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ot for Retail Clients
US Real Estate Market Outlook 01
lobal Asset anagement eal state esearch & trategy
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Asset managementeal estate research & strategy
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Dear Reader,
6#43FBMTUBUF3FTFBSDI4USBUFHZPODFBHBJOPFSTB64NBSLFUQFSTQFDUJWFJOPVSUS Real Estate Market Outlook 2012.
5IJTSFQPSUQSFTFOUTBDPMMFDUJPOPGFDPOPNJDDBQJUBMNBSLFUTBOESFBMFTUBUFSFMBUFEEBUBBDDPNQBOJFECZUIFDPMMFDUJWFJOUFSQSFUBUJPOPGUIF4USBUFHZ5FBN5IFPCKFDUJWFJTUPQSPWJEFBHFOFSBMTUSBUFHJDGSBNFXPSLGSPNXIJDIQPSUGPMJPNBOBHFSTDBOCVJMETQFDJDQMBOTUPNFFUJOEJWJEVBMHPBMT5IFJODMVEFEPQJOJPOTXFSFGPSNFECZFWBMVBUJOHUIFHFOFSBMFDPOPNJDBOEDBQJUBMDPOEJUJPOTPGUIFOBUJPOBOEUIFDPMMFDUJWFNBSLFUDPOEJUJPOTPGNFUSPQPMJUBOBSFBTTIPXOCFMPX
0VSFDPOPNJDPVUMPPLIBTDIBOHFEMJUUMFPWFSUIFQBTUUXPZFBST'PMMPXJOHUIFTFWFSFSFDFTTJPOFOEJOHXFIBWFXPSLFEXJUIUIFFYQFDUBUJPOUIBUUIFPWFSBMMFDPOPNZXJMMGPMMPXBCVNQZBOETMPXQBUIXJUIBQPTJUJWFUSFOE5IFSFDFOUQBUI
IBTDFSUBJOMZCFFOCVNQZCVUUIFQPTJUJWFUSFOEIPMETUSVF0VSDVSSFOUFYQFDUBUJPOJTUIBUUIJTQBUUFSOXJMMDPOUJOVFBTUIFFOWJSPONFOUTUBCJMJ[FT
0OFPGUIFNPTUJOUFSFTUJOHTVHHFTUJPOTNJHIUCFUIFJEFBUIBU64DPNNFSDJBMSFBMFTUBUFJTJOFYQFOTJWFPOBSFMBUJWFCBTJTBSMZJOTPNFQFPQMFXIPXBUDIFEDPSFDBQSBUFTEFDMJOFNBEFUIFDMBJNUIBUDPSFBTTFUTXFSFPWFSQSJDFE.JEZFBSXFPFSFEBSFQPSUTBZJOHUIBUUIFVODFSUBJOUZJOUIFNBSLFUMFEJOWFTUPSTUPNPSFDPOTFSWBUJWFJOWFTUNFOUTBOEUIBUXFCFMJFWFEUIFNBSLFUXBTQSJDJOHSJTLDPSSFDUMZ*OUIF$BQJUBM.BSLFUTTFDUJPOPGUIJTSFQPSUXFDPNQBSFUIFGBMMJOHJOJUJBMSFBMFTUBUFZJFMETUP5SFBTVSZSBUFTBOEEJTDPWFSUIBUQSFNJVNTBSFBTIJHIUPEBZBTUXPZFBSTBHP
6#4(MPCBM3FBMTUBUFIBT64%CJMMJPOVOEFSNBOBHFNFOUXJUIEJSFDUQSPQFSUZJOWFTUNFOUTJO$POUJOFOUBMVSPQF+BQBOUIF6,BOE64BOEJOQVCMJDMZUSBEFESFBMFTUBUFTFDVSJUJFTXPSMEXJEF5IFSNTHMPCBMFYQFSJFODFJOSFBMFTUBUFTFDVSJUJFTNBOBHFNFOUQSJWBUFSFBMFTUBUFJOWFTUNFOUDPNNFSDJBMNPSUHBHFOBODJOHBOETFDVSJUJ[BUJPOBOESJTLNBOBHFNFOUJTJOWBMVBCMFUPPVSNBSLFUVOEFSTUBOEJOH8JUIJO(MPCBM3FBMTUBUF64PVSFYQFSJFODFJODMVEFTZFBSTNBOBHJOHQSJWBUFFRVJUZSFBMFTUBUF5IFSNIBTBDRVJSFENPSFUIBOBTTFUTBOETPMENPSFUIBO64"6.FYDFFEFE64%CJMMJPOBTPG
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US Real Estate Market Outlook 2012JTB6#44USBUFHZ5FBNQSPEVDU1BSUJDJQBOUTGSPNBDRVJTJUJPOTBTTFUNBOBHFNFOUQPSUGPMJPNBOBHFNFOUDMJFOUTFSWJDFBOE4FOJPS.BOBHFNFOUDPOUSJCVUFUPUIFTUSBUFHZEFWFMPQNFOU3FTFBSDI4USBUFHZBDDFQUTUIFSFTQPOTJCJMJUZGPSQSFTFOUJOHUIFWJFXTPGUIFFOUJSFUFBN
incerely
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(MPCBM)FBEPG3FBMTUBUFesearch & trategy lobal Asset anagementXJMMJBNIVHIFT!VCTDPN
est
idwest
outh
ast
regions
65 property markets indicated by CBSA or division boundary
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Contents
ageerformance scenarios 1
conomy 2
Capital markets 7
roperty sector outlook Apartment 9
otel 11ndustrial 13
0GDF Retail 17armland 19
trategy 21
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Performance scenarios
xhibit 1 - erformance scenarios
1.6
3.4
2011
1.6
2012 forecasts
GDP (%)
Inflation (%)
0.8
7.0 Retail sales (%)
Cap rate change (bps)(40.0)
6.1
7.8
14.3
Rebound
4.0
2.2
2.3
4.0
5.5
(10.0)
5.9
5.8
11.7
Recession
(0.05)
0.5
(1.0)
(3.0)
0.0
20.0
6.0
(6.0)
0.0
Base Case
2.9
2.0
1.8
1.0
4.0
(10.0)
5.9
2.7
8.6
NOI growth (%)
Income return (%)
Appreciation (%)
Total return (%)
Employment (millions of jobs per year)
Source: UBS Global Asset Management, Real Estate Research & Strategy based ondata obtained from NCREIF, Moodys Analytics and Real Capital Analytics as ofDecember 2011. Economic series are expressed as fourth-quarter overfourth-quarter rates of change.
"TJOQSFWJPVTBOOVBM0VUMPPLTXFFTUBCMJTIFEBTFUPGQPTTJCMFTDFOBSJPTGPSUIFDPNJOHZFBS5IFNBKPSJUZPGUIJTSFQPSUJTCVJMUBSPVOEUIFFYQFDUBUJPOTFTUBCMJTIFEJOUIFBaseCaseBTTIPXOJOexhibit 15IFBMUFSOBUJWFDBTFTReboundBOERecessionEPOPUTFUUIFPVUFSMJNJUTPGQPTTJCMFSFTVMUTCVUSBUIFSBDLOPXMFEHFUIBUUIFSFJTBSFBMQSPCBCJMJUZUIBUUIFNBSLFUXJMMGPMMPXBEJFSFOUQBUIBDITDFOBSJPDBTFSFQSFTFOUTBTFUPGFYQFDUBUJPOTXIJDIXPSLJODPODFSU
5IFPCKFDUJWFPGPFSJOHUIFTFTDFOBSJPTJTUPFTUBCMJTIBDPOTJTUFOUGSBNFPGSFGFSFODFGPSDPOTJEFSJOHGVUVSFJOWFTUNFOUT,FFQJONJOEUIBUUIFSFJTBMJNJUMFTTDPNCJOBUJPOPGOVNCFSTBDSPTTUIFTFGFXWBSJBCMFTTPXFGPDVTPOUIF
EJSFDUJPONPSFUIBOUIFBCTPMVUFHVSF%FTQJUFUIFGBDUUIBUXFVOEFSFTUJNBUFEUIFDBQSBUFEFDMJOFXFDPOUJOVFUPIPMEBTJNJMBSPVUMPPLGPSQPTJUJWFQFSGPSNBODFBUBEFDFMFSBUJOHSBUF
ase Case "TVSWFZEFTDSJQUJPOPGUIFDVSSFOUFDPOPNJDDPOEJUJPOT
GPMMPXTJOUIFOFYUTFDUJPO5IJTNBUFSJBMJTJOUFOEFEUPCFDPOTJTUFOUXJUIUIF Base CaseBTTIPXOJOUIFexhibit 1
*OHFOFSBMFDPOPNJDUFSNTXFFYQFDUBDPOUJOVBUJPOPGUIFNPEFTUFYQBOTJPOFTUBCMJTIFEPWFSUIFQBTUUXPZFBST-PPLJOHTUSJDUMZBUUIFOVNCFSTXFNJHIUBOUJDJQBUFCFUUFSQFSGPSNBODFCVUDPOTJEFSBUJPONVTUCFHJWFOUPUIFDVSSFOUCFIBWJPSBMTUBUF
3JTLPGFWFOUTUIBUNJHIUEFSBJMUIFFDPOPNZJTTJHOJDBOUJONBHOJUVEFCVUTIPXTEFDSFBTJOHQSPCBCJMJUZ"MUIPVHIUIFMJLFMJIPPEPGEJTBTUFSJTGBEJOHSFDFOUFYQFSJFODFPGUIFQBJOBTTPDJBUFEXJUIUIFDSFEJUDSJTJTJTDBVTJOHJOWFTUPSTBOEJOEJWJEVBMTUPSFTUSBJONBSLFUBDUJWJUZ
"UUIFSFBMFTUBUFMFWFMXFBOUJDJQBUFUIBUJODPNFHSPXUIXJMMJODSFBTFTMPXMZBOEDBQSBUFTXJMMDPOUJOVFBWFSZNPEFTUEFDMJOF
0VSFYQFDUBUJPOTBSFUIBUUIFSFXJMMCFBTMJHIUEFDSFBTFJO
UIFJODPNFSFUVSOBOENPSFUZQJDBMBQQSFDJBUJPOBOESFTQFDUJWFMZSFTVMUJOHJOBOUPUBMSFUVSO
Alternative cases he ReboundBOERecession cases suggest consistent
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*G$POHSFTTPFSFEBDPNQMFUFTPMVUJPOUPEFBMXJUIQFOEJOHCVEHFUEFDJUTSFHBSEMFTTPGUIFESBHFYQFDUFECZ
TVDIBDUJPOTUIFSFTVMUJOHDPOEFODFDPVMEQPTTJCMZMFBEUPBOVOFYQFDUFESFCPVOE
*GUIFVSPQFBOOBUJPOTDPMMFDUJWFMZGFMMJOUPBOVOBOUJDJQBUFEEFFQSFDFTTJPOUIFDPOUBHJPODPVMEEFSBJMUIFCVJMEJOHTUSFOHUIJOUIF64BOEDBVTFBOFXSFDFTTJPO
5IFTFBSFUXPFYUSFNFTPGUIFNBOZQPTTJCMFEJSFDUJPOTUIFHFOFSBMFDPOPNZNBZUBLF4PNFTPMBDFMJFTJOUIFGBDUUIBUHMPCBMFDPOPNJDWBSJBCMFTBMMSFTQPOEUPDIBOHFTPFOPTFUUJOHUIFFFDUTPGFYUFSOBMTIPDLT5IFHVSFTJOPVSTDFOBSJPTDIBOHFJOBNBOOFSDPOTJTUFOUXJUIUIFTFPTFUUJOHFFDUT
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Economy
5XPWFSZEJFSFOUUZQFTPGGPSDFTBSFWZJOHUPTIBQFUIF64FDPOPNJDPVUMPPLTVQQPSUGSPNTDBMBOENPOFUBSZTUJNVMVTBOEJNCBMBODFGSPNFYUFSOBMTIPDLT5IFFDPOPNZIBTCFFOTMPXMZHBJOJOHTUSFOHUIJOSFTQPOTFUPTDBMBOENPOFUBSZQPMJDZUPPMT"GPSNJEBCMFTFSJFTPGFYUFSOBMTIPDLTIBTTPGBSQSFWFOUFEUIFSFDPWFSZGSPNFWPMWJOHJOUPBTUSPOHFSNPSFTFDVSFTFMGTVTUBJOJOHFYQBOTJPO
"CSPBESBOHFPG'FEFSBMTUJNVMVTQSPHSBNTUBYDVUTBOEFNFSHFODZVOFNQMPZNFOUCFOFUTIBWFCFFOJOTUSVNFOUBMJOTVQQPSUJOHUIFFDPOPNZTJODFUIFPOTFUPGUIFSFDFTTJPO
5IF'FEFSBM3FTFSWF#PBSEQSPWJEFEFTTFOUJBMMJRVJEJUZUP
TUBCJMJ[FOBODJBMNBSLFUTESPWFJOUFSFTUSBUFTTIBSQMZMPXFSBOEQMFEHFEUPLFFQSBUFTMPXBTMPOHBTOFDFTTBSZUPTVQQPSUUIFSFDPWFSZ
"TFSJFTPGFYUFSOBMTIPDLTUIPVHIUFNQPSBSZUPPLBUPMMPOFDPOPNJDHSPXUI5IFTFTIPDLTJODMVEFEBTIBSQSVOVQJODPNNPEJUZQSJDFTBOEUIFOBUVSBMEJTBTUFSJO+BQBOUIBUQMBZFEIBWPDXJUIHMPCBMUSBEFPXT
"NPSFTFSJPVTUZQFPGTIPDLXBTUSJHHFSFECZHSPXJOHDPODFSOTUIBUUIFQPMJUJDBMMFBEFSTIJQJOVSPQFBOEUIF6OJUFE4UBUFTNBZOPUCFDBQBCMFPGBEESFTTJOHTDBMJNCBMBODFT*NCBMBODFTXIJDIIBECFFOHSPXJOHTUFBEJMZ
PWFSUJNFSFBDIFEDSJTJTQSPQPSUJPOTGVFMFECZUIFDPTUPGDPNCBUJOHBHMPCBMSFDFTTJPO
'PSUIF64FDPOPNZUIFBase Case scenario assumes thatGVOEBNFOUBMJNQSPWFNFOUJOUIFVOEFSMZJOHFDPOPNJDTFDUPSTJTTVGDJFOUUPPTFUBNJOPSTMPXEPXOJOVSPQFBOHSPXUI1PMJDZNBLFSTJO8BTIJOHUPOBOEBCSPBENVTUTUSJLFBCBMBODFUIBUJNQPTFTTVGDJFOUTDBMBVTUFSJUZUPDBMNHMPCBMJOWFTUPSTBOETUJMMQSPWJEFTVGDJFOUTVQQPSUUPWVMOFSBCMFFDPOPNJFT5IFOFUSFTVMUJTUIBUFDPOPNJDHSPXUITIPVMEDPOUJOVFUPTUSFOHUIFOHSBEVBMMZPWFSUIFGPVSRVBSUFSTPG)PXFWFSSJTLBWFSTFSNTBSFVOMJLFMZUPDPNNJUUIFSFTPVSDFTSFRVJSFEGPSBTUSPOHFSNPSFTFDVSF64FYQBOTJPOVOUJMUIFZHFUBCFUUFSTFOTFPGIPXTPNFPGUIFNBKPSSJTLTGBDJOHUIFHMPCBM
FDPOPNZBSFHPJOHUPQMBZPVUJO
