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  • 8/9/2019 Unit 4 - Ch 13- Adjusted

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    Copyright © 2012 by McGraw-Hill RyersonLimited. ll rights reser!ed.

    Understanding Economics6th edition

    by Mark Lovewell

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    UnderstandingEconomics

    Chapter 13

    Monetary PolicyCopyright © 2012 by McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited !ll rights reser"ed

    #th editionby Mar$ Lo"ewell

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    Learning %b&ecti"es!'ter this chapter yo( will be able to)

    1 disc(ss the *an$ o' Canada and its '(nctions

    2 e+plain the tools the *an$ o' Canada (ses tocond(ct monetary policy

    3 identi'y the tradeo, between ination and(nemployment

    Copyright © 2012 by McGraw-Hill RyersonLimited. ll rights reser!ed.

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     .he *an$ o' Canada /a .he *an$ o' Canada per'orms 'o(r basic

    '(nctions)t manages the money s(pply

    t acts as the ban$ers ban$) holding deposits o' members o' the Canadian

    ayments !ssociation

    ma$ing ad"ances to C! members at the ban$ rate

    Copyright © 2012 by McGraw-Hill RyersonLimited. ll rights reser!ed.

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     .he *an$ o' Canada /bt acts as the 'ederal go"ernments 4scal agent) holding some o' the go"ernments ban$ deposits

    clearing the go"ernments che5(es

    handling the 4nancing o' the go"ernments debt byiss(ing bonds /incl(ding Canada 6a"ings *onds andtreas(ry bills

    t helps s(per"ise the operations o' 4nancial

    mar$ets to ens(re their stability .he *an$ wor$s in con&(nction with the %7ce o' the

    6(perintendent o' 8inancial nstit(tions9 and 'ollows theglobal g(idelines o' the *asel Committee on *an$ing6(per"ision

     .he s(ccess o' Canadas 4nancial s(per"ision hasrecei"ed considerable attention since the 200: creditCopyright © 2012 by McGraw-Hill RyersonLimited. ll rights reser!ed.

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     .he *an$ o' Canada /cCanadian 4nancial instit(tions were less

    a,ected by the meltdown than mostind(striali;ed co(ntriesCanadian 4nancial reg(lators had banned high-

    ris$ mortgage lending9 while Canadian 4nancialinstit(tions were less acti"e than many o' theirglobal co(nterparts in trading ris$y deri"ati"es

    Canadas large ban$s had lower le"erage ratiosthan many o' their global co(nterparts

     .he Canadian property mar$et had nots(cc(mbed to the same b(bble conditions as in

    some other co(ntriesCopyright © 2012 by McGraw-Hill RyersonLimited. ll rights reser!ed.

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    #

    Copyright © 2012 by McGraw-Hill RyersonLimited. ll rights reser!ed.

    "he Money Mar#et

    $%antity o& Money'( billions)

       *  o  m   i  n  a   l   +  n   t  e  r  e  s   t   R  a   t  e   '   ,   )

    0 0 0 /0 0

    1

    2

    /

    "he conomy

    Real G3'2002 ( billions)

       3  r   i  c  e   L  e  !  e   l   '   G      3   d  e   &   l  a   t  o  r 4

       2   0   0   2  5   1   0   0   )

    0 670 67/ 800 80/

    10

    10

    120

    110

    100

    a

    b

    e

    Sm0

      Sm1

    Dm

    AD0

    AD1

    AS

    3otential9%tp%t

    +nitial Recessionary Gap

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    Contractionary Monetary olicy /a

    Contractionary monetary policy is)a policy o' decreasing the money s(pply and

    raising interest rates9 which shi'ts != le'twardby a magni4ed amo(nt d(e to an initialdecrease in in"estment and the cons(mption o'd(rable goods

    (sed to eradicate an inationary gap

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    Contractionary Monetaryolicy /b8ig(re 1329 page 3>?

    Copyright © 2012 by McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited. ll rights reser!ed.

