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12:00 P.M. United States Department of Agriculture National Agricultural Statistics Service November Crop Production Executive Summary Lance Honig, Chief Crops Branch November 9, 2016
12:00 P.M.
United States Department of Agriculture
National Agricultural Statistics Service
November Crop ProductionExecutive Summary
Lance Honig, Chief
Crops Branch
November 9, 2016
USDA-NASS
11-9-16
Field Crops Fruit & Nuts Specialty Crops
Corn Citrus Sugarbeets
Soybeans Sugarcane
Cotton Dry Edible Peas
Rice Lentils
Peanuts Austrian Winter Peas
Sorghum Fall Potatoes
Cottonseed
Contents
USDA-NASS
11-9-16
Objective Surveys
(Size and Drop) Fruit Maturity
Survey Type Field Observations Laboratory Tests
Crops Included All Oranges, Grapefruit
Sample Size 1,801 groves 421 samples
Collection Period October 10 - 25 October 24 - 25
Testing Period October 26 - 28
Survey OverviewFlorida Citrus
USDA-NASS
11-9-16
November 2016 Crop Production
% Change % Change
From From
Crop Unit November Previous Previous
2016 Forecast Season
Production
Oranges Mil Tons 5.32 +1.7 -10.0
Grapefruit Thou Tons 756 NC -5.9
Tangerines &
MandarinsThou Tons 992 -0.5 +6.1
12.7
13.7
9.80
13.0
12.2 12.4
11.5
12.9
9.309.02
7.63
10.1
9.10
8.24
8.91 8.98
8.27
6.776.35
5.91
5.32
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017
Million Tons
Orange ProductionUnited States
USDA-NASS
11-9-16
USDA-NASS
11-9-16
Ag Yield Objective Yield
Survey Type Farmer Reported Field Measurement
Crops Included Field Crops Corn, Cotton, Soybeans
Sample Size 8,856 4,952
Collection Period Oct 29 – Nov 4 Oct 25 – Nov 1
Survey Overview
USDA-NASS
11-9-16
November 2016 Crop Production
% Change % Change
From From
Crop Unit November Previous Previous
2016 Forecast Season
Corn
Harvested Mil Ac 86.8 NC +7.5
Yield Bu/Ac 175.3 +1.1 +4.1
Production Bil Bu 15.2 +1.1 +11.9
9.23 9.21
9.769.43
9.92 9.50
8.97
10.1
11.8
11.1
10.5
13.0
12.0
13.1
12.4 12.3
10.8
13.814.2
13.6
15.2
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Billion BushelsCorn for Grain Production
United States
USDA-NASS
11-9-16
USDA-NASS
11-9-16
2004
20052006 2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
20142015
Aug-16
Sep-16Oct-16Nov-16
0.260
0.270
0.280
0.290
0.300
0.310
0.320
0.330
0.340
0.350
0.360
0.370
25,000 25,500 26,000 26,500 27,000 27,500 28,000 28,500 29,000 29,500
Lbs/Ear
Ears Per Acre
Corn Objective Yield RegionEars Per Acre vs. Implied Ear Weight
Implied Ear Weight = (Published Yield * 56) / Ears
USDA-NASS
11-9-16
USDA-NASS
11-9-16
Year Dent Stage Mature
Percent
2012 < 0.5 95
2013 < 0.5 86
2014 < 0.5 96
2015 < 0.5 96
2016 < 0.5 96
Corn Objective Yield - NovemberPercent of Samples Processed in the Lab
USDA-NASS
11-9-16
November 2016 Crop Production
% Change % Change
From From
Crop Unit November Previous Previous
2016 Forecast Season
Soybeans
Harvested Mil Ac 83.0 NC +1.6
Yield Bu/Ac 52.5 +2.1 +9.4
Production Bil Bu 4.36 +2.2 +11.1
2.38
2.69 2.742.65
2.76
2.89
2.76
2.45
