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8/6/2019 Uk in Guide to Emerging Markets
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A guide to investingin Emerging marketsF&C: Pioneering experience in emerging markets
Expect excellence
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The changes underway are seeing
countries such as China, India
and Brazil shiting rom agrarian or
resource based economies, tied to
the economic cycles o the developed
‘western’ economies, to genuine sel
sustaining industrial powerhouses.
Je Chowdhry,
Head o Emerging Equities,
F&C Investments.
“ “
You would not ignore an economy the size o the US when
constructing an investment portolio so it is a surprise that
so many investors, rom the largest to the smallest, seemto overlook the potential o the emerging economies.
Richard Wilson, Head o Equities, F&C Investments.““
“Emerging
markets still
oer us vast
potential”
“Emerging markets represent 30% o
the Group’s prots and generate
two-thirds o its growth”
“Our centre o gravity will shit to the
developing markets”
In a matter o a couple o decades emerging economies are achieving an
economic revolution that took Europe some 200 years to achieve.
Sam Mahtani, Fund Manager, Indian Investment Company, F&C Investments.
“ “
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Te case forEmerging MarketsThe big picture
Emerging markets have come o age. The extensive
dismantling o political and technological barriers to entry has
promoted a levelling o the international economic playing
eld whereby developed and developing countries are
competing in an integrated world.
The integration o economies, in various stages o
development, is part and parcel o the globalisation process
that has transormed the world economy in the last couple
o decades. Developing economies such as Brazil, India and
China have opened up their economies and invited oreign
companies to share their knowledge and technological
expertise in return or a share o their resources and prots.
Investors have been actively encouraged to participate in the
growth potential and capital has fowed rom the developed
to the developing world.
Starting with a clean slate, emerging market communitiesare leaprogging xed telephone lines to enjoy the
immediate benets o mobile phone technology and
broadband. Similarly actories are opening up utilising the
latest technology, giving them an eciency edge over their
developed market counterparts. As economic expansion has
exploded and earnings grown, emerging market countries
have seen their contribution to global GDP rise, reaching an
estimated 35% at the end o 2009. Furthermore, nearly all o
the global growth in 2009, a period o deep global downturn,
was attributed to the emerging economies. A trend set to
continue.
Breaking rom the past
Emerging economies have experienced periods o growth
beore but in a break rom history this time the expansion is
undamental and set to be sustained. Why? Because it has
its oundations in structural rather than cyclical actors or
one thing. In addition, governments in many o the emerging
economies have instilled new tighter nancial management to
provide a ramework capable o aording long-tem economic
management. They have introduced much greater scal
discipline, which has secured domestic budgets and current
account surpluses, more responsive monetary policies,
greater fexibility in exchange rates and targets or infation. All
o these elements have helped in the ormulation o a more
constructive macro policy.
Improvements have been seen across a broad swathe
o emerging markets countries but have probably been
most dramatic in Asia. It is the Asian economies that havegenerally been the ones generating scal budget and
external surpluses, reducing the leverage in their nancial
systems, leaving them with one o the strongest sets o
undamentals at the start o this new economic growth cycle.
In terms o individual countries elsewhere, Brazil is worthy
o note having managed to upgrade its credit rating to
‘investment grade.’ Turkey and Mexico have also made good
progress.
Potential or urther growth
For those that have not yet invested in emerging economiesis it too late? Not according to John Lomax, GEM Equity
strategist at HSBC. “We think the potential growth rate or
the emerging world as a whole is about 5.5% in the medium-
term and within that we expect some countries will have
noticeably higher growth rates.”
He orecasts China could grow by around 8% and India
by between 6-7%, over the next 3 to 5 years. These rates
would be deemed attractive even in their own r ight but when
you compare them against what is orecast or developed
economies over the same period (around 2%) they look
especially strong.
F&C Investments 01
“China could grow by 8% and India
6-7% over the next 3-5 years…
compared to around 2% in the
developed economies.”
