinessJets

BusinessJetsrepresentaverydiverseandhighlysegmentedpartoftheoverallmarketandUKindustryplaysasignificantrole.Allsegmentswereenjoyingstronggrowthuntiltheglobalfinancialcrisistookhold.Theairframersinthissegmenthavebeenhitveryhardandmostwereforcedtomakeswingeingcutsintheirworkforceduring2009/10.

ThemoodattheannualNationalBusinessAviationAssociation(NBAA)showinOctoberwashopefulbutalmostallparticipantswerereluctanttoshowtoomuchenthusiasmgiventheseeminglyendlesswaitforarecovery(totaldeliveriesin2011weredown13%on2010).

Thelargesegmentcontinuestoremainstrongwhilstthesmallandmid-sizesegmentcontinuestoawaittraction.Manufacturersarehopefulforamodestorderimprovementin2012,followedbyastrongerdeliveryrecoveryin2013.However,thissegmentstillremainsattractivetoUKindustryduetothehighrateofnewmodelintroductionsandthereducedbarrierstochange,allowingincumbentsupplierstobereplaced.

Therearesomesignsthattheindustryisrecovering.Bizjetsforsale,asapercentageofthetotalfleet,isregardedasaleadingindicator,andinDecemberthepercentageofUSbizjetsforsalefellto12.9%,considerablydownfrom16.3%inMay2009.Althoughthesegmentisonlycurrentlyrecovering,itlookslikelytogenerateanumberofnewprogrammeopportunitiesinthenearfuturewhichwillbeaccessibletoUKsuppliers.Newopportunitiesforairframeandengineprogrammesareconcentratedinthelargesegmentandinthe10,000lb.thrustsupermid-sizesegment,asdescribedbelow.

BombardierGlobal7000/8000(D)InOctober2010,BombardierlaunchedtwonewadditionstotheGlobalfamilyofbusinessaircraft-theGlobal7000and8000.WithEISdatesof2016and2017respectively,theseaircraftwillbepoweredbythenextgenerationGEengine,andwillhaveanewhighspeedtransonicwing.

Tier1suppliersarecurrentlybeingselectedandsigneduptotheprogramme.Opportunitiesexistintheneartermatlowertiers.

GEPassport20(D)Passport20(formerlyTechX)isthenext-generationGEAviationengineforthelargebusinessaviationmarket.BombardierselectedthePassport20engineexclusivelytopoweritsGlobal7000and8000long-rangebusinessaircraft.

Leveragingtechnologyscaled-downfromtheGEnx-series,the16,500lb-thrustPassport20enginepromisesan8%reductioninspecificfuelconsumptioncomparedwithsimilarlysizedturbofans.

Nexcellewasselectedforthesupplyoftheintegratednacelleandthrustreverser,whichcomprisesajointventurecompanyofGE’sMiddleRiverAircraftSystems(MRAS)andtheSafranGroup’sAircelle.ThePassportseriesbecomesthekeybrandinGEAviation’sthree-year-oldbusinessandgeneralaviationbusiness.

GulfstreamP-42(D)GulfstreamisdevelopingacleansheetsuccessortoitsG450andG550large-cabinbusinessjets,incorporatingconceptsandsystemsdesignedforitsflagshipG650.Itisrumouredthatthecompanyiscurrentlyholdingacompetitiontoselectanextgenerationenginetopowerthenewaircraft.ThesuccessorhasbeentaggedtheP-42inthepress.

FalconSMS(D)ThisisDassault’ssecondattemptatthenewmodelaftertheeconomicsituationin2007delayeditsplantofinishwhatwasthenaRolls-RoyceRB282-poweredjetby2014.

Thenew,still-under-wrapsFalconsuper-midsize(SMS),willbeinacategoryabovetoday’sFalcon2000series.Thenewaircraft,asaresult,willbeitsbiggestevertwin-engineFalconjet.ItslargecabinaircraftwillbebasedontheFalcon7X,sharingitswingcontours,fuselagedesignanddigitalfly-by-wiresystem.TobecompetitivewithG450andGlobal5000,itwillneedarangeofatleast4,500-plusnmat0.80Mach.

Thedetaildesignphaseforthenewjethasbegunandmorethan1,500engineersareworkingontheprogram.Theprogramisontrackfora2016entryintoserviceandisamajornewopportunityforUKTier1suppliers,andbelow.Engineselectionhasnotyetbeenannounced.

Defence Programmes

FixedWingFighters

LockheedMartinF-35LightningII(O,M)TheJointStrikeFighter(JSF),alsoknownastheF-35LightningII,istheU.S.DepartmentofDefense’snextgenerationstrikeaircraftweaponsystemsfortheNavy,AirForce,MarinesandAlliedNations.Theprogramconsistsofthreevariants:F-35AConventionalTakeOff&Landing(CTOL),F-35BShortTakeOff/VerticalLanding(STOVL)andF-35CCarrierVariant(CV).NinenationsarepartneringintheF-35’sSystemDevelopmentandDemonstration(SDD)phaseoftheprogram:theUnitedStates,UnitedKingdom,Italy,theNetherlands,Turkey,Canada,Denmark,NorwayandAustralia.PartnershipintheSDDphaseentitlesthosecountriestobidforworkonabestvaluebasis,andparticipateintheaircraft’sdevelopment.Additionally,IsraelandSingaporehaveagreedtojointheprogramasSecurityCooperationParticipants.

LockheedMartinistheF-35primecontractor,whileNorthropGrummanandBAESystemsareprincipalpartnersintheprogram.ManufactureoftheF-35forwardfuselage,wingsandaircraftfinalassemblytakesplaceatLockheedMartinAeronauticsCompanyinFortWorth,Texas.NorthropGrummanCorporationinPalmdaleandElSegundo,Californiamanufacturethecenter-fuselage,andtheaftfuselageandtailsaremanufacturedbyBAESystemsinSalmesbury,England.TheF-35ispoweredbythePratt&WhitneyF-135afterburningturbofanenginemanufacturedinMiddletown,Connecticut.

TheprogramcontinuestoprogressthroughtheSDDphaseforallthreevariantsoftheaircraftinconjunctionwithsupplierratereadiness.TheUSDepartmentofDefensecontinuestopressurisetheindividualaircraftcostandultimatelytheoverallbudgetfortheaircraftprogrammewhichinturndrivesanumberofkeyoperationaldecisionssuchassecondsourcing.

TheprocurementapproachofsecondsourcingforextensiveelementsoftheaircraftremainsanongoingexercisewithintheJointProgrammeOffice(JPO)andtheprimarypartnersandislikelytocontinuetopresentfurtheropportunitiesforparticipationinairframeandenginecomponentandsubsystemsupplyastheprogramcontinuesthroughlowrateinitialproduction(LRIP)andapproachesfullrateproductionvolumescirca200aircraftperyear.


KoreanKFX(C)DAPAhasrequirementfor120newKoreannextgenerationfighterstocomplementitsFX1,2&3aircraft.ThisisanewdevelopmentprogramandAgencyforDefenceDevelopment(ADD)iscurrentlyconductingconceptstudies.TheaircraftwillbemanufacturedattheKAISachonplantincirca2020.ThisisanopportunitytobriefADDonUKIndustriessystemscapability.KoreanIPwillbeneededandKoreanpartnersshoulddevelopedin2012.