3.12 3.073.20
2.68
2.97
3.36 3.33
3.10 3.04
3.36
3.93 3.93
4.36
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
4.00
4.50
5.00
1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Billion BushelsSoybean Production
United States
USDA-NASS
11-9-16
USDA-NASS
11-9-16
2004
2005
2006
20072008
2009
20102011
2012
2013 20142015
Sep-16Oct -16
Nov-16
0.260
0.265
0.270
0.275
0.280
0.285
0.290
0.295
0.300
0.305
0.310
0.315
0.320
0.325
0.330
0.335
0.340
0.345
0.350
1,400 1,450 1,500 1,550 1,600 1,650 1,700 1,750 1,800 1,850 1,900
Grams/Pod
Pods Per 18 Square Feet
Soybean Objective Yield RegionPods Per 18 Square Feet vs. Implied Pod Weight
Implied Pod Weight = (Published Yield / Pods) /0.0889
USDA-NASS
11-9-16
USDA-NASS
11-9-16
Year Mature
Percent
2012 94
2013 73
2014 92
2015 95
2016 93
Soybean Objective Yield - NovemberPercent of Samples Processed in the Lab
USDA-NASS
11-9-16
November 2016 Crop Production
% Change % Change
From From
Crop Unit October Previous Previous
2016 Forecast Season
All Cotton
Harvested Mil Ac 9.66 NC +19.6
Yield Lb/Ac 803 +0.8 +4.8
Production Mil Bls 16.2 +0.8 +25.4
18.9 18.8
13.9
17.0 17.2
20.3
17.2
18.3
23.323.9
21.6
19.2
12.812.2
18.1
15.6
17.3
12.9
16.3
12.9
16.2
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Million BalesAll Cotton Production
United States
USDA-NASS
11-9-16
USDA-NASS
11-9-16
USDA-NASS
11-9-16
November 2016 Crop Production
% Change % Change
From From
Crop Unit November Previous Previous
2016 Forecast Season
Rice
Harvested Mil Ac 3.13 NC +21.7
Yield Lbs/Ac 7,493 -0.5 +0.3
Production Mil Cwt 235 -0.5 +22.1
USDA-NASS
11-9-16
November 2016 Crop Production
% Change % Change
From From
Crop Unit November Previous Previous
2016 Forecast Season
Peanuts
Harvested Mil Ac 1.59 NC +1.7
Yield Lbs/Ac 3,934 -1.1 +2.3
Production Bil Lbs 6.24 -1.1 +4.0
USDA-NASS
11-9-16
November 2016 Crop Production
% Change % Change
From From
Crop Unit November Previous Previous
2016 Forecast Season
Sorghum
Harvested Mil Ac 6.05 NC -23.0
Yield Bu/Ac 76.5 -0.9 +0.7
Production Mil Bu 462 -1.0 -22.6
USDA-NASS
11-9-16
November 2016 Crop Production
% Change % Change
From From
Crop Unit November Previous Previous
2016 Forecast Season
Production
Sugarcane Mil Tons 33.5 -0.7 +3.9
Sugarbeets Mil Tons 36.6 +0.9 +3.5
USDA-NASS
11-9-16
November 2016 Crop Production
% Change % Change
From From
Crop Unit November Previous Previous
2016 Forecast Year
Production
Cottonseed Mil Tons 5.16 +1.0 +27.6
Fall Potatoes Mil Cwt 405 NA +0.1
USDA-NASS
11-9-16
November 2016 Crop Production
% Change % Change
From From
Crop Unit November Previous Previous
2016 Forecast Season
Production
A. Winter Peas Thou Cwt 444 NA +70.8
Dry Edible Peas Mil Cwt 27.1 NA +48.1
Lentils Mil Cwt 12.4 NA +135.7
USDA-NASS
11-9-16
Release Date Report Title
November 17 Farm Labor
November 18 Cattle on Feed
November 30 Agricultural Prices
December 1
CAIR: Cotton
CAIR: Oilseed Crushing
CAIR: Fats & Oils
December 9 Crop Production
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