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Updates on Developments of China’s National ETS LIU Wenbo Ha Noi 18 October, 2016 1
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Page 1: Updates on Developments of China’s National ETS · of China’s National ETS LIU Wenbo Ha Noi 18 October, 2016 1. 2 PART ONE Overall Plan of China’s National ETS . Roadmap of

Updates on Developments of China’s National ETS

LIU Wenbo Ha Noi

18 October, 2016

1

Page 2: Updates on Developments of China’s National ETS · of China’s National ETS LIU Wenbo Ha Noi 18 October, 2016 1. 2 PART ONE Overall Plan of China’s National ETS . Roadmap of

2

PART ONE Overall Plan of China’s National ETS

Page 3: Updates on Developments of China’s National ETS · of China’s National ETS LIU Wenbo Ha Noi 18 October, 2016 1. 2 PART ONE Overall Plan of China’s National ETS . Roadmap of

Roadmap of National ETS

NDRC

Local DRCs

Enterprise

2014 2014-2016 2017-2019

• Release National ETS Regulations • Promote history data reporting and verification • Implement allowance allocation

• Phase I: • Launch of National ETS implementation

• Phase II: • Expand coverage • Improve ETS • Research linkage to international ETS

• Organize capacity building • Identify key enterprise list and organize history emission reporting and verification

• Allocate allowance based on national rule

• Annual allocate allowance • Annual reporting ,verification and compliance • Involve in national ETS improvement and innovation based on local situation

• Participate in capacity building • Develop internal carbon emission accounting and reporting system

• Fulfill reporting obligation and cooperate on verification • Non-covered enterprises could also get involved in carbon market through CCER trading

• Fulfill emission reporting and compliance obligation • Improve carbon assets investment and management • Voluntarily participate in carbon market trading and decrease emission reduction costs

• Involve in ETS improvement and innovation

After 2019

Page 4: Updates on Developments of China’s National ETS · of China’s National ETS LIU Wenbo Ha Noi 18 October, 2016 1. 2 PART ONE Overall Plan of China’s National ETS . Roadmap of

National ETS Regulation by State Council

Measures on GHG emission

reporting

Measures on verification

entity

Measures on trading

behavior

Measures on offset Legislation and

its Supporting Rules are the foundation of the National ETS

PriorityistopasstheStateCouncilETSRegula9onü  2Stakeholdersmee9ngs,1withover20ministries,1with

representa9vesofover18industrysectorsü  Legisla9veAffairsOfficesofStateCouncillistedETSRegula9onontheir

2016workplan

4

Page 5: Updates on Developments of China’s National ETS · of China’s National ETS LIU Wenbo Ha Noi 18 October, 2016 1. 2 PART ONE Overall Plan of China’s National ETS . Roadmap of

5

PART TWO Framework of the National ETS

Page 6: Updates on Developments of China’s National ETS · of China’s National ETS LIU Wenbo Ha Noi 18 October, 2016 1. 2 PART ONE Overall Plan of China’s National ETS . Roadmap of

Coverage and Scope of the national ETS

6

Sectors Sub-sectors

Petrochemical CrudeprocessingEthyleneproduc9on

Chemical Chemicalrawmaterial/Fer9lizer/Pes9cideProduc9on/Synthe9cmaterial

BuildingMaterial Cementclinkerproduc9on Plateglassproduc9on

IronandSteel Crudesteelproduc9on/Steelrolling

NonferrousMetal Electroly9caluminumCoppersmel9ng

Papermaking Pulpproduc9onPapermaking

Power Genera9onCogenera9on Grid

Avia@on PassengerairtransportAircargotransportAirports

u Threshold:EnterpriseswhoseannualCO2emissionsexceeds26,000inanyyearfrom2013to2015.