&DPOPNJDHSPXUIQSPMF "OJNQSPWJOHKPCPVUMPPLTUSFOHUIFOJOHOBODJBM
DPOEJUJPOTBOEDPOUJOVJOHTVQQPSUGSPNMPXJOUFSFTUSBUFTTIPVMEQSPWJEFGPSNPEFTUTUSFOHUIFOJOHJO(SPTT%PNFTUJD1SPEVDU(%1HSPXUIJO
5IFFYQBOTJPOXJMMSFNBJOFYUSFNFMZWVMOFSBCMFUPFYUFSOBMTIPDLTFTQFDJBMMZUIFPVUDPNFPGUIFFWPMWJOHTDBMQSPCMFNTJOVSPQFBOEUIF64
*ODPOTVNFSTQFOEJOHXIJDIBDDPVOUTGPSBCPVUUXPUIJSETPGUIF64FDPOPNZJTMJLFMZUPTIPXBTMJHIUJNQSPWFNFOUPWFSTBOOVBMBWFSBHFJODSFBTF
"MUIPVHIDPOTVNFSTXJMMDPOUJOVFUPCFDBVUJPVTBOJNQSPWFEKPCPVUMPPLTIPVMETVQQPSUBUIJSEZFBSPGDPOTVNFSHSPXUIJO
/POSFTJEFOUJBMJOWFTUNFOUTQFOEJOHHSPXUINBZTMPXNBSHJOBMMZ8IJMFHSPXUIJOOPOSFTJEFOUJBMTUSVDUVSFTTIPVMEBDDFMFSBUFBHBJOJOFRVJQNFOUTQFOEJOHNBZTMPXBTSNTBEKVTUUPOFXIJSJOH
"FSEFDMJOJOHGPSTJYZFBSTSFTJEFOUJBMJOWFTUNFOUJTMJLFMZUPCFBNBKPSTPVSDFPGHSPXUI
4PNFJOWFOUPSZSFCVJMEJOHJTFYQFDUFEUPPTFUDPOUJOVFEDPOUSBDUJPOJOHPWFSONFOUTQFOEJOHBTQSFTTVSFUPSFEVDFUIF64CVEHFUEFDJUJOUFOTJFT
5IFEFDMJOFJOUIFWBMVFPGUIF64EPMMBSTIPVMETVQQPSUTPNFXIBUTUSPOHFSFYQPSUHSPXUIJO
5IFVSPQFBOEPXOUVSOXJMMMJLFMZSFEVDFEFNBOEGPS64FYQPSUTCVUTIPVMEOPUEFSBJM64(%1HSPXUIBTMBSHFSUSBEJOHQBSUOFSTNBZPTFUUIFXFBLOFTTJOVSPQFBOEFNBOE
Exhibit 2JMMVTUSBUFTIPXUIF64%CJMMJPOJO64NFSDIBOEJTFFYQPSUTXFSFEJTUSJCVUFEHMPCBMMZXJUINPSF
UIBOTPMEUPDPVOUSJFTPVUTJEFPGUIFVSPQFBO6OJPO
xhibit 2 - 21 merchandise exports by region
Source: Moodys Analytics as of December 2011
%
26
11
1915
30
European Union
Pacific Rim
South & Central America
North America
Other
ob market 8JUIDPOTUSVDUJPOFNQMPZNFOUOPMPOHFSBESBHPOKPC
HSPXUIBOETPNFNPNFOUVNJONBOVGBDUVSJOHUSBEFBOEUSBOTQPSUBUJPOIJSJOHUIFKPCPVUMPPLTIPXTTJHOTPGJNQSPWFNFOUXJUINPOUIMZQBZSPMMFNQMPZNFOUJODSFBTFTBWFSBHJOH
QFSNPOUIJOQFSNPOUIJOUIFSTUIBMGPGQFSNPOUIJOTFDPOEIBMGPG
*OJUJBMDMBJNTGPSVOFNQMPZNFOUUIFUJNFMJFTUHBVHFPGMBCPSNBSLFUIFBMUIBMTPQPJOUUPBCFUUFSKPCNBSLFUJO
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*OJUJBMKPCMFTTDMBJNTBWFSBHFEKVTUPWFSJOGPVSUIRVBSUFSXFMMCFMPXUIFQFBLPGDMBJNT
#BTFEPOBTJNQMFSFHSFTTJPONPEFMUIJTMFWFMPGDMBJNTTVHHFTUTFNQMPZNFOUHSPXUIPGBCPVUKPCTQFSNPOUIXIJDIJTDPOTJTUFOUXJUISFDFOUFNQMPZNFOUHBJOT
ousing outlook 5IFTVCQBSSFDPWFSZJOIPVTJOHBOEDPOTUSVDUJPOIBTCFFO
MBSHFMZSFTQPOTJCMFGPSMBDLMVTUFS64FDPOPNJDHSPXUI5IFTFUXPTFDUPSTUZQJDBMMZMFBEUIFFDPOPNZPVUPGSFDFTTJPOCFDBVTFPGUIFJSTFOTJUJWJUZUPDIBOHFTJOJOUFSFTUSBUFT
"MUIPVHIJUVTVBMMZUBLFTUJNFGPSMPXFSJOUFSFTUSBUFTUPCPPTUUIFFDPOPNZUIFSFTQPOTFJOUIFDVSSFOUDZDMFIBTCFFOTMPXFSBOEMFTTQPUFOUUIBOOPSNBMCFDBVTFPGUIFEJSFDPOEJUJPOPGUIFIPVTJOHSFMBUFETFDUPST
8IJMFSFTJEFOUJBMSFBMFTUBUFJTTUJMMTUSVHHMJOHNBSLFUDPOEJUJPOTBSFTIPXJOHFBSMZTJHOTPGJNQSPWFNFOU
4BMFTPGOFXBOEFYJTUJOHTJOHMFGBNJMZIPNFTJODSFBTFEJOXJUIBJODSFBTFJOFYJTUJOHIPNFTBMFTPVUXFJHIJOHUIFEFDMJOFJOUIFNVDITNBMMFSOFXIPNFTBMFTNBSLFUexhibit 3
5IFTUSFOHUIJOFYJTUJOHIPNFTBMFTDPNFTBUUIFFYQFOTFPGQSJDFT"FSBUUFOJOHPVUJOFYJTUJOHIPNFQSJDFTXFBLFOFEUISPVHIUIFSTUUISFFRVBSUFSTPGCVUBQQFBSFEUPCFIPMEJOHTUFBEZBUZFBSFOE
/FXIPNFQSJDFTIBWFCFFOFEHJOHVQTJODFFBSMZBOEUIPVHIUIFQBDFIBTTMPXFEUIFBWFSBHFOFXIPNFQSJDFUISPVHI/PWFNCFSJTBCPWFUIFBWFSBHFexhibit 4
8JUIIPNFTBMFTCFHJOOJOHUPUSFOEVQXBSEXFTIPVMETFFTPNFSNJOHJOFYJTUJOHIPNFQSJDFTCZMBUF
Recession in context
5SBOTJUJPOGSPNSFDPWFSZUPTVTUBJOBCMFHSPXUIIBTOFWFSCFFOTNPPUI5IF64FDPOPNZTSFDPWFSZGSPNUIFSFDFTTJPOUIPVHIOPUTQFDUBDVMBSHJWFOUIFEFQUIPGUIFEPXOUVSOIBTBDUVBMMZCFFOPOQBSXJUIUIFMBTUUXPDZDMFTExhibit 7DPNQBSFTFDPOPNJDHSPXUIJOUIFRVBSUFSTGPMMPXJOHFBDISFDFTTJPOCZJOEFYJOHSFBM(%1UPBUUIFDZDMJDBMMPXPGUIFMBTUUISFFCVTJOFTTDZDMFT(%1JODSFBTFEJOUIFWFRVBSUFSTGPMMPXJOHUIFMBTUSFDFTTJPOBCJUTUSPOHFSUIBOFJUIFSPGUIFFBSMJFSSFDPWFSJFT
$POGSPOUFECZBCBSSBHFPGFYUFSOBMTIPDLTJOHSPXUITMPXFETPTIBSQMZUIBUCZNJEJUBQQFBSFEUIFFDPOPNZNJHIUTMJQCBDLJOUPSFDFTTJPO*OUIFGPVSRVBSUFSTFOEJOH%FDFNCFS(%1SPTFBCPVUUXPUIJSETPGUIFJODSFBTFPWFSUIFTBNFQFSJPEJOUIFFBSMZT
xhibit 7 - ost recession real growth
Source: Moodys Analytics as of December 2011
Index, 100=Trough
98
100
102
104
106
108
110
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1990-1991 2001 2008-2009
Quarters
xhibit 3 - ingle-family home sales
Source: Moodys Analytics as of December 2011
USD millions
0
1
2
3
45
6
7
1Q00 1Q01 1Q02 1Q03 1Q04 1Q05 1Q06 1Q07 1Q08 1Q09 1Q10 1Q11
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.81.0
1.2
1.4
Existing homes (L) New homes (R)
USD millions
xhibit 4 - ingle-family median home price
Source: Moodys Anlaytics as of December 2011
USD thousands
140
160
180
200
220
240
260
1Q00 2Q01 3Q02 4Q03 1Q05 2Q06 3Q07 4Q08 1Q10 2Q11
New homesExisting homes
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Exhibit 5QSPWJEFTGVSUIFSFWJEFODFUIBUUIFSFIBTCFFOTJHOJDBOUJNQSPWFNFOUJOFYDFTTIPVTJOHJOWFOUPSZXIJDIIBTCFFOXFJHIJOHPODPOTUSVDUJPO
8FBOUJDJQBUFUIBUNVDIPGUIFFYDFTTJOWFOUPSZIBTCFFOBCTPSCFEBOEUIBUIPVTJOHTIPVMEOPMPOHFSCFBESBHPOUIFFDPOPNZJO
"QQSPYJNBUFMZOFXIPVTJOHVOJUTXFSFTUBSUFEJO5IJTNBSLTUIFIDPOTFDVUJWFZFBSXIFSFOFXTVQQMZIBTCFFOCFMPXSFQMBDFNFOUEFNBOEXIJDIXFFTUJNBUFBUNJMMJPOVOJUT5IJTFTUJNBUFEPFTOPUGBDUPSJOUIFJNQBDUPGNFFUJOHUIFQFOUVQEFNBOEUIBUPDDVSTXIFOIPVTFIPMEGPSNBUJPOBDDFMFSBUFTJOSFTQPOTFUPBOJNQSPWJOHKPCPVUMPPL
"UUIFFOEPGUIFSFBQQFBSFEUPCFBCPVUVOJUTPGFYDFTTIPVTJOHJOWFOUPSZXFMMCFMPXUIFNJMMJPOFYDFTTVOJUTBWBJMBCMFGPVSZFBSTBHPexhibit 5
%FWFMPQNFOUBDUJWJUZTVHHFTUTUIBUUIFSFDPSETFUUJOHDPSSFDUJPOJOCVJMEJOHBDUJWJUZNBZCFFOEJOH
8IJMFTJOHMFGBNJMZTUBSUTGFMMBMNPTUJONVMUJGBNJMZTUBSUTJODSFBTFE5IFOFXNVMUJGBNJMZVOJUTTUBSUFEJOTUJMMXFMMCFMPXUIFVOJUIJTUPSJDBWFSBHFNBSLTUIFGBTUFTUEFWFMPQNFOUQBDFTJODFexhibit 6
"FSGPVSZFBSTPGKPCMPTTFTCVJMEJOHDPOTUSVDUJPOBEEFEBMNPTUOFXKPCTJOUIFTFDPOEIBMGPGBTNVMUJGBNJMZEFWFMPQNFOUSBNQFEVQ
xhibit 6 - ousing starts
Source: Moodys Analytics as of December 2011
Millions of single-family units Thousands of multifamily units
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
3Q00 3Q01 3Q02 3Q03 3Q04 3Q05 3Q06 3Q07 3Q08 3Q09 3Q10 3Q1150
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
Single-family starts (L) Single-family long-term average (L)Multifamily starts (R) Multifamily long-term average (R)
3FDFTTJPOTJOWPMWJOHcredit crunches or housing busts are
MPOHFSBOENPSFTFWFSFUIBOUIFtypicalrecession so it is notTVSQSJTJOHUIBUBFSOJOFRVBSUFST64FDPOPNJDHSPXUIJTCFMPXUIFFBSMJFSSFDPWFSJFT
"TUVEZCZUIF*OUFSOBUJPOBM.POFUBSZ'VOE*.'UJUMFEWhatHappens During Recessions, Crunches and Busts?%FDFNCFSFYBNJOFEUIFCFIBWJPSPGLFZNBDSPFDPOPNJDBOEOBODJBMJOEJDBUPSTPWFSUIFCVTJOFTTDZDMFTPG0$%FDPOPNJFTCFUXFFOBOE5IFTUVEZSFTVMUTNBZIFMQUPQVUUIFDVSSFOUFDPOPNJDFOWJSPONFOUJOUPQFSTQFDUJWF
5IFTUVEZGPDVTFEPOUISFFNFUSJDTEVSBUJPOMFOHUIPGDPOUSBDUJPOBNQMJUVEFQFBLUPUSPVHIPVUQVUEFDMJOFBOEDVNVMBUJWFMPTTXIJDIDPOTJEFSTCPUIBNQMJUVEFBOEEVSBUJPOUPFTUJNBUFUIFUPUBMDPTUPGBDZDMJDBMEPXOUVSO
Exhibit 8TIPXTUIBUJOUIFtypicalSFDFTTJPOPVUQVUEFDMJOFT
SPVHIMZGSPNQFBLUPUSPVHIBOEUIFDVNVMBUJWFPVUQVUMPTTJTCredit crunchBOEhousing bustSFDFTTJPOPVUQVUEFDMJOFTBSFBQQSPYJNBUFMZMBSHFSUIBOUIFtypicalSFDFTTJPO
xhibit 8 - tudy results
Source: What Happens During Recessions, Crunches and Busts?
IMF December 2008
Recession typeDuration
(quarters)Amplitude
(%)Cumulative
output loss (%)
Typical 3.6 1.9 3.0
Severe credit crunch 4.3 2.7 6.2
Severe housing bust 4.6 2.6 5.2
Credit and housing 5+ Not provided 6.7
xhibit 5 - Residential housing balance
Source: Moodys Analytics as of December 2011
Millions of units
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11
-1.0
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
Total housing starts (L) Replacement demand (L)
Housing supply (R)
Millions of units
Estimated housing demand (R)
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*OBUJPO *O4FQUFNCFSXIFO$POTVNFS1SJDF*OEFY$1*
JOBUJPOXBTJODSFBTJOHBUBZFBSPWFSZFBSSBUFPGBMNPTUJOBUJPOIBXLTXFSFBMBSNFEWFOUIFMFTTWPMBUJMFDPSFSBUFXBTBDDFMFSBUJOHexhibit 9.