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02 F&C Investments
Long-term thematic opportunities
Dierentiating the emerging markets in the current
environment are long-term thematic drivers o growth. The
most important o these and rom which other things lead, is
demographics.
Emerging economies have aster growing and younger
populations than their developed peers. “I you look at where
the labour supply is increasingly coming rom over the next
20 to 30 years, it is really coming rom emerging markets,”
says Michael Wang, Global Emerging Markets Strategist,
Morgan Stanley. “This has implications not only or the world
but also the emerging countries themselves.”
What it implies is that there will be a higher share o the local
population in employment. This, in turn, means there will be
more people in receipt o an income. The wealth created will
drive an advance in living standards and consumption and
increase domestically ocused employment.
Urbanisation
Concurrent to the big rise in consumption is the trend o
urbanisation. The new jobs tend to be located in urban
areas and accompanying the development o industrial
transormation is the migration o a work orce rom the
countryside to the city.
Governments have begun preparing or this with huge
inrastructure projects and this has been to create new
housing, roads, schools, hospitals and other necessary
pre-requisites or a massive population shi t, have been
behind a large part o the increase in economic activity in the
last decade. Building, steel and cement companies have all
beneted rom increased investment as a result.
The next phase o the process o urbanisation, which will
drive economic growth in the next decade, will be the
growing consumer appetite o the rising urban population.
Wang estimates spending attributed to urbanisation could be
as high as $1trillion over the next 10 years.
Rising standards o living
In the next decade the popular perception o emerging
markets as a supplier o goods and services to developed
countries should be comprehensively knocked on the
head as the rapidly growing working and middle classes
increasingly become the end purchasers o the goods andservices they are producing.
Taking the automotive industry as an example, the per capita
car ownership in China is set to reach 59 per 1,000 people in
2010, while the equivalent gure in the US is estimated at 826
per 1,000. This huge disparity translates into an enormous
investment opportunity as the gap between developed and
developing market consumers closes.
“I you look at consumption, across a lot o di erent product
categories rom cars to PCs and mobile handsets, the key
marginal consumers o these products are currently rom the
BRICs,” says Lomax
It is not just cars, mobile telephones, rerigerators, television
sets and computers o course. Financial products and
services are also on the consumption horizon o the
emerging markets consumer. Mortgages, insurance and
other nancial services are only just becoming accessible
on a mass basis and the penetration rates o such products
is so low as to not register in any meaningul way.
As part o the development process it would be expected
that the penetration rate o these products and services will
rise over time.
“Te labour supply for the next
20-30 years is set to come from
emerging markets.”
Te number of cars on the road
in China would top a
billion if car ownership reached
US proportions.
(Source: IMF and World Bank)
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
� EM (incl Middle East) � US
1 9 8 6
1 9 8 7
1 9 8 8
1 9 8 9
1 9 9 0
1 9 9 1
1 9 9 2
1 9 9 3
1 9 9 4
1 9 9 5
1 9 9 6
1 9 9 7
1 9 9 8
1 9 9 8
1 9 9 9
2 0 0 0
2 0 0 1
2 0 0 2
2 0 0 3
2 0 0 4
2 0 0 5
2 0 0 6
2 0 0 7
2 0 0 8
2 0 0 9
2 0 1 0
%
Share o global nominal US$ GDP
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F&C Investments 03
The role o leverage
Consumption nanced by the newly earned salaries o a
rapidly growing labour orce, would create a phenomenal
wave o demand but when you are also br inging into the
equation the possibility o leverage, in the orm o loans andmortgages, that potential is magnied.
Leverage is not an emerging markets concept. In these
countries consumption is normally saved or. As a result,
the international nancial crisis did not have quite the same
devastating impact on developing market consumption
patterns as was witnessed in the developed world. The
‘top- end’ analysts’ estimate about 10% leverage exposure
among consumers in developing markets compared with
100% leverage in the UK. While the very conservative
approach to debt o most emerging market consumers
means they are unlikely to ever approach the UK’s level o leverage, there is still potential or leverage to play a role in
driving demand. This will be both by individuals increasing
their levels o debt and through an increase in the number
o consumers accessing debt nance.
