USF Student Managed Investment Fund November 21, 2019
Malibu Boats Inc.
Rev per FTE $422,580 P/E Ratio 11.29 Beta 1.38 1-Year Change -21.14% Short Interest: 4.34% Next Earnings Date 2/5/2020
SMIF Research Team:
Timothy Davis
Dylan MacFarquhar
Samuel Steck
$38.12 As of 11/19/2019 4 pm EST
Recreational Consumer Goods Loudon, Tennessee US https://investors.malibuboats.com/investor-relations/default.aspx Employees: 1,835 CEO: Jack Springer CFO: Wayne Wilson 10K Filing 2019
NASDAQ: MBUU
2019 Revenue $684 MM 52 wk Range $24.79 – 49.20 EPS $3.36 Avg. Volume 267,610 Market Cap $777.69 MM Dividend Yield N/A
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University of South Florida Student Managed Investment Fund
Recent News:
• Malibu’s Q1 earnings beat expectations due to continued momentum driven by industry-leading innovation and operational execution - quarterly earnings of $0.83 per share, beating the analysts’ estimates by 17%.
• Sports and outdoor space revenues are expected to witness a compound annual growth rate of 4% from 2019 to 2023.
• Unparalleled vertical integration strategy supports manufacturing flexibility and agility to respond quickly to macro dynamics.
• United Auto Workers strikes seem to have little effect on Malibu’s bottom line.
Investment Thesis
• Leading and expanding market share position among performance sport boat manufacturers in the US since 2010.
• Accretive acquisitions of Pursuit and Cobalt have given Malibu a strong foothold in the growing center console market, poising the company for continued success.
• Malibu’s unique vertical integration strategy allows the company to capitalize on all facets of the recreational boating market and separates them from other recreational boating manufacturers. In addition, such fluency within their operations allows the company to react quickly to changes in demand, thus maintaining stable operating margins.
• The company has a significant share of the recreational powerboat market, which is expected to grow at a CAGR of 4% through 2024.
• Patented technology such as Wake Skate has changed the water sports industry, allowing Malibu to build on a growing market of recreational and professional water sports athletes.
Company Overview:
Malibu Boats Inc. is a recreational boat manufacturer based out of Tennessee.
Malibu's primary line of business is the production of water sport and leisure boats.
Malibu has four product lines: Axis, Cobalt, Malibu, and Pursuit - ranging from 20-
foot wakeboarding boats to 43-foot offshore recreational vessels. In the past three
years, Malibu acquired Cobalt Boats and Pursuit Boats, using these acquisitions, not
as a primary growth strategy but as a means of expanding their presence in the
recreational boating space, expanding margins, and diversifying their product mix.
Malibu's patented wake technology has made their Malibu and Axis brands
immensely popular among water sport athletes for both professional and
recreational purposes. Malibu has a strong dealer network and an international
presence in Asia, Europe, and Australia. Their vertical integration strategy, which
includes boat parts, trailers, and hitches, separates Malibu from its competitors and
allows the company to maximize their operating efficiency, thus improving margins
year-over-year. All in all, Malibu is primed to lead the growing recreational boating
industry for the coming years as a result of their diverse and unmatched offerings.
Recommendation:
BUY Two-Year Price Target: $59.74
Table of Contents:
3. Investment Thesis
4. Valuation -
DCF
EBITDA & EV Calculation
P/E EPS Sensitivity Schedule
Bull – Base - Bear
6. Revenue Assumption Justification
7. Investment Risks
8. Relevant Macro Conditions/Catalyst
9. Segment Breakdown
10. Sub-Industry Outlook
11. Notable Acquisitions
12. Management Overview
13. Appendices
Income Statement
Balance Sheet
Ratio Analysis
Common Size Income Statement
Comparable Company Analysis
Malibu Boats Inc. – NASDAQ: MBUU – USF SMIF Stock Report – November 21, 2019
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Investment Thesis
Industry Leading Market Share and a Positive Industry Outlook Set to Drive Sales: Malibu claims the top spot in
market share for manufacturers of performance sport boats in the United States. Their Malibu, Axis, and Cobalt brands each
rank first in market share for their respective categories, with their Pursuit brand ranking second in their respective market.
Market share has increased year-over-year for their long-standing Malibu and Axis brands and is up to 31.3% from 24.5% in
2010. The recently acquired Cobalt and Pursuit brands have also shown strong growth in market share during the same time
period.
Highly Profitable Acquisitions in Growing Markets Add to Strong Organic Growth: Over the last two years, Malibu has
completed the acquisition of two industry power players. In October 2018, Malibu acquired Pursuit in an attempt to expand
their selection of outboard models. The outboard market accounts for more than 85% of the recreational powerboat industry
and has shown average year-over-year revenue growth of 18.91% for the past five years. This acquisition expands Malibu’s
market share to include saltwater models used more commonly for fishing and leisure purposes. In July 2017, Malibu
completed the acquisition of Cobalt. This acquisition has given Malibu the #1 market share in the United States for the
sterndrive segment of the recreational powerboat industry for models ranging between 24’-29’, growing from 14.2% to 32.3%
since 2010.