*OUIFSTUIBMGPGPWFSBMMJOBUJPOSPTFBUBOBOOVBMSBUFPGBOEUIFDPSFJOBUJPOSBUFXBT
*OUIFTFDPOEIBMGTMPXFSHSPXUIBOEXFBLFSBQQBSFMBOEBVUPQSJDFTSFWFSTFEUIFVQXBSEUSFOEJOPWFSBMMJOBUJPOUPBSBUFPGXIJMFDPSFJOBUJPOEJQQFEUP
8JUINPEFTUFDPOPNJDHSPXUIFYQFDUFEJOBUJPOJOJTMJLFMZUPSFNBJODMPTFUPUIFSBUFTFYQFSJFODFEJOUIFTFDPOEIBMGPG
nterest rates and lending conditions 5IF'FEFSBM3FTFSWF#PBSEQMFEHFEUPLFFQJOUFSFTUSBUFT
MPXGPSUIFVQDPNJOHZFBS5IJTQMFEHFBQQMJFTQSJNBSJMZUPTIPSUUFSNSBUFTXIFSFUIFZIBWFUIFNPTUJOVFODF
"UUIFMPOHFOEPGUIFDVSWFUIFNPSFWPMBUJMFZFBS5SFBTVSJFTDPVMESJTFBCPWF
.VDIMJLFIPVTJOHUIFOBODJBMDPOEJUJPOPGDPOTVNFSTBOECVTJOFTTFTCFOFUFEGSPNSFDPSEMPXJOUFSFTUSBUFT5IJTTIPVMEBMMPXGPSGVSUIFSEFMFWFSBHJOHXIJMFTUJMMTVQQPSUJOHJOWFTUNFOUBOETQFOEJOHHSPXUIJO
"TTIPXOJOexhibit 10TMJHIUMZNPSFUIBOPGIPVTFIPMETEJTQPTBCMFJODPNFXBTEFWPUFEUPMFBTFBOEEFCUQBZNFOUTJOUIJSERVBSUFS5IJTJTUIFMPXFTUTIBSFTJODF
*OUFSFTUQBZNFOUTNBEFCZOPOOBODJBMDPSQPSBUJPOTBDDPVOUFEGPSBCPVU exhibit 10PGBFSUBYQSPUTJOUIFUIJSERVBSUFSUIFMPXFTUQFSDFOUBHFTJODFUIFMBUFT
$POTVNFSTBOESNTGVSUIFSFOIBODFEUIFJSOBODJBMDPOEJUJPOCZDVUUJOHCBDLPODSFEJU4PNFPGUIFEFCUSFEVDUJPOXBTCZEFTJHOIPXFWFSNPSFTUSJOHFOUMFOEJOHTUBOEBSETBMTPTFWFSFMZSFEVDFEUIFBWBJMBCJMJUZPGDSFEJU
3FDFTTJPOTBTTPDJBUFEXJUICPUIBcredit crunchBOEBhousingbustMBTUFETMJHIUMZNPSFUIBOWFRVBSUFSTBOEFYQFSJFODFEBDVNVMBUJWFPVUQVUMPTTPG"MUIPVHIUIFJNQBDUTPGSFDFTTJPOTXJUICPUITIPDLTXFSFOPUTJHOJDBOUMZEJFSFOUGSPNUIPTFBTTPDJBUFEXJUIBTJOHMFFWFOUUIFWFSZMJNJUFEOVNCFSPGPCTFSWBUJPOTNBZIBWFJOVFODFEUIFSFTVMUT
Actual credit crunchesBOE housing busts last longer than theSFDFTTJPOTUIFZJOJUJBUF'PSQFSTQFDUJWFUIF64SFDFTTJPOBTTPDJBUFEXJUIBTJHOJDBOUhousing bustBOEBTFWFSFcredit crunchMBTUFETJYRVBSUFST
'SPNQFBLUPUSPVHIUIFEFDMJOFJOSFBM(%1XBTBOEPWFSUIFTJYRVBSUFSTUIFDVNVMBUJWFMPTTJOPVUQVUXBT
"FSRVBSUFSTPGUIFPOHPJOHhousing bustUIFQSJDFPGBOFYJTUJOHTJOHMFGBNJMZIPNFIBTEFDMJOFECZ
"MUIPVHIUIJTEPXOUVSOGPSFYJTUJOHIPNFTJTTMJHIUMZMPOHFSUIBOUIFBWFSBHFhousing bust(18 quarters) the lossJOBTTFUWBMVFJTSFNBSLBCMZDMPTFUPUIFTUVEZTBWFSBHFEFDMJOFGPShousing bustDZDMFTPG
"MUIPVHIUIPTFEJTQMBDFECZUIFTFWFSJUZPGUIFSFDFTTJPONBZOEJUIBSEUPCFMJFWFIJTUPSZTVHHFTUTUIFEFQUIBOEEVSBUJPOPGUIFSFDFOUEPXOUVSOJTOPUPVUPGMJOFXJUISFDFTTJPOTBTTPDJBUFEXJUITFWFSFcredit crunchesBOEhousing busts
.PSFPWFSJUJTOPUVOVTVBMGPShousing bustDZDMFTUPFYUFOEUXPBOEBIBMGZFBSTBFSUIFFOEPGUIFSFDFTTJPO
xhibit 9 - onthly headline and core inflation
Source: Moodys Analytics as of December 2011
%
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
45
6
Dec-06
Apr-07
Aug-07
Dec-07
Apr-08
Aug-08
Dec-08
Apr-09
Aug-09
Dec-09
Apr-10
Aug-10
Dec-10
Apr-11
Aug-11
Dec-11
CPI (headline inflation) Core inflation
xhibit 1 - mpact of interest payments
Source: Moodys Analytics as of December 2011
% of disposable income
15
16
17
18
19
1Q90 3Q92 1Q95 3Q97 1Q00 3Q02 1Q05 3Q07 1Q10
0
20
40
60
80
% aer tax profits
Household financial obligations ratio (L)Non-financial corporate interest payments (R)
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*UJTOPUVOVTVBMGPSEFCUHSPXUIUPTMPXEVSJOHBSFDFTTJPOCVUUIF64%CJMMJPOBCTPMVUFEFDMJOFJOUPUBMDPNNFSDJBMCBOLMPBOBOEMFBTFPVUTUBOEJOHTXBTUIFSTUBOOVBMEFDMJOFTJODFSFDPSEFECZUIF'FEFSBM3FTFSWF
"TCBOLFSTCFHBOUPSFMBYTUSJOHFOUMFOEJOHTUBOEBSETUPUBMDPNNFSDJBMCBOLMFOEJOHSPTF'PMMPXJOHUFORVBSUFSTPGEFDMJOFUIJSERVBSUFSQSPEVDFEBOBOOVBMJ[FEHSPXUIBOEGPVSUIRVBSUFSBHSPXUIJODPNNFSDJBMCBOLMPBOTBOEMFBTFT
$POEFODF $POEFODFJTJODSFBTJOHMZWPMBUJMFBOEFWFOUESJWFOCVU
SFNBJOTFTTFOUJBMUPCVTJOFTTDZDMFUSBOTJUJPOT
)JTUPSJDBMMZFDPOPNJDSFDPWFSJFTFWPMWFJOUPTFMGTVTUBJOJOHFYQBOTJPOTXIFOSNTBSFDPOEFOUUIBUEFNBOEJTTUSPOHFOPVHIUPJODSFBTFQSPEVDUJPO5IJTJOUVSOSFRVJSFTUIBUDPOTVNFSTQFSDFJWFUIBUUIFZIBWFKPCTFDVSJUZBOEJODPNFTVGDJFOUUPKVTUJGZTQFOEJOHEFDJTJPOT
5IF$POGFSFODF#PBSET$POTVNFS$POEFODF*OEFYWBSJFECFUXFFOBOEJOUIFTBOEJOUIFTBOECFUXFFOBOEBFS
Exhibit 11JMMVTUSBUFTIPXTVTDFQUJCMFDPOTVNFSDPOEFODFJTUPDVSSFOUFWFOUT
BSMZJOUIFDVSSFOUCVTJOFTTDZDMFBQQFBSFEUPCFTIJJOHJOUPFYQBOTJPONPEFXIFOBTFSJFTPGNJEZFBSFWFOUTDVUUIFDPOEFODFJOEJDBUPSBMNPTUJOIBMG
#ZZFBSFOEDPOEFODFSFUVSOFEUPFBSMZMFWFMTCVUSFNBJOTWVMOFSBCMFUPFYUFSOBMTIPDLT
6ODFSUBJOUZMJLFMZSFNBJOTIJHIFOPVHIUPLFFQFDPOPNJDHSPXUINPEFTUFTQFDJBMMZDPOTJEFSJOHUIFEFQUI
PGUIFMBTUSFDFTTJPO)PXFWFSCBSSJOHBNBKPSOBODJBMNBSLFUFWFOU64FDPOPNJDHSPXUIJTMJLFMZUPQSPWJEFBTPVSDFPGTUBCJMJUZJOUIFHMPCBMFDPOPNZ
5IF64FDPOPNJDFOHJOFJTHBJOJOHTUSFOHUIBOEIBTUIFQPUFOUJBMUPBWPJETQVUUFSJOHEVSJOH"EJNJOJTIJOHESBHGSPNIPVTJOHEFDMJOJOHEFCUCVSEFOTBOEBOJNQSPWJOHFNQMPZNFOUPVUMPPLBSFSFBTPOTUPCFMJFWFUIBUUIF64FDPOPNZJTQPJTFEGPSHSPXUI7PMBUJMFDPOEFODFBOEXPSMETDBMTUSJGFBSFDPODFSOTUIBUJOIJCJUNPSFSBQJEJNQSPWFNFOU
BOEDPVMEMFBEUPEFDMJOF*GJOUFSFTUSBUFTBOEJOBUJPOSFNBJOMPXBTFYQFDUFEXFDPVMETFFUIF64FDPOPNZSVONPSFTNPPUIMZCZUIFFOEPG
xhibit 11 - Consumer confidence index
Source: Moodys Analytics as of December 2011
Index, 1985=100
30
40
50
60
70
80
Dec-1
0
Jan-11
Feb-1
1
Mar-1
1
Apr-1
1
May-11
Jun-1
1
Jul-11
Aug-1
1
Sep-1
1
Oct-1
1
Nov-1
1
Dec-1
1
A
BC
DE
F
G
H
Confidence rallied in Feb on a large drop in the jobless rate and the Presidentsannouncement of USD 400 billion in budget cuts.
A -
The natural disaster in Japan and a 13% increase in gasoline prices in one month.B -
Confidence rose in Apr on a strong jobs report and news that the supply chain shortagesrelated to Japan would be minor.
C -
S&P lowered US debt outlook.D -
Automakers forced to cut production due to Japan-related parts shortages; and theoutlook for housing and job markets weakened.
E -
The 14 point confidence decline in Aug was the largest in the Index since Lehman failed.Caused by the S&P reduction of the actual US debt rating and a spike in sovereign debtyields in Italy and Spain signaling that the crisis could spread to larger countries.
F -
Confidence recovered in Nov when Eurozone leaders and the IMF agreed to increase thesize of the bailout fund and private banks agreed to significant writedowns in Greek debt.
G -
Confidence nears 2011 high with strong employment report and rising bank lending.H -
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Capital markets
(FOFSBMQFSDFQUJPOMFBETVTUPCFMJFWFUIBUDBQSBUFTBSFMPXBOEUIVTSFBMFTUBUFBTTFUTBSFIJHIMZWBMVFE5IJTWJFXJTBDDVSBUFJOUIFBCTPMVUFTFOTFCVUGBSNPSFJOUFSFTUJOHPOBSFMBUJWFCBTJT
*OBHHSFHBUFDVSSFOUDBQSBUFTBSFBCPWFUIFMFWFMTFTUBCMJTIFEGSPNCVUBSFCFMPXUIFZFBSBWFSBHFMFWFM
'PDVTJOHPOUIFQBTUUXPZFBSTDBQSBUFTIBWFGBMMFOGSPNUPBTTIPXOJOexhibit 125IJTTIJJODSFBTFEBCTPMVUFWBMVFTQSJDFGPSUIFTBNFEPMMBSPG
JODPNFCZ
xhibit 12 - Cap rates and spreads
Source: Real Capital Analytics as of December 2011
%
5.0
5.5
6.0
6.5
7.0
7.5
8.0
10Q1 10Q2 10Q3 10Q4 11Q1 11Q2 11Q3 11Q4
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
10-year Treasury (R) Cap rates (L) Spreads (R)
bps
/PUJDFJOUIFTBNFFYIJCJUUIBU5SFBTVSZSBUFTGFMMBUBGBTUFSQBDFUPEVSJOHUIJTTBNFUJNF
5IFSFTVMUPG5SFBTVSZSBUFTGBMMJOHGBTUFSUIBODBQSBUFTMFBETUPBOJODSFBTFJOTQSFBEEVSJOHBUJNFXIFODSFEJUDPOEJUJPOTJNQSPWFEGSPNMPXT5IJTJTUIFSFMBUJPOTIJQUIBUTVQQPSUTPVSDMBJNUIBUSFBMFTUBUFJT
SFMBUJWFMZJOFYQFOTJWFUPEBZ
xhibit 13 - property sector returns
Source: NCREIF as of December 2011
%
0
5
10
15
20
2010 2011Apartment Industrial Office RetailSince-inception total return
$VSSFOUQSJDJOHJOGPSNBUJPOJTFWFONPSFJOUFSFTUJOHDPOTJEFSJOHSFDFOUSFUVSOQFSGPSNBODF Exhibit 13TIPXTTFDUPSQFSGPSNBODFDPNQBSFEUPUIF/1*TJODFJODFQUJPOUPUBMSFUVSO
BDIPGUIFGPVSLFZTFDUPSTQSPEVDFEBUPUBMSFUVSOFRVBMUPPSHSFBUFSUIBOUIFTJODFJODFQUJPOUPUBMSFUVSOPWFSUIFQBTUUXPZFBST"TQSFWJPVTMZEFTDSJCFEUIJTQFSJPEPG
SFMBUJWFMZIJHISFUVSOPDDVSSFEXIJMF5SFBTVSZSBUFTXFSFGBMMJOH
"CPWFBWFSBHFSFUVSOQFSGPSNBODFJOUIFGBDFPGCFMPXBWFSBHFJODPNFHSPXUIBOEGBMMJOHNBSLFUJOUFSFTUSBUFTJTVOTVTUBJOBCMF
8FDBOUBLFTPNFDPNGPSUUIBUUIFTFSFUVSOTBSFOPUESJWFOCZVOTVQQPSUBCMFBOEJOBUFEWBMVFTCVUSBUIFSCZSFDPWFSJOHFYDFTTJWFXSJUFEPXOTUBLFOJO5IVTJUJTSFBTPOBCMFUPFYQFDUUIBUSFUVSOTXJMMUSFOEUPXBSEUIFJSMPOHUFSNBWFSBHFBTPQQPTFEUPGBMMCFMPXJU
xhibit 14 - Capital value index
Source: NCREIF as of December 2011
Index, 1.0=1Q08
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1Q08 3Q08 1Q09 3Q09 1Q10 3Q10 1Q11 3Q11
SFBMFTUBUFSFUVSOTXFSFVOTVTUBJOBCMZIJHI
$BQSBUFTIBWFTUFBEJMZEFDMJOFEGPSUXPZFBST
"TXFTUBSUDVSSFOUDPNNFSDJBMSFBMFTUBUFZJFMETBSF
*ODPNFHSPXUIFYQFDUBUJPOTBSFNPEFTU
0OBSFMBUJWFCBTJTJOTUJUVUJPOBMSFBMFTUBUFJTBTJOFYQFOTJWFBTJUIBTCFFOJOBEFDBEF
*TJUQPTTJCMFUIBUBMMPGUIFBCPWFDPNNFOUTDBOCFUSVFBUUIFTBNFUJNF0OUIFTFUXPQBHFTXFXJMMBSHVFUIBUUIFZBSFJOGBDUBMMUSVFBTXFCFHJO8JUIPVUMPPLJOHBU
UIFOVNCFSTXFXPVMEOPUIBWFCFMJFWFEJUPVSTFMWFT
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"DBQJUBMWBMVFJOEFYDSFBUFECZMJOLJOH/1*BQQSFDJBUJPOSFUVSOTJTEJTQMBZFEJOexhibit 14
5IFTQFDJDTPGUIJTDIBSUBSFWBMVFTQFBLFEEVSJOHSTURVBSUFSWBMVFTGFMMGPSUXPZFBSTTFUUMJOHBUCFMPXQFBLWBMVFTIBWFDPOTJTUFOUMZSJTFOGSPNSTURVBSUFSUPGPVSUIRVBSUFSCVUBSFTUJMMCFMPXSTURVBSUFSHVSFT
he total transactions chart in exhibit 15JOEJDBUFTBQFSTJTUFOUJNQSPWFNFOUPWFSUIFBDUJWJUZJO
xhibit 15 - otal transactions
Source: Real Captial Analytics as of December 2011
USD billions
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
01Q1 02Q1 03Q1 04Q1 05Q1 06Q1 07Q1 08Q1 09Q1 10Q1 11Q1
5IJTHSBQIEJTQMBZTUIFFOUJSFIJTUPSZPGUIF3FBM$BQJUBM"OBMZUJDTEBUBTFSJFTXIJDIDPWFSTUXPSFDFTTJPOTPOFJUIFSFOEPGFYQMPTJWFHSPXUI
%VSJOHUIFMPXTPGXFTVHHFTUFEUIBUUSBOTBDUJPOMFWFMTTJNJMBSUPUIBUPGXPVMENFFUPVSFYQFDUBUJPOTSFDPHOJ[JOHUIBUXBTCFMPXUZQJDBMBOEXBTBCPWFUZQJDBM
WFOUIPVHIJUTFFNTEJGDVMUUPEFTDSJCFUIFDVSSFOU
NBSLFUBTIJHIMZVJETFFEFCUDPNNFOUTUIBUGPMMPXUSBOTBDUJPOTBSFDMPTJOHBUBQBDFUIBUTIPVMEBMMPXQPSUGPMJPNBOBHFSTUPSFBTPOBCMZBEKVTUUIFJSQPTJUJPOT