Corporate leverage is not quite so restrained, but is still very
low compared to the developed markets.
Valuations
The bull market seen since 2000 has witnessed a superior
return on equity (ROE) rom companies within emerging
markets, driven by the more ecient use o capital at themicro level. In the years ahead rising consumption will be
another positive element in the mix. The ROE can then be
expected to increase urther.
Valuations in aggregate have potential or improvement.
Using parameters like price/earnings (p/e) or price-to-book,
they are in line with historical levels. On a trailing earnings
basis they are actually at about a 20% discount to developed
countries, trading at around 17.5 times p/e, (16x is the long-
term average). “With the 40% growth in earnings that we are
expecting or 2010,” says Wang “that multiple will drop down
to 14x.”
An important aspect to remember is that we are just coming
out o a global recession and in the rst year o a recession
the p/e multiple always gets re-rated because earnings are
depressed and so investors buy the market in expectation
o an earnings recovery, making the p/e look ar ticially high.Once genuine earnings growth starts to become eective,
however, valuations should move back to more normal levels.
Wang believes that within markets there are some quite big
dierences, however. “Amongst the BRIC countries, Brazil,
India and China seem to have attracted disproportionate
liquidity fows and those three markets seem rather more
highly valued than Russia, which we think looks cheap by
comparison”. Outside o the BRIC group there may be even
greater value potential, in countries such as Indonesia, Egypt
and Turkey.
He orecasts a strong earnings recovery or emerging Europe
next year because o a steep contraction in earnings in 2009.
In Asia, the rebound is likely to be more modest as these
economies saw less o a correction in 2009.
Outside o BRIC
Mexico is closely locked into the US economic cycle and
was let behind in 2009 as a result. A more robust upswing
in the US than is presently expected could catch investors by
surprise and lead Mexico higher in its wake.
In EMEA, while Russia is an obvious beneciary o a rising
oil price, the region as a whole has lagged. I the oil price
continues to accelerate and the Russian economy gathers
urther momentum this will have spill over benets or
neighbouring economies.
As an example, Hungary is another country that has perhaps
been overlooked. It has been a casualty o macro economic
policy, operating a big current account decit, which let it
exposed to the global nancial crisis, causing the exchange
rate to come under downward pressure, orcing interest rates
to be raised. But looking ahead, Hungary is well positioned
to take advantage o the cyclical recovery expected in
developed Europe, especially Germany, which is the recipiento a high proportion o Hungary’s (mostly manuacturing)
exports. Hungarian interest rates are still quite high (a base
rate o a 6.5%) but infation is quite well contained, so there
is a good possibility o rates coming down and boosting
domestic consumption also.
Technology sector earnings have been depressed in 2009
and i the global economy recovers as expected Taiwan
could be one o the astest growing markets in Asia in 2010
given its big exposure to technology as companies start to
increase their IT investment.
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Oct1995
Oct1995
Oct1995
Oct1995
Oct1995
Oct2000
Oct2001
Oct2002
Oct2003
Oct2004
Oct2005
Oct2006
Oct2007
Oct2008
Oct2009
MSCI WORLD trailing PE
MSCI EM trailing PE
Jan
2010
P / E M u l t i p l e
MSCI EM vs. MSCI World
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Technical drivers
In 2002 emerging market economies accounted or just 4%
o the MSCI World equity index, today they make up around
13%. This contrasts sharply with their contribution to world
GDP, which is over 30%. In time, their weighting in the indexwill increase to catch up and refect their importance to the
global economy. The fow o privatisations is also a trend set
to continue as governments increasingly look to the capital
markets to raise unds, which urther increases the pool o
companies available to investors and the weighting o the
emerging market companies to the total market cap o the
global economy.
As this happens, investors with global mandates will be
required to increase their exposure to emerging markets,
thereby providing a urther underpinning o valuations.
