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Uncorking Provincial Borders

Date post: 13-May-2015
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Will the long awaited changes resulting from Bill C-311 help BC Wineries thrive?
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Uncorking Provincial Borders Will the long awaited changes resulting from Bill C-311 help BC Wineries thrive?
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Page 1: Uncorking Provincial Borders

Uncorking Provincial Borders

Will the long awaited changes resulting from Bill C-311 help BC Wineries thrive?

Page 2: Uncorking Provincial Borders

What is Bill C-311?• The Federal

Importation of Intoxicating Liquors Act (IILA) from 1928 prevents shipment of alcohol between provinces unless it is arranged through provincial liquor agencies

• Bill C-311 is an amendment to the IILA

Page 3: Uncorking Provincial Borders

What Bill C-311 allows

• The importation of wine from a province by an individual for personal consumption– Not for resale or commercial use– “brings the wine, or causes it to be brought

into another province”

• In quantities as permitted by the laws of the destination province

Page 4: Uncorking Provincial Borders

Bill C-311: Where are we at?

• On June 28, Bill C-311 became law

• Federal law now allows individuals to import wine between provinces for personal use

• Subject to law/regulation of the destination province

Page 5: Uncorking Provincial Borders

Dragging the Provinces kicking & screaming

•BC adopting a weak “let’s let the Provincial Liquor Boards work it out” attitude. •Ontario implementing a task force•Wording of Alberta and Manitoba law already allows importation for personal use•See WINELAW.CA for ongoing updates

PROV. LIQUOR BOARDS

BILL C-311

GOVERNMENTMONOPOLY

FREE TRADE BETWEEN PROVINCES

Page 6: Uncorking Provincial Borders

Per capita wine consumption

Page 7: Uncorking Provincial Borders

Wine sales in BC by Origin

Page 8: Uncorking Provincial Borders

The Opportunity

• Canadian per capita wine consumption continues to grow but we are just now approaching the world average

• In BC, sales of BC VQA wine still only represent <20% of all wine sold

• Canadians are drinking more wine and there is room for Canadian wineries to capture more of the growing domestic market

• Because of the IILA, only a small fraction of BC wine labels are currently sold outside BC

Page 9: Uncorking Provincial Borders

Profitability of Dtc sales vs other sales channels

SOURCE: M. Hicken – “FreeTheWine” website (2008)

Page 10: Uncorking Provincial Borders

Out-of Prov. Winery Visitor

Online Customer

Shares with others (word-

of-mouth)

More online orders / Out-of-province

“fans”

More winery visitors

DIRECT TO CONSUMER

Page 11: Uncorking Provincial Borders

DTC (Direct to Consumer) wine sales – US numbers

• DTC sales accounted for 3% of total wine sales for the year ended April 2011

• Breakdown of 3%:– Phone, internet, clubs 40%– Wineshop sales 60%

• DTC more important to smaller wineries• DTC grew by 11.6% - over twice the

overall rate of wine sales growth in the US(SOURCE: ShipCompliant & WinesVines DATA)

Page 12: Uncorking Provincial Borders

What do DTC sales mean for a small to medium sized winery?

• Moss Adams study (no Canadian study available)

• CA, WA & OR wineries

• 2007 & 2008 data• 71% of respondents <

50,000 cases

Page 13: Uncorking Provincial Borders

Findings regarding Sales Channel Strategy

Smaller wineries are more reliant on DTC sales than larger wineries

Page 14: Uncorking Provincial Borders

Wineries that sell more wine DTC tended to have better revenue per case sold

Findings regarding Sales Channel Strategy

Page 15: Uncorking Provincial Borders

Wineries that sell more wine DTC tended to have better margins

Findings regarding Sales Channel Strategy

Page 16: Uncorking Provincial Borders

Findings regarding Sales Channel Strategy

Wineries with a higher proportion of DTC also tended to have higher selling and admin cost

Page 17: Uncorking Provincial Borders

What does DTC growth mean for a BC Winery?

ASSUMPTIONS• $1,500,000 wine sales from 7500 case volume• Retail prices: reds = $26.00; whites = $21.50• Sales mix 58% red; 42% white• Sales channel mix BCLDB 40%; LRS stores

30%; DTC (wineshop) 30%• Margins & balance sheet ratios = StatsCan

2010 data for BC wineries < $5 million in sales

Page 18: Uncorking Provincial Borders

10% shift from BC LDB to DTC

Before

Gross margin = 53%

Pre-tax earnings = $40,000

RONA = 4.0

Interest coverage = 1.62

Net revenue/bottle = $16.67

Valuation* = $945,000

After

Gross Margin = 54.85%

Pre-tax earnings = $81,500

RONA = 5.4

Interest coverage = 2.25

Net revenue/bottle = $17.35

Valuation* = $1,318,500

* Assuming a EBITDA multiple of 9

Page 19: Uncorking Provincial Borders

Worth the Effort?

• An investment of $20,000 generated an after tax return of $35,978; ROI = 180% in first year!

• By shifting sales from government stores to DTC, your winery keeps significantly more of the retail price.

• Incremental costs are fairly minimal, therefore most of the increased margin falls right to the bottom line

• In our example, this one change increased the value of the winery by over $370,000

Page 20: Uncorking Provincial Borders

SUMMARY• Canadians are drinking

more wine• Bill C-311 should make it

easier for BC wineries to sell more wine DTC in other provinces

• The DTC sales channel is the most profitable for BC wineries

• Selling more wine DTC vs. Government stores improves profitability & ultimately value for BC wineries

Page 21: Uncorking Provincial Borders

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