Vertical Integration and Innovative Technology Unmatched by Competitors: Malibu manufactures a wide assortment
of products and parts to complement their boat offerings. Operating efficiency brought forth by this vertical integration has
allowed Malibu to increase margins per boat sold. Proprietary engine manufacturing for Malibu and Axis models is expected
to be fully integrated by the end of fiscal year 2020, lowering engine outsourcing costs and further improving operating
efficiency. In addition, Malibu has patented several technologies which have separated them from their competition. Their
Integrated Surf Platform which utilizes their Surf Gate and Power Wedge technology give Malibu boats a variety of uses
ranging from leisure to sporting activities. Customers are able to customize their boats and add on features most closely
aligning with their desired purpose of use.
Malibu 5 Year Historical Stock Performance – Price Per-Share
Malibu Boats Inc. – NASDAQ: MBUU – USF SMIF Stock Report – November 21, 2019
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Discounted Cash Flows
EBITDA Calculation:
EV Calculation:
EBITDA CALCULATION - USD (in Millions) FY2014 FY2015 FY 2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020 FY2021 FY2022 FY2023 FY2024
Net Income (4.7) 14.7 18.0 28.4 27.6 66.1 78.6 86.1 95.4 105.9 118.0
Tax Expense (2.2) 8.7 11.8 17.6 58.4 22.1 21.9 23.9 26.4 29.2 32.4
Intrest Expense 3.0 1.0 3.9 1.6 5.4 6.5 5.2 5.3 5.2 5.1 5.0
EBIT (3.9) 24.3 33.7 47.5 91.4 94.6 105.7 115.3 126.9 140.2 155.4
Amortization 5.2 2.5 2.2 2.2 5.2 6.0 6.5 6.9 7.3 7.7 8.1
EBITA 1.2 26.7 35.9 49.7 96.6 100.6 112.2 122.2 134.2 147.9 163.5
Depreciation - - - - - - - - 1 2 3
EBITDA 1.2 26.7 35.9 49.7 96.6 100.6 112.2 122.2 135.2 149.9 166.5
Enterprise Value USD (in Millions) FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020E FY2021E FY2022E FY2023E FY2024E
End of Year Price 19.25 19.31 13.64 28.61 37.59 38.85 41.76$ 46.78$ 52.39$ 58.68$ 65.72$
Shares outstanding 15.4 17.9 17.7 20.3 20.6 20.9 20.7 21.3 21.9 22.5 23.2
Market Capitalization 297.1 345.3 241.4 580.4 772.7 810.1 866.3 996.3 1,148.1 1,321.8 1,521.7
Short-Term Debt - 6.5 8.0 - - - - - - - -
Long-Term Debt - 70.8 63.1 53.4 108.5 113.6 116 118 116 114 111
Total Debt - 77 71 53 108 114 116 118 116 114 111
Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments 12.2 8.4 25.9 32.8 61.6 27.4 160 264 381 501 635
Enterprise Value 285$ 414$ 287$ 601$ 820$ 896$ 823$ 851$ 883$ 934$ 998$
Malibu Boats Inc. – NASDAQ: MBUU – USF SMIF Stock Report – November 21, 2019
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P/E EPS Sensitivity Schedule
Target Price: Bull, Bear, Base Forecast
Malibu Boats Inc. – NASDAQ: MBUU – USF SMIF Stock Report – November 21, 2019
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-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
2015FY 2016FY 2017FY 2018FY 2019FY 2020E 2021E 2022E 2023E 2024E
Sales Volume Growth by Product Vertical
Malibu Axis Cobalt Pursuit
Revenue Assumption Justification
Sales Volume Expectations: Sales volume forecast complimented by price per unit for each product segment enables
accurate predictions of future revenues. Pursuit Boats is the most rapidly growing product vertical that acts as the main driver
for overall volume growth, with an average sale volume growth of 17.1% from 2020 to 2024. All other product verticals
maintain fairly consistent growth of ~6% over the same period, as we conservatively predict that volume will stabilize, driven
by an emerging addressable market, pre-existing customer product replacement, further expansion of the outdoor recreation
space, and realizing growth from innovate technology and design encompassed in their diversified product mix that attracts a
new market of pre-existing boaters.
Addressable Market: Over 141.6 million U.S. adults participate in recreational boating, using a boat for activities such as
fishing, water skiing, and/or travel. The total value of recreational boats sold reached over 3.6 billion U.S. dollars in 2016. The
greatest portion of this value came from sales of boats with a length between 36 and 45 feet. In total, 11.87 million recreational
boating vessels were registered in the U.S. in 2015. While most high-end recreational boats are purchased by higher net-worth
individuals or businesses, 62% of boat owners have an annual gross household income of less than $100k, those with AGHI
of less than $100k typically target boats under 26 feet for fishing, recreation, or sport.
Pricing Power and Competitive Advantage: Malibu has held the number one market share position, based on unit volume,
in the United States among manufacturers of performance sport boats for each calendar year since 2010 including 2018.
Malibu has grown their U.S. market share in this category through our Malibu and Axis brands from 24.5% in 2010 to 31.3%
in 2018. Malibu also holds the number one market share position in the 24ft – 29ft segment of the Cobalt boat category.
Cobalt has expanded its market share in this segment from 14.2% in 2010 to 32.3% in 2018. With their Pursuit brand they
hold the number two market share position in the offshore boat category for calendar year 2018. Pursuit has expanded their
market share in this segment from 17.7% in 2010 to 19.0% in 2018. With such resilient market share comes the responsibility
for constant innovation to remain a market leader and not lose market share to any incoming manufacturers. Malibu’s
patented technology, innovative design, and vertical integration strategy lead to Malibu generating a widening economic moat,
these considerations were all factored into overall revenue growth assumption.