Emerging Market Debt
Many o the positive arguments above, particularly those
around scal and monetary discipline apply equally to
emerging market debt. Indeed, this is probably an asset
class with an even lighter representation within most
portolios than emerging market equities.
The emerging debt universe, small and largely ragmented
in its inancy, received a boost by the implementation o the
Brady Bond program implemented by the US Treasury in the
1980s. The program was designed to help emerging marketeconomies (mostly Latin American at the time) restructure
their debt, and eventually helped boost overall debt issuance
that was primarily US dollar denominated. However, despite
a spate o crises and the odd deault episode, the advent
o globalisation, accelerating growth in emerging markets
and implementation o structural reorm programs eventually
played a key role in rmly establishing the asset class. The
exponential growth in currency reserves also helped mitigate
currency devaluation risk and helped boost issuance in
local currencies as well. Local currency debt is in increasing
demand today as developing countries nd themselves
avourably placed relative to developed countries in terms o growth outlook and scal positions.
The robustness o the public nances o many emerging
economies means that the risk o deault is probably lower than
it has ever been. This is refected in narrowing spreads and
improving sovereign debt ratings based on avourable views
taken by various ratings agencies (S&P, Moody’s and Fitch).
Ater the recent upgrades to Brazil, more than 50% o the
standard Emerging Bond Index is now rated investment grade.
The range o opportunities within emerging market debt also
continues to expand. In the past exposure has primar ily been
through government issues, but there are now a growing
number o corporate issuers as well, illustrating an improving
maturity and depth to the market as a whole.
Risks and pitalls
Investing in emerging markets is a long-term commitment
and investors should be prepared or more volatility
compared to the more developed markets. Political risks
tend to be greater during the process o development and
short-term issues may arise rom time to time.
At the present time the most obvious r isks are more short-
term and generally more cyclical than structural. One risk
is that growth in the US is actually quite a bit stronger than
the markets are assuming. This could result in a rise in the
dollar and US interest rates rising sooner than expected,
dampening liquidity fows into the emerging economies.
Conversely, i US growth retraced and a double-dip
recession ensued, this would result in a weaker export prole
or emerging markets.
More specically, the emerging markets have enjoyed a good
run over the last 10 years, even rebounding more strongly
than many expected rom the international credit crisis o
2008. It would not be out o character or there to be some
increased volatility in 2010. But it is the medium to longer-
term structural drivers that should underpin investment
decisions. So a strong uptrend looks set to continue.
04 F&C Investments
“Te short-term risks are
cyclical not structural”Sam Mahtani, F&C Investments
3
6
9
12
15
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
EM as % of total
%
Emerging markets as a % o MSCI All World Index
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.% 0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
Dec-99 Dec-00 Dec-01 Dec-02 Dec-03 Dec-04 Dec-05 Dec-06 Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09
EMBI+ Yield UST 10-year Yield UST 2-year Yield
Emerging Debt Yield vs. US Treasury Yields
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F&C Investments 05
Commodity prices
For Russia and Brazil, a change in the value o the dollar
would impact the price o commodities and hence economic
prospects rom export earnings.
India too would eel the eect o a change in the oil price.
High oil prices would hit it disproportionately hard as it is
a net importer o oil and while a country like China with its
high scal surpluses can aord to subsidise its users, India’s
scal position would not aord it such an option. On the fip
side, however, we also need to remember that most o the
increase in demand or oil, which leads to a rise in the oil
price, stems rom growth in emerging economies.
Rising interest rates
I interest rates in the US were raised sooner than expected,
that could hurt emerging economies as the US acts as
the benchmark or global rates, and especially or
emerging markets where currencies are requently pegged
to the dollar.
There is also the possibility that Europe could tighten interest
rates beore the Federal Reserve, impacting consumption
and imports rom developing countries, although with an
already strong Euro they may be more cautious about
doing this.
Viewed in context, however, there are no signs yet that US
growth is accompanied by a build up in infationary pressure.Furthermore with US rates at virtually zero when they do
start to rise they would only be starting a journey back to
‘normal’ levels.
