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USMC view of federal budget constraints
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1 v6 UNCLASSIFIED USMC Programs and Resources MCAA Brief LtGen Duane Thiessen Deputy Commandant, P&R
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Page 1: USMC Slides

1v6 UNCLASSIFIED

USMC Programs and Resources

MCAA Brief

LtGen Duane ThiessenDeputy Commandant, P&R

Page 2: USMC Slides

2v6 UNCLASSIFIED

This is just an average year. It is not as good as last year and better than next....

Page 3: USMC Slides

3v6 UNCLASSIFIED

Federal Budget Historical TrendsIn the past 40 years, mandatory spending has grown…

…reducing discretionary spending to about 1/3 of outlays

1995

Discretionary M andatory Interest

1965

Discretionary M andatory Interest

1975

Discretionary M andatory Interest

1985

Discretionary M andatory Interest

2005

Discretionary M andatory Interest

2009

Discretionary M andatory Interest

Page 4: USMC Slides

4v6 UNCLASSIFIED

President’s Budget~$3.6 Trillion in FY2009

DoD19%Non-Defense

Discretionary17%

Social Security19%

Medicare12%

Medicaid7%

TARP7% Other Mandatory

19%

Troubled Asset Relief Program

Page 5: USMC Slides

5v6 UNCLASSIFIED

Army27%

DoN28%

Air Force28%

Defense Agencies /

Defense-Wide17%

DoD Budget

* Does not include supplemental appropriations

$513B in FY2009*

$147.4B

$85.5B$139.2B

$141.2B

Page 6: USMC Slides

6v6 UNCLASSIFIED

DoN Budget as a Share of DoD

                             

Navy 73%

BISOG 6%

Marine Corps17%

Indirect 4%

DoN28%

USA27%

USAF28%

Other17%

• BISOG equals direct aviation procurement & flying hour program• Marine Corps + BISOG $ = 6% of DoD TOA

Page 7: USMC Slides

7v6 UNCLASSIFIED

There is an optimistic, idealistic, euphoric vision where unicorns no longer poop in the streets....unfortunately, there is also reality.

Page 8: USMC Slides

8v6 UNCLASSIFIED

Source: Congressional Budget Office“The Long-Term Budget Outlook”, June 2009

The Spending Trend is Not Sustainable

0 %

1 0 %

2 0 %

3 0 %

4 0 %

5 0 %

Social Security

Medicare

Medicaid

Interest

All other spending (includingother mandatory spending)

Federal Revenue in 200817.1% of GDP

1965 1971 1977 1983 1989 1995 2001 2007 2013 2019 2025 2031 2037 2043 2049

Stimulus Package

Page 9: USMC Slides

9v6 UNCLASSIFIED

Federal SpendingT re nd s in F e d e ra l S p e n d in g

(Percent of Federal Budget)

M an d ato r y

Ne t In te r e s t

No n -De fe n s e Dis cr e t io n ar y

De fe n s e Dis cr e t io n ar y

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

1969

1971

1973

1975

1977

1979

1981

1983

1985

1987

1989

1991

1993

1995

1997

1999

2001

2003

2005

2007

2009

2011

2013

2015

2017

2019

Fis ca l Ye ar

Perc

enta

ge o

f the

Fed

eral

Bud

get

ProjectionProjection

Stimulus Package

Page 10: USMC Slides

10v6 UNCLASSIFIED

Defense Budget Trends(TY $ in B)

302 328375 377 403 421 438 480 513 534 542 551 561 575 589

69 66103

116164

187 141 13050 50 50 50 50

1714

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Fis cal Ye ar

TY $

in B

Bas e OCO

Defense Funding Trends

319342

444 443

506537

602

667 654 664

601 611 625 639592

ProjectionProjection

FY09 does not include the DoD portion of the American Reinvestment & Recovery Act ($7B)

Page 11: USMC Slides

11v6 UNCLASSIFIED

Federal Surplus/Deficit(Percentage of GDP)

-14%-13%-12%-11%-10%-9%-8%-7%-6%-5%-4%-3%-2%-1%0%1%2%3%

1969

1971

1973

1975

1977

1979

1981

1983

1985

1987

1989

1991

1993

1995

1997

1999

2001

2003

2005

2007

2009

2011

2013

2015

2017

2019

Surp

lus/

Def

icit

as a

% o

f GD

P

OM BCBOActual

Federal Surplus/Deficit

ProjectionsProjections

40-year average(1968-2008):

-2.4%

Federal Surplus/Deficit(TY $ in B)

-$2,000

-$1,800

-$1,600

-$1,400

-$1,200

-$1,000

-$800

-$600

-$400

-$200

$0

$200

$400

1979

1981

1983

1985

1987

1989

1991

1993

1995

1997

1999

2001

2003

2005

2007

2009

2011

2013

2015

2017

2019

TY $

in B

TY $ in BTY $ in B

Page 12: USMC Slides

12v6 UNCLASSIFIED

Conventional wisdom always makes straight-line projections and they are always wrong.

~ Charles Krauthammer

Page 13: USMC Slides

13v6 UNCLASSIFIED

Strategic Landscape

The defining principle of the Pentagon’s new National Defense Strategy is balance. The United States

cannot....eliminate national security risks through higher defense budgets, to do everything....buy

everything. The Department of Defense must set priorities and consider inescapable tradeoffs and

opportunity costs....~ Sec’y Gates, Foreign Affairs, Jan / Feb 2009

Page 14: USMC Slides

14v6 UNCLASSIFIED

Fiscal Landscape

The Secretary’s vision is clear. The “writing is on the wall”. Fiscal Challenges. Hard choices have to be identified;

tough decisions will be made. Grand visions underwritten by blank checks are not

sustainable. Top lines will be more pressurized.

The Marine Corps will make the tough decisions that will result in a lean, agile and adaptable fighting force that is expeditionary and better able to address ever-evolving hybrid threats in complex environments.

Page 15: USMC Slides

15v6 UNCLASSIFIED

CMC Guidance

• “..future operational environments will place a premium on agile expeditionary forces, able to act with unprecedented speed and versatility in austere conditions against a wide range of adversaries.”

• “We must be a two fisted fighter – able to destroy enemy formations with our scalable air-ground-logistics teams in major contingencies, but equally able to employ our hard earned irregular warfare skills honed over decades of conflict.” • “..we must be prepared to move with speed, live hard, and accomplish any mission.”

-MC Vision and Strategy 2025

Page 16: USMC Slides

16v6 UNCLASSIFIED

CMC Priorities

Achieve victory in OIF / OEF Right-size the Marine

Corps Resetting for today

while modernizingfor tomorrow

Improve quality of life for Marinesand families

Page 17: USMC Slides

17v6 UNCLASSIFIED

…and a Miracle happens


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