Further Strengthening Dealer Network
In order to maintain market share Malibu continually assess their distribution network and believe they take the actions
necessary to achieve their goal. Malibu intends to strengthen our current footprint by selectively recruiting market-leading
dealers who currently sell their competitors’ products. In addition, Malibu plan to continue expanding their dealer network in
certain geographic areas to increase consumer access and service in strategic markets. Malibu believes their targeted initiatives
to enhance and grow their dealer network across all of their brands will increase unit sales in the future.
Malibu Boats Inc. – NASDAQ: MBUU – USF SMIF Stock Report – November 21, 2019
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Investment Risks
• The primary risk for Malibu is the demand for boats throughout different periods of the economic cycle. We are
currently in the longest economic expansion in history. However, many consider the economy to be in the later
innings of the economic cycle which poses a risk for consumer discretionary products such as boats. Times of low
consumer confidence, high unemployment, and increased market volatility could significantly decrease demand of
Malibu’s products.
• Malibu has a majority foothold in several of their markets. The company accounted for 8.9% of new powerboat sales
in the United States during 2018, while the market as a whole totaled $10.7bn in sales. This market share has allowed
Malibu to report impeccable growth since 2014, but also leaves the company vulnerable to disruption. Malibu’s sales
growth is largely dependent on the industry’s growth as a whole. Newly innovative technology and trends in favor of
Malibu’s competitors could cause a large reduction in Malibu’s sales and market share.
• Although Malibu is in the process of transitioning their engine manufacturing to be proprietary, they still retain a
supplier network which carries risk. General Motors is their main supplier of engines and have seen setbacks during
the last few months as a result of the United Auto Workers strike. Malibu expects to see a $3 million decrease to net
income as a result of the strikes. Any further hiccups in their supply network could add to this loss.
• The acquisitions of Pursuit in 2018, and Cobalt in 2017, have been successful thus far. However, it is possible that
Malibu is unable to maximize the potential benefits of these acquisitions. Unanticipated challenges may arise during
the integration of these acquisitions, thus lowering the expected revenue from these product lines.
• An increasing interest rate environment also has the potential to impact Malibu’s sales. While interest rates have been
consistently lowered during 2019, an increase in rates may deter many consumers from Malibu’s financing options.
That being said, we do not believe an increasing interest rate environment will significantly increase Malibu’s high-line
flagship products as we do not believe this market will see interest rate hikes as a roadblock in such large purchases.
• The majority of Malibu’s sales come from their independent dealer network. This network is often met with increased
competition which adversely impact sales. Malibu’s top ten dealers accounted for a majority of sales for their Malibu,
Cobalt, and Pursuit models. Pursuit led the pack with 83% of sales coming from their top ten dealers. Malibu’s
inability to secure strong relationships with this network could lead to a significant reduction in sales. The typical
dealer agreement for Malibu is for a period of one-year, but some deals extend as long as three years. The relatively
short time frame on these dealer agreements could leave Malibu open to gaps in their dealer network.
• The demand for new recreational powerboats as opposed to used models can also hinder Malibu’s financial
performance. During the financial crisis in 2008, the industry shifted towards more affordable used boats rather than
retail models. A change in preference, likely sparked by an economic downturn, could reduce demand for Malibu’s
products.
• Recreation powerboat manufacturers typically have a large fixed cost base. A significant decrease in sales would
decrease profit margins and reduce production rates. However, the company has systems in place to reduce
operations in the event demand decreases substantially.
Malibu Boats Inc. – NASDAQ: MBUU – USF SMIF Stock Report – November 21, 2019
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Relevant Macro Conditions/Catalyst
Economic Downturns:
The most significant concern investors have regarding Malibu stock is the fact that during a recession, consumers naturally
respond by reducing spending. Usually, the first discretionary to be dropped are luxury items that cost money to upkeep, like
boats. While this is a consideration, we have factored in a recessionary period in more ways than one. Malibu’s current growth
is so expansive; in a recessionary period, we uphold a conservative estate of low-mid single-digit growth. Our calculated beta
of 1.38 takes into account the riskiness of Malibu when compared to the market, with our discounted cash flows analysis
reflecting the same conservatism – using a low terminal growth rate and conservative free cash flow estimates. Investors
undermine Malibu’s resilience to uphold quality and consistent earnings in a time of economic uncertainty, allowing the stock
to be traded at a significant discount, of which it is now.
Weather:
As climate change becomes a more addressed topic, further concerns arise regarding unpredictable weather patterns, more
radical high and low temperatures, and more tropical storms and hurricanes, which could affect the boating industry as a
whole. If the US, particularly the boating states or states near the southeast coast, start to see more frequent rain, this could
also negatively affect boating trends and in turn, boat sales. We don’t foresee rising sea levels as a substantial factor in Florida
coast living individuals to acquire a boat.
Interest Rate Environment:
People will be less likely to buy high ticket items when interest rates return to a reasonable level. This is because lending
becomes more expensive, but we don’t see this as a significant factor, as the majority of individuals who are purchasing a boat,
particularly the higher-end pursuit models, are not concerned about interest rates and the cost of borrowing.