Other pitalls
Recent events in Dubai were a reminder that investing in
emerging markets is not without risk. However, Dubai is not
a typical emerging market, and its lack o transparency is in
contrast to many emerging economies that have more long
standing disclosure investor relations. Contagion rom Dubai
should be viewed as overreaction, given that most emerging
markets investors have little exposure to the market.
The Investment case
Traditionally many investors have avoided investing in
emerging markets due to the greater risk and higher volatility
they have demonstrated historically when compared
against the mature developed markets. Consequently, most
portolios are underweight to emerging market equities and
probably even more so to emerging market debt.
As we can see rom the discussions above, the investment
landscape has changed signicantly in recent years and
there are now sound and undamental reasons why investors
need to consider increasing their exposure to the undoubted
potential o emerging market assets.
n They are underpinned by long-term structural drivers
n They will lead global growth or years to come
n This is not an export driven cyclical upswing, though
exports should recover at some stage
n The domestic economies have increasingly taken over
rom export markets as the drivers o growth
n Falling risk o deault amongst bond issuers
n Mature markets are likely to deliver more muted returns
as the all out rom the credit crunch and nancial crisis
continues to take its toll
Diversication is the key to any successul investment
strategy and adding or increasing emerging market exposure
will improve the diversication o most portolios. This
will provide a portolio with increased growth potential to
compensate or the more muted returns expected rom themature markets, while they deal with the issues acing their
economies and seek a return to a more normal
growth ooting.
Conclusions
Emerging markets have rebounded strongly as investor
sentiment recovered rom the lows o 2008. This is also a
clear refection o the undamental changes that have taken
place within emerging market economies in recent years
and indicates the strength and robustness o the investment
case, be it in emerging market equities or debt.
Positive structural actors now underpin emerging market
economies and they should no longer simply be regarded
as a geared play on the cyclical swings o the US, Europe
and Japan.
In the coming years global growth is set to be driven by the
emerging economies and those o China, India, Indonesia,
Egypt and Latin America. Importantly, even when the mature
developed economies re-establish their normal patterns o
growth, emerging markets will continue to play an important
role in the development o the world economy. As such, they
also have an important role to play in driving the returns rom
any investment portolio.
“It is the positive, long-term,
structural factors that
should underpin investment
decision making.”Je Chowdhry, F&C Investments
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“By 2050 it is estimated that the
working population in emerging
economies will be over 4bn
compared to less than 750m indeveloped economies”
“In 2010 its estimated that sales
o mobile handsets in emerging
markets will be over 1.1bn
“In 2009 China overtook Germany
as the world’s largest exporting
economy ”
“In 2010 Chile is set to become
the 31st member o the OECD
and the rst rom South America”
“China, India and Brazil are
already amongst the world’s ten largest economies.” July 2009
Eight o the world’s
ten largest cities arein emerging economies. F&C Investments.“
“
Over 90% o the world’s
population live in emerging
economies.
F&C Investments.
“ “
World Bank
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Investment pioneersfor over 140 years
F&C has over 2000 relationships
in over 20 countries and manages
money for over 3 million people.
1868
First ever pooled
investment fund
1932
Taiwanese investments
1961
Japanese investments
1984
Ethical Fund
1988
Multi-manager Fund
1994
iddle East investments
2006
LDI pioneers
2007
Lifestyle range
Climate Opportunities 2009
Independence
At F&C, investment management is all we do, so we are not
distracted by other interests. We are active managers with a
multi specialist approach. This means small entrepreneurial
and perormance driven teams supported by extensive
resources in terms o analytical research, investment
strategy, risk controls and dealing.
F&C has over 2000 relationships in over 20 countries and
manages money or over 3 million people, and with over
£97.8 billion under management*, is a broadly diversied
global investment manager.
Unparalleled experience in emerging
markets
We can point to an unparalleled heritage in investing in
emerging markets along with a record o innovation in
meeting the investment needs o our clients. Through
managing the Foreign & Colonial Investment Trust, the
world’s rst collective investment scheme, we have been
investing in emerging markets or over 140 years, which
means they are part o F&C’s DNA.