NextGenerationFighters(C)Othercountries,includingJapan,TurkeyandIndonesiahaveannouncedplanstodevelopindigenousNextGenerationFighters.Someoftheseprogrammesaremoreadvancedthanothersanditpossiblethatsomecountriesmayworktogetherandthatsomeoftheprogrammesmaynotgoahead.Duetothepotentialforsensitivetechnologiesbeingexported,itisconsideredunlikelythatanysignificantUKindustryinvolvementinanyoftheseprogrammeswillbeachievedwithoutUKGovernmentsupport.ThishasbeenthecasefortheKoreanKFXprogramme,wheresomeUKTier1/2companieshavealreadybeeninvolvedindiscussionswithKoreanindustrythroughthesupportoftheUKGovernment.ItissuggestedthatSME’swillfinditmucheasiertoengagewiththeseprogrammesthroughUKTier1and2companies,ratherthanhavetoengagewiththeoverseasnationalindustrydirectly.

LongtermstrategicaircraftTheUSAFisinterestedindevelopingaNextGenerationBomberwithLockheedMartin,NorthropGrummanandBoeingbeingtheobviouscandidatesforsuchaproject.ThelongrangeBomberwillbeatwinenginestealthyplatformwithanuclearcapabilityandcouldbewithorwithoutapilot.

TheUSAFandUSNavyareinterestedinaNextGenerationTacticalFighterwithgreaterspeed,stealthcapabilityandutilisingself-healingmaterial.LockheedMartin’sSkunkWorksdivisionhasrevealedaconceptualnext-generationfighterdesignthatoffersthefirsthintsofanambitious,long-termtechnologystrategyforthenewclassoftacticalaircraftthatwillemergeafter2030.Theconcept-publishedina2012calendardistributedtojournalists-indicatesthecompanywillcontinuetoseeknewbreakthroughsinperformancedespitetherisk-aversecultureoftoday’sweaponsbuyersintheUSmilitary.FeaturinganF-22-likenose,anunusuallycontouredwingandnearlyflatcantedtails,theconceptsuggestsanewlevelofspeedandagility.

TrainersUST-XTrainer(C)

TheT-XProgramisbeinginitiatedtoenabletheU.S.AirForce(USAF)toprocureanewtwo-seatjettrainerforadvancedfighter/bomberspecializedundergraduatepilottraining(SUPT)toreplacetheaginginventoryofNorthropGrummanT-38Talonsthatfirstenteredservicein1961.TheT-Xtrainerprogram’sprimaryobjectiveistoprovideaworld-widetrainerfor5thgenerationfightaircraftsuchastheF-22andF-35.Currentplanningistopurchase~350aircraftovera10yearperiodwithtargetinitialfieldinginthe2017-2018timeframe.Theproductiongoalisachievearateof45aircraftperyearby2020.TheUSAFhasperformedanAnalysisofAlternatives(AoA)andassumingthatsufficientfundingisprovidedintheupcomingPresidentsBudgetsubmittal,willproceedwithplansforacompetitivesourceselectiontobeginin2012.

Itisanticipatedthattherewillbealargenumberofopportunitiesinlocallogisticssupplychainrequirements.TheglobalconceptoftheF-35willdictatecohesiverequirementstosupportaircraftoperations,trainingandsimulationfacilitiesandmaintenanceandfieldsupportrequirements.Decisionsareyettobemadeforlocalsupportfacilitiesandequipmentthatarelikelytopresentopportunityforawiderangeofsuppliersinsupportoftheprogramme.

TheUKMoDhassovereignrequirementsfortheJointCombatAircraft(JCA)whichincludesthecarriageofUKweaponssuchasPaveway4andASRAAM.DesignworkisalsounderwaytoexplorethecarriageofMeteor.MoDhasarequirementforin-flightrefuellingofJCAandisconsideringoptionsincludingutilisingitsFSTA(FutureStrategicTankerAircraft)anda“Buddy”typearrangementwhereoneF-35wouldrefuelanotherF-35whilstonoperation.

APerformanceBasedLogistics(PBL)supportarrangementispreferredforF-35intheUKbutthiscan’tbeaddresseduntilanoperationalbasehasbeenagreedforJCA.TheJPOwouldlikeitsF-35operatorstohaveacommonGlobalLogisticsSupport(GLS)approachwiththeJSFaftermarketbuttheUK’ssovereignapproachwillfallundera“paytobedifferent”scenario.

SAABGripenNextGeneration(D)TheJAS39GripenisalightweightsingleenginemultirolefighteraircraftinservicewithSweden,CzechRepublic,Hungary,SouthAfrica,ThailandandtheUKEmpireTestPilotsSchool.TheGripenNextGeneration(NG)versionhasanewengine(F414G),increasedfuelcapacity,higherpayload,upgradedavionicsandotherimprovements.SAABisnowpromotingtheaircraftinanumberofcurrenthigh-profilefightercompetitions,includingBrazil.Itwasannouncedin2011thatGripenNGentryintoservicewithSwedenwasdependentonaforeignorderbeingfinalised.InNovember2011theSwissgovernmentannounceditsdecisiontobuy22GripenNGfighters.TheSeaGripenisaproposedcarrier-basedversionbasedontheNGvariantandiscurrentlyindevelopment,originallyforIndianopportunities,butnowmoreprobablyforBrazilianones.FollowingameetingwithUKMoDofficialsinMay2011,SaabagreedtoestablishadevelopmentcentreintheUKtoexpandontheSeaGripenconcept.SaabchiefexecutiveHåkanBuskhestated:“TheMoDislookingforcompetition”.

Thedecisiontoproceedtoaflightdemonstratorwillbemadeinlate2012.AlthoughSAABhasawellestablishedsupplychainforGripen,itispossiblethatthelocationoftheSeaGripendevelopmentcentreintheUKwillprovidenewopportunitiesforUKindustry,withwhichtheSwedishcompanyalreadyhasstrongties.

TheFifthGenerationFighterAircraft(C)TheSukhoi/HALFifthGenerationFighterAircraft(FGFA)isafifth-generationfighterbeingdevelopedbyRussiaandIndia.ItisaderivativeprojectfromthePAKFA(T-50istheprototype)beingdevelopedfortheIndianAirForce(FGFAistheofficialdesignationfortheIndianversion).Twoseparateprototypeswillbedeveloped,onebyRussiaandaseparateonebyIndia.TheRussianversionoftheaircraftwillbeasingle-seater,theIndianversionwillbeatwinseater,analogoustotheSu-30MKIwhichisatwinseatvariantofthebaselineSu-27.

AcontractbetweenBangalore-basedHindustanAeronauticsLtd(HAL)andRussia’sUnitedAircraftCorporation(UAC),willcommittobuilding214fightersfortheIAFand250fightersforRussia.Theoptionforfurtherorderswillbekeptopen.HALandUACwillbeequalpartnersinajointventurecompanythatwilldevelopandmanufacturetheFGFA.

FurtheritwasreportedthattheBangalore-basedHALhasnegotiatedfirmlytogeta25percentshareofdesignanddevelopmentworkintheFGFAprogramme.HAL’sworksharewillincludecriticalsoftware,includingthemissioncomputer;navigationsystems;mostofthecockpitdisplays;thecountermeasuredispensing(CMD)systems;andmodifyingSukhoi’ssingle-seatprototypeintothetwin-seatfighterthattheIndianAirForce(IAF)wants.