Emerging Markets:
Based on their U.S. leadership position, brand recognition, diverse, innovative product offering, and distribution strengths,
Malibu believes that they are well-positioned to increase their international sales. Malibu believes they can six increase their
global sales both by promoting products in developed markets where they have a well-established dealer base, such as Western
Europe and by penetrating new and emerging markets where they expect rising consumer incomes to increase demand for
recreational products, such as Asia and South America
Aging Population:
As people retire, people want to spend their time boating. 10,00 retire every day, and those people want to cash in their 401k’s
regardless of the macro environments.
Recreational Trends:
The sports and recreation space has an estimated CAGR from 3.6% - 4.5% through 2023. As the industry grows, sport and
recreation businesses can expand and need equipment that facilitates the growing customer need. Patented technology such as
Wake Skate attracts avid water sports professionals to Malibu, allowing Malibu to capitalize on an ever-increasing market of
recreational and professional water sports athletes. Malibu has also done a great job capturing the growing segment of
recreation users as well as new recreational boaters through their quality manufacturing and varying price points.
Oil Prices:
Any rise in oil price could adversely yet indirectly affect long term boat sales, particularly for larger boats that use more fuel
during trips. Many motorboats use between 20 and 30 gallons of fuel per hour when cruising at speed; average that to 25
gallons per hour, and a five-hour trip could cost you more than $300 per outing. Assuming you use your boat once a week,
that's more than $16,000 in gasoline alone. While that number is much lower for all Malibu models expect for the Pursuit, it is
still an essential factor. Any drop-in oil prices could positively affect the boating market.
Malibu Boats Inc. – NASDAQ: MBUU – USF SMIF Stock Report – November 21, 2019
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Segment Breakdown
For the first quarter of FY20, Malibu’s revenue was broken down with 58.7%
generated from their Malibu/Axis brands, 33% from Cobalt brand, and 8.3%
from their Pursuit brand.
Malibu and Axis both cover the performance sport boat segment
with Malibu being their premium models and Axis being their
Entry-level brand. Both have models beginning at retail of $55k
with Malibu models reaching $180k and Axis models reaching
$105k. Malibu consists of 10 models ranging from 20-25ft in length
with Axis brands carrying 5 models ranging from 20-24ft in length.
Both brands are wake surfing boats with the average sales price
among this segment being ~75k with a volume of over 4,000 units.
Cobalt covers the Entry and Premium Sterndrive segment, the
Outboard segment and the Watersports segment. The product
portfolio consists of 24 models ranging from 20’ to 40’ with retail
and average sale price of ~$80k and an annual boat volume of over
2,000 units. Cobalt’s key sales are in their Premium and Entry
Sterndrive models, with premium sterndrives being roughly 60%
of sales and Entry Sterndrives making up roughly 15% of sales
followed by Watersports models then Outboard models at 15%
and 10% respectively.
The Pursuit brand has 15 product offerings spanning from 23’ to
43’ models in Center Console, Offshore, and Dual Console
configurations designed for Cruising and Saltwater Sports fishing.
Of Pursuit sales, 2% are Sports Coupe models, 30% are Center
Console / Sport models, 33% are Offshore models, and 35% are
Dual Console models with Average Sales prices of $250k, $320k,
and $170k with market shares of 2.2%, 18%, and 9.5%
respectively. The segments generate a sales volume of over 400
units annually with a total ASP of $225k.
Malibu Boats Inc. – NASDAQ: MBUU – USF SMIF Stock Report – November 21, 2019
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Sub-Industry Outlook
The US recreational boating industry is expected to grow at an annual industry forecasted compounded rate of 4% between
2019 and 2024, based on heightened demand and the growing number of registered boaters. This forecast is open to
fluctuations in the event of market downturns, causing consumer discretionary products to be viewed as less attractive by
consumers. The recreational boating market for the 12-months ending June, 30 2019 accounted for 206,900 units sold with
revenues totaling $10.7 billion. The market consists of five reportable sub-categories which include outboards, sterndrives,
performance sport boats, jet boats, and cruisers. Each category showed revenue growth during the year with performance
sport boats, jet boats, and outboards leading the pack at 18.74%, 18.26%, and 11.61% respectively. Unit sales also increased
mid-to-high single digits for four of the five categories, with sterndrives falling 4.35%. Overall, the industry has shown strong
growth over the past several years with performance sport boats and outboards showing the most consistent growth. We
expect that this trend will continue in the coming years as demand for center console units in the outboard market show
industry-leading growth and a movement towards higher-priced models support revenue growth in the performance sport
boat and outboard divisions.
Industry Outlook: Recreational Powerboats Competitors: Vista Outdoor, Nautilus, MasterCraft Boat
Holdings, Johnson Outdoors, Marine Products
Corporation
The fundamental outlook for the US recreational boating
market is that the industry will continue to grow, but at a
decreasing rate. Growth has skyrocketed over the last
several years to a rate that will be difficult to sustain. As
we approach late-cycle, most companies within the
recreational boating industry believe that growth will slow
post-2019. However, it is possible that strong economic
conditions combat these expectations and sustain
demand.
