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Peer Learning and Leadership Network
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Using Labor Market Information for Career Decision Making and Job Search for People with Disabilities
February 15, 20112:00 PM
Presenters:Dr. Aaron Fichter, Assistant CommissionerNJ Department of Labor & Workforce Development
Ronnie Kauder, Senior Practitioner-in-Residence John J. Heldrich Center for Workforce DevelopmentRutgers, The State University of New Jersey
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Materials and an archived version of this webinar will be available at www.discoverabilitynj.org
Agenda
• Overview of NJ economy• LMI 101• NJ sources/tools• Q&A
Labor Demand UpdateDecember 2010
Prepared by:Division of Labor Market and DemographicResearch
New Jersey Department of Labor and WorkforceDevelopmentFebruary 15, 2011
5,500
-1,500
-100
-7,300
-12,000
-10,200
-12,200-12,100
-9,700
-12,000
-24,300
-18,300
-20,400
-17,300
-20,300
-9,700
-4,500
-14,400
-10,300
-5,200-4,600
1,500
-2,900
-6,000
-9,000
3,200
-4,900
11,700
9,000
-5,600
-18,000
-1,100
-16,100
4,000
12,400
-16,300
-25,000
-20,000
-15,000
-10,000
-5,000
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
Jan-08
Feb-08
Mar-08
Apr-08
May-08
Jun-08
Jul-08
Aug-08
Sep-08
Oct-08
Nov-08
Dec-08
Jan-09
Feb-09
Mar-09
Apr-09
May-09
Jun-09
Jul-09
Aug-09
Sep-09
Oct-09
Nov-09
Dec-09
Jan-10
Feb-10
Mar-10
Apr-10
May-10
Jun-10
Jul-10
Aug-10
Sep-10
Oct-10
Nov-10
Dec-10
Monthly Employment Change, New Jersey: Jan. 2008 - Dec. 2010
-260,600 Total Job Loss
New Jersey Private Sector Employment Change: December 09 - December 10
FINANCIAL ACTIVITIES , 3,300
LEISURE AND HOSPITALITY , -4,100
OTHER SERVICES, -1,000
CONSTRUCTION , -5,500
PROF. AND BUS. SERVICES , 12,400
INFORMATION, -1,400
TRADE, TRANS. & UTILITIES , -3,400
EDUC. & HEALTH SERVICES , -1,800
MANUFACTURING , -1,800
-12,000 -10,000 -8,000 -6,000 -4,000 -2,000 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000
Total Prvt. Sector Change: -1,600
New Jersey vs. United States, Total Employment Dec 09 - Dec 10
98.0
98.5
99.0
99.5
100.0
100.5
101.0
101.5
102.0
Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10
Index: Dec 09 = 100
United States +0.9%
New Jersey -0.8%
Total NJ Employment: -30,700
Unemployment Rates, New Jersey vs. United States:December 2009 - December 2010
9.0
9.2
9.4
9.6
9.8
10.0
10.2
Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10
United States New Jersey
New JerseyDec. 10
9.1%
New JerseyDec. 09 10.0%
United StatesDec. 10
9.4%
United StatesDec. 09 10.0%
Unemployed Residents in New Jersey:December 2009 - December 2010
452,500449,200 448,600 449,000 447,600
444,600
438,638 439,490
434,700
423,400
415,400412,800
407,800
370,000
380,000
390,000
400,000
410,000
420,000
430,000
440,000
450,000
460,000
470,000
Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
New Jersey Counties December 2010 - Unemployment Rates
(Preliminary, Not Seasonally Adjusted)
Data Source: Local Area Unemployment Statistics (LAUS)Prepared by: New Jersey Department of Labor and Workforce Development Bureau of Labor Market Information January 2011
0 20 4010 Miles
ATLANTIC12.5%
MONMOUTH7.9%
OCEAN9.9%
SUSSEX8.6%
BURLINGTON8.1%
MORRIS6.3%
SALEM10.8%
WARREN8.4%
CUMBERLAND12.8%
HUNTERDON6.2%
BERGEN7.3%
SOMERSET6.4%
MERCER7.3%
CAMDEN9.7%
GLOUCESTER9.3%
PASSAIC10.2%
CAPE MAY13.2%
ESSEX10.2%
MIDDLESEX7.7%
UNION9.0%
HUDSON9.9%
New Jersey: 8.7%
Unemployment Rates
6.2% - 6.4%
7.3% - 8.1%
8.4% - 9.3%
9.7% - 10.8%
12.5% - 13.2%
±
OCEAN23,878
SUSSEX6,980
BURLINGTON17,333
MORRIS15,370
ATLANTIC21,119
SALEM3,053
WARREN6,479
MONMOUTH24,139
HUNTERDON5,315
BERGEN26,302
MERCER9,693
ESSEX35,348
UNION21,045
CUMBERLAND9,072
SOMERSET8,421
CAMDEN23,687
GLOUCESTER12,117
PASSAIC24,700
CAPE MAY7,579
MIDDLESEX31,082
HUDSON23,516
Data Source: Unemployment Insurance Administrative DataPrepared by: New Jersey Department of Labor and Workforce Development Bureau of Labor Market Information January 2011
0 20 4010 Miles
Distribution of Continued Unemployment Claims December 2010
New Jersey Counties
´
Continued Unemployment Claims
3,053 - 7,579
8,421 - 12,117
15,370 - 17,333
21,045 - 26,302
31,082 - 35,348
New Jersey: 356,228
Data Source: Unemployment Insurance Administrative DataPrepared by: New Jersey Department of Labor and Workforce Development Bureau of Labor Market Information December 2010
0 20 4010 Miles
Over the Month Change in Initial Unemployment Claims November 2010 - December 2010
New Jersey Counties
´
OCEAN1,055
SUSSEX395
BURLINGTON799
MORRIS970
ATLANTIC1,733
SALEM96
WARREN376
MONMOUTH1,086
CUMBERLAND608
HUNTERDON299
BERGEN1,211
SOMERSET287
MERCER550
CAMDEN896
GLOUCESTER679
PASSAIC1,537
CAPE MAY-427
ESSEX1,592
MIDDLESEX1,015
UNION1,145
HUDSON789
Over the Month Change
-427
96 - 395
550 - 799
896 - 1,211
1,537 - 1,733
New Jersey: 16,691
OCEAN1,209
SUSSEX236
BURLINGTON2,040
MORRIS4,141
ATLANTIC907
SALEM205
WARREN265
MONMOUTH2,377
HUNTERDON573
BERGEN3,975
MERCER6,202
ESSEX3,941
UNION2,440
CUMBERLAND504
SOMERSET3,650
CAMDEN2,065
GLOUCESTER704
PASSAIC1,742
CAPE MAY103
MIDDLESEX4,734
HUDSON4,267
Distribution of Occupational Listings by CountyDecember 2010
Source: NJLWDPrepared by: New Jersey Department of Labor & Workforce Development,Bureau of Labor Market Information,January 2011
0 20 4010 Miles
±
Occupational Listings
103 - 573
704 - 1,209
1,742 - 2,440
3,650 - 4,734
6,202
New Jersey: 46,280
"Newark-UnionTotal Openings
5593
"Edison
Total Openings5133
"Camden
Total Openings2323
"Atlantic City
Total Openings363
"Warren
Total Openings119
"Salem
Total Openings86
"Vineland-Millville-Bridgeton
Total Openings195 "
Ocean CityTotal Openings
41
"Bergen-Hudson-Passaic
Total Openings4921
"Trenton-EwingTotal Openings
3291
Largest Industry Listings by Labor AreaDecember 2010
Source: NJLWDPrepared by: New Jersey Department of Labor & Workforce Development,Bureau of Labor Market Information,January 2011 0 20 4010 Miles
Industry Listings
290
Professional & Business Services
Manufacturing
Trade, Transportation & Utilities
Educational & Health Services
Financial Activities
Information
Leisure & Hospitality
±
What is Labor Market Information?
• Publicly-available facts, data or analysis related to a particular labor market, including economic and business trends, that can be used to make decisions.– A way of organizing the world of employment into
meaningful pieces, such as:– Economic trends that affect work– Employment and wage information by industry
and occupation– Occupational requirements
Who Needs LMI?
• Job seekers and members of the workforce, including people with disabilities
• Staff that provide career guidance to job seekers, including people with disabilities
• Program designers and managers• Researchers• Policy-makers• Employers and business organizations
Key LMI Questions raised byJob Seekers and Staff
• What jobs are available consistent with job seeker skills, interest and experience?
• What are the requirements, hiring methods and procedures for jobs in particular occupations and industries?
• What are the wages, benefits, hours, career paths and potential for advancement for particular occupations?
• For which jobs are employers having the most difficult time finding qualified candidates?
• What are the significant business and other trends that will have an impact on the labor market?
• Where can a job seeker obtain needed education, training and workforce services?
Answers Require Multiple Sources
• Data: labor market information, mainly from NJ DLWD, Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) and the Census
• Words: business sections of newspapers, trade weeklies, trade organization websites
• People: Employers, associations, labor unions, industry experts
• Special ad hoc reports
Key LMI Data Sources Occupational information– Defining occupations: O*NET: www.onetonline.org– Employment and wage estimates by occupation: Occupational
Employment Statistics (OES): www.bls.gov/oes/– Employment projections and Occupational Outlook Handbook:
www.bls.gov/emp/Industry information– Defining industries: NAICS www.census.gov/eos/www/naics/– Employment, hours, earnings data: Current Employment Statistics
(CES) Employer Survey: www.bls.gov/ces/– Employment, net job flows, job creation, new hires, separations,
turnover, average monthly earnings, new hire earnings: Quarterly Workforce Indicators (QWI) of the Local Employment Dynamics (LED) program: http://lehd.did.census.gov/led/led/led.html
Long-Term National Industry Employment Trends (CES)
• Industry data: 1961- 2010
Industry 1961Employment(in millions)
2010Employment(in millions)
Manufacturing 15 11
Construction 3 5.5
Professional & Business Services 3.7 16.6
Education & Health 3 19.5
Leisure & Hospitality 3.5 13
Government 8.7 22.5
National Occupational ProjectionsEconomic Growth* (2008-2018)
Occupational Group Employment,in 000’s
Percent distribution
Change, 2008–18
2008 2018 2008 2018 # %
Total 150,931.7 166,205.6 100.0 100.0 15,273.9 10.1
Management 15,746.7 17,410.9 10.4 10.4 1,664.2 10.6
Professional 31,053.5 36,280.0 20.6 21.8 5,226.5 16.8
Service occupations 29,575.9 33,645.1 19.6 20.2 4,069 13.8
Sales 15,902.7 16,883.1 10.5 10.2 980.4 6.2
Office & Admin support 24,100.6 25,942.7 16.0 15.6 1,842.1 7.6
Farming, fishing, forestry 1,035.4 1,026.3 .7 .6 -9.1 -.9
Construction & extraction 7,810.3 8.828.8 5.2 5.3 1,018.6 13.0
Installation, maintenance 5,798.0 6,238.2 3.8 3.8 440.2 7.6
Production 10,083.0 9,733.9 6.7 5.9 -349.2 -3.5
Transportation 9,825.5 10,216.6 6.5 6.1 391.1 4.0
*Replacement needs are expected to account for 34.3 million openings
Tools for Career Decision-Making
• America’s Career Information Network: http://www.acinet.org/– Career Tools– Occupation information– Industry information
• Living Wage Calculator: http://www.livingwage.geog.psu.edu/
Other Sources of Information • The Riley Guide: www.rileyguide.com
– “Encyclopedia” of job search and career information, updated daily, wide range of topics, very current
• Ready for the Job Initiative: www.njnextstop.org– Green Jobs– Healthcare/Life Sciences– Finance– Remote Work– Information Technology– Construction – Manufacturing– Utilities/Infrastructure– Tourism/Hospitality– Transportation & Logistics
• Heldrich Center: www.heldrich.rutgers.edu• NJ Business Leadership Network: www.njbln.org
Recent Ad Hoc Reports
• New Jersey Going Green: An Industry Overview (2009) (LWD)
• Priority Skill Needs of Employers in New Jersey’s Life Sciences Industry (2008) -- Heldrich Center
• Priority Skill Needs of Employers in New Jersey’s Finance Industry (2008) -- Heldrich Center
• Overview of U.S. Corporate Policies in the Employment of People with Disabilities: Spotlight on the Retail Trade Sector (2008) – Heldrich Center
Summary
• Data sources are plentiful and available but:• Not always in easy to use formats• Need sources of information on current job openings
(DLWD will discuss)• Hard to get information on imbalances in supply and
demand• Available data and tools can guide job seekers and
staff. Current news sources and industry experts and special research efforts offer additional information.
Available Tools and Resources: Helping people with disabilities make effective career
decisions and find job openings
Prepared by:
Office of Labor Planning & Analysis
New Jersey Department of Labor and Workforce Development
Real Time Jobs in Demand
Prepared by:
Office of Labor Planning & Analysis
New Jersey Department of Labor and Workforce Development
Background: Real Time Jobs in DemandBackground: Real Time Jobs in Demand
• Jobs are getting scarce• A lot of concerns about the relevance
of our job projections• Need for all kinds of data, but no
time to assimilate and synthesize all the information needed
• Through various studies we identified significant resource misalignment
Background: Where are the Jobs Now?Background: Where are the Jobs Now?
• Although the labor market seems to be getting much tighter, data revealed that there are a significant number of job openings posted on various job boards.
• No information available about these job openings.
• This information is crucial; it should drive our reemployment initiatives.
Data Foundation of the ToolData Foundation of the Tool
• Real time job demand tools are based on data collected through a spidering technique.
• Spider Technology: a software that queries thousands of private and government job boards and websites, newspaper classified postings and other media outlets, corporate job boards and websites, and community sites for employment opportunities.
Data Foundation of the ToolData Foundation of the Tool
• Many states have access to job search tools that are based on spidering software
• Information used primarily by job seekers and job counselors
• NJ is analyzing this data to identify trends in the openings by industry and occupation.
Components of the ToolComponents of the Tool
• Real time job demand tools have two components:
• Real-Time Industry Demand• Real-Time Occupational Demand
ATLANTIC907
MONMOUTH2,377
OCEAN1,209
SUSSEX236
BURLINGTON2,040
MORRIS4,141
SALEM205
WARREN265
CUMBERLAND504
HUNTERDON573
BERGEN3,975
SOMERSET3,650
MERCER6,202
CAMDEN2,065
GLOUCESTER704
PASSAIC1,742
CAPE MAY103
ESSEX3,941
MIDDLESEX4,734
UNION2,440
HUDSON4,267
Distribution of Occupational Listings by CountyDecember 2010
Source: NJLWDPrepared by: New Jersey Department of Labor & Workforce Development,Bureau of Labor Market Information,January 2011
0 20 4010 Miles
±
Occupational Listings
103 - 573
704 - 1,209
1,742 - 2,440
3,650 - 4,734
6,202
New Jersey: 46,280
"Newark-UnionTotal Openings
5593
"Edison
Total Openings5133
"Camden
Total Openings2323
"Atlantic City
Total Openings363
"Warren
Total Openings119
"Salem
Total Openings86
"Vineland-Millville-Bridgeton
Total Openings195 "
Ocean CityTotal Openings
41
"Bergen-Hudson-Passaic
Total Openings4921
"Trenton-EwingTotal Openings
3291
Largest Industry Listings by Labor AreaDecember 2010
Source: NJLWDPrepared by: New Jersey Department of Labor & Workforce Development,Bureau of Labor Market Information,January 2011 0 20 4010 Miles
Industry Listings
290
Professional & Business Services
Manufacturing
Trade, Transportation & Utilities
Educational & Health Services
Financial Activities
Information
Leisure & Hospitality
±
Companies With Listings Statewide: Companies With Listings Statewide: December 2010December 2010
Company Name Company NameTD BANKNORTH INCORPORATED BRISTOL MYER SQUIBBSAINT BARNABAS HEALTH CARE SYSTEM SPORTS AUTHORITY INCORPORATEDJOHNSON & JOHNSON VALLEY NATIONAL BANCORPMERCK PRINCETON HEALTHCARE SYSTEMBAYADA NURSE ALLEGIS GROUP INCORPORATEDNOVARTIS INTERNATIONAL SAPPHIRE TECHNOLOGIEST. JOSEPH'S HEALTHCARE SYSTEM JUDGE GROUP INCORPORATEDJOS BANK CLOTHIER INCORPORATED SAMSUNG AMERICA INCORPORATEDUPS GOLDMAN SACH GROUP INCORPORATEDTEKSYSTEMS AMERITRADE HOLDING CORPORATIONBANK AMERICA TECHNISOURCEROBERT HALF FINANCE ACCOUNTING SHOPRITEMITCHELL MARTIN RUTGERS UNIVERSITYDRESS BARN INCORPORATED BORDERS GROUP INCORPORATEDJPMORGAN CHASE COMPANY NOVO NORDISKBANAMEX DICKS SPORTING GOOD INCORPORATEDPRINCETON UNIVERSITY CELGENE CORPORATIONKMD RECRUITING COOPER HEALTH SYSTEMAEROTEK COMSYSJONES APPAREL GROUP INCORPORATED ROBERT HALF TECHNOLOGY
DEVEREUX FOUNDATION BASFPHH CORPORATION ACCOUNTEMPSGENESIS HEALTHCARE METROPOLITAN LIFE INSURANCE COMPANYKENNEDY HEALTH SYSTEM ARMY NATIONAL GUARD
Occupational Demand:Occupational Demand:
• Which jobs are in demand today?• Which jobs will be in demand in the future?• Which jobs are experiencing a labor shortage?• How much are these jobs paying?• Do I have the necessary credentials for my
next job?
Real Time Jobs in Demand – A new report that has the information needed to answer various questions, such as:
Real Time Jobs in DemandReal Time Jobs in Demand
• Incorporates short-term trends plus all current job openings in New Jersey
• Provides information about competition over the same jobs
Real Time Jobs in DemandReal Time Jobs in Demand
Occupation Title
2008 Employment
NJ # New Job Listings
NJ # Unemp. Claims
NJ # New
Unemp. Claims
NJ Average Annual # of
Projected Openings(2008 to
2010)
NJ Average Hourly Wage
US Preferred
Education/ Training
US Percent with
Bachelor's Degree
US Percent
with Some
College
US Percent
with High
School
NJ Occupational
License Needed
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L)Computer Programmers
18,998 2,160 627 54 380 $37.75 Bachelor's degree
72.7 21.8 5.5
Computer Systems Analysts
28,085 1,966 950 77 590 $43.00 Bachelor's degree
68.4 24.6 7.0
Computer and Information Systems Managers
15,573 1,742 1,480 124 160 $64.85 Bachelor's degree
72.5 23.0 4.6
Registered Nurses
79,512 1,491 1,845 225 1,260 $35.05 Associate's degree
56.2 42.7 1.0 Advanced Practice Nurse; School Nurse; Registered Nurse (RN)
Computer Software Engineers, Applications
29,570 1,440 887 88 570 $43.80 Bachelor's degree
84.8 13.0 2.2
Standard Occupational Code (SOC)
Title
Employment Estimate
Number of New Listings based on
Spidered Data
Number of New & Continued Claims
based on UI Administrative Records
Real Time Jobs in DemandReal Time Jobs in Demand
Occupation Title
2008 Employment
NJ # New Job Listings
NJ # Unemp. Claims
NJ # New
Unemp. Claims
NJ Average Annual # of
Projected Openings(2008 to
2010)
NJ Average Hourly Wage
US Preferred
Education/ Training
US Percent with
Bachelor's Degree
US Percent
with Some
College
US Percent
with High
School
NJ Occupational
License Needed
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L)Computer Programmers
18,998 2,160 627 54 380 $37.75 Bachelor's degree
72.7 21.8 5.5
Computer Systems Analysts
28,085 1,966 950 77 590 $43.00 Bachelor's degree
68.4 24.6 7.0
Computer and Information Systems Managers
15,573 1,742 1,480 124 160 $64.85 Bachelor's degree
72.5 23.0 4.6
Registered Nurses
79,512 1,491 1,845 225 1,260 $35.05 Associate's degree
56.2 42.7 1.0 Advanced Practice Nurse; School Nurse; Registered Nurse (RN)
Computer Software Engineers, Applications
29,570 1,440 887 88 570 $43.80 Bachelor's degree
84.8 13.0 2.2
State Projected Number of Openings from projections data
Hourly Wage from Occupational Employment Statistics
Real Time Jobs in DemandReal Time Jobs in Demand
Occupation Title
2008 Employment
NJ # New Job Listings
NJ # Unemp. Claims
NJ # New
Unemp. Claims
NJ Average Annual # of
Projected Openings(2008 to
2010)
NJ Average Hourly Wage
US Preferred
Education/ Training
US Percent with
Bachelor's Degree
US Percent
with Some
College
US Percent
with High
School
NJ Occupational
License Needed
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (I) (J) (K) (L)Computer Programmers
18,998 2,160 627 54 380 $37.75 Bachelor's degree
72.7 21.8 5.5
Computer Systems Analysts
28,085 1,966 950 77 590 $43.00 Bachelor's degree
68.4 24.6 7.0
Computer and Information Systems Managers
15,573 1,742 1,480 124 160 $64.85 Bachelor's degree
72.5 23.0 4.6
Registered Nurses
79,512 1,491 1,845 225 1,260 $35.05 Associate's degree
56.2 42.7 1.0 Advanced Practice Nurse; School Nurse; Registered Nurse (RN)
Computer Software Engineers, Applications
29,570 1,440 887 88 570 $43.80 Bachelor's degree
84.8 13.0 2.2
BLS data on the distribution of educational attainment
by occupation
Occupational Licensing Data from our Center
for Occ. Info
Real Time Jobs in DemandReal Time Jobs in Demand• Reflects Various Educational and Training
Levels
Real Time Jobs in DemandReal Time Jobs in Demand
Data is revised every month• Use these reports to get the best picture of
New Jersey's job market today• To see the occupational listings by education
and training requirements and for more information go to: http://lwd.dol.state.nj.us/labor/lpa/content/RealTimeJobsinDemand.html
NJCAN:
Career Assistance Navigator
Prepared by:
Office of Labor Planning & Analysis
New Jersey Department of Labor and Workforce Development
NJ TOPPS:
Training Opportunities
Prepared by:
Office of Labor Planning & Analysis
New Jersey Department of Labor and Workforce Development