Atotalof500aircraftareplannedwithoptionforfurtheraircraft.RussianAirForcewillhave200singleseatedand50twin-seatedPAKFAswhileIndianAirForcewillget166singleseatedand48twin-seatedFGFAs.Sukhoihasprojectedamarketfor1000aircraftoverthenextfourdecades,twohundredeachforRussiaandIndiaandsixhundredforothercountries.


• GoodrichCorp.(multi)–Electro-hydrostaticactuators,actuatorelectronics,andelectricalcontrols.

• UnitedTechnologies’HamiltonSundstrand(USA)–ElectricPowerGeneratingSystem.

• InternationalAeroEngines(multi)–V2500-5engines(finalassemblyinGermany).

• Liebherr-AerospaceToulouseSAS(France)–Cabinpressureandenvironmentalcontrols.

• OGMA(Portugal)–Centralfuselagesection,3unspecifiedsegments.

• RockwellCollins(USA)–Cockpitavionics.• SafranGroup’sHispano-Suiza(France)–Emergency

ElectricPowerGeneratorSystem.• SELEXGalileo(Italy)–T-20TacticalRadar.

Multi-RoleTransportAircraft(MTA)(IL-214T)

TheUAC/HALIl-214MultiroleTransportAircraft(MTA)isamedium-liftmilitarytransportaircraftwhichisbeingconstructedasajointventureoftheUnitedAircraftCorporation(UAC)ofRussiaandHindustanAeronautics(HAL)ofIndia.

TheMTAwillreplacetheIndianAirForce’sagingfleetofAntonovAn-32transportaircraft.Theaircraftwillbeabletoperformregulartransportdutiesandwillalsobedesignedtodeployparatroopers.Itisexpectedtoflyby2014andtoenterserviceby2016.

RussiaandIndiaagreedtoproducetheaircraftfortheirrespectivearmedforcesandforfriendlythird-partycountries,andtodevelopacivilianvariantoftheMTAintheformofa100-seaterpassengerairplane,forwhichIndia’sHindustanAeronauticsLtd(HAL)willbetheleadpartnerandprincipalintegrator.TheIndianportionoftheMTA’sserialproductionwilltakeplaceatHAL’sTransportAircraftDivisioninKanpur.

Russia’sUnitedAircraftCorporation(UAC)andIndia’sHALwillsetupasubsidiarycompanytodeveloptheaircraft.ThenewcompanyhavealreadybeguninitialdevelopmentworkontheMTA.Indiaplantoacquire45aircraftandRussia105.Therewould,however,bescopeforexportingthisaircraft,bothforcivilandmilitaryuse,andmoreMTAscouldbemanufactured.

TheaircraftisexpectedtobepoweredbyRussian-madeAviadvigatelPD-14turbofanenginesattachedtotop-mountedwingsandwillhaveaT-shapedtail.ThecabinsizewillbethesameastheIlyushinIl-76,butwillbehalfthelength,supportingamaximumpayloadof20tonnes(44,000lb)ofmilitaryorciviliancargo.Theaircraftwillhavearangeof2,500kilometres(1,600mi)andatopspeedof870kilometresperhour(540mph).

Keycompetitorsareexpectedtobe:• LockheedMartin/KoreaAerospaceIndustries–T-50

GoldenEagle• AleniaAermacchi–M-346Master(designatedT-100for

theUScompetition)• BAESystems/NorthropGrumman–HawkMk128(RAF

standard)• Boeing–Likelyanewaircraftdesign

Fixed Wing Multirole/Transport

USAFKC-46ATanker(D)TheKC-46tankerisamilitaryaerialrefuellingandstrategictransportaircraftcurrentlybeingdevelopedbyBoeingasaderivativeofits767commercialjetairliner.BoeingwasselectedinFebruary2011,afteralongandcontroversialcompetition,todevelopandbuildthenewU.S.AirForce(USAF)TankertoreplacetheolderKC-135Stratotankers.Thecontractisforproductionof179next-generationaerialrefuellingtankeraircraftthatwillbegintoreplacetheUSAFfleetof416KC-135tankersandcallsforthedesign,developmentandproductionof18initialcombat-readytankersby2017.TheKC-46Awillbeabletorefuelanyfixed-wingreceivercapableaircraftviaamodernizedKC-10refuellingboom.

BoeingisprogressingthroughtheSDDprogramtosupportPreliminaryDesignReviewin1Q12,CriticalDesignReviewin3Q13andFirstFlightinearly2015.TheKC-46willleverageamaturesupplychainteamutilizingmanyofthe767productionsources.

EmbraerKC390(D)TheKC-390isamulti-nationaltacticalairtransportprogramwherebyEmbraerandtheBrazilianAirForcewilldevelopandmanufactureamedium-sized,twin-enginejet-poweredmilitarytransportaircraft.Itwillbeabletotransportupto21tonnes(23tons)ofcargo,includingwheeledarmouredvehiclesandisexpectedtobecapableofbeingrefuelledinflightandalsoquicklyconfiguredasatanker.

TheKC-390isexpectedtocompeteprimarilywithLockheedMartin’sC-130JaswellaswithlargerandsmallerairtransportsolutionssuchastheAirbus’sA400M,Russia’sAN-12,EADS-CASAC-295MandAlenia’sC-27J.Firstprototypeflightsareexpectedtotakeplacein2014withthefirstofanexpected28aircraftbeingdeliveredtotheBrazilianAirForcecirca2015.Todate,possibleordersremainat~60,includingBrazil(28),Argentina(6),Chile(6),Colombia(12),theCzechRepublic(2),andPortugal(6).Brazilisfundingthedevelopmentprogramhowevernoformalproductioncontractcommitmentshavebeenmadebyothercountriesatthistime.

JointDefinitionPhasepartnerships&commitmentstodateincludebutarenotlimitedtothefollowingcompanies:• AeroVodochody(CzechRepublic)–RearfuselageII

section,Crewandparachutistdoors,Emergencydoorandhatches,Cargoramp,Fixedleadingedge.

• BAESystems(UK/USA)–Flightcontrolcomputers,Actuatorcontrolelectronics.

• Cobhamplc(UK)–Aerialrefuellingpods.• DenelSaabAerostructuresLtd.(Sweden/SouthAfrica/USA)

–Compositecomponents,incollaborationwithHITCO.• DRSTraining&ControlSystems–CargoHandlingand

AerialDeliverySystem.• EEA(Portugal)–Engineeringandtestingworkon3

unspecifiedsegments.• ElbitSystems’AEL(Israel/Brazil)–Missioncomputer,

HUD,DIRCM,Self-protectionsuite.• ELEBEquipamentosLtda.(Brazil)–Landinggear.• EsterlineControlSystems(USA)–Autothrottle.• FabricaArgentinadeAviones(Argentina)–Wing

spoilers,Doorsforthenoselandinggear,Rampdoor,Flapfairings,Tailcone,andElectroniccabinet.


CivilLight

AgustaWestlandAW169(D)TheAW169wasunveiledatFIAS2010,andisanewgeneration,multi-purpose,twinengine,lighttransport,utilityhelicopter,designedinresponsetothegrowingmarketdemandforhighermissionflexibilityandmulti-rolecapabilityinthe4.5tonneclass.TheAW169designmakesextensiveuseofcomposites,advancedairframeaerodynamics,nextgenerationnavigationavionicsandstate-of-the-artsystems.Theprogrammeisinthedesignphasewithanentryintoservicedatein2015.