Malibu Boats Inc. – NASDAQ: MBUU – USF SMIF Stock Report – November 21, 2019
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Notable Acquisitions
Pursuit Boats – October 15, 2018
Segment: Saltwater Outboard Fishing and Recreational Boats Deal Size: $100mm Dealer Network: 40 Locations
The acquisition of Pursuit enables Malibu to enter into one of the largest and fastest growing segments in the marine industry
with a premium, proven brand and immediately improved FY19 EPS. The strategic acquisition expanded Malibu’s premium
brand offering into the Saltwater outboard fishing market, broadening its boat offerings, diversified end markets and boosting
growth profile. Pursuit is a leader in Saltwater Outboard Fishing Boat Market with numerous opportunities for growth and
profitability enhancement to increase margins. Pursuit has product offerings in 23’ to 43’ boat size range among the Center
Console / Sport segment with an Average selling price of $250k, the offshore segment with an ASP of $320k, and the Dual
Console Segment with an ASP of $170k with market positions of #15, #2, and #4 respectively.
Cobalt Boats LLC – June, 28, 2017
Segment: Watersport Boats, Cruisers, Bowriders & Outboard boats Deal Size: $130mm
Dealer Network: 132 Locations Number of Employees: 600
Cobalt Boats is a market leading manufacturer in its segment with ~$140mm in sales LTM March 31, 2017. The acquisition is
an attractive target with a unique opportunity to acquire a meaningfully sized industry leader producing a world-class brand
known for exceptional quality over 50 years. The acquisition also presents growth opportunities and strengthens Malibu’s
position in the powerboat industry. The acquisition also presented opportunities for margin improvements and product
similarities presented leveraging opportunities in vertical integration while product differences allow for market expansions. New
product portfolio with 24 models ranging from 20’ to 40’ ranging in retail price from $50k-$700k with the average being $80k.
Malibu Boats Inc. – NASDAQ: MBUU – USF SMIF Stock Report – November 21, 2019
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Management Overview
Jack D. Springer: Director and Chief Executive Officer
Mr. Springer has been CEO since February 2010 and served as interim CEO and Director since May 2009.
Mr. Springer’s experience is extensive, having served as Managing Director of Qorval LLC from June 2003
to February 2010 and served as a partner also. He served as an Operational Partner at Boyne Capital
Partners, LLC, and Chief Executive Officer at Diamondback Tactical LLP, Chief Restructuring Officer of
American Plastics, Inc. and as interim Chief Executive Officer of Allen White Inc. accumulating 27 years
of experience in the manufacturing, distribution and retail industries. He holds a B.A. in Accountancy from
the University of Texas
Ritchie L. Anderson: Chief Operating Officer
Mr. Ritchie L. Anderson has been the Chief Operating Officer at Malibu Boats, Inc. since September 2013.
Mr. Anderson joined Malibu Boats in July 2011 as Vice President of Operations. Prior to joining Malibu
Boats, he served as Vice President of Operations at MasterCraft Boat Company, where he spent 28 years
in production management. While at MasterCraft, he held various roles in operations that included
management responsibility for manufacturing, supply chain, quality, customer service, environmental and
safety. He has 30 years of experience in the boat manufacturing industry.
Wayne R. Wilson: Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Wilson has been the Chief Financial Officer of Malibu Boats, Inc. since November 2009 and serves as
its Principal Accounting Officer and Secretary. From September 2008 to November 2009, Mr. Wilson
served on the LLC’s executive board. Mr. Wilson also served as the Vice President at Black Canyon Capital
LLC. Prior to joining the Black Canyon Capital in 2004, he was an Investment Banker at Credit Suisse First
Boston in Los Angeles where he focused on general corporate finance and arranged numerous public and
private financings. Mr. Wilson received a B.A. in Business Economics from the University of California at
Los Angeles.
Dan L. Gasper: Vice President of Product Design
Mr. Gasper has been the Vice President of Product Design at Malibu Boats, Inc., since September 2013.
Mr. Gasper has been with Malibu Boats for 24 years and has also served as Director of Product
Development at Malibu Boats, LLC. He joined Malibu in 1988 and has worked in manufacturing, quality,
engineering and design. He has been designing products for nearly 25 years and has led design efforts for
over a decade.
Deborah S. Kent: Vice President of Human Resources
Ms. Deborah S. Kent has been Vice President of Human Resources at Malibu Boats, Inc. since September
2013. Ms. Kent joined Malibu Boats in January 2011 as Director of Human Resources. Prior to that, Ms.
Kent served as Vice President of Human Resources at IdleAire, Inc., where she began serving as the
Director of Employment and Employee Relations since 2004. Ms. Kent received a B.S. in Education from
East Central University and a M.S. in Adult Education from the University of Central Oklahoma.
Donna Tallent: Vice President of Manufacturing
Ms. Tallent has served as Vice President of Manufacturing since January 2019 and has been with Malibu
Boats since Febraury 2010 as a Manager of Process Engineering and Environmental, Health, and Safety.
Ms. Tallent has worked in the marine industry for over 20 years, holding management positions in
operations for Sea Ray Boats. She worked as an EHS Supervisor for nearly 12 years at Sea Ray Boats
between 1998 to 2010.
Malibu Boats Inc. – NASDAQ: MBUU – USF SMIF Stock Report – November 21, 2019
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Appendices
Income Statement:
Common-Size Income Statement:
Consolidated Income Statement 2014FY 2015FY 2016FY 2017FY 2018FY 2019FY 2020E 2021E 2022E 2023E 2024E
For the Fiscal Period Ending
In Millions of USD, except per share items.