6OEFSUZQJDBMDPOEJUJPOTOFUNPSUHBHFPXJTQPTJUJWFUIFEPMMBSWPMVNFPGPSJHJOBUJPOTFYDFFETUIFWPMVNFPGSFQBZNFOU.PSUHBHFEFCUJODSFBTFEFWFSZRVBSUFSEVSJOHUIFSFDFTTJPOBOEUIFSBUFPGJODSFBTFQFBLFEEVSJOHBOE
As seen in exhibit 16DPNNFSDJBMBOENVMUJGBNJMZOFUNPSUHBHFPXXFOUGSPNBQFBLMFWFMJOUIJSERVBSUFSUPOFHBUJWFJOGPVSUIRVBSUFSXJUIDPNNFSDJBMPXUVSOJOHOFHBUJWFUISFFRVBSUFSTFBSMJFS
xhibit 16 - et mortgage flows
Source: Moodys Analytics as of September 2011
USD billions
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
1Q07 3Q07 1Q08 3Q08 1Q09 3Q09 1Q10 3Q10 1Q11 3Q11
All commercial Multifamily
%FTQJUFUIFXJEFMZBDDFQUFECFMJFGUIBUMFOEFSTBSFCBDLJOUIFNBSLFUBOEOFXNPSUHBHFEFCUJTBHBJOBWBJMBCMFUIFBHHSFHBUFNPSUHBHFPXBMMMPDBUJPOTBMMRVBMJUJFTSFNBJOTOFHBUJWF5IFNVMUJGBNJMZTFDUPSEJESFDPWFSEVSJOHXJUIBNPEFTUQPTJUJWFOFUPX
5IFNVMUJGBNJMZTFHNFOUJTOPXNBJOUBJOJOHJUTBCTPMVUFEFCUMFWFMBTWBMVFSJTFTCZPSJHJOBUJOHBTJNJMBSEPMMBSWPMVNFPGNPSUHBHFTBTUIFWPMVNFCFJOHSFQBJEXIJMFUIFDPNNFSDJBMTFHNFOUDPOUJOVFTUPEFMFWFS
8FTIPVMEFYQFDUUIBUUIFMPXFTUSJTLBTTFUTXJUITUBCMFJODPNFTIPVMEBUUSBDUBEJTQSPQPSUJPOBUFTIBSFPGUIFOFXPSJHJOBUJPOTMFBEJOHUPBOJODSFBTJOHTQSFBEJORVBMJUZQSJDJOH*OPUIFSXPSETUIJTMFOEJOHSFTVMUJTDPOTJTUFOUXJUIBHSFBUFSQSJDFJODSFBTFGPSMPXSJTLBTTFUTUIBOGPSIJHISJTLBTTFUTXJEFOJOHUIFQSJDFTQSFBEBNPOHJOWFTUNFOUTUZMFT
7BMVFBEEJOWFTUPSTNBZOEPQQPSUVOJUZJOMMJOHUIJTNBSLFUHBQXJUIIJHIFSFRVJUZBOEQBUJFODF
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Apartment
Property sector outlook
WFOBFSUXPZFBSTPGHSPXUIUIFNVMUJGBNJMZTFDUPSDPOUJOVFTUPSFQPSUTUSFOHUIFOJOHSFWFOVFXJUISJTJOHPDDVQBODJFTBOEBCPWFJOBUJPOBSZSFOUHSPXUI
8JUIEP[FOTPSQPTTJCMZIVOESFETPGMFBTFTQFSQSPQFSUZUIFNBKPSJUZPGXIJDISFOFXBOOVBMMZMBOEMPSETDBOUBLFBEWBOUBHFPGGSFRVFOUFYQJSBUJPOTUPDBQUVSFNBSLFUJNQSPWFNFOUT
"QBSUNFOUPDDVQBODZFOEFEOFBSTFFexhibit 18XJUIJOUIFSBOHFXIFSFNPTUNBOBHFSTBSFBCMFUPQVTISFOUTFFDUJWFMZ
#ZUIFQFBLJOTFDPOERVBSUFSDPODFTTJPOTSPTFUPBOBUJPOXJEFBWFSBHFPGPGNBSLFUSFOUTIPXOJOexhibit 195IFDPOUJOVFECVSOJOHPPGDPODFTTJPOTBTMFBTFTSPMMPWFSTVQQPSUTSFWFOVFHSPXUI
"TDPODFTTJPOTDPOUJOVFUPEFDSFBTFBOEIJSJOHJNQSPWFTJOXFFYQFDUFFDUJWFSFOUTUPSJTFGVSUIFS
+PCHSPXUITMPXFEUPBDSBXMJONJECVUJNQSPWFE
UPXBSEUIFFOEPGUIFZFBS
"TXFNPWFJOUPUIFFYQFDUBUJPOPGPVSBase CaseTDFOBSJPJTUIBUUIFFDPOPNZXJMMBEENJMMJPOKPCTBOEDPOUJOVFPOBTMPXCVUQPTJUJWFSFDPWFSZUSBDL
NQMPZNFOUJTHSPXJOHGBTUFTUJO5FYBTBOETFMFDU8FTUFSOTUBUFTXJUINPEFSBUFHSPXUIJOUIF/PSUIFBTUTIPXOJOexhibit 20
5XPNBKPSEFNBOETJEFGBDUPSTXJMMMJLFMZCFHJOUPTMPXUIFSJTFJOSFOUHSPXUICZUIFFOEPGTUBCJMJ[JOHJOSFTJEFOUJBMNBSLFUTBOEQBTTJOHUIFQFBLJOOFXSFOUFSIPVTFIPMEGPSNBUJPO
/FXSFOUFSIPVTFIPMEGPSNBUJPOJTJNQBDUFECZBTMPXJOHSBUFPGEFDMJOFJOIPNFPXOFSTIJQBMPOHXJUIIBWJOHQBTTFEUIFQFBLHSPXUIPGDIP#PPNFSTTFFexhibit 21
"NPSFDPNQMFUFEJTDVTTJPOPOUIFFDPOPNJDJNQBDUPGSFTJEFOUJBMIPVTJOHJTQSPWJEFEJOUIFEconomyTFDUJPO
FDUJWFSFOUTTIPVMEDPOUJOVFUPHSPXBUBOBCPWFJOBUJPOBSZMFWFMJOFWFOUIPVHIUIFQBDFPGHSPXUIJTFYQFDUFEUPMFWFMPVUBOEQPTTJCMZTMPXBMJUUMFPWFSUIFOFYUTFWFSBMZFBST
xhibit 18 - Absorption, completion and vacancy
Source: Reis as of December 2011Shaded area indicates forecast data
Thousands of units
-25
0
25
50
75
100
125
150
175
200
225
90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 120
5
10
15
20
Vacancy rate (%)
Absorption (L) Completions (L) Vacancy (R)
xhibit 19 - Concessions and effective rent growth
Source: Reis as of December 2011
%
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11
Concessions Effective rent growth
Exhibit 17 - Outlook 2012
Source: UBS Global Asset Management, Real EstateResearch & Strategy as of November 2011Excerpt from exhibit 55 in the Strategy section
20112012
Apartment
+_
5IFBQBSUNFOUTFDUPSXJMMSFNBJOBUUIFUPQPGPVSTMJEJOHTDBMFEFUBJMJOUIFtrategy section exhibit 55GPSCVUCFMPXMBTUZFBS
5IFGBDUPSTUIBUTVQQPSUBQBSUNFOUTFDUPSHSPXUIBSFBMMFYQFDUFEUPJNQSPWFJOBMCFJUUPWBSZJOHEFHSFFTPGNPEFSBUJPO
WFOUIPVHIVOFNQMPZNFOUSFNBJOTIJHIGPSFDBTUTBSFDBMMJOHGPSHSBEVBMCVUSNMZQPTJUJWFKPCHSPXUIJO%FTQJUFSJTJOHIPNFPXOFSTIJQBPSEBCJMJUZTUFBEJMZJNQSPWJOHWBDBODZJTTVQQPSUJOHSFOUHSPXUI)PXFWFSBQJDLVQJOOFXTVQQMZBTDPOTUSVDUJPOMFWFMTUSFOECBDLUPBWFSBHFXJMMLFFQUIBUSFOUHSPXUINPEFTU
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Fastest Growth
Slowest Growth
State employmentRecovery growth
Fastest growth
Slowest growth
No data
Metro apartment inventoryForecast change 2011 to 2012
Source: Reis as of September 30, 2011 and Moodys Analytics as of December 2011Georgia employment has not begun to recover
xhibit 2 - Apartment inventory and employment growth
Moderate growth
Moderate growth
4VTUBJOFEIJHIVOFNQMPZNFOUMJLFMZSFTUSBJOTTPNFPGUIFGVUVSFVQTJEFQPUFOUJBMPGUIFTFDUPS
4USPOHEFWFMPQFSJOUFSFTUXJMMTPPOCFHJOUPSFWFSTFUIF
ESBNBUJDESPQPJOOFXTVQQMZUIBUCFHBOUXPZFBSTBHPTFFUIFGPSFDBTUJOexhibit 18
"FSMJUUMFHSPXUIJOBDUJWJUZEVSJOHUIF64FYQFSJFODFEBJODSFBTFJOUIFOVNCFSPGNVMUJGBNJMZVOJUTUIBUXFSFQFSNJUUFEEVSJOH"Texhibit 22TIPXTNVMUJGBNJMZQFSNJUUJOHFYIJCJUTBXJEFSBOHJOHQBUUFSOPGHSPXUI
"DPNQBSJTPOPGUIFDZDMFTPGNVMUJGBNJMZQFSNJUUJOHBOEBQBSUNFOUDPNQMFUJPOTTIPXTUIBUBMUIPVHINVMUJGBNJMZQFSNJUEBUBDPWFSTBMMQSPKFDUTXJUIWFPSNPSFVOJUTBDIBOHFJOQFSNJUBQQSPWBMTUFOETUPMFBEJOTUJUVUJPOBMBQBSUNFOUDPNQMFUJPOTCZBUMFBTUPOFZFBS
xhibit 21 - rimary renters
Source: Moodys Analytics as of November 2011Shaded area indicates forecast data
%
-1.5
-1.0
-0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 1328
29
3031
32
33
34
35
36
37
Growth in renter age population (L) Propensity to rent (R)
%
xhibit 22 - ultifamily permits and completions
Source: Moodys Analytics as of December 2010 and Reis as of December 2011
Thousands of permits/completions
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
Reis completions (L)
Permits lagged one year (L)
Completion growth rate (R)
Permit growth lagged one year (R)
%
*GIPVTJOHTUBCJMJ[FTBOEIJSJOHJNQSPWFTPWFSUIFOFYUZFBSUIFQPUFOUJBMGPSBTIPSUUFSNKVNQJOUIFSBUFPGQFSNJUBQQMJDBUJPOTFYJTUT4JODFUIF64FDPOPNZJTFYQFDUFEUPHSPXBUUFNQFSFESBUFTQFSNJUBQQSPWBMTTIPVMENPEFSBUFRVJDLMZ
/FXEFWFMPQNFOUPGJOTUJUVUJPOBMHSBEFBQBSUNFOUTJTOPUFYQFDUFEUPJODSFBTFGBTUFOPVHIUPSFWFSTFUIFTFDUPSTQPTJUJWFSFWFOVFUSFOEUIPVHIJOEJWJEVBMNBSLFUTBSFBU
WBSZJOHTUBHFTPGUIFEFWFMPQNFOUDZDMF
Exhibit 20TIPXTBQBSUNFOUEFWFMPQNFOUJTJODSFBTJOHGBTUFTUJOUIF#BZ"SFBPG/PSUIFSO$BMJGPSOJB4FBUUMFQBSUTPG'MPSJEB5FYBTUIF$BSPMJOBTBOEHSFBUFS8BTIJOHUPO%$
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otelExhibit 23 - Outlook 2012
Source: UBS Global Asset Management, Real EstateResearch & Strategy as of November 2011Excerpt from exhibit 55 in the Strategy section
20112012
Hotel
+_
5IFIPUFMTFDUPSTIPVMETFFUIFTUSPOHSFDPWFSZPGNPEFSBUFJOUPTVTUBJOBCMFHSPXUIJO5IJTtranslates into a slightly more cautiousQPTJUJPOPOPVSTDBMF
)PUFMTBSFQBSUJDVMBSMZSFTQPOTJWFUPDIBOHFTJOUIFCSPBEFSFDPOPNZ
UIFSFGPSFFYQFDUFENPEFSBUFFDPOPNJDHSPXUIXPVMEJNQMZFYQFDUFENPEFSBUFTFDUPSHSPXUI
%FTQJUFDPOUJOVFEGSVHBMJUZJOMFJTVSFUSBWFMIFBMUIZPWFSBMMDPSQPSBUFQSPUTXJMMMJLFMZMFBEUPJODSFBTFECVTJOFTTUSBWFMJO
3FDPWFSJOH(%1CPEFTXFMMGPSUIFIPUFMTFDUPSXIJDIUFOETUPCFIJHIMZSFTQPOTJWFUPDIBOHFTJOUIFCSPBEFDPOPNZBTTIPXOJOexhibit 24
*OUIFXBZUIBUPOFZFBSMFBTFTBMMPXUIFBQBSUNFOUTFDUPSUPDBQUVSFSJTJOHSFOUHSPXUIMFBTJOHIPUFMSPPNTPOUIFCBTJTPGTJOHMFOJHIUTUBZTNBLFTMPEHJOHUIFCFTUQPTJUJPOFETFDUPSUPSFTQPOESBQJEMZUPDIBOHFTJOUIFFDPOPNZ
"TTIPXOJOexhibit 25TFOTJUJWJUZUPFDPOPNJDDIBOHFTDBVTFEIPUFMTUPMPTFPDDVQBODZBOESPPNSFWFOVFRVJDLMZEVSJOHUIFEPXOUVSO)PUFMGVOEBNFOUBMTSFDPWFSFERVJDLMZBFSUIFSFDFTTJPODBNFUPBOFOEEVSJOHUIFTFDPOERVBSUFSPG
3FW1"33FWFOVFQFS"WBJMBCMF3PPNJODSFBTFECZJOUIFZFBSFOEJOHUIFTFWFOUIDPOTFDVUJWFRVBSUFSXJUIHSPXUIJOFYDFTTPGexhibit 25
"TUIFFDPOPNZBOEIPUFMTFDUPSUSBOTJUJPOGSPNSFDPWFSZUPFYQBOTJPOPWFSUIFOFYUGFXZFBSTSFWFOVFHSPXUIJTFYQFDUFEUPNPEFSBUFGSPNDVSSFOUQFBLMFWFMTUPBNPSF
TVTUBJOBCMFQBDF
*UIBTCFFOOFBSMZUXPZFBSTTJODFIJSJOHSFTVNFEBOEBTEFQJDUFEJOexhibit 26MFJTVSFBOEIPTQJUBMJUZFNQMPZNFOUJTPVUQBDJOHUPUBMFNQMPZNFOUJOSFDPWFSZ
"TPG%FDFNCFSUIFMFJTVSFBOEIPTQJUBMJUZTFDUPSSFHBJOFENPSFUIBOIBMGPGUIFKPCTMPTUEVSJOHUXPZFBSTPGEFDMJOF
xhibit 25 - otel fundamentals and growth
Source: CBRE Econometric Advisors and Moodys Analytics as of December 2011
Year-over-year change (%)
-25
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
1Q02 1Q03 1Q04 1Q05 1Q06 1Q07 1Q08 1Q09 1Q10 1Q1154
56
58
60
62
64
66
68
70
GDP (L) RevPAR growth (L) Occupancy (R)
Rolling four-quarter average (%)
xhibit 26 - mployment recovering
Source: Moodys Analytics as of December 2011
Index to peak (Jan-08=100)
90
91
9293
94
95
96
97
9899
100101
Jan-08 Jun-08 Nov-08 Apr-09 Sep-09 Feb-10 Jul-10 Dec-10 May-11 Oct-11
Leisure and hospitality Total
xhibit 24 - emand, supply and occupancy
Source: CBRE Econometric Advisors as of December 2011Shaded area indicates forecast data
Thousands of units
-100
-75
-50
-25
0
25
50
75
100
125
02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 1350
55
60
65
70
Change in demand (L) Change in supply (L) Occupancy (R)
Occupancy rate (%)
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)JTUPSJDBMMZSJTJOHDPSQPSBUFQSPUTQSFDFEFBOJODSFBTFJOEJSFDUUSBWFMFSBDDPNNPEBUJPOTBMFTCZCFUXFFOOJOFNPOUITBOEPOFZFBSexhibit 27
4USPOHHSPXUIJODPSQPSBUFQSPUTPWFSUIFQBTUUXPZFBSTTIPVMEBMMPXSNTUPJODSFBTFUSBWFMFYQFOEJUVSFT
5IFCSPBE64IPUFMNBSLFUDBOCFGVSUIFSTFHNFOUFEJOUPGVMMTFSWJDFIPUFMTXIJDIUZQJDBMMZPFSSFTUBVSBOU
TFSWJDFBOEDPOGFSFODFSPPNTQBDFBOEMJNJUFETFSWJDFIPUFMTUIBUEPOPU
5SBWFMFSTUPMBSHFNFUSPTSFNBJOFEGSVHBMEVSJOHBOEBTSPPNSBUFTJOMJNJUFETFSWJDFIPUFMTJODSFBTFEGBTUFSthan in any other segment see exhibit 28.