Page 7: Updates on Developments of China’s National ETS · of China’s National ETS LIU Wenbo Ha Noi 18 October, 2016 1. 2 PART ONE Overall Plan of China’s National ETS . Roadmap of

Na@on

EnterpriseN

Enterprise1

EnterpriseN

Enterprise1

ProvinceA

ProvinceG

STEP1LocalDRCcollectsdataatprovinciallevel

STEP2LocalDRCreportsdatatoNDRC

STEP3NDRCdecidesthecap,consideringGDPgrowthandreduc9oncontribu9ons,higherthanna9onalemissionreduc9ontargets

STEP4NDRCdecidesthecapofeachprovince

STEP5LocalDRCallocatestheallowancetoenterprises

Emissions Cap of the National ETSC

Page 8: Updates on Developments of China’s National ETS · of China’s National ETS LIU Wenbo Ha Noi 18 October, 2016 1. 2 PART ONE Overall Plan of China’s National ETS . Roadmap of

benchmark

ü  Production ü  Benchmark

ü  Production ü  historical emission

intensity ü  Annual reduction

Rate

Allocation plan of the National ETS

8

Historical Intensity

Page 9: Updates on Developments of China’s National ETS · of China’s National ETS LIU Wenbo Ha Noi 18 October, 2016 1. 2 PART ONE Overall Plan of China’s National ETS . Roadmap of

1 •  24 Guideline for Monitoring and Reporting Verification Guidelines •  Accreditation Rules for Third Party Verifiers

3 NDRC to announce list of nationally accredited 3rd party verifiers in 2017

2

MRV system of the national ETS

9

•  Provincial DRCs select qualified verifiers •  Provincial DRCs organized reporting and

verifications according to above rules

Page 10: Updates on Developments of China’s National ETS · of China’s National ETS LIU Wenbo Ha Noi 18 October, 2016 1. 2 PART ONE Overall Plan of China’s National ETS . Roadmap of

Registry System

Main registry

Backup registry 2

Backup registry 1

10

Page 11: Updates on Developments of China’s National ETS · of China’s National ETS LIU Wenbo Ha Noi 18 October, 2016 1. 2 PART ONE Overall Plan of China’s National ETS . Roadmap of

Regulatory Bodies of the National ETS

11

NDRC Local DRCs

coveragescopeandthreshold Coverage Iden9fyandproducelistofcoveredenterprises

Decidethecap Thecap -

Establishna9onalalloca9onplan Alloca@on Implementalloca9on

Establishmethodologiesandstandards MRV Organizerepor9ngandverifica9on

compliance rules, including punitive measures Compliance Compliance enforcement and

management

Establish and manage the system Registration System

Manage provincial-level Registries activities.

Establish trading rules, specify the trading institution Trading

supervise the transactions within the region

Page 12: Updates on Developments of China’s National ETS · of China’s National ETS LIU Wenbo Ha Noi 18 October, 2016 1. 2 PART ONE Overall Plan of China’s National ETS . Roadmap of

Offsetting under the National ETS

12

u Thena9onalCCERsystemhasbeenopera9ngforover3years,suppor9ngoffsetmarketofthepilots.

u Windpower,solarPV,hydropowerandhouseholdbiogasarethemostpopularprojecttypes

Wind35%

SolarPV19%

Householdbiogas16%

Hydro13%

Biomassgenera@on

6%Other11%

IssuedCCERbyprojectnumbers

Wind24%

SolarPV5%

Householdbiogas12%

Hydro25%

Biomassgenera@on

5%

Other29%

IssuedCCERbyvolume

Page 13: Updates on Developments of China’s National ETS · of China’s National ETS LIU Wenbo Ha Noi 18 October, 2016 1. 2 PART ONE Overall Plan of China’s National ETS . Roadmap of

Trading Platforms of the national ETS

13

u MarketoversightatCentralLevelu SecondaryTradingMarketinExchangesu 9ExchangesalreadyapprovedbyNDRC

Ø  7inthepilotregionsØ  2innon-pilotregions,1inSichuanand1inFujian

u Exchangeswillgraduallydevelopspecificbusinessmodels,withsomefocusonCCERtradingandothersfocusonfinancialda9ves

Page 14: Updates on Developments of China’s National ETS · of China’s National ETS LIU Wenbo Ha Noi 18 October, 2016 1. 2 PART ONE Overall Plan of China’s National ETS . Roadmap of

14

PART Three Progress of China’s National ETS

Page 15: Updates on Developments of China’s National ETS · of China’s National ETS LIU Wenbo Ha Noi 18 October, 2016 1. 2 PART ONE Overall Plan of China’s National ETS . Roadmap of