12 months
Jun-30-2014
12 months
Jun-30-2015
12 months
Jun-30-2016
12 months
Jun-30-2017
12 months
Jun-30-2018
12 months
Jun-30-2019
12 months
Jun-30-2020
12 months
Jun-30-2021
12 months
Jun-30-2022
12 months
Jun-30-2023
12 months
Jun-30-2024
Total Revenue 190.9 228.6 253.0 281.9 497.0 684.0 755.9 795.4 839.9 890.1 947.1
Cost Of Goods Sold 140.1 168.2 186.1 206.9 376.7 517.7 572.2 597.7 626.3 658.5 695.0
Gross Profit 50.8 60.4 66.8 75.0 120.3 166.3 183.7 197.7 213.6 231.6 252.1
Selling and Marketing 6.1 7.0 7.5 8.6 13.7 17.9 19.6 20.8 21.9 23.1 24.5
General and Administrative 40.0 19.8 21.3 24.8 31.4 44.3 48.4 51.2 53.9 57.0 60.4
R & D Exp. - - - - - - - - - - -
Amort. of Goodwill and Intangibles 5.2 2.5 2.2 2.2 5.2 6.0 6.5 6.9 7.3 7.7 8.1
Other Operating Expense/(Income) (0.0) (1.7) (0.1) (10.8) (24.7) (0.1) (0.2) (0.2) (0.2) (0.2) (0.2)
Operating Exp., Total 51.2 27.6 30.8 24.8 25.6 68.0 74.3 78.8 82.9 87.6 92.8
Operating Income (0.4) 32.8 36.0 50.2 94.8 98.3 109.4 119.0 130.7 144.1 159.3
Net Interest Exp. 3.0 1.0 3.9 1.6 5.4 6.5 5.2 5.3 5.2 5.1 5.0
Earnings Before Tax (3.4) 31.8 32.1 48.7 89.4 91.8 104.2 113.7 125.5 138.9 154.3
Income Tax Expense (2.2) 8.7 11.8 17.6 58.4 22.1 21.9 23.9 26.4 29.2 32.4
Earnings from Cont. Ops. (1.2) 23.2 20.3 31.1 31.0 69.7 82.3 89.8 99.2 109.8 121.9
Minority Int. in Earnings 3.5 8.5 2.3 2.7 3.4 3.6 3.7 3.7 3.8 3.8 3.9
Net Income (4.7) 14.7 18.0 28.4 27.6 66.1 78.6 86.1 95.4 105.9 118.0
Margins
Gross Profit Margin 26.6% 26.4% 26.4% 26.6% 24.2% 24.3% 24.3% 24.9% 25.4% 26.0% 26.6%
Operating Margin -0.23% 14.35% 14.22% 17.81% 19.07% 14.37% 14.47% 14.96% 15.56% 16.18% 16.82%
Net Margin -2.45% 6.41% 7.13% 10.06% 5.56% 9.66% 10.18% 11.01% 11.69% 12.36% 13.04%
Revenue Assumptions
YoY Revenue Growth 19.74% 10.65% 11.45% 76.28% 37.63% 10.51% 5.22% 5.59% 5.98% 6.40%
Operating Expense Growth -50.45% 7.30% 16.59% 26.53% 41.13% 9.27% 5.97% 5.24% 5.63% 6.05%
Effective Tax Rate % 36% 27% 37% 36% 27% 21% 21% 21% 21% 21% 21%
Per Share Items
Basic EPS ($0.42) $0.93 $1.01 $1.59 $1.37 $3.27 $3.79 $4.04 $4.35 $4.71 $5.09
Weighted Avg. Basic Shares Out. 11.1 15.7 17.9 17.8 20.2 20.2 20.7 21.3 21.9 22.5 23.2
Common Size Income Statement 2014FY 2015FY 2016FY 2017FY 2018FY 2019FY 2020E 2021E 2022E 2023E 2024EFor the Fiscal Period Ending
In Millions of USD, except per share items.
