Unlocking Opportunities for Climate Responsive Development of Energy
in African Cities
Friday, 11th November 11am
Agenda
Session Chair: Daniel Werner, EUEI PDF
Moderator: Jens Drillisch, KfW Development Bank
Key note speech: Jean Pierre Elong Mbassi, UCLG Africa
• EUEI PDF study: Silvia Escudero, EUEI PDF
• Panel discussion: Sustainable energy in municipalities
Mohammed Sefiani, Mayor of Chefchaouen
Vera Rodenhoff , German Ministry of Environment (BMUB) Caroline Huwiler, Institute for Development, Environment&Energy (IDE-E) John Dulac, International Energy Agency (IEA) Meggan Spires, ICLEI Africa Vincent Kitio, UN-HABITAT
• Q&A
• Session summary and way forward
Unlocking Opportunities for Climate Responsive Development
of Energy in African Cities
EU Energy Initiative Partnership Dialogue Facility (EUEI-PDF) Future Energy Scenarios for African Cities Unlocking Opportunities for Climate Responsive Development
Urban Growth Rate in Africa
Future Energy Scenarios for African Cities - Unlocking Opportunities for Climate Responsive Development 2
Urban Growth Rate in Africa
Sou
rce:
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w.m
ccro
w.o
rg.u
k
Future Energy Scenarios for African Cities - Unlocking Opportunities for Climate Responsive Development
Megatrends: Urbanisation Scope and Space
Dar es Salaam, Tanzania Hangzhou, China Willingboro, NJ, USA
3
Slum Population in Urban Africa
Future Energy Scenarios for African Cities - Unlocking Opportunities for Climate Responsive Development 4
Slum Population in Urban Africa
Future Energy Scenarios for African Cities - Unlocking Opportunities for Climate Responsive Development
Objectives of Strategic Foresight – Energy Scenarios 2050
Classify drivers for change and wild cards to improve risk management
Break down complexity of urban planning (inter-sectorial inputs)
Identify the main megatrends that will shape the future of African cities
Support long term strategic planning
7
PLAN
IMPLEMENT
EVALUATE
Future Energy Scenarios for African Cities - Unlocking Opportunities for Climate Responsive Development
Application of Strategic Foresight – Energy Scenarios 2050
Review of impacts & outcomes
Revision of scenario
framework
Consider new risks and opportunities
Long term needs assessment
Scenario analysis for options appraisal
Strategy & plan based on scenario
implications & recommendations
8
Future Energy Scenarios for African Cities - Unlocking Opportunities for Climate Responsive Development
The Scenarios
Reliance on a centralised energy
model
Strong climate commitment, weak
enforcement
Technology enabled growth
Green growth city expansion
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Future Energy Scenarios for African Cities - Unlocking Opportunities for Climate Responsive Development
Selected results of Scenario Analysis
Public institutions: Vertical integration of governance between the national and municipal
level is necessary to achieve action locally
Civil Society/Informal sector: 70% of urban population lives in slums. Innovative solutions to address issues in informal settlements need to
be developed e.g. lack of energy access
Private sector and financing institutions: Financing possibilities for renewable energy and
energy efficiency in municipalities need to be developed
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Example: Scenario 4 – Technology enabled growth
Future Energy Scenarios for African Cities - Unlocking Opportunities for Climate Responsive Development
• Private-sector leading technological progress and outpacing action in governments (similar to the telecommunications sector)
• Widespread decentralised solutions emerging
• Role of vertically integrated local utilities diminished
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Future Energy Scenarios for African Cities - Unlocking Opportunities for Climate Responsive Development
Key messages of Strategic Foresight - Energy Scenarios 2050
Strategic Foresight is a powerful instrument to support long term planning
Megatrends shaping the future of African cities: urban population growth, economic growth, increasing energy demand, climate
risks, progress in health&education
Success of the global climate agreement largely
depends on action in cities which consume 80% of total energy & release 75% of global CO2
13
Silvia Escudero EUEI PDF Project Manager
www.euei-pdf.org
Thank you for your attention!
Mohammed Sefiani, Mayor of Chefchaouen Vera Rodenhoff , German Ministry of Environment
(BMUB) Caroline Huwiler, Institute for Development,
Environment and Energy (IDE-E) John Dulac, International Energy Agency (IEA) Meggan Spires, ICLEI Africa Vincent Kitio, UN-HABITAT
Panel discussion: Sustainable energy in municipalities
Backup
Urban policy landscape: Kampala, Uganda
CIT
Y A
UT
HO
RIT
Y
NA
TIO
NA
L
Electricity Access Renewable Energy Planning & Construction Transport
Future Energy Scenarios for African Cities - Unlocking Opportunities for Climate Responsive Development
UMEME: distribution
Stand-alone
applications
(streetlights) Building licensing
Spatial / urban planning
Distributed renewable
energy retail (e.g. pico-
PV lease) Public infrastructure
Transport planning &
regulation
Public transport
provision
Road works
Regulator (ERA): feed-in regulations, standards,
tenders / licensing
Energy supply policy
Grid extension
(UEDCL)
Development Planning
IPPs: electricity generation
Electricity transmission (UETCL) Works & Transport
Energy Efficiency policy
Housing
Spatial /urban planning
law
Building Code
Urban policy landscape: South Africa
MU
NIC
IPA
L
NA
TIO
NA
L
Regulator; RE Tenders (NERSA), Guidelines /
Standards
Electricity Access Renewable Energy
Energy policy framework
Planning & Construction Transport
National building
standards
IPPs
electricity purchase & distribution (60%)
local feed-in regulations
transport planning &
regulation building licensing
ESKOM: electricity production, RE and EE schemes
public transport
grid extension
PR
OV
INC
IAL
public transport
provision
Spatial & Urban
Planning
Environmental Planning
rail transport, incl.
Metrorail Housing
Housing
housing provision by-laws, e.g. electr.
tariffs
EE policies and promotion programs
Future Energy Scenarios for African Cities - Unlocking Opportunities for Climate Responsive Development