Our experience started with xed income securities and
evolved rapidly to include equity investments in 1905.
F&C Emerging Market Milestones
n 1868 Foreign & Colonial Investment Trust launched
n 1868 rst investments in Europe, South America, the
Middle East and the US
n 1881 rst investments in Asia and Australia
n 1883 rst investments in Arica
n 1932 rst investment in Taiwan
n 1934 rst investment in Hong Kong
n 1952 rst investment in Israel
n 1961 rst investment in Japan
n 1984 rst Ethical Fund launched
n 1987 launches rst Latin American Fund
n 1991 launches Emerging Markets Fund
n 1993 launches specialist Indian Fund
n 1996 launches rst Russian Fund
n 2006 launches high alpha emerging markets und
n 2010 launches rst emerging markets ESG und
Indeed, the launch o the Indian Investment Company saw
F&C become only the third company to be awarded Foreign
Investor status in India.
F&C Investments 07
*As at 30 December 2009
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08 F&C Investments
F&C’s current Emerging Market Equities team was
established in 1993. Je Chowdhry and Sam Mahtani have
been instrumental in devising its strategy and have worked
together at F&C since 1994. Je took over as Head o
Emerging Markets Equities in December 2005 and the team
was strengthened adding Urban Larson and Gareth Morgan,
two key senior individuals, to the team.
The current team o 12 proessionals, with an average
experience o 14 years in the industry, has a great depth
and breadth o experience o investing in global emerging
markets through all market cycles.
The team is London based and combines a detached
assessment o emerging markets with regular research
trips to obtain a closer hands-on eel o the dr ivers in these
dynamic economies. Sitting alongside our other equity and
xed income investment teams provides a resource and
alternative viewpoint to aid decision making.
As the table to the right shows, we combine the roles o
research and und management our emerging markets team.
Perormance
Delivering investment perormance that meets or exceeds
the expectations o clients is the key to our approach. A
signicant restructuring o the emerging markets process in
2006 and the recruitment o additional resources has seen a
strong and consistent recovery in investment returns.
Name Years in
industry
Years at
F&C
Research & Portfolio Construction
Je Chowdhry 27 15
Sam Mahtani 16 17
Urban Larson 15 4
Gareth Morgan 15 4
Martha Reyes-Hulme 11 2
Claire Franklin 6 3
Research
Mike Hanbury-Williams 25 19
Ben Akrigg 14 4
Peter Dalgliesh 15 3
Anthony Linehan 5 5
Jorry Noeddekaer 9 2
June Lui 11 3
Average years o
experience14 7
Managing emergingmarket equities
China
Taiwan
TIMP*
Korea
India
Africa
Latin
America
Emerging
Europe
Je Chowdhry n n n
Sam Mahtani n n n
Urban Larson n n
Gareth Morgan n n
Martha Reyes-Hulme n
Claire Franklin n
Mike Hanbury-Williams n
Ben Akrigg n n n
Peter Dalgliesh n n n n
Jorry Noeddekaer n n n
June Lui n
Country responsibility
*Thailand, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines
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Investment process
Our investment process has been designed to deliver
outperormance throughout the cycle by being active and
pragmatic and not bound to a single investment sty le
such as ‘value’ or ‘growth’. All companies are thereore
potential investments. Our style is not a driver o our process,
but a result.
Ranking
(1-4)
and
price
target
F&C Investments 09
Investmentuniverse
Countryresearch
Investmentthemes
Companyresearch
Portolioconstruction Portolio
C o u n t r y r a n k i n g
B o
t t o m u p
T o p d o
w n
S t o c k r
a n k i n
g
Our process can be broken down into three key
components.
1. Country research – The cornerstone o our approach
is that the superior economic growth taking place in
the emerging markets is most clearly discernible within
individual countries as they embrace ree market principles
and begin investing in both human and physical capital.