*OGBDU3FW1"3BNPOHMJNJUFETFSWJDFIPUFMTJOMBSHFNBSLFUTIBESFDPWFSFECZFBSMZ
xhibit 27 - Corporate profits and accommodation sales
Source: Moodys Analytics as of November 2011
Year-over-year change (%)
-60
-30
0
30
60
90
120
1Q99 2Q00 3Q01 4Q02 1Q04 2Q05 3Q06 4Q07 1Q09 2Q10 3Q11
Corporate profits Accomodation sales one year later
xhibit 28 - RevAR and occupancy
Source: CBRE Econometric Advisors as of September 2011
RevPAR index (2008=100)Rolling four-quarter weighted average
OccupancyFour-quarter weighted average (%)
Full-service, markets larger than 30,000 rmsLimited-service, markets larger than 30,000 rms
Full-service, markets smaller than 30,000 rmsLimited-service, markets smaller than 30,000 rms
70
75
80
85
90
95
100105
08 09 10 1150
55
60
65
70
75
02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11
"TIPUFMEFNBOEGFMMEVSJOHUIFEPXOUVSOSFEVDUJPOTJOEBJMZSPPNSBUFTESPWFEPXO3FW1"3
GPSGVMMTFSWJDFIPUFMTJOMBSHFNBSLFUTBOEBMMIPUFMTJOTNBMMNBSLFUTNPSFUIBO3FW1"3GPSMJNJUFETFSWJDFIPUFMTJOMBSHFNBSLFUT
Exhibit 28 illustrates that as a resultPGTBDSJDJOHSPPNSBUFTGVMMTFSWJDFIPUFMTXFSFBCMFUPNBJOUBJOIJHIFSPDDVQBODZSBUFTUIBOPUIFSTFHNFOUTPGUIFJOEVTUSZ
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Industrial
xhibit 3 - Absorption, completion and availability
Source: CBRE Econometric Advisors as of December 2011Shaded area indicates forecast data
Millions of square feet Availability rate (%)
-180
-120
-60
0
60
120
180
240
90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 120
5
10
15
20
Absorption (L) Completions (L) Availability (R)
Exhibit 29 - Outlook 2012
Source: UBS Global Asset Management, Real EstateResearch & Strategy as of November 2011Excerpt from exhibit 55 in the Strategy section
20112012
Industrial
+_
5IF*OEVTUSJBMTFDUPSTDBMFQPTJUJPOSFNBJOTOFVUSBMJO4MPX(%1HSPXUITUSPOHMZDPSSFMBUFEUPJOEVTUSJBMBCTPSQUJPOIPMETCBDLTFDUPSQPUFOUJBM
"MUIPVHIBOPWFSBMMMBDLPGDPOEFODFIBTHFOFSBUFEBOBUNPTQIFSFPGDBVUJPOFDPOPNJDJNQSPWFNFOUTMFBE
UPJODSFBTFENBOVGBDUVSJOHQSPEVDUJPOXIJDIJOUVSOMFBETUPBEFNBOEGPSTQBDF%FNBOEJTOPUFYQFDUFEUPSFBDIQSFSFDFTTJPOMFWFMTCFGPSFZFBSFOEIPXFWFSBWBJMBCJMJUZXJMMDPOUJOVFUPJNQSPWFUISPVHIPVU
DPOPNJDSFDPWFSZJTTMPXCVUQPTJUJWF5IFJOEVTUSJBMTQBDFNBSLFUJTSFTQPOEJOHBDDPSEJOHMZexhibit 30
3FUBJMTBMFTDPNQSJTFBQQSPYJNBUFMZIBMGPGEPNFTUJDDPOTVNQUJPOBOEBSFHSPXJOHBUBCPWFJOBUJPOBSZSBUFT
$POTVNQUJPOJOUVSOBDDPVOUTGPSUXPUIJSETPG(%1BOEJTFYQFDUFEUPTUSFOHUIFOJO
"TQSPEVDUJPOJODSFBTFTNPSFJOEVTUSJBMTQBDFJT
EFNBOEFEBOEUIVTHSPXUIJO(%1DPSSFMBUFTIJHIMZXJUIJOEVTUSJBMOFUBCTPSQUJPOexhibit 318FDBOBMTPTFFUIJTSFMBUJPOTIJQJOUIFBCTPSQUJPOPGFYDFTTDBQBDJUZJOUIFNBOVGBDUVSJOHTZTUFN
$BQBDJUZVUJMJ[BUJPOBTNFBTVSFECZUIF'FEFSBM3FTFSWFJOUIFNBOVGBDUVSJOHTFDUPSOPXMJFTCFUXFFOJUTTFDPOERVBSUFSUSPVHIPGBOEJUTQSJPSQFBLPGBDIJFWFEJOUIFTFDPOERVBSUFS
8IJMFUIFSFJTTUJMMTMBDLJOUIFTZTUFNNBOVGBDUVSFSTBSFJODSFBTJOHQSPEVDUJPOJOSFTQPOTFUPJNQSPWFEFDPOPNJDDPOEJUJPOT#ZUIFFOEPGDBQBDJUZVUJMJ[BUJPOJT
FTUJNBUFEUPSJTFUP
*OWFOUPSZEFQMFUJPOUIBUIFMEEPXO(%1HSPXUIEVSJOHNJECPEFTXFMMGPSGVUVSFRVBSUFSTBTJODSFBTFEPSEFSTMFBEUPUIFOFFEUPSFTUPDLFNQUZTIFMWFT
"MUIPVHITUJMMQPTJUJWFFYQPSUTBSFVOMJLFMZUPIFMQTQFFEVQ64(%1HSPXUIJOUIFGBDFPGTMPXJOHVSPQFBOEFNBOE
*OEVTUSJBMBWBJMBCJMJUZQFBLFEBUEVSJOHUIFTFDPOERVBSUFSUIFIJHIFTUSBUFSFDPSEFEPWFSUIFQBTUZFBST1SJPSUPUIFEPXOUVSOBWBJMBCJMJUZUPQQFEPVUBUJO
*OLFFQJOHXJUIUIFTMPXCVUQPTJUJWFFDPOPNJDSFDPWFSZUIFDVSSFOUGPSFDBTUBOUJDJQBUFTPG64JOEVTUSJBMTQBDFXJMMTUJMMCFMFBWBJMBCMFBUUIFFOEPGexhibit 30
*ODSFBTFTJOBWFSBHFIPVSTXPSLFEJOUIFNBOVGBDUVSJOHTFDUPSIBWFCFHVOUPPVUQBDFHSPXUIJOPVUQVUQVUUJOHEPXOXBSEQSFTTVSFPOQSPEVDUJWJUZ
NQMPZFSTNBZOFFEUPIJSFNPSFXPSLFSTBTBXBZUPHSPXPVUQVU"MUIPVHIBMBDLPGCVTJOFTTDPOEFODFIBTIJOEFSFEIJSJOHEVSJOHUIFSFDFOUSFDPWFSZ
xhibit 31 - ndustrial demand and
Source: Moodys Analytics and CBRE Econometric Advisors as of December 2011
Millions of square feet
-100
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
1Q01 3Q02 1Q04 3Q05 1Q07 3Q08 1Q10 3Q11-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
Net absorption (L) GDP growth (R)
Year-over-year change (%)
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"DSPTTUIF64BSJTFJONBOVGBDUVSJOHIPVSTXPSLFEIBTIJTUPSJDBMMZMFEBSJTFJONBOVGBDUVSJOHFNQMPZNFOUCZB
ZFBSBOEBIBMG5IFFYBDUSFMBUJPOTIJQPGUIFTFWBSJBCMFTWBSJFTCZTUBUF
Exhibit 32TIPXTUIBUBMMQSJNBSZJOEVTUSJBMTFDUPSTBEEFEKPCTEVSJOHGPSUIFSTUUJNFTJODF
*OEVTUSJBMFNQMPZNFOUSFBDIFEBUSPVHIJO'FCSVBSZBFSTIFEEJOHNJMMJPOKPCTPWFSUXPBOEBIBMGZFBST4JODFUIFUSPVHIUIF64BEEFEOFUOFXJOEVTUSJBMKPCT5IFQBDFPGIJSJOHJTFYQFDUFEUPTMPXBTUIFEPNJOBOUNBOVGBDUVSJOHTFDUPSTUBCJMJ[FTJO
5IFCSPBENVMUJUFOBOU64JOEVTUSJBMTFDUPSDBOCFGVSUIFSTFHNFOUFEJOUPXBSFIPVTFEJTUSJCVUJPONBOVGBDUVSJOH
BOESFTFBSDIEFWFMPQNFOU3%TQBDF
8BSFIPVTFEJTUSJCVUJPOTQBDFDPNQSJTFTUIFMBSHFTUQFSDFOUBHFPGUIFJOEVTUSJBMNBSLFUBU.BOVGBDUVSJOHNBLFTVQPG64JOEVTUSJBMSFBMFTUBUF
0GUIFUISFFQSJNBSZJOEVTUSJBMTVCTFDUPSTBWBJMBCJMJUZJTIJHIFTUJO3%MBCTQBDFexhibit 33IPXFWFS3%BDDPVOUTGPSPOMZPGUIFOBUJPOTJOEVTUSJBMTQBDF5IFSFNBJOJOHPGJOEVTUSJBMSFBMFTUBUFJTDMBTTJFEBT0UIFS
xhibit 32 - ndustrial employment
Source: Moodys Analytics as of December 2011Shaded area indicates forecast data
Change in jobs (thousands)
Wholesale, Transportation, Warehousing & Mining Manufacturing
-175
-150
-125
-100
-75
-50
-25
0
25
50
98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12
xhibit 33 - ndustrial availability rates by subsector
Source: CBRE Econometric Advisors as of December 2011
Availability (%)
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
1Q05 1Q06 1Q07 1Q08 1Q09 1Q10 1Q11
Warehouse Manufacturing R&D
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2FH
xhibit 35 - Absorption, completion and vacancy
Source: CBRE Econometric Advisors as of December 2011Shaded area indicates forecast data
Millions of square feet
-100
-75
-50
-25
0
25
50
75
100
125
90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12
0
5
10
15
20
Absorption (L) Completions (L) Vacancy (R)
Vacancy rate (%)
Exhibit 34 - Outlook 2012
Source: UBS Global Asset Management, Real EstateResearch & Strategy as of November 2011Excerpt from exhibit 55 in the Strategy section
20112012
Office
+_
5IFPGDFTFDUPSTFFNTUPCFQBTUUIFMPXQPJOUXJUIUIFQPUFOUJBMGPSHSPXUIMPPNJOH"TTVDIUIFTDBMFNPWFTJOBQPTJUJWFEJSFDUJPOBMUIPVHITUJMMXFMMCFMPXOFVUSBM
0GDFBCTPSQUJPOIBTCFFOJNQSPWJOHBMUIPVHIUFOBOUTIBWFCFFOBCMFUPVTF
IJHITFDUPSWBDBODZUPUIFJSBEWBOUBHFJOMFBTFOFHPUJBUJPOTMPDLJOHJOUPEBZTMPXFSSFOUT
5IFFYQFDUBUJPOGPSJTGPSSNTUPDPOUJOVFUPJODSFBTFIJSJOHBUBTMPXCVUJNQSPWJOHQBDFBTDPOEFODFJNQSPWFT
5IFPGDFTFDUPSJTIJHIMZDZDMJDBMBTSFFDUFECZUIFBWFSBHFWBDBODZSBUFJOexhibit 35
%FNBOEGPSPGDFTQBDFIBTSFDPWFSFEGBTUFSUIBOPGDFFNQMPZNFOU0OFGBDUPSJOVFODJOHUIJTEJWFSTJPOJTUIFBUUSBDUJWFOFTTPGMPXFSSFOUBMSBUFT5IFEFDMJOFJOPGDFSFOUTJTTIPXOJOexhibit 39
'JSNTBSFUBLJOHBEWBOUBHFPGUPEBZTMPXFSSFOUTFYQBOEJOHUIFJSPGDFTBOEMPDLJOHJODIFBQFSPWFSIFBEDPTUT"TTVDIOFUBCTPSQUJPOSPTFJOBOEJTFYQFDUFEUPDPOUJOVFUPSJTFJOexhibit 35
/PEPVCUUIFMPTTPGNJMMJPOPGDFKPCTEVSJOHUIFSFDFTTJPOMFCFIJOENBOZVOPDDVQJFEEFTLT$PNQBOJFTDIPTFUPFYQBOEUIFJSPGDFGPPUQSJOUCFGPSFMMJOHUIFNBKPSJUZPGUIPTFKPCT
5ISFFTFDUPSTDPNQSJTFXIBUJTUZQJDBMMZUIPVHIUPGBTPGDFFNQMPZNFOUQSPGFTTJPOBMCVTJOFTTTFSWJDFTOBODJBMBDUJWJUJFTBOEJOGPSNBUJPO
