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Use of Valuation to Prioritize Future Earth Observations · Future Earth Observations Sarah J....

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U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Use of Valuation to Prioritize Future Earth Observations Sarah J. Ryker, Ph.D. USGS Associate Director for Energy and Minerals (acting) July 2, 2019
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Page 1: Use of Valuation to Prioritize Future Earth Observations · Future Earth Observations Sarah J. Ryker, Ph.D. USGS Associate Director for Energy and Minerals (acting) July 2, 2019.

U.S. Department of the Interior

U.S. Geological Survey

Use of Valuation to Prioritize

Future Earth Observations

Sarah J. Ryker, Ph.D.

USGS Associate Director for Energy and Minerals (acting)

July 2, 2019

Page 2: Use of Valuation to Prioritize Future Earth Observations · Future Earth Observations Sarah J. Ryker, Ph.D. USGS Associate Director for Energy and Minerals (acting) July 2, 2019.

Time to Look Forward

Valuation of existing Earth observation systems has…

• Supported budgets (Answered “Is this system worth the cost?”)

• Supported continuance of existing Earth observation systems

• Identified societal benefit areas, stakeholders & value chains

It’s time for more ex ante valuation to…

• Help prioritize future investments in Earth observations

• Elicit unmet needs (from the same stakeholders & other communities)

• Focus on value to decision-making, not only economic value

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Page 3: Use of Valuation to Prioritize Future Earth Observations · Future Earth Observations Sarah J. Ryker, Ph.D. USGS Associate Director for Energy and Minerals (acting) July 2, 2019.

To Use a Beloved Example…

Early U.S. interagency studies confirmed past Landsat capabilities as

minimum future requirements…

USGS/NASA Landsat Applications Survey of 33 Landsat products (2012)

o 2/3 of the Landsat products require 8-day or more frequent revisit

o 3/4 require simultaneous visible/near-infrared/shortwave infrared (V/NIR/SWIR) data

o 1/3 require thermal infrared data in combination with V/NIR or SWIR bands

USGS National Land Imaging Requirements Moderate-Resolution Pilot Project (2014)

o Elicited requirements for 11 application areas across 12 Federal agencies

o Confirmed 60% of requirements collected require 8-day or more frequent revisit

… But said little about future needs to better serve users

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Page 4: Use of Valuation to Prioritize Future Earth Observations · Future Earth Observations Sarah J. Ryker, Ph.D. USGS Associate Director for Energy and Minerals (acting) July 2, 2019.

Sample Findings on Landsat’s Societal Benefit Areas

Sustainable Forestry

Climate

Fundamental Climate System Understanding

Climate System Models

Greenhouse Gases and Mitigation

Vulnerability, Impacts, and Adaptation

Disasters

Emergency Management

Solid Earth Disasters

Terrestrial Disasters

Coastal Disasters

Renewable Energy

Highest

impact

Medium

impact

Lower impact

No Impact

White House-led National Plan for Civil

Earth Observations (2014), Assessment

(2012)• Assessment of 362 Earth observing

systems’ contributions to 13 societal

benefit areas

Page 5: Use of Valuation to Prioritize Future Earth Observations · Future Earth Observations Sarah J. Ryker, Ph.D. USGS Associate Director for Energy and Minerals (acting) July 2, 2019.

Driving Question: Where Can We Maximize Value?

Significant sectors & application areas are underserved…

• Vegetation characterization could be improved dramatically for:

o Agriculture

o Water management

o Invasive species surveillance & management

• Bare Earth & solid Earth measurements support under-served

sectors & applications:

o Minerals (both extractive industry & waste cleanup)

o Wildfire response

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Page 6: Use of Valuation to Prioritize Future Earth Observations · Future Earth Observations Sarah J. Ryker, Ph.D. USGS Associate Director for Energy and Minerals (acting) July 2, 2019.

Minerals: Without Remote Sensing

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We can track the trade of major commodities above ground…

Major import

sources of

nonfuel mineral

commodities for

which the U.S.

was more than

50% net import

reliant in 2018

(USGS 2019)

… But we can’t efficiently map resources still in the ground, or potential

environmental impacts of developing resources.

Page 7: Use of Valuation to Prioritize Future Earth Observations · Future Earth Observations Sarah J. Ryker, Ph.D. USGS Associate Director for Energy and Minerals (acting) July 2, 2019.

Global Mineral Characterization:

Hyperspectral Mapping of Afghanistan

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Kokaly, R.F., et al., 2013, Surface mineral maps of Afghanistan derived from HyMap imaging spectrometer data, version 2: U.S. Geological Survey Data Series 787, 29 p.

Page 8: Use of Valuation to Prioritize Future Earth Observations · Future Earth Observations Sarah J. Ryker, Ph.D. USGS Associate Director for Energy and Minerals (acting) July 2, 2019.

Wildfire: Soil Burn Severity Map for the Station Fire

(California; 650 km2)

8

AVIRIS data acquisition October 6, 2009

(Todd M. Hoefen and NASA JPL)(U.S. Forest Service Burned Area Emergency Response Team, September 16, 2009)

Page 9: Use of Valuation to Prioritize Future Earth Observations · Future Earth Observations Sarah J. Ryker, Ph.D. USGS Associate Director for Energy and Minerals (acting) July 2, 2019.

Wildfire: Hyperspectral Mapping after the

Station Fire (California; 650 km2)

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AVIRIS data acquisition October 6, 2009

(Todd M. Hoefen and NASA JPL)

Page 10: Use of Valuation to Prioritize Future Earth Observations · Future Earth Observations Sarah J. Ryker, Ph.D. USGS Associate Director for Energy and Minerals (acting) July 2, 2019.

Questions?

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Sarah J. Ryker

[email protected]


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