Country analysis is thereore our starting point because the
political and economic reorm processes are the drivers o
change. We also believe that individual stock markets have a
tendency to become mispriced as a result o sentiment and
liquidity fows on their undamental valuation.
2. Investment themes - We assess investment themes
that could have a country, regional or global impact and
how they may oer investment opportunities. Themes
are regularly discussed across the team to ensure that
they remain valid and new ones are also considered.
These investment themes direct the ocus o company
analysis within each country. Examples o themes includeinrastructure spending, the rising power o domestic
consumers and low penetration o nancial products
3. Stock selection - All members o the team are involved
in company analysis, with specic countries assigned to each
individual. Considerable emphasis is placed on one-to-one
company meetings and we have around 800 each year, both
in our London oces and during research trips to the various
regions. We also use broking and industry research to get a
comprehensive view o each company we are analysing. We
address the ollowing issues in the diagram below.
The und managers draw upon this pool o research to
construct a portolio designed to meet the investment needs
o our clients. Flexibility is key to our approach but with
fexibility comes accountability, and our managers are ully
accountable or all investment decisions made in respect o
their portolios.
We also use an advanced risk modelling tool Sunguard APT,
to monitor risk within our portolios. This ensures that the
areas o greatest risk match up with those o our highest
investment conviction.
Themes
Key investmentthemes on a secularbasis; signicanceo sectors withincountries
Management
Track record,shareholderorientation andstrategy
Growth
Strong marketposition, nicheplayers, visibleand sustainableearnings stream
Financials
Balance sheet andcash fow analysisis particularlyimportant wherereporting standardsare low
Catalysts
Company restruc-turing; governancechanges; newmanagement; newplant; new product;acquisitions/dispos-als; new legislation;cyclicality; interestrate sensitiv-ity; exchange rate
sensitivity
Value
Measured inboth absolute andrelative terms.Measures include:P/E Yield; P/B;EV/EBITDA;P/Operatingcash fow;P/Freecash fow
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10 F&C Investments
F&C’s Emerging Market Debt team has been in place since
1991 and they developed the F&C Emerging Markets Fixed
Income philosophy and process in its current orm in 1995,
a development in which Helene Williamson, now Head o
Emerging Market Debt, was instrumental. The six-strong
team has an average o 14 years investment experience,
which also means experience in managing assets across theeconomic cycle.
Within the emerging market debt team, the und managers
also undertake research as we believe this delivers a
fatter structure and improves communication across the
team. There are also three dedicated research analysts
who support the und managers due to the breadth o the
countries to be covered.
We operate a top-down undamental process designed
to identiy relative value primarily between countries,
and highlight market distortions o country spreads and
currencies. The process makes the optimum use o the in-
depth knowledge and expertise o the Emerging Market Debt
team and builds research into the investment process as a
whole. Our investment approach is unique in its emphasis onidentiying ‘country value’, through the systematic, research-
based process we have developed.
We believe that emerging bond markets are oten priced
ineciently and undergo spread and currency fuctuations
that have a weak relationship with the actual political,
economic and repayment risk o a country. Our three stage
investment process thereore starts by researching these
aspects.
Name Country expertise Country Responsibility Years in industry Years at F&CHelene Wil liamson Head o Emerging Debt Russia, Argentina, Venezuela,
Middle East
32 14
Jonathan Mann Senior Fund Manager Asia, Mexico, Brazil 17 4
Will Ne Fund Manager Arica, Georgia, Malaysia,
Kazakhstan, Ukraine, Sri
Lanka, Lebanon, Pakistan,
Qatar
6 3
Sonya Dilova Analyst Corporate, CIS 10 4
Miguel Gandolo Analyst Ecuador, Peru, Columbia,
Risk Analysis
9 3
Philip Ladstaetter Analyst Turkey, EMEA,
Local currency bonds
3 3
Average Years o experience 14 5
Managing emergingmarket debt
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12 F&C Investments
Accessingemerging markets At F&C we are committed to providing the vehicles to enable our clients to
access the potential o the emerging economies rom pooled vehicles to
bespoke segregated mandates. We also provide a range o und solutions
rom global and regional mandates to single country unds. Listed below are
the und capabilities currently available. Alternatively, through constructing a
segregated portolio, we can provide you with a bespoke investment vehicle
to meet your own specic needs.