1SPGFTTJPOBMCVTJOFTTTFSWJDFTBDDPVOUTGPSPGUPUBM
PGDFFNQMPZNFOUXJUIOBODJBMBDUJWJUJFTDPNQSJTJOHBOEJOGPSNBUJPOUIFSFNBJOJOH
8JUIUIFGPSFDMPTVSFDSJTJTDSFEJUDSVODIBOECBOL
CBJMPVUTOBODJBMFNQMPZNFOUXBTIJUFTQFDJBMMZIBSEEVSJOHUIFSFDFTTJPOEFDMJOJOHCZPSKPCT"TTIPXOJOexhibit 36JUJTFYQFDUFEUIBUOBODJBMKPCTXJMMUBLFMPOHFSUIBOQSPGFTTJPOBMBOECVTJOFTTTFSWJDFTUPSFDPWFS
*OGPSNBUJPOKPCTCFHBOEFDMJOJOHBFSUIF5FDI#VTUJO"FSNPSFUIBOBEFDBEFJOEFDMJOFUIFTFDUPSJTKVTUCFHJOOJOHUPHSPXBTXFFOUFSexhibit 36
5FNQPSBSZKPCQMBDFNFOUJTJODMVEFEJOUIFQSPGFTTJPOBMBOECVTJOFTTTFSWJDFTTFDUPSBOEJTIJTUPSJDBMMZBMFBEJOHJOEJDBUPSPGHSPXUIJOQFSNBOFOUIJSJOH
*Oexhibit 36UIFQSPGFTTJPOBMBOECVTJOFTTTFSWJDFTMJOFJODSFBTFTGBTUFTUESJWFOFBSMZPOCZUFNQPSBSZIJSJOH)PXFWFSXJUICVTJOFTTDPOEFODFTVFSJOHSNTIBWFZFUUPTIPXNVDIXJMMJOHOFTTUPFNCSBDFUIFPOHPJOHOBODJBMDPNNJUNFOUPGQFSNBOFOUXPSLFST
$PSQPSBUFQSPUTIBWFCFFOSJTJOHGPSOFBSMZUISFFZFBSTBOEDPSQPSBUFOFUXPSUIJTHSPXJOHMFBWJOHFNQMPZFSTJOBSFMBUJWFMZHPPEQPTJUJPOUPOFHPUJBUFGPSOFXTQBDFBOEUPIJSFBTDPOEFODFJNQSPWFT
xhibit 36 - ffice employment sectors
Source: Moodys Analytics as of December 2011Shaded area indicates forecast data
Indexed to peak office employment (per sector)
Total officeInformation Financial act ivities Professional & business services
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
1.1
1Q00 1Q02 1Q04 1Q06 1Q08 1Q10 1Q12 1Q14
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5IFFYQFDUBUJPOGPSJTGPSSNTUPDPOUJOVFUPJODSFBTFIJSJOHBUBTMPXCVUJNQSPWJOHQBDFexhibit 36
*OBOFTUJNBUFEPGDFXPSLFSTXFSFBEEFEUPQBZSPMMT5IFGPSFDBTUGPSJTGPSBOBEEJUJPOBMXPSLFSTQSJNBSJMZJOUIFQSPGFTTJPOBMBOECVTJOFTTTFSWJDFTTFDUPS
"TTIPXOJOexhibit 37XIFOPGDFKPCTBSFMPTUUIFSFJTBDPSSFTQPOEJOHJODSFBTFJOUIFBNPVOUPGPGDFTQBDFUIBUJTBWBJMBCMFGPSBOEPDDVQJFECZUIFSFNBJOJOHXPSLFST
"DDPSEJOHUP$#3DPOPNFUSJD"EWJTPSTGPMMPXJOHUIF5FDI#VTUBOE3FDFTTJPOPGDFTQBDFQFSXPSLFSQFBLFEBSPVOETRVBSFGFFUBOEQMBUFBVFEVOUJMIJSJOHXBTNPWJOHBUBTUFBEZQBDFJOFYDFTTPGQFSRVBSUFSsee exhibit 37
0DDVQJFEPGDFTQBDFQFSXPSLFSSPTFTUFBEJMZCFUXFFOBOETFFexhibit 37JODSFBTJOHCZBUPUBMPGPWFSTFWFOZFBST8IFOUIFPGDFTFDUPSXBTIBSEIJUCZMBZPTJOBOEBWFSBHFPDDVQJFETRVBSFGFFUQFSXPSLFSSPTFCZPWFSKVTUUXPZFBST
"TTIPXOJOexhibit 38UIFNBSLFUGPSEPXOUPXOPGDFTQBDFJTUJHIUFSUIBOUIFNBSLFUGPSTVCVSCBOPGDFTQBDF
7BDBODZJOEPXOUPXOPGDFTJTOPXUSFOEJOHEPXOUPXBSEJUTMPOHUFSNBWFSBHFIPXFWFSUIFTVCVSCBONBSLFUJTFYQFDUFEUPMBHJOSFDPWFSZXJUIWBDBODZSFNBJOJOHBCPWFJUTMPOHUFSNBWFSBHFVOUJMNJE
%PXOUPXOPGDFSFOUHSPXUIUZQJDBMMZPVUQFSGPSNTTVCVSCBOPGDFSFOUEVSJOHFYQBOTJPOBSZQFSJPET4VCVSCBOSFOUTEPOPUGBMMBTRVJDLMZPSBTGBSBTEPXOUPXOSFOUTEVSJOHDPOUSBDUJPOTTFFexhibit 39
xhibit 37 - ffice space per worker
Source: CBRE Econometric Advisors as of December 2011
%Square feet per office worker
150
160
170
180
190
200
210
220
230
240
1Q00 3Q01 1Q03 3Q04 1Q06 3Q07 1Q09 3Q10 4Q11-8
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
Total (L) Occupied (L) Office employment growth (R)
xhibit 39 - owntown and suburban office rent growth
Source: CBRE Econometric Advisors as of December 2011
%
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
CBD Suburban
1Q90 4Q91 3Q93 2Q95 1Q97 4Q98 3Q00 2Q02 1Q04 4Q05 3Q07 2Q09 1Q11
xhibit 38 - owntown and suburban office vacancy
Source: CBRE Econometric Advisors as of December 2011Shaded area indicates forecast data
Vacancy %
0
5
10
15
20
1Q00 2Q01 3Q02 4Q03 1Q05 2Q06 3Q07 4Q08 1Q10 2Q11 3Q12 4Q13
CBDSuburban
CBD long-term averageSuburban long-term average
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Retail
xhibit 41 - Absorption, completion and vacancy
Source: Reis as of December 2011Shaded area indicates forecast data
Millions of square feet Vacancy rate (%)
Absorption (L) Completions (L) Vacancy (R)
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12
0
5
10
15
20
Exhibit 40 - Outlook 2012
Source: UBS Global Asset Management, Real EstateResearch & Strategy as of November 2011Excerpt from exhibit 55 in the Strategy section
20112012
Retail
+_
"MUIPVHISFDPWFSZJOUIJTTFDUPSJTUBLJOHJUTTXFFUUJNFBOEWBDBODZremains stubbornly high retail hasNBEFBQPTJUJWFNPWFUPOFVUSBM
8IJMFBGBJSOVNCFSPGJOEJWJEVBMNFUSPTSFNBJOCFMPXQSFSFDFTTJPOQFBLTPWFSBMMSFUBJMTBMFTIBWFGVMMZ
SFDPWFSFE'PSFDBTUTJOEJDBUFUIBUDPOTVNFSTQFOEJOHTIPVMEJODSFBTFNPEFTUMZJO
.BKPSGBDUPSTJOUIBUJODSFBTFJODMVEFBOPWFSBMMSFEVDUJPOPGIPVTFIPMEOBODJBMPCMJHBUJPOTBTXFMMBTUIFIJTUPSJDBMMZMPXDPTUPGOFXEFCU
8JUIDPOUJOVJOHJNQSPWFNFOUJOUIFMBCPSNBSLFUDPOTVNFSDPOEFODFBOETQFOEJOHTIPVMEJODSFBTFNPEFSBUFMZJO
%PNFTUJDSFUBJMTBMFTDPNQSJTFIBMGPGDPOTVNFSTQFOEJOH3FUBJMTBMFTIBWFGVMMZSFDPWFSFEUPQSFSFDFTTJPOIJHITBOEIBWFCFFOFYQBOEJOHTJODF+BOVBSZ
*OUIFPerformance scenariosTFDUJPOXFTIPXPVSFYQFDUBUJPOUIBUUIFSBUFPGHSPXUIJOTBMFTJTMJLFMZUPTMPXGSPNJOUPJOBTUIJTDPOTVNFSESJWFOTFDUPSTIJTGSPNSFDPWFSZUPFYQBOTJPO
5IFUZQJDBMIPVTFIPMEJTJOCFUUFSTIBQFUIBOUXPZFBSTBHPBTMJBCJMJUJFTIBWFEFDSFBTFEFWFOUIPVHIHSPXUIPOUIFJODPNFTJEFPGUIFFRVBUJPOJTTMVHHJTI
'JOBODJBMPCMJHBUJPOTGPS"NFSJDBOIPVTFIPMETEFDSFBTFEEVSJOHUIFSFDFTTJPOBTUPUBMEFCUMFWFMTEFDMJOFE4PNFIPVTFIPMETSFBMJHOFEUIFJSCBMBODFTIFFUTXJMMJOHMZEVSJOHUIFSFDFTTJPOTPNFEJETPJOWPMVOUBSJMZ
"TEJTDVTTFEJOUIFEconomyTFDUJPOUIFDPTUPGOFXEFCUSFNBJOTIJTUPSJDBMMZMPXBOEDPOTVNFSCPSSPXJOHJTPOUIFSJTF
(JWFOUIFJSJNQBDUPOJOBUJPOFOFSHZDPTUTBMXBZTBEEVODFSUBJOUZUPUIFGPSFDBTUGPSDPOTVNFSTQFOEJOH4FFUIFEconomyTFDUJPOGPSEFUBJMTPOPVSJOBUJPOFYQFDUBUJPO
Exhibit 42DPNQBSFTHSPXUIJOUPUBMSFUBJMTBMFTSFUBJMTBMFTGPSCSJDLBOENPSUBSTUPSFTXIJDIOFUTPVUDBSTHBTBOE*OUFSOFUTBMFTBOEUIF$1*"TTIPXOTUPSFTBMFTIBWFCFFOHSPXJOHGBTUFSUIBOQSJDFTGPSOFBSMZUXPZFBST
4BMFTUIBUPDDVSJOUSBEJUJPOBMCSJDLBOENPSUBSTUPSFTSFQSFTFOUPGUPUBMSFUBJMTBMFT
5IFWPMBUJMFHBTPMJOFTFDUPSDPOUSJCVUFENPTUUPSFUBJMTBMFTHSPXUIEVSJOH*OUFSNTPGTUPSFTBMFT("'0HFOFSBMNFSDIBOEJTFBQQBSFMBOEBDDFTTPSJFTGVSOJTIJOHTBOEPUIFSHSPDFSTSFTUBVSBOUTBOEXBSFIPVTFDMVCTMFEUIFQBDL
$POWFOUJPOBMEFQBSUNFOUTUPSFTFYQFSJFODFEBTMJHIU
EFDMJOFJOTBMFTEVSJOH
Source: Moodys Analytics as of December 2011
xhibit 42 - Retail sales and inflation
Year-over-year growth (%)
Stores TotalCPI
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
Jan-10 May-10 Sep-10 Jan-11 May-11 Sep-11 Dec-11
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29,155 - 45,99846,654 - 53,028
53,732 - 69,134
2010 median income (USD)by state
US average = 49,355
Fastest growth
Slowest growth
Remains below peak
Metro 3Q11 retail salesas percent of previous peak
Source: Moodys Analytics: income as of October 25, 2011, retail sales as of December 31, 2011
xhibit 43 - Retail sales and median income
Moderate growth
xhibit 44 - nemployment and net absorption rates
Source: Moodys Analytics as of December 2011Shaded area indicates forecast data
%
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12
Unemployment rate Retail net absorpt ion rate
Exhibit 43TIPXTUIF/PSUIFBTU5FYBTBOEUIF)FBSUMBOEFYQFSJFODFEUIFTUSPOHFTUSFDPWFSJFTJOSFUBJMTBMFTUPEBUF3FUBJMTBMFTIBWFPOMZKVTUCFHVOUPSFDPWFSJOUIF4PVUIFBTUBOEBSFTUJMMTUSVHHMJOHJOUIF4PVUIXFTUSFHJPOTIJUIBSECZEPXOUVSOTJOUIFSFTJEFOUJBMIPVTJOHBOEMBCPSNBSLFUT
7BDBODZMFWFMTSFNBJOIJHIGPSOFJHICPSIPPEBOEDPNNVOJUZTIPQQJOHDFOUFST6OUJMVOFNQMPZNFOUJTDMFBSMZNPWJOHMPXFSMJUUMFJNQSPWFNFOUJOUIFEFNBOEGPSTQBDFJTFYQFDUFETFF exhibit 44.