12 months
Jun-30-2014
12 months
Jun-30-2015
12 months
Jun-30-2016
12 months
Jun-30-2017
12 months
Jun-30-2018
12 months
Jun-30-2019
12 months
Jun-30-2020
12 months
Jun-30-2021
12 months
Jun-30-2022
12 months
Jun-30-2023
12 months
Jun-30-2024
Total Revenue 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Cost Of Goods Sold 73.4% 73.6% 73.6% 73.4% 75.8% 75.7% 75.7% 75.1% 74.6% 74.0% 73.4%
Gross Profit 26.6% 26.4% 26.4% 26.6% 24.2% 24.3% 24.3% 24.9% 25.4% 26.0% 26.6%
Selling and Marketing 3.2% 3.1% 3.0% 3.1% 2.8% 2.6% 2.6% 2.7% 2.7% 2.6% 2.6%
General and Administrative 20.9% 8.7% 8.4% 8.8% 6.3% 6.5% 6.5% 6.6% 6.5% 6.5% 6.5%
R & D Exp. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Amort. of Goodwill and Intangibles 2.7% 1.1% 0.9% 0.8% 1.0% 0.9% 0.9% 0.9% 0.9% 0.9% 0.9%
Other Operating Expense/(Income) 0.0% -0.7% 0.0% -3.8% -5.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Operating Exp., Total 26.8% 12.1% 12.2% 8.8% 5.1% 9.9% 10.0% 10.1% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0%
Operating Income -0.2% 14.3% 14.2% 17.8% 19.1% 14.4% 14.3% 14.8% 15.4% 16.0% 16.6%
Net Interest Exp. 1.6% 0.4% 1.5% 0.6% 1.1% 0.9% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.6% 0.6%
Earnings Before Tax -1.8% 13.9% 12.7% 17.3% 18.0% 13.4% 13.6% 14.0% 14.7% 15.4% 16.1%
Income Tax Expense -1.2% 3.8% 4.7% 6.2% 11.8% 3.2% 3.3% 3.4% 3.6% 3.7% 3.9%
Earnings from Cont. Ops. -0.6% 10.1% 8.0% 11.0% 6.2% 10.2% 10.3% 10.6% 11.1% 11.7% 12.2%
Minority Int. in Earnings 1.8% 3.7% 0.9% 1.0% 0.7% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.4%
Net Income -2.4% 6.4% 7.1% 10.1% 5.6% 9.7% 9.8% 10.2% 10.7% 11.2% 11.8%
Malibu Boats Inc. – NASDAQ: MBUU – USF SMIF Stock Report – November 21, 2019
14
Balance Sheet:
Statement of Cash Flows:
Statement of Cash Flows 2014FY 2015FY 2016FY 2017FY 2018FY 2019FY 2020E 2021E 2022E 2023E 2024EFor the Fiscal Period Ending
In Millions of USD, except per share items.
12 months
Jun-30-
12 months
Jun-30-
12 months
Jun-30-
12 months
Jun-30-
12 months
Jun-30-
12 months
Jun-30-
12 months
Jun-30-
12 months
Jun-30-
12 months
Jun-30-
12 months
Jun-30-
12 months
Jun-30-
Operating Activities
Net (Loss) Income (1.2) 23.2 20.3 31.1 31.0 69.7 82.3 86.1 95.4 98.3 109.6
Depreciation & Amortization 3.2 5.0 5.8 7.0 14.1 16.5 39.8 20.7 25.8 32.1 39.9
Non-cash Compensation Expense 2.6 1.8 2.7 2.1 2.8 3.4 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0
Deferred Income Taxes (2.7) 7.9 5.2 9.6 45.8 6.8 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0
Other Items, Net - 0.9 - (0.9) (0.8) (0.5) (0.7) (0.7) (0.7) (0.7) (0.7)
Accounts Receivable 1.2 (2.2) (5.2) 4.9 (12.2) (3.0) 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.3
Inventories (1.3) (2.9) (0.1) (3.3) (6.3) (15.4) 4.7 7.2 11.6 13.2 15.0
Accounts Payable (4.1) (0.4) 7.0 (5.0) 4.6 (2.8) 9.1 (0.2) (0.2) (0.2) (0.2)
Income Taxes Receivable/Payable 0.1 (0.8) (4.7) (12.1) (27.2) (3.9) (4.0) (4.0) (4.0) (4.0) (4.0)
Prepaid Expense and Other Assets (1.3) 0.9 (0.9) (0.0) (0.4) (0.8) (0.8) (0.22) (0.23) (0.25) (0.26)
Accrued Expenses 2.1 (0.0) 1.4 5.8 6.5 9.6 - - - - -
Litigation Settlement - (20.0) - (1.9) - - - - - - -
Cash Flow from Operating Activities 23.8 12.6 35.6 35.9 58.5 81.5 144.7 123.2 141.9 152.8 173.7
Investing Activities
PP&E (5.9) (5.4) (6.0) (9.2) (10.3) (17.9) (43.6) (22.4) (28.0) (35.0) (43.7)
Payments for Acquisitions-net of Cash Acquired - (11.8) - - (125.6) (100.1) - - - - -
Cash Flow from Investing Activities (5.9) (17.1) (6.0) (9.2) (135.9) (118.0) (43.6) (22.4) (28.0) (35.0) (43.7)
Financing Activities
Revolving Credit Facility, Net - - - - - 40.0 - - - - -
Long-Term Borrowings (23.6) 78.5 (6.5) (17.0) 55.0 (35.0) - - - - -
Net proceeds Common Stock 99.5 62.0 (4.0) - 55.3 0.7 - - - - -
Cash Paid for Tax Withholdings - - (0.2) (0.3) (0.7) (1.2) - - - - -
Payment of Deferred Financing Costs(1.1) (1.2) - (0.9) (1.1) (0.4) (0.5) (0.5) (0.5) (0.5) (0.5)
Net proceeds LLC Unit Holding Activities(95.0) (137.0) (1.4) (1.5) (1.6) (1.8) - - - - -
Payments of Costs Directly Associated with Public Offering (1.6) (1.5) - - (0.7) (0.7) (0.7) (0.7) (0.7) (0.7) (0.7)
Cash Flow from Financing Activities (21.6) 0.7 (12.0) (19.7) 106.2 2.4 (1.2) (1.2) (1.2) (1.2) (1.2)
Other Adjustments
Foreign Exchange Rate Effect on Cash and Cash Equivalents - 0.0 (0.1) 0.0 - (0.1) (0.1) (0.1) (0.1) (0.1) (0.1)
Cash Flow Net Changes in Cash (3.8) (3.8) 17.5 6.9 28.8 (34.2) 99.9 99.6 112.7 116.6 128.8
Malibu Boats Inc. – NASDAQ: MBUU – USF SMIF Stock Report – November 21, 2019
15
Ratios Analysis:
Comparable Company Analysis:
Key Ratios 2014FY 2015FY 2016FY 2017FY 2018FY 2019FY 2020FY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FYFor the Fiscal Period Ending
In Millions of USD, except per share items.