    "he Money Mar#et

    $%antity o& Money'( billions)

       *  o  m   i  n  a   l   +  n   t  e  r  e  s

       t   R  a   t  e   '   ,   )

    0 0 0 /0 0

    1

    2

    /

    Dm

    Sm1 Sm0

    a

    b AD1

    AS

    AD0

    e

    3otential9%tp%t

    "he conomy

    Real G3'2002 ( billions)

       3  r   i  c  e   L  e  !  e   l   '   G      3   d  e   &   l  a

       t  o  r 4

       2   0   0   2  5   1   0   0   )

    0 670 67/ 800 80/

    10

    10

    120

    110

    100

    1/0

    +nitial +n&lationary Gap

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    %pen Mar$et %perations%pen mar$et operations are a tool the *an$ o'

    Canada (ses to cond(ct monetary policy! sale o' bonds lowers a C! members deposit

    liabilities and reser"es9 which ca(ses amagni4ed decrease in the money s(pply (singthe money m(ltiplier! p(rchase o' bonds raises a C! members

    deposit liabilities and reser"es9 which ca(ses amagni4ed increase in the money s(pply (singthe money m(ltiplier

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    ! *ond 6ale8ig(re 1339 age 3>@

    Copyright © 2012 by McGraw-Hill RyersonLimited. ll rights reser!ed.

    *an$ o' Canada

    !ssets Liabilities

    Cartier *an$s =eposit -A1000*onds -A1000

    Cartier *an$

    !ssets Liabilities

    *ondholder !s =eposit -A1000Reser"es at *an$ o' Canada -A1000

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    ! *ond (rchase8ig(re 13B9 age 3#0

    Copyright © 2012 by McGraw-Hill RyersonLimited. ll rights reser!ed.

    Cartier *an$s =eposit A1000*onds A1000

    *ondholder !s =eposit A1000Reser"es at *an$ o' Canada A1000

    *an$ o' Canada

    !ssets Liabilities

    Cartier *an$

    !ssets Liabilities

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    Changes in the .arget %"ernight

    Rate /a Changing the target o"ernight rate is a tool

    the *an$ o' Canada (ses to signi'y itsmonetary policy intentionsDhen the *an$ o' Canada changes its target

    band 'or the o"ernight rate it also a(tomaticallyad&(sts the ban$ rate since this rate is at thetop end o' the target band

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    Changes in the .arget %"ernight

    Rate /b! rise in the target o"ernight rate signi4es a

    contractionary policy in the near '(t(rewhile a 'all in the target o"ernight ratesigni4es an e+pansionary policy

    ' the change in the target o"ernight rate iss(bstantial9 then deposit-ta$ers also ad&(sttheir prime rate9 which is the lowestpossible rate charged on loans to deposit-ta$ers best corporate c(stomers

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     .he *ene4ts and =rawbac$s o'

    Monetary olicyMonetary policy has two main bene4ts)t is separated 'rom day-to-day politics

    =ecisions regarding monetary policy can be made5(ic$ly

    Monetary policy has two main drawbac$s)t is less e,ecti"e as an e+pansionary tool than as

    a contractionary tool

    t cannot be 'oc(sed on partic(lar regions

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     .ypes o' nation .here are two main types o' ination)=emand-p(ll ination occ(rs as rightward shi'ts

    in the != c(r"e p(ll (p prices

    Cost-p(sh ination occ(rs as le'tward shi'ts inthe !6 c(r"e p(sh (p prices

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    =emand-(ll nation8ig(re 13>9 age 3#3

    Copyright © 2012 by McGraw-Hill RyersonLimited. ll rights reser!ed.

       3  r   i  c  e

       L  e  !  e   l    '   G      3   d

      e   &   l  a   t  o  r 4

       2   0   0   2  5   1   0   0   )

    Real G3 '2002 ( billions)

    6/0 6600

    10

    1/0

    AD0

    AD1

    AS

    b

    a

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     .he hillips C(r"e /a .he hillips c(r"e is a graph showing the

    ass(med in"erse relationship between(nemployment and ination8rom 1@#0 to 1@?2 the Canadian hillips c(r"e

    was relati"ely stable

    8rom 1@?3 to 1@:2 the Canadian hillips c(r"eshi'ted rightward res(lting in stagation

    8rom 1@:3 to 2010 stagation was re"ersed b(tno constant hillips c(r"e emerged

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     .he hillips C(r"e8ig(re 13#9 age 3#3

    Copyright © 2012 by McGraw-Hill RyersonLimited. ll rights reser!ed.