AgustaWestlandAW189(D)TheAW189isthelargestmemberofthefamilyofhelicoptersthatalsoincludesAW139andAW169.ItwasunveiledinJune2011andisanewgeneration,multi-purpose,twinengine,8-tonnehelicopterdesignedinresponsetothegrowingmarketdemandforhigherpayload,longerrangeandhigherproductivity.ItwasdesignedinparallelwithAW169andsharessimilarfeaturessuchasextensiveuseofcomposites,advancedairframeaerodynamics,nextgenerationnavigationavionicsandstate-of-the-artsystems.Theprogrammeisinthedesignphasewithserviceentryisexpectedin2014.

EurocopterECX3(C)TheX3,designedaroundtheEC155,hastwotractorpropellersthatareshaftdrivenfromthemaingearbox.X3isacompoundhelicoptertechnologydemonstratorusedtotestthehigh-speedconceptandrelatedtechnologies.

EurocopterECX4(C)Eurocopter’sX4,willreplaceits12-seatDauphinplatform.Thecompanyhasstatedthatitisplanningtwoversions,onefor2016,withamoreadvancedonetofollowin2020

AgustaWestlandAW609(D)AgustaWestlandhasrecentlyacquiredthefullcontrolovertheBA609projectfromBellHelicopters.AW609isdesignedaroundthetilt-rotorconceptandwillaimtorespondtothemarketdemandforhigherspeed,all-weatheroperationandpassengercomfort.TherearerequirementsforsuchcapabilitiesinpracticallyallmarketsegmentsbutparticularlyinOil&Gas,Search&Rescue,Corporate/VIPandBorder&MaritimePatrolroles.CertificationoftheAW609isexpectedin2015/2016.

SikorskyS-97(C)SikorskyS-97isbasedonthetechnologyfromtheSikorskyX2demonstrator.Itisdesignedaroundacompoundhelicopterconceptwithcoaxialmainrotorsandapusherpropeller.Thiswillallowittoflyathigherspeedsthanconventionalhelicopterswhilekeepingimportantfeaturessuchasverticaltake-offandhovering.AlthoughthecurrentversionoftheS-97isdesignedaroundmilitaryrequirements,ifsuccessfulthecivilianversionwillfollow.

BellHelicoptersMagellan(C)Inearly2011BellHelicoptersreleasedinformationaboutaprojectforanewhelicopternamedMagellan.ItisaredevelopmentofBell412withimprovedperformanceandnewcockpitaimedattheintermediatecivilhelicoptersegment.

Rotary Wing ProgrammesForthepurposeoftheplatformforecastswehavedefinedrotarywingcategoriesasfollows:

• Light–under5tonnes• Medium–5tonnestounder10tonnes• Heavy–10tonnesandabove

ThechartbelowsuppliedbyAgustaWestlandalsocategorisesthemajorturbinerotarywingprogrammesbyMaximumAllUpMass(MAUM):


MH-60GRecap(C)FollowingtheinterventionoftheUSSecretaryforDefense,theCSAR-Xprogrammewasterminatedin2009andafull‘rootandbranch’reviewofCSARprovisionhasbeencommissioned.TheoutcomeofwhichistheMH-60GPersonnelRecoveryRecapitalisationProgramme(MH-60GRecap).Thisseekstoreplace112MH-60Gs.USAFpreferenceisMH-60Mairframeswithupgradedavionics,althoughacompetitiveprocurementisstillapossibility.

Heavy

VXX(C)TheVXXprogramisintendedtoprovide23newpresidentialhelicopterstoreplacethecurrentfleetof19agingpresidentialhelicopters.AsasuccessortotheVH-71program,theAdministrationproposedbeginninganewpresidentialhelicopterprograminFY2010calledtheVXXPresidentialHelicopterProgram.

CH-53K(D)TheCH-53KSuperStallionisalarge,heavy-liftcargohelicoptercurrentlybeingdevelopedbySikorskyAircraftfortheU.S.MarineCorpsasanupgradetothecurrentCH-53EHeavyLiftHelicopterfleetthatbeganoperationsinthe1980’s.Thenewdesignfeatureshigherperformingengines,newcompositerotorblades,anall-digitalcockpitconsistentwithothermodernaircraftandawidercabin.Whenfielded,itwillbethelargestandheaviesthelicopterintheU.S.Militaryabletooperatefrombothlandandnavyships.TheCH-53KisexpectedtodoublethepayloadcapacityovertheCH-53Eandincreasethemaximumgrossweight.Thiswillprovidesignificantlyimprovedperformanceinmountainousareasunderdifficulthot/dayconditions.

Theprogramiscurrentlywellalonginits’SystemDevelopmentandDemonstration(SDD)phasewithanobjectiveinitialoperatingcapability(IOC)in2016providedthatsufficientfundingisprovidedintheupcomingPresidentsBudgetsubmittal.

TheUSMarineserviceplanstoprocure156aircraftwithfirstdeliveriesstartinglatethisdecade.Exportmarketsforthisprogrammearesmallatbest.JapanandTaiwanhaveannouncedapotentialinterestinthisprogramme.France,GermanyandIsraelhaveanotionalrequirementforahelicopterinthisclass.

Avicopter(C,D)TheChinesehelicopterindustryhasalsobeenconsolidatedinrecentyearswithinthegroupcompanyChinaAviationIndustryCorporation(AVIC).Underthis,anewcompany,Avicopter,hasbeencreatedwithjointownershipof69%byAVICand31%bytheTianjinmunicipalgovernment.Avicopterhasassumedoverallresponsibilityforallexistingprogrammesandcontrolofallexistingplants.AnewcivilproductionplantwascompletedatTianjinin2009.

AvicopterhavealsoassumedcontroloftheChinesehalfofthedevelopmentprogrammefortheEC175/Z-15,incollaborationwithEurocopter.Thefirst,French-builtaircraft,performeditsmaidenflightinDecember2009,buttheChineseZ-15firstflightisstillawaited.

MilitaryLight

USArmedAerialScoutHelicopter–AAS(C)TheU.S.ArmyisplanningforareplacementfortheBellTextronOH-58Kiowasingle-engine;single-rotormilitaryhelicoptersusedforobservation,utility,anddirectfiresupport.TheAASprogramemergedfromthenowcancelledArmedReconnaissanceHelicopter(ARH).Ananalysisofalternativesiscurrentlyunderwaywithaplannedrequestforproposalstargetedin2014,assumingthatsufficientfundingisprovidedintheupcomingPresidentsBudgetsubmittal.TheU.S.Armyhasstatedthatitwillbeunlikelytoaffordanew-buildprogramandisstronglyinterestedincommercialoff-the-shelf(COTS)solutionstosustainandmodernizeitscurrentlyfleettobridgethegapuntiltheproposedjointmultirole(JMR)helicopterisavailableinthe2030timeframe.TheJMRisenvisionedasacombinedutility-attackplatform.

Mostlikelykeycompetitorsareexpectedtobe:• Boeing–AH-6basedsolution• EADSNorthAmerica–AAS-72X• BellHelicopter–OH-58BlockIIbasedsolution• AgustaWestland–A119basedsolution

Medium

AgustaWestlandAW149(D)TheAW149isan8-tonnemaximumgrossweighttwinenginehelicopterthatisdesignedtomeetthemostdemandingrequirementsformilitaryandgovernmentalmarkets.Theprimarymarketisforgovernmentagenciesandtheaircraftwillbedesignedtomeetmilitaryqualificationstandards.Theaircrafthasalargecabinandwillbecapableoftransporting15passengerswithinastandardlayoutwithalargeslidingdooroneachsideofthecabin.