12 months
Dec 31, 2014
12 months
Dec 31, 2015
12 months
Jun-30-2016
12 months
Jun-30-2017
12 months
Jun-30-2018
12 months
Jun-30-2019
12 months
Jun-30-2020
12 months
Mar-31-2021
12 months
Jun-30-2022
12 months
Jun-30-2023
12 months
Jun-30-2024
Current 0.80 1.18 1.35 1.79 2.05 1.69 2.92 4.24 5.67 7.06 8.51
Quick 0.50 0.57 0.93 1.18 1.37 0.79 2.03 3.24 4.57 5.84 7.16
Cash 0.35 0.21 0.40 0.47 0.46 0.21 0.54 0.65 0.71 0.74 0.77
Total Asset Turnover 1.18 0.88 0.93 1.28 1.27 1.13 0.95 0.83 0.74 0.67
Average Total Assets 142.56$ 211.32$ 222.99$ 294.72$ 408.54$ 508.10$ 628.49$ 750.07$ 887.74$ 1,035.72$
Inventory Turnover 10.11 9.12 9.35 11.06 9.24 8.16 7.56 7.08 6.53 6.05
Average Inventory 16.64$ 20.41$ 22.13$ 34.05$ 56.02$ 70.14$ 79.06$ 88.45$ 100.83$ 114.95$
Days in Inventory 36.11 40.02 39.05 33.00 39.49 44.74 48.28 51.55 55.89 60.37
Liability Equity Ratio 3.40 -77.66 13.48 3.73 1.72 1.21 0.82 0.61 0.46 0.37 0.30
Long Term Debt to Equity 0.00 -27.11 4.11 1.13 0.81 0.56 0.37 0.28 0.21 0.16 0.13
Long Term Debt to Assets Ratio 0.00 0.35 0.28 0.24 0.30 0.25 0.21 0.17 0.14 0.12 0.10
Liabilities to Assets 0.77 1.01 0.93 0.79 0.63 0.55 0.45 0.38 0.32 0.27 0.23
Equity Multiplier 4.40 -76.66 14.48 4.73 2.72 2.21 1.82 1.61 1.46 1.37 1.30
Average Equity (in mm) 8.33$ 6.37$ 31.32$ 90.83$ 169.30$ 102.12$ 367.00$ 491.50$ 629.00$ 777.00$
Average Total Assets (in mm) 142.56$ 211.32$ 222.99$ 294.72$ 408.54$ 508.10$ 628.49$ 750.07$ 887.74$ 1,035.72$
EM using Averages 17.12 33.18 7.12 3.24 2.41 4.98 1.71 1.53 1.41 1.33
Gross Profit Margin 26.6% 26.4% 26.4% 26.6% 24.2% 24.3% 24.3% 24.9% 25.4% 26.0% 26.6%
Operating Profit Margin -0.2% 14.3% 14.2% 17.8% 19.1% 14.4% 14.5% 15.0% 15.6% 16.2% 16.8%
Net Profit Margin -2.4% 6.4% 7.1% 10.1% 5.6% 9.7% 10.4% 10.8% 11.4% 11.9% 12.5%
Return on Average Assets 0.10$ 0.09$ 0.13$ 0.09$ 0.16$ 0.15$ 0.14$ 0.13$ 0.12$ 0.11$
ROA - EBIT 23.0% 17.0% 22.5% 32.2% 24.1% 21.5% 18.9% 17.4% 16.2% 15.4%
Return on Average Equity -24.3% -561.1% 117.5% 60.0% 20.6% 32.3% 25.4% 20.3% 17.1% 15.2% 13.8%
Company Comp Set
Company Name EV/Total Rev LTM EV/EBITDA LTM EV/EBIT LTM P/Diluted EPS LTM
Callaway Golf Company 1.6x 16.0x 19.8x 24.0x
MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc. 0.9x 5.7x 6.3x 14.5x
Johnson Outdoors Inc. 0.8x 6.5x 7.7x 14.4x
Brunswick Corporation 1.1x 7.9x 10.1x NM
Acushnet Holdings Corp. 1.6x 12.9x 15.6x 20.2x
Nautilus, Inc. 0.2x NM NM NM
Marine Products Corporation 1.5x 12.2x 12.9x 16.7x
YETI Holdings, Inc. 3.4x 19.2x 23.5x 37.2x
Escalade, Incorporated 0.9x 10.8x 14.9x 19.9x
Vista Outdoor Inc. 0.6x 13.7x 78.0x NM
Malibu Boats, Inc. 1.1x 6.4x 7.3x 10.7x
Summary Statistics
High 3.4x 19.2x 78.0x 37.2x
Low 0.2x 5.7x 6.3x 14.4x
Mean 1.3x 11.7x 21.0x 21.0x
Median 1.0x 12.2x 14.9x 19.9x