Capacity Building

15

u 7na9onalETStrainingcentersestablishedu Unifiedna9onaltrainingmaterialspreparedu MoreETStechnicalcentersaretobeestablishedu Itises9matedOver22,000peoplehavebeentrainedinnearly200trainingsessions

u Targetedgroupsincludeofficials,enterpriserepresenta9vesandthirdpartyverifiers

Page 16: Updates on Developments of China’s National ETS · of China’s National ETS LIU Wenbo Ha Noi 18 October, 2016 1. 2 PART ONE Overall Plan of China’s National ETS . Roadmap of

Software

16

ElectronicRepor@ngSystem

Supports:•  Datarepor9ngby

enterprises•  Verifica9onbyDOE•  Governmentdata

management

NCSCSinoCarbon

Page 17: Updates on Developments of China’s National ETS · of China’s National ETS LIU Wenbo Ha Noi 18 October, 2016 1. 2 PART ONE Overall Plan of China’s National ETS . Roadmap of

Market Oversight

17

u GeneralPrinciple:TerritorialJurisdic9ons,toberegulatedbylocalauthority

u SpecialOccasions:ü  TheAvia9onSectorü  ElectricVehicles

Page 18: Updates on Developments of China’s National ETS · of China’s National ETS LIU Wenbo Ha Noi 18 October, 2016 1. 2 PART ONE Overall Plan of China’s National ETS . Roadmap of

18

PART Four From Pilots to Unified National ETS

Page 19: Updates on Developments of China’s National ETS · of China’s National ETS LIU Wenbo Ha Noi 18 October, 2016 1. 2 PART ONE Overall Plan of China’s National ETS . Roadmap of

Transitional Arrangements

19

u UnifiedNa9onalETSü  UnifiedRulesonMRVü  UnifiedRulesoncapseangandalloca9onü  UnifiedRulesonTradingü  UnifiedThresholdforCoverage,enterprisescoveredunderpilot

programsmaycon9nuetobecoveredunderna9onalETSu CarryoverofPilotsAllowances?

Page 20: Updates on Developments of China’s National ETS · of China’s National ETS LIU Wenbo Ha Noi 18 October, 2016 1. 2 PART ONE Overall Plan of China’s National ETS . Roadmap of

20

PART Five Outlooks and Expectations

Page 21: Updates on Developments of China’s National ETS · of China’s National ETS LIU Wenbo Ha Noi 18 October, 2016 1. 2 PART ONE Overall Plan of China’s National ETS . Roadmap of

Price of Carbon

21

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

AveragePrice(

US$/ton

DailyAveragePriceofOnlineTradinginPilots(US$/ton) Shenzhen Shanghai Beijing Guangdong Tianjin Hubei Chongqing

u Pricingthecarbonü  ETSforKeyIndustrialSectorsü  CarbonTaxfornon-ETSsectorsager2020

u CarbonPrice:30RMBandexpec9ngtobeashighas300RMBperton

Page 22: Updates on Developments of China’s National ETS · of China’s National ETS LIU Wenbo Ha Noi 18 October, 2016 1. 2 PART ONE Overall Plan of China’s National ETS . Roadmap of

Trading Products

22

Allowances CCERs EVAllowances

SpotTrading

Deriva@vesTrading

Page 23: Updates on Developments of China’s National ETS · of China’s National ETS LIU Wenbo Ha Noi 18 October, 2016 1. 2 PART ONE Overall Plan of China’s National ETS . Roadmap of

Pricing Signal

23

u MainlyFreeAlloca9oninthebeginningü  EstablishingtheETSandmakeitopera9onalü  Sendingsignaltoenterprisesthat“CO2emissionhasacost”

u Graduallyincreaseauc9oning

u Carbonpriceplayingasmarketsignalforlowcarbontransi9oninChina

Page 24: Updates on Developments of China’s National ETS · of China’s National ETS LIU Wenbo Ha Noi 18 October, 2016 1. 2 PART ONE Overall Plan of China’s National ETS . Roadmap of

Thank You

LIU Wenbo CPMR Project Coordinator

[email protected]

24


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