TheAW149isdesignedfromtheoutsettocopewiththelatestoperationalrequirements,includinganabilitytooperateeasilyinhotandhigh,harshconditionsanddayandnight,all-weather,operations.

Theaircraftispartwaythroughitsdevelopmentandsuppliersformanyofthemajorcomponents,includingengines,havebeenselected.ThemaidenflightoftheAW149tookplaceonNovember13th2009.TheprojectofficeisbasedinYeovil,UK.

CVLSP(C)TheCommonVerticalLiftSupportProgram(CVLSP)seekstoreplaceUH-1N‘Huey’helicoptersusedformissiledefenceandVIPtransport,(intheWashingtonDCarea).TheUSAFisconsideringmergingthisprogramwiththeMH-60GRecapprogram.ElementsofUSindustryaresupportingthecaseforUSAFtobuymodifiedCOTSaircraftfortheVIPelementofCVLSP.

KAH(C)DAPAhasletacontractonADDandKAItocommenceaconceptstudytoconsidermodifyingtheSurionLightUtilityHelicopter(LUH)intoaLightAttackHelicopter(LAH)variant.

200platformsareenvisagedfortheproductionphaseandequipmentalreadyselectedforLUHwillformthebaselinefit.HUMSisspecifiedanditislikelyGEAviation’sLightUtilityHelicopterkitwillbeselected.

DAPAisplanningonpurchasing36attackhelicoptersandlocalisationofkeyequipmentisrequired.AdelayinthepurchasewasinitiatedtoappeasetheNorthKoreanmilitary.


Militarymarket(C)Theunmannedairsystemsmarketisthefastestgrowingsegmentofthemilitaryaerospacemarketandisthelargestsegmentoftheunmannedsystemsmarket.AtpresenttheUnitedStatesisresponsibleforthemajorityofthespendingontheacquisitionofmilitaryunmannedsystemsandisthelargestinvestorinthedevelopmentofnewsystemsbyawidemargin.

TheexportoflargerUAS’sarecoveredbytheMissileTechnologyControlRegime(MTCR).TheMTCRisaninformalandvoluntaryassociationofcountrieswhichsharethegoalsofnon-proliferationofunmanneddeliverysystemscapableofdeliveringweaponsofmassdestruction,andwhichseektocoordinatenationalexportlicensingeffortsaimedatpreventingtheirproliferation.TheMTCRwasoriginallyestablishedin1987byCanada,France,Germany,Italy,Japan,theUnitedKingdomandtheUnitedStates.Sincethattime,

thenumberofMTCRpartnershasincreasedtoatotalofthirtyfourcountries,allofwhichhaveequalstandingwithintheRegime.TheMTCRrestsonadherencetocommonexportpolicyguidelines(theMTCRGuidelines)appliedtoanintegralcommonlistofcontrolleditems(theMTCREquipment,SoftwareandTechnologyAnnex).AllMTCRdecisionsaretakenbyconsensus,andMTCRpartnersregularlyexchangeinformationaboutrelevantnationalexportlicensingissues.NationalexportlicensingmeasuresonthesetechnologiesmakethetaskofcountriesseekingtoachievecapabilitytoacquireandproduceunmannedmeansofWMDdeliverymuchmoredifficult.Asaresult,manycountries,includingallMTCRpartners,havechosenvoluntarilytointroduceexportlicensingmeasuresonrocketandotherunmannedairvehicledeliverysystemsorrelatedequipment,materialandtechnology.

Withinthemarket,expenditureonstrategicISTAR(Intelligence,Surveillance,TargetAcquisitionandReconnaissance)systemsislikelytodominate.Thissegmentiscurrentlyseentoofferthehighestoperationalpay-off,andtheexperiencegainedbytheUSindeployingGlobalHawkandtheMQ-9PredatorBinIraqandAfghanistanhasdemonstratedtheoperationaleffectivenessofthisclassofsystem.

TheUnmannedCombatAirSystems(UCAS)marketcouldofferopportunityfornewprogrammesoverthenextdecade.TheUShasalreadyweaponisedISTARplatforms(e.g.GeneralAtomicsPredator)andhasmadesignificantinvestmentsinhighlyspecialisedUnmannedCombatAirSystems(UCAS),coveringbothtechnologydemonstratorsandsystemsthathavebeenfieldedoperationally.TheNorthropGrummanX-47BfortheUSNavy,theBoeingX-45PhantomRay,GeneralAtomicsAvengerandLockheedMartinRQ-170Sentinelbeingexamples.EuropehasalsoinvestedinUCAStechnologydemonstrators,theUKTaranisprogrammeledbyBAESystems,theNeuronprogrammeledbyDassaultandtheEADSBarracuda,beingthemajorexamples.However,althoughtheUKandFrancehaveexpressedlongerterminterestinfieldingUCASsystems,currentlytherearenofundedprogrammesfortheirdevelopmentandproduction.

Avicopterisalsopursuingindigenoushelicopterprogrammes.Thefirst,the13-tonneAC313,flewinMarch2010.TheaircraftisadevelopmentoftheHarbinZ-8,whichwasitselfaderivativeoftheAerospatialeSA321SuperFrelon.ChinesecertificationwasgainedinJanuary2012,withcertificationinEuropeandtheUStofollow

InNovember2010,thecompanyflewitssecondindigenousprogramme,theAC311.Thisisa2-tonne,single-engineaircraft,whichagainborrowsheavilyfromthestylingofEurocopter,thistimetheEC120,butusingaconventionaltailrotor.Chinesecivilcertificationisexpectedin2012.Avicopterhaspredicteditcansellupto500inthenext10years.

IndianHelicopterProgrammes(D)IndiahasadynamicdefencemodernisationprogrammeandtheIndianGovernmentintendstopurchaseormanufacturesome600700+helicoptersoverthenext10years.Asaresultacontractfor12VVIPAW101swassignedin2010.Thefocusnowison22attack&15heavylifthelicoptersfortheAirForce,16ASWhelicoptersfortheNavy,30SAR&maritimesurveillancehelicoptersfortheCoastGuardandaprogrammefor384lighthelicopters,madeupof197newlightreconnaissanceandsurveillancehelicopters(RSH),andadevelopmentprogrammefor187lightobservationhelicopters(LOH).

HindustanAeronauticsLimited(HAL)areproposingtodevelopahelicopterinthe10to12tonneclass,theIMRH(IndianMultiRoleHelicopter)fortheAirForceandArmy.TheaircraftwillbemanufacturedlocallywiththeassistanceofaWesternpartner.

In-countrymanufactureisimportant,afactordemonstratedbyAgustaWestland’sjointventurewithTATASonsforthemanufactureofoneofitsproducts.

RussianHelicopterProgrammes(C,D)RussianHelicopters,awhollyownedsubsidiaryofUICOboronprom,isthemanagingbodyoftheconsolidatedRussianhelicopterindustry,bringingtogetherorganisationssuchasMil,Kamov,RostvertolandKazanforthepurposeofrevampingandmodernisingtheRussianrotorcraftproductline.

Itisfocusingonanumberofdevelopmentprogrammesacrossitsrangeofhelicopters,includingaturbine-engineversionoftheMi-34andadeepmodernisationoftheMi-8/17(theMi-8M),andanumberofnewdesigns,includingthe15-tonneMi-38,6-tonneKa-60/62and4.5tonneMi-54.Therearealsoseveraldesignsforhigh-speed,compoundrotorcraftcompetingfordevelopmentfundingfromtheRussianGovernment.