This provides our clients with fexibility in accessing the emerging
economies. They can either outsource all asset allocation and stock
selection decisions to our und managers, or they can select specic regions
or countries as part o constructing their own diversied portolio.
Global Emerging Markets
- core
GEM High Alpha
Emerging Asia
India
Emerging Markets Debt
Latin America
Russia
Pooled Segregated
4 4
4 4
4 4
4
4
4 4
4 4
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Important information. All data is as at 31 December 2009 unless otherwise stated.
This document has been produced or inormation only and should not be construed as investment advice. Past perormance should not be seen as an indication o uture perormance. Stockmarkets and currency movements may cause the value o investments and the income rom them to all as well as rise and investors may not
get back the amount they originally invested. Where investments are made in emerging markets, unquoted securities or smaller companies, their potential volatility mayincrease the risk to the value o, and the income rom, the investment. All sources F&C Management Limited unless otherwise stated. F&C Management Limited is Authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority (FSA) FRN:119230. Limited by shares. Registered in England and Wales, No. 517895.Registered address and Head Oce: Exchange House, Primrose Street, London EC2A 2NY F&C Asset Management plc is the listed holding company o the F&C group. F&C Management Limited is a member o the F&C Group o companies and a subsidiary o F&C Asset Management plc. F&C, the F&C
logo, reo and the “reo” logo are registered trade marks o F&C Asset Management plc. F&C INVESTMENTS and the F&C INVESTMENTS logo are trademarks o F&C Management Limited. © F&C Management Limited 2009. F&C6887 02/10
Products
F&C oers a wide range o investment opportunities or pension unds,
charities, nancial institutions, corporations and other organisations.
We oer segregated and pooled portolio management through a range
o onshore and oshore vehicles. These cover developed and emerging
markets in equity, bond, cash, property and alternative investment unds.
Please contact us or urther details or visit our website at
or visit our website at www.andc.com
United Kingdom Tel: +44 (0) 20 7628 8000
Netherlands Tel: +31 (0) 20 582 3000
France Tel: +33 (0) 1 78 42 40 92
United States Tel: +1 (0) 617 426 9050
Spain Tel: +44 (0) 20 7011 5398
Sweden Tel: +46 (0) 850 901276
Ireland Tel: +353 (0) 1 436 4000
Portugal Tel: +351 (0) 21 003 3200
Germany Tel: +49 (0) 69 308 55 098
Switzerland Tel: +41 (0) 22 747 7714
Hong Kong Tel: +(852) 3965 3160
Ofces
Head Ofce Institutional Business Tel: +44 (0) 20 7011 4444Email: [email protected]
Global Wholesale Tel: +44 20 7011 5111Email: [email protected]
Broker Support Tel: 0845 799 2299Email: [email protected]
Contact us
Winning gold withF&C
Delivering highly eective investment
strategies is just one part o the
service we provide. As principled asset
managers, we are determined to lead our
industry in all aspects o our business.
In 2006 – 2008, F&C were voted
winners o the ‘Gold Standard’ in the
Fund Management category. Only a ew
companies have been privileged enough
to win a Gold Standard award, and as
such, this is an exceptional achievement.
The Gold Standard Awards aim to
identiy nancial services companies that
excel not just in service but in ve key
areas important to consumers o nancial
products and services:
Financial strength
Ability to meet and exceed customer
expectations
Capability
Outstanding expertise and aptitude as a
und manager
Service
Ability to maintain and grow an eective
post-sales relationship
Fair value
Assessing whether customers receive
great value or money
Trust
Ability to instil condence in consumers
As a result, the Gold Standards are
one o the hardest, most sought ater
awards in the nancial market place.