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Updating Companies Created by Lynn Ostrem Crow River Investment Club .

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Updating Companies Created by Lynn Ostrem Crow River Investment Club www.bivio.com/crowriver
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Page 1: Updating Companies Created by Lynn Ostrem Crow River Investment Club .

Updating Companies

Created by Lynn OstremCrow River Investment Club

www.bivio.com/crowriver

Page 2: Updating Companies Created by Lynn Ostrem Crow River Investment Club .

What’s this all About?When we originally purchased our stocks, we

looked for 3 things:

1. Good strong fundamentals;

2. Good future growth prospects; and

3. At what price the stock was attractive;

Page 3: Updating Companies Created by Lynn Ostrem Crow River Investment Club .

Why Update? To make sure the fundamentals haven’t

changed;

To make sure the stock is growing at the rate we intended; and

To determine whether or not the price merits adding to our position.

Page 4: Updating Companies Created by Lynn Ostrem Crow River Investment Club .

What do we Monitor and When?

Page 5: Updating Companies Created by Lynn Ostrem Crow River Investment Club .

1. Monthly – we update the Price

2. New Value Line –we update the Basic Data

3. Quarterly – we update Sales, Pre-Tax Profit, Earnings and Taxes

4. Annually – we update year-end screen

5. Whenever a material event changes our numbers – stock splits, restatements, etc.

Page 6: Updating Companies Created by Lynn Ostrem Crow River Investment Club .

Monthly

Price:

With our SSG judgments in place, we want to update the price to see if it falls within our buy range.

Page 7: Updating Companies Created by Lynn Ostrem Crow River Investment Club .

When do we get the price?

Friday before the meeting, after Market Close (4 p.m. CST)

Where do we get the price?

Our Bivio WebsiteAny Financial Website Automatically from the Internet

Page 8: Updating Companies Created by Lynn Ostrem Crow River Investment Club .

from our Bivio Website

Page 9: Updating Companies Created by Lynn Ostrem Crow River Investment Club .

from www.multexinvestor.com

Page 10: Updating Companies Created by Lynn Ostrem Crow River Investment Club .

from the Internet

Just click and go!

Page 11: Updating Companies Created by Lynn Ostrem Crow River Investment Club .

Where do we put the Price?

Page 12: Updating Companies Created by Lynn Ostrem Crow River Investment Club .

New Value Line

Page 13: Updating Companies Created by Lynn Ostrem Crow River Investment Club .

Quarterly

Page 14: Updating Companies Created by Lynn Ostrem Crow River Investment Club .

Do you see all 4 boxes??

Page 15: Updating Companies Created by Lynn Ostrem Crow River Investment Club .

If not: Click on Preferences --

Then on Stock Study --

Page 16: Updating Companies Created by Lynn Ostrem Crow River Investment Club .

Now click on the last option…followed by the OK button

Page 17: Updating Companies Created by Lynn Ostrem Crow River Investment Club .

Now you will see 4 boxes!1. Make sure the quarter is correct.2. Then enter the 4 numbers.

Page 18: Updating Companies Created by Lynn Ostrem Crow River Investment Club .

How do we Line up Quarters?

Let’s look on the Value Line…

Page 19: Updating Companies Created by Lynn Ostrem Crow River Investment Club .

Last 5 non-bold and non-italicized numbers whenfilling out a new SSG.

Page 20: Updating Companies Created by Lynn Ostrem Crow River Investment Club .

To find the correct year-end, use Footnote A on the Value Line…

Page 21: Updating Companies Created by Lynn Ostrem Crow River Investment Club .

Where do we get PTP & Taxes?

Answer: The Income Statement

SEC Filing 10Q from Edgar Company’s Annual Report Multex Investor Website Company Press Releases Or, the NAIC datafiles (automatically)

Page 22: Updating Companies Created by Lynn Ostrem Crow River Investment Club .

The Income Statement

The 4 items we need to find on the Income Statement are:

Total Net Sales or Revenues Income Before Taxes (Pre-Tax Profit) Income Taxes Diluted Earnings Per Share

Page 23: Updating Companies Created by Lynn Ostrem Crow River Investment Club .

In most cases, we willRound to 1 decimal…Sales 767.4PTP 51.6Taxes 17.4Expect EPS (.34)

Page 24: Updating Companies Created by Lynn Ostrem Crow River Investment Club .

Why do we track these items?Answer:

These are the fundamentals that will help us determine whether or not management is doing a good job.

We need them for the Pert Report…coming up in our next study.

Page 25: Updating Companies Created by Lynn Ostrem Crow River Investment Club .

Annual Update

Page 26: Updating Companies Created by Lynn Ostrem Crow River Investment Club .

Annual Update

Page 27: Updating Companies Created by Lynn Ostrem Crow River Investment Club .

Annual Update

New row for completed year!

Page 28: Updating Companies Created by Lynn Ostrem Crow River Investment Club .

Annual UpdateEvery year, we will also do the following:

Review Company’s Annual Filings Update the SSG Review our judgments Report on our findings to the club

Page 29: Updating Companies Created by Lynn Ostrem Crow River Investment Club .

Material EventsA Material Event will change our SSGs. Here’s

an example or two that could cause this:

Stock Split Restatement of financials

AcquisitionSale of a divisionAccounting error, orFASB accounting change

Page 30: Updating Companies Created by Lynn Ostrem Crow River Investment Club .

Stock Split

When a stock splits, we get twice as many shares but our price is cut in half. We can handle this by clicking here:

Page 31: Updating Companies Created by Lynn Ostrem Crow River Investment Club .

Stock Split

When the Split Box appears, you simply add the splitinformation and click OK.

It will automatically split your current and historical shares, high and low prices and per-share figures.

Page 32: Updating Companies Created by Lynn Ostrem Crow River Investment Club .

Restatements

Double-check annualFigures every so often.

If the numbers are Different, then a re-Statement has occurred.

Re-enter all the data.

Page 33: Updating Companies Created by Lynn Ostrem Crow River Investment Club .

Recap

Stock Watchers! Every month:

Update prices Review the value items on the back of SSG Check the news Review judgments

Page 34: Updating Companies Created by Lynn Ostrem Crow River Investment Club .

Recap

Quarterly:

Perform Monthly update Check for a new Value Line Update Sales, PTP, Taxes & EPS And listen to conference calls!

Page 35: Updating Companies Created by Lynn Ostrem Crow River Investment Club .

Recap

Annually:

Update all aspects of the SSG Read company’s annual report Review judgments Provide club with a full annual update

Page 36: Updating Companies Created by Lynn Ostrem Crow River Investment Club .

Recap

And, every now and then, check for restatements and new Value Line information.

Page 37: Updating Companies Created by Lynn Ostrem Crow River Investment Club .

Questions??

Next Month:We start our series on the PERT Report


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