+ All Categories
Home > Self Improvement > Understanding liquidiy for marketplaces - toa 13

Understanding liquidiy for marketplaces - toa 13

Date post: 24-Jun-2015
Category:
Upload: daan-loening
View: 936 times
Download: 0 times
Share this document with a friend
Description:
These slides were originally presented at Tech Open Air Berlin 2013. The presentation is intended to help founders understand their marketplace. www.kinderfee.de
Popular Tags:
40
@daan_kinderfee „Liquidity isn’t the most important thing. It’s the only thing. “ Simon Rothmann – Greylock Partners
Transcript
Page 1: Understanding liquidiy for marketplaces -  toa 13

@daan_kinderfee

„Liquidity isn’t the most important thing. It’s the only thing. “ Simon Rothmann – Greylock Partners

Page 2: Understanding liquidiy for marketplaces -  toa 13

@daan_kinderfee

About myself

• Mathematician

• Technical background

• Co-founder @ Kinderfee

• Worked in Investment Banking for 3 years before founding Kinderfee

• Work at Kinderfee and as a startup mentor

To get in touch:

• @daan_kinderfee

• daanlo.tumblr.com

Daan

Page 3: Understanding liquidiy for marketplaces -  toa 13

@daan_kinderfee

Liquidity disected

Page 4: Understanding liquidiy for marketplaces -  toa 13

@daan_kinderfee

Liquidity disected – the exponential curve

Liquidity

Bus

ines

s vo

lum

e

Frustrating waste land

First handful of transactions

Things start to happen

BOOM!

Page 5: Understanding liquidiy for marketplaces -  toa 13

@daan_kinderfee

Magic formula for estimating your market liquidity

N = total number of potential needs

A = number of different demand

offers

B = number of different supply offers

(A * B)/N2

Page 6: Understanding liquidiy for marketplaces -  toa 13

@daan_kinderfee

Liquidity disected

No match

Page 7: Understanding liquidiy for marketplaces -  toa 13

@daan_kinderfee

Liquidity disected

Demand Supply One match

Page 8: Understanding liquidiy for marketplaces -  toa 13

@daan_kinderfee

Liquidity disected

Many matches start happening

Demand Supply

Page 9: Understanding liquidiy for marketplaces -  toa 13

@daan_kinderfee

Magic formula for estimating your market liquidity

N = total number of potential needs

A = number of different demand

offers

B = number of different supply offers

(A * B)/N2

Page 10: Understanding liquidiy for marketplaces -  toa 13

@daan_kinderfee

Understanding YOUR marketplace

Page 11: Understanding liquidiy for marketplaces -  toa 13

@daan_kinderfee

Where on the marketplace value chain are you?

Online

Classifieds Auction / Reverse

Auction Marketplaces Community

Marketplaces

Prevalent from 1990+ Prevalent from 2000+ Prevalent from 2010+

Much higher CLTV

Particularly good for marketplaces that require a large element of trust

Slightly higher CLTV

More trust & services than online classifieds

Low CLTV

Monetisation either through Ads or Subscription

Known counterparty

Handling of payment

Transactional knowledge

Additional services

Transaction made on platform

Enables user ratings

Searchable list of available offers

Low trust & low convenience

Page 12: Understanding liquidiy for marketplaces -  toa 13

@daan_kinderfee

BCG – product life cycle matrix

Online Classifieds

Auction / Reverse Auction Marketplaces

Market share %

Gro

wth

%

Community Marketplaces

Cash cows Low investment requirements High margins / cash flows Slowing growth (imminent)

In early growth phase Rising stars & questions marks Showing huge growth

Page 13: Understanding liquidiy for marketplaces -  toa 13

@daan_kinderfee

Number of sides on your marketplace?

Hard to get liquid Impossible to get liquid

One-sided marketplace

1.7-sided marketplace

2-sided marketplace

3-sided marketplace

Easier to build Easier to defend

Page 14: Understanding liquidiy for marketplaces -  toa 13

@daan_kinderfee

What type of geographical liquidity is required?