(JWFOUIBUTUPSFTBMFTSFHBJOFEUIFJSQSFSFDFTTJPOQFBLMFWFMJO'FCSVBSZSFUBJMWBDBODZBOEOFUBCTPSQUJPOTIPVMETUBCJMJ[FJOJGDPOTVNFSDPOEFODFDPOUJOVFTUPJNQSPWF
3FUBJMTVQQMZHSPXUISFNBJOTXFMMCFMPXIJTUPSJDEFWFMPQNFOUMFWFMT"DDPSEJOHUP3FJTUIF64BEEFEBOBWFSBHFPGNJMMJPOTRVBSFGFFUPGOFXTIPQQJOHDFOUFSTFWFSZZFBSTJODF
/FXDPOTUSVDUJPOPGOFJHICPSIPPEBOEDPNNVOJUZTIPQQJOHDFOUFSTSFBDIFEUIFMPXFTUMFWFMPOSFDPSEEVSJOHXJUIBOFTUJNBUFENJMMJPOTRVBSFGFFUPGOFXSFUBJMTQBDF*OPOMZBOBEEJUJPOBMNJMMJPOTRVBSFGFFUXBTCVJMU
"TTIPXOJOexhibit 41GPSFDBTUTBOUJDJQBUFOFXSFUBJMEFWFMPQNFOUXJMMSFNBJOCFMPXMPOHUFSNMFWFMTPWFSUIFOFYUTFWFSBMZFBSTBMMPXJOHUFOBOUTUPBCTPSCTPNFPGUIFFYDFTTWBDBODZJOUIFNBSLFU
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armlandExhibit 45 - Outlook 2012
Source: UBS Global Asset Management, Real EstateResearch & Strategy as of November 2011Excerpt from exhibit 55 in the Strategy section
20112012
Retail
+_
0VSPVUMPPLGPSGBSNMBOEJTTJNJMBSUPMBTUZFBS/FU'BSN*ODPNFIBTJODSFBTFEUPBSFDPSEMFWFMJOBOEGBSNJODPNFTIPVMEDPOUJOVFUPCFOFUGSPNJNQSPWFEDPNNPEJUZQSJDFTBOESNFYQPSUTBMFTUPOBUJPOTXJUIFNFSHJOHBOEEFWFMPQJOHFDPOPNJFT
/FU'BSN*ODPNFIBTCFFOTUSPOHPWFSUIFQBTUTFWFOyears exhibit 46/FU'BSN*ODPNFJTGPSFDBTUUPCF64%CJMMJPOJOVQGSPNBOEBCPWFUIFZFBSBWFSBHFPG64%CJMMJPO5IFMFWFMJTUIFIJHIFTUBNPVOUFWFSFBSOFEJO64GBSNJOH5IFUPQTJYFBSOJOHTZFBSTIBWFPDDVSSFETJODF5IF64%FQBSUNFOUPG"HSJDVMUVSF64%"GPSFDBTUUISPVHITIPXTUIBUUIFSJTJOHJODPNFUSFOEJTFYQFDUFEUPDPOUJOVF
Exhibit 47JMMVTUSBUFTUIBUFYQPSUTBMFTIBWFSFCPVOEFEBFSTMJQQJOHEVSJOHUIFHMPCBMFDPOPNJDTMPXEPXO(BJOTJO
64BHSJDVMUVSBMFYQPSUTIBWFCFFOPOFPGUIFGVOEBNFOUBMESJWJOHGPSDFTJOUIFQSPUBCJMJUZBOETUBCJMJUZPGUIF64GBSNFDPOPNZ8IJMFFYQPSUTEFDMJOFEJOUP64%CJMMJPOEVFUPUIFHMPCBMOBODJBMDSJTJTDVSSFOU64%"GPSFDBTUTDBMMGPSFYQPSUTUPSFCPVOEUPBSFDPSE64%CJMMJPOJO
'BSNMBOEWBMVFTJODSFBTFEXIJMFSFOUTBSFDBUDIJOHVQXJUIHBJOTJOMBOEWBMVFT5IFBWFSBHFWBMVFPGDSPQMBOEBTSFQPSUFECZUIF64%"IBTJODSFBTFECZPWFSUIFQFSJPEGSPNUPGSPN64%BDSFUP64%BDSFexhibit 485IJTZFBSTJODSFBTFGPMMPXTUISFFZFBSTPGSFMBUJWFMZTUBCMFMBOEWBMVFT*ODSFBTFTJOSFOUQFSBDSFPGDSPQMBOETIPXOJOexhibit 49IBWFMBHHFEPWFSUIFMBTUUFOZFBSTHBJOJOHPOMZ)PXFWFSJOUIFQBTUGPVSZFBSTSFOUTIBWFCFFODBUDIJOHVQTIPXJOHBHBJOPG
BSJTFGSPNBOBWFSBHFPG64%QFSBDSFUP64%QFSBDSF.PTUPCTFSWFSTCFMJFWFUIBUDSPQMBOESFOUTXJMMDPOUJOVFUPSJTFJOHJWFOUIFGBWPSBCMFPVUMPPLGPSJODPNFUPGBSNPQFSBUPST
1SPEVDUJWJUZPG64BHSJDVMUVSFDPOUJOVFTUPSJTFexhibit 50(BJOTJOQSPEVDUJWJUZIBWFBMTPCFFOPOFPGUIFESJWJOHGPSDFTJO64BHSJDVMUVSBMQSPTQFSJUZ5IFEFWFMPQNFOUPGOFXUFDIOPMPHZIBTCFFOUIFTPVSDFPGNPTUPGUIFJNQSPWFEQSPEVDUJWJUZ*ODSFBTFEQSPEVDUJWJUZDPOUSJCVUFT
xhibit 46 - et arm ncome 197-211
Source: USDA as of November 20112011 is forecasted by the USDA
USD billions
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
70 72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10
xhibit 47 - agricultural exports
Source: Fiscal year data from USDA as of August 20112011 is forecast by the USDA
USD billions
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
70 72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10
xhibit 48 - Average cropland value
Source: USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service as of August 2011All data represent beginning of year estimates
USD per acre
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11
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UPBOETVQQPSUTHBJOTJOGBSNMBOEWBMVFT4JODF5PUBM'BDUPS1SPEVDUJWJUZPG64BHSJDVMUVSFIBTEPVCMFE5IF64JTUIFHMPCBMMFBEFSJOEFWFMPQJOHOFXUFDIOPMPHZJOBHSJDVMUVSFBOE64GBSNPQFSBUPSTBSFUIFSTUUPBEPQUUIJTOFXQSPEVDUJWJUZFOIBODJOHUFDIOPMPHZ(JWFOUIFJODSFBTJOHHMPCBMEFNBOEGPSGPPEBOECFSBOEUIFSFMBUJWFOJUFBNPVOUPGBSBCMFMBOEQSPEVDUJWJUZNVTUDPOUJOVFUPJODSFBTFJOUIFZFBSTBIFBE
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
3FOUBMJODSFBTFTIBWFOPULFQUQBDFXJUIGBSNMBOEWBMVFHBJOT8IJMFSFOUTIBWFCFFOSJTJOHBTEFTDSJCFEBCPWFUIFSBUFPGJODSFBTFIBTCFFOTMPXFSUIBOUIFSBUFPGJODSFBTFJOGBSNMBOEWBMVFT5IFSFTVMUJTMPXFSDVSSFOUZJFMETPSDBQSBUFDPNQSFTTJPO0OBOBUJPOBMTDBMFVTJOHUIF64%"DSPQMBOEEBUBBCPWFUIFOPNJOBMSFOUUPWBMVFSBUJPIBTEFDMJOFEGSPNJOUPJO
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
xhibit 49 - Average cropland rent
Source: USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service as of August 2011All data represent beginning of year estimates
USD per acre
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
105
110
115
02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11
xhibit 5 - agriculture total factor productivity
Source: USDA, Economic Research Service, Agricultural Productivity in the United
States as of May 2010USDA, Economic Research Service uses Total Factor Productivity (TFP) measureschanges in the efficiency with which all inputs are transformed into outputs
Index 1970=1
Total factor productivi ty (TFP) Total farm input
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
70 72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08
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Strategy
xhibit 51 - Risk/Return concept
Source: UBS Global Asset Management, Real Estate Research & Strategy
Possible income paths by style
Core Value-add Opportunistic
Time
Income
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
uoting our Outlook 2009 USXIJDIXBTQVCMJTIFEKVTUNPOUITBFSUIF4FQUFNCFSDSFEJUEFCBDMF
8FXJMMRVJDLMZBTTFSUUIBUUIFSFJTFWFSZFYQFDUBUJPOUIF64BOEXPSMEOBODJBMNBSLFUTXJMMSFUVSOUPOPSNBMPQFSBUJPOJOUIFOFBSGVUVSF5IFUJNJOHPGUIJTSFUVSOBOETFUUJOHPGJOUFSJNPCKFDUJWFTBSFUIFJTTVFTDMPVEFECZUFSSJDVODFSUBJOUZ
5PEBZBTUISFFZFBSTBHPPVSTUSBUFHJDPCKFDUJWFJTUPFTUBCMJTIJOWFTUNFOUPCKFDUJWFTUIBUUBLFBEWBOUBHFPGNBSLFUPQQPSUVOJUJFTXJUIPVUFYQPTJOHQPSUGPMJPTUPVODPNQFOTBUFESJTL"TEFTDSJCFEFBSMJFSJOUIJTEPDVNFOUJUJTJNQPSUBOUUP
CFNJOEGVMPGQPUFOUJBMFWFOUSJTLTTVDIBTTPWFSFJHOEFCUFYQPTVSFBOETDBMEFDJUTCVUOPUCFNFTNFSJ[FEBOEGFBSGVM0VSPVUMPPLTJODFIBTDIBOHFEPOMZNPEFTUMZXJUIUIFTUBCJMJ[JOHNBSLFUDPOEJUJPOT"TXFFOUFSXFDPOUJOVFUPNPOJUPSUIFFOWJSPONFOUXIFSFDBQJUBMJTVODFSUBJOBOEUPTUSFOHUIFOPVSFYQFDUBUJPOGPSJNQSPWFNFOUXIJMFBOUJDJQBUJOHHSFBUFSBTXFMMBTMFTTHPWFSONFOUTVQQPSUFEHSPXUI
"ZFBSBHPXFSFQFBUFEBUISFFMJOFDIBSUUIBUDPODFQUVBMMZEFTDSJCFEJOWFTUPSTSFTQPOTFUPSJTLVOEFSDIBOHJOHFWFOUTGSPNMPXUPOPSJTLQSFNJVNUPFYBHHFSBUFESJTLQSFNJVN/PXUIBUJOWFTUPSTTFFNUPCFNPWJOHUPXBSEBOFRVJMJCSJVNMFWFMPGSJTLBWFSTJPOXFTXJUDIUPBOFXUISFFMJOFDIBSUJOexhibit 51UPDPODFQUVBMMZFWBMVBUFUIFUJNJOHFFDUPGWBSJPVTJOWFTUNFOUTUZMFTCore, Value-addBOE Opportunistic
5IFUISFFMJOFTJOUIJTDIBSUSFQSFTFOUPOFQPTTJCMFJODPNFQBUIGPSFBDIPGUIFUISFFJOWFTUNFOUTUZMFT5IFCoreCMVFMJOFTUBSUTXJUIBSFMBUJWFMZIJHIJODPNFCFDBVTFXFFYQFDUBWFSBHFJOWFTUNFOUTUPCFXFMMPDDVQJFEBOETUBCJMJ[FE5IJTJODPNFJTFYQFDUFEUPHSPXBUBNPEFTUMPOHUFSNSBUF5IFtan Value-addMJOFNJHIUTUBSUXJUIMFTTJODPNFEVFUPTPNFMJNJUBUJPOTVDIBTMPXPDDVQBODZPSCFMPXNBSLFUSFOU5IJTMFWFMPGJODPNFNBZGBMMJOJUJBMMZXIJMFBWBMVFBEETUSBUFHZJTFYFDVUFE5IFCFOFUJTUIBUBUTPNFQPJOUJODPNFHSPXUIXJMMCFESBNBUJDCFGPSFTFUUMJOHJOUPBQBUITJNJMBSUPUIBUPG
UIFDPSFMJOFOpportunisticJOWFTUNFOUTUIFEBSLCSPXOMJOFNBZJOJUJBMMZIBWFOFHBUJWFJODPNFBOENBZSFRVJSFNPSFUJNFCFGPSFJODPNFTQJLFTUPBSFMBUJWFMZIJHIMFWFM
*OWFTUPSTUZQJDBMMZBSFNPSFBHHSFTTJWFEVSJOHUJNFTXIFOGVUVSFFDPOPNJDHSPXUIJTFYQFDUFEUPCFSPCVTUTIPSUFOJOHUIFUJNFCFGPSFJODPNFHSPXUIBOEJODSFBTJOHUIFQSPCBCJMJUZPGTVDDFTT5IFHSFBUFSUIFVODFSUBJOMZBTTPDJBUFEXJUIUIFNBHOJUVEFBOEUJNJOHPGUIFJODPNFFTDBMBUJPOUIFHSFBUFSUIFSFRVJSFESFUVSOBOEUIVTUIFMPXFSUIFJOJUJBMQSJDF3FGFSSJOHUPUIFFBSMJFSEconomyBOEProperty sector outlookTFDUJPOTDVSSFOUFYQFDUBUJPOJTJNQSPWJOHCVUTUJMMNPEFTUJOUFSNTPGHSPXUI(JWFOUIFFDPOPNJDHSPXUIPVUMPPLXF
CFMJFWFUIBUUIFNBSLFUJTQSJDJOHBTTFUTDPSSFDUMZ-PXSJTLBTTFUTBSFDPNQFUJUJWFMZCJEUPEBZGPSHPPESFBTPO)JHIFSSJTLJOWFTUNFOUTBSFSFDFJWJOHMFTTBUUFOUJPOEVFUPUIFVODFSUBJOMZBCPVUUIFUJNJOHBOENBHOJUVEFPGUIFJSJNQSPWFNFOU1BUJFOUJOWFTUPSTXJUIBQQSPQSJBUFUJNJOHFYQFDUBUJPOTNBZOEQSJDJOHPQQPSUVOJUJFTJOUPEBZTNBSLFUCVUJOWFTUNFOUTSFRVJSJOHBHHSFTTJWFHSPXUIBTTVNQUJPOTBSFIJHIMZFYQPTFE
nvestment hemes
Look up 5IJTJTUIFEJSFDUJPOXFBQQFBSUPCFIFBEFE
"DLOPXMFEHJOHUIBUUIFSFXJMMCFPDDBTJPOBMTFUCBDLTBOE
SFDPHOJ[JOHUIFQPUFOUJBMFWFOUSJTLTUIFPWFSBMMUSBKFDUPSZPGUIF64FDPOPNZBOESFBMFTUBUFNBSLFUTJTVQXBSE