Unmanned Aircraft Systems (UAS)Unlikethecivilandmilitaryaircraftandrotarywingmarketstheunmannedsystemsmarketisstillimmatureandrapidlyevolvingandtherearefeweropengovernment-fundedprogrammesthaninthemannedsector,withmanyfieldedsystemsoriginatingfromprivately-fundedR&Dorthroughclassifiedprogrammes.Forthisreason,itisdifficulttolistprogrammesforwhichtheremaybeopportunitiesforSMEs,althoughmostvalueislikelytobegeneratedfromcommandandcontrol,payloadandsensorsratherthanairframesandpropulsion.Therefore,supplychainopportunitiesarelikelytodifferentthanthoseforthemannedsectors.Thatsaidthereisevidenceandargumentthatthemarketcouldevolveintoonethatissubstantial,astechnological,regulatoryandcustomerutilisationdevelopsovertimewithsomeofthegreatestopportunitiesarisingfromtheneedtoovercometechnological,regulatoryandcost-effectivenesschallenges.

Themarketiscurrentlydividedintomilitaryapplications,commercialapplicationsandcivil/nationalauthorityapplications;andsystemshavesofarbeensegmentedbyaltitude,rangeandphysicalsize.Thissegmentationisbecominglessusefulovertime,andsoitislikelythatanewsegmentationwillevolveoverthenextfewyears.

Whereithasbeenpossibletosegregatetheairspace,therehavebeenasmallnumberofexamplesofUASusedbycivil/nationalauthorityprogrammes,forexampleinbordersurveillance,however,widerciviluseofUAS’swillrequireairspaceintegrationissuestoberesolved.IntheUKtheAutonomousSystemsTechnologyRelatedAirborneEvaluation&Assessment(ASTRAEA)programmeisaUKindustry-ledconsortiumfocusingonthetechnologies,systems,facilities,proceduresandregulationsthatwillallowautonomousvehiclestooperatesafelyandroutinelyincivilairspaceovertheUnitedKingdom.


1) ADStocontinuetoworkwithUKTIandBIStoupdatethisdocumentwiththelatestavailableinformationfromindustryexpertsonaircraftprogrammebusinessopportunitiesacrosstheworld.

2) ADStocontinuetoworkwithUKTIandtheregionalaerospacealliancestodisseminatethecontentsofthisdocumenttotheUKAerospaceIndustryaswidelyaspossible.

3) UKTItoorganisethe“InternationalAerospaceExchange”eventon7February2012focusedonglobalcivilaerospaceprogrammeopportunities,toincludepresentationsfromkeyOEMsincludingAirbus,Boeing,Bombardier,AgustaWestlandandRolls-RoyceandworkshopswiththeirkeyTier1suppliers.

4) UKTItoworkcloselywithADS,theregionalaerospacealliancesandUKTIcommercialofficersoverseas,duringthecourseoftheyear,todevelopthecontentsofthisstrategytowardsmarketsotherthanthekeyBRICmarkets.Inparticular,fromanindustryperspective,formanyaerospaceSMEsafocusonEuropeanmarketsisknowntobemorealignedtothestructureoftheindustryandcompanycapabilities,andthesearemarketswheretheapplicationofUKTIresourcescanproveinvaluable.Therecommendationisto“re-balance”thisstrategyoverthecomingyearmoretowardsEuropethanheretofore.

5) AEFGtolookatupgrademarketandhowitcouldbeincorporatedintofuturereports.

Recommended UKTI/ADS Action by Country During the Period January 2012 – March 2013

AsiaPacific1) ADStoorganiseaTAPsupportedUKPavilion

incorporatingregionalaerospacealliancesandgovernmentdepartmentsattheSingaporeAirshowinFebruary2012totargetopportunitiesacrosstheAsiaPacificregion.

2) ADStoorganiseaTAPsupportedUKPavilionincorporatingregionalaerospacealliancesandgovernmentdepartmentsattheAustralianAirshowinMarch2013totargetopportunitiesacrosstheAsiaPacificregion.

Brazil1) UKTIAerospaceSector/UKTIDSOteamsinBrazilto

maintainregularcontactwithEmbraerandgatherintelligenceonnewprogrammes,specificallytheKC-390andtheE190X,andsupplyopportunitiesandfeedthisbacktoADSfordisseminationtoUKIndustry.

2) UKTIMinisters,BusinessAmbassadorsandseniorofficialstopresenttheUK’sadvancedcapabilitiesinprimarystructures,engines,avionics,systemsandinteriorstoappropriateaerospaceprimeswhenonofficialvisits(ADStoprovidebackgroundbriefingwhenrequired).

3) UKTItocontinuetoorganiseaprogrammeofinwardandoutwardmissionsfocusedonEmbraertosupportUKcompaniestoengagewithEmbraerandwinworkonnewaircraftprogrammes,workingwithADSandtheregionalaerospacealliancestosetupinwardmissionroadshows.

Canada1) UKTIAerospaceSectorTeaminCanadatomaintain

regularcontactwithBombardiertogatherintelligenceonCSeriesandbusinessjetprogrammeprogress,confirmedtier1suppliersandopportunitiesandfeedthisbacktoADSfordisseminationtoUKIndustry.

2) UKTIMinisters,BusinessAmbassadorsandseniorofficialstopresenttheUK’sadvancedcapabilitiesinprimarystructures,engines,avionicsandsystemstoBombardierwhenonofficialvisits(ADStoprovidebackgroundbriefingwhenrequired).

3) ADStomaintainlinkswithBombardierinBelfastwithregardtosupplychainopportunitiesonCSeriesandotherprogrammes.

China1) UKTItocontinuetofacilitatetheGovernmentto

GovernmentUK-ChinaAviationWorkingGroup(AWG)withrepresentationfromADSandUKaerospaceindustry.ThenextmeetingoftheAWGisscheduledtotakeplaceinXi’aninSeptember2012.

2) UKTIAerospaceSectorTeaminChinatomaintainregularcontactwithCOMAC,XAC,AvicopterandAVICtokeepuptodatewithprogresswiththeC919,MA700andnewhelicopterprogrammesandpartneringopportunitiesforUKcompaniesandfeedthisbacktoADSfordisseminationtoUKIndustry.

TheUKandFrancehaveexpressedlongerterminterestinUCAVswithanEISofcircain2030.ThiscouldbeintheformofamodifiedexistingUASoranofftheshelfUSsolution.TheNorthropGrummanUSNavyX-47BUAVandBoeingX-45APhantomRayJ-UCASarecurrentlyundergoingflighttrialsatEdwardsAFBandBoeingPhantomworkrespectively.Positiveresultshavebeenshowinbothplatforms.

TheNorthropGrummanGlobalHawkUAVgaveanimpressivedemonstrationattheFarnboroughAirShowin2011showingitsadvancedsensorcapability.

NewAnglo-FrenchMALEUAV(C)TheUK&FrenchGovernmentsaretofundacollaborativeprogrammetodevelopaMediumAltitudeLongEndurance(MALE)UnmannedAirSystem(UAS)foritsarmedforces.TheFrenchMinister,GeneralLonguet,saidaFrenchversionoftheIAIHeronTPwillserveastheMALESurveillanceUAVfrom2014until2010,whenitwillbereplacedbytheAngloFrenchTelemossystem.ThelongdeferreddecisionseemstoendanyprospectofaquickstartforTelemos,whichpartnercompaniesBAESystemsandDassaulthavesaidcouldbedeliveredwithinfiveyearsofagoahead.TheMoDhasalreadydecidedtoinvestmorethan$200milliontobuyfivemoreReaperUAVsfromtheUStomeetshorttermrequirements,andmovetheirmissioncontrolfromNevadatotheUK.