    :nemployment Rate ',)

       +  n   &   l  a   t   i  o  n   R  a   t  e

       '   ,   )

    0 2 8 10

    2

    8

    10

    b

    a

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    Cost-(sh nation8ig(re 13:9 age 3#>

    Copyright © 2012 by McGraw-Hill RyersonLimited. ll rights reser!ed.

    Real G3 '2002 ( billions)

       3  r   i  c

      e   L  e  !  e   l    '   G      3   d  e   &   l  a   t  o  r 4

       2   0   0   2  5   1   0   0   )

    6/0 660

    10

    0

    1/0

    AD

    AS0

    AS1

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     .he 6el'-6tabili;ing

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     .he 6el'-6tabili;ing

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    Money Matters /aMilton 8riedman was a leading s(pporter o'

    monetarism9 which stresses the in(ence o'money in the economyCentral to monetarism is the "elocity o' money

    /E9 which is the n(mber o' times money is spenton 4nal goods and ser"ices d(ring a gi"en year

    E is 'o(nd by di"iding nominal G= by the money

    s(pply /M

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    Money Matters /b .hese calc(lations lead to the e5(ation o'

    e+change9 M + E F + 9 where is the pricele"el and is the le"el o' real o(tp(t

    !ccording to the 5(antity theory o' money9accepted by monetarists9 both E and arerelati"ely stable9 which means thatad&(stments in are d(e to changes in M

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    Money Matters /c*ased on 8riedmans theories9 monetarists

    consider "ariations in the money s(pply to bethe most signi4cant 'actor in the economy9

    with changes in M translating immediatelyinto changes in nominal G= and the pricele"el

    !ccording to monetarists9 central ban$ssho(ld not (se discretionary policy9 b(t adopta set monetary r(le instead

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    ! Crisis .oo 8ar /%LC

     .he 200: Meltdown .he credit meltdown o' 200: was the most

    serio(s 4nancial crisis since the 1@2@ crash n6eptember) .wo 6 p(blic-sponsored mortgage pro"iders

    8reddie Mac and 8annie Mae were nationali;ed

    Lehman *rothers 'aced ban$r(ptcy9 and the 6go"ernment too$ o"er mega-ins(rer !G

    n %ctober9 stoc$ mar$ets t(mbled worldwide9and the ban$ing systems in se"eral co(ntrieswere on the "erge o' collapse

    Go"ernments responded with emergencymeas(res

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      .he Meltdowns Ca(ses

    /a! spec(lati"e b(bble in real estate began in

    many co(ntries in the 1@@0s9 dri"en by ane+tended period o' low interest ratesn the 69 the b(bble was worsened d(e to the

    a"ailability o' s(bprime mortgages geared toborrowers with wea$ credit ratings9 partlythan$s to the bac$ing o' 8reddie Mac and

    8annie Mae

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      .he Meltdowns Ca(ses

    /bCollaterali;ed debt obligations /C=%s are

    collections o' a certain class o' sec(rity sold inpac$ages %riginally meant to help manage

    ris$9 they began to be (sed in spec(lati"e waysI eg the pac$aging o' C=%s based onmortgages9 especially o' the s(bprime "ariety

    Credit de'a(lt swaps /C=6s gi"e holders a

    g(arantee that the s(pplier will pay the '(ll"al(e o' the swaps (nderlying 4nancial sec(rityi' the (nderlying sec(rity de'a(lts

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      .he Meltdowns Ca(ses

    /cn the early 2000s9 C=6s began to be (sed as a

    'orm o' ins(rance on 4nancial sec(rities9 withthe 4rms iss(ing them liable to ma$e h(ge

    payments in the case o' e+tensi"e de'a(lts onthe (nderlying sec(rities

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    ! Crisis .oo 8ar /%LC

     .he Meltdowns mpact%nce the credit meltdown hit9 4rms and

    go"ernment agencies with large holdings o'C=%s9 as well as iss(ers o' C=6s9 'acedcrippling losses

     .he res(lt has been a new consens(s that

    comple+ 4nancial instr(ments re5(ires newmethods o' 4nancial reg(lation

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    Understanding Economics

    Chapter 13The End

    Copyright © 2012 by McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited !ll rights reser"ed

    #th editionby Mar$ Lo"ewell


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