$POUJOVFUPGPDVTPOUIFIPSJ[POCFDBVTFUIFHFOFSBMEJSFDUJPOJTVQXBSECVUEPFTOPUJNQMZBESBNBUJDTQJLF
YUFOEUIFUSBKFDUPSZFTUBCMJTIFEPWFSUIFQBTUUXPZFBST0ODFUIFEBJMZPSNPOUIMZWPMBUJMJUZJTTNPPUIFEXFDBOTFFBQBUUFSOPGTMPXVOTUFBEZCVUDPOUJOVPVTJNQSPWFNFOUJOUIFDBQJUBMNBSLFUT
Caution not fear he Base CaseTDFOBSJPVQPOXIJDIUIJTSFQPSUIBT
CFFOCVJMUEFTDSJCFTJNQSPWJOHQFSGPSNBODFJOCPUIUIFFDPOPNZBOEJOWFTUNFOUFOWJSPONFOU
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2011
Apartment Industrial Office Retail NCREIF Property Index total return
Performance
Bottom
Top23.6
16.6
17.0
19.2
2006
14.6
13.4
21.2
20.0
20.1
20.3
2005
19.5
19.0
23.0
12.1
13.0
14.5
2004
12.0
10.2
17.1
8.2
8.9
9.0
2003
6.1
5.7
6.0
2.3
4.5
5.8
1990
2.0
-1.1
4.6
-3.9
-1.9
-1.4
1991
-5.6
-11.4
1.7
-4.3
-2.3
-2.2
1992
-4.5
-8.0
8.7
1.4
4.8
7.1
1993
-0.8
-3.9
12.1
6.0
6.4
7.6
1994
5.5
3.9
13.7
6.8
7.6
8.8
2002
6.7
2.8
9.4
6.7
7.3
9.3
2001
6.2
-3.6
14.1
12.3
13.0
14.0
2000
7.8
7.6
12.7
11.7
11.7
12.2
1999
11.4
9.5
19.6
15.8
15.9
16.2
1998
14.1
12.9
30.5
13.9
15.9
17.9
1997
12.9
8.5
29.0
11.5
13.6
13.6
1996
10.3
4.9
16.5
7.5
11.7
12.3
1995
7.2
4.0
12.5
7.8
8.7
8.8
1989
4.1
-1.3
14.9
9.6
9.9
10.3
1988
6.0
3.2
12.4
6.9
8.0
9.9
1987
5.8
4.0
12.5
7.1
8.3
8.7
1986
5.7
-1.4
20.5
14.9
15.8
18.1
2007
13.5
11.4
-4.1
-7.3
-6.5
-5.8
2008
-7.3
-9.4
-11.0
-17.9
-17.5
-16.9
2009
-19.1
-20.4
18.2
11.7
12.6
13.1
9.4
9.0
%
Exhibit 52 - NCREIF Property Index total returns by property type
Source: NCREIF as of December 2011
15.5
13.8
14.3
14.6
13.8
11.8
2010
Hotel
%FTQJUFUIFPWFSBMMQPTJUJWFEJSFDUJPOQFSGPSNBODFJTFYQFDUFEUPCFTUJMUFEBOENPEFTUBTXPSMENBSLFUTBSFOPUZFUPQFSBUJOHTNPPUIMZ
*OWFTUPSTTIPVMENPWFGPSXBSEXJUIDBVUJPOTVHHFTUJOHUIBUQPTJUJPOTOFFEOPUCFPWFSMZEFGFOTJWFCVUBCMFUPTVTUBJOQFSGPSNBODFJOUIFGBDFPGQPUFOUJBMFYUFSOBMTIPDLT
'FBSPSVOEVFDPODFOUSBUJPOPOQPUFOUJBMSJTLTXJMMMJLFMZDBVTFJOWFTUPSTUPBWPJEUIFNBSLFUTEVSJOHBUJNFUIBUTVDIBQPTJUJPOJTWFSZDPTUMZ3JTLGSFFSFUVSOTBSFWFSZMPXUPEBZNBLJOHUIFDIPJDFUPFYJUNBSLFUJOWFTUNFOUWFSZFYQFOTJWF
Avoid distraction .VDIPGUIFJOWFTUNFOUEJTDVTTJPOUPEBZSFWPMWFTBSPVOE
QPUFOUJBMMZEJTBTUSPVTFWFOUTBOEBEFTDSJQUJPOPGIPXUIFXPSMEOBODJBMNBSLFUTNBZDPMMBQTFBMMMFBEJOHUPJOWFTUPSEJTUSBDUJPO
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3FGFSSJOHUPPVSFWFSQSFTFOUUBCMFPG/1*TFDUPSSFUVSOTexhibit 52XFOPUJDFUIFOBSSPXSBOHFPGSFUVSOTBNPOHUIFEJFSFOUQSPQFSUZUZQFTEVSJOH5IJTNBZCFUIFSFTVMU
PGQSJDJOHEPNJOBODFJOUIFQBTUZFBSTQFSGPSNBODF5IBUJTUPTBZUIFSJTJOHUJEFDSFBUFECZGBMMJOHDBQSBUFTPWFSXIFMNFEUIFEJFSFODFTFYIJCJUFEJOJODPNFHSPXUIExhibit 53TIPXTUIFRVBSUFSMZ/FU0QFSBUJOH*ODPNF/0*HSPXUIBTTPDJBUFEXJUIUIF/1*SFUVSOT5IFSFJTNVDIHSFBUFSEJTQBSJUZJOUIFJODPNFUSFOETUIBOJOUIFSFUVSOT"TEFTDSJCFEJOUIFCapital MarketsTFDUJPOXFCFMJFWFUIFQSJDJOHTIJPWFSUIFQBTUZFBSBDDVSBUFMZSFFDUFEDIBOHJOHNBSLFUDPOEJUJPOT'VSUIFSNPSFQPTUUIJTQSJDJOHTIJJUBQQFBSTUIBUSFBMFTUBUFJTSFMBUJWFMZDPOTFSWBUJWFMZWBMVFE8FTUSFTTUIFWBMVFPGJODPNFNPOJUPSJOHUISPVHIPVUUIJTFOUJSFEPDVNFOUOPUCFDBVTFXFUIJOLQSJDJOHDIBOHFTBSFMFTTJNQPSUBOUCVUCFDBVTFUIFJODPNFHSPXUIXJMMDPNQPVOEBTQSJDJOHXJMMTFFLFRVJMJCSJVN5IVTMPOHUFSNJODPNFHSPXUIESJWFTWBMVF
BOETVTUBJOBCMFQFSGPSNBODF
%JWFSTJDBUJPOJTBOPUIFSLFZGBDUPSGPSSFBMFTUBUFJOWFTUJOHUIBUJTFBTJMZPWFSMPPLFEXIFOQSJDJOHHZSBUFTBTJUIBTPWFSUIFQBTUGPVSZFBSTExhibit 54 (next page) JTSFQFBUFEMZQSFTFOUFEJOPVS0VUMPPLEPDVNFOUTCFDBVTFPGJUTTUSBUFHJDTJHOJDBODF'SPNUIJTUBCMFXFDPOTJTUFOUMZTFFUIBUQSJWBUFSFBMFTUBUFIBTBSFMBUJWFMZIJHIDPSSFMBUJPOXJUIJOBUJPOBOEBSFMBUJWFMZMPXDPSSFMBUJPOXJUIUIFHJWFOBTTFUDMBTTFTJODMVEJOHQVCMJD3*5T,FFQJOHGPDVTPOJODPNFHSPXUIBOEQPSUGPMJPJNQBDUXJMMIFMQVTBMMLFFQPVSFZFTPOUIFIPSJ[POEVSJOHUIFTFUJNFTPGQSJDJOHVDUVBUJPO
xhibit 53 - growth
Source: NCREIF as of December 2011
Year-over-year same store NOI growth (%)
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
1Q08/1Q07 4Q08/4Q07 3Q09/3Q08 2Q10/2Q09 1Q11/1Q10 4Q11/4Q10
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212 sector outlook5IFTMJEJOHTDBMFDIBSUJO exhibit 55SFWFBMTPVSTVHHFTUFEMFWFMPGVOEFSXSJUJOHBHHSFTTJWFOFTT"TUIFUSJBOHMFNPWFTUPXBSEUIFSJHIUXFCFMJFWFUIFGVOEBNFOUBM
FOWJSPONFOUXBSSBOUTCFUUFSQFSGPSNBODFFYQFDUBUJPOT"TUIFTDBMFNPWFTUPUIFMFUIFDPOEJUJPOTTVHHFTUBNPSFDPOTFSWBUJWFFYQFDUBUJPOGPSPDDVQBODZBOESFOUHSPXUI
*OWFTUNFOUTDBOCFEFTJSBCMFBMPOHBMMMPDBUJPOTPOUIFTDBMFEFQFOEJOHPOQSJDJOH*UJTUIFSFMBUJPOTIJQCFUXFFOUIFVOEFSXSJUJOHBTTVHHFTUFECZUIFTDBMFBOEUIFQSJDJOHBWBJMBCMFUIBUESJWFTUIFJOWFTUNFOUEFDJTJPO0FOBHHSFTTJWFVOEFSXSJUJOHJTOPUTVGDJFOUUPPWFSDPNFBOFMFWBUFEQSJDFBOEDPOTFSWBUJWFVOEFSXSJUJOHJEFOUJFTBOBDDFQUBCMFSFUVSOCFDBVTFQSJDFNPSFUIBODPNQFOTBUFT5IVTUIFTDBMFJTBGVOEBNFOUBMHVJEFUIBUNVTUCFQBJSFEXJUISFMBUJWFQSJDJOH
*OUIJTGSBNFXPSLXFSFDPNNFOESFMBUJWFMZBHHSFTTJWFVOEFSXSJUJOHGPSBQBSUNFOUTBOEIPUFMTOFVUSBMVOEFSXSJUJOHGPSJOEVTUSJBMBOESFUBJMBOEDPOTFSWBUJWFVOEFSXSJUJOHGPSPGDFJOWFTUNFOUT5IFTFBSFUIFSFTVMUTPGPVSBTTFTTNFOUPGUIFEBUBQSFTFOUFEJOUIFProperty sector outlookTFDUJPOPGUIJTSFQPSU"TEFTDSJCFEBCPWFUIFBQBSUNFOUTFDUPSTIPVMECFVOEFSXSJUUFOXJUIBSFMBUJWFMZIJHIJODPNFHSPXUIFYQFDUBUJPOPWFSUIFOFYUGFXZFBSTBOENBSLFUQSJDJOHJTFYQFDUFEUPCFSFMBUJWFMZIJHI0OUIFPQQPTJUFFOEPGUIFTDBMFPGDFVOEFSXSJUJOHTIPVMECFSFMBUJWFMZDPOTFSWBUJWFBOENBSLFUQSJDJOHMPXFS*UJTUIFDPOUJOVPVTDPNQBSJTPOPGUIFTFSFMBUJPOTIJQTUIBUMFBEUPUIFCFTUJOWFTUNFOUDIPJDFT
Apartment
Industrial
+
+_
_
Current outlook
Office+
_
Retail+
_
Hotel+
_
xhibit 55 - 212 strategy for corereal estate portfolio
Farmland+
_
Source: UBS Global Asset Management, Real EstateResearch & Strategy as of November 2011
ummaryUS Real Estate Market Outlook 2012TFFLTUPQSFTFOUUIF6#44USBUFHZ5FBNTJOUFSQSFUBUJPOPGUIFNBOZFDPOPNJDBOESFBMFTUBUFEBUBBWBJMBCMFUPVTUPEBZ4USBUFHJDDPODMVTJPOTBOEEJSFDUJPOBSFCVJMUGSPNUIFCBTJDFDPOPNJDFYQFDUBUJPOTUPGVOEBNFOUBMSFBMFTUBUFDPOEJUJPOTBOEDBQJUBMNBSLFU
DIBOHFT"EEJOHFYDJUFNFOUUPUIFDIBMMFOHFJTUIFGBDUUIBUUIFZFBSTPVUDPNFXJMMOPUUBNFDIBOJDBMNPEFMPGOBODJBMWBSJBCMFTCVUXJMMCFJOVFODFECZUIFCFIBWJPSBMSFTQPOTFPGNBSLFUQBSUJDJQBOUT
DPOPNJDHVSFTMFBEVTUPDPOEFODFUIBUDPOEJUJPOTXJMMJNQSPWFBTFNQMPZNFOUHSPXUIGPMMPXTDPSQPSBUFTUSFOHUIBOEJOEJWJEVBMOBODJBMDPOEJUJPOTTUSFOHUIFOBTIPVTJOHTUBCJMJ[FT0VSPQUJNJTNJTUFNQFSFECZUIFDBVUJPVTNPWFTPGNBSLFUQBSUJDJQBOUT"TTFTTJOHNBKPSFWFOUSJTLUPEBZJTDPNQMFYCFDBVTFJUTFFNTUIBUUIFMJLFMJIPPEIBTEFDSFBTFEXIJMFUIFNBHOJUVEFJTVODIBOHFE4UBUJTUJDBMMZUIJTMFBETUPMPXFSSJTLCVUUIFSFDFOUNFNPSZPGBTFWFSFSFDFTTJPONBLFTVTBMMNPSFTFOTJUJWF"UUFNQUJOHUPCFPCKFDUJWFXFTFUPVSGPVOEBUJPOPONPEFTUJNQSPWFNFOU
1SJDJOHIBTTUPMFOPVSBUUFOUJPOXJUISFDPSEEFDMJOFTGPMMPXJOHUIFDSFEJUDSJTJTBOEBCPWFBWFSBHFJODSFBTFTPWFSUIFQBTUUXPZFBST0VSNFBTVSFNFOUTMFBEUPUIFDPODMVTJPOUIBUSFDFOUQSJDFJODSFBTFTEPOPUMFBWFVTXJUIJOBUFEWBMVFT4QSFBETUPEBZBSFSFMBUJWFMZIJHIBMMPXJOH
GVUVSFHSPXUIBOEPSBCTPSQUJPOPGSJTJOHCBTFSBUFT4FDUPSFYQFDUBUJPOTNPWFNPEFTUMZUIJTZFBSBMMJOBCBMBODFEEJSFDUJPO8FTFFJODSFBTJOHBQBSUNFOUEFWFMPQNFOUCVUEPOPUFYQFDUTVQQMZUPFYDFFEEFNBOEJOUIFOFBSGVUVSF$#%PGDFWBDBODZJTGBMMJOHCVUXFSFNBJODPOTFSWBUJWFXIJMFXFXBJUGPSPGDFFNQMPZNFOUHSPXUIUPTVQQPSUSFDFOUNBSLFUUJHIUFOJOH
*ODPNFBOEEJWFSTJDBUJPOSFNBJOPVSGPDVTBTXFTFFEZOBNJDQSJDJOHVDUVBUJPO*OUIFOFBSUFSNQSJDJOHXJMMEPNJOBUFCVUPWFSUIFJOUFSNFEJBUFPSMPOHUFSNQPSUGPMJPDPOTUSVDUJPOBOEJODPNFHSPXUIXJMMCFDPNFJNQPSUBOU*OUIFFOEXFJOUFOEUPLook up use Caution not fearBOEAvoid distraction
xhibit 54 - Correlations
Source: Morningstar, the Bar-Cap Aggregate Bond Index, EAFE International Stock Index, S&P 500 Stock Index, IA SBBI US Small Stock Index, NAREIT and NCREIF as ofDecember 2011Means are annualized returns consistent with methodology used by NCREIFStandard deviation and Correlations are based on December ending annual returns
CPI
Mean Std devCorrelations
3.9 - 2.9 1.00
Bonds 8.3 4.4 6.9 (0.20) 1.00
International 9.9 6.0 22.9 0.06 0.03 1.00
Lg stocks 11.1 7.2 16.9 0.12 0.24 0.64 1.00
Sm stocks 13.5 9.6 20.9 0.25 0.05 0.46 0.70 1.00
REITs 12.7 8.8 17.6 0.16 0.13 0.39 0.52 0.75 1.00
Nominal (%) Real (%) Nominal (%) CPI Bonds Intl Lg stock Sm stock REITs RE
Real estate (RE) 9.1 5.2 8.1 0.40 (0.14) 0.17 0.13 0.08 0.13 1.00
1978-2011 Returns
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research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of thedissemination of investment research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