Dassaultwillbeprimecontractorforthe“F-Heron-TP”with10otherFrenchcompaniesinvolved.Thalesiskeentoplayamajorroleintheprogramme.

MilitaryRotaryWingUASThedevelopmentofrotarywingUAShasinthemainbeendrivenbymaritimeandexpeditionarywarfarerequirements.IntheUSA,therequirementforanautonomousmaritimeISTARplatformtocomplementmannedH-60helicoptershasresultedinthedevelopmentofthelightsingleengineFireScoutwhiletheUSMarineCorpshavechampionedtheneedforunmannedcargoresupplyusingrotarywingassets.Incontrast,theUSArmyispursuingoptionallymannedplatformsbasedonthecurrentlyexistinglegacysystemssuchasBlackHawk.

EuropelagstheUSintermsoftheuseofmilitaryrotarywingUASbyanumberofyears.ThesamecanbesaidaboutdevelopmentandproductionoflargermilitaryrotarywingUAS,althoughEuropeanmanufacturersaredoingwellintermsofdevelopmentofsmallerandmicrorotarywingUAS.Intheshort-tomedium-termtheEuropeanMoDsaremostlikelytoprocuretacticalrotarywingUASfornavaloperations.Physicaldemonstrationsofship-basedoperationsusingavailableoff-the-shelfplatformswerealreadymadeinFrance,GermanyandSpain.GermantrialshaveledtoaprocurementofSchiebelS-100rotarywingUAStoequiptheK130corvettes.TheUKhasalsolaunchedthetwo-yearTacticalMaritimeUnmannedAirSystem(TMUAS)CapabilityConceptDemonstrator(CCD)programmeinlate2010thatwillincludeademonstration.TMUASCCDislikelytoleadtoafollow-onacquisitionprogrammefollowingaDecisionConferencein2012.ThereisastronglikelihoodthatthefinalTMUASplatformswillbeprocuredoff-the-shelf,buttheprogramiscertaintobringopportunitiesforthedevelopmentoflightweightUASsensorpayloadsdata-linksandcommunicationsystems.

MilitaryRotaryWingUASseemtobeanevennewermarketandshowssomesignsofbeingabletobeplatformagnostic,e.g.theNorthropGrumman/QinetiQproposalattheDSEitradeexhibitiontousetheNGFirescoutcontrolsystemsinoldAerospatialeGazellestogivetheUKaninitialcapability.Ademonstrationshouldensueinthenearfuture.

ItisnotclearifEuropewillfollowtheUSMarineCorpsorUSArmywiththedevelopmentofUASplatformsforcargore-supplyoroptionallymannedrotarywingassetsforthebattlefield.

GeneralRecommendationsDuringthePeriodJanuary2012–March2013


2) ADStomaintainstrongrelationshipswithSJACandorganisejointactivitiestoencouragenetworkingandpartnershipsbetweenUKandJapanesecompanies.

3) A|D|StoorganiseaTAPsupportedUKPavilionincorporatingregionalaerospacealliancesandgovernmentdepartmentsattheJapanInternationalAerospaceExhibitioninOctober2012.

SouthKorea1) UKTIAerospaceSectorTeaminSouthKoreato

maintainregularcontactwithKAIandkeyprivatesectoraerospacecompaniesandgatherintelligenceonopportunitiesforUKcompaniestosupplyproductorformnewpartnershipsandfeedthisbacktoADSfordisseminationtoUKIndustry.

2) UKTIMinisters,BusinessAmbassadorsandseniorofficialstopresenttheUK’sadvancedcapabilitiesinprimarystructures,engines,avionicsandsystemstoappropriateaerospaceprimeswhenonofficialvisits(ADStoprovidebackgroundbriefingwhenrequired).

3) UKTIDSOtokeepawatchingbriefontheKoreanFighterExperimental(KF-X)programmeandprovideintelligencetoADSfordisseminationtoUKIndustry.

MiddleEast1) ADSandFILtoprovidechaletfacilitiesformembersto

organiseajointchaletattheBahrainAirshowinJanuary2012topromoteUKAerospaceIndustryandprovidehospitalityfacilitiesforUKcompaniesthatareunabletotaketheirownchaletpresence.

2) UKTI,workingwithADS,organiseaUKgrouptoattendtheGlobalAerospaceSummitinAbuDhabiinApril2012.

3) ADStoconsiderbestmodelforrepresentationofUKIndustryinMiddleEasttohelpcompaniesdevelopnewbusinessinthemarketinassociationwithregionalaerospacealliances.

4) A|D|S,workingwithUKTIinAbuDhabi,toexplorepotentialMROandcompositesmanufacturingopportunities.

Russia1) UKTIAerospaceSectorTeaminRussiatomaintain

regularcontactwithUnitedAircraftCorporationandRussianhelicoptercompaniesandgather

intelligenceonnewprogrammessuchastheMS21andsupplyopportunitiesandfeedthisbacktoADSfordisseminationtoUKIndustry.


3) UKTItocontinuetoorganiseaprogrammeofinwardandoutwardmissionsfocusedonUACandRussianhelicoptercompaniestosupportUKcompaniestoengagewiththeseorganisationsandformnewpartnerships,workingwithregionalaerospacealliancestosetupinwardmissionroadshows.

4) ADStoconsiderhowitcanuseitsMOUswithUACandRussianEnginesAssociationtofurtherdevelopcollaborationandbusinessbetweenUKandRussianaerospacecompanies.

5) ADS/UKTItoconsiderhowUKIndustryshouldberepresentedattheMAKSAirshowinAugust2013.

USA1) UKTIAerospaceSectorTeaminUSAtobuildlinkswith

OEMsinthecommercialaircraftandbusinessjetsector,workingcloselywithUKTIandBISwherecompaniesarerelationship-managed,inordertogatherintelligenceonnewprogrammedevelopmenttimescalesandpotentialopportunitiesforUKaerospaceindustryandfeedthisbacktoADSfordisseminationtoUKIndustry.

2) UKTIMinisters,BusinessAmbassadorsandseniorofficialstopresenttheUK’sadvancedcapabilitiesinprimarystructures,engines,avionicsandsystemstoappropriateaerospaceprimeswhenonofficialvisits(ADStoprovidedbackgroundbriefingwhenrequired)

3) UKTItocontinuetoorganiseaprogrammeofoutwardmissionsfocusedonkeyUSOEMsandTier1supplierstosupportUKcompaniestoengagewiththeseorganisationsandformnewpartnerships.

4) ADStomaintainstrongrelationshipswithAIAandorganisejointactivitiestoencouragenetworkingandpartnershipsbetweenUKandUScompanies.


4) UKTItocontinuetoorganiseaprogrammeofinwardandoutwardmissionsfocusedonCOMAC,XAC,AvicopterandkeyAVICTier1companiestosupportUKcompaniestoengagewithChineseaerospacecompaniesandformnewpartnerships,workingwithADSandregionalaerospacealliancestosetupinwardmissionroadshows.UKTItoorganiseatrademissiontoChinainSeptember2012,whichwillincludeavisittoX’ianandothercentresinChina.

5) ADStocontinuetodevelopproposalstosetuparepresentativeofficefortheUKAerospaceIndustryinChinainpartnershipwiththeregionalaerospacealliances.

Europe1) UKTIAerospaceSectorTeamsinFrance,Germany,

ItalyandSpaintobuildlinkswithOriginalEquipmentManufacturers(OEMs)inthecommercialaircraftandbusinessjetsectorinordertogatherintelligenceonnewprogrammedevelopmenttimescalesandpotentialopportunitiesforUKaerospaceindustryandfeedthisbacktoADSfordisseminationtoUKindustry.


3) ADStoco-ordinateUKVillageattheFarnboroughInternationalAirshowinJuly2012.

4) ADSandUKTItoworkjointlytoco-ordinateaprogrammeofnetworkingopportunitiesforUKAerospaceIndustryattheFarnboroughInternationalAirshow2012withvisitingdelegationsfromJapan,China,Russia,India,Brazil,SouthKorea,CanadaandUSA.

5) ADStoworkwithUKTIandregionalaerospacealliancestomaximiseopportunitiesforUKcompaniestobenefitfromthecivildelegationprogrammeandMeettheBuyerEventatFarnboroughAirshow2012.

6) ADStoorganiseaTAPsupportedUKPavilionatAeromartinToulouseinDecember2012.

7) ADStoorganiseaUKPavilionatAirtecinFrankfurtinNovember2012.

8) ADStoorganiseaUKPavilionatAerospaceandDefenceMeetingsinSevilleinMay2012.

India1) UKTIAerospaceSector/UKTIDSOandAdvanced

EngineeringRepresentativeOfficeteamsinIndiatomaintainregularcontactwithHALandNALandgatherintelligenceonsupplychainopportunities,developmentsintheproposed5thGenerationFighter,MTA,RTA-70andnewhelicopterprogrammesandfeedthisbacktoADSfordisseminationtoUKIndustry.


3) ADStoorganiseaTAPsupportedUKPavilionincorporatingregionalaerospacealliancesandgovernmentdepartmentsatIndiaAviationinHyderabadinMarch2012.

4) ADStoorganiseaTAPsupportedUKPavilionincorporatingregionalaerospacealliancesandgovernmentdepartmentsatAeroIndiainFebruary2013.

5) UKTItocontinuetoorganiseaprogrammeofinwardandoutwardmissionsfocusedonHAL,NALandkeyIndianprivatesectoraerospacecompaniessuchasMahindraAerospacetosupportUKcompaniestoengagewiththeseorganisationsandformnewpartnerships,workingwithregionalaerospacealliancestosetupinwardmissionroadshows.

Japan1) UKTIMinisters,BusinessAmbassadorsandsenior

officialstopresenttheUK’sadvancedcapabilitiesinprimarystructures,engines,avionicsandsystemstoappropriateaerospaceprimeswhenonofficialvisits(ADStoprovidebackgroundbriefingwhenrequired).


©Crowncopyright2012.

Youmayre-usethisinformation(excludinglogos)freeofchargeinanyformatormedium,underthetermsoftheOpenGovernmentLicence.

Toviewthislicence,visit:http://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/ open-government-licence/Oryoucane-mail:[email protected]

Wherewehaveidentifiedanythirdpartycopyrightinformationyouwillneedtoobtainpermissionfromthecopyrightholdersconcerned.

Anyenquiriesregardingthispublicationshouldbeemailedtousat:[email protected]:+44 (0)20 7215 8000

Thispublicationisalsoavailableat:www.ukti.gov.uk

Thecommercialfixed-wingaircraftmarketisboomingwithrecordoutputandhighorderintake.BothAirbusandBoeingareplanningfurtherincreasesinoutputfor2012and2013.Thisbodeswellforexistingsuppliersandanumberofnewmodelspresentnewopportunities.Thecommercialmarketishistoricallycyclicalandsomearewarningofproblemsahead.Airlineperformancebouncedbackin2010withrecordprofits.Afterfallingin2011,theInternationalAirTransportAssociation(IATA)ispredictingcollectiveprofitstohalfin2012.Italsopredictssofteningtrafficgrowthfrom6.1%in2011to4%in2012.Fuelpricesareexpectedtoremainhighandtheimpactofthisonairlineperformancecouldbeexacerbatedbytheabilitytohedgeagainsthighpricesdeclines.

ThebusinessjetsegmentissetforrecoveryandthereareanumberofbothairframeandengineprogrammesfortheUKsupplychaintotarget.ThereislesscompetitioninthissegmentastheAirbusandBoeingmarketdominatessupplierstrategy,andmarginscanbehigher.However,routetomarketcanbemoredifficultandUKTI/ADScanprovidevaluableassistancetoanSMEaspiringtobreakintothismarket.

Insharpcontrasttothecivilmarkettherearefewnewmilitaryaircraftfixedwingprogrammeswherethesupplychainisnotalreadysignificantlymature.WiththeestablishmentofaUKHQ,theonethatpotentiallyoffersSME’stheeasiestdirectaccessistheSAABSeaGripen.SMEaccesstothepotentialNewGenerationFighterAircraftprogrammesisconsideredtobemostreadilyachievedbyworkingthroughotherUKTier1/2companies.Withsofewnewmilitaryaircraftfixedwingprogrammes,itisconsideredthataircraftfromexistingprogrammeswillbeexpectedtoremaininserviceformanyyearstocome,whichopensuptheopportunityforsignificantthrough-lifeupgrades.

Aswithmilitaryfixedwingprogrammes,therearefewcustomerfundedUASprogrammesoutsideoftheUS.SeveralEuropeancountrieshavemadeinvestmentintechnologydemonstratorsforbothISTARandUCASmissionseitherontheirown,orascollaborativeeffortswithothercountries.However,productionprogrammeshaveyettoemerge,althoughtheAnglo/FrenchTelemosprogrammehasthepotentialtobethefirstsuchprogrammetoprogress.

Thehelicoptermarket,bothcivilandmilitary,continuestoexhibitresiliencetotheworld-wideeconomicdownturn.Thehelicopterremainscentraltomilitaryoperationsandhomelandsecurity;itcontinuestobetheonlyeffectivewaytoprovideforcemobilityforabroadrangeofmissionsinbothlandandsea,conventionalandnon-conventional,warfare.

However,withthebigtraditionalspenderssuchastheNATOcountriesreducingdefenceexpenditure,investmentsarefocusedonthoseprogrammesthatcarrycontractualobligationsoraredeemedvitalfornationalsecurity.ThetrendforWesterncountriestoreducedefenceexpenditurewhilemaintainingcapabilityhasincreasedgovernmentinterestincommercialsolutionsandatendencyforcustomerstolookatupgradingand/orextendingthelifeofexistingfleets.Meanwhile,militaryrotarywingprocurementinhighgrowtheconomieshasincreasedduring2011,withmultipletendersbeingissued.

Conclusions

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UK Trade & Investment offers expertise and contacts through its extensive network of specialists in the UK, and in British embassies and other diplomatic offices around the world. We provide companies with the tools they require to be competitive on the world stage.

Whereas every effort has been made to ensure that the information given in this document is accurate, neither UK Trade & Investment nor its parent Departments (the Department for Business, Innovation & Skills (BIS), and the Foreign & Commonwealth Office), accept liability for any errors, omissions or misleading statements, and no warranty is given or responsibility accepted as to the standing of any individual, firm, company or other organisation mentioned.

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Published February 2012by UK Trade & Investment© Crown CopyrightURN 12/P133

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