Hard to get liquid Impossible to get liquid

Location independent

Local Postal Global

Easier to build Easier to defend

Page 15: Understanding liquidiy for marketplaces -  toa 13

@daan_kinderfee

What factor does time play?

Hard to get liquid Impossible to get liquid

Time independent

12-24 hours Days Real time

Easier to build Easier to defend

Typically mobile first

Page 16: Understanding liquidiy for marketplaces -  toa 13

@daan_kinderfee

10 second breather

Page 17: Understanding liquidiy for marketplaces -  toa 13

@daan_kinderfee

Who is paying on your marketplace (and in what currency)?

Babysitter / Supply Parent / Demand

Page 18: Understanding liquidiy for marketplaces -  toa 13

@daan_kinderfee

Who is paying on your marketplace (and in what currency)?

Host / Supply Guest / Demand

Page 19: Understanding liquidiy for marketplaces -  toa 13

@daan_kinderfee

Who is paying on your marketplace (and in what currency)?

Car owner / Supply Driver / Demand

Page 20: Understanding liquidiy for marketplaces -  toa 13

@daan_kinderfee

Who is paying on your marketplace (and in what currency)?

User

Page 21: Understanding liquidiy for marketplaces -  toa 13

@daan_kinderfee

< <

In general...

Page 22: Understanding liquidiy for marketplaces -  toa 13

@daan_kinderfee

< <

In general...

The side that is paying in trust is always harder to get liquid.

Page 23: Understanding liquidiy for marketplaces -  toa 13

@daan_kinderfee

< <

In general...

The side that is paying in trust is always harder to get liquid.

Money is plentiful – trust isn‘t!

Page 24: Understanding liquidiy for marketplaces -  toa 13

@daan_kinderfee

5 second breather

Page 25: Understanding liquidiy for marketplaces -  toa 13

@daan_kinderfee

Page 26: Understanding liquidiy for marketplaces -  toa 13

@daan_kinderfee

Typical transaction USD 80 per night 4 nights = USD 320 15% fee = USD 48

Guest Will do 1-3 trips per year

Host Can host up to 365 days per year

Please note: this example is my estimate. The data is entirely made up.

If this says USD 2 you are in

trouble

Page 27: Understanding liquidiy for marketplaces -  toa 13

@daan_kinderfee

11 tips for creating liquidity

Page 28: Understanding liquidiy for marketplaces -  toa 13

@daan_kinderfee

Design your site to create an appearance of activity

Page 29: Understanding liquidiy for marketplaces -  toa 13

@daan_kinderfee

Focus on the side that takes longer to delete their account

-> this is often the supply or content creating side

Page 30: Understanding liquidiy for marketplaces -  toa 13

@daan_kinderfee

Provide one sided utility

Page 31: Understanding liquidiy for marketplaces -  toa 13

@daan_kinderfee

Find aggregators for supply or demand

Think adjacent

Page 32: Understanding liquidiy for marketplaces -  toa 13

@daan_kinderfee

Think BIG, but START small!

Hustle! – in exponential growth every seed customer counts

Page 33: Understanding liquidiy for marketplaces -  toa 13

@daan_kinderfee

Make your community work for you

Page 34: Understanding liquidiy for marketplaces -  toa 13

@daan_kinderfee

[Scrape online listings and auto publish]

I don‘t recommend this, because it will kill your community

Page 35: Understanding liquidiy for marketplaces -  toa 13

@daan_kinderfee

Understand YOUR marketplace

Be resourceful

Page 36: Understanding liquidiy for marketplaces -  toa 13

@daan_kinderfee

Focus! Control N!

(A * B)/N2

Page 37: Understanding liquidiy for marketplaces -  toa 13

@daan_kinderfee

Curate curate curate

“Force“ matches manually – even if it won‘t scale

Page 38: Understanding liquidiy for marketplaces -  toa 13

@daan_kinderfee

Iterate around your customer

Page 39: Understanding liquidiy for marketplaces -  toa 13

@daan_kinderfee

Hang in there!!!

Page 40: Understanding liquidiy for marketplaces -  toa 13

@daan_kinderfee